Ammonias Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty. Let's talk about what's on the menu at Ammonias for the next couple of weeks.

Honestly, I’m looking at this forecast and it’s a bit of a slow burn. Right now, there’s nothing really happening. The start of the period is a real disappointment. We’re looking at a solid week of pretty ordinary conditions. The wind is mostly coming out of the ENE, which is a cross or cross-onshore, and that’s just messing things up. The water’s sitting at 80°, which is pretty much normal for this time of year, so no surprises there.

The first real sign of life doesn’t show up until the morning of the 27th of July. The swell is coming from the east at 4ft, but it’s got a long period of 16 seconds, which is a proper groundswell. The energy is moderate for this spot (1188), and the wind is a cross-shore. It’s still rated as marginal, but it’s a step up from the junk we’ve been dealing with. The wind is still not ideal, but it’s manageable.

Then, the best window of the whole forecast is Tuesday the 28th of July. This is the stand-out. The swell is solid out of the east, 6ft in the morning and 6ft in the afternoon. The period is a long 15 seconds, so it’s got real power and shape. The combined energy (1783) is strong, and the wind is a much lighter cross-shore, which means the surface will be a lot cleaner. This is the day to circle on your calendar. It’s the biggest, cleanest swell we’re going to see. The swell direction from the east is a good match for the optimum from the SSE, meaning it’ll wrap in nicely. The only downside is that at 6ft, it’s pushing into the size that will be a bit much for beginners, but for an intermediate surfer, it’s a treat.

After that, the surf drops off again. The last week of the forecast is a mix of smaller, short-period swells and more cross-onshore winds. There’s a bit of energy left on the 29th and 30th of July, but the quality drops right off. It’s a lot of close-out potential and chop. By the 1st of August, we’re back to tiny, weak 2ft waves with poor conditions.

So, to sum it up: the first week is a write-off. The 27th of July offers a little bit of hope, but the 28th of July is the clear winner. After that, it fades away. The breaks are fairly consistent in that they can work, but the conditions are the deciding factor here, and they’re mostly against us.

Rusty.

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