Ammonias Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what we’ve got on the table.

Honestly, mate, it’s a pretty grim run for Ammonias over the next week and a half. The surf is on offer, sure, but the conditions are just not playing ball. The whole outlook is plagued by messy cross-shore and cross-onshore winds, and the wave comment keeps coming back as “poor surf conditions” or “marginal.” You’ll be battling a lumpy, choppy ocean for days on end.

The early part of the window, starting Tuesday the 7th of July, is a write-off. You’ve got a 8ft ENE swell, but it’s short period at 8 seconds, and a fresh 19 mph cross-wind is just ruining it. The combined wave energy is strong at 1032, but it’s all chop and no shape. That theme holds right through the first week. The water’s sitting at 79°, which is bang on average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

There is a big gap of nothing but poor conditions until we finally get a glimmer of hope. The standout window is Sunday the 19th of July and Monday the 20th. That’s still over a week and a half away, so keep that in your back pocket as a promising prospect rather than a sure thing.

On Sunday the 19th, both morning and afternoon, you’ll see a solid 8ft swell from the ENE with an 8-second period. The combined energy jumps way up to 1238, which is proper strong. The wind is a moderate 16 mph cross-breeze, which is the best we’ve seen in ages. It’s still not glassy, but it’s a big step up from the onshore crap. This is the pick of the run, but that 8ft is right on the edge for beginners – it’s more of a confident intermediate to expert wave. The break is exposed and fairly consistent, though crowds are likely at this spot. It’s a reef setup, so that short-period ENE swell should still offer a decent wall, just don’t expect the super-long lines.

Monday the 20th is similar, with a 8ft ENE swell and slightly softer energy at 1178, but the wind stays cross, and you’ll get the same moderate breeze. A solid second day to chase.

After that, things taper off back to mediocrity through the 21st and 22nd.

So, to sum it up: forget about the next ten days. Your best bet is to circle Sunday the 19th of July at Ammonias. It’s not perfect, but it’s the only time in the outlook where the swell and wind align well enough to make it worth a paddle.

Rusty.

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