Ogmore-by-Sea Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on the cards for Ogmore-by-Sea. I gotta be straight with you – this is a tough one. The whole 16-day stretch is looking very quiet. We've got a long stretch of flat, poor conditions, so don't get your hopes up too soon.

The water temp on the 22nd is sitting at 69°, which is a massive 9° warmer than normal for this time of year – very unusual, almost like bathwater.

Right through Wednesday the 22nd into the weekend, it's basically flat. There's a tiny 0.3ft to 1.0ft swell with weak energy, but even if there was any push, the wind is all wrong – mostly onshore or cross-onshore. For the first week, the only real glimmer comes on Friday morning the 24th, when we get glassy conditions, but with a swell of just 0.3ft and a combined energy of only 1, it's barely a ripple.

The weekend of the 25th and 26th sees a slight bump, with swell heights up to 2ft on Saturday afternoon and 3ft to 4ft on Sunday. But don't get excited – the period is short (4 to 7 seconds), the wind is a moderate cross-onshore breeze, and the energy is still low to moderate. The setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing honestly.

The following week, from Monday the 27th through Thursday the 31st, it's a similar story: small, weak swells and poor wind. There's no real improvement.

Looking further out, there is a pulse around Saturday the 1st of August, with 4ft swells from the WSW and a period of 10 seconds, and combined energy in the 200s. That's a moderate groundswell. But the onshore wind will have it messy. Then on Sunday the 2nd of August, we see the biggest swell of the period at 5ft from the WSW, with a combined energy of 249. The real gem here is the afternoon session: glassy conditions with a very light NNW breeze. This is the standout of the entire outlook. The swell is big enough for a fun wave but not too heavy for intermediates. The long wait for a clean, glassy window might pay off.

After that, early August sees a drop back into the doldrums, with small, windy, and choppy conditions through the 6th.

This is a classic dry spell for the area. When it's this flat for this long, it's just how it goes sometimes. Keep an eye on that Sunday the 2nd of August afternoon – it's a long way off, so not certain, but it's the only real chance for a proper paddle.

Rusty, signing off.

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