Surf Forecasts:
Ogmore-by-Sea surf forecast from 15 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 15 Jul, 4PM (local time) - 0.5ft (0.2m), 9s period, WSW swell with 10 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Ogmore-by-Sea this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Ogmore-by-Sea in the next 16 days are 0.1m 16s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.5m 3s period and expected on Sunday (Jul 19) at 4AM.
| Wave Type | Time (BST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 4PM (Wed 15th Jul) | 0.5ft (0.2m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Ogmore-by-Sea over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G'day, Rusty here, and I'm gonna be straight with you – this 16-day window for Ogmore-by-Sea is about as flat as a lake. The first recommendation isn't until the 27th of July, so we've got a solid 12-day gap with no surf worth a mention. Honestly, it's a tough stretch.
For the first twelve days, the swell is barely a ripple, mostly 0.3ft – 0.7ft, and the wave energy is a joke with numbers like 19 (weak energy). The wind is all over the place, but it doesn't matter because there's simply nothing to ride. It's a blank run, and for this area, that's not entirely unusual.
Then, finally, on the morning of Monday, 27th July, we see a tiny pulse. Ogmore-by-Sea (river) gets a 1ft swell from the WSW, with a period of 8 seconds. The energy is a weak 20, and the water temp is a very unusual 67°F – a massive 7°F warmer than normal. The wind is a light offshore from the E, so it'll be clean, but it's tiny. It's still 'poor surf conditions' – a beginner might get a few knee-high rolls, but that's it.
The next day, Tuesday, 28th July, the morning sees a similar 1.0ft WSW swell, and the wind is a light cross-onshore. The afternoon shows a little more push: 2ft from the W with a period of 12 seconds and energy up to 69. Still weak, but if you're desperate, a longboard might catch a few.
The real 'best' of a very poor run is the morning of Wednesday, 30th July. The swell hits 4ft from the WSW with a period of 6 seconds and energy of 170 (moderate energy). But that's a short-period, onshore wind swell at 12 mph from the W, making it choppy and messy. It's a pretty ugly setup, honestly. With that wind and the beach/river setup, this looks more interesting for a kite surfer than a paddle surfer.
The 29th and 30th afternoons offer a bit of 3ft and 4ft swell, but the wind is always onshore or cross-onshore, and the period is short. It's not good. There are no standouts. Stick to the coffee shop for now.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 29°C on Thu afternoon, min 17°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 24°C on Sat afternoon, min 13°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 10 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | W 9 | W 8 | W 8 | NW 4 | W 8 | W 8 | WNW 4 | W 7 | W 7 | W 10 | W 9 | W 11 | NW 4 | W 10 | W 10 | W 10 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 10 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | off | off | off | cross | off | glassy | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | off | off | on | off | on | on | cross-off | cross-off | on | off |
High Tide | 8:04PM9.24m | 8:29AM8.96m | 8:50PM9.34m | 9:14AM8.89m | 9:35PM9.20m | 9:58AM8.63m | 10:18PM8.84m | 10:41AM8.22m | 11:02PM8.32m | 11:25AM7.72m | 11:46PM7.70m | 12:10PM7.18m | 00:34AM7.08m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 1:48PM0.48m | 2:18AM0.24m | 2:35PM0.35m | 3:04AM0.21m | 3:19PM0.40m | 3:48AM0.38m | 4:02PM0.64m | 4:31AM0.73m | 4:45PM1.02m | 5:13AM1.20m | 5:28PM1.51m | 5:57AM1.73m | 6:15PM2.03m | ||||||||
 | |  | | | |  |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 5:13 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:16 | — | — | 5:18 | — | — | 5:18 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — |
 | — | — | 9:24 | — | — | 9:23 | — | — | 9:22 | — | — | 9:22 | — | — | 9:21 | — | — | 9:20 | — | — | 9:19 |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 25 | 28 | 26 | 26 | 29 | 27 | 23 | 25 | 24 | 20 | 24 | 22 | 21 | 22 | 22 | 20 | 23 | 23 | 23 | 25 | 23 |
Feels °C | 21 | 26 | 21 | 24 | 25 | 24 | 21 | 21 | 22 | 17 | 21 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 17 | 19 | 21 | 21 | 23 | 21 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 10 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | W 9 | W 8 | W 8 | NW 4 | W 8 | W 8 | WNW 4 | W 7 | W 7 | — | W 9 | W 8 | NW 4 | W 7 | W 10 | WNW 3 |
| kJ | 9 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 16 | W 16 | SW 14 | SW 7 | — | SW 6 | SW 6 | W 8 | — | — | W 8 | NW 4 | — | W 7 | W 9 | W 11 | W 8 | W 10 | W 7 | W 10 |
| kJ | 10 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 2 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | W 10 | SW 14 | SW 7 | — | — | S 6 | — | — | — | — | — | W 10 | — | — | W 11 | W 8 | — | W 7 |
| kJ | — | — | — | 2 | 8 | 2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 1 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 2 | — | E 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | E 3 | ENE 3 | — | — | WNW 2 | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 1 | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 210 | 210 | 345 | 208 | 249 | 92 | 142 | 1722 | 393 | 422 | 422 | 98 | 147 | 210 | 334 | 334 | 441 | 56 | 142 | 159 | 195 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Wales - South East | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United Kingdom | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Ogmore-by-Sea Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Ogmore-by-Sea provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Ogmore-by-Sea can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Ogmore-by-Sea surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Ogmore-by-Sea) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Ogmore-by-Sea may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Wales - South East? If you are looking for accommodation near Ogmore-by-Sea, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Wales - South East, consider staying in Porthcawl which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Wales - South East where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Nash Point which is 9 km (6 miles) away, Coity, Maesteg and Briton Ferry.
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