Sebastian Inlet-First Peak Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get to it. The outlook’s for Sebastian Inlet-First Peak, a beach and jetty setup that’s very consistent and exposed to NE swell. Right now, the water’s sitting at 83°F, which is about 1°F cooler than average for this time of year – nothing unusual, just a touch on the fresh side.

Honestly, buddy, it’s a tough run ahead. The next week and a half is looking pretty flat. We’ve got a long dry spell starting from Monday 20 July right through to the end of the month. Swell heights are barely scraping 0.7ft to 2ft with periods mostly around 8 seconds – that’s weak, short-period windswell. The wind is a mix of cross and cross-off, but with the energy so low (combined energy values are all in the low double digits, like 9 to 78), it’s just not worth paddling out. There’s a few mornings where it’s glassy or clean, like Friday 24 July morning (glass, 1ft, E swell) and Tuesday 28 July morning (offshore, 1ft), but the swell’s too small to do anything with.

The first faint glimmer shows up on Saturday 25 July morning – we get a “surfable waves but very ordinary conditions” note, with 2ft from the east, period 8 seconds, and a light cross-off breeze from the SSE. Combined energy is a weak 61. It’s surfable, but I’m not calling it a standout. It’s better than the rest, but that’s a low bar.

From there, it’s back to the same story: tiny east swell, 1.0ft to 2ft, with periods hanging around 8 to 10 seconds. The wind offers some clean windows – Monday 27 July morning with WNW cross-off, Tuesday 28 July morning with SW offshore, Wednesday 29 July morning with SW offshore – but the swell just isn’t there. The combined energy stays in the teens and twenties (like 18 to 33), so it’s barely a ripple.

We roll into August with the same flat pattern. Saturday 1 August and Sunday 2 August have 1.0ft to 1ft east swell, light onshore winds, and energy in the teens. Monday 3 August is more of the same. Tuesday 4 August morning drops to 0.7ft with energy of only 7 – that’s about as weak as it gets.

So, the truth is: there’s no standout in this 16-day window. The best session is probably Saturday 25 July morning, but even then it’s a 1 out of 10, tiny, and ordinary. With the swell this small and the period short, the jetty might offer a little wedge, but it’s a struggle. For beginners, it’s safe because it’s small, but there’s nothing to ride. For experts, it’s a waste of time. Honestly, this setup looks more interesting for a kite session than a paddle session if the wind picks up.

It’s a rough patch. But this place is very consistent, so it tends not to stay poor for long. Forecasts can change. Hang tight.

Rusty.

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