Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, grab a coffee, let’s talk about what’s happening. Honestly, mate, this stretch is a tough one. We’ve got a 16-day window here, but it’s mostly a write-off. The whole period kicks off with no real surf to speak of, and honestly, it’s going to be a long, quiet run. The first few days are a total dud – we’re looking at tiny, weak, messy conditions with no energy behind them. There’s a real gap of about four days before anything even worth paddling out for shows up.

Sunday morning the 12th is the first glimpse of something. The swell bumps up a touch, but the waves are still very ordinary. We’ve got a bit of combo of short-period NW groundswell pushing in around 3ft, but the energy behind it is still only moderate (148). The wind, however, goes totally glassy. That’s the one saving grace. Reef should be clean as a whistle that morning, but the waves themselves are just poor. I wouldn't be rushing.

From there, it’s back to rubbish. Small waves, a mix of cross and onshore winds, and next to no energy. Then we get a spike later in the week, on Tuesday the 21st. The swell is actually showing some size – 5ft from the NW. The energy jumps way up to strong (276 to 319). But listen to this: the wind is howling out of the north at 22 to 25 mph, making a mess of it. The period is short at 8 seconds, so while there’s more water moving, the shape will be poor and choppy. This is a classic case of significant swell, poor quality, and a beach/reef setup – honestly, this looks more interesting for kite surfing than proper paddle surfing. Even the afternoon stays strong and messy.

After that, the swell drops off a cliff again. Wednesday the 23rd has a tiny 0.3ft swell from the SW, but it’s got a very long period of 13 seconds. The wave energy is virtually nothing (7). It’s a ghost. Thursday the 23rd afternoon brings a flash of 5ft from the NNW, but the period is a short 6 seconds and the wind is on it again, so it’s just poor, lumpy conditions.

So, the long and short of it: there’s nothing here that’s a standout. The best on offer is a glassy Sunday morning with tiny waves, and a bigger, messier Tuesday that’s really only for the dedicated. It’s a bit of a heartbreaking outlook. The water temp is sitting at a normal 67° for this time of year, so that’s not your problem – it’s just a dead swell window. Keep your eyes peeled, though; forecasts can change.

Rusty

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