Ammonias Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Hey, Rusty again, now in feet and Fahrenheit for the imperial crew.

We’re starting the outlook for Ammonias with a bit of a gap before anything’s rideable. First surf shows Friday the 3rd of July, but it’s nothing to write home about.

Friday morning brings a 5ft swell from the ENE with a short 8-second interval. A moderate cross-shore wind from the same direction, showers in the air, and the combined energy sits at 639 (moderate). The water’s 79°, which is pretty normal for this time of year. The wind’s gonna mess up the surface, so it’s not gonna be clean. If you’re desperate for a paddle, you could, but don’t expect much.

Saturday the 4th, the swell drops to around 3ft but here’s the interesting bit: long-period groundswell from the south, 21 seconds. The energy jumps up strong to 1194. Problem is, the wind is still cross-shore from the NE at 25 km/h. For a reef like Ammonias, that long period can mean better shape in the right spot, but the wind kills it. It’s still a poor-quality call from the data.

Sunday the 5th is much the same – small 3ft groundswell from the south-southwest at 18 seconds, but still cross-shore breezes. The energy is moderate to strong (1025), but you’re getting chopped up. Monday the 6th rolls around and we jump back to a short-period 7ft ENE swell with moderate cross wind. That’s getting into expert-only territory size-wise. The energy’s moderate at 966, but again, poor conditions.

From Monday the 6th all the way through the 18th of July, nothing really improves. Wind is stuck on moderate ENE cross or cross-on. Thursday the 14th is the best-rated session with a tiny 3ft south-southwest groundswell, a light cross-onshore breeze, and an energy reading of 541. That’s about as good as it gets – which isn’t saying much. Everything else is poor or marginal.

There’s no real standout here. The closest to a pick would be Saturday the 4th morning because of the super long-period south swell, but the wind never cleans up. Ammonias is an exposed reef that can produce when conditions align, but they don’t this time. Over 16 days, there’s barely a session worth paddling out for. A blank run like this is more typical for the area when the trade winds lock in. Forecasts can shift, but don’t hold your breath. Keep the board in the bag.

Rusty.

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