PKs Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty. Let’s have a look at the surf prospects for PKs, a reef break that’s beginner-friendly and fairly consistent, with a preference for swell from the south.

Right now, the water temp is sitting at 80°, which is right where it should be for this time of year – nothing unusual there, just your standard warm bath.

The overall picture is a bit of a slow burn. We’ve got a lot of days ahead where the surf is small and the conditions are just kind of *there*. The first real standout, and the best on offer, is shaping up to be Thursday the 13th of August. Morning session brings a clean 4 ft S swell at a long 16 seconds, packing moderate wave energy (1061). That’s proper groundswell, and for a reef, those long lines should wrap in nicely. The wind is a cross-off from the ENE at 15 mph, which will keep the faces clean. It’s not huge, but it’s the most promising window in the near term.

The afternoon of the 13th drops off a little in quality, and from Friday the 14th through the weekend, the swell fades and the wind picks up. By Saturday the 15th and Sunday the 16th, we’re looking at fresh breezes from the NE at 19 mph, with weak, short-period swell. The surf is basically a write-off—small, bumpy, and messy. The one bright spot late Sunday the 16th is a brief offshore wind from the NE at 22 mph, but the swell is only 2 ft, so it’s not really worth paddling out for.

Next week stays pretty quiet. Monday the 17th and Tuesday the 18th have a risk of thunderstorms and the swell stays small. On Tuesday morning the 18th, there’s a weird spike of 6 ft WNW swell, but it’s only 6 seconds period—that’s pure wind chop, not worth a second look for a reef.

Then we hit a dry spell. From Wednesday the 19th all the way through to Sunday the 23rd, the swell is tiny, mostly under 3 ft, with weak energy numbers (under 400). The wind is a steady cross-off, but the ocean is just flat. The crowd factor at PKs is “sometimes,” but with waves this small, you’ll have the place to yourself.

Finally, the long-range starts to flicker with some promise. Monday the 24th of August sees a bump in S swell, 3 ft to 3 ft, with a long 18-second period and moderate energy (672 to 780). It’s still marginal, but the direction is right. The real hope comes on Tuesday the 25th and Wednesday the 26th. Tuesday morning delivers 4 ft S swell at 16 seconds, strong energy (1210), and Tuesday afternoon hits 3 ft S swell with a very long 20-second period and very strong energy (1476). Wednesday the 26th peaks with 4 ft to 5 ft S swell, 17 to 18 seconds, and energy readings in the strong range (1775). That’s a proper groundswell pulse. The catch: it’s a long way out, so keep an eye on it. The wind stays cross-off, which is clean, but for an expert reef, that long-period S swell will be delivering some solid, well-shaped lines.

Overall, don’t get your hopes up for the next week. The standout is Thursday the 13th for a fun, clean session, and the end of the month (the 25th and 26th) looks like the real deal if the forecasts hold. For now, the board stays in the car.

Rusty.

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