Sebastian Inlet-First Peak Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s talk waves for Sebastian Inlet. I’ve been staring at this stretch of coast for you, and I’ve got to be straight with you: it’s a tough look for the next couple of weeks. For the better part of the next two weeks, we are staring down a whole lot of nothing. The swell stays tiny, mostly around 0ft to 1ft, with weak energy all the way through. We’re talking combined energy figures in the teens and twenties – that’s a lake, not an ocean. You’ll see mornings where it’s glassy, like Friday the 14th and Thursday the 20th, or even that dead-calm one on Friday the 21st, but it’s still just flat. On top of that, most afternoons get chopped up by a sea breeze, so don’t get your hopes up for any evening sessions. This stretch is just about as poor as it gets.

Now, there’s a little flicker of life on Thursday the 27th. That morning, a small groundswell shows up with about 1ft, but the period jumps way up to 13 seconds. That’s a long-period swell, so it’ll have some push to it, even if it’s small. The energy ticks up to 62, which is still weak, but it’s *something*. The wind is glassy, too. It’s still a rough one, so keep your expectations in the gutter, but at least it’s surfable. The afternoon gets messy with a cross-shore breeze, so if you’re going, get out early.

Then, the real standout. Mark your calendars for Saturday the 29th. The morning is the one true gem of this whole forecast. We’ve got swell building to a clean 5ft, coming from the east, with a 12-second period. The combined energy jumps all the way to 576, which is that moderate-to-strong push we’ve been craving. Wind is light and offshore from the west, so it’s going to be clean and lined up at the jetty. This is the pick of the entire window. The afternoon, though, the swell bumps up a touch to 5ft, but the wind swings onshore from the east-southeast and it’ll get chopped, making it marginal. So that Saturday morning session is your window. The water is sitting right at 84°, which is about average for this time of year, so nothing weird there.

So, bottom line: suffer through the flat spell, keep an eye on that Thursday morning, but the real dawn patrol is on the 29th. That’s the one with proper size and clean conditions. It’s a long way out, so treat it as promising but not locked in yet. Stay patient.

- Rusty

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