Surf Forecasts:
Ogmore-by-Sea surf forecast from 1 Sep 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Friday 4 Sep, 4AM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 8s period, WSW swell with 358 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Ogmore-by-Sea this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Ogmore-by-Sea in the next 16 days are 1.8m 8s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Sep 04) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.3m 2s period and expected on Sunday (Sep 06) at 1PM.
| Wave Type | Time (BST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 4AM (Fri 4th Sep) | 6ft (1.8m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Ogmore-by-Sea over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Right then, let's have a look at what's on offer for the next couple of weeks. I'm not gonna lie, it's been a lean patch for us at Ogmore-by-Sea, and the first week and a half looks pretty grim. The swell is coming in from the WSW, but the wind is mostly onshore or cross-onshore and blowing hard, making a proper mess of things. From the 1st of September all the way through to the 10th, we're looking at poor surf conditions with moderate to fresh breezes. The combined swell energy is mostly weak, in the range of 26 to 220, so nothing to get excited about. Even when the height bumps up to 5ft on the 2nd, the wind is onshore, so it's junk. The water temp is about average for the time of year.
Now, things start to look a little more promising from the 11th of September. Friday the 11th morning is our first real standout. We've got a 4ft swell from the WSW with a moderate 8-second period. The real kicker is the wind – it's glassy, mate, dead calm. The combined energy is a moderate 227, so there's some push, and the waves will be clean. The swell is super small, but it'll be smooth. This is the best of the best in this outlook.
Saturday the 12th keeps the good vibes going. The morning has a 3ft WSW swell with a light offshore breeze from the East. The afternoon goes even better with a 3ft swell and full glass-off conditions – calm wind and clean waves, with energy at 131. That's a solid Saturday session.
After that, we slide back into small, weak conditions for the rest of the run. The 15th and 16th bring some clean conditions with offshore or glassy wind, but the swell energy drops to weak levels (around 164 and 123) and the waves are tiny, less than 3ft, so it's more of a longboard session or a paddle than a proper surf.
The one standout to mark in your calendar is Friday the 11th of September morning. It's not big, but it'll be clean and glassy, and after that first week of blown-out crap, it'll feel like heaven.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Wed morning. Very mild (max 19°C on Wed afternoon, min 16°C on Mon night). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Thu night. Warm (max 20°C on Sun afternoon, min 13°C on Fri night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the WSW on Thu night, light winds from the NNW by Sat night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 1 | Wednesday 2 | Thursday 3 | Friday 4 | Saturday 5 | Sunday 6 | Monday 7 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 9 | WSW 4 | WSW 5 | WSW 6 | WSW 7 | WSW 7 | WSW 7 | WSW 7 | WSW 7 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 6 | WSW 8 | WSW 9 | W 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 8 | WSW 12 | WSW 11 | WSW 10 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 28 | 26 | 30 | 36 | 198 | 181 | 181 | 208 | 330 | 196 | 212 | 68 | 20 | 61 | 41 | 26 | 7 | 22 | 58 | 123 | 195 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | on | on | cross-on | on | on | on | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | on | on | on |
High Tide | 9:38AM8.75m | 9:57PM8.76m | 10:17AM8.41m | 10:38PM8.28m | 11:00AM7.92m | 11:25PM7.66m | 11:52AM7.32m | 00:25AM7.00m | 1:01PM6.77m | 1:47AM6.53m | 2:33PM6.57m | 3:24AM6.57m | 4:04PM6.95m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 3:33PM0.53m | 3:54AM0.69m | 4:10PM0.88m | 4:33AM1.15m | 4:54PM1.40m | 5:20AM1.75m | 5:49PM2.00m | 6:24AM2.36m | 7:09PM2.53m | 7:57AM2.74m | 8:57PM2.62m | 9:43AM2.57m | 10:31PM2.15m | ||||||||
 |  |  |  |  |  |  | | | | |  | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 6:26 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — | 6:30 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — |
 | — | 8:01 | — | — | 7:59 | — | — | 7:57 | — | — | 7:54 | — | — | 7:52 | — | — | 7:50 | — | — | 7:47 | — |
mm | — | — | 1 | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 17 | 17 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 18 | 18 | 19 | 19 | 16 | 17 | 16 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 19 | 20 | 17 | 19 | 19 | 17 |
Feels °C | 14 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 14 | 18 | 17 | 17 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 9 | — | WSW 8 | W 16 | — | W 8 | SW 15 | — | — | SW 15 | SW 14 | WSW 6 | W 6 | WSW 9 | W 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 6 | WSW 8 | WSW 12 | WSW 11 | WSW 10 |
| kJ | 26 | — | 7 | 5 | — | 138 | 8 | — | — | 8 | 8 | 68 | 18 | 61 | 41 | 26 | 6 | 22 | 58 | 123 | 195 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | W 14 | — | — | WSW 9 | S 3 | WSW 9 | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 28 | 20 | 4 | — | — | 7 | 1 | 26 | — | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 14 | SW 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 8 | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 6 | WSW 4 | WSW 5 | WSW 6 | WSW 7 | WSW 7 | WSW 7 | WSW 7 | WSW 7 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | — | — | — | — | — | SSE 3 | — | — | W 3 | — |
| kJ | 28 | 26 | 30 | 36 | 198 | 181 | 181 | 208 | 330 | 196 | 212 | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | 5 | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 128 | 154 | 128 | 450 | 308 | 308 | 140 | 308 | 163 | 354 | 353 | 132 | 28 | 140 | 9 | 80 | 56 | 48 | 72 | 77 | 16 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Wales - South East | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United Kingdom | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Ogmore-by-Sea Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Ogmore-by-Sea provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Ogmore-by-Sea can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Ogmore-by-Sea surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Ogmore-by-Sea) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Ogmore-by-Sea may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Wales - South East? If you are looking for accommodation near Ogmore-by-Sea, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Wales - South East, consider staying in Porthcawl which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Wales - South East where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Nash Point which is 9 km (6 miles) away, Coity, Maesteg and Briton Ferry.
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