Surf Forecasts:
Bajo el Medio surf forecast from 12 Sep 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 17 Sep, 10AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 8s period, NNE swell with 80 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Bajo el Medio this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Bajo el Medio in the next 16 days are 0.8m 8s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 17) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.2m 9s period and expected on Sunday (Sep 13) at 4AM.
| Wave Type | Time (WEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 10AM (Thu 17th Sep) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Bajo el Medio over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Gather 'round, surfers. Rusty here, and I've gotta level with you about Bajo el Medio for the next couple of weeks. The overall pattern is a long, flat, and frustrating wait. There's no real surf on offer for the foreseeable future, with the first couple of weeks looking like a complete write-off.
Let's break it down. From Saturday the 12th right through to at least Sunday the 27th of September, conditions are consistently poor. We're talking tiny wave heights, mostly under 2 ft, and relentless cross-onshore winds from the north-northwest and north. The combined swell energy barely gets out of the double digits for most of this stretch, with values like 21, 17, and 35 (weak energy) dominating the chart. The water temp is sitting at a pretty normal 75°, nothing unusual there.
Look, there's a glimmer of something on Sunday the 21st. The swell kicks up to a whopping 1 ft from the NNW with a period of 15 seconds, giving a combined energy of 58 (weak energy). That's a long-period groundswell, which at a sheltered reef like Bajo el Medio could actually produce a clean little wave, especially with those light, variable winds. But let's be real, it's still tiny, and this spot is *inconsistent* at the best of times.
This is a spot that's sheltered from the main swell direction and needs a very precise NW flow to work. The finder data shows that from the 12th to the 27th, the forecast is just a steady diet of weak, short-period windswell with poor winds. It's a classic blank run for an area that sees this kind of flat spell more often than not. The setup could be interesting for a kite, but for a paddle surfer, there's just nothing to get excited about until at least the end of the month, and even then it's a huge maybe.
Rusty, signing off.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 29°C on Tue morning, min 22°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 28°C on Tue afternoon, min 21°C on Wed night). Winds increasing (light winds from the N on Tue night, fresh winds from the N by Thu afternoon). | |||||||||||||||||||
Sat 12 | Sunday 13 | Monday 14 | Tuesday 15 | Wednesday 16 | Thursday 17 | Friday 18 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNW 8 | NW 8 | NE 8 | NE 8 | NE 8 | NE 8 | NNW 12 | NNW 12 | NNW 11 | NNW 11 | ENE 8 | NE 7 | NE 7 | NE 7 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NW 11 | NE 6 | NW 10 | NNW 6 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 35 | 15 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 27 | 39 | 80 | 63 | 20 | 12 | 27 | 13 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on |
High Tide | 3:22AM2.40m | 3:36PM2.48m | 3:55AM2.32m | 4:10PM2.31m | 4:27AM2.20m | 4:44PM2.11m | 5:00AM2.05m | 5:19PM1.90m | 5:36AM1.88m | 6:01PM1.69m | 6:23AM1.71m | 7:02PM1.51m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 9:11PM-0.01m | 9:21AM0.08m | 9:43PM0.09m | 9:55AM0.17m | 10:13PM0.24m | 10:29AM0.30m | 10:44PM0.41m | 11:05AM0.47m | 11:17PM0.59m | 11:45AM0.65m | 11:56PM0.78m | 12:40PM0.83m | 00:56AM0.94m | |||||||
 |  | | | | | | | | | | | |  |  | | | | | | |
 | — | — | 7:39 | — | — | 7:39 | — | — | 7:39 | — | — | 7:39 | — | — | 7:41 | — | — | 7:41 | — | — |
 | 8:04 | — | — | 8:02 | — | — | 8:01 | — | — | 8:00 | — | — | 7:59 | — | — | 7:58 | — | — | 7:57 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 24 | 22 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 29 | 28 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 22 |
Feels °C | 23 | 23 | 24 | 26 | 27 | 26 | 27 | 27 | 28 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 25 | 23 | 19 | 18 | 17 | 19 | 20 | 19 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 7 | NE 6 | NE 8 | NE 8 | NE 8 | NE 8 | WNW 9 | NNW 12 | NNW 11 | NNW 11 | ENE 8 | NE 7 | NE 7 | NW 10 | NW 10 | WNW 10 | ENE 6 | NE 6 | NW 10 | NE 6 |
| kJ | 12 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 27 | 16 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 6 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 10 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 5 | NW 6 | WNW 10 | NE 8 | WNW 9 | NE 8 | NE 8 | NW 10 | NW 8 | NW 11 | N 8 | NW 10 | ENE 9 | NW 11 | NNW 11 | NE 9 | NNW 10 |
| kJ | 10 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 12 | 3 | 9 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 10 | NNW 6 | NNW 12 | NE 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 11 | NW 8 | — | — | NW 12 | — | NNE 8 | — | NW 9 |
| kJ | — | 8 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 3 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 2 | — | — | 6 | — | 6 | — | 3 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNW 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NW 4 | NW 4 | NW 4 | NW 4 | NE 7 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | N 4 | NNW 4 | N 6 | NNW 6 |
| kJ | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 39 | 80 | 63 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 13 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 291 | 9 | 9 | 47 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 14 | 271 | 14 | 209 | 14 | 209 | 209 | 209 | 209 | 183 | 291 | 14 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Fuerteventura | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Spain (Africa) | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Bajo el Medio Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Bajo el Medio provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Bajo el Medio can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Bajo el Medio surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Bajo el Medio) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Bajo el Medio may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Fuerteventura? If you are looking for accommodation near Bajo el Medio, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Fuerteventura, consider staying in La Oliva which is 15 km (9 miles) away. Other places in and around Fuerteventura where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Puerto del Rosario which is 26 km (16 miles) away, Puerto del Carmen, Tias and Lanzarote.
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