Boiler Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's look ahead at what Boiler Bay (United States) has in store for us. I gotta be straight with you – this stretch is a tough one. We’re looking at a 16-day run of pretty disappointing conditions. There’s no real stand-out window here, just a lot of onshore wind and poor quality surf.

Let’s kick off on Friday afternoon, August 14th. A tiny 2 ft SW groundswell is rolling in with a long 15-second period, but it’s already crossed up by a light cross-onshore breeze. The water is much colder than normal for this time of year, sitting at 53°F. The combined energy is weak at 258 – not much to get excited about. Saturday the 15th isn’t much better; we see a similar 2 ft SW swell, but the wind swings a bit stronger, also cross-onshore, making it choppy. The pattern continues with light to gentle cross-offshore winds right through the next several days, with the swell staying under 3 ft. Honestly, the first week looks like a write-off.

We finally start to see a bump in size around Wednesday the 19th. We get a 3 ft swell on the Wednesday morning, coming from the WNW with a 12-second period and a combined energy of 565 – moderate energy at last. But the wind is onshore and that kills it. By Thursday the 20th, the afternoon bump climbs to 5 ft (WNW, 11 seconds, energy of 638), but the wind is still cross-onshore and gentle, leaving it choppy. The setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

Things take a turn for the worse as we head into the weekend of the 22nd. The swell gets a bit more size, but the period drops way off, hitting a short 6 seconds on the 22nd afternoon with a big 19 mph onshore wind. That’s a chop-fest. It’s consistent but ugly. By Sunday the 23rd, we’re seeing 5 ft to 5 ft swells, but again with short periods around 7 seconds and fresh onshore winds. Too big for beginners and choppy for everyone else.

The second week doesn’t offer any relief. Through August 24th to 29th, we’re stuck in a loop of onshore winds and poor conditions. The swell bounces between 2 ft and 5 ft, but it’s never clean. The long-period 17-second groundswell on the 25th morning gets ruined by a cross-onshore wind. There is no standout, no day to circle on the calendar. The best you can say is that the inconsistency of good waves here is normal; when it goes flat or ugly, it tends to stay that way for a while.

So, Boiler Bay, you’re off the hook for now. Keep an eye on the charts, but don’t hold your breath.

Rusty.

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