Ammonias Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cooking for Ammonias over the next couple of weeks.

To be straight with you, the next week and a half is a bit of a grind. The surf quality is just not there for a proper paddle session. The wave energy is moderate at best, with the combined energy reading around 229 (moderate) on the 14th, but it’s a messy cross-shore wind with a cross-chop, and the swell is only 2ft from the SW. Water temp is bang on average for this time of year at 79°, so you won’t need a thick suit, but you will need patience.

Tuesday the 14th through to the morning of Sunday the 19th is a stretch of poor surf conditions. The wind stays cross-on or cross-shore, and the swell is small and weak. The best of that rough patch is maybe Sunday afternoon the 19th, where the swell bumps up to 5ft from the ENE, but the period is a short 8 seconds, and the combined energy hits 555 (moderate). The wind is cross-shore, so it’s still a bit of a mess. It’s only a marginal call, and honestly, it’s not worth getting excited about.

Then we hit a pretty big gap. From Monday the 20th right through to Saturday the 26th, the conditions are consistently poor to marginal. The swell is mostly small, under 3ft, and the wind is almost always onshore or cross-shore. The only faint glimmer is on the 22nd, where the swell period jumps to 24 seconds from the SSW, but it’s only 2ft. That’s a very long period groundswell, which would normally be beautiful, but with such a tiny wave and cross-shore winds, it’s just a tease. The combined energy does climb to 1015 (strong) on the 22nd afternoon, but the wave quality is still poor.

The standout for the whole outlook is Sunday the 26th. On the morning of the 26th, the swell picks up to 6ft from the ENE with a short period of 8 seconds, and the combined energy is 1151 (strong). The wind is cross-shore, so it’s a bit rough, but it’s the biggest surf of the entire 16 days. The afternoon of the 26th sees a 3ft S swell with a 17-second period and combined energy of 1162 (strong), but again, the wind is cross-shore. This is the most energy we see, but it’s not clean. If you’re an expert who can handle a bit of chop, that morning might be your best bet, but it’s not a classic day.

After that, Monday the 27th and Tuesday the 28th are still marginal, with the swell sticking around 6ft on the 28th afternoon, but the wind is cross-shore or cross-on. The window closes pretty quickly after that, with the surf dropping back to small and weak by the 29th.

So, the honest truth is, there’s no real standout clean session here. The best on offer is the 26th, but it’s a messy, powerful day for experts only. For everyone else, it’s a waiting game. Forecasts can change, so keep an eye on it, but right now, I’d be checking the kite gear if you’re into that, because the beach breaks are going to be blown out.

Rusty.

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