Boiler Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's get into what's comin' our way,

We got Boiler Bay as our only shot in this forecast, and honestly, it's a tough stretch. This reef break is an advanced spot, fairly consistent, but the conditions are gonna fight us every step of the way. The first solid chunk of time is a write-off. For most of this week and well into the next, we're lookin' at a lot of poor surf conditions with some nasty onshore and cross-onshore winds. The swell energy (combined energy values bouncing between 295 and 1004) gets some decent size but the wind just ruins it. We've got a few windows where things clean up, but they are hard to find.

Now, the water temp at Boiler Bay is sitting at a frigid 49°, which is a staggering 10° colder than usual for this time of year. That is far colder than normal, so you're gonna need a thick wetsuit and a good attitude. This is highly unusual.

Let's run through it. Everything from July 13th through July 15th is a mess. The wind is onshore or cross-onshore, waves are small and weak, with the swell period all over the place. Not worth paddling out. It doesn't look like we get a real chance until Thursday, July 16th. On Thursday morning, we get a light cross-offshore wind from the SW with a clean wave face, and a 2 ft swell from the WNW at a very long 19-second period. The combined energy is moderate (420). The afternoon is similar with a 2 ft swell and a clean surface. This is it, the only real standout in the whole 16 days. For a short window, the conditions might actually be surfable, but that long period groundswell (19 seconds) is gonna break straight on a beach setup, so take that as a caveat—it might not have the best shape here.

Friday, July 17th morning teases us with a 3 ft WNW swell and light cross-onshore wind, but it's only marginal, and the afternoon goes back to poor. From the 18th through the 25th, the swell bumps up, hitting 7 ft and even 7 ft, which is over the 5 ft mark and getting into the "too big for beginners" territory, but it's all blown out by moderate to fresh cross-onshore and onshore winds. The wave energy gets strong (values like 899, 978), but the wind just trashes it. This setup looks far more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

We get another brief marginal window on Saturday, July 26th morning, with a 6 ft NW swell and light cross-onshore wind, but it's a tease again. After that, the wind cranks back up to 19 mph onshore, and we're done. The runs of poor days are long; there's a solid week of nothing good from the 17th to the 26th, with very few exceptions.

So, bottom line: if you're determined and you've got the rubber, the only shot to get a clean wave is the morning of Thursday, July 16th. Otherwise, the forecast for Boiler Bay is a long, rough ride.

Rusty.

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