Boca del Abajo Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here again, giving you the lowdown in feet and miles per hour.

We’re looking at a 16-day forecast, and it’s a real bummer. The only spot that’s even in the mix is Boca del Abajo, a reef and point for experts only. It’s a consistent wave that’s exposed to the swell, but the wind is going to be the enemy for a long time.

The first chance to surf doesn’t pop up until August 6th, but don’t get excited. From Thursday the 6th through the next week, it’s relentless onshore wind – 25 to 30 mph, out of the NNE and N. The swell is running 6 to 8 ft, but it’s short-period (7 to 8 seconds), and the combined energy is moderate to strong (381 to 740). The wave report is “poor surf conditions” for every single session. The wind is cross-on or onshore, making things lumpy and messy. The water temperature is about what you’d expect for this time of year.

Around the 16th of August, the wind drops to a moderate breeze around 15 mph, but it’s still onshore. The swell stays short-period. It’s a little better, but still not worth the paddle out. By the 19th, the swell drops to under 5 ft, and the period gets even shorter (6 seconds), with weak energy (around 202 to 220). That’s not surfable.

The one possible bright spot is the very end, on the 20th and 21st of August. The swell period stretches out to 9 and 10 seconds – that’s actual groundswell – and the energy picks up a bit (290 to 395). The swell is around 4 to 5 ft from the N, with a moderate breeze from the NNE at 15 mph. It’s still onshore, but it’s lighter. For a reef and point, that longer period could mean some decent lines, but the wind is still not right. It’s a “maybe” at best, and it’s two weeks out, so keep your expectations low.

So, for the expert crew, maybe keep an eye on the 21st. For everyone else, it’s a long spell of onshore junk. This consistent spot just can’t catch a break.

Rusty.

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