Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming up for this spot.

Straight up, I’m not gonna sugar-coat it: this is a grim 16-day window. There’s really nothing to get excited about. The whole run is plagued by poor surf conditions, with hardly a moment where the wind and swell line up for a decent paddle. The first real suggestion of any surf doesn’t show up until Saturday, 25th July, but even then, it’s not a pretty picture.

Starting off, we’ve got a few days of tiny, weak swell. Wednesday the 22nd and Thursday the 23rd are barely a ripple, with waves around 1 ft from the WNW. The wind is onshore or cross-onshore, so it’s choppy and messy. Not worth wetting your wetsuit.

Then Friday the 24th is a little bigger, with swell pushing up to 3 ft by the afternoon, but that cross-onshore breeze is still there, making it lumpy. The combined energy is only 87 (moderate), so it’s not packing any punch.

Saturday the 25th is the biggest swell of the whole period, hitting 6 ft to 6 ft from the NW. The combined energy jumps to 288 (moderate) and 321 (moderate) – still nothing huge. But the wind is a fresh cross-onshore at 19 mph, making it lumpy and ugly. For a reef break, this is a mess. It’s too big for beginners, but not clean enough for experts. Honestly, with that wind and chop, this setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

Sunday the 26th is a weird one. The swell drops to nothing – 0.3 ft – with a very long period (15 seconds) from the south, but the wind is howling from the north at 22 mph, straight cross-shore. That’s a no-go.

From Monday the 27th all the way through to Wednesday the 6th of August, it’s a long, sad run of tiny swell, mostly under 3 ft, with persistent cross or cross-onshore winds. The only glimmer is on Monday the 3rd of August, where the swell bumps up to 3 ft with a combined energy of 104 (moderate), and the wind is a light cross-shore. That’s about as clean as it gets, but the waves are still small. Then on Wednesday the 5th of August, the swell gets a bit more energy (227, moderate) and a better period of 11 seconds from the WNW, but the wind is a fresh cross-shore, so it’s lumpy again.

The water temperature is sitting at 69°F, which is about normal for this time of year, so at least you won’t freeze while you’re sitting there waiting for a wave that never comes.

Bottom line: don’t bother. This is a blank run. If you absolutely have to paddle, the best of a bad bunch is the morning of Monday the 3rd of August, with light cross-shore wind and a little bit of energy. But even that’s a stretch.

Rusty.

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