Ammonias Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s talk in feet and miles per hour. It’s Rusty, and honestly, this forecast is a slow burn. The first week is pretty much a bust for anything worthwhile, but if you’ve got the patience, the second half starts to show some promise.

The first surf worth mentioning isn’t until Thursday morning, 25 July. That’s a 9-day gap from the start with nothing recommended. The energy is there, but the wind and conditions just aren’t cooperating.

Let’s look at *Ammonias* (reef break). The water temp is about average for the time of year, nothing special.

For the first recommendation, on Thursday morning, 25 July, we’ve got a mixed bag. The swell is small at 3ft from the SSW, but the period is a very long 19 seconds—that’s proper groundswell. Combine that with moderate cross-shore winds from the ENE at 15 mph, and it’s not clean, but the energy is building. The combined swell energy is strong (1396). Because that period is so long, this reef break will handle it better than a beach, so it’s worth a look. The crowds are likely here, so don’t expect to have it to yourself.

The real standout, the best on offer, is the morning of Monday, 27 July. We’ve got 4ft of swell from the east, with a long 16-second period, and the wind is cross-shore from the NE at 15 mph. The combined energy is very strong (1529). This is the most promising window. The swell size is solid for intermediates, and the direction is a decent match for the break. It’s not perfect glass, but it’s the cleanest we’ll see in this forecast.

Wednesday morning, 29 July, brings a bigger push—6ft from the ENE, period 12 seconds—but the wind is a gentle cross-onshore at 9 mph, and it’s fairly choppy. The energy is strong (1110). That’s a bit too big for beginners, and the chop will make it a challenge. The afternoon is similar at 7ft.

After that, from Thursday, 30 July, it drops right off. Small swell of 2ft, with a short period, and the wind is back onshore. The energy is weak (110). Forget it.

So, to sum it up: the first week is a dud. The second week has a couple of windows, but the standout is the morning of Monday, 27 July. Keep an eye on it, but remember, long-range forecasts are less certain. If you can, plan for that day.

Rusty.

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