Surf Forecasts:
Ogmore-by-Sea surf forecast from 21 Aug 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Friday 28 Aug, 4AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 6s period, W swell with 94 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Ogmore-by-Sea this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Ogmore-by-Sea in the next 16 days are 1.1m 6s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 28) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.7m 3s period and expected on Tuesday (Aug 25) at 7AM.
| Wave Type | Time (BST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 4AM (Fri 28th Aug) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 6s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Ogmore-by-Sea over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G'day, Rusty here. Let's be straight with you about Ogmore-by-Sea. The next couple of weeks are looking pretty grim, I'm not gonna lie. The swell is tiny, the wind is all over the shop, and there's barely a wave worth paddling for. We're looking at a real dry spell with a long gap of no decent surf.
The only time the conditions even get close to surfable is on Friday, the 4th of September, during the morning. Before that, we've got nearly two weeks of nothing but poor surf. For the Ogmore regulars, the water temp is a wild outlier right now – coming in at 69°F with a 8°F anomaly, which is much warmer than usual for this time of year. That's the only bright spot, honestly.
Alright, so here’s the deal. For Friday, the 4th of September, we finally see a glimmer of hope. The morning session brings a tiny WSW swell of 2ft with a clean, light cross-off breeze from the SE, which is as close to offshore as you'll get. The guidance says the break prefers a SW swell direction, so this is a decent enough match, and with a slight 6 mph breeze, it should be clean. But the swell energy is weak at 86, and the wave comment is just "surfable waves but very ordinary conditions." It's not a standout by any means, and the waves will be small and weak. Given the break is an inconsistent river mouth and sheltered setup, this is the best we've got in the whole 16-day window, but it's nothing to get excited about. Crowds are often a problem here, but with conditions this average, it might be quiet.
The run up to that is almost completely blank. From now, right through to the 3rd of September, every morning and afternoon is rated as "poor surf conditions" with scores of zero out of ten. We see pulses of wind swell pick up around the 27th of August to the 1st of September, with heights over 3ft, but the wind is howling onshore or cross-onshore from the W or WSW, making it a choppy mess. The biggest energy spike hits on the 31st of August morning with 607 combined energy from a 5ft swell, but with a strong onshore wind and short 8-second period, it's just a blown-out, lumpy wall. That kind of setup at a river mouth in onshore winds is more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.
After the 4th of September, it drops straight back into the gutter. So, to sum it up: you've got one morning on the 4th of September that might just about be worth a look if you're desperate for a paddle. Otherwise, it’s a long, long wait. This kind of blank run is pretty normal for this area when the charts look like this.
Stay patient.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastSome drizzle, heaviest during Fri night. Warm (max 22°C on Sun afternoon, min 12°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 7mm), mostly falling on Wed night. Warm (max 24°C on Tue afternoon, min 15°C on Mon night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the E on Mon night, light winds from the SSW by Wed morning). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Friday 21 | Saturday 22 | Sunday 23 | Monday 24 | Tuesday 25 | Wednesday 26 | Thursday 27 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 9 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 10 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | W 9 | WSW 11 | WSW 10 | WSW 9 | SW 13 | W 13 | SW 8 | W 10 | W 9 | SSW 5 | SW 6 | WSW 7 | W 6 | W 6 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 39 | 22 | 10 | 18 | 17 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 45 | 41 | 67 | 75 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-on | off | off | on | cross-off | cross-off | on | off | off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | off | cross-off | on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | on |
High Tide | 1:00PM6.16m | 1:39AM5.89m | 2:24PM5.84m | 3:16AM5.76m | 4:00PM5.98m | 4:38AM6.08m | 5:06PM6.47m | 5:32AM6.62m | 5:53PM7.08m | 6:13AM7.20m | 6:31PM7.70m | 6:49AM7.76m | 7:05PM8.26m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 7:14PM3.08m | 7:53AM3.28m | 8:46PM3.31m | 9:31AM3.29m | 10:20PM3.09m | 10:50AM2.91m | 11:23PM2.60m | 11:43AM2.36m | 00:08AM2.02m | 12:22PM1.78m | 00:45AM1.45m | 12:57PM1.25m | 1:17AM0.97m | ||||||||
 |  |  | | |  | | | | | | | | |  |  |  | | |  |  | |
 | 6:07 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:11 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | 6:15 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — | 6:18 | — | — |
 | — | 8:24 | — | — | 8:22 | — | — | 8:21 | — | — | 8:19 | — | — | 8:16 | — | — | 8:15 | — | — | 8:13 | — |
mm | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 4 | — | 2 | 7 |
Temp °C | 17 | 18 | 16 | 16 | 19 | 17 | 19 | 22 | 20 | 21 | 23 | 19 | 22 | 24 | 19 | 21 | 22 | 17 | 20 | 20 | 16 |
Feels °C | 13 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 19 | 19 | 14 | 17 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 18 | 22 | 21 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 9 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 9 | WSW 8 | W 5 | WSW 10 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | W 9 | WSW 11 | WSW 10 | WSW 9 | SW 9 | W 8 | SW 8 | SW 9 | W 9 | W 8 | SW 6 | WSW 7 | W 9 | W 6 |
| kJ | 39 | 22 | 5 | 18 | 17 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 45 | 41 | 25 | 75 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | W 13 | WSW 8 | SW 15 | SW 15 | — | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 8 | W 8 | W 8 | — | SW 8 | W 8 | SW 7 | — | — |
| kJ | — | 3 | 7 | 9 | 9 | — | 8 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | — | 2 | 5 | 2 | — | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | SW 16 | W 15 | — | SW 15 | W 15 | — | — | — | — | — | W 13 | — | W 10 | SW 8 | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | 10 | 5 | — | 8 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | — | 2 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | WNW 3 | NE 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | E 3 | E 3 | E 3 | E 3 | E 3 | — | — | SSW 5 | SSE 3 | — | W 6 | WSW 6 |
| kJ | — | 4 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 1 | — | — | 17 | 1 | — | 67 | 62 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 28 | 238 | 40 | 40 | 208 | 56 | 142 | 133 | 48 | 422 | 307 | 317 | 308 | 171 | 92 | 246 | 40 | 9 | 204 | 204 | 361 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Wales - South East | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United Kingdom | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Ogmore-by-Sea Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Ogmore-by-Sea provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Ogmore-by-Sea can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Ogmore-by-Sea surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Ogmore-by-Sea) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Ogmore-by-Sea may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Wales - South East? If you are looking for accommodation near Ogmore-by-Sea, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Wales - South East, consider staying in Porthcawl which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Wales - South East where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Nash Point which is 9 km (6 miles) away, Coity, Maesteg and Briton Ferry.
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