Boiler Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming down the line for Boiler Bay over the next couple of weeks. Honestly, it’s a tough stretch ahead. The first week and a half is a real write-off for any decent paddle surfing, and the only real glimmers of hope come right at the end.

We’re looking at a long, frustrating gap before any sort of decent surf shows up. From now all the way through to the 20th of August, it’s mostly small, weak, and blown out. The water is sitting at a very unusual 52°, which is about 37° colder than normal for this time of year – that’s a real shock to the system if you’re thinking of getting in.

The first real chance we get is around Wednesday the 19th, but it’s only marginal. We’ve got a 3ft swell from the WNW with a period of 12 seconds, and the energy is starting to build (481). The wind is light and cross-onshore, so it’s not completely hopeless, but it’s more of a "maybe catch a few closeouts" kind of day. Don’t get your hopes up.

Thursday the 20th is a bit better, with that WNW swell pushing to 5ft by the afternoon and the energy climbing to 563. The wind stays light cross-onshore, so the surface won’t be glassy, but it’s the best size we’ve seen in a while. I’d still call it marginal.

Now, Friday the 21st is where it gets interesting. We finally see a shift: a light cross-offshore breeze from the SW, and a clean 3ft swell from the WNW with a 9-second period. The energy is moderate at 316. Conditions are described as "clean" all day. It’s not a monster, but after the junk we’ve had, this is the one standout. Saturday the 22nd morning actually looks even cleaner with a gentle offshore wind (SSW) and a small 2ft swell (213 energy). It’s tiny, but it’ll be glassy. Saturday afternoon picks up to 3ft with a very short 7-second period and a cross-off breeze. It’ll be clean but won’t have much push.

Things go straight back downhill after that. Sunday the 23rd and the rest of the month is dominated onshore NNW winds and choppy conditions. The swell tries to pick up again towards the 27th, with 6ft on the Thursday morning and energy up to 555, but it’s all onshore and messy. That bigger stuff (over 5ft) is just for the experts anyway, and with the wind howling onshore, it’s going to be a washing machine. With that consistent onshore wind and a beach and reef setup, this honestly looks more interesting for a kite surfer than a paddle surfer for most of that second week.

So, to sum it up: hold out for Friday the 21st. It’s your best shot at some clean, ridable waves in this whole 16-day window. Saturday morning the 22nd is also a good bet for a glassy session, but you’ll need a longboard. Everything else is a tough beat.

Rusty.

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