Boca del Abajo Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty. I've looked at the charts for Boca del Abajo and the outlook is a tough one to swallow. For a spot that's an expert-level reef and point break, consistently exposed to the NW swell, it’s a real shame that the wind just won't play ball. The water temp is sitting around 72°, which is pretty normal for this time of year, nothing to write home about.

The problem is that from Monday, July 27th, all the way through to the end of the forecast on August 11th, the wind is relentless. It's coming from the north and north-northeast, which is an onshore or cross-onshore direction for this break. We’re looking at moderate to strong breezes, with gusts getting up to 28 mph in the second week. That’s going to chop up any potential waves. Even though there is some swell in the water, it's all wind-affected and messy.

The first few days, Monday the 27th and Tuesday the 28th, have a small 4ft to 5ft swell coming from the NNE with a short period of 7 to 8 seconds, but it's being blown out by 16 mph onshore winds. The combined energy is weak to moderate (316 dropping to 183), but it doesn't matter because of the wind. Wednesday the 29th is a write-off with 19 mph cross-onshore winds making it lumpy.

The weekend of August 1st and 2nd sees a slight drop in wind speed on Saturday morning, only 6 mph from the NE, but it's still cross-onshore and the swell is a weak, short-period 5ft. Sunday the 2nd offers a morning of 9 mph onshore wind from the NNW and a 5ft swell, but it's still not clean.

Moving into the second week, the swell starts to build. By August 4th, we’re looking at 7ft waves from the NNE, but the wind is up to 25 mph, creating strong cross-onshore and messy conditions. The combined energy jumps to 651, but it's unsurfable. It gets worse. On August 6th, the swell hits 10ft (1260 combined energy), but it's with 22 mph cross-onshore winds. That’s a big, unruly, dangerous sea. At that size, it's expert-only territory anyway, but with the wind, it's a complete no-go for paddle surfing. This setup looks far more interesting for kite surfing.

The rest of the window up to August 11th is more of the same. The swell stays between 7ft and 8ft, with periods of 8 seconds, but the wind stays strong, mostly onshore or cross-onshore at 19 to 28 mph. There's no stand-out day. The forecast shows "poor surf conditions" for every single session. There are no good options in this 16-day window. For a spot that is usually consistent, this is a real bummer, but sometimes you get a run like this. Forecasts can change, but for now, I'd keep the board in the van.

Rusty.

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