Surf Forecasts:
Ogmore-by-Sea surf forecast from 3 Aug 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 5 Aug, 1PM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 8s period, WSW swell with 408 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Ogmore-by-Sea this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Ogmore-by-Sea in the next 16 days are 1.8m 8s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Aug 05) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.2m 2s period and expected on Monday (Aug 03) at 1PM.
| Wave Type | Time (BST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 1PM (Wed 5th Aug) | 6ft (1.8m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Ogmore-by-Sea over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on offer for Ogmore-by-Sea.
Well, I’ll be honest with you, it’s a bit of a tough stretch ahead. The next 16 days are looking pretty flat for the most part. We’ve got a long gap of poor surf right from the start, with no real recommendations coming through. The first few days of August are a write-off. There’s a little bump in the water on Wednesday, the 5th, with the swell pushing up to about 5 ft, but it’s coming with a fresh cross-onshore wind that’s going to mess it up. The combined energy hits 306 (moderate), but with that wind, it’s just not going to be clean. This is a river break, so it’s sheltered, but it’s also inconsistent and rarely breaks, so this isn’t a spot you can rely on. The swell direction is from the WSW, which is a bit off from the optimum SW direction, so it’s not lining up perfectly.
Honestly, the only real standout here is a fleeting moment. On Sunday morning, the 9th of August, we’ve got glassy conditions. The wind is dead calm, a slight air from the south at just 3 mph. The swell is tiny, only about 0.7 ft, and the combined energy is just 12 (weak), so it’s not going to be a wave you can really ride. It’s more of a paddle and a hope. The water temperature is about average for the time of year, nothing unusual to report.
After that, it’s back to flat, clean, and empty for the rest of the fortnight. The winds are mostly cross-off or light, but there’s simply no swell. The consistent theme here is “poor surf conditions” with combined energy values scraping the bottom of the barrel – usually 1, 2, or 4 (weak). This is a place that can have blank runs, and this is a classic one. Don’t hold your breath.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Tue morning. Warm (max 26°C on Mon afternoon, min 16°C on Sun night). Winds increasing (calm on Mon night, fresh winds from the WSW by Tue night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 17°C on Wed night, min 14°C on Thu night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the W on Wed night, calm by Thu night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Monday 3 | Tuesday 4 | Wednesday 5 | Thursday 6 | Friday 7 | Saturday 8 | Sunday 9 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 8 | WSW 7 | WSW 4 | WSW 7 | WSW 8 | WSW 7 | WSW 7 | W 7 | W 6 | W 6 | W 5 | WSW 5 | WSW 5 | W 5 | W 9 | W 9 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 7 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 43 | 49 | 26 | 70 | 40 | 142 | 306 | 328 | 171 | 134 | 78 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 4 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-on | glassy | cross-on | on | on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | glassy | on | off |
High Tide | 10:05AM8.26m | 10:23PM8.42m | 10:44AM8.04m | 11:03PM8.10m | 11:27AM7.71m | 11:50PM7.67m | 12:18PM7.30m | 00:47AM7.20m | 1:22PM6.93m | 2:01AM6.85m | 2:44PM6.79m | 3:28AM6.84m | 4:08PM7.06m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 4:01PM0.94m | 4:24AM1.00m | 4:38PM1.17m | 5:03AM1.29m | 5:22PM1.51m | 5:50AM1.68m | 6:15PM1.92m | 6:50AM2.11m | 7:26PM2.29m | 8:09AM2.39m | 8:54PM2.39m | 9:39AM2.34m | 10:24PM2.09m | ||||||||
 |  |  |  | |  | | | | | |  | | | | | | |  | | | |
 | 5:39 | — | — | 5:41 | — | — | 5:43 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:46 | — | — | 5:48 | — | — | 5:48 | — | — |
 | — | — | 9:00 | — | 8:58 | — | — | 8:55 | — | — | 8:53 | — | — | 8:52 | — | — | 8:51 | — | — | 8:49 | — |
mm | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 25 | 26 | 19 | 20 | 19 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 17 | 17 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 16 | 18 | 21 | 20 |
Feels °C | 22 | 23 | 17 | 19 | 15 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 12 | 14 | 18 | 19 | 17 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 8 | W 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | W 10 | W 6 | W 5 | WSW 5 | WSW 5 | W 9 | W 9 | W 9 | W 5 | WSW 8 | W 4 |
| kJ | 43 | 49 | 26 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 1 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | W 10 | W 9 | W 9 | W 9 | W 5 | — | — | WSW 8 | W 8 | WSW 7 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | — | — | 7 | 1 | 4 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | W 8 | — | W 8 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | 1 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | WSW 7 | WSW 4 | WSW 7 | WSW 8 | WSW 7 | WSW 7 | W 7 | W 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | W 3 | — | W 3 | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | 70 | 40 | 142 | 306 | 328 | 171 | 134 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | 4 | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 49 | 92 | 48 | 338 | 308 | 361 | 417 | 308 | 389 | 492 | 354 | 367 | 354 | 381 | 354 | 441 | 354 | 194 | 49 | 195 | 353 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Wales - South East | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United Kingdom | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Ogmore-by-Sea Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Ogmore-by-Sea provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Ogmore-by-Sea can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Ogmore-by-Sea surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Ogmore-by-Sea) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Ogmore-by-Sea may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Wales - South East? If you are looking for accommodation near Ogmore-by-Sea, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Wales - South East, consider staying in Porthcawl which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Wales - South East where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Nash Point which is 9 km (6 miles) away, Coity, Maesteg and Briton Ferry.
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