Ogmore-by-Sea Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right, let’s have a look at what’s on the table for the next couple of weeks.

First off, I gotta be straight with you – it’s a pretty grim run for Ogmore-by-Sea. This is a river-mouth setup, sheltered from the swell, and it really needs things to line up. Over the next 16 days, there isn’t a single moment the surf is worth paddling out for. The whole window is a write-off.

We start Friday the 4th with rain showers and a fresh cross-onshore wind at 22 mph, lumping up a 6 ft swell. The wave energy is moderate at best (411), but the wind just trashes it. That pattern sticks around. Saturday the 5th drops right off – tiny 3 ft swell, light wind but still cross-onshore, and the energy is weak (84). No go.

Sunday the 6th has a clean morning with a light cross-offshore breeze, but the swell is a pathetic 1 ft. Monday the 7th throws up a bigger, longer-period groundswell – 5 ft to 5 ft from the WSW with a period of 14 seconds, and strong energy (758-803). But the wind is howling cross-onshore or onshore at 16 mph, so it’s choppy and messy. That long-period swell would be better at a point or reef, but here it’s just getting wrecked.

The rest of the first week and into the second just repeats the same story. Midweek from the 8th to the 11th we see some decent swell heights – 6 ft to 7 ft on Tuesday the 8th, with moderate energy (448-472) – but always with a fresh cross-onshore wind. It’s lumpy, poor quality. Thursday the 10th has onshore wind and rain, so forget it.

There’s a gap of a few days from the 12th to the 13th where the swell is tiny (1 ft to 2 ft). Then Monday the 14th looks like the biggest pulse of the whole forecast – a 7 ft swell with moderate energy (555). But with a moderate cross-onshore wind and a short 8-second period, it's just a big, choppy mess. Too big for beginners, not clean enough for anyone else. The setup would be more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing on that day.

From the 15th to the 19th, we fade right out. The 18th and 19th have glassy or clean conditions with light offshore breezes, but the swell is tiny – 2 ft, with weak energy (40-48). It’s flat.

So, no standouts. The best on offer, if you were desperate, might be the cleanest days on the 6th (Sunday morning) or the 18th and 19th (Friday and Saturday), but the swell is so tiny you’d be scratching for a ride. Honestly, this spot is inconsistent and rarely breaks well, so a blank run like this is pretty normal for the area. Forecasts can always change, but right now, leave your board in the car.

- Rusty

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