Surf Forecasts:
Ogmore-by-Sea surf forecast from 7 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Friday 10 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.4m), 9s period, WSW swell with 27 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Ogmore-by-Sea this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Ogmore-by-Sea in the next 16 days are 0.4m 9s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 10) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 3s period and expected on Sunday (Jul 12) at 10AM.
| Wave Type | Time (BST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 10AM (Fri 10th Jul) | 1.5ft (0.4m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Ogmore-by-Sea over the next 16 days.
Updates in hr min s Forecast update imminent
Alright, let’s break this down.
For Ogmore-by-Sea, I’ll level with you – this forecast is a quiet one. Over the next 16 days, there’s barely enough swell to wet your board, and you’ll be waiting a good few days for anything even remotely rideable.
The first tiny sign of life is on Thursday, July 9th. Early morning, you’ve got a glassy wind – dead calm – and a little 1ft swell from the WSW with a period of 10 seconds. The combined wave energy is a measly 18, so it’s weak. It’ll look pretty, but you’ll be lucky to get a knee-high ripple.
Then Friday, July 10th nudges up just a touch: 1ft from the WSW, 9-second period, with a light cross-offshore breeze in the morning. Combined energy is 27 – still very weak. Maybe a waist-high wave if you’re really patient, but don’t expect much. The afternoon is similar, just as clean.
From Saturday, July 11th onward, it’s a steep drop. The swell collapses to under 1ft for nearly the rest of the run. You get a stretch of strong offshore winds from the ENE starting Sunday, July 12th – that would normally be a dream for clean surf, but with combined energy values down to 2 and 1, there’s literally no wave. It’ll be like a pond.
There is a weird moment on Monday afternoon, July 13th: a very long-period swell of 19 seconds from the SW, but only 0.3ft in height and 16 combined energy. That long period would usually mean a powerful, clean wave, but there’s just no size. For a river break like Ogmore, a long-period south-west swell can be a treat, but not at this height.
Later on, Saturday, July 18th offers another tiny window: 1ft from the SW, 7-second period, glassy in the morning. Combined energy just 13. Again, a knee-high dribble at best.
Truth is, this is a real dry spell for Ogmore. It’s a sheltered spot that needs a proper south-west pulse to get going, and that’s just not in the cards. Keep your eyes peeled – forecasts can flip, and it doesn’t usually stay this flat for long.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 25°C on Thu afternoon, min 15°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 32°C on Fri afternoon, min 17°C on Sat night). Winds increasing (calm on Fri night, fresh winds from the ENE by Sat night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 7 | Wednesday 8 | Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 10 | WSW 10 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | W 8 | W 8 | W 8 | W 8 | W 8 | SW 19 | ENE 3 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 15 | 15 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 18 | 17 | 17 | 27 | 26 | 22 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 0 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | cross-on | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | cross-off | cross-on | off | off | off | off | off | off | off |
High Tide | 12:00PM7.29m | 00:23AM7.43m | 12:54PM7.11m | 1:22AM7.23m | 1:58PM7.01m | 2:31AM7.14m | 3:10PM7.09m | 3:45AM7.27m | 4:21PM7.40m | 4:55AM7.62m | 5:26PM7.89m | 5:56AM8.08m | 6:23PM8.44m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 5:40AM1.67m | 5:58PM1.86m | 6:31AM1.84m | 6:55PM2.04m | 7:31AM1.99m | 8:01PM2.13m | 8:40AM2.02m | 9:15PM2.04m | 9:53AM1.88m | 10:28PM1.76m | 11:01AM1.57m | 11:35PM1.32m | 12:03PM1.17m | 00:35AM0.86m | |||||||
 | |  | | | |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 5:05 | — | — | 5:07 | — | — | 5:07 | — | — | 5:09 | — | — | 5:09 | — | — | 5:11 | — | — | 5:11 | — | — |
 | — | — | 9:31 | — | — | 9:30 | — | — | 9:30 | — | — | 9:30 | — | — | 9:29 | — | — | 9:28 | — | — | 9:27 |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 19 | 19 | 19 | 21 | 22 | 20 | 23 | 25 | 24 | 28 | 32 | 29 | 29 | 30 | 29 | 26 | 29 | 23 | 23 | 27 | 22 |
Feels °C | 17 | 16 | 18 | 21 | 21 | 19 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 27 | 31 | 29 | 27 | 29 | 27 | 23 | 26 | 16 | 16 | 20 | 14 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 5 | WSW 9 | W 4 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 10 | WSW 10 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 8 | WSW 7 | WSW 8 | W 8 | W 8 | W 8 | W 8 | W 8 | SW 19 | — |
| kJ | 7 | 15 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 18 | 17 | 17 | 27 | 26 | 22 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15 | — |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 9 | W 11 | WSW 8 | — | — | — | — | — | W 4 | — | — | — | WSW 8 | W 6 | — | W 6 | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 15 | 2 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | 7 | 3 | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | W 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NW 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | W 8 | — |
| kJ | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 5 | W 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | E 2 | — | E 2 | E 3 | ENE 3 | ENE 3 | ENE 3 | ENE 3 | ENE 3 |
| kJ | 8 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 196 | 308 | 92 | 80 | 213 | 80 | 56 | 194 | 56 | 40 | 56 | 80 | 94 | 145 | 133 | 493 | 149 | 420 | 385 | 146 | 342 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Wales - South East | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United Kingdom | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Ogmore-by-Sea Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Ogmore-by-Sea provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Ogmore-by-Sea can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Ogmore-by-Sea surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Ogmore-by-Sea) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Ogmore-by-Sea may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Wales - South East? If you are looking for accommodation near Ogmore-by-Sea, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Wales - South East, consider staying in Porthcawl which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Wales - South East where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Nash Point which is 9 km (6 miles) away, Coity, Maesteg and Briton Ferry.
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