Sebastian Inlet-First Peak Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it. The outlook for the next two and a half weeks is a tough one for surfers. There’s a long stretch of very small, weak surf ahead, so patience is going to be the name of the game.

The first recommendation is for Tuesday morning, July 28th, at Sebastian Inlet-First Peak, a beach and jetty setup. The swell is tiny, just 1ft from the east, with a period of 8 seconds. The combined energy is a weak 15, so there’s not much push. The good news is the wind is light offshore from the WSW, so the surface will be clean. Water temperature is 82°, which is a bit colder than normal for this time of year – about 2° cooler than average. This is a day for the longboard or a log, just to get wet. The crowd profile is “sometimes,” so you might have some company.

The pattern stays flat for days. Through Wednesday and Thursday the swell stays at 0.7ft to 1ft, with energy dropping further. By Friday morning, July 31st, the energy is down to just 3, and the swell is barely 0.3ft. This is a real lull.

The first weekend of August, Saturday the 1st and Sunday the 2nd, we see a very slight bump, with the swell reaching 1ft by Sunday and the energy climbing to 35. Still, the period is short at 8 seconds, and the wind is cross-off from the SSE. It’s clean, but the waves are gutless.

The real tease comes on Monday, August 3rd. The swell picks up a bit, hitting 2ft from the ESE in the morning, but the period drops to a terrible 5 seconds. That’s pure windswell, with no power. The energy is 27, which is still weak. By the afternoon, it gets messy with a cross-shore wind.

The best of a bad bunch looks to be Tuesday, August 4th, and Wednesday, August 5th. On the 4th, the morning is glassy with a 2ft swell from the ESE, period of 4 seconds. The energy is 21. The 5th offers a glassy start with 1ft from the east. The “glass” conditions are a real treat for the eyes, but the swell is tiny. These are the two standouts, but only because the wind is perfect – no one is going to be surfing anything of consequence.

There’s another gap from the 6th through the 11th of August, with all swell under 1ft and energy levels in the teens. The 7th and 8th offer nothing. The 9th of August starts with a flat calm, glassy morning, but still only 1ft.

The final day in the window, Wednesday, August 12th, shows a morning with 0.7ft from the ENE with a period of 8 seconds, and a clean cross-off wind. The energy is 11. It’s not enough to get excited about.

The bottom line: this is a solid 16-day run of poor surf. The only true standouts are the glassy mornings of August 4th and 5th, but only if you’re desperate for a clean, micro-session. The northeast swell direction is not giving the inlet any love, and the optimum is from the NE. The consistent offshore winds are a silver lining, but without any swell size, it’s a washout. For the most part, the setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing, given the consistent wind and small, weak surf.

Rusty.

Read more