Surf Forecasts:
Ogmore-by-Sea surf forecast from 10 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 13 Aug, 10AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 10s period, WSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 13 Aug, 7PM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 10s period, WSW swell with 160 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 13 Aug, 10AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 10s period with WSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Ogmore-by-Sea this week:
The surf forecast for Ogmore-by-Sea over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 13) at 10AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.7m and 10s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Ogmore-by-Sea in the next 16 days are 0.9m 10s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 13) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.3m 2s period and expected on Tuesday (Aug 11) at 7PM.
| Wave Type | Time (BST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10AM (Thu 13th Aug) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 10AM (Thu 13th Aug) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 7PM (Thu 13th Aug) | 3ft (0.9m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Ogmore-by-Sea over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s on offer for the next couple of weeks.
To be straight with you, the outlook for Ogmore-by-Sea is a tough one. The entire 16-day window is a struggle. We’ve got a long stretch of days with tiny, weak swell and poor conditions. The first real pulse of energy doesn't show up until late in the period, and even then, it’s messy. There’s no standout day here, just a few moments that might be worth a paddle if you’re desperate.
We start off with a real flat spell. From Monday, the 10th of August, right through to the 22nd of August, the swell is below 2ft, with energy levels barely registering (22 to 97). The wind is mostly cross-off or onshore, keeping things choppy and poor. Thursday the 13th morning is the best of a bad lot with a 2ft WSW swell, a 10-second period, and light cross-off breeze from the SE, making it clean. The combined energy is 97 (weak), and the water temp is a very unusual 69°, which is much warmer than normal for this time of year. But honestly, it’s still only surfable in a very ordinary way.
Friday the 14th sees a bump in energy to 141 (moderate) with a 2ft WSW swell, but the wind is a messy cross-on from the WNW, so it’s not worth getting excited about.
The real highlight, if you can call it one, lands on Sunday the 23rd of August. The morning brings a 6ft swell from the W with a 9-second period and a combined energy of 463 (strong). The wind is light cross-on from the WNW, so it’s not clean, but it’s the biggest swell of the period. Because it’s over 5ft, it’s getting a bit heavy for beginners. The period is under 11 seconds, so it’s a shorter-period windswell, which can be a bit soft and lumpy. The rest of the day sees the wind pick up, making it a write-off. This is the only real chance for a wave, but it’s a long way out, so keep an eye on it.
The rest of the 23rd and the 24th to the 25th are back to small, weak, and onshore. It’s a grim run. The river mouth setup at Ogmore-by-Sea is sheltered, so it needs a big push from the SW to get going, and we just don’t get it. This is a real bust.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 32°C on Wed afternoon, min 15°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 26°C on Thu morning, min 14°C on Sat night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the WSW on Thu afternoon, calm by Sat night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Monday 10 | Tuesday 11 | Wednesday 12 | Thursday 13 | Friday 14 | Saturday 15 | Sunday 16 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 6 | WSW 6 | W 5 | W 8 | W 10 | WSW 11 | WSW 10 | WSW 10 | WSW 9 | WSW 10 | W 10 | WSW 10 | WSW 9 | W 9 | W 8 | WSW 8 | W 7 | W 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 7 | WSW 7 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 22 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 13 | 40 | 54 | 73 | 97 | 98 | 72 | 84 | 125 | 48 | 21 | 27 | 28 | 11 | 10 | 5 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | glassy | on | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross | glassy | cross-off | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | cross |
High Tide | 5:18PM7.66m | 5:50AM7.83m | 6:15PM8.35m | 6:42AM8.41m | 7:05PM8.95m | 7:29AM8.86m | 7:49PM9.35m | 8:11AM9.09m | 8:30PM9.49m | 8:51AM9.10m | 9:10PM9.36m | 9:30AM8.88m | 9:48PM8.99m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 10:59AM1.92m | 11:36PM1.52m | 12:02PM1.34m | 00:33AM0.90m | 12:53PM0.78m | 1:21AM0.39m | 1:37PM0.36m | 2:03AM0.09m | 2:17PM0.15m | 2:42AM0.02m | 2:55PM0.16m | 3:19AM0.19m | 3:32PM0.39m | 3:54AM0.55m | |||||||
 | |  |  | | | | | | | |  | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 5:50 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:56 | — | — | 5:56 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — |
 | — | 8:46 | — | — | 8:45 | — | — | 8:43 | — | — | 8:40 | — | — | 8:39 | — | — | 8:37 | — | — | 8:36 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 18 | 20 | 20 | 24 | 27 | 23 | 28 | 32 | 26 | 26 | 24 | 19 | 20 | 23 | 17 | 21 | 23 | 17 | 17 | 18 | 18 |
Feels °C | 16 | 18 | 19 | 21 | 23 | 21 | 24 | 28 | 25 | 23 | 20 | 18 | 17 | 18 | 13 | 17 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 15 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 6 | WSW 6 | W 5 | W 8 | SW 6 | WSW 11 | WSW 10 | WSW 10 | WSW 9 | WSW 10 | W 10 | WSW 10 | WSW 9 | W 9 | W 8 | W 6 | W 7 | W 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 7 | WSW 7 |
| kJ | 22 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 13 | 40 | 54 | 73 | 97 | 98 | 72 | 84 | 39 | 48 | 15 | 27 | 28 | 11 | 10 | 5 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | W 8 | SW 6 | SW 6 | W 6 | W 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | W 9 | — | — | WSW 8 | — | WSW 8 | — | — | W 5 |
| kJ | — | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 41 | — | — | 21 | — | 19 | — | — | 2 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | W 8 | W 10 | W 10 | SW 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | W 6 | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | ESE 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | WSW 4 | W 6 | W 9 | — | — | WNW 3 | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 5 | 16 | 125 | — | — | 4 | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 194 | 196 | 142 | 362 | 424 | 48 | 51 | 40 | 3 | 0 | 354 | 28 | 28 | 345 | 12 | 28 | 402 | 9 | 195 | 359 | 338 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Wales - South East | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United Kingdom | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Ogmore-by-Sea Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Ogmore-by-Sea provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Ogmore-by-Sea can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Ogmore-by-Sea surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Ogmore-by-Sea) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Ogmore-by-Sea may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Wales - South East? If you are looking for accommodation near Ogmore-by-Sea, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Wales - South East, consider staying in Porthcawl which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Wales - South East where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Nash Point which is 9 km (6 miles) away, Coity, Maesteg and Briton Ferry.
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