Boiler Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s look at what we’ve got coming up at Boiler Bay. It’s a classic, exposed reef setup, so when the swell and wind line up, it can be special. But this outlook is a real mixed bag, a story of patience.

Overall, the pattern starts quiet and messy, then we’ve got a promising, cleaner window for a few days mid-period, followed by a return to onshore junk. The real standout for a session is a solid bet nearly two weeks out.

The water is running 52°F which is 8°F colder than average for this time of year. That’s very unusual—a proper cold snap—so a thick steamer is non-negotiable.

Kicking off on Saturday the 22nd in the afternoon, we’ve got small 2ft swell from the WNW with a short 9-second period. The combined energy is weak (180). It’s ridable but ordinary with a moderate SSW breeze.

Sunday the 23rd is where the first real hope shows up. The morning is looking glassy with a clean 4ft groundswell from the WNW (8-second period) and light offshore winds (243 is moderate energy). This is the highlight of the opening stretch; get wet then because the afternoon goes onshore and messy.

Monday the 24th is a write-off with tiny, poor surf under cross-onshore winds.

Then we get a nice clean run from Tuesday the 25th morning through Wednesday the 26th afternoon. We’re looking at small, clean waves—2ft to 2ft—but with long-period groundswell from the SW and WSW (16 seconds). The energy stays moderate (between 240 and 333). The winds are light and cross-offshore, keeping it clean. For a reef, that long period will give it shape but it's small.

Thursday the 27th morning has clean 3ft W swell but the period drops back to 8 seconds, so it loses that punch.

From Friday the 28th through Saturday the 30th, it’s back to mostly poor conditions with onshore winds and tiny, messy swell. The energy climbs a bit but the quality isn’t there.

Sunday the 30th afternoon offers a marginal 2ft SW swell, but cross-onshore wind ruins it.

Monday the 31st morning is another glassy chance: 2ft from the SW with a 15-second period under light wind. Clean lines, small but workable.

After that, we go into a bit of a funk until the real standout appears. On Sunday the 6th of September morning, the forecast is for glassy conditions and a solid 5ft NW groundswell with a 12-second period. The combined energy is strong (762). Winds are light and glassy. This is the session to circle—good size for the reef, clean, with proper energy. The afternoon holds up too at 4ft with cross-offshore winds. That’s the pick of the entire 16-day run. It’s a long way off, so don’t lock it in just yet, but it’s a promising sign.

Right now, ignore the early junk. Focus on Sunday the 23rd morning for the cleanest early call, and keep an eye on September 6th—that one could be a beauty.

- Rusty

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