Ammonias Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s on offer for Ammonias.

Honestly, the next few days at Ammonias are going to be a test of patience. For Thursday and Friday of this week, we've got knee-to-waist high swell, around 4ft to 5ft from the SE, but the wind is a cross-shore mess at 15 to 19 mph, making everything lumpy and choppy. The water's sitting at a warm 81°, but the wave energy is actually quite strong (1310 to 1272) despite the poor conditions. It’s not what you’d call surfable right now, so save your energy.

Saturday isn't much different, still that 5ft range with cross-shore wind. The energy picks up to 1596 to 1663, but it's still that same rough, lumpy ocean.

Then on Sunday, things get real heavy. The swell jumps to 8ft from the ENE, but the wind swings cross-onshore, and the energy rockets up to 3453. This is not your day. Monday gets even more intense, with a 34ft monster from the SSE, period of 15 seconds, and near gale-force winds at 37 mph. That's a terrifying 50324 wave energy value. Unless you're a world-class big wave charger with a jet ski, stay well away. That setup is way too big for any normal paddle session here.

By Tuesday the 8th, it drops back down to a more manageable 6ft from the ENE, but the wind is still cross-shore, and the surf looks marginal. The afternoon does improve slightly with a 3ft SSW groundswell (14-second period) and lighter wind, but it's still just okay, not great.

Wednesday the 9th sees the swell bottom out at 3ft, so the only thing worth getting in the water for is maybe a longboard if you have nothing else to do.

Looking further out, from the 10th to the 14th, we get a mixed bag. You'll see some waist to chest-high sets (5ft to 7ft), but the period drops to a short, weak 7-8 seconds, meaning the waves will be fat and lack punch. The wind remains a persistent cross or cross-onshore breeze. There’s one window on the afternoon of Sunday the 13th where we get a clean, cross-off wind, which is promising for a small, lined-up wave, but the energy is low (631).

The absolute best bet in this entire 16-day window is a toss-up, but if I had to pick one, it’s the Tuesday afternoon of the 8th. The swell is small (3ft) but it has a long 14-second SSW groundswell that will wrap in nicely. The wind is a gentle cross-shore, and while the wave energy is still strong (1251), it’s the most manageable and cleanest of the early days. Still, it’s a "diamond in the rough" kind of session, not a standout. For a real standout, look to the end of the second week. On Tuesday the 15th, we get a very long 21-second SSW groundswell, but it’s only 3ft. That long period means it’ll be super clean and have more push than the size suggests, but the on-shore wind from the ESE will mess up the surface. A real tease.

All in all, Ammonias is going through a rough patch. If you're desperate, the afternoon of the 8th is your only real shot before the big, blown-out swell hits, and then it's a long, marginal grind until the end of the window.

Rusty.

Read more