Ammonias Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s break it down.

The outlook for Ammonias is a bit of a slog for the first week. The swell is small and the wind is mostly cross or cross-on, keeping things messy. The water temp is 80°, which is right around normal for this time of year, nothing unusual.

We start off with a few days of tiny surf. Tuesday the 18th and Wednesday the 19th have waves around 1ft to 2ft, but the wind is cross and the conditions are poor. Not worth paddling out. Thursday the 20th and Friday the 21st stay small, with a slight improvement on Friday morning when the wind goes offshore from the SE, light breeze at 6 mph. The swell is still only 2ft from the SSW with a long 17-second period, but that offshore wind makes it look clean. It’s marginal, but if you’re keen, Friday morning is the only real window in the first week. The combined energy is moderate (343).

Saturday the 22nd and Sunday the 23rd see a jump in size, but the quality is gone. On Sunday morning, swell hits 7ft from the ENE, but it’s short period at 7 seconds and cross-shore wind at 16 mph. It’s messy. The energy is moderate (761), but the setup is more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

From Monday the 24th through to Wednesday the 27th, we see a run of bigger swell, 8ft to 8ft, but the wind is cross or cross-on, and the period is short (7-8 seconds). This is lumpy and bumpy, not fun. The energy gets strong, hitting 1053 on Monday afternoon, but the conditions don’t match. For experts only, and even then, it’s a tough paddle.

There’s a bit of a gap with no real recommendations until the very end of the period. The standout in the whole 16-day window looks like the morning of Tuesday the 2nd of September. We’ve got a solid 7ft swell from the south, period at 11 seconds, and light offshore wind from the SSE at 6 mph. The combined energy is very strong at 2014. This is the one to mark on the calendar. It’s a long way out, so treat it as promising but not guaranteed. For a reef break like Ammonias, that longer period groundswell should set up nicely. Expect some good, clean waves, but with crowds likely at this spot, get there early.

Overall, don’t get your hopes up for the first week. The second week shows more life, especially that Tuesday the 2nd. Keep an eye on it.

Rusty.

Read more