Stockton Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. It’s a grim outlook for the Stockton area over this full 16-day window, so let’s get straight to it. The swell energy is almost non-existent, with figures mostly sitting between 14 and 83—that’s weak to very weak energy. It’s going to be a long, flat spell with almost nothing worth getting wet for, and that’s the reality.

Right from Wednesday, July 29th, we’ve got tiny 2ft SSE swell coming in at a short 7 seconds, but with a stiff 16 mph cross-offshore wind, it’s a hard pass. Every single session through the end of July and the start of August is rated as "poor surf conditions." By Thursday, July 30th, we’re down to 2ft and then 1ft. Friday morning, July 31st, offers a brief moment with glassy conditions, but the swell is a pathetic 1ft at 8 seconds—barely a ripple. By Friday afternoon the wind swings onshore and the whole thing turns to chop.

The whole first week is a bust. Saturday and Sunday see rain and building onshore winds, with swell struggling to reach 3ft on Sunday morning and 4ft by Sunday afternoon, but with period dropping to just 4 or 5 seconds and messy winds. That’s kite-surfing territory, not paddle surfing.

We finally get a slight uptick on Monday, August 3rd, with combined swell energy hitting 184 and 4ft from the south at 7 seconds—still short-period junk. The word "poor" is still attached. Then on Friday, August 7th, the guidance mentions the break is "consistent," but the data shows a little 3ft south swell at 6 seconds, with a clean cross-offshore wind from the WNW. The finder gives it a 1/10—surfable but very ordinary. That’s the one and only moment in the whole 16 days that gets a pass. Saturday, August 8th, is similar—2ft with clean winds again, but the period is short.

After that, we fade back into weak, inconsistent junk with periods as low as 4 seconds. There is a 3ft pulse from the east on Thursday, August 13th, but at just 4 seconds, it’s going to be fat and weak.

Stockton (New South Wales) is a beach and jetty setup, usually consistent, but this run is so flat and wind-addled there is nothing on offer for surfers. The water temp is 75°F with an anomaly of just +0.4°F, so about average for the time of year—no surprises there.

Best on offer: If you were desperate, the clean, cross-offshore mornings on August 7th and 8th with 2-3ft south swell are the least-bad you’ll see, but honestly, it’s a board-waxing week, not a surfing one. Stick to the flat water or pray for a change in the charts.

Rusty

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