Bajo el Medio Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, it’s Rusty. Let’s have a look at what’s on offer around here.

Honestly, the outlook for the next couple of weeks is a real flat spell. We’ve got Bajo el Medio as the only break on the radar, and it’s a sheltered reef set-up that’s rarely consistent, so it’s no surprise things are looking pretty quiet. The combined ocean energy barely gets a pulse, and for the first week and a half, the conditions are ruled out by persistent cross-onshore winds and small, weak swell. There’s no surf worth paddling out for at all over the next 16 days – every single session is marked as poor surf. That’s a long stretch with nothing to recommend.

The time from now right through to the end of the 16-day window is a blank run. The swell heights never get above 2 ft, and the swell periods are short, mostly between 4 and 9 seconds, so there’s no real push. The combined swell energy sits at tiny numbers, never even reaching 100 – for example, the highest is 66 (Monday 10 August morning), and most days are in the teens or twenties. That’s weak energy, no doubt about it. Winds are from the north to north-northeast, blowing cross-on or cross-shore, with speeds of 9 to 19 mph, so it’s choppy and lumpy, not clean. On the 22nd and 23rd of August, the wind shifts to onshore, but the swell is still only 0.7 ft – not enough to bother.

The only break we have is Bajo el Medio, a reef break that’s inconsistent and rarely breaks, which is typical for this area when it’s flat. It’s sheltered from the swell, and the optimum direction is from the northwest, but the swell coming in is from the northeast or north-northeast, so it’s not even lining up properly. The water temperature is about average for the time of year, nothing unusual reported.

Given the tiny swell and strong onshore winds, if you’re desperate for a session, this set-up looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing. But for a surfer, there’s nothing to get excited about. It’s a quiet run, but that’s the norm here when the swell window shuts. Forecasts can change, but right now, I’d say keep the board in the car and wait for the next pulse.

Rusty

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