Stockton Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here, and I’ve got the lowdown on your local stretch. We’ve got a bit of a flat spell to start, and it’s going to be a long wait for anything worth paddling out for.

The first couple of days are a write-off. We’re looking at tiny, weak swell and, while the wind might be okay at times, the waves just aren’t there. The water temperature is sitting at 77°F at the start, which is a solid 6°F warmer than average for this time of year, so that’s unusual and pretty nice for a swim, but not for surfing.

We’re looking at a long stretch of nothing. From now through the weekend of the 14th and into the following week, it’s all under 3ft and mostly from the SE or E with weak energy (values like 17, 28, 31 in the combined energy reading). There are a few moments of clean conditions with offshore or cross-off winds, like Monday afternoon on the 14th with a 19 mph NNW cross-off, but the swell is just 1ft. It’s barely a ripple.

We keep grinding through the week. Tuesday the 15th through to the weekend of the 21st is a similar story: very small surf, mostly under 2ft, and winds are often onshore or cross-shore, messing things up further. The combined energy numbers stay weak, well under 100.

Then, around the 21st of September, things start to change. Monday the 21st sees a jump in swell to 5ft from the east with a 7-second period, and the combined energy gets into the moderate range at 263. The wind is a cross-off from the ENE at 16 mph, keeping it clean. This is our first real shot at something rideable, but it’s still a beach/jetty break and the period is short, so don't expect much shape. It’s a beginner-friendly size though.

Tuesday the 22nd keeps the energy up with 4ft from the ESE, but the wind is howling from the ESE at 28 mph, making it a messy, lumpy cross-shore. That’s more of a kite-surfing day than a proper paddle session. The rest of that week, from Wednesday the 23rd to Friday the 25th, we see waves in the 2ft to 4ft range with the energy hanging around 52 to 150. The winds are mixed, but the best of it looks like Thursday the 24th afternoon and Friday the 25th morning, with cross-off winds from the WNW and NW, giving clean conditions. The swell is 3ft to 3ft from the east, but it’s not exactly pumping.

If I had to pick one standout, I’d say the Stockton beach/jetty break on Monday the 21st of September. That’s when we see the biggest jump in size, hitting 5ft from the east with clean, cross-off winds. The water is going to be warm too, and the crowds are only sometimes an issue. It’s not a classic wave, but for the first real surf in a while, it’s your best bet.

After that, we trail off again towards the end of the month. The 26th to the 28th sees the swell dropping back under 2ft, with combined energy falling below 100. It’s clean enough but really small. So, get on it around the 21st and 22nd if you can.

Rusty.

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