Surf Forecasts:
Ogmore-by-Sea surf forecast from 4 Aug 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 5 Aug, 4PM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 7s period, WSW swell with 198 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Ogmore-by-Sea this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Ogmore-by-Sea in the next 16 days are 1.5m 7s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Aug 05) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.3m 3s period and expected on Sunday (Aug 09) at 10PM.
| Wave Type | Time (BST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 4PM (Wed 5th Aug) | 5ft (1.5m) 7s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Ogmore-by-Sea over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Right then, let’s have a look at what’s on offer for Ogmore-by-Sea over the next couple of weeks. I’ll be straight with you, it’s a pretty grim picture for a while. The river mouth setup here is sheltered from the swell, and we’re just not seeing the right energy coming in. The water is sitting at 69°F which is much warmer than normal for this time of year, a real anomaly of 8°F warmer, so that’s a strange one.
We kick off on Tuesday, 4th August, with a small 3ft swell from the WSW, but the wind is onshore and fresh, making a mess of things. The combined energy is weak at 108. This pattern of poor surf conditions just keeps rolling through. Wednesday, 5th August, sees a bit more size with a 5ft swell on the afternoon, but it’s accompanied by a strong 22 mph onshore wind, taking the combined energy up to a moderate 225, but it’s just blowing out. The wind doesn’t let up, and the swell drops off into tiny, weak waves for the rest of that week and into the next. There’s a real gap of several days where there’s simply nothing worth paddling out for.
The first real glimmer of hope shows up on Thursday, 13th August. The morning session is looking like the standout of the entire period. We’ve got a 3ft swell from the WSW, the wind goes glassy, and the combined energy is a moderate 119. The period is a short 8 seconds, so it’s not a groundswell with any real punch, but with glassy conditions it’ll be clean and rideable. It’s the only day in the whole forecast that gets a score high enough to even mention.
After that, the wind swings back onshore and the swell drops away again. Friday, 14th August, has a clean cross-shore wind in the morning, but the swell is only 2ft and the energy is weak at 77. The rest of the second week is a write-off, with tiny, bumpy waves and onshore winds. Ogmore-by-Sea is inconsistent at the best of times, and this looks like a blank run that’s normal for the area. Forecasts can change, but right now, the only morning worth a look is the 13th of August.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastSome drizzle, heaviest during Tue morning. Warm (max 20°C on Tue morning, min 13°C on Wed night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the W on Wed afternoon, calm by Thu night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 21°C on Sun afternoon, min 14°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 4 | Wednesday 5 | Thursday 6 | Friday 7 | Saturday 8 | Sunday 9 | Monday 10 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 7 | WSW 7 | WSW 6 | WSW 6 | WSW 7 | W 6 | WSW 6 | WSW 6 | W 5 | WSW 5 | WSW 5 | WSW 4 | W 9 | W 9 | WSW 8 | WSW 7 | W 7 | W 6 | WSW 5 | W 6 | WSW 5 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 81 | 81 | 90 | 108 | 198 | 78 | 68 | 58 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 37 | 43 | 18 | 9 | 15 | 5 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | on | on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross | on | on | cross | on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | glassy |
High Tide | 10:44AM8.04m | 11:03PM8.10m | 11:27AM7.71m | 11:50PM7.67m | 12:18PM7.30m | 00:47AM7.20m | 1:22PM6.93m | 2:01AM6.85m | 2:44PM6.79m | 3:28AM6.84m | 4:08PM7.06m | 4:47AM7.24m | 5:18PM7.66m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 4:38PM1.17m | 5:03AM1.29m | 5:22PM1.51m | 5:50AM1.68m | 6:15PM1.92m | 6:50AM2.11m | 7:26PM2.29m | 8:09AM2.39m | 8:54PM2.39m | 9:39AM2.34m | 10:24PM2.09m | 10:59AM1.92m | 11:36PM1.52m | ||||||||
 |  |  | |  |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 5:41 | — | — | 5:43 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:46 | — | — | 5:48 | — | — | 5:48 | — | — | 5:50 | — | — |
 | — | 8:58 | — | — | 8:55 | — | — | 8:53 | — | — | 8:52 | — | — | 8:51 | — | — | 8:49 | — | — | 8:46 | — |
mm | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 20 | 19 | 18 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 15 | 18 | 20 | 17 | 20 | 21 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 19 |
Feels °C | 19 | 17 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 17 | 17 | 15 | 18 | 16 | 17 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 7 | — | — | — | — | — | W 11 | W 10 | W 5 | WSW 5 | W 9 | WSW 4 | W 4 | W 9 | W 4 | WSW 7 | — | W 6 | WSW 5 | W 8 | WSW 5 |
| kJ | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 8 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 37 | — | 18 | 9 | 1 | 5 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | W 10 | W 9 | W 9 | W 9 | W 9 | — | WSW 8 | — | — | W 9 | W 8 | — | SW 7 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | — | 7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 2 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | W 8 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 7 | WSW 7 | WSW 6 | WSW 6 | WSW 7 | W 6 | WSW 6 | WSW 6 | — | — | WSW 5 | — | — | W 4 | — | — | W 7 | — | — | W 6 | — |
| kJ | 81 | 81 | 90 | 108 | 198 | 78 | 68 | 58 | — | — | 7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 43 | — | — | 15 | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 140 | 338 | 299 | 354 | 354 | 308 | 213 | 380 | 334 | 335 | 338 | 354 | 454 | 213 | 142 | 47 | 1432 | 46 | 198 | 422 | 195 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Wales - South East | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United Kingdom | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Ogmore-by-Sea Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Ogmore-by-Sea provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Ogmore-by-Sea can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Ogmore-by-Sea surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Ogmore-by-Sea) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Ogmore-by-Sea may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Wales - South East? If you are looking for accommodation near Ogmore-by-Sea, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Wales - South East, consider staying in Porthcawl which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Wales - South East where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Nash Point which is 9 km (6 miles) away, Coity, Maesteg and Briton Ferry.
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