Ammonias Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here, let’s chew the fat on what’s coming up for Ammonias over the next couple of weeks.

Honestly, it’s a pretty tough outlook for this reef setup. There’s a long, frustrating gap at the start. We’re talking about a stretch of six days, from Friday the 11th right through to Wednesday the 16th, where conditions are just not good – mostly poor surf and choppy, cross-onshore winds. There’s a bit of energy from a long-period groundswell on the 15th, around 2ft from the SW, but the wind messes it up. You’d be wasting your time.

Things start to look a little more interesting around Wednesday afternoon the 16th, with a bit more energy in the water (combined energy of 810), but it’s still a marginal call with a moderate cross-shore chop. The best bet in this whole window looks to be Thursday the 17th. You’ve got a bump in swell from the ENE, pushing 7ft in the morning and holding at 6ft in the afternoon. The period is short though, only 8 seconds, so it’ll be a bit soft and lumpy. The wind is cross-shore from the NE at 12 mph, so it’s not ideal, but it’s the most size you’ll see. The combined energy is strong at 933 in the morning and 1011 in the afternoon, but this is really only for experienced surfers; 7ft with that short period can be a handful and is too big for beginners.

After that, Friday the 18th has an interesting spike in energy (1210) from a SSW groundswell, but the swell drops to 3ft, so it’s all just power with less height. The wind is still cross-shore, keeping things average. Crowds at Ammonias are often an issue, so with the lack of quality, it might be a quiet one.

Looking further out, into the last week of September, the pattern doesn’t improve much. There’s a flash on Wednesday the 24th with 5ft from the E and a moderate cross-shore wind, but the energy is a bit messy. Friday the 25th afternoon shows an offshore wind from the SSE at just 3 mph, which is a big positive, and the swell is 5ft from the E. That could clean up nicely if it connects, but the period is short at 8 seconds and the overall energy is moderate (531). It’s a potential standout for the second week, but it’s a long ways out and less certain.

Water temperature is 80°F, pretty much average for this time of year, so no wetsuit needed.

So, to sum it up for you: Thursday the 17th is your best shot for size, and keep an eye on Friday the 25th afternoon for a possible clean but small window. Otherwise, it’s a long wait.

Rusty.

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