Ammonias Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right, let’s have a look at what’s heading our way for the next couple of weeks at Ammonias.

The first few days are a bit of a write-off, to be honest. We’re looking at a stretch from Wednesday the 2nd all the way through to Monday the 7th where the conditions are just messy. The wind is a persistent cross-shore, mostly around 15 to 18 mph, and the sea state is all lumpy and chopped up. The swell is there, but it’s not clean, and the scores are low. It’s not the time to get excited.

The real standout, and the one I’d circle on the calendar, is Tuesday the 8th. We’ve got a massive pulse of S swell pushing in – 21ft in the morning, jumping to 25ft in the afternoon. That’s a lot of water, with a 16-second period on the first part of the day, so it’s a proper groundswell. The combined energy is through the roof (22,354 in the morning, 20,329 in the afternoon). But here’s the thing – with that size, this is strictly for experts only. Anyone else needs to stay well clear. The wind on the morning of the 8th is a screaming onshore from the SSE at 43 mph, gusting to gale force, so that’s going to blow the surface out. The afternoon sees it drop to 22 mph, still cross-onshore, but the swell is even bigger. It’s a powerful, dangerous day. For most, this setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

After that, the swell drops away quickly. Wednesday the 9th has a small 6ft S swell, but the wind is still onshore and the conditions are choppy. The rest of that week and into the next is a lot of small, messy cross-shore windswell, with the odd pocket of cleaner conditions.

The best window for a decent, clean paddle comes on Sunday the 13th and Monday the 14th. On Sunday morning, we’ve got 5ft of ENE swell with a 10-second period, and the wind is glassy from the ESE. That’s a rare treat. The combined energy is moderate (599). It’s clean, small, and perfect for a longboard or a funboard. Monday the 14th morning is similar, with 4ft ENE swell, glassy wind, and calm conditions. The water temperature is about 81°F, which is just normal for the time of year – no surprises there.

That Sunday and Monday window is your best bet. After that, we’re back into a long stretch of small, fading SSW swells under 3ft, with light to moderate cross-shore winds. Nothing to write home about.

So, the pick of the bunch is Sunday the 13th morning. It’s clean, small, and glassy. The big swell on the 8th is a spectacle, but only for the experienced.

Rusty

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