Ammonias Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here, let's get into it.

Alright, things are looking pretty grim at Ammonias for the next 16 days. This is a reef break that's fairly consistent, but we're battling a rough stretch of weather and wind. The first recommendation doesn't even roll around until Thursday morning, the 3rd of September, with only a marginal look.

The problem is the wind. For the first 10 days, we've got a persistent cross-shore or cross-onshore breeze out of the ENE and NE, blowing 12 to 19 mph. That's going to chop everything up. The water temp is about average for the time of year, so nothing weird there.

The swell energy picks up significantly from the 4th through the 8th, with combined energy readings in the thousands (1437 to 9083), so there's definitely power out there on offer, but the wind is just ruining the ride. The swell is coming from the S, SSE, and ENE, with a 12 to 14-second period on that southerly groundswell. That longer period is better for shaping, but it's going to be straight and messy at a beach setup. When that SSE groundswell fills in on Friday the 4th, it'll be 5 ft, but those fresh cross-shore winds will make it lumpy as hell. The 15 ft swell on Tuesday the 8th is only for experts if it even breaks, but with a 28 mph onshore wind and a risk of thunderstorms, it's a session to skip. That setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing in those conditions.

The only real glimmer of hope and the standout of the whole outlook is on the 16th of September, Wednesday morning. It's a late call, so I'd approach it with some caution, but it's the cleanest it will be. The wind drops right off to a light breeze from the E at 6 mph, creating just a light cross-onshore with small wind ripples. The swell eases to 4 ft from the SW with a very long period of 18 seconds. That's pure groundswell energy humming in at 1062 on the energy scale. At a reef break, that long period will wrap in nicely, giving you proper shape and long, clean lines. It won't be huge, but it will be the most surfable wave we've seen in two weeks. Crowds are a concern as this spot can get crowded, but that's a risk you'll have to take for the best of a bad run.

There's also a shout-out to Monday the 14th. You've got a 6 ft S swell with a 10-second period in the morning. It's still a cross-shore, but only a gentle breeze at 9 mph, which is manageable. The energy is decent at 1083, and it could be alright for a paddle. But the real gem is that Wednesday the 16th.

A blank run like this is pretty normal for the spot when the trade winds lock in. Don't take a risk on the big, stormy days. Wait for that window.

- Rusty

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