Ammonias Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, grab a coffee and settle in. You know me, Rusty. Let's talk about what's on the table for the next couple of weeks. First off, I gotta be straight with you: it’s a rough stretch. We’re looking at a long, long gap right off the bat. The first real sniff of something surfable doesn’t show until the afternoon of Thursday, the 3rd of July, and even that's a floppy, cross-shore mess. After that, it’s day after day of poor conditions and marginal surf. The week leading up to the 10th is a tough watch, with moderate to fresh cross-shore winds and messy, weak, short-period chop. The combined energy is bouncing around, but mostly it’s in the low to moderate range – plenty of power, but all wrong for a clean wave.

There's a glimmer on the morning of Saturday, the 5th of July, with a 3 ft swell from the SSW. But don’t get your hopes up. That cross-shore breeze is kicking up an ugly cross-chop, and the ratings are all zeroes or ones. Honestly, the whole first week is a write-off for a proper paddle session.

Then things get really weird. Starting around the 11th of July, the swell direction swings to the SSW and SW, with periods stretching out to 18 seconds – proper groundswell. But look, at only 2 ft to 3 ft, it’s just not enough to get excited about for a spot like Ammonias. The combined energy drops into the low 200s and 300s, which is weak. The wind is still cross-shore or cross-onshore, so it’s not clean. The whole second week, from the 11th through the 18th of July, is a painful run of poor or marginal conditions.

The only time worth mentioning at all is the morning of Wednesday, the 16th of July. The swell jumps to 6 ft from the ENE, with the combined energy climbing to a moderate 611. But the period is just 7 seconds – a messy windswell – and the wind is a gentle cross-onshore. It’s still only a “marginal” call. Not a standout, not by a long shot. It’s just the least-bad slot in a very bleak window. For a beginner, that 6 ft is too much, and for an expert, it’s just a gutless, choppy wall.

The tough truth is this: for Ammonias, it’s a blank run. The setup looks way more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing for most of this period. We’ve got a persistent side wind and very poor surf quality. If I were you, I’d wait for the next forecast update before waxing up. Conditions this rough don’t tend to hold forever, but right now, it’s a hard pass.

Rusty.

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