Stockton Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let me break down Stockton for the next couple of weeks.

Honestly, it’s a long stretch of quiet water. The first week and a half is pretty much a bust – not much more than tiny, wind-chopped slop. The water is a bit warmer than usual for this time of year, sitting about 77°F, so that’s one small comfort while you wait for a wave.

Day after day looks the same, morning to afternoon. Monday the 24th and Tuesday the 25th are offering nothing but ankle-high slop (0.2m to 0.3m) with a long period of 11-12 seconds, but the wind is all wrong – cross-shore or onshore. The combined wave energy is tiny (21 to 23). Forget it. Wednesday the 26th doesn’t get any better, with the same tiny 0.3m to 0.4m and choppy onshore wind. Energy is still feeble (17-26).

Thursday the 27th sees a bump to 0.9m from the SE, but the period drops to a weak 8 seconds, then 5 seconds in the afternoon. The combined energy hits 170 in the AM, but it’s blown out by 20 km/h onshore wind and rain storms. Not a surf day.

Friday the 28th to Sunday the 30th? More of the same junk – 0.4m to 0.7m, mostly cross-on or onshore. Energy barely nudges 93. Leave your board at home.

From Monday the 31st right through to Tuesday the 8th of September, it’s a blank. Most of that time the combined wave energy stays well under 200, with only a couple of days climbing higher.

But here’s the one day you need to know about: Thursday the 3rd of September. This is the only real standout in the whole 16-day window. A proper 1.5m to 1.6m swell from the SE, with a long 15-second groundswell period packing serious power. The combined wave energy is massive – 1986 in the morning, 2101 in the afternoon. The wind is clean, cross-offshore from the NNW to NW at 15-20 km/h, giving you clean, lined-up sets. That’s expert territory though – too big for beginners. The swell direction matches the SE optimum, so the jetties should fire. Expect crowds possible on this one day of quality.

After that, it drops off fast. Friday the 4th still has size (1.3m to 1.4m) but the period drops and the wind picks up, making things messy. By Saturday the 5th, it’s back to 0.7m mush. The second week dries up completely – nothing above 0.6m, with combined energy dropping to 10-139. Just wind slop and short-period dribble.

So here’s the scoop: if you’re keen, Thursday the 3rd of September is your day. The rest of this forecast is flat and forgettable. That one morning of clean, powerful groundswell is the only true standout. Go get it. Rusty.

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