Surf Forecasts:
Ogmore-by-Sea surf forecast from 8 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 11 Sep, 10PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 8s period, WSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 11 Sep, 4AM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 9s period, WSW swell with 336 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 11 Sep, 10PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 8s period with WSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Ogmore-by-Sea this week:
The surf forecast for Ogmore-by-Sea over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Sep 11) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 8s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Ogmore-by-Sea in the next 16 days are 1.5m 9s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Sep 11) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (BST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10PM (Fri 11th Sep) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 10PM (Fri 11th Sep) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 4AM (Fri 11th Sep) | 5ft (1.5m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Ogmore-by-Sea over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, let’s get real about Ogmore-by-Sea. Grab a brew, because this is a tough stretch.
Look, mate, I’m not gonna sugarcoat it. This 16-day window is a flat, windy mess for Ogmore. The first solid week is a write-off. From Tuesday the 8th right through to Wednesday the 16th, every session is rated as poor surf conditions. You’ve got onshore winds, cross-offshores that don’t line up, and swell heights bouncing between 0.7 ft and 5 ft but with no quality to them. The wave energy is weak to moderate at best, and the wind is just tearing it apart. The combined energy on the 8th morning hits 355 (moderate), but with a 16 mph cross-on from the NW and a short 9-second period, it’s just a washing machine. All the SW swells we get are mostly blocked or messed up by the wind. There’s nothing to get excited about here for a paddle board.
The only flicker of life shows up on Thursday the 17th in the morning. We get a clean look with 3 ft of WSW swell at 8 seconds, and a gentle 9 mph cross-off breeze from the N. The energy is moderate (129), but the waves are surfable. It’s not a standout, just a slight improvement in a grim forecast. After that, it’s back to tiny, weak dribble through to the end of the period. On the 19th, you get a few hours of glassy conditions Saturday afternoon, but the swell is a pathetic 1 ft at a long 10 seconds – long period, sure, but no height to work with. Energy is just 28 (weak). That long period on such a small wave will just roll straight through at a beach break.
Honestly, this is a blank run for Ogmore. The river break is inconsistent at the best of times, and this forecast proves it. Don’t bother for a paddle – the only gear that might see action out here for the next 16 days is a kite. Conditions just aren’t right for a surf.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 11mm), heaviest on Mon night. Very mild (max 18°C on Thu morning, min 13°C on Tue night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the WNW on Tue afternoon, light winds from the SW by Wed night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 10mm), heaviest on Thu night. Very mild (max 17°C on Thu night, min 12°C on Fri night). Winds increasing (calm on Fri night, fresh winds from the SW by Sat night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 8 | Wednesday 9 | Thursday 10 | Friday 11 | Saturday 12 | Sunday 13 | Monday 14 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 9 | W 9 | W 6 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 5 | WSW 8 | WSW 9 | W 9 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 6 | W 8 | W 8 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 8 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 300 | 320 | 116 | 109 | 68 | 36 | 19 | 26 | 238 | 238 | 185 | 68 | 50 | 51 | 107 | 193 | 149 | 108 | 61 | 59 | 41 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | on | on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross | cross | glassy | on | on | on | cross-on | on | cross-on | on | on | glassy |
High Tide | 4:43AM7.10m | 5:11PM7.65m | 5:41AM7.78m | 6:04PM8.38m | 6:29AM8.41m | 6:48PM8.96m | 7:10AM8.88m | 7:28PM9.32m | 7:48AM9.13m | 8:06PM9.42m | 8:24AM9.15m | 8:41PM9.27m | 8:59AM8.95m | 9:16PM8.90m | |||||||
Low Tide | 11:01AM1.98m | 11:35PM1.47m | 11:55AM1.31m | 00:23AM0.82m | 12:39PM0.72m | 1:04AM0.34m | 1:17PM0.31m | 1:40AM0.07m | 1:53PM0.11m | 2:13AM0.04m | 2:26PM0.13m | 2:45AM0.22m | 2:58PM0.36m | 3:16AM0.58m | |||||||
 |  |  | | |  |  |  |  |  | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:45 | — | — | 6:46 | — | — |
 | — | 7:45 | — | — | 7:44 | — | — | 7:40 | — | — | 7:38 | — | — | 7:37 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:31 | — |
mm | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 16 | 16 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 18 | 18 | 17 | 16 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 19 | 18 |
Feels °C | 10 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 15 | 17 | 12 | 14 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 14 | 16 | 15 | 19 | 19 | 17 | 19 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 9 | — | WSW 9 | WSW 8 | W 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 7 | WSW 8 | WSW 9 | W 9 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | W 15 | W 6 | W 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 8 |
| kJ | 300 | — | 42 | 109 | 34 | 36 | 19 | 11 | 238 | 238 | 154 | 68 | 50 | 4 | 84 | 193 | 127 | 108 | 61 | 59 | 41 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 10 | — | — | — | — | W 13 | W 12 | W 11 | — | — | — | — | W 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 55 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 3 | 2 | — | — | — | — | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | W 9 | W 6 | — | WSW 8 | — | SW 4 | WSW 5 | — | — | W 9 | — | — | WSW 8 | WSW 6 | WSW 8 | W 8 | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | 320 | 116 | — | 68 | — | 4 | 26 | — | — | 185 | — | — | 51 | 107 | 176 | 149 | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 36 | 354 | 139 | 28 | 132 | 53 | 189 | 233 | 77 | 28 | 16 | 3 | 53 | 154 | 154 | 28 | 72 | 28 | 140 | 154 | 49 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Wales - South East | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United Kingdom | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Ogmore-by-Sea Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Ogmore-by-Sea provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Ogmore-by-Sea can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Ogmore-by-Sea surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Ogmore-by-Sea) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Ogmore-by-Sea may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Wales - South East? If you are looking for accommodation near Ogmore-by-Sea, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Wales - South East, consider staying in Porthcawl which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Wales - South East where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Nash Point which is 9 km (6 miles) away, Coity, Maesteg and Briton Ferry.
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