Boiler Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s shaping up for Boiler Bay over the next couple of weeks.

Alright, straight off the bat, we’ve got a window of clean, fun-sized waves from Saturday the 25th through to Tuesday morning the 28th. It’s not going to be massive, but the quality is there. The water temp is sitting at 51°F, which is a massive 8°F colder than normal for this time of year – that is very unusual, so you’ll want a thick 5/4 wetsuit, hood, and boots. Don’t even think about a spring suit.

Saturday the 25th morning kicks things off with a 2ft swell wrapping in from the WSW, but get this – it’s a 22-second period groundswell. That’s a very long period, meaning the waves will have proper shape and energy, with long lulls between sets. There’s moderate wave energy here (450). The wind is a light 12 mph southerly, blowing straight offshore. The setup is a reef, exposed to the SW, and with offshore wind like that, it’s going to be glassy and clean. Advanced surfers only, and expect a crowd now and then.

Saturday afternoon steps it up a bit: 3ft from the SSW, still a very long 21-second period, and the energy jumps to 822 (moderate to strong). Wind drops to 9 mph from the SSW, still offshore. This is very good.

Sunday the 26th keeps the goods rolling. Morning: 3ft from the SW, 20-second period, 725 energy, and a light 6 mph SW wind that’s cross-offshore. Clean. Afternoon the wind swings westerly and goes cross-shore, so it’ll get a bit bumpy.

Monday the 27th: still 3ft from the SW, 18-second period, energy in the 590–661 range, and a light cross-offshore breeze. Clean and fun, very good conditions.

Tuesday the 28th morning holds on with 2ft, 16-second period, 575 energy, clean with a light cross-offshore. That’s the last of the good stuff.

From Tuesday afternoon onward, things go downhill fast. The wind shifts to the NW and goes cross-onshore, then straight onshore. Swell sticks around at 3–3ft for a bit, but with choppy, messy conditions. By Wednesday the 30th, it’s a write-off. That poor spell stretches all the way through to the end of the forecast period on August 9th. We get a bit of size bump on August 2nd and 3rd, with 4ft to 6ft from the WNW and NW, but the period drops to 6–10 seconds – short period windswell – and the wind is howling onshore at 12–19 mph. That’s not for paddling; that’s kite-surfing territory. Even the slight pickup on August 6th with 3ft and a light NW wind is still cross-onshore and marginal.

So here’s the deal: Your best bet is Saturday the 25th through to Tuesday morning the 28th. The standout is Saturday the 25th afternoon – 3ft of SSW groundswell with a 21-second period, offshore wind, and clean conditions. It’s not big, but the quality will be the best of the run. After that, it’s a blank run of poor surf that looks pretty normal for this spot in a long-range forecast.

Rusty.

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