Ammonias Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here again. Let's break it down in the old units.

Honestly, the next couple of weeks at Ammonias are looking pretty rough. We've got a long stretch of messy conditions ahead. The water temp is 79°, which is about normal for this time of year, so that's one small blessing.

The first big dry spell runs from Monday, July 6th, right through to the afternoon of Sunday, July 12th. The wind is howling out of the ENE at 15 to 19 mph, either cross or cross-onshore, just tearing the surface apart. The swell is hanging around 7 ft to 8 ft, but it's short-period ENE windswell, 7 to 8 seconds. The combined wave energy is moderate to strong (1019-538), but it's just lumpy, cross-chop. No clean waves to be had.

We get a tiny break on the morning of Sunday, July 12th, with a 3 ft SSW swell and a very long 16-second period, but the energy is weak (413) and the wind is still cross. Not worth it.

The next window is Monday, July 13th, through Tuesday, July 14th. The swell drops to 4 ft to 6 ft, and the wind lightens a bit to 9 to 12 mph from the ENE. It's still cross, but conditions are "marginal" instead of "poor." The energy is moderate (760-383). This is the best of the bunch, but it's not a standout. The swell is still short-period windswell, so it'll be weak and short.

After that, from Wednesday, July 15th, it's back to poor conditions with cross-onshore winds. The swell drops to 2 ft to 2 ft, and even with a long-period 16 to 19-second groundswell on the 16th and 21st, the energy is moderate (426-638) and the wind is ruining it. The 21st has a promising 2 ft E swell with a 19-second period, but the cross-wind will make it a blown-out mess.

The best on offer is Monday, July 13th, and Tuesday, July 14th. The wind is lightest (9 to 12 mph) and conditions are just "marginal." The swell is 4 ft to 6 ft from the ENE, which is too big for beginners, and the short period (7 seconds) means it'll be gutless. It's a reef break, so it handles some size, but the wind direction doesn't match the optimum swell direction (SSE), so it's going to be a frustrating paddle. You can expect crowds here, and with this forecast, it'll be a local-only affair.

It's a pretty normal run of poor conditions for this area. The forecasts can change, but right now, I'd leave the board in the garage. The long period swells are a tease, but they're not coming with clean wind.

Rusty.

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