Surf Forecasts:
Bajo el Medio surf forecast from 15 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 18 Jul, 1PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 8s period, NE swell with 78 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Bajo el Medio this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Bajo el Medio in the next 16 days are 0.8m 8s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 18) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.2m 10s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 10AM.
| Wave Type | Time (WEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 1PM (Sat 18th Jul) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Bajo el Medio over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, let’s get real about the surf. Bajo el Medio (Rocky Point) is the only game in town, and it’s a sheltered reef that doesn’t break often. Over the next sixteen days, it’s a total bust. No good waves at all.
The first week kicks off Wednesday the 15th with tiny, weak swell. Wednesday morning shows a 1ft NE swell at 5 seconds, with a light NNE breeze on it. The combined energy is a weak 7. It’s flat. From Thursday the 16th through the end of the first week, it’s a mess of cross-onshore winds, mostly from the N or NNE at 15 to 19 mph, chopping everything up. Swell heights barely reach 3ft, with short periods under 8 seconds. The water temperature is about normal for the season, but you won’t care.
There’s a long gap of several days with no recommendations, through the entire first week and into the second. The only change comes on the 25th of July, Saturday morning, when the swell hits 4ft from the NNE, period 8 seconds, and the combined energy hits 192 (moderate). But it’s still cross-onshore, with a N wind at 16 mph, and the surf is rated poor. The afternoon drops back to 2ft. The 26th of July, Sunday afternoon, sees the biggest swell of the whole run: 4ft from the NE, period 8 seconds, combined energy 258 (moderate). Still, the wind is a fresh cross-onshore from the N at 19 mph, making it lumpy and ugly.
The final days, from the 27th to the 30th, are the same: small, short-period swell, persistent cross-onshore winds, and poor conditions. The 29th and 30th see the swell drop to 1ft to 2ft with periods as low as 3 seconds, combined energy in the single digits. There’s nothing to paddle for. For an inconsistent spot like this, a blank run is just how it goes. Forecasts can change, but right now, it’s a no-go.
Stay patient, Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 24°C on Thu morning, min 20°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 23°C on Sat morning, min 21°C on Fri night). Mainly fresh winds. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 5 | NE 5 | NE 6 | NE 6 | ENE 6 | NE 7 | NE 8 | ENE 8 | NE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | NE 8 | NNE 7 | NE 8 | NNE 7 | NE 7 | NE 7 | NNE 7 | NNE 7 | NNE 7 | NNE 7 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 6 | 21 | 8 | 43 | 17 | 23 | 57 | 42 | 59 | 43 | 43 | 57 | 44 | 28 | 42 | 12 | 13 | 27 | 36 | 36 | 40 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on |
High Tide | 3:05PM2.60m | 3:35AM2.32m | 3:50PM2.62m | 4:20AM2.27m | 4:35PM2.55m | 5:04AM2.18m | 5:19PM2.41m | 5:48AM2.06m | 6:04PM2.23m | 6:34AM1.94m | 6:52PM2.02m | 7:25AM1.82m | 7:46PM1.82m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 8:47AM0.12m | 9:24PM-0.05m | 9:31AM0.12m | 10:09PM-0.02m | 10:15AM0.17m | 10:54PM0.08m | 10:58AM0.27m | 11:37PM0.23m | 11:42AM0.40m | 00:21AM0.39m | 12:29PM0.55m | 1:07AM0.56m | 1:24PM0.70m | 2:00AM0.71m | |||||||
 | |  | | | | | | | |  | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 7:07 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | 7:09 | — | — | 7:09 | — | — | 7:09 | — | — |
 | — | 8:54 | — | — | 8:54 | — | — | 8:53 | — | — | 8:53 | — | — | 8:53 | — | — | 8:52 | — | — | 8:52 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 22 | 23 | 22 | 24 | 24 | 22 | 23 | 23 | 21 | 23 | 22 | 21 | 22 | 22 | 21 | 22 | 22 | 21 | 22 | 22 | 21 |
Feels °C | 21 | 22 | 22 | 24 | 23 | 22 | 22 | 21 | 20 | 22 | 20 | 19 | 20 | 20 | 19 | 20 | 20 | 19 | 21 | 20 | 20 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 10 | ENE 5 | NE 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | NE 7 | WNW 8 | ENE 8 | NW 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | NW 8 | WNW 9 | NE 8 | WNW 8 | NE 7 | NE 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 11 | NW 11 |
| kJ | 9 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 17 | 23 | 7 | 42 | 3 | 43 | 43 | 2 | 8 | 28 | 7 | 12 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 4 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 8 | NW 8 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | — | WNW 8 | — | NW 8 | NW 8 | W 10 | W 8 | WNW 9 | — | NW 8 | NW 8 | — | NW 12 | W 7 | W 8 |
| kJ | 1 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 7 | — | 6 | — | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | — | 3 | 2 | — | 5 | 1 | 1 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 7 | NW 10 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | N 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | N 8 | N 8 |
| kJ | 1 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 5 | NE 5 | — | NE 6 | NNW 2 | NW 5 | NE 8 | N 3 | NE 8 | N 4 | NNW 6 | NE 8 | NNE 7 | NNW 6 | NNE 7 | NNW 4 | NNW 3 | NNE 7 | NNE 7 | NNE 7 | NNE 7 |
| kJ | 6 | 21 | — | 43 | 1 | 1 | 57 | 3 | 59 | 6 | 10 | 57 | 44 | 10 | 42 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 36 | 36 | 40 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 537 | 209 | 297 | 209 | 297 | 209 | 183 | 209 | 209 | 183 | 291 | 209 | 183 | 209 | 223 | 183 | 223 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Fuerteventura | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Spain (Africa) | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Bajo el Medio Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Bajo el Medio provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Bajo el Medio can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Bajo el Medio surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Bajo el Medio) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Bajo el Medio may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Fuerteventura? If you are looking for accommodation near Bajo el Medio, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Fuerteventura, consider staying in La Oliva which is 15 km (9 miles) away. Other places in and around Fuerteventura where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Puerto del Rosario which is 26 km (16 miles) away, Puerto del Carmen, Tias and Lanzarote.
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