Ammonias Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s take a good, hard look at what we’ve got coming down the line for Ammonias over the next couple of weeks. Gotta be straight with you – it’s a bit of a rough stretch.

For the entire 16-day window, the surf at Ammonias is pretty grim. The wind is almost always coming out of the east or east-northeast, and that puts it straight into "cross" or "cross-on" territory for this exposed reef break. That means bumpy, choppy, and messy conditions pretty much the whole time. We’ve got a lot of wave energy kicking around – the combined energy score hits a hefty 1257 on Saturday the 1st of August – but all that power is wasted on these cross-shore winds. There’s no period with clean, offshore conditions lined up, so it’s going to be a battle.

Thursday 30th July kicks things off with a 3 ft S swell, a period of 13 seconds, but light east winds are blowing cross-on, giving us small wind ripples and poor surf. The wave energy is moderate (438). Not a winner.

Friday 31st July sees the size jump to 5-6 ft, but the period drops right off to a short, weak 7 seconds. That E and ENE wind is still cross-on and cross, making it choppy. The energy climbs (774-905), but the quality isn't there.

Saturday 1st August and Sunday 2nd August are the biggest days of the window, with swell hitting 8 ft. That’s expert territory for size alone. But with fresh breezes at 18 mph coming from the ENE, it’s a lumpy, cross-chop nightmare. The energy is very strong (1257 and 1130), but this is a setup that would be far more interesting for a kite surfer than a paddle surfer. Marginal at best.

Monday 3rd August down to Thursday 7th August is a long stretch of similar misery: 4-6 ft swell, mostly short period (6-8 seconds), and persistent moderate to fresh cross or cross-on winds. The energy fluctuates between moderate and strong (292 to 871), but the quality is a solid zero. You’d be battling chop and bump the whole time.

Friday 8th August brings a tiny 2-3 ft S swell with a very long 18-second period. The combined energy is still moderate (676-663). This long-period groundswell would normally be a dream for a reef like Ammonias, but the wind is still a moderate cross-shore. It’s a tease.

Monday 10th August has a similar story: 3-4 ft SSW swell with a long 15-16 second period (energy 875-826). Still, the wind is from the ENE and NE, keeping things cross and messy.

The final few days, Tuesday 11th August to Friday 14th August, offer a glimmer. The 11th has a light cross-on breeze, and by the afternoon we actually get a light offshore wind from the SE for a moment (3 ft S swell, 14 seconds). That glassy window is the only time the wind is truly in our favour in the entire 16-day run. The energy is moderate (547). It’s a tiny window of hope, but the surf itself is still marginal.

After that, it’s back to east winds and poor surf. Honestly, it’s a tough outlook. There is no true standout here. The best you could hope for is that tiny offshore window on the afternoon of Tuesday 11th August lines up for you, but even then, the swell’s only 3 ft. For the rest, if you’re desperate, maybe look for a break that handles the east wind better, because Ammonias is not it.

Keep an eye on it, though. Forecasts change.

Rusty.

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