Surf Forecasts:
Ogmore-by-Sea surf forecast from 23 Aug 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 29 Aug, 10AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 7s period, WSW swell with 220 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Ogmore-by-Sea this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Ogmore-by-Sea in the next 16 days are 1.4m 7s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 29) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 3s period and expected on Tuesday (Aug 25) at 1AM.
| Wave Type | Time (BST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 10AM (Sat 29th Aug) | 4.5ft (1.4m) 7s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Ogmore-by-Sea over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Right then, let’s have a look at what’s on offer for Ogmore-by-Sea over the next couple of weeks. I’ll be straight with you, mate – it’s a pretty grim picture. The whole 16-day window is a write-off for any decent paddle surfing. There’s just nothing doing.
The first real bit of energy shows up on the 29th of August, Saturday morning, with a swell pushing 6 ft from the W, but the wind is a strong cross-onshore at 25 mph, making it a messy, blown-out affair. The combined energy is moderate at 286, but with those conditions, it’s a no-go. That afternoon, it gets even bigger at 7 ft from the WSW, but still onshore and messy – honestly, that setup with the strong wind and beach conditions looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.
The rest of the period is just a long, sad tale of small, weak, and often wind-affected waves. You get a few moments of clean conditions, like the 24th and 25th of August with offshore winds, but the swell is tiny – 0.3 ft or 0.7 ft – with weak energy in the single digits. It’s not surfable. The water temperature is a notable 69°, which is much warmer than normal for this time of year, but that’s about the only highlight.
There’s a bit more moderate energy towards the end of August and into early September, with combined energy readings in the 100-200 range, but every single one is paired with cross-onshore or onshore winds. The breaks here are a river setup and sheltered, but it’s just not enough to save it. By the 6th of September, the winds turn cleaner, but the swell is still tiny and weak.
Honestly, there are no good surf options in this 16-day window. Ogmore-by-Sea is inconsistent at the best of times, and a blank run like this isn’t unusual for the area. Keep an eye on it, though – forecasts can change, and it tends not to stay this poor for long.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 24°C on Mon afternoon, min 14°C on Sun night). Winds increasing (calm on Sun afternoon, fresh winds from the ENE by Mon night). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 11mm), heaviest on Wed night. Warm (max 23°C on Wed afternoon, min 14°C on Fri night). Winds increasing (light winds from the SE on Thu morning, fresh winds from the W by Sat morning). | |||||||||||||||||||
Sun 23 | Monday 24 | Tuesday 25 | Wednesday 26 | Thursday 27 | Friday 28 | Saturday 29 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 9 | WSW 10 | WSW 9 | SW 14 | SW 13 | W 13 | W 10 | W 10 | WSW 9 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | SW 8 | SW 9 | WSW 7 | WSW 7 | WSW 7 | WSW 7 | WSW 7 | W 7 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 8 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 72 | 79 | 37 | 47 | 70 | 220 | 186 | 79 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | off | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | on | cross | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | on | on |
High Tide | 4:38AM6.08m | 5:06PM6.47m | 5:32AM6.62m | 5:53PM7.08m | 6:13AM7.20m | 6:31PM7.70m | 6:49AM7.76m | 7:05PM8.26m | 7:22AM8.24m | 7:38PM8.71m | 7:55AM8.61m | 8:11PM9.00m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 10:20PM3.09m | 10:50AM2.91m | 11:23PM2.60m | 11:43AM2.36m | 00:08AM2.02m | 12:22PM1.78m | 00:45AM1.45m | 12:57PM1.25m | 1:17AM0.97m | 1:28PM0.82m | 1:48AM0.59m | 1:59PM0.51m | 2:18AM0.36m | |||||||
 |  |  | |  |  | | | | |  | | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | 6:15 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — | 6:18 | — | — | 6:18 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — |
 | 8:21 | — | — | 8:19 | — | — | 8:16 | — | — | 8:15 | — | — | 8:13 | — | — | 8:09 | — | — | 8:07 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 10 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1 |
Temp °C | 22 | 20 | 21 | 24 | 19 | 23 | 24 | 19 | 20 | 23 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 17 | 18 | 18 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 17 |
Feels °C | 20 | 19 | 14 | 17 | 13 | 18 | 22 | 17 | 19 | 22 | 16 | 19 | 19 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 15 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 9 | WSW 10 | WSW 9 | SW 9 | SW 9 | W 8 | W 8 | W 10 | WSW 9 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | SW 8 | SW 9 | WSW 7 | WSW 7 | WSW 7 | — | — | W 7 |
| kJ | 7 | 10 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 72 | 79 | 37 | 47 | 70 | — | — | 73 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | W 13 | W 10 | SW 8 | SW 8 | WSW 4 | WSW 4 | WSW 6 | WSW 9 | W 11 | W 9 | W 8 | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 12 | — | — | — | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 8 | — | — | S 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | E 3 | E 3 | E 3 | E 3 | E 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | W 7 | WSW 7 | WSW 7 | WSW 7 |
| kJ | — | — | 4 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 68 | 220 | 186 | 79 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 133 | 92 | 422 | 307 | 294 | 142 | 308 | 48 | 48 | 92 | 309 | 49 | 3 | 3 | 132 | 137 | 36 | 345 | 294 | 96 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Wales - South East | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United Kingdom | ||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Ogmore-by-Sea Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Ogmore-by-Sea provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Ogmore-by-Sea can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Ogmore-by-Sea surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Ogmore-by-Sea) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Ogmore-by-Sea may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Wales - South East? If you are looking for accommodation near Ogmore-by-Sea, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Wales - South East, consider staying in Porthcawl which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Wales - South East where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Nash Point which is 9 km (6 miles) away, Coity, Maesteg and Briton Ferry.
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