Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on offer for this stretch of coast.

Honestly, it’s a rough run. We’re looking at a solid two and a half weeks of pretty much nothing to get excited about. The whole sixteen-day window is a write-off for any decent waves. Every single day, for every session, the forecast is calling it "poor surf conditions." There’s no sugarcoating it – this is one of those stretches where you’d be better off waxing the longboard for a flat day paddle, or just taking the time to fix the dings.

The only break in the forecast is Reef, an advanced, fairly consistent reef break. It’s exposed to the swell and works best with a southwest swell direction. The water temp is sitting at 67°, which is about average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

The first few days, from Thursday the 9th through to the end of the first week, are tiny. We’re talking knee-high leftovers, with swell heights barely scraping 2 ft and a weak combined energy reading (around 85). The wind is a mess – mostly cross-onshore and choppy, with a moderate breeze. It’s just not worth the paddle out.

There’s a slight bump in the middle of the second week, around Saturday the 18th. The swell jumps to 5 ft, with a combined energy of 242 – that’s the most energy we’ll see all forecast period. But here’s the kicker: the wind is cross-shore and fresh, blowing at 18 to 22 mph, creating a lumpy, ugly cross-chop. The swell is from the NNW with a short period of 6 seconds, so it’s going to be messy and weak. For a reef break, that’s not a recipe for clean waves. It’s more of a kite-surfing wind than a paddle-surfing swell.

After that, things drop right back off. The last few days of July and into the 24th see a little more size (4 ft) but the wind is still fresh and onshore, killing any chance of quality. The energy picks up a bit (around 180), but with the wind and short period, it’s a no-go.

So, bottom line: there’s no standout session here. Not a single one. If you’re desperate for a surf, you’d be waiting for a change in the forecast, because as it stands, this region is flat, windy, and ugly for the whole sixteen days.

- Rusty

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