Sebastian Inlet-Third Peak Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here, looking at the forecast for the next couple of weeks.

Honestly, I’ve got to be straight with you. For the next week and a half, it’s looking pretty grim. We’re in a real flat spell, and there’s next to nothing on offer. You’ll be looking at a solid 9-day gap where the waves are just too small to paddle for. The swell is a weak little 1 ft to 2 ft from the east or southeast, with combined energies barely cracking 20 or 30 (weak energy). It’s a real bummer, but that’s how it goes sometimes.

The first real glimmer of hope shows up on the morning of Wednesday, August 26th. The swell is still tiny at 1 ft from the ESE, but the wind goes glassy and calm. The combined energy is a weak 42, but it’s the cleanest we’ve seen. It’s still pretty ordinary, but it’s the first day you could actually get wet.

Things start to get a little more interesting towards the very end of the forecast. The mornings of Thursday, August 27th and Friday, August 28th are looking like the best bets. On Thursday morning, we’ll see a 2 ft swell from the east with a solid 13-second period, and combined energy climbing to 131 (moderate). The wind is light and cross-off from the WSW, keeping it clean. That’s a real groundswell pulse, which means better energy but longer gaps between sets. At Sebastian Inlet-Third Peak (Florida), that kind of longer period swell can offer up some nice shape. Friday morning is similar, with a 2 ft E swell, 11-second period, and a cross-off westerly, with energy at 198 (moderate). The water is sitting at a warm 84°, which is about average for this time of year.

If you’re patient, those two mornings late in the month are your best shot. For the rest of it, it’s a waiting game. The forecast is less certain that far out, but it’s looking promising. Don’t hold your breath for the afternoons, though – the seabreezes swing onshore and chop things up.

Stay tuned, and I’ll let you know if anything changes.

Rusty.

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