Ammonias Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what’s on the cards for Ammonias.

Honestly, the next week or so is looking pretty flat and average. There’s a long run of messy, onshore winds forecast that just won’t clean things up. We’ve got a few 6ft to 5ft waves showing early on Monday and Tuesday, but it's all short-period, east-northeast windswell with a moderate cross-shore breeze, so it’s going to be choppy and hard to enjoy. The energy is sitting at around 587 to 652 (moderate), but the wind state is just rubbish. That “marginal” comment is spot on – it’s not worth paddling out for.

Wednesday the 26th stays average, but by the afternoon we see a weird shift – a tiny 3ft swell from the south with a really long 18-second period pumping the energy up to 746 (moderate). That’s a long-period groundswell, which usually needs a reef or point to really line up, and with a 16 mph cross-shore wind, it won’t be glassy. Thursday the 27th morning has similar vibes – 4ft south swell at 17 seconds and 944 energy (moderate). Still, the breeze is on it, so the surface won’t be smooth.

We hit a real dry spell from late August right through to the start of September. From the 29th of August to the 1st of September, the swell drops, the period gets short again, and the wind is still cross. There are a lot of “poor surf conditions” tags here. You're looking at about four or five days of nothing worth rushing out for.

Now, Tuesday the 1st of September afternoon, things get a bit more interesting. Swell bumps to 6ft from the east-northeast with a 9-second period, and the combined energy jumps to 1014 (strong). That’s some juice. Still, the wind is a cross-shore 16 mph, so it’s not going to be perfect. Wednesday the 2nd of September looks a bit better on paper: 7ft from the east-northeast, 8-second period, and strong energy at 1071. It’s still cross-shore winds though, so the face will be bumpy.

The standout in the whole window is Saturday the 5th of September afternoon. We get a 6ft east-northeast swell with a long 13-second period and massive energy at 1507 (very strong). The wind is still cross-shore at 16 mph, but this kind of groundswell energy at Ammonias, which is a reef break that likes a south-southeast direction, might actually have some punch if the wind co-operates. It’s the best-looking trade-off of size and period for the whole 16 days, so if you’re going to pick a session, that afternoon is your shot. Sunday the 6th morning has similar size and 12-second period with 1637 energy (very strong), but the wind is cross-onshore, making it choppy again.

After that, the swell drops off hard on the 7th and 8th of September – tiny 2ft to 2ft south swells with light wind. That’s a classic flat spell.

So the long and short of it: for the next week and a half, the conditions just aren’t with us. The best chance to get a proper wave is the weekend of September 5th and 6th, especially Saturday the 5th afternoon. Don’t hold your breath for the early part.

Rusty.

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