Flat Rock Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s shaping up for Flat Rock over the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, we’ve got a slow start. The first few days are a bit of a write-off with small, messy, or wind-affected conditions. There’s a real gap from Friday the 31st of July through to Saturday the 1st of August with nothing worth paddling out for. The wait is worth it though because from Sunday the 2nd things start to turn.

Sunday morning the 2nd looks promising. We’ve got a clean 5ft swell from the SSE with a light breeze keeping it tidy. The combined energy is moderate at 601, and the water temp is sitting right around average for the time of year at 69°. It’s a good, solid morning session for intermediate surfers. Not a standout, but a nice start to the run.

Now, the real standout is Monday morning the 3rd of August. This is the pick of the first week. Clean 5ft from the SE with a solid 12-second period – that’s proper groundswell energy. The wind is light offshore from the WSW, so expect clean, glassy faces. The combined energy is a solid 691, and the wave comment says "expect very good surf conditions." This is a morning for the log or the step-up, whatever you’ve got. It’s consistent, so paddle out with confidence.

The second week has a few interesting moments but nothing that screams "drop everything." Tuesday the 11th of August shows a late-day improvement with the wind switching offshore and a 3ft SSE swell coming in with a 712 combined energy. That’s a clean, gentle offshore session for the afternoon. Then Wednesday the 12th holds a similar vibe: 5ft from the S, 11-second period, and a gentle offshore wind all day. Combined energy is 790. It’s not huge, but it’s clean and consistent.

Friday the 14th of August sees a fresh offshore wind from the W, but the swell drops to 3ft from the E. The energy is moderate at 371–439. It’s a clean option for a longboard when the onshore junk kicks in elsewhere.

The real standout in the second week, though, is Wednesday the 12th of August. That consistent 5ft S swell with the gentle offshore and high energy (790) is as good as it gets in this run. The water is still about average for the season, and the crowd factor is "sometimes" here, so you might have a few mates out, but it’s never a zoo.

Remember, the long-period groundswells (like that 12-second stuff) are best at this reef setup, so Flat Rock should handle it well. No need to worry about it breaking too straight here.

Overall, don’t get too excited about the first few days, but from Sunday the 2nd onward there’s a solid window of clean, rideable surf. The standout is Monday the 3rd and Wednesday the 12th. Make the call.

Rusty.

Read more