Surf Forecasts:
Ogmore-by-Sea surf forecast from 29 Aug 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Friday 4 Sep, 7AM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 8s period, W swell with 579 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Ogmore-by-Sea this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Ogmore-by-Sea in the next 16 days are 2.1m 8s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Sep 04) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 3s period and expected on Saturday (Aug 29) at 10AM.
| Wave Type | Time (BST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 7AM (Fri 4th Sep) | 7ft (2.1m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Ogmore-by-Sea over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at the Ogmore-by-Sea forecast. I've got to be straight with you – this is a tough one. The outlook for the next 16 days is pretty grim. We've got a long stretch without any real surfable conditions, and the forecast doesn't paint a pretty picture for a paddle.
For the entire period, every single entry is marked as "poor surf conditions". It’s a real dry spell, with no standouts whatsoever. The first couple of days have some swell, but the wind is all over the place – mostly onshore or cross-onshore, and strong with it. The combined wave energy starts weak at 111 on Friday the 28th, with a short 6-second period, so it's all wind-slop. That water temperature is a massive 69°F, which is over 7°F warmer than average (*much warmer than normal*), but you won't be enjoying it in this mess.
We see the biggest energy spike on the 8th of September with a 12ft swell from the WSW, but paired with a fresh 22 mph cross-onshore wind. That's a lumpy, messy, expert-only situation and still rated as poor. The combined energy hits 3325 (very strong), but with that wind, don't even think about it.
For anyone looking to paddle, there's nothing here. The winds are relentless and from the wrong directions. Honestly, with that consistent cross-onshore wind and the beach-and-river setup here, the whole 16-day window looks more interesting for a kite surfer than someone with a paddle board. We go from the end of August through to the 12th of September with no redeeming features.
Stay patient, folks. It won't stay this way forever.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastHeavy rain (total 38mm), heaviest during Sat morning. Very mild (max 19°C on Sat afternoon, min 15°C on Sun night). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Wed morning. Very mild (max 18°C on Wed morning, min 15°C on Mon night). Winds increasing (light winds from the W on Mon night, strong winds from the SW by Wed morning). | |||||||||||||||||||
Fri 28 | Saturday 29 | Sunday 30 | Monday 31 | Tuesday 1 | Wednesday 2 | Thursday 3 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 6 | WSW 6 | WSW 6 | SW 7 | WSW 10 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 8 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | W 9 | WSW 6 | WSW 6 | W 6 | WSW 6 | WSW 7 | WSW 7 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 111 | 51 | 30 | 46 | 269 | 194 | 228 | 361 | 445 | 314 | 153 | 103 | 42 | 40 | 61 | 97 | 314 | 164 | 143 | 130 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | on | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | on | cross-on | on | on | on | cross-on | cross-on |
High Tide | 7:38PM8.71m | 7:55AM8.61m | 8:11PM9.00m | 8:29AM8.84m | 8:45PM9.12m | 9:03AM8.89m | 9:20PM9.04m | 9:38AM8.75m | 9:57PM8.76m | 10:17AM8.41m | 10:38PM8.28m | 11:00AM7.92m | 11:25PM7.66m | |||||||
Low Tide | 1:48AM0.59m | 1:59PM0.51m | 2:18AM0.36m | 2:29PM0.35m | 2:48AM0.29m | 3:00PM0.35m | 3:19AM0.40m | 3:33PM0.53m | 3:54AM0.69m | 4:10PM0.88m | 4:33AM1.15m | 4:54PM1.40m | ||||||||
 |  |  | | | | |  |  |  |  |  | | |  | | | | | | |
 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — | 6:24 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — |
 | 8:09 | — | — | 8:07 | — | — | 8:06 | — | — | 8:04 | — | — | 8:01 | — | — | 7:59 | — | — | 7:57 | — |
mm | 1 | 4 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | — | 1 | — |
Temp °C | 18 | 17 | 17 | 19 | 17 | 19 | 17 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 17 | 17 | 17 |
Feels °C | 13 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 15 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 11 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | W 6 | WSW 6 | SW 7 | WSW 10 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | W 8 | WSW 9 | — | WSW 9 | W 9 | W 9 | — | W 6 | — | — | SW 15 | W 15 | SW 15 |
| kJ | — | 31 | 30 | 46 | 269 | 194 | 197 | 358 | 424 | — | 153 | 99 | 24 | — | 57 | — | — | 8 | 5 | 9 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | W 8 | — | — | — | — | — | W 15 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | 5 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 6 | WSW 6 | SSE 3 | — | W 5 | — | WSW 9 | WSW 8 | W 9 | WSW 9 | — | WSW 9 | WSW 6 | WSW 6 | WSW 6 | WSW 6 | WSW 7 | WSW 7 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 |
| kJ | 111 | 51 | 4 | — | 25 | — | 228 | 361 | 445 | 314 | — | 103 | 42 | 40 | 61 | 97 | 314 | 164 | 143 | 130 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 248 | 391 | 391 | 77 | 137 | 72 | 72 | 78 | 36 | 77 | 28 | 152 | 294 | 140 | 457 | 787 | 305 | 893 | 354 | 305 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Wales - South East | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United Kingdom | ||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Ogmore-by-Sea Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Ogmore-by-Sea provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Ogmore-by-Sea can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Ogmore-by-Sea surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Ogmore-by-Sea) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Ogmore-by-Sea may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Wales - South East? If you are looking for accommodation near Ogmore-by-Sea, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Wales - South East, consider staying in Porthcawl which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Wales - South East where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Nash Point which is 9 km (6 miles) away, Coity, Maesteg and Briton Ferry.
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