Surf Forecasts:
Ogmore-by-Sea surf forecast from 10 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Friday 10 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.4m), 9s period, WSW swell with 28 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Ogmore-by-Sea this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Ogmore-by-Sea in the next 16 days are 0.4m 9s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 10) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.7m 3s period and expected on Monday (Jul 13) at 1AM.
| Wave Type | Time (BST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 10AM (Fri 10th Jul) | 1.5ft (0.4m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Ogmore-by-Sea over the next 16 days.
Alright, Rusty here. Let's take a look at what's on offer for us over the next couple of weeks.
Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you – it's a grim stretch ahead for Ogmore-by-Sea (river). We're looking at a solid 16-day window with absolutely nothing worth paddling out for. The first week is a total write-off. From Friday the 10th through to Sunday the 19th, the swell is either non-existent or so tiny you'd be doing more walking on the sandbar than surfing. The combined wave energy barely cracks double digits, sitting mostly between 1 and 29 (weak energy) for the first ten days. There's a few moments of clean offshore wind, but with swell heights hovering around 0.3 ft to 1 ft, it's all just a tease. The longest period we see in that stretch is a 19-second groundswell on Monday the 13th, but it's only 0.3 ft – that's like hearing a big wave story but no wave to show for it.
The second week isn't any better for quality. The swell does start to build a little, but it's still poor. By Thursday the 24th and Friday the 25th, we finally see some height – 2 ft – but it's short-period windswell from the west (6 seconds), and the wind is onshore and choppy. The combined energy gets up to 46 (still weak) on Saturday the 25th, but with onshore wind and a messy, short-period wave, it's not going to be anything you'd want to drive for. The best you could hope for is a glassy moment on Saturday morning the 18th or Tuesday the 21st, but with only 0.3 ft of swell, it's barely a ripple.
The truth is, there's not a single standout session in this entire 16-day outlook. It's a blank run, and for a sheltered spot like this, that's not totally unusual. Forecasts can change, but for now, save your wax and your energy. The water temp is about average for the time of year, so at least if you're just having a paddle, it won't be a shock.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 31°C on Fri afternoon, min 16°C on Sat night). Winds increasing (calm on Thu night, fresh winds from the ENE by Sun morning). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 31°C on Tue afternoon, min 14°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the ENE on Sun night, light winds from the N by Wed afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | W 8 | W 8 | W 8 | E 3 | SW 19 | W 13 | SW 18 | WSW 11 | WSW 10 | WSW 10 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 9 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 28 | 26 | 24 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 7 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | off | off | off | off | off | cross-off | off | off | off | off | off | cross | off | off | off | off |
High Tide | 3:10PM7.09m | 3:45AM7.27m | 4:21PM7.40m | 4:55AM7.62m | 5:26PM7.89m | 5:56AM8.08m | 6:23PM8.44m | 6:51AM8.51m | 7:15PM8.92m | 7:42AM8.83m | 8:04PM9.24m | 8:29AM8.96m | 8:50PM9.34m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 8:40AM2.02m | 9:15PM2.04m | 9:53AM1.88m | 10:28PM1.76m | 11:01AM1.57m | 11:35PM1.32m | 12:03PM1.17m | 00:35AM0.86m | 12:58PM0.77m | 1:28AM0.47m | 1:48PM0.48m | 2:18AM0.24m | 2:35PM0.35m | 3:04AM0.21m | |||||||
 | |  | | | | |  | | | |  | | | | | |  |  |  |  | |
 | 5:09 | — | — | 5:09 | — | — | 5:11 | — | — | 5:11 | — | — | 5:13 | — | — | 5:13 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — |
 | — | — | 9:30 | — | — | 9:29 | — | — | 9:28 | — | — | 9:27 | — | — | 9:25 | — | — | 9:24 | — | — | 9:23 |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 4 | — | 3 |
Temp °C | 28 | 31 | 29 | 28 | 31 | 26 | 26 | 30 | 22 | 25 | 30 | 24 | 27 | 31 | 25 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 23 | 24 | 21 |
Feels °C | 27 | 30 | 29 | 24 | 27 | 21 | 21 | 25 | 14 | 18 | 26 | 17 | 22 | 27 | 17 | 23 | 24 | 24 | 21 | 22 | 21 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 8 | WSW 7 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | W 8 | W 8 | W 8 | — | SW 19 | W 13 | W 11 | WSW 11 | WSW 10 | WSW 10 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 9 |
| kJ | 28 | 26 | 24 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | — | 15 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 7 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | WSW 8 | W 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 18 | SW 18 | — | SW 16 | SW 16 | W 16 | W 14 | SW 14 | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | 7 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 12 | 12 | — | 10 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 8 | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | NW 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | W 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 4 | — | — | ENE 2 | ENE 2 | ENE 3 | E 3 | E 3 | E 3 | E 3 | E 3 | ENE 3 | ENE 3 | ENE 3 | E 3 | ENE 3 | E 3 | ENE 3 | ENE 3 | E 3 | ENE 3 |
| kJ | 1 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 40 | 40 | 48 | 94 | 98 | 133 | 429 | 449 | 457 | 335 | 100 | 142 | 111 | 133 | 142 | 92 | 161 | 94 | 136 | 178 | 179 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Wales - South East | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United Kingdom | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Ogmore-by-Sea Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Ogmore-by-Sea provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Ogmore-by-Sea can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Ogmore-by-Sea surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Ogmore-by-Sea) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Ogmore-by-Sea may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Wales - South East? If you are looking for accommodation near Ogmore-by-Sea, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Wales - South East, consider staying in Porthcawl which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Wales - South East where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Nash Point which is 9 km (6 miles) away, Coity, Maesteg and Briton Ferry.
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