Ammonias Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's look at what's cookin' for Ammonias. Got to level with you – it's a pretty grim outlook for the next couple weeks. This reef setup is fairly consistent and it loves swell from the SSE, but the wind is just not playing ball.

We start off on Wednesday, July 15th with nothing. Tiny, messy swell and that east wind blowing cross-onshore, making it choppy and ugly. That sets the tone for a long stretch of poor conditions. Day after day, moderate east winds are just trashing the surface. The combined wave energy bounces around in the moderate to strong range, but it doesn't matter when the wind is junk. Water temp is about 80°, which is normal for this time of year, but you won't be enjoying it.

There's a little flicker on Sunday, July 19th. Swell bumps up to about 5 feet from the east, but with a short period of 8 seconds, it's weak and crumbly. Wind is still cross. It's marginal at best. That's the highlight of the first week, and that's saying something.

A big, long-period south swell starts moving in around Tuesday, July 21st. Swell direction swings south, off the optimum. The period stretches to 15 to 24 seconds – real groundswell – but those long lines are gonna feel that cross wind. The energy numbers are big, hitting over 800, but every session is called marginal. Wednesday the 22nd and Thursday the 23rd have the biggest energy, over 1000, but the wind stays cross or cross-on. It's a promise that isn't kept.

If you're really itching, the end of the second week is your best bet. Around Saturday, July 25th, the wind eases to a gentle breeze from the east at about 9 mph. We've got a 2-foot swell from the south with a 19-second period. Still cross-onshore, but gentler. The energy is strong. It's still marginal, but for this run, that's as close to rideable as it gets. Sunday, July 26th is similar but the wind picks up.

I can't point to a single standout in this whole 16-day stretch. The swell shows up, especially the long-period stuff, but the wind is the enemy. It's nearly always cross-onshore or cross, leaving the surface messy. A reef like Ammonias needs clean conditions to work, and we ain't getting 'em. It's a blank run, and when the trades set in here, that's just the way it goes. Keep your eye on the forecast – things can change.

Rusty.

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