Surf Forecasts:
Bajo el Medio surf forecast from 8 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 12 Jul, 7PM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.4m), 8s period, NW swell with 25 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Bajo el Medio this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Bajo el Medio in the next 16 days are 0.4m 8s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 12) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 8s period and expected on Sunday (Jul 12) at 4PM.
| Wave Type | Time (WEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 7PM (Sun 12th Jul) | 1.5ft (0.4m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Bajo el Medio over the next 16 days.
Alright, grab a coffee, I’ll run through it in feet and miles. Rusty here, and it’s a grim outlook for Bajo el Medio. Over the next 16 days, there’s hardly a sniff of decent surf. This is a sheltered reef break that usually cleans up with good wind, but we’re stuck with onshore breezes and tiny swell. The water temp on Tuesday afternoon is 72° – a touch warmer than usual for this time of year (the anomaly is 1° above average), so it’s a little bath-like but not crazy.
From Tuesday 7th July through Wednesday 22nd July, it’s all “poor surf conditions” – no recommendations at all. First few days we’re looking at swell heights around 0.3ft to 1ft, with periods as short as 4 seconds – basically wind chop. The combined wave energy is weak, in the single digits to low teens (combined energy of all swells directed here: 2 to 12). Not worth driving for.
A couple of mornings, like Thursday 16th July and Monday 20th July, show a slight nudge – swell hits about 3ft and 2ft, but the wind is on or cross-on from the NNE, making it choppy. Periods are still short, 7 to 8 seconds. The energy climbs to 69 and 34 (combined energy of all swells directed here: 69 and 34), still weak. Cross-on wind at 20-30 mph just ruins any chance of a clean face.
The best patch is around Saturday 18th July. Swell hits 3ft from the NE, period 8-9 seconds, and energy breaks into triple digits at 102 (combined energy of all swells directed here: 102). That’s the most push we get. But the wind is still cross-on from the N at 20-25 mph, so it’s lumpy and messy. It’s the closest we get to a “maybe,” but it’s not a standout.
By Sunday 19th July, wind picks up to 30 mph from the N, and things get even worse – 3ft swell but fresh cross-on wind that’s just unpleasant. The optimum swell direction for this break is NW, but we’re stuck with NE and NNE the whole way – that direction mismatch kills any real potential.
So, plain and simple: there is no good surf in this 16-day window. Not one recommendation. It’s a blank run, and for this area, that happens when the wind doesn’t cooperate and the swell comes from the wrong angle. This is an inconsistent spot, so a stretch like this is normal. If you’re desperate, keep an eye on Saturday 18th July – it’s the only day with any real energy, but don’t expect magic. Best to wait it out.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 24°C on Wed afternoon, min 19°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 22°C on Sun afternoon, min 20°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tue 7 | Wednesday 8 | Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | |||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 4 | NE 6 | NE 5 | NE 4 | NW 10 | NW 4 | ENE 5 | N 3 | N 3 | NW 5 | NW 6 | NNW 5 | NW 5 | NNE 5 | NW 11 | NNW 10 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NNW 8 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 4 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 24 | 23 | 23 | 10 | 7 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on |
High Tide | 7:21PM1.98m | 8:05AM1.83m | 8:26PM1.91m | 9:15AM1.85m | 9:42PM1.90m | 10:27AM1.92m | 10:58PM1.96m | 11:34AM2.06m | 00:06AM2.06m | 12:34PM2.22m | 1:06AM2.18m | 1:28PM2.39m | 1:59AM2.27m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 1:43AM0.53m | 2:05PM0.68m | 2:49AM0.56m | 3:22PM0.66m | 4:02AM0.54m | 4:40PM0.57m | 5:12AM0.47m | 5:50PM0.41m | 6:15AM0.37m | 6:51PM0.24m | 7:10AM0.26m | 7:46PM0.09m | 8:00AM0.17m | ||||||||
 |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | — | 7:03 | — | — | 7:03 | — | — | 7:03 | — | — | 7:05 | — | — | 7:05 | — | — | 7:05 | — | — | 7:05 |
 | 8:57 | — | — | 8:57 | — | — | 8:55 | — | — | 8:55 | — | — | 8:55 | — | — | 8:55 | — | — | 8:55 | — | 8:54 |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 23 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 22 | 20 | 21 | 20 | 21 | 21 | 20 | 21 | 21 | 21 | 21 | 22 | 21 | 21 | 21 | 20 | 21 |
Feels °C | 23 | 22 | 23 | 23 | 21 | 21 | 20 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 21 | 21 | 21 | 21 | 21 | 20 | 20 | 19 | 18 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 4 | NE 6 | NE 5 | NE 4 | NE 6 | ENE 5 | ENE 5 | NW 9 | NW 9 | ENE 5 | NW 6 | NW 9 | NW 5 | NW 8 | WNW 9 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NNW 8 |
| kJ | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 24 | 23 | 23 | 10 | 6 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 5 | NW 4 | NW 4 | NW 4 | NW 10 | NW 10 | NW 10 | W 6 | W 6 | NW 9 | NW 9 | — | NW 8 | NW 5 | NW 5 | NNW 10 | N 10 | NW 8 | W 7 | N 8 | NW 9 |
| kJ | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | — | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 8 | W 8 | W 8 | W 7 | W 7 | W 7 | W 7 | — | — | W 6 | — | — | NE 4 | — | NW 11 | — | — | N 10 | N 9 | — | N 9 |
| kJ | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — | 5 | — | — | 2 | 2 | — | 2 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 4 | — | NE 5 | — | NW 4 | NW 4 | NNW 5 | N 3 | N 3 | NW 5 | — | NNW 5 | NNE 4 | NNE 5 | — | N 3 | NNE 3 | NNE 3 | NNE 3 | NNE 3 | NNE 4 |
| kJ | 4 | — | 7 | — | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 5 | — | 9 | 4 | 2 | — | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 291 | 446 | 291 | 1599 | 441 | 291 | 291 | 285 | 209 | 209 | 203 | 200 | 274 | 46 | 14 | 203 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 209 | 209 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Fuerteventura | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Spain (Africa) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Bajo el Medio Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Bajo el Medio provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Bajo el Medio can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Bajo el Medio surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Bajo el Medio) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Bajo el Medio may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Fuerteventura? If you are looking for accommodation near Bajo el Medio, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Fuerteventura, consider staying in La Oliva which is 15 km (9 miles) away. Other places in and around Fuerteventura where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Puerto del Rosario which is 26 km (16 miles) away, Puerto del Carmen, Tias and Lanzarote.
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