Ammonias Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right, let’s have a look at what’s cookin’ at Ammonias over the next couple weeks. It’s a reef setup that likes a bit of SSE direction for optimum, but honestly, the window's lookin’ pretty grim for most of it. The water temp is sittin’ at 80°, which is about normal for this time of year, nothing to write home about.

The first pulse we see is Thursday the 10th, but I wouldn’t paddle out. That’s a 5ft swell from the ENE with a short 7-second period, and a cross-onshore wind at 16 mph. It’s gonna be choppy junk, no two ways about it. The combined energy is moderate (710), but the conditions are just poor. That carries right through the 11th, 12th, and 13th – really weak, messy lumps of cross-onshore chop. On the 13th we get a 2ft groundswell from the SW with a 15-second period, but that energy is weak (191) and the wind keeps it bumpy.

We’ve got a real gap here. From Thursday the 10th all the way through to the 15th, it’s pretty much a write-off. Not worth the wax. The 16th and 17th show a bit more size – up to 7ft from the ENE (8-second period) – but that’s stormy with risk of thunderstorms and 16 mph cross-shore winds. The energy jumps to strong (1086), but it’s a messy, wind-blown affair. Good luck gettin’ a clean face.

Things start to look a little more promising toward the end. Wednesday the 23rd of September, late in the arvo, we’ve got a 5ft swell from the east at 12-seconds, with light cross-onshore breeze. That’s the first proper standout in the whole run – combined energy is very strong (1176) and the wind is light enough to keep it clean-ish. Still not glassy, but it’s the best on offer.

Then Thursday the 24th and Friday the 25th have a 3ft to 4ft groundswell from the SSW with a very long 18-second period, and light onshore wind. That kind of long period will wrap nicely into a reef like Ammonias, and the energy is still strong (1067 on Thursday). The wind is light and variable, so it could get clean. These are the two real highlights – the 23rd arvo and the 24th morning. They’re marginal, but compared to the rest of this forecast, they’re the ones to cherry pick.

Given the mostly poor conditions and the cross-onshore wind pattern, and the fact that Ammonias is an exposed reef, a lot of these days look more interesting for a kite surfer than a paddle surfer. The whole area feels a bit frustrating, but that little window around the 23rd to the 25th is worth a look.

Rusty.

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