Ammonias Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here again, this time in feet and miles. Let’s talk Ammonias. It’s a reef setup, so you know it needs the right direction to fire. Right now, the stars just aren’t aligned. The wind is all wrong, and the swell is mostly small and messy. Water temp’s about 80°, which is pretty average for this time of year, nothing wild.

We’re staring down a long dry spell. From Wednesday the 22nd of July all the way through the end of the month, you can leave your board at home. Swell is mostly under 3 feet, wind is cross or cross-on from the east-northeast at 12 to 18 mph. The energy numbers are decent—like 1058 to 1274—but that’s background rumble, not rideable quality. The period is super long, over 20 seconds, which is classic groundswell, but on a reef with that wind, it’s just a crumbly, choppy mess. Conditions are called poor or marginal every time, with cross-chop and lumpy surfaces. Nothing to get excited about.

Thursday the 24th of July, we get a spike to around 6 to 7 feet, but it’s from the east-northeast with a period of just 7 seconds. That’s short-period junk. The energy is high, 1064 and 1173, but it’s sloppy. The wind is still cross. Marginal at best.

Things pick up from Monday the 27th of July into early August. Swell climbs from 4 feet to just over 8 feet by Wednesday the 5th of August. The period improves to 12-13 seconds, and the energy gets huge, like 2258 on the morning of the 5th. That’s serious power. But the wind stays cross or cross-on from the east-northeast, and even when it’s light, it’s onshore or side-shore, keeping the surface choppy. The direction is east or east-northeast, not the south-southeast the reef really wants. So it never properly cleans up.

Thursday the 6th of August sees the wind finally go light and onshore from the southeast, with the swell at a solid 8 feet from the east-northeast at 12 seconds. Energy is 1747 and then 2139. That’s a lot of water moving. But on a reef, with onshore wind, even light, it’s going to be bumpy and tricky. It’s the best of a bad bunch, but it’s a long way off—less certain, but promising in size. Only experts need apply, because 8 feet on a reef is serious.

So the standout, if there is one, is the morning of Wednesday the 5th of August. 8 feet of swell, 13-second period, energy 2258. The wind is light cross-on, so you might get some workable waves if you don’t mind a bit of texture. That afternoon and Thursday the 6th are also in the mix, but it’s still not clean.

First week is a total bust. From the 22nd to the end of July, don’t bother. Early August has the size and power, but the wind just won’t get out of the way. If you’re a local expert who can handle some chop, the 5th and 6th of August are your only real options. For everyone else, wait for the next system.

Rusty.

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