Stockton Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Well, I’ve had a good look at what’s on the cards for Stockton over the next 16 days, and to be straight up with you, it’s a pretty bleak run. We’re looking at a long stretch of small, weak swell and mostly ordinary conditions, so don’t go getting your hopes up.

The first solid recommendation we get is for Saturday the 25th of July, but even then it’s nothing to write home about. Overall, it’s going to be a quiet period with a lot of days where the surf is just too poor to bother with. The water temperature’s sitting around 75°, which is pretty much what you’d expect for this time of year.

Starting off Saturday morning, there’s a tiny 2ft swell from the southeast, with a short 7-second period. The combined energy is weak at just 61, so there’s hardly any push. Wind is coming from the northeast at 9 mph, making it a cross-offshore breeze, which keeps the surface looking okay, but the waves are just poor. It’s a beginner-level spot anyway, but with waves this small and weak, it’s barely worth paddling out for a splash. Saturday afternoon picks up slightly to 2ft from the east-southeast, still short period, and energy bumps to 95. The wind swings a bit, but it’s still cross-off. We get a “surfable” call, but it’s very ordinary.

Sunday the 26th is more of the same. Morning brings 2ft from the east-southeast, period still 7 seconds, and energy sits at 101 (moderate). Wind is light from the northeast at 6 mph, cross-off, so it’s clean. But again, it’s just weak, small, and uninspiring. By afternoon, it drops right off, with the wind turning onshore and the waves shrinking to 1ft.

From Monday the 27th right through to the 9th of August, it’s a grim stretch. We’re talking days on end of 1ft to 3ft swells, mostly from the southeast or east, with periods under 8 seconds. The energy is almost always in the low double digits, ranging from 14 to 73. Winds are all over the place – onshore, cross-on, some cross-off – but the wave quality stays locked in “poor” for the vast majority of sessions. There are a few moments where conditions clean up, like Wednesday the 29th morning with a slight offshore breeze, but the swell is just 2ft. It’s frustrating.

There’s a tiny flicker on Friday the 31st of July morning, with the biggest swell of the whole run at 3ft from the east, a 6-second period, and 63 energy. Wind is light northeast at 3 mph, cross-off, so it’s glassy. But 3ft with no period is not going to give you much to work with. And then on Tuesday the 4th of August afternoon we get a proper offshore breeze from the north-northeast at 9 mph, with 2ft from the south-southeast. The energy climbs to 55, and it’s called “surfable but very ordinary.” For Stockton, that’s about as good as it gets in this 16-day window, and it’s still a pretty sad highlight.

Honestly, the best on offer is probably that Tuesday afternoon session on the 4th of August. The offshore wind will clean it right up, and with a consistent beginner-friendly beach break, you might find a few little peelers if you’re patient. But don’t expect anything over knee-high. For the rest of the forecast, the surf is just too small and weak to get excited about. It’s the kind of run where you’d be better off checking the forecast in a few days’ time – it doesn’t stay this poor forever.

Stay salty,
Rusty

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