Boca del Abajo Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s talk about this stretch.

Honestly, it’s a pretty grim run for the next couple of weeks. I’m looking at a solid 16-day window, but there’s nothing really worth paddling out for until the very end. The first week and a half is a write-off – the wind is a total mess. We’ve got a relentless NNE breeze, mostly onshore or cross-onshore, and it’s not letting up. The water temp is about average for the time of year, nothing wild there.

The standout spot around here is Boca del Abajo, a reef and point setup. It’s exposed to the NW and the direction that works best is from the NW, so that’s a good match. But the problem is the wind. From Thursday 27 August morning through to the end of August, the wind is either straight onshore or cross-onshore, often a fresh breeze of 18 to 25 mph. The swell is small and weak too – combined energy is mostly in the low hundreds (91 to 563), so it’s light to moderate at best. Periods are short, around 5–7 seconds, so it’s all wind swell, no push. All of that adds up to poor surf conditions. Not a single day worth paddling out.

Into the first week of September, it’s more of the same. The wind stays onshore through the 1st, 2nd, 3rd, and 4th, with moderate to fresh breezes. Swell height hangs around 5 ft to 7 ft, but the period is still short (7–8 seconds), and the energy is moderate at best (279 to 539). The water is still about average temp. Still no good options.

The first real hint of something better comes around Wednesday 9 September. The morning looks interesting – a 7 ft swell from the NNE, period still short at 7 seconds, but the wind finally turns light offshore from the NNW, just 6 mph. That’s glassy offshore wind, which is rare around here. The combined energy jumps to 747 (moderate), but the wave comment says “marginal surf forecast or questionable tide conditions.” It’s a 1 out of 10, so it’s barely a blip. Still, that’s the best we get.

Thursday 10 September morning has a similar setup – 7 ft from the NNE, 7 seconds, light offshore wind from the N at 9 mph, combined energy at 700. Again, marginal. The afternoon picks up a bit more energy (801) but the wind shifts to onshore, ruining it.

Friday 11 September morning is the last chance in the window. A 7 ft swell from the NNE, 8 seconds, light offshore wind from the N at 9 mph, combined energy at 668. Still marginal, but it’s the biggest swell of the whole run and the wind is light. For expert surfers only, because 7 ft is getting up there, and Boca del Abajo is a reef and point, so it’ll handle that size. The period is still short, so it won’t have much punch, but it’s the closest thing to a wave in the whole forecast.

If you’re a kiter, the whole first week with strong onshore winds and messy 5 ft to 8 ft wind swell might be more interesting than paddle surfing. But for a surfboard, it’s a long wait for a very marginal window.

Rusty.

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