Ammonias Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, it’s Rusty here. Let’s size up the next couple of weeks at our spot, Ammonias.

First thing you gotta know – this is going to be a rough run. The entire 16-day window is plagued by cross-shore and cross-onshore winds. We’re looking at a lot of chop, lumpy conditions, and poor surf quality almost every day. The water temperature is sitting at 79°F, which is spot on average for this time of year, so at least you won’t need a wetsuit.

There’s a real gap of poor conditions right from the start. On Sunday, July 12th, we’ve got 7 ft of short-period swell from the ENE (8 seconds) but it’s all messed up by a moderate cross-breeze. The combined swell energy is moderate at 901. The wave comment is "poor surf conditions" – don’t bother paddling out.

That theme continues straight through. Monday the 13th is a bit smaller at 6 ft, still short-period and cross-chop. Tuesday the 14th sees a tiny 2 ft pulse from the SW with a 14-second period, but again, the wind ruins it. The entire first week is just a write-off – cross-wind, cross-onshore, choppy, and never a clean moment.

Into the second week, things don’t improve much. Saturday the 19th has 6 ft of ENE swell with 7-second period – the combined energy hits 653, which is moderate, but the wind is still cross and the waves look messy. Sunday the 20th is similar but smaller. There’s a little flicker on Monday the 27th, where we get 6 ft of ENE swell with an 8-second period and a combined energy of 1211 – that’s strong – but again, the wind is cross-shore and the wave comment is only "marginal." It’s the closest thing to a standout, but honestly, it’s still a gamble with that chop.

Honestly, there’s no standout session here. Every day that has decent swell size (like the 6 ft to 7 ft days) is hammered by bad wind. The few times the period gets long (like 15–18 seconds on the 24th and 26th) the swell is tiny – only 2 ft to 3 ft. Not worth the effort.

If you’re desperate, the morning of Monday the 27th is the least terrible option – 6 ft from the ENE, 8 seconds, moderate cross-shore, and a score of 2 out of 10. But I wouldn’t call it good. It’s just not as bad as everything else.

Save your energy, mate. This forecast is a bust.

- Rusty

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