Boiler Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Howdy, Rusty here again. Let's talk about Boiler Bay in the old-school numbers. It's a reef break that catches the swell, but the forecast looks like a slow burner. The water is a cold 54°, which is a full 5° colder than the usual for this time of year – that's some serious winter chill, so bring your thickest steamer.

For the first week of July, the surf is a total bust. Poor conditions across the board. The wind is blowing from the NNW at 9 to 16 mph, onshore and making a mess of things. The swell is a mix of short-period bumps and longer period signals from the SW, but it's all wind-chopped. Wave energy is moderate, hanging around that 350 to 500 range, but the quality is garbage. There's a morning on Tuesday the 8th where the wind is a light breeze and the swell period hits 18 seconds, giving us a tiny 2ft cross-on groundswell – but the rating is still poor, so not a goer.

It looks like things might turn around starting Thursday the 16th of July. The wind drops to a light breeze from the NW, and we get a 3ft swell from the WNW with a long 17 to 18 second period. The wave energy jumps to a strong 723 and then 913. It's still a marginal call, but the conditions are almost glassy and clean. The long period means the waves will have good shape on the reef, but it's only 3ft.

Now, for the true window if you've got patience, aim for Friday the 17th through Saturday the 18th of July. On Friday afternoon, the swell jumps to 7ft from the NW with a shorter 9-second period. The combined energy hits a very strong 1261. Wind is a gentle breeze from the NW, creating a bit of texture but not ruining it. Saturday is similar, with a 7ft to 7ft NW swell and energy readings over 1000. The wind stays light to gentle. This is a punchy windswell with a lot of power. Over 6ft on a reef, this is for the experienced crew only. The notes say marginal surf forecast, but with that energy and the wind being manageable, this is the best bet. It's a long way out, so take it with a grain of salt. In front of it, you've got a solid ten days of nothing much to work with.

So, if you're an advanced surfer looking for some punch, circle Saturday the 18th of July for the most energy and size on offer at Boiler Bay. Otherwise, it's a waiting game.

Rusty.

Read more