Boiler Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for Boiler Bay over the next couple of weeks.

Straight up, I’ll be honest with you – the first week or so is pretty flat and messy. We’ve got a bit of a quiet start, with the first real chance of a wave coming through on Friday, 11 September, but it’s only marginal. The swell is running around 6 ft from the NW with a period of 9 seconds, but the wind is cross-onshore, so it’s going to be a bit lumpy. The combined energy is moderate (759), but it’s not going to be pushy or clean. The water temperature is 57°F, which is about a degree colder than normal for this time of year – so a bit of a chill to it.

Saturday 12 September afternoon looks a bit more promising. The swell drops to 3 ft from the SW, but the period stretches out to 14 seconds – that’s proper groundswell energy. The wind turns offshore from the SSE at 12 mph, which should clean things up nicely. Combined energy is moderate (479), and it’s a reef break, so that longer period will wrap in nicely. Crowds are possible here, so you might have a few mates out. The difficulty is advanced, so it’s not for the beginners – 3 ft is fine for most, but the reef adds a bit of spice.

The standout for the whole period, though, is Sunday 13 September morning. Glassy conditions with a WSW wind at 3 mph, and a 3 ft SW swell with a 14-second period. The energy is moderate (467), but with that glassy surface and clean offshore wind, it’s going to be the pick of the bunch. The swell direction (SW) matches the optimum direction for the break, so it’ll be lining up nicely. This is the one to get out for if you can.

After that, the week rolls into a bit of a lull. Monday 14 September is marginal, with cross-onshore winds and short period swell. Tuesday 15 September sees a small 1 ft SW swell with a very long 17-second period and offshore winds – combined energy is low (248-285), but it’ll be clean. Not much power, but if you’re on a log, it’ll be fun.

Wednesday 16 September morning has a 5 ft NW swell (8 seconds) and cross-offshore wind, with moderate energy (346) – it’s clean, but the period is short, so it’ll be a bit crumbly.

Looking further out, the second week has some promise, but it’s less certain. Friday 18 September morning looks glassy again with a 4 ft NW swell (8 seconds) and moderate energy (380). Not a big swell, but clean conditions will make it rideable. Then on Monday 21 September morning, we’ve got a 2 ft WSW swell with a 17-second period, glassy conditions, and moderate energy (396) – that’s a nice long-period groundswell for the reef.

The biggest energy spike comes in the final days: Tuesday 22 September has a 5 ft WNW swell with a 12-second period and combined energy of 924 (strong), but the wind is onshore, so it’s messy. Wednesday 23 September morning has a 6 ft WNW swell (11 seconds) and energy of 937 (strong), but again cross-onshore wind. That’s a lot of water moving, but without clean wind, it’s a bit of a battle.

So, overall, Sunday 13 September morning is the clear winner – glassy, clean, and a nice SW groundswell. The Saturday 12 September afternoon is a close second with offshore winds. Don’t expect much in the first few days, but once we get to the weekend, it’s worth a paddle.

Rusty.

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