Ogmore-by-Sea Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what Ogmore-by-Sea has in store for us over the next couple of weeks.

To be straight with you, this is a tough outlook. We've got a 16-day window, and the truth is, there isn’t a single session that scores well enough to get excited about. The first real sniff of any surf energy doesn’t show up until July 26th, and even then, it’s a rough ride.

The whole period is plagued by wind. Almost every day we are looking at cross-onshore or onshore breezes, which will chop up any waves that do arrive. The water temperature is running much warmer than normal, sitting at 69°, which is over 7 degrees above average – very unusual for the time of year.

Let’s walk through it. Saturday the 25th kicks off with a tiny 0.9m swell from the west, but a 19 mph onshore wind from the west makes it a write-off. Sunday the 26th sees the swell bump up to 1.3m-1.4m with some moderate energy (157-184), but again, strong cross-onshore winds ruin the surface. It’s lumpy and messy. Not for paddle surfing. Might be worth a look for the kite crew.

Monday the 27th drops back down, with weak energy (51-56) and more cross-onshore wind. The rest of the first week, from Tuesday the 28th through Friday the 31st, is tiny. We see clean conditions on the morning of the 29th (cross-offshore breeze) and again on the 31st, but the swell is only 0.7 ft to 2 ft – barely a ripple. The energy numbers are in the single digits and teens. It’s flat water.

Entering August, still no good news. The 1st sees a bit of a pulse to 4 ft from the WSW (energy 128), but again, it’s choppy. The 9th of August is the closest we get to something, with a 4 ft west swell and energy hitting 232 on Sunday morning, but that’s a full two weeks away and the wind is forecast to be a moderate cross-onshore. That's too far out to bank on, and the wind history doesn't give us much hope.

Best on offer (and it’s a low bar): Honestly, there are no standouts. The cleanest conditions come on the morning of July 29th (SSE breeze) and July 31st (SSE breeze), but both have a swell under 2 ft. If you absolutely have to get wet, those are your windows for a longboard and some patience. Even the morning of August 9th has a decent energy (232), but with a cross-onshore wind, it’s not a real option.

It’s a blank run. For a sheltered river mouth like Ogmore, this kind of prolonged flat spell is more normal than you'd hope for. Forecasts can always change, but right now, this is a solid "leave the boards at home" outlook for the next 16 days.

Rusty.

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