Ammonias Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get real about the next couple of weeks. It’s a bit of a rough stretch, I ain’t gonna lie. We’re looking at a long, dry spell of proper surf. The models are showing plenty of ocean movement, but it’s mostly messy, onshore energy and not the clean, groomed lines we want.

The first week is a write-off for anything decent. We’re looking at a solid gap with no quality waves on the cards. There’s a pulse of short-period, wind-blown swell around the 23rd to the 25th, with sizes getting up to 6.2ft, but the wind is gonna be howling from the NE at 18.6 mph, making a complete mess of it. The energy is there, moderate to strong (671), but it’s all chop and no shape. This will be more interesting for the kite crew than for us paddle surfers.

Through the 26th and 27th, the swell drops back down and some longer period energy tries to push in, but the NE wind keeps it onshore and junky. It’s not until the end of the month, around August 31st and into September 1st, that we see a bit of an increase in size again, with swell pushing 7.2ft. The energy is strong (1772), and the period is a bit better at 13 seconds, but it’s still cross-shore winds messing with the surface. It’s frustrating, to be honest.

Ammonias is a reef break that’s fairly consistent, so it’s not like it never breaks, but this forecast is a real test of patience. None of these days are looking like standouts. Even the bigger pulses are marred by wind and poor conditions. It’s not until the very end of the forecast window, into the 3rd and 4th of September, that we see some cleaner potential with the wind dropping to a gentle breeze. There’s a promising swell due from the SSW with a very long period of 20 seconds, and the energy is solid (977). That’s the one bright spot, but it’s a long way out and long-period swells can be tricky at reefs like this if the direction isn’t perfect. For now though, don’t get your hopes up for much. We just gotta wait it out.

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