Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Gotta be straight with you – this outlook for the region is a tough one. We’re looking at a real flat spell for the first week or so. It’s not going to be easy, but let’s walk through what’s on the table over the next 16 days.

The first few days are a write-off. From the start of the period right through to Saturday the 12th, there’s just no surf worth paddling out for. It’s a long, frustrating gap of about a week with nothing to recommend. The little energy that shows up is tiny – we’re talking swell heights under 3 ft with weak energy readings (5 to 284). The wind is mostly cross or cross-on, and the wave comments tell the whole story: "poor surf conditions" across every session.

We finally see a bit of a pulse starting on Sunday the 13th. Monday morning the 14th, there’s a swell trying to build, but the winds are still messy – a fresh breeze from the NNW making things lumpy. The energy is starting to show some numbers (376 to 540), but it’s not enough to save the session. Tuesday the 15th and Wednesday the 16th are much the same story: strong winds, cross-shore chop, and surf quality that just isn’t there. This stretch isn't for surfing, but if you're into kiteboarding, the consistent wind and building swell (up to 5 ft) might actually make it interesting.

The only real standout in this whole 16-day window, and I’m marking it on the calendar, is Friday the 18th of July. It’s not a classic, but it’s the best we’ve got. The Reef break will see some late-period energy from the NW. The swell is only around 2 ft, but the direction is from the NW, which matches the optimum swell direction for this spot (SW is ideal, but NW is close enough). The real kicker is the wind: a moderate breeze from the WSW, which is offshore for this break. Offshore wind on a reef break is a beautiful thing – it’ll keep the faces clean and make those little lines hold up. The period is 11 seconds, which is decent, giving the waves a bit of push. Crowds are often around here, so expect company. It’s not big, but it might just be clean enough for a fun session.

After that, we drop back to tiny, weak conditions (0.3 ft, energy of 3-4) for the weekend. So there you have it – a long wait, one possible window, and then back to the flat. It’s a tough stretch, but don’t bin your board just yet. Forecasts can shift.

Rusty.

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