Boiler Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G'day, Rusty here. Look, I've gotta be straight with you – this outlook for the next couple of weeks is a tough one. We're looking at Boiler Bay, and honestly, it's a pretty grim run. The forecast is a long stretch of poor conditions, with only a couple of fleeting moments that might be worth a look if you're desperate.

Right now, starting Sunday, August 2nd, it's already a bit of a write-off. The morning shows a 6 ft swell from the WNW with a 9-second period, but it's blowing a cross-onshore breeze at 9 mph, leaving it fairly choppy. The wave energy is moderate (515). The afternoon only gets worse with a stronger onshore wind.

This pattern sticks around for days. Monday the 3rd through to the morning of Saturday the 8th is all "poor surf conditions" – onshore or cross-onshore winds, lumpy, choppy surf. The swell hangs around 4 ft to 6 ft, period staying short between 7 and 9 seconds. It's a messy, frustrating window. The water temperature is running about average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

There's a real low point from Friday afternoon, August 7th, through to Sunday the 9th. The swell drops right off to a tiny 1 ft. Sure, the period jumps to 13-16 seconds on those days, but that's a long-period groundswell with zero size. You're looking at flat, glassy conditions, but not a wave to ride.

The following week from Monday, August 10th, to Thursday the 13th sees a return of some waist-high swell, around 4 ft to 5 ft from the NW with a short 8-second period. But the wind is locked in onshore, so it's all blown-out and messy. Wave energy is building through the week from moderate (369) to strong (629), but it's useless with that wind.

Finally, there's a couple of glimmers. On Friday, August 14th, the morning shows a 5 ft NW swell (8 seconds) with a light cross-onshore breeze at 9 mph. It's still only "marginal" surf, but it's the best we've seen in a while, with energy at 587. The next morning, Sunday, August 16th, has a similar setup: 5 ft NW swell, light cross-onshore wind, and the best score of the whole run. It's still not perfect, but if you're jonesing, that's your window. Also, Monday the 17th morning has a similar story with a light breeze.

So, the pick of a bad bunch? Sunday morning, August 16th, at Boiler Bay. It's the best-rated session, with a light cross-onshore breeze and a 5 ft NW swell. The water is average for the season. But honestly, this is a spot for advanced surfers at the best of times – it's a reef break that's fairly consistent. Don't expect clean, glassy perfection. For the rest of the run, if you're into kite surfing, the strong onshore winds and choppy 5 ft+ surf might be more your thing than a paddle session.

Rusty.

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