Ammonias Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s chew the fat on Ammonias. Rusty here.

To be straight with you, the next 16 days are looking like a bit of a bust. There’s a long, dry stretch of mediocre to poor conditions, and you’re gonna be twiddling your thumbs for most of it. It’s one of those blank runs that happens around here.

Kicking off on Sunday, the 9th of August, we’ve got a messy 5ft swell from the ENE with a weak, short 7-second period. Wind is a moderate cross-shore, and the water temp is about normal for the time of year. The combined energy is middling at 537, but with that wind and period, it’s not gonna be any fun. This same story drags through Monday and Tuesday, with a tiny, long-period SSW groundswell around 2ft that just doesn’t have the juice.

Wednesday the 12th shows a little pulse. By the afternoon, we’ve got 4ft from the S at a very long 18 seconds, and the energy jumps to 1188 – that’s solid. But the wind is still a moderate cross-shore, keeping a chop on the face. Thursday the 13th holds 5ft of S swell, but the wind picks up to 25 km/h from the NE, making it lumpy again.

Now, for the one brief bright spot. On Sunday the 16th of August, the swell comes up to 7ft to 8ft from the ENE, with period stretching to 11 and 13 seconds. The wind turns to a cross-offshore from the N, and the wave state cleans right up. The combined energy hits 2166 – that’s strong. This is your best bet, hands down. But that size is expert territory only; it’s too much for a beginner. The swell direction isn’t a perfect match for the break’s optimum, but with clean wind, it’s the standout for the whole outlook. It’s promising, but don’t book the week off.

Monday the 17th still has some size at 8ft, but the wind goes back to a gentle cross-shore, and it’s not as good.

After that, it’s all downhill. From Tuesday the 18th through the end of the run on Monday the 24th of August, it’s a mess of onshore and cross-on winds, tiny 2ft to 4ft waves, and weak, short periods. The energy is low, and conditions are consistently poor to marginal. It’s a long, flat patch.

So, for the experienced crew, Sunday the 16th is your window for the biggest, cleanest waves. For everyone else, this is a normal dry spell. Forecasts can always flip, but as it stands, it’s a sit-and-wait situation.

- Rusty

Read more