Sebastian Inlet-First Peak Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get real about what we’re looking at for the next two weeks. I’ve got the charts for Sebastian Inlet-First Peak right here, and I’ll be straight with you – it’s a flat spell.

The next 16 days are a tough go. For the first week, from Friday the 24th of July all the way through to Friday the 31st, we’re looking at tiny, weak swell. The combined energy is mostly in the low double digits, barely cracking 126 (moderate wave energy) on Friday the 24th afternoon, but that’s about it. After that, it’s a downward slide into the teens and single digits. That’s weak energy, no two ways about it. Swell heights are peaking at 3 ft from the east, but that's a short-period 8-second windswell, so it’s going to be weak and crumbly.

The water temp is 82°F which is a bit colder than normal for this time of year, about 2°F off the average. Nothing too wild, but you’ll feel it’s slightly cooler than usual on that first Friday.

Now, for the standouts – and I use the term loosely – Saturday the 25th morning is about the cleanest you’ll see it. We get a glassy, offshore wind from the SSE at 3 mph, but the swell is only 2 ft from the east with that same short 8-second period. It’s clean, but there’s no power. If you’ve got a foamy, it might be worth a paddle, but a proper shortboard is going to be a slog.

After that, we get a consistent run of clean conditions, especially the mornings on the 26th, 27th, and 28th, with offshore or cross-offshore winds. But the swell just isn't there. It's all 1.0 ft to 2 ft. It’s like a lake with a light breeze.

Then we hit a real dead zone. From July 31st through to August 6th, the combined energy is mostly below 25. That’s as flat as it gets. The 7th of August shows a tiny blip: 2 ft from the east, but with a 7-second period, and a light cross-shore wind. The energy is 54, which is still weak, and it’s still a poor surf condition call.

Honestly, there is no true standout. Nothing here gets a recommendation. The best on offer, if you’re desperate, is that Saturday the 25th morning – glassy and clean, but only 2 ft and short period. Or, if you’re patient, the morning of Tuesday the 4th of August is dead calm and glassy, but again, only 1 ft. You’d be better off with a longboard and a lot of patience.

Given how weak and inconsistent the swell is, this is a classic summer lull for the area. It’s not unusual to see a blank run like this. Forecasts can change, but right now, there’s nothing to get excited about.

Rusty.

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