Boiler Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cookin’ at Boiler Bay over the next couple of weeks. I’ll be straight with you – this stretch looks pretty grim for the most part.

Right off the bat, we’ve got a long, flat gap. There’s basically nothing worth paddling out for from now through to the morning of Friday the 14th of August. We’re talking tiny, weak little waves with cross-onshore junk. The combined swell energy is low, like 287 or 264 (weak) and the water is running a frigid 50°, which is a massive 9° colder than usual for this time of year – that’s wild and way beyond normal.

The first faint glimmer comes on Friday morning the 14th. You get a small bump to 4ft from the NW, but the period is a short, crumbly 7 seconds. The wind is still cross-on, so it’s gonna be a bumpy, marginal session at best. Not a standout.

The pattern stays poor. We get a little pulse of 5ft from the WNW on Thursday the 20th, with a more respectable 11-second period. Combined swell energy hits 938 (moderate), so there’s some grunt there. But again, the wind is cross-on from the NNW at 9 mph, chopping it up. It’s just barely surfable for the dedicated.

We finally see a shift on the morning of Friday the 21st of August. It’s still not big – 3ft from the WNW at 11 seconds – but for the first time we get a *cross* wind from the west at only 3 mph. That’s light and clean. The combined energy is 390 (moderate). This is, sadly, about the best we get in this whole window. The waves won't have much push, but they might have a little shape and be a lot cleaner than everything else.

After that, it fades back into junk and onshore slop for days. There’s a notable size increase around the 26th and 27th of August, with 8ft from the NW on the 27th and a combined energy of 1531 (strong). But with 9-12 mph onshore winds, that’s just a blown-out, dangerous mess only for the hardcore crew. At that size and with that wind, a beach-and-reef setup like this looks more interesting for kite surfing than a friendly paddle session.

So, the one true standout? The morning of Friday the 21st. It’s not going to be epic, but with the light cross-wind, it’s the only time the bay might clean up and offer something rideable.

Stay patient, but don’t hold your breath.
Rusty.

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