Ammonias Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s break down what’s coming at Ammonias for the next couple of weeks. I’ll keep it real – it’s a rough patch. The entire 16-day window is filled with cross-chop, lumpy conditions, and onshore slop. There isn’t a single session I’d call good. This reef needs a clean SSE swell to really shine, but instead we’re stuck with constant ENE windswell. That’s a direction mismatch, and the wind is nearly always cross or cross-onshore, so the wave face is gonna be all chopped up.

The first week, from July 10 right through July 17, is pretty much a washout. Every morning and afternoon gets a score of zero or one at best. Swell heights sit between 5 ft and 7 ft, but with short period of 7–8 seconds and fresh cross-winds, it’s just messy, bumpy stuff. Combined wave energy is moderate (400–888), but that energy is all wind-chop. Even the mornings with a score of one – like July 10 morning (7 ft, ENE, cross wind, energy 524) or July 13 morning (6 ft, ENE, cross, energy 726) – are still marginal because of tide and wind. No glassy windows. The afternoon of July 15 sees a weird shift: a 2 ft swell from the SSW with a long 18-second period, but it’s still cross-shore and energy moderate (529). That tiny groundswell would be too weak to break well on a reef, especially with that wind.

The second week, from July 18 onward, the swell drops further. Heights range from 2 ft to 3 ft, and periods go longer (13–21 seconds) but those SSW and S swells aren’t aligned with the optimum SSE direction. Combined energy stays moderate – in the 200–500 range for most days. July 24 morning shows a 3 ft SSW swell with 18-second period and energy 720 – that’s the best of the window, but still marginal (score 1). Cross-wind at 12 mph won’t kill it completely, but the reef will be small and inconsistent. Don’t expect clean walls.

Honestly, no standout session here. If you had to pick the least ugly slot, I’d scratch out the morning of July 24 – that longer-period SSW groundswell might offer a few clean but tiny waves before the wind picks up. But it’s a long shot. The lack of any decent wind and the wrong swell direction mean this is a 16-day dry spell. Ammonias is usually fairly consistent, so this is a tough run – but forecasts can change, so keep an eye out.

Stay patient, Rusty.

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