Ammonias Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on the menu for Ammonias over the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, I gotta be honest with you – this stretch is lookin' tough. We're starting with a bit of a flat spell. The first surfable recommendation doesn't come until Sunday the 9th of August, and even then it's a marginal call. We're talking a 5ft swell from the ENE with a short, weak 7-second period. The wind is cross-shore, and the energy is moderate, sittin' around (537). It's really just a 'maybe' session for the die-hards. Before that, Saturday the 8th is a complete write-off with poor, choppy conditions.

Things stay on the fence for a few days. Monday the 10th sees the swell drop back to 2ft, but the period stretches right out to a very long 16 seconds from the SSW, with a moderate energy (611). That long period from the south is a bit tricky at a reef break, but it could offer a clean little wave if the tide lines up. The water temp is a balmy 80°, which is spot on average for this time of year, so no wetsuit worries.

The real standout in this whole outlook – and I use that term loosely – is shaping up to be Wednesday the 12th through Thursday the 13th. On Wednesday afternoon, we get a solid 4ft groundswell from the S with a very long 18-second period. The energy jumps right up to strong (1204). Thursday morning pushes that swell to 5ft with a 16-second period and energy at (1258). It's still cross-shore wind, which is a shame, but the quality of that swell is pure. This is the best window for Ammonias, but keep your expectations tempered; it's still only a marginal forecast.

After that, things get messy and big. By Friday the 14th and into the weekend, we see the swell really start to pump, but it's all short-period, wind-affected junk from the ENE. By Saturday the 15th of August, we're lookin' at 13ft to 18ft of lumpy, cross-shore mess. The energy is enormous (over 7000), but it's gonna be a washing machine. By Sunday the 16th, we've got gale-force cross-onshore winds up to 40 mph from the East, making it completely blown out. This is kite-surfing territory, not paddle sur fing.

The second week from the 17th onwards is a similar story. We've got a persistent 5ft to 7ft ENE swell, but it's short period (7-8 seconds) and nearly always accompanied by a moderate cross or cross-onshore breeze. The forecast confidence for this far out is low, and honestly, it looks like a long run of choppy, uninspiring surf. There's a brief glimmer on Thursday the 20th afternoon with a 6ft ENE swell, but the wind is still cross-onshore, keeping it choppy.

Bottom line: Ammonias is struggling this period. The only real window worth paddling out for is the Wednesday 12th to Thursday 13th window with the long-period south groundswell. For the rest of the time, the conditions are just too messy to get excited about. We're in for a lean run.

Rusty.

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