Boiler Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s talk Boiler Bay. I’ll be honest – the next couple of weeks are a tough watch. We’ve got some swell rolling through, but the wind just won’t play ball. It’s one of those stretches where you have to look hard for a window.

Starting Thursday, July 9th, there’s a morning swell of 3ft from the southwest, with a long 16-second period – proper groundswell. The combined energy is 1036 (moderate), but the wind is a stiff 12 mph onshore from the NNW. That’s going to chop it up something nasty. The water temp is 50°, which is 9° colder than usual – that’s freakishly cold, so you’ll want a thick suit and booties. The afternoon drops to 2ft and stays cross-onshore. Forget it.

Friday the 10th: 3ft from the SW, 15-second period, with a light 6 mph cross-onshore breeze. The energy is 423 (moderate). Still cross-onshore with little wind ripples. Not worth it.

Saturday the 11th morning sees a bump to 4ft from the WNW, but the period drops to 10 seconds. Wind is cross-onshore at 6 mph. The energy is 551 (moderate). The afternoon is worse – 5ft with a 12 mph breeze.

Sunday the 12th: 5ft from the NW, 9-second period. Cross-onshore all day, with the afternoon having a 12 mph onshore wind. All poor.

Monday the 13th: 4ft from the NW, 8-second period (short period), with a light 6 mph cross-onshore. Energy is 342 (weak). Marginal.

Tuesday the 14th: a tiny 2ft from the west, 14-second period, but the wind is cross-shore at 6 mph. Energy is 249 (weak). Barely a wave.

Wednesday the 15th: 3ft from the WNW, 9-second period, light cross-onshore. Marginal again.

Now, Thursday the 16th is a tease. The swell is only 2ft from the WNW, but the period is a huge 19 seconds – very long period groundswell. The wave energy is 612 (moderate). But the wind is 12 mph onshore from the NNW. At a reef like Boiler Bay, that long period would normally wrap in clean, but the wind kills it. The afternoon has 18 mph winds. Hard pass.

Friday the 17th: 3ft from the WNW, 17-second period, with a gentle 9 mph cross-onshore breeze. Energy is 726 (moderate). Still not clean.

Saturday the 18th morning: 6ft from the NW, 8-second period, with a 9 mph cross-onshore breeze. Energy is 839 (moderate). That’s a lot of water, but the short period and cross-onshore make it lumpy. For beginners, 6ft is too big. For experts, it’s not great quality.

Sunday the 19th: 6ft to 7ft from the NW, 8-second period, with onshore winds of 12-15 mph. Energy is 730-817 (moderate). This is experts only, and even then, the wind is going to ruin it.

The next week is more of the same. Monday the 20th drops to 2ft, long period (17 seconds), but onshore wind. Tuesday the 21st brings 6ft from the NW, period 8 seconds, with a light 6 mph cross-onshore breeze. Energy is 620 (moderate). That light wind makes it the best of a bad bunch. Wednesday the 22nd has 6ft from the SSW, period 7 seconds (very short), cross-onshore. Thursday the 23rd has 5ft from the NNW, period 5 seconds – that’s windswell.

The pick: Tuesday, July 21st morning. That 6ft from the NW with a light 6 mph cross-onshore breeze is the closest we get to decent. The energy is moderate (620), but the short period (8 seconds) means it might be a bit fat. It’s not great, but it’s the least ugly. For the rest, expect cross-onshore chop, onshore winds, and water cold enough to make you shiver. There’s a gap of several days with nothing recommended from the 9th to the 20th, so don’t bother before that.

If you’ve got a kite, this looks more interesting for kite surfing with that steady onshore wind. For paddle surfing? Keep your expectations real low.

Rusty

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