Sebastian Inlet-Third Peak Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here.
Alright, let’s be straight with you – it’s a flat spell. For Sebastian Inlet-Third Peak (a beach/jetty setup), we’re looking at a long quiet run through the entire forecast period. No standouts, nothing worth paddling out for. From Wednesday the 8th of July right through to the end of the window on Thursday the 23rd of July, we’ve got nothing but poor surf conditions on every single session. That’s a solid 16-day gap with no recommendation, so don’t bother waxing up just yet.

Early on, Wednesday morning the 8th gives us a tiny 1 ft of east swell with a short period of 8 seconds – combined wave energy is weak at 14, and the water temperature sits at 84°F, which is about average for the time of year with a slight 0.5°F anomaly. Wind is light cross-off from the south at 3 mph, so the surface is clean, but there’s just no energy behind it. That east-northeast optimum swell direction is what the spot likes, but the swell height never gets more than 3 ft and the period mostly stays short at 4-10 seconds.

The afternoon of Wednesday the 8th, the breeze picks up to 16 mph from the southeast making it cross and choppy – still nothing. Thursday the 9th morning is clean again with 1 ft east swell at 9 seconds, but the energy is still weak at 34.

There’s a tiny uptick on Tuesday the 14th afternoon – 3 ft from the southeast at a short, weak 4 seconds, but the wind goes cross at 16 mph, creating lumpy conditions. Then Friday the 17th afternoon sees the biggest swell of the whole run – 3 ft southeast at 5 seconds, but again, cross wind at 16 mph and a combined energy of only 54, which is weak. For a beach/jetty break, that short period southeast swell won’t form properly, and the wind spoils it.

With the wave energy staying below 100 the entire time, this is just not surfable. Between the small size, short periods, and mostly cross or onshore wind, you’d be better off doing something else.

If you’re desperate, the cleanest windows are the mornings of Sunday the 12th, Monday the 13th, and Thursday the 23rd, when we get light offshore or glassy conditions – but with 1 ft to 1 ft of weak east swell, it’s barely rideable even for a foamie.

Bottom line: there are no good surf options in the 16-day window. The forecasts can change, but for now, this is a classic Florida summer flat spell. Keep the board in the car and hope the tropics spin something up.

Stay tuned,
Rusty

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