Stockton Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what the next couple of weeks have in store for us.

Honestly, mate, it’s a pretty grim run for the most part. We’ve got a long stretch of tiny, weak swell that’s barely gonna show its face, and when it does, the wind is often making a mess of things. The water temp is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year (77°F), which is nice, but that’s about the only bright spot for a while.

We start on Wednesday the 26th of August at Stockton (beach/jetty). There’s a tiny 0.3m (1ft) swell from the SE, and while Wednesday morning is glassy, the wave itself is just too small to bother with. That sets the tone. Through the rest of the week and into the next, we’re looking at days of onshore wind, cross-on chop, and swell that barely reaches 1ft or 2ft. Thursday the 27th is a write-off with onshore southerly wind. Friday the 28th morning shows a slight glimmer with clean conditions and a cross-off wind from the WNW, but the swell is still a pathetic 2ft from the SE with a short period of 8 seconds – not enough to push you around. The weekend and the start of the following week are just more of the same: very small surf with inconsistent wind.

There’s a long gap of poor to non-existent surf here. Nothing is really standing out. You’re looking at a blank run of well over a week for anything worth paddling out for.

Now, things get a bit more interesting in the second week, but it’s still not a home run. On Monday the 7th of September morning, we see a bump up to 2ft from the east, with a long period of 11 seconds. The combined swell energy hits 149 (moderate wave energy). The wind is a clean cross-off from the NE. That’s the best looking window in the whole forecast. This will have a bit more push, and the longer period means better shape, though at a beach break like Stockton, a longer period east swell can be a bit straight. Still, for this stretch, that morning is the clear standout – if you’ve got a log, it might be worth a look.

Tuesday the 8th holds similar 2ft east swell (period 12 seconds, energy 136-138), but the wind is coming from the SSE – cross-on – which will mess up the face. That’s a chop-fest. Wednesday the 9th and Thursday the 10th see the swell drop slightly (2ft), but the wind shifts to a clean cross-off NW. These mornings will be clean, but the wave energy is fading, dropping to 91 by Thursday morning.

So, the only real standout is that Monday the 7th of September morning. It’s promising, but with this being a long-range call, take it with a grain of salt. The rest of the time, you’re better off checking the wind forecast daily for a clean morning and grabbing the smallest board you own. It’s been a tough outlook.

Rusty.

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