Ammonias Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right, let’s have a look at what’s on offer for the next couple of weeks. It’s been a bit of a flat spell to kick things off, but hang tight – there’s some interesting stuff showing up later.

The first real chance of a wave isn’t until the 19th of July, so we’re looking at a solid gap of nearly a week with nothing worth paddling out for. Up until then, it’s all cross-shore or cross-onshore winds and poor surf conditions.

The only spot we’ve got on the radar is Ammonias, a reef break. It’s fairly consistent, but it’s an intermediate spot and it does get crowded often. The water’s sitting at 79°, which is pretty much bang on average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

Alright, let’s talk about the best of it. The standout window looks like the end of the run, from the 26th of July. On the morning of the 26th, we’ve got a 3ft swell from the SSW, with a period of 17 seconds, and the combined energy is up at 1049 – that’s moderate to strong energy. The wind is cross from the ENE at 12 mph, which is workable. By the afternoon, it builds to 3ft from the E, with a 16-second period and the energy jumps to 1210. The wind swings to the NE at 16 mph, still cross. That’s a solid, long-period groundswell, and for a reef like Ammonias, that’s going to offer some nice, lined-up waves. The sets will be well-spaced, so paddling out shouldn’t be a total mission.

Now, the 27th of July holds similar size – 4ft to 4ft from the E, with periods around 15 to 16 seconds, and energy well over 1100. The wind stays cross, so it’ll be a bit lumpy but still rideable. Then on the 28th, we get a 7ft swell from the ENE with a 14-second period and the energy goes through the roof at 2181. That’s a big, powerful swell. For the reef, it’s going to be heavy. That’s expert territory only – too much punch for anyone not well experienced. The 29th is similar, with 7ft and a 13-second period, and energy still huge at 1820.

So, overall, the best bet for the average surfer is the 26th and 27th of July. The swell direction from the E and SSE is a good match for what the reef likes, and the long period will give you proper waves. The 28th and 29th are for the brave only.

There’s a chance of a few marginal sessions between the 19th and 25th, but with the cross-shore winds and lower energy, it’s not going to be anything special. The forecast is a bit more reliable for the near-term, and while the end-of-the-month stuff looks promising, it’s a bit further out, so keep an eye on it.

If you’re a kiter, the choppy, cross-shore conditions on the beachier days might be more your thing, but for a paddle, hang out for that last week.

Rusty.

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