Sebastian Inlet-First Peak Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you—this is a quiet stretch for Sebastian Inlet-First Peak (beach/jetty). We’re looking at a long, flat spell with no real surf to get excited about for the first week and a half. The waves are tiny, the energy is weak, and the conditions are just not cooperating. It’s going to be a challenge to find a rideable wave for a while.

The water is sitting at 84°, which is pretty much normal for this time of year, so no surprises there.

Starting Thursday, July 9th through the morning of Tuesday, July 14th, we’ve got nothing but ankle-snappers. Swell heights are stuck at 1ft to 1ft, with periods around 8 seconds. The combined energy is barely registering (37 to 14), and the wind is mostly cross-off or cross, which is about the only good thing – at least it’s not howling onshore. But honestly, you’re better off taking a longboard and a book, because the surf is poor.

The gap really stretches out. From July 9th all the way to July 18th, there’s just nothing doing. The energy stays low, the swell is tiny, and the whole system feels flat.

Now, we finally see a little pulse around Saturday, July 18th afternoon. The swell bumps up to 2ft from the SE, but with a period of just 3 seconds—that’s pure wind chop. The wind turns offshore from the SW, which is clean, and the energy is still only 16. It’s small, short-period, and not worth paddling out for unless you’re desperate for a splash.

The next morning, Sunday, July 19th, we’re back down to 0.7ft. Not much to say.

Then, a slightly better moment arrives on Monday, July 20th morning. We get a 2ft swell from the SE, period of 4 seconds, and the wind is offshore from the SW. It’s clean, but the energy is still weak at 15. It’s the same story on Tuesday, July 21st morning: 2ft from the ESE, period 4 seconds, offshore wind, energy 19. Still not a proper swell, but it’s the closest we get to something rideable for a beginner on a foamie.

The outlook improves a bit toward the end of the window. On Wednesday, July 22nd, the swell starts to build. Morning sees 2ft from the ESE, period 4 seconds, with a light cross-shore wind. By Thursday, July 23rd morning, we’re up to 3ft from the ESE, period 5 seconds, and the combined energy finally reaches 60. That’s moderate energy, but the period is still short, and the wind is cross-shore. It’s not clean, but it’s the biggest surf we’ve seen in the whole forecast.

Friday, July 24th morning holds that 3ft from the E, period 5 seconds, but the wind turns cross-onshore, making it choppy. The energy is 59.

So, the standout? There isn’t a true standout here. If I had to pick one session that’s the best of a bad bunch, it’s Thursday, July 23rd morning. That 3ft from the ESE is the biggest surf, and the wind is light cross-shore, so it’s at least not blown out. It’s still small and short-period, but it’s the only time the swell breaks the 3ft mark. For a summer flat spell, that’s your best bet. The inlet can sometimes focus that little bit of energy, but with a period of 5 seconds, don’t expect much shape.

Crowds are going to be low because there’s nothing to compete for, but if that Thursday morning bump shows up, a few locals might paddle out.

Sorry, folks, it’s a tough run. The surf is poor, and the forecasts have to change a lot for things to get good. But hey, that’s July in Florida sometimes. Keep the board waxed and hope for a better pulse.

Rusty.

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