Ammonias Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let's be straight with you. The next couple of weeks at Ammonias are looking pretty grim. We're in for a run of poor conditions before anything half-decent shows up.

Your first real shot at a wave is on August 31st, but it's a marginal one at best. The wind is cross and cross-on from the ENE, just messing up the surface. You're looking at waves around 6ft, but with that short 8-second period, it's going to be a lumpy, messy affair. The water temp is running a bit warm for the season, about 81°, nothing crazy. The overall energy is moderate, with readings in the 600-900 range. Not a good look.

This pattern of poor to marginal surf stretches all the way through September 5th. That ENE wind, holding steady around 15-16 mph, is just going to keep the cross-chop going. Swell stays in the 5ft to 7ft range with that short period. It’s not the size that's the problem, it's the quality. This stretch is a washout for a decent surf.

Now, circle September 6th on your calendar. The energy jumps up into the 1200-1400 range, and the wave height gets a push, reaching 8ft in the morning and nearly 10ft in the afternoon. The period stretches out a bit to 9 seconds, which gives it a little more push. But the wind picks up too, a fresh 19 mph cross-shore, so it's going to be lumpy. Still a marginal call.

September 7th brings the biggest swell of the window, with that combined energy hitting a strong 1791. But it comes with 22 mph cross-shore winds and rain showers. The wave height is around 8ft, which is pushing into expert-only territory, and the quality will be poor with that wind. This setup might be better for the kite surfers than anyone with a paddle.

After that, we settle back into the same pattern of ENE winds and short-period, wind-affected waves until September 10th. Then the plug gets pulled. The swell drops off dramatically to around 2ft, and the period goes long, 17-18 seconds, but it's from the SSW, which doesn't work for this break. The energy drops way down into the 200-400 range. It's flat and lifeless through the 13th.

So, there you have it. The standout, if you can call it that, is that bump on September 6th and 7th. Even then, the wind is going to be working against you. For the next few days, it's a waiting game. The long-range stuff is promising but less certain. Keep your board ready, but don't plan any dawn patrols for a classic session.

Rusty.

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