Surf Forecasts:
Ogmore-by-Sea surf forecast from 28 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 30 Jul, 4PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 5s period, WSW swell with 36 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Ogmore-by-Sea this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Ogmore-by-Sea in the next 16 days are 0.8m 5s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 30) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (BST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 4PM (Thu 30th Jul) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 5s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Ogmore-by-Sea over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a proper look at what’s on offer for Ogmore-by-the-Sea over the next couple of weeks.
Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you – it’s a grim picture. There’s a massive gap right at the start; we’re looking at a good ten days or so with absolutely nothing worth paddling out for. The wind is mostly onshore or cross-onshore, and the swell is tiny, weak, and short-period. It’s not even worth talking about the details until we get much further into the forecast.
The one and only event that might get your attention is on Saturday, August 8th. Out of nowhere, we get a jump in swell. The combined energy hits 350 (moderate wave energy) with a 5 ft swell from the WSW at a period of 8 seconds. That’s a solid, rideable size for Ogmore, but here’s the sting – the wind is junk. Saturday morning is a moderate cross-shore with a cross-chop, and by Saturday afternoon it’s a gentle cross-onshore. The surf is still rated as poor by the forecast, so while the size is there, the quality looks like a messy, choppy affair. This is a beach-and-river setup, so with that much onshore push, it might honestly be more interesting for the kite crew than paddle surfers.
After that, the swell drops off a cliff again. Sunday the 9th still has some size (5 ft to 4 ft), but the wind is howling onshore at 18 to 25 mph, making it a total washout. By Monday the 10th, it’s all downhill and we’re back to tiny, weak energy for the rest of the run.
So, to sum it up: there is no standout. There is no clean, glassy, perfect session. The only real pulse of size comes on the 8th of August, but it’s a messy one. If you’re desperate, you might find a lumpy, bumpy wave that morning, but don’t expect much. For now, the board stays in the van.
Stay salty,
Rusty
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 20°C on Tue afternoon, min 16°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 18°C on Sun morning, min 14°C on Fri night). Mainly fresh winds. | |||||||||||||||||||
Mon 27 | Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | Friday 31 | Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 6 | WSW 6 | W 6 | W 5 | WSW 5 | WSW 5 | W 3 | W 4 | W 5 | WSW 5 | W 5 | W 6 | W 6 | WNW 5 | W 5 | W 5 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | W 10 | WSW 9 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 51 | 35 | 24 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 29 | 36 | 13 | 22 | 31 | 8 | 14 | 31 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 15 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | on | cross-on | on | cross | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | on | off |
High Tide | 6:13PM7.15m | 6:34AM7.22m | 6:53PM7.62m | 7:12AM7.62m | 7:30PM8.03m | 7:47AM7.95m | 8:04PM8.36m | 8:21AM8.20m | 8:38PM8.58m | 8:55AM8.33m | 9:12PM8.66m | 9:30AM8.36m | 9:47PM8.61m | |||||||
Low Tide | 00:25AM2.04m | 12:42PM1.86m | 1:06AM1.63m | 1:19PM1.47m | 1:42AM1.27m | 1:53PM1.15m | 2:15AM1.00m | 2:25PM0.93m | 2:46AM0.83m | 2:56PM0.82m | 3:18AM0.77m | 3:28PM0.82m | 3:49AM0.83m | |||||||
 |  |  | |  | |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:33 | — | — | 5:33 | — | — | 5:35 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:39 | — | — |
 | — | 9:09 | — | — | 9:08 | — | — | 9:07 | — | — | 9:06 | — | — | 9:04 | — | — | 9:02 | — | — | 9:00 |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 18 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 18 | 18 | 19 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 16 | 17 | 16 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 18 | 20 | 18 |
Feels °C | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 18 | 18 | 16 | 16 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 15 | 15 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | WSW 6 | W 6 | W 5 | WSW 5 | WSW 5 | W 10 | W 10 | W 10 | W 9 | W 5 | W 6 | — | W 4 | W 5 | WSW 9 | W 4 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | W 4 |
| kJ | — | 35 | 24 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 22 | — | 8 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 6 | 3 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | W 8 | W 8 | W 11 | — | — | — | — | W 9 | — | — | W 11 | WSW 10 | — | WSW 8 | W 4 | W 6 | WSW 9 |
| kJ | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | 2 | 10 | — | 14 | 1 | 1 | 15 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | W 11 | W 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | W 9 | — | — | — | — | W 10 | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | 7 | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 6 | — | — | W 5 | — | — | W 3 | W 4 | W 5 | WSW 5 | — | — | W 6 | WNW 5 | — | W 5 | — | — | WSW 5 | — |
| kJ | 51 | — | — | 14 | — | — | 7 | 13 | 29 | 36 | — | — | 31 | 7 | — | 31 | — | — | 8 | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 250 | 107 | 149 | 169 | 142 | 190 | 308 | 353 | 354 | 389 | 354 | 194 | 213 | 496 | 198 | 569 | 368 | 195 | 395 | 92 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Wales - South East | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United Kingdom | ||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Ogmore-by-Sea Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Ogmore-by-Sea provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Ogmore-by-Sea can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Ogmore-by-Sea surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Ogmore-by-Sea) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Ogmore-by-Sea may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Wales - South East? If you are looking for accommodation near Ogmore-by-Sea, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Wales - South East, consider staying in Porthcawl which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Wales - South East where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Nash Point which is 9 km (6 miles) away, Coity, Maesteg and Briton Ferry.
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