Surf Forecasts:
Ogmore-by-Sea surf forecast from 12 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Monday 13 Jul, 1PM (local time) - 0.5ft (0.1m), 19s period, SW swell with 15 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Ogmore-by-Sea this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Ogmore-by-Sea in the next 16 days are 0.1m 19s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 13) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 4s period and expected on Monday (Jul 13) at 1AM.
| Wave Type | Time (BST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 1PM (Mon 13th Jul) | 0.5ft (0.1m) 19s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Ogmore-by-Sea over the next 16 days.
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what Ogmore-by-Sea has in store for us. Honestly, it’s a tough outlook. We’ve got a proper drought of any real surf action for most of the period. The finder confirms there are no good options at all for the entire 16-day window. The system just isn’t lining up.
We start with the 12th of July and there’s nothing there — tiny 0.3 ft waves from the west with practically no energy (combined energy of just 1). It stays like that for days. From the 12th right through until the morning of the 23rd of July, there’s not a single surfable recommendation. That’s an 11-day gap with basically nothing on offer. The swell is all small, weak, or non-existent, and when there is a little bump from the southwest, the period is either too short or the wind is messy.
Now, things look like they might finally change around the 23rd of July. We see a bump in size, with 4 ft to 4 ft swells coming from the northwest and west-northwest on Thursday the 23rd, but the wind is cross-onshore and choppy, and the period is a short, weak 5 seconds. The combined energy reaches 83 — still low. It’s not going to be any good. By the 26th of July we get the biggest swell of the whole forecast, with 5 ft from the west-southwest on Sunday morning and a combined energy of 517 — that’s moderate energy, finally. But the wind is onshore at 35 km/h and it’s classed as unknown conditions. For a river mouth that’s sheltered, the swell direction (WSW) is not ideal, and the short period (8 seconds) won’t help shape. This might look more interesting for the kite crowd than for paddle surfing, to be honest.
So, the long and short of it: there are no standouts here. Not one true highlight. For an area like this, a blank run is more normal when the pattern isn’t cooperating. We just have to wait for the next frontal system to align better. Forecasts can change though, so don’t lose hope entirely.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 31°C on Tue afternoon, min 14°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the ENE on Sun night, light winds from the ENE by Tue afternoon). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 7mm), mostly falling on Wed afternoon. Warm (max 31°C on Wed afternoon, min 16°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 8 | W 8 | W 8 | E 3 | SW 19 | W 12 | SW 18 | WSW 11 | WSW 10 | WSW 10 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 9 | WSW 8 | W 8 | WSW 8 | SW 6 | SW 6 | WSW 6 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 6 | 3 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | off | off | off | cross-off | off | off | off | off | off | cross-off | off | off | cross-on | on | on | cross-on | on | cross-off | on | cross-off |
High Tide | 5:26PM7.89m | 5:56AM8.08m | 6:23PM8.44m | 6:51AM8.51m | 7:15PM8.92m | 7:42AM8.83m | 8:04PM9.24m | 8:29AM8.96m | 8:50PM9.34m | 9:14AM8.89m | 9:35PM9.20m | 9:58AM8.63m | 10:18PM8.84m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 11:01AM1.57m | 11:35PM1.32m | 12:03PM1.17m | 00:35AM0.86m | 12:58PM0.77m | 1:28AM0.47m | 1:48PM0.48m | 2:18AM0.24m | 2:35PM0.35m | 3:04AM0.21m | 3:19PM0.40m | 3:48AM0.38m | 4:02PM0.64m | ||||||||
 | |  | | |  | |  | | |  | |  | |  |  | | | | | | |
 | 5:11 | — | — | 5:11 | — | — | 5:13 | — | — | 5:13 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:16 | — | — | 5:18 | — | — |
 | — | — | 9:28 | — | — | 9:27 | — | — | 9:25 | — | — | 9:24 | — | — | 9:23 | — | — | 9:22 | — | — | 9:22 |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Temp °C | 26 | 30 | 23 | 24 | 28 | 23 | 27 | 31 | 26 | 26 | 31 | 27 | 21 | 24 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 17 | 21 | 23 | 22 |
Feels °C | 22 | 25 | 15 | 17 | 23 | 16 | 22 | 28 | 21 | 22 | 27 | 26 | 19 | 22 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 16 | 22 | 22 | 23 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 8 | W 8 | W 8 | — | SW 19 | W 12 | W 11 | WSW 11 | WSW 10 | WSW 10 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | SW 7 | WSW 6 | WSW 6 | WSW 6 | SW 6 | SW 6 | WSW 6 |
| kJ | 1 | 1 | 1 | — | 15 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 6 | 3 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 18 | SW 18 | — | SW 16 | SW 16 | W 16 | SW 8 | SW 7 | WSW 9 | WSW 8 | W 8 | WSW 8 | W 8 | W 8 | W 8 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | 12 | 12 | — | 10 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | W 8 | — | — | — | — | — | SW 14 | SW 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | 8 | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 3 | E 3 | ENE 4 | E 3 | E 3 | ENE 3 | ENE 3 | E 3 | E 3 | ENE 3 | E 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 2 | 4 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 142 | 249 | 385 | 147 | 147 | 142 | 92 | 56 | 142 | 194 | 92 | 143 | 100 | 111 | 132 | 345 | 179 | 213 | 464 | 1136 | 429 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Wales - South East | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United Kingdom | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Ogmore-by-Sea Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Ogmore-by-Sea provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Ogmore-by-Sea can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Ogmore-by-Sea surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Ogmore-by-Sea) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Ogmore-by-Sea may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Wales - South East? If you are looking for accommodation near Ogmore-by-Sea, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Wales - South East, consider staying in Porthcawl which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Wales - South East where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Nash Point which is 9 km (6 miles) away, Coity, Maesteg and Briton Ferry.
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