Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right, Rusty here. Let’s have a proper look at what’s coming for this spot. Gotta say, for the next couple of weeks, it’s a bit of a waiting game. The pattern is mostly small, messy swell and tricky winds, but there’s a decent little window towards the end that might just save the stretch.

There’s a rough patch from now through to the middle of the month. We’ve got a couple of days of weak, short-period WNW swell at first, but the wind is all wrong — mostly cross or cross-on, and the water temp is sitting at 68°F, which is pretty normal for this time of year. Nothing doing. Saturday morning, the 5th, is the first sniff of something. We get a glassy clean window, with a tiny 3ft swell from the WNW, but the combined energy is still weak (112). It’s surfable, but you wouldn’t paddle out for it unless you were desperate.

From the 6th into the 10th, it’s a real low point. Swell stays small to basically flat, and we get a string of “poor surf conditions” with strong cross-shore winds. The 7th sees some bigger numbers — 5ft WNW on Monday — but it’s blown out by 30 km/h crosswind. That’s chunky for a beginner (over 5ft), and no good for anyone with that wind. Energy is moderate (804) but wasted.

The 13th and 14th bring a bit more life with NW swells around 2–3ft, but still crushed by fresh to strong cross-breezes. The 15th is interesting but frustrating: we get a long-period NW groundswell — period of 16 seconds — hitting 4ft on Tuesday afternoon, with strong energy (576), but that 40 km/h crosswind just tears it apart. Long-period swells like that usually want a point or reef setup to really shine, but it’s just not clean enough here.

Now, the standout. Head straight for Thursday the 17th in the morning. Reef (this spot) is where it’s at. We get a clean, cross-offshore breeze from the NE at 15 km/h, with a 3ft NW swell (period 11 seconds) and moderate energy (244). The direction is straight from the optimum SW direction, so it’s hitting right. The wind is light and clean, the swell is solid enough for a good paddle, and crowds are often a thing here, but with waves this shapeable, it’s worth sharing. That’s the best on offer — not a monster, but clean, rideable, and fun. Friday morning the 18th also looks clean with a smaller 2ft NW, but it’s weaker.

So if you can wait, the 17th is the call. Before that, you’re looking at a lot of flat, windy days. It’s a dry spell, but not unusual for the area. Forecasts can flip, so keep an eye out.

Rusty.

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