Ammonias Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. I've taken a hard look at what's on offer at Ammonias over the next 16 days, and to be straight with you – it's pretty grim. The guidance tells me this reef break can be a good one when conditions line up, with a preference for SSE swell and a clean NW offshore. But over this whole window, I'm seeing almost nothing that's worth paddling out for. The wind is stuck in a cross or cross‑on groove, and the swell direction is mostly ENE – the complete opposite of what this spot loves. There's no standout session, no hidden gem. Just a long, scratchy run of poor surf.

Thursday 2nd July starts things off with a 5‑foot ENE swell, but it's 8‑second short‑period junk, cross‑shore wind at 15 mph, and the water temp is 79° – pretty average for the time of year. The combined energy is moderate (556) but it's all chop and no shape. That pattern continues into Friday with slightly bigger 5–6‑foot ENE swell, same wind, same poor quality.

Saturday 4th brings a switch – a 3‑foot south swell with a very long 21‑second period. That's groundswell, and the energy jumps to a solid 1184 (strong). On paper that sounds promising for a reef, but the cross‑shore wind is still 15 mph, so the surface will be messy. The score is marginal at best – you might find a few cleanish waves if you're patient, but it's hardly a call‑out. Sunday 5th sees a similar 3‑foot SSW swell, period 18 seconds, still cross‑shore wind – another marginal day with scores of 1 out of 10. Those two days are the closest this forecast gets to something surfable, and they're still far from good.

From Monday 6th onward it goes downhill fast. The swell jumps to 7‑foot ENE, but it's all short‑period windswell with a fresh 19 mph cross‑shore breeze. That's big enough to be intimidating for beginners, and the chop will be lumpy. The scores are zeros and ones. For the rest of the first week and into the second week – Tuesday 7th through to Thursday 16th July – it's a relentless run of 4–7‑foot ENE or NE swell, with periods of 7–8 seconds, and steady 15–19 mph cross or cross‑onshore wind. The combined energy ranges from moderate to strong (350–1000), but the quality is consistently poor. There's a brief window on 13th and 14th July with a smaller 2–3‑foot SSW swell and a long 14‑second period, but again the wind is cross‑onshore and the forecast calls it poor.

Friday 17th July finishes the outlook with a 3‑foot east swell of 6 seconds and a 3‑foot SSE swell of 8 seconds – both with cross‑shore wind and poor conditions. No recommendations, no standouts, nothing to get excited about.

I know it's frustrating when a break like Ammonias goes quiet, but this spot is fairly consistent in general – a blank run like this is unusual but not unheard of. Forecasts can change, and I'll keep an eye on it. For now, save the wax for another week.

– Rusty

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