Sebastian Inlet-First Peak Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it.

Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you – the surf window for Sebastian Inlet-First Peak is looking flat. Really flat. There’s a massive gap of nothing good for the entire 16-day run. The first few days of the forecast are all “poor surf conditions” with tiny swell, and that theme just keeps rolling. You’ll be waiting a long time for anything rideable.

We start on Thursday, July 30th with a miserable 0.7ft of east swell, period at 9 seconds, and cross-off wind. The combined energy is only 7 (weak) – it’s barely a ripple. That sets the tone for the whole period. Friday, July 31st is even worse with 0.3ft, energy down to 3 (weak). Saturday, August 1st, we get a glassy morning with a light WSW wind – that’s nice for the water surface, but the swell is still just 1.0ft, period 9 seconds, and energy is only 16 (weak). It’s a beautiful morning for a paddle, not a ride.

The water temperature is sitting at 82°F, which is 2°F colder than normal for this time of year – a bit cooler than you’d expect, but not a shocker.

As we push into the first week of August, the swell tries to lift a little. On Monday, August 3rd, we see a combined energy of 37 (still weak) with 1ft east swell, period 8 seconds. Still poor. Tuesday, August 4th, the swell direction shifts to ESE with a short, weak period of 4 seconds and energy at 22 (weak) – that’s windswell junk. By Wednesday, August 5th, the morning is glassy but the swell is 2ft of east windswell at 5 seconds, energy 24 (weak). It’s just not enough.

The whole second week is more of the same – tiny east swell, constant cross-shore or cross-onshore winds, and energy numbers that never break into the moderate range. The highest energy we see is 45 (weak) on Saturday, August 8th afternoon, with 2ft east swell at 8 seconds and an onshore breeze. For a break that’s exposed to NE swell, this is a total bust.

There is a brief moment on Sunday, August 9th morning with glassy conditions and a light SSW wind, but the swell is still only 1ft. Again, nice for a swim, not for surfing. The final days of the forecast are just as poor – 0.7ft to 1.0ft, weak energy, and nothing to get excited about.

Honestly, this is a blank run. There are no standouts, no “best on offer.” The whole 16 days is a write-off for surf. The only positive is that this spot is very consistent, so it tends not to stay this flat for long – forecasts can change, and we might see a pulse pop up later. But for now, leave the boards at home. If you’re desperate for time on the water, the beach setup might be more interesting for a kite session than a paddle.

Rusty.

Read more