Surf Forecasts:
Ogmore-by-Sea surf forecast from 27 Aug 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 30 Aug, 1AM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 10s period, WSW swell with 495 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Ogmore-by-Sea this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Ogmore-by-Sea in the next 16 days are 1.7m 10s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 30) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.2m 3s period and expected on Saturday (Aug 29) at 1PM.
| Wave Type | Time (BST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 1AM (Sun 30th Aug) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Ogmore-by-Sea over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Right then, let’s see what we’ve got for Ogmore-by-Sea.
To be straight with you, it’s a pretty grim run for the next couple of weeks. There is a massive gap at the start, with nothing worth paddling out for until early September, and even then it’s a tough watch. We’re looking at a solid 10 days of poor surf conditions before anything even gets a score.
The first sign of life comes on the 7th of September, Monday morning. We get a solid 8ft swell out of the WSW with a period of 9 seconds, and the combined wave energy is strong at 955. That’s a lot of water moving, but the wind is light and cross-onshore, so it’s not total chaos. Still, the forecast calls it marginal, and for a river mouth break like Ogmore, that’s a lot of power. It’s going to be for experienced surfers only, if anyone can get a clean one.
Honestly, the standout here is probably the 7th September morning. The only other window that looks half interesting is the 9th of September, Wednesday morning. Swell is only 2ft from the W, period 11 seconds, and the wind is a light cross-offshore from the SE. That’s clean. The combined energy is moderate at 248, but it’s small. For a river break, that cleaner wind and longer period might give you a few fun ones, especially if you’re patient.
The rest of the 16 days is a write-off. Onshore winds, stormy conditions, or just flat spells. The water temperature on the 27th August is noted as 68°, and that’s a whopping 7° above the norm for this time of year, which is very unusual for Ogmore.
So, if you’re desperate, the 7th September for some big, grunty waves for the brave, or the 9th September for a cleaner, smaller chance. It’s not looking great, mate.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastHeavy rain (total 27mm), heaviest during Sat morning. Warm (max 21°C on Thu afternoon, min 16°C on Fri night). Winds increasing (light winds from the WSW on Thu night, strong winds from the W by Sat afternoon). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 12mm), heaviest on Sun night. Very mild (max 19°C on Sun afternoon, min 15°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SSW on Sun afternoon, light winds from the WNW by Tue night). | |||||||||||||||||||
Thu 27 | Friday 28 | Saturday 29 | Sunday 30 | Monday 31 | Tuesday 1 | Wednesday 2 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 7 | WSW 8 | WSW 5 | SW 6 | WSW 6 | SW 6 | WSW 7 | WSW 10 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 8 | WSW 10 | WSW 10 | WSW 9 | W 9 | WSW 6 | WSW 6 | WSW 6 | W 6 | WSW 5 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 5 | 7 | 83 | 152 | 71 | 62 | 59 | 495 | 190 | 194 | 192 | 299 | 301 | 146 | 39 | 52 | 43 | 26 | 16 | 11 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | on | on | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | cross-on | on | on | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | on | on |
High Tide | 7:05PM8.26m | 7:22AM8.24m | 7:38PM8.71m | 7:55AM8.61m | 8:11PM9.00m | 8:29AM8.84m | 8:45PM9.12m | 9:03AM8.89m | 9:20PM9.04m | 9:38AM8.75m | 9:57PM8.76m | 10:17AM8.41m | 10:38PM8.28m | |||||||
Low Tide | 1:17AM0.97m | 1:28PM0.82m | 1:48AM0.59m | 1:59PM0.51m | 2:18AM0.36m | 2:29PM0.35m | 2:48AM0.29m | 3:00PM0.35m | 3:19AM0.40m | 3:33PM0.53m | 3:54AM0.69m | 4:10PM0.88m | ||||||||
 |  | |  |  |  | |  | | | |  | | | | | |  |  | | |
 | — | — | 6:18 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — | 6:24 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — |
 | 8:13 | — | — | 8:09 | — | — | 8:07 | — | — | 8:06 | — | — | 8:04 | — | — | 8:01 | — | — | 7:59 | — |
mm | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 1 | — | 2 | 4 | 6 | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 21 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 17 | 20 | 19 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 17 |
Feels °C | 20 | 18 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 18 | 16 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 16 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 7 | WSW 8 | — | — | — | W 6 | WSW 7 | WSW 10 | WSW 9 | — | WSW 8 | WSW 10 | — | WSW 9 | W 9 | — | WSW 6 | WSW 6 | W 6 | W 7 |
| kJ | 5 | 7 | — | — | — | 35 | 59 | 495 | 190 | — | 192 | 299 | — | 146 | 39 | — | 43 | 26 | 16 | 4 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | SW 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | W 16 | W 8 | SW 15 |
| kJ | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 5 | 5 | 9 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 16 | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 10 | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | WSW 3 | WSW 5 | SW 6 | WSW 6 | SW 6 | W 6 | W 10 | — | WSW 9 | — | W 10 | WSW 10 | — | WSW 6 | WSW 6 | — | — | — | WSW 5 |
| kJ | — | 1 | 83 | 152 | 71 | 62 | 29 | 361 | — | 194 | — | 245 | 301 | — | 37 | 52 | — | — | — | 11 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 190 | 179 | 252 | 248 | 230 | 204 | 308 | 78 | 72 | 454 | 163 | 36 | 163 | 72 | 198 | 159 | 28 | 107 | 308 | 338 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Wales - South East | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United Kingdom | ||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Ogmore-by-Sea Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Ogmore-by-Sea provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Ogmore-by-Sea can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Ogmore-by-Sea surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Ogmore-by-Sea) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Ogmore-by-Sea may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Wales - South East? If you are looking for accommodation near Ogmore-by-Sea, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Wales - South East, consider staying in Porthcawl which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Wales - South East where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Nash Point which is 9 km (6 miles) away, Coity, Maesteg and Briton Ferry.
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