Surf Forecasts:
Ogmore-by-Sea surf forecast from 24 Aug 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 29 Aug, 1AM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 8s period, W swell with 381 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Ogmore-by-Sea this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Ogmore-by-Sea in the next 16 days are 1.8m 8s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 29) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 3s period and expected on Tuesday (Aug 25) at 1AM.
| Wave Type | Time (BST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 1AM (Sat 29th Aug) | 6ft (1.8m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Ogmore-by-Sea over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, this is Rusty. Let's have a look at what's on the cards for Ogmore-by-Sea.
To be straight with you, the next week is pretty grim. We're looking at a long, dry spell with virtually no surf to speak of. From now right through until the morning of Wednesday the 2nd of September, the swell is tiny, mostly under 1 foot. The energy readings are pathetic – single digits and low double digits for days. It’s not going to be worth paddling out. Even when a little bump shows on the afternoon of the 28th of August, the wind is howling onshore and messy. Water temps to start with were a staggering 4° warmer than usual for this time of year, but honestly, with no waves, it doesn't matter much.
We finally see a pulse of decent energy arrive on the morning of Wednesday the 2nd of September, with a 6ft WSW swell (370 moderate energy), but the wind is a fresh onshore from the WSW at 22 mph. It looks like a washing machine. Thursday the 3rd of September morning is the first real glimmer of hope. The wind goes glassy, the swell is a solid 5ft from the W with a 9-second period (364 moderate energy), and it's labelled as surfable but ordinary. It's better than nothing, but it’s not a standout.
The energy really starts to build through the weekend and into the following week. By the morning of Sunday the 6th of September we see a 5ft cross-shore swell at 10 seconds with 604 moderate energy, but a lot of the wind is still messy. Things get serious on Monday the 7th of September morning: a massive 12ft swell from the WSW (2340 very strong energy) with a clean cross-offshore wind from the N at 12 mph. That’s big and it’s powerful. The wave period is 10 seconds so it isn't a super-long groundswell, but the height makes it an expert-only affair. The afternoon ramps up to a 15ft swell with a 16-second period (8899 extremely strong energy), but the wind goes cross-shore and it becomes a bit of a chop fest. This is a big, heavy setup and being a river mouth break, that long-period swell will push straight, making it tricky even for the experienced.
Looking further out, Tuesday the 8th of September still has a 8ft swell (4294 very strong energy) but the wind is cross-onshore, so that clean look is gone.
Honestly, the best bet from this whole 16-day window is the Thursday morning of the 3rd of September. It’s not perfect, but that glassy wind and a clean, decent-sized 5ft swell is the closest we get to a proper session. It's a river break which is sheltered and inconsistent, so you'll have to wait for the sets. If you can handle the crowds that are *often* there, it's your shot. For the experts watching, the Monday the 7th of September has the size and power, but the conditions are marginal at best with that huge period.
This is a tough run for Ogmore. The first week is almost entirely a washout. Hang in there.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 7mm), mostly falling on Thu morning. Warm (max 26°C on Tue afternoon, min 14°C on Mon night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the E on Tue morning, calm by Thu morning). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Sat morning. Warm (max 20°C on Sun morning, min 16°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (calm on Thu night, fresh winds from the W by Fri night). | |||||||||||||||||||
Mon 24 | Tuesday 25 | Wednesday 26 | Thursday 27 | Friday 28 | Saturday 29 | Sunday 30 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 13 | W 13 | W 10 | W 10 | WSW 9 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 7 | WSW 7 | SW 5 | WSW 6 | WSW 6 | W 8 | WSW 7 | WSW 6 | WSW 5 | SW 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 7 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 8 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 69 | 80 | 381 | 82 | 29 | 6 | 15 | 43 | 48 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | glassy | on | on | on | cross | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | on |
High Tide | 5:06PM6.47m | 5:32AM6.62m | 5:53PM7.08m | 6:13AM7.20m | 6:31PM7.70m | 6:49AM7.76m | 7:05PM8.26m | 7:22AM8.24m | 7:38PM8.71m | 7:55AM8.61m | 8:11PM9.00m | 8:29AM8.84m | 8:45PM9.12m | |||||||
Low Tide | 11:23PM2.60m | 11:43AM2.36m | 00:08AM2.02m | 12:22PM1.78m | 00:45AM1.45m | 12:57PM1.25m | 1:17AM0.97m | 1:28PM0.82m | 1:48AM0.59m | 1:59PM0.51m | 2:18AM0.36m | 2:29PM0.35m | 2:48AM0.29m | |||||||
 |  |  |  |  | | |  |  | |  | | |  |  | | | |  |  | |
 | — | — | 6:15 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — | 6:18 | — | — | 6:18 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — |
 | 8:19 | — | — | 8:16 | — | — | 8:15 | — | — | 8:13 | — | — | 8:09 | — | — | 8:07 | — | — | 8:06 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | 1 | 1 | — | 4 | 6 |
Temp °C | 23 | 20 | 22 | 26 | 18 | 20 | 24 | 19 | 18 | 19 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 18 | 20 | 19 | 16 |
Feels °C | 17 | 14 | 16 | 22 | 17 | 20 | 23 | 18 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 9 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 9 | SW 9 | W 8 | W 8 | W 10 | WSW 9 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 7 | WSW 7 | WSW 5 | WSW 6 | — | WSW 8 | WSW 7 | WSW 6 | WSW 5 | SW 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 7 |
| kJ | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 69 | — | 257 | 82 | 29 | 6 | 15 | 43 | 48 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 13 | W 13 | W 10 | SW 8 | — | — | — | — | — | W 8 | W 11 | — | — | — | — | SW 9 | — | — | — |
| kJ | 8 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | 5 | 2 | — | — | — | — | 3 | — | — | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | SW 8 | — | SW 8 | S 8 | — | — | — | W 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | 3 | — | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 3 | E 3 | E 3 | E 3 | SSE 3 | — | — | — | — | — | SW 5 | SSW 2 | WSW 6 | W 8 | — | — | W 3 | WSW 4 | W 2 | — |
| kJ | 5 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | 22 | 1 | 80 | 381 | — | — | 2 | 6 | 1 | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 325 | 308 | 142 | 125 | 56 | 92 | 92 | 328 | 328 | 137 | 28 | 96 | 163 | 299 | 190 | 308 | 96 | 457 | 359 | 354 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Wales - South East | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United Kingdom | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Ogmore-by-Sea Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Ogmore-by-Sea provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Ogmore-by-Sea can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Ogmore-by-Sea surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Ogmore-by-Sea) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Ogmore-by-Sea may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Wales - South East? If you are looking for accommodation near Ogmore-by-Sea, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Wales - South East, consider staying in Porthcawl which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Wales - South East where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Nash Point which is 9 km (6 miles) away, Coity, Maesteg and Briton Ferry.
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