Ogmore-by-Sea Surf Break

Lat Long: 51.46° N 3.64° W

Ogmore-by-Sea Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 12 pm 14 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Ogmore-by-Sea sea temperature is
20.8° C
4.5° 

Ogmore-by-Sea surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Ogmore-by-Sea surf forecast from 14 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Thursday 20 Aug, 1AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 8s period, W swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Wednesday 19 Aug, 4PM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 7s period, W swell with 338 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 20 Aug, 1AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 8s period with W swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Ogmore-by-Sea this week:

The surf forecast for Ogmore-by-Sea over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 20) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.3m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 16s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Ogmore-by-Sea in the next 16 days are 1.8m 7s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Aug 19) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.3m 4s period and expected on Saturday (Aug 15) at 10PM.

Wave TypeTime (BST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 1AM (Thu 20th Aug)4.5ft (1.3m) 8s
Best Surf 1AM (Thu 20th Aug)4.5ft (1.3m) 8s
Most Powerful 4PM (Wed 19th Aug)6ft (1.8m) 7s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Ogmore-by-Sea over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get straight into it for Ogmore-by-Sea.

Look, I’ve got to be honest with you. The next ten days or so are a bit of a write-off for actual surfing. The swell is tiny, the wind is messy, and the whole setup is just not cooperating. We’re looking at a long, dry spell from now until the end of the first week. From the 14th of August all the way through to the 23rd, it’s basically a flat spell with poor to non-existent surf. The energy is weak, with the combined swell energy barely cracking 100 (47) at its best, and most days it’s well under that. The water is warm, though – about 69°F, which is much warmer than normal for this time of year, if you fancy a paddle, but that’s about it.

The only real glimmer, and I mean the only one, shows up right at the end of the forecast window. It’s a long way out, but around Friday the 28th of August, things look like they might finally wake up. A solid groundswell arrives, pushing in from the WSW with a period of 12 seconds and a serious amount of energy behind it – we’re talking combined energy of 3275. The swell is going to be a meaty 12ft, which is well into expert territory. The wind is forecast to be a strong offshore from the ENE, which will clean the waves right up, but at that size, paddling out will be a battle. This is not a beginner’s day. The break is a river mouth, so it’s sheltered, but with that much power, expect it to be heavy and take a real commitment to handle. It’s a long-range call, so keep your fingers crossed, but it’s the only shot we’ve got in the whole 16-day window.

Saturday the 29th still has some decent leftover swell, around 10ft from the WSW, but the wind is shifting to a cross-off from the NNE, so it will still be clean. The energy is strong (1564), but it’s still a big, powerful wave for experienced surfers only.

Other than that, the whole period is a washout. Hang in there, lads. Forecasts can change.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 22°C on Sat afternoon, min 15°C on Sat night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the NW on Sat afternoon, calm by Sun night).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Some drizzle, heaviest during Mon night. Very mild (max 19°C on Mon morning, min 15°C on Tue night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the W on Tue afternoon, calm by Wed night).

Friday
14
Saturday
15
Sunday
16
Monday
17
Tuesday
18
Wednesday
19
Thursday
20
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.5
WSW
9
0.5
W
9
0.5
W
8
0.5
W
8
0.4
WSW
8
0.5
W
7
0.3
WSW
7
0.4
WSW
7
0.3
W
5
0.4
WSW
5
0.7
W
5
1
WSW
5
1
W
6
1
W
6
0.8
WSW
6
1.6
W
6
1.8
W
7
1.3
W
8
0.9
W
7
0.7
W
6
0.3
WSW
8
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
47
40
33
29
19
27
11
18
5
8
27
62
84
78
50
220
338
212
77
36
14
Wind (km/h)
15
W
25
W
10
N
15
NNW
30
NW
10
N
5
SW
25
W
10
W
10
W
25
WSW
25
WSW
25
WNW
35
W
25
NW
30
W
30
W
5
N
10
WNW
15
WNW
10
NE
Wind State
cross-on
on
cross-off
cross
cross-on
cross-off
glassy
on
cross-on
cross-on
on
on
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
glassy
cross-on
cross-on
cross-off
High Tide
8:30PM9.49m
8:51AM9.10m
9:10PM9.36m
9:30AM8.88m
9:48PM8.99m
10:07AM8.48m
10:25PM8.43m
10:44AM7.95m
11:03PM7.76m
11:22AM7.34m
11:42PM7.06m
12:04PM6.72m
00:30AM6.40m
Low Tide
2:17PM0.15m
2:42AM0.02m
2:55PM0.16m
3:19AM0.19m
3:32PM0.39m
3:54AM0.55m
4:07PM0.80m
4:29AM1.07m
4:44PM1.34m
5:05AM1.67m
5:23PM1.95m
5:45AM2.30m
6:09PM2.56m
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
rain showers
clear
clear
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:56
5:58
6:00
6:01
6:03
6:05
6:07
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
8:39
8:37
8:36
8:34
8:31
8:29
8:27
 mm
1
Temp °C
21
20
20
21
22
16
18
18
17
19
18
18
19
18
17
18
19
18
17
19
16
Feels °C
20
18
19
16
16
12
15
13
14
19
15
16
14
12
14
11
13
16
15
16
12
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Ogmore-by-Sea Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Ogmore-by-Sea provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Ogmore-by-Sea can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Ogmore-by-Sea surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Ogmore-by-Sea) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Ogmore-by-Sea may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Wales - South East? If you are looking for accommodation near Ogmore-by-Sea, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Wales - South East, consider staying in Porthcawl which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Wales - South East where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Nash Point which is 9 km (6 miles) away, Coity, Maesteg and Briton Ferry.

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