Ammonias Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the table for Ammonias over the next couple of weeks.

Straight up, this is a tough outlook. For the first ten days, the wind is locked in from the ENE, blowing cross or cross-on, and that’s keeping things messy. We’ve got moderate to fresh breezes kicking up lumpy, choppy conditions, and the swell is mostly short-period windswell. You’re looking at a combined swell energy in the moderate range, values between 440 and 830 through that stretch, but with the poor quality, it’s not bringing any smiles. There’s a brief window on Sunday the 12th afternoon where a long-period 16-second S swell shows up at 3 ft, but it’s crossed up with a fresh ENE breeze, so it’s not clean.

The first real highlight comes a bit later. From the 19th of July, things start to shift. The wind is still cross from the ENE, but the swell turns more southerly with longer periods. On Sunday the 19th, both morning and afternoon, we see a clean 3 ft, 15 to 16-second groundswell out of the south. The combined energy is solid moderate, around 750 to 785. That’s the best wave shape you’ll see in the whole run – proper lines, decent push, and manageable size. For an intermediate, this is the standout of the fortnight.

There’s another day worth a look on Monday the 20th: same south groundswell, 3 ft with 14 seconds, energy around 604 to 638. The wind is still cross from the ENE, but it’s not as strong, so the chop might be a little less offensive. Tuesday the 21st morning also offers a 3 ft south swell at 13 seconds, energy 628, but again, cross-shore wind.

After that, the swell drops off again and the wind stays onshore, so don’t hold your breath for the last few days. The water temperature anomaly isn’t mentioned, so let’s just say it’s around the seasonal normal.

Overall, this is not a banner period. The first week and a half is mostly a write-off for paddle surfing. The one true standout is the 19th and 20th of July, with that long-period south groundswell offering the cleanest, most surfable waves. It’s not huge, but it’s the best you’ll get. For the rest, you’d be better off with a kite if you’ve got one, because the wind and swell combo at Ammonias is more suited to that than a surfboard.

Rusty.

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