Surf Forecasts:
Ogmore-by-Sea surf forecast from 9 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Friday 10 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.4m), 9s period, WSW swell with 28 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Ogmore-by-Sea this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Ogmore-by-Sea in the next 16 days are 0.4m 9s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 10) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.7m 3s period and expected on Tuesday (Jul 14) at 1AM.
| Wave Type | Time (BST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 10AM (Fri 10th Jul) | 1.5ft (0.4m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Ogmore-by-Sea over the next 16 days.
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you – we’ve got a grim 16-day window ahead for Ogmore-by-Sea. This is a river mouth setup, sheltered from most of the action, and the numbers just aren’t there. To be honest, we’re looking at two solid weeks of barely a ripple. The first sniff of anything rideable doesn’t come until the very end, and even that’s a long shot. Let’s break it down.
The whole first week is a write-off. From Thursday the 9th right through to the end of the week starting the 14th, we’re staring at tiny swell with combined energy barely cracking 29 (weak energy). The swell is mostly coming from the WSW and W, but it’s just too small – mostly 0.3 ft to 1 ft. The wind does try to help with some glassy and offshore conditions, especially on Saturday afternoon the 11th when it goes glassy, and on Sunday the 12th with a strong offshore breeze. But with a swell height of 0.7 ft and a combined energy of just 2, you’d be floating more than surfing. The water temperature is about average for this time of year, so nothing unusual there.
The second week, from the 14th to the 21st, is just more of the same. We get some long-period swell showing up with periods of 18 to 19 seconds, which is proper groundswell energy, but it’s a tease. The swell height is still a pathetic 0.3 ft, and the combined energy sits between 14 and 19 (weak energy). The wind is mostly offshore from the E and ENE, which is great for tidying things up, but there’s nothing to tidy. The waves just aren’t there. The period is so long for such a small wave that it’s barely breaking.
Finally, we get to the one day that might offer something. On Thursday the 24th of July, we see a jump in swell to 3 ft from the W, with a period of 5 seconds. The combined energy hits 48 (still weak energy). The wind is light cross-onshore, so it’ll be a bit rippled, but it’s the only time in the whole forecast where the swell height is over 2 ft. This is your best bet, but it’s still a dicey call. The period is short, so the waves will be fat and weak. It’s a last-ditch option.
Overall, the whole 16-day stretch is a poor run. Ogmore is notoriously inconsistent, and this forecast proves it. For a river mouth, you need a decent push of swell and this isn’t it. Keep your eyes on the forecasts, because it tends not to stay this flat forever, but for now, don’t bother packing the board.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 31°C on Fri afternoon, min 15°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 30°C on Tue afternoon, min 13°C on Sun night). Mainly strong winds. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 10 | W 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | W 8 | W 8 | W 8 | E 3 | SW 19 | W 13 | SW 18 | SW 18 | WSW 10 | WSW 10 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 18 | 7 | 8 | 28 | 26 | 24 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 8 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | cross-on | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | glassy | off | off | off | off | off | off | off | off | off | off | off | cross-on | cross-on |
High Tide | 1:58PM7.01m | 2:31AM7.14m | 3:10PM7.09m | 3:45AM7.27m | 4:21PM7.40m | 4:55AM7.62m | 5:26PM7.89m | 5:56AM8.08m | 6:23PM8.44m | 6:51AM8.51m | 7:15PM8.92m | 7:42AM8.83m | 8:04PM9.24m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 7:31AM1.99m | 8:01PM2.13m | 8:40AM2.02m | 9:15PM2.04m | 9:53AM1.88m | 10:28PM1.76m | 11:01AM1.57m | 11:35PM1.32m | 12:03PM1.17m | 00:35AM0.86m | 12:58PM0.77m | 1:28AM0.47m | 1:48PM0.48m | 2:18AM0.24m | |||||||
 | |  | | | |  | | | | | | | |  | | |  |  |  | | |
 | 5:07 | — | — | 5:09 | — | — | 5:09 | — | — | 5:11 | — | — | 5:11 | — | — | 5:13 | — | — | 5:13 | — | — |
 | — | — | 9:30 | — | — | 9:30 | — | — | 9:29 | — | — | 9:28 | — | — | 9:27 | — | — | 9:25 | — | — | 9:24 |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | 4 | 3 | 5 |
Temp °C | 21 | 23 | 23 | 27 | 31 | 29 | 28 | 31 | 26 | 26 | 29 | 21 | 24 | 29 | 23 | 27 | 30 | 23 | 23 | 25 | 18 |
Feels °C | 20 | 22 | 23 | 27 | 30 | 29 | 26 | 31 | 21 | 20 | 23 | 13 | 16 | 23 | 16 | 20 | 23 | 18 | 23 | 24 | 18 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 10 | W 5 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 8 | WSW 7 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | W 8 | W 8 | W 8 | — | SW 19 | — | W 12 | W 11 | WSW 10 | WSW 10 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 |
| kJ | 18 | 4 | 8 | 28 | 26 | 24 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | — | 15 | — | 3 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 4 | W 9 | W 5 | — | — | — | WSW 8 | W 6 | — | NW 4 | — | — | — | — | W 13 | SW 18 | SW 18 | — | SW 16 | SW 16 | W 16 |
| kJ | 1 | 7 | 2 | — | — | — | 7 | 3 | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 12 | 12 | — | 10 | 10 | 5 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | NW 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | W 8 | — | W 8 | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | SW 4 | — | — | — | — | E 3 | E 3 | E 3 | ENE 3 | E 3 | E 3 | ENE 3 | ENE 3 | E 3 | E 3 | E 3 | E 3 | ESE 3 |
| kJ | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | 4 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 1 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 56 | 194 | 56 | 40 | 40 | 48 | 56 | 159 | 80 | 142 | 147 | 342 | 452 | 441 | 142 | 100 | 100 | 92 | 132 | 153 | 96 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Wales - South East | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United Kingdom | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Ogmore-by-Sea Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Ogmore-by-Sea provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Ogmore-by-Sea can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Ogmore-by-Sea surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Ogmore-by-Sea) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Ogmore-by-Sea may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Wales - South East? If you are looking for accommodation near Ogmore-by-Sea, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Wales - South East, consider staying in Porthcawl which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Wales - South East where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Nash Point which is 9 km (6 miles) away, Coity, Maesteg and Briton Ferry.
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