Boca del Abajo Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, I’m Rusty. Let’s talk about the next 16 days out at Boca del Abajo. Straight up, there’s not a single moment in this window that’s worth paddling out for. The surf is all onshore, chopped up, and messy from start to finish. We’re looking at a solid two-week blank run here—nothing but wind-battered, poor-quality closeouts. It’s one of those stretches where the ocean just won’t cooperate. For an expert reef and point break like this, it’s a real shame, because the potential is there, but the weather gods aren’t playing ball. This is a tough one for a place that’s normally consistent—but when it’s this locked in with northerly winds the whole way, you just gotta wait for the next system.

From Tuesday 18 August, we get small swell coming in at 3.3 ft from the north with a short 8-second period and onshore northerly breeze. The combined energy is weak to moderate (152), but it’s all blown out. That trend continues through Wednesday and Thursday with the wind picking up to 15-18 mph and wave heights staying around 3.3 ft. The water temperature is pretty average for this time of year, nothing unusual.

Into Friday 21 August, swell bumps up to 4.6 ft, but period drops to 7 seconds and onshore winds hit 15-18 mph. The energy climbs a bit (251), but the quality is still poor. Saturday 22 August sees the swell reach 5.6 ft, still short-period, and winds are fresh from the north-northeast at 18 mph. That’s borderline too big for beginners, but with those winds, it’s just a bumpy mess.

Sunday 23 August and Monday 24 August get cross-onshore winds and lumpy conditions. Monday afternoon brings a 6.6 ft swell (457 energy) with an 8-second period, but the wind is 22 mph from the north-northeast, and the wave comment is “fresh cross-onshore and lumpy.” Not a single good wave in sight.

Through the rest of the week, swell hangs around 4.9-6.2 ft with short periods and onshore or cross-onshore wind. By Friday 28 August, our biggest wave of the forecast hits: 7.5 ft from the north-northeast at 8 seconds, with onshore wind at 22-25 mph. The energy is strong (664-690), but this is solidly expert-only territory—way too big for beginners—and with those winds, it’s just a white-water wall. For the point and reef setup, a groundswell with north-northeast direction is off from the optimum NW, so even if the wind did ease, shape would be compromised.

The last few days from 30 August through to 2 September fade to 3.9-4.9 ft with moderate to fresh cross-onshore winds and choppy, lumpy conditions. The combined energy is moderate (236-550), but it’s all noise, no signal.

Honestly, this break is better suited for windsurfing or kiteboarding during this stint—there’s plenty of wind and bumpy swell, but for paddle surfing, it’s a hard pass. Keep an eye on the forecast—these stretches don’t usually last forever around here.

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