Bajo el Medio Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, I’m Rusty, and I’ve had a hard look at your local stretch. Let’s just get it out there – this 16-day window is a tough one. The surf forecast is basically a bust for any decent paddle. The waves are small, the wind is mostly cross-onshore or onshore, and the energy is weak. There’s a real gap with no worthwhile waves right from the start and it stays that way right through to the end of the forecast period. We’re talking two full weeks of pretty much nothing you’d want to paddle out for.

The first reef in the mix is Bajo del Medio (Rocky Point). It’s a sheltered reef break that likes a NW swell, but it’s inconsistent and rarely lines up. The water is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, sitting at 75 °F, which is a nice little bonus but not enough to save the session.

Looking at the very first day, Monday the 7th of September, we’ve got a tiny 3 ft swell from the NNE with a short period of 6 seconds. The wind is a moderate breeze from the north, cross-onshore, making it choppy and messy. The combined energy is a weak 88. It’s poor surf. Tuesday the 8th isn’t any better – a 1 ft NW swell, still cross-onshore and choppy. Wednesday the 9th sees a slight bump to 3 ft with a 7-second period, but again, cross-onshore wind and the energy is only 101. It’s not happening.

Thursday through to the end of the first week, the swell drops to 2 ft and below, winds get stronger – up to 19 mph from the north – and the conditions are lumpy and choppy. Energy readings are in the 30s and 40s. By the weekend, you’re looking at 1.0 ft and 0.7 ft waves with light onshore breezes. The second week is even worse: tiny swell, heavier winds, and the energy barely registers above 20. The best you’ll see is a 3 ft NNE swell on the morning of Wednesday the 16th, but it’s still cross-onshore and messy.

Honestly, this setup looks more like a kite surfer’s playground than a surf spot for the whole 16 days. The consistent cross-onshore wind and small, weak swell mean the waves won’t hold shape. For a paddle surfer, there’s nothing to chase. This is a blank run – it’s normal for this area when the swell direction and wind just don’t line up. Stick to the land, mate. Forecasts can always change, but right now, it’s a total write-off.

Rusty

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