Stockton Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty. Let’s get real about what’s coming up for Stockton.

Right off the bat, I’ve got to be straight with you—this 16-day window is a tough one. We’re looking at a long stretch where the surf is barely a whisper. The first decent pulse doesn't show up until Thursday the 10th, and even then it’s nothing to write home about. Before that, we’ve got a solid week of tiny, messy waves, mostly under 2 ft, with a lot of onshore or cross-off winds. The water temp is sitting at 77° with a 4° anomaly, so it’s much warmer than normal for this time of year—a nice surprise if you’re just floating around, but it won’t save the surf.

The whole setup is a beach/jetty break, exposed to the swell, but the swell is mostly coming from the SSE and SE, and the combined wave energy is very weak—values are mostly in the teens and twenties, creeping up to the low 50s on a couple of days. That’s not enough to get excited about.

The best I can honestly point to is Thursday afternoon, September 10th. We get a bump to 4 ft from the south, with a short period of 5 seconds. The wind is light and variable from the WNW at 6 mph, keeping it clean. The combined energy hits 53, which is still weak, but it’s the most surfable moment in the whole run. It’s not great, but it’s the only time the wave comment says “surfable waves.”

For the rest of the period—from September 11th all the way through September 16th—it’s back to tiny, weak, and mostly messy. Mornings on the 15th and 16th have clean offshore winds, but the swell is only 0.7 ft to 2 ft, with combined energy in the teens and low 50s. It’s a flat spell, plain and simple.

If you’re a beginner, the small stuff on the 10th is manageable, but there’s nothing here for anyone looking for a proper wave. Honestly, with the lack of size and the short-period swells, this setup looks more interesting for a kite than a paddle.

Stay patient. Forecasts can change, but right now, it’s a waiting game.

- Rusty

Read more