Boiler Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, it’s Rusty. Look, I’ll be straight with you – the next couple of weeks are a mixed bag at Boiler Bay. The swell’s bouncing around, but the wind’s the real problem, especially through the first week. There’s a glimmer of hope later, so let’s break it down.

The first solid chance comes on Friday, July 17th, but it’s nothing to write home about. Morning is the pick, with a 3ft groundswell from the WNW and a very long 17 second period. The water is a freezing 51° and a massive 7° colder than normal – that’s very unusual, so bring a thick suit. A light breeze keeps it cross, but it’s a scratchy day with moderate wave energy (576).

From Saturday, July 18th right through to Wednesday, July 22nd, it’s a write-off. Onshore winds from the NNW, mostly moderate, and swell is either too short-period or messy. Sunday, July 19th has 5-6ft swell, but with 7-8 second periods and onshore wind, it’s poor quality. No point paddling out.

Things start to turn on Thursday, July 23rd. Morning sees a 4ft NW swell, 9 seconds, with a light offshore from the SSW that’ll clean it right up. Gentle breeze, clean lines – finally something to sink your fins into. Wave energy is moderate (408).

Friday, July 24th is the standout. Morning has 4ft NW swell with a light cross-off breeze from the SW, keeping it clean. Wave energy is moderate (519). Then Friday afternoon is a real curio – the swell drops to just 2ft, but it’s a very long 24-second groundswell from the SW, with clean conditions and wave energy climbing to 591. At a reef break with an optimum SW swell direction, that’s a serious option. The period is so long (over 15 seconds) it’ll reel down the reef in classic lines, but the size is small, so not a total washout.

Saturday, July 25th morning keeps that clean theme going, with a 2ft, 22-second WSW groundswell, light cross-off breeze, and strong wave energy (566). That’s another promising session, but it’s small. The afternoon turns ugly as the wind swings NNW onshore, so get out early.

From Sunday, July 26th, we’re back into a long run of onshore NNW winds and choppy conditions. Swell sticks around 3ft-3ft from the SW, but the wind kills it. This stretch lasts right through to the end of the period on Saturday, August 1st. There are a couple of marginal mornings – like Thursday, July 30th with a 4ft SW swell and moderate wave energy (1007) – but the wind is cross-on, so it’s a gamble.

Honestly, your best bet is Friday, July 24th morning, and maybe Saturday, July 25th morning if you want the long-period glass. After that, the wind plays havoc for over a week. Keep an eye on it – forecasts can change.

Rusty

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