Stockton Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, grab a coffee, I’m gonna run you through the next couple of weeks for our stretch of coast. Things are looking pretty quiet, so don’t get your hopes up too high.

The major story here is that we’ve got a long, flat run ahead. There’s nothing worth paddling out for in the first few days unless you just want to sit on your board and look at the horizon. From Wednesday the 2nd all the way through to the middle of the following week, it’s a mix of tiny, weak slop and straight-up poor conditions. We’re talking swell heights stuck between 0.7ft and 2ft, with short-period windswell that has no push. Combined energy barely scratches a measly 74 (weak energy) at its best early on, and mostly sits in the teens and twenties – that’s about as flat as it gets.

Wind isn’t doing us any favours either. We get a bit of cross-offshore here and there, but the swell just isn’t there to back it up. The rare glimmer is Saturday the 5th morning with a fresh offshore from the NNW blowing at 19 mph, but the swell is only 1ft from the NE with a period of 5 seconds – that’s barely a ripple. A kite might get going, but for a surfboard? Forget it.

There is one day that stands out as the best of a bad bunch: Sunday the 6th morning. The swell bumps up slightly to 2ft from the east, with a period of 7 seconds. Combined energy reaches 53, so still weak, but it’s paired with a light breeze from the NE making it clean. It’s small and gutless, but it’s the only time in this whole window where you could push a foamie around and maybe catch a knee-high nugget. The water temp is sitting at 78°F, which is a solid 4°F warmer than normal for this time of year – that’s very unusual, so at least you won’t need a wetsuit.

After that, it’s back to the doldrums. Swell stays microscopic – 1ft, 1ft, even down to 0.3ft by Thursday the 17th. The only real change is the period; around Tuesday the 17th, we get a very long-period groundswell at 13 seconds, but it’s coming from the ESE and only delivering 0.7ft. That’s a classic case of all period and no height – a few long, lazy wobbles at best. The wind goes glassy on Thursday the 17th afternoon, which is a shame because there’s still no real swell.

Honestly, if you’re desperate, the Sunday the 6th morning is your one and only call. Everything else is a flat, wind-affected washout. This is one of those stretches where you leave the boards in the shed and do something else.

Stay patient, mates. It won’t stay this flat forever.

Rusty

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