Boca del Abajo Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cookin’.

Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you – this forecast is a tough one. We’re looking at a solid 16-day window, but for the most part, the surf is blown out. The wind is relentless, hammering the coast from the north-northeast at 19 mph for days on end. That’s onshore, and it’s making a mess of things. The first real surf we see starts on Wednesday, August 12th, but it’s not worth paddling out for. That onshore breeze is just tearing it up, giving us poor surf conditions with a combined swell energy of 217, and it’s weak. That pattern holds through the first week.

The swell is coming from the NNE, with a short period of 6 to 9 seconds, so it’s windswell – bumpy, weak, and unorganized. The wave heights hover between 4 ft and 6 ft, but with that wind, it’s just a washing machine. Even when the swell bumps up to 6 ft on Saturday, August 15th, the wind is still cross-onshore at 19 mph, leaving it lumpy with a combined energy of 434. That’s not good for paddling, but with that much wind and a beach-and-reef setup, this looks more like a kite surfers’ playground than a place for a clean paddle session.

Now, the second week starts to look a little more interesting. The wind does ease up a bit – by Monday, August 17th, we’re seeing a moderate breeze at 16 mph, still onshore, but it’s a step in the right direction. The swell period starts to stretch out to 9 seconds, which is still short, but it’s a sign of a little more energy. The combined energy climbs into the 400s, and by Tuesday, August 18th, with a gentle breeze at 9 mph, the conditions are a little less grim. Still, the surf is rated poor, so it’s not a standout.

The best of the whole run, if you can call it that, rolls in on Friday, August 21st, and into the weekend. The swell holds steady around 6 ft to 6 ft from the north, with a 9-second period, and the combined energy jumps into the 500s and 600s – that’s moderate wave energy, which is the most we’ve seen. But the wind is still onshore at 19 mph. It’s a consistent, powerful mess more than a clean wave. The best chance for a semi-clean wave might be Saturday, August 22nd, when the wind drops to a moderate breeze at 16 mph, and the period hits 10 seconds with a combined energy of 631. That’s the biggest, most energetic swell of the window, but it’s still onshore.

Honestly, there’s no true standout here. The wind just doesn’t let up. For a spot like Boca del Abajo, a reef and point break that needs clean conditions, this is a rough stretch. If you’re desperate, the morning of Saturday, August 22nd, might offer the most power, but expect it to be lumpy. Otherwise, this is a week to wait for a better forecast. It’s a long blank run, and that’s just how it goes sometimes.

Rusty.

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