Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, it’s Rusty here.

Alright, let’s cut to the chase. This next stretch of days is looking pretty grim for a proper surf. The only spot on the map is Reef, and she’s not giving us much to work with. The water’s sitting right at a normal 68°F, so no surprises there.

The whole run kicks off with a poor excuse for surf. This Sunday and Monday, the 9th and 10th, the swell is small—2 to 3 feet from the west-northwest—and it’s short-period stuff. The energy is weak (under 100), and the wind is coming across and onshore from the north-northwest. It’s a choppy, gutless mess.

Mid-week, around the 12th and 13th, the energy picks up a bit, reaching into the moderate range (159 to 283), and the period stretches out to 10-11 seconds. The size stays around 3 feet. But the wind is still cross-shore, fresh at times, and the surface is going to be lumpy. It’s a step up in power, but the wind is going to kill any chance of a clean wave.

Friday the 14th is more of the same—3 feet but with a fresh 19-22 mph cross-shore wind. Then it all falls apart on the 15th and 16th. The swell drops to almost nothing, just a tiny 0.3-foot pulse from the southwest, and the wind gets strong, 22-25 mph. There’s nothing to ride. It’s flat.

The following week stays weak. From the 17th onward, we’re seeing tiny 0.3 to 2-foot swells from the southwest and west-northwest. There’s a brief moment on the morning of the 19th where the wind goes offshore and it cleans up, but the swell is still only 0.6 feet. You’d be better off with a paddleboard. The energy numbers are tiny, mostly in the single digits and teens.

Towards the end of the run, on the 23rd and 24th, we see a bit more size. Sunday the 23rd brings 3 to 5 feet, but it’s short-period, sloppy swell from the north-northwest, and the wind is still cross and cross-on. It’s going to be a blown-out mess, though the energy does get to 124. The morning of the 24th looks like the pick of the bunch—a gentle cross-shore, 3 feet of swell from the northwest with a longer 11-second period and energy at 144. That’s the one window I’d keep an eye on. The afternoon adds a bit more size, around 4 feet, but brings a cross-on breeze and chop with it.

Honestly, this is a tough two weeks. The spot is fairly consistent, but the wind and the swell aren’t lining up. We might see a change, but right now, the 24th is your best chance, and even that’s not a sure thing.

Keep the board in the car and wait for a better day.

Rusty.

Read more