Surf Forecasts:
Ogmore-by-Sea surf forecast from 13 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Monday 13 Jul, 1PM (local time) - 0.5ft (0.1m), 19s period, SW swell with 15 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Ogmore-by-Sea this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Ogmore-by-Sea in the next 16 days are 0.1m 19s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 13) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 3s period and expected on Monday (Jul 13) at 1PM.
| Wave Type | Time (BST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 1PM (Mon 13th Jul) | 0.5ft (0.1m) 19s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Ogmore-by-Sea over the next 16 days.
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you about Ogmore-by-Sea (river mouth). The next 16 days are a tough watch for surfers. We’ve got a long stretch of almost nothing to work with before a tiny window of hope late in the period.
The water temperature is sitting at 66°F, which is a massive 7°F warmer than normal for this time of year. That’s very unusual; it’s like the ocean is having a hot flash.
The first week is a write-off. From Monday the 13th right through to Thursday the 23rd of July, the swell is barely a whisper. The combined energy of all swells is basically zero, with many days reading 0 or single-digit values. We’re talking ankle-snappers at best, often with nothing rideable. The wind is often offshore or clean, but with no swell to work with, it doesn’t matter. It’s a cruel tease.
Then, around Friday the 24th of July, we finally see a pulse. The swell bumps up to 4 ft from the WSW with a 5-second period, and the combined energy hits 79. But look at the wind – it’s cross-onshore and then onshore, gusting up to 16 mph. The wave comment calls it “fairly choppy” and it’s tagged as poor surf. For a river mouth break, a short-period windswell like this (under 8 seconds) will just be a messy, crumbly wall. Too junky for a good paddle.
The morning of the 25th of July looks a little cleaner. The swell drops to 2 ft from the west, and the wind goes light and cross-offshore from the ESE. The combined energy is only 44, so it’s weak. You might find a knee-high crumbler if you’re desperate, but it’s a long way from worth the trip.
The only real standout in the whole 16-day window is the morning of the 26th of July. The swell is only 1 ft, but the wind is a screaming 31 mph offshore from the east. The wave comment says “near gale offshore and very hard to paddle into.” That’s the truth. The combined energy is a paltry 11. The wind is so strong it will hold the tiny waves up, but you’ll be fighting just to get out the back. That’s a session for the hardcore, not the average punter.
Overall, the forecast is a flat spell broken by a brief, poor-quality windswell and a day of unrideable offshore gales. There’s nothing here that’s good for beginners or experts. The setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing on the 24th and 27th when the wind picks up. For the rest of it, stay home and wax your board for another day.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 30°C on Tue afternoon, min 15°C on Mon night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the ENE on Mon morning, calm by Wed afternoon). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 27°C on Thu night, min 17°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 3 | SW 19 | W 12 | SW 18 | WSW 11 | WSW 10 | WSW 10 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | W 9 | W 8 | W 8 | W 8 | W 8 | W 8 | W 8 | W 8 | W 9 | W 8 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 0 | 15 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | off | off | off | cross-off | off | off | glassy | off | off | cross-on | off | off | on | off | cross-off | on | off | cross-off | on | cross-off |
High Tide | 6:23PM8.44m | 6:51AM8.51m | 7:15PM8.92m | 7:42AM8.83m | 8:04PM9.24m | 8:29AM8.96m | 8:50PM9.34m | 9:14AM8.89m | 9:35PM9.20m | 9:58AM8.63m | 10:18PM8.84m | 10:41AM8.22m | 11:02PM8.32m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 12:03PM1.17m | 00:35AM0.86m | 12:58PM0.77m | 1:28AM0.47m | 1:48PM0.48m | 2:18AM0.24m | 2:35PM0.35m | 3:04AM0.21m | 3:19PM0.40m | 3:48AM0.38m | 4:02PM0.64m | 4:31AM0.73m | 4:45PM1.02m | ||||||||
 | |  | | | |  | |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 5:11 | — | — | 5:13 | — | — | 5:13 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:16 | — | — | 5:18 | — | — | 5:18 | — | — |
 | — | — | 9:27 | — | — | 9:25 | — | — | 9:24 | — | — | 9:23 | — | — | 9:22 | — | — | 9:22 | — | — | 9:21 |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 23 | 28 | 22 | 26 | 30 | 26 | 27 | 29 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 27 | 23 | 26 | 25 | 24 | 25 | 24 | 24 | 26 | 23 |
Feels °C | 17 | 22 | 15 | 22 | 27 | 21 | 24 | 28 | 23 | 23 | 23 | 23 | 21 | 23 | 21 | 21 | 23 | 22 | 21 | 23 | 19 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | SW 19 | W 12 | W 11 | WSW 11 | WSW 10 | WSW 10 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | W 9 | W 8 | W 8 | WNW 3 | W 8 | W 8 | WNW 3 | W 8 | W 7 | W 8 |
| kJ | — | 15 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | SW 18 | SW 18 | — | SW 16 | SW 16 | W 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 7 | SW 7 | SW 7 | W 8 | — | — | W 8 | — | W 9 | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | 12 | 12 | — | 10 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | W 8 | — | — | W 16 | — | — | W 10 | — | — | — | — | SW 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | 5 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 3 | E 3 | ENE 3 | ENE 3 | ENE 3 | ENE 3 | E 3 | — | S 6 | — | ENE 2 | ESE 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 8 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 333 | 249 | 133 | 100 | 133 | 133 | 100 | 249 | 195 | 210 | 178 | 92 | 345 | 371 | 429 | 422 | 422 | 335 | 390 | 510 | 338 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Wales - South East | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United Kingdom | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Ogmore-by-Sea Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Ogmore-by-Sea provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Ogmore-by-Sea can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Ogmore-by-Sea surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Ogmore-by-Sea) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Ogmore-by-Sea may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Wales - South East? If you are looking for accommodation near Ogmore-by-Sea, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Wales - South East, consider staying in Porthcawl which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Wales - South East where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Nash Point which is 9 km (6 miles) away, Coity, Maesteg and Briton Ferry.
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