Ammonias Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here, and I've got a long look ahead for us at Ammonias. Let's be honest, it's a bit of a mixed bag over the next couple of weeks, so let's get straight into it.

The water is sitting at 80°, which is about 0.5° warmer than usual for this time of year. Nothing wild, just a touch of warmth.

We're starting off slow. The first few days, from Monday the 20th through to the end of the week, are a real struggle. The swell is weak and the wind is a messy cross-shore, keeping things chopped up. The wave energy is moderate at best, going from 543 up to 1182, but the quality just isn't there. The forecast calls it marginal or poor, and I trust that. It's a lot of movement in the water, but not the kind that makes for a good ride. You'll be battling a cross-chop.

Now, we hit a bit of a dry spell. Friday the 24th afternoon through to the 27th, we see some size and a bump in energy, with the swell climbing to 5 ft from the ENE and E, but it's still that cross-shore wind. The period is short, around 7 to 8 seconds, so the waves will be a bit weak and crumbly. The energy levels are moderate to strong (1242 to 1812), but the conditions are described as marginal. It's surfable, but not a standout.

The real standout window, the one that has me packing my bags, starts on the 29th of July. The Wednesday morning and afternoon are looking like the best on offer. We’ve got a 7 ft to 8 ft swell from the ENE, with a 13-second period. That's a nice, long groundswell that will wrap in with some proper punch. The combined energy is a solid 1933 to 1949, which is strong wave energy. The wind is a gentle breeze from the ENE and NE, which is a clean cross-shore. This is the one to target. The crowd situation at Ammonias is often busy, so you'll want to be up early for a piece of it. The size is hefty, over 7 ft, so this is strictly for the experienced crew.

After that little burst, things drop off again. The 30th of July sees a fade to smaller, weaker S swell, and the wind swings cross-onshore, making a mess of things. The energy drops to 327, which is weak. It's a dead zone again.

The second week of the forecast, from the 31st of July, is pretty lackluster. The swell stays small, mostly from the ENE with a short 8-second period, and the wind is either cross or cross-onshore. The energy is low, between 321 and 607. The 31st of July afternoon has a little bump to 5 ft, but it's still a short-period, weak swell, and the conditions are described as poor. It's not looking worth the paddle.

So, to sum it up: the best bet is the Wednesday the 29th of July. That's your window for a proper, powerful groundswell. Everything else is a bit of a grind or a flat spell. Keep an eye on that date.

Rusty, signing off.

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