Stockton Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. I’ve gotta be straight with you – this 16-day stretch for Stockton is a real tough one. We’re looking at a long, bleak run of tiny, weak, or messy conditions. There’s barely a window worth paddling out for. The first hint of anything surfable doesn’t show up until Monday the 7th, and even then, it’s nothing to get excited about.

Forget the first few days. Friday the 4th through to Sunday the 6th is just flat, with poor surf and no rideable waves. You’ll be sitting on the beach watching the wind blow. It’s a proper gap.

Okay, Monday morning the 7th is the first time you might see something. We’ve got a puny 2 ft swell out of the east, with a period of 10 seconds. The combined wave energy is weak, sitting at only 113, so it’s got no punch. The wind is light and offshore from the north, which is a nice touch, keeping the little bumps clean. But honestly, it’s “surfable but very ordinary.” The water temp is about average for this time of year. A beginner might get a few knee-high rides off the jetty, but that’s about it. The crowds here can be around sometimes, but for this slop, I doubt anyone’s bothering.

The rest of the week goes back to rubbish. Tuesday through Thursday is a write-off – onshore winds, tiny swell, and poor conditions. Friday and Saturday, the 11th and 12th, are flat again.

We get another tiny pulse on Sunday morning the 13th. There’s a 3 ft swell from the northeast, with a period of 7 seconds and combined energy hitting 97 – still weak. The wind is light from the northeast, so it’s clean, but the waves are short-period slop. It’s another “surfable but very ordinary” call.

After that, it’s more of the same: small, messy onshore wind slop until we get to the very end of the outlook. Saturday the 19th morning shows a 4 ft swell from the east-southeast with a period of only 6 seconds. Combined energy is exactly 100 – moderate, but just barely. The wind is a cross-off from the west-northwest at 25 km/h, so it’ll be clean, but the period is so short the waves will be soft and fat. It’s still labelled as “poor surf conditions.”

Look, for a consistent spot like Stockton, this is a frustrating run. It’s just not happening. If you’re desperate, the cleanest windows are Monday the 7th and Sunday the 13th, but even then, bring a longboard and low expectations. I’d honestly save the gas and wait for the forecast to change – it tends not to stay this poor for long. If the wind gets strong with these weak swell directions, a beach setup like this might be more interesting for the kite crew than us paddle surfers.

Rusty.

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