Stockton Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cookin’ for Stockton.

To be straight with you – this is a grim stretch. The entire 16-day window is a write-off for any proper surf. There’s no standout, no sneaky session, not even a cheeky shoulder-high wave that’s worth paddling out for. The whole run is dominated by tiny, weak swell with poor energy and mostly bad wind alignment. You’re looking at a long, blank run of flat and poor conditions. The kind of forecast where you leave the boards in the shed and do something else.

The first proper glimpse of something that might be called “surfable” doesn’t show up until Thursday, August 27, and even then it’s a tease. On the morning of the 27th, there’s a very small 1 ft SSE swell, but with a period of 12 seconds, so there’s a bit of push behind it. Combined energy is only 80 (weak). Wind is NNE at 12 mph, blowing offshore, so it’ll be clean. It’s the only session in the whole 16 days that scores even a 1 out of 10, but that’s still poor. The water temp is a touch warmer than normal at 77°F with a positive anomaly of 3°F, so it’s pleasant for a float, but not for surfing.

Apart from that, every other session is a bust. There are long gaps of flatness with no recommendations. The swell is barely there – heights hover around 0.7 ft to 3 ft, periods are short (3 to 6 seconds mostly), and the energy is mostly in the single or low double digits. Wind is often onshore or cross-shore, with a few glassy mornings but no swell to ride. For a beach/jetty break like Stockton that’s exposed to SE swell, the direction is fine, but there’s just no size or power.

Honestly, for the next couple of weeks, the setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing – there’s enough wind at times, but the waves are a joke. Forecasts can change, but right now, this is a solid stretch of flat. Don’t hold your breath.

Rusty.

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