Surf Forecasts:
Ogmore-by-Sea surf forecast from 14 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 20 Sep, 10AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 7s period, WSW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 16 Sep, 10AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 10s period, W swell with 363 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 20 Sep, 10AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 7s period with WSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Ogmore-by-Sea this week:
The surf forecast for Ogmore-by-Sea over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Sep 20) at 10AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 7s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 9s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Ogmore-by-Sea in the next 16 days are 1.4m 10s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 16) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (BST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10AM (Sun 20th Sep) | 3ft (0.9m) 7s |
| Best Surf | 10AM (Sun 20th Sep) | 3ft (0.9m) 7s |
| Most Powerful | 10AM (Wed 16th Sep) | 4.5ft (1.4m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Ogmore-by-Sea over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming our way for Ogmore-by-Sea over the next couple of weeks.
To be straight with you, this is a tough stretch. We’ve got a long, long gap of poor conditions before anything even approaches rideable. From now until the 19th of September, it’s pretty much a write-off. Onshore winds, lumpy, choppy, messy surf – not worth paddling out for. You’ll see a bit of swell around, but the wind just ruins it. The water temperature is sitting at 66°F, which is much warmer than normal for this time of year – that’s over 5°F above average, very unusual.
The first and really only time this forecast looks like it might offer something is on Sunday the 20th of September. Early morning, we get a break. The wind swings around to an offshore from the ENE at just 6 mph, creating clean conditions. The swell is small, only 3ft from the WSW with a period of 7 seconds. The combined energy is weak, at 111. It’s surfable, but it’s very ordinary – not a standout by any stretch. The break itself is Ogmore-by-Sea, a river mouth setup, and it’s inconsistent, so don’t expect much. It’s sheltered from the swell, which explains why it needs that specific SW direction to work at all.
After that brief window, it’s back to small, weak, or blown-out conditions right through the end of the month. There’s a few mornings with offshore winds and clean surfaces, but the swell drops to nothing – 1ft, 1.0ft, even 0.3ft. The combined energy falls to single digits or low tens. There’s simply no power. Even with perfect wind, you’d be struggling to get a ride.
So, if you’re desperate, the morning of Sunday the 20th is your best bet. It’s not going to be memorable, but it’s clean and surfable. After that, the river mouth goes quiet. It tends not to stay this poor forever, but for now, the forecast is a long, quiet run.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Sun afternoon. Very mild (max 19°C on Mon night, min 12°C on Tue night). Winds increasing (light winds from the SW on Sun night, fresh winds from the W by Tue morning). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 11mm), heaviest on Fri night. Very mild (max 17°C on Fri night, min 14°C on Thu night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the WSW on Wed night, light winds from the WNW by Thu night). | |||||||||||||||||||
Sun 13 | Monday 14 | Tuesday 15 | Wednesday 16 | Thursday 17 | Friday 18 | Saturday 19 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 10 | W 10 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 6 | W 7 | W 7 | W 7 | W 10 | W 10 | W 10 | W 7 | W 7 | W 8 | W 7 | WSW 7 | WSW 6 | WSW 7 | WSW 7 | WSW 7 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 225 | 153 | 113 | 137 | 77 | 161 | 152 | 159 | 363 | 202 | 170 | 212 | 203 | 259 | 209 | 161 | 94 | 181 | 227 | 167 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | on | on | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | on | on | on |
High Tide | 8:41PM9.27m | 8:59AM8.95m | 9:16PM8.90m | 9:32AM8.57m | 9:49PM8.36m | 10:05AM8.05m | 10:23PM7.72m | 10:39AM7.43m | 10:59PM7.03m | 11:18AM6.78m | 11:43PM6.35m | 12:10PM6.16m | 00:48AM5.78m | |||||||
Low Tide | 2:45AM0.22m | 2:58PM0.36m | 3:16AM0.58m | 3:30PM0.76m | 3:47AM1.08m | 4:03PM1.29m | 4:19AM1.68m | 4:39PM1.92m | 4:56AM2.31m | 5:21PM2.57m | 5:44AM2.93m | 6:24PM3.16m | ||||||||
 |  | |  |  | | | |  | |  | |  | | | |  | | | | |
 | — | — | 6:46 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — |
 | 7:35 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:30 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:21 | — |
mm | 1 | — | 1 | — | 2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 3 | 1 | — | — | — | — | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
Temp °C | 18 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 19 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 17 |
Feels °C | 16 | 17 | 17 | 15 | 17 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 15 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 10 | W 10 | W 9 | — | W 6 | W 11 | — | W 7 | W 9 | W 10 | W 10 | W 10 | — | — | — | — | W 12 | — | — | — |
| kJ | 225 | 148 | 101 | — | 44 | 2 | — | 159 | 251 | 106 | 162 | 2 | — | — | — | — | 3 | — | — | — |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 10 | — | — | — | WSW 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | W 12 | — | — | — |
| kJ | 49 | — | — | — | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 11 | — | — | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 10 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 6 | W 7 | W 7 | — | W 10 | W 10 | WSW 10 | W 7 | W 7 | W 8 | W 7 | WSW 7 | WSW 6 | WSW 7 | WSW 7 | WSW 7 |
| kJ | 210 | 153 | 113 | 137 | 77 | 161 | 152 | — | 363 | 202 | 170 | 212 | 203 | 259 | 209 | 161 | 94 | 181 | 227 | 167 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 140 | 128 | 140 | 140 | 140 | 354 | 308 | 31 | 36 | 308 | 338 | 354 | 354 | 354 | 361 | 308 | 354 | 354 | 163 | 47 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Wales - South East | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United Kingdom | ||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Ogmore-by-Sea Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Ogmore-by-Sea provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Ogmore-by-Sea can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Ogmore-by-Sea surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Ogmore-by-Sea) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Ogmore-by-Sea may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Wales - South East? If you are looking for accommodation near Ogmore-by-Sea, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Wales - South East, consider staying in Porthcawl which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Wales - South East where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Nash Point which is 9 km (6 miles) away, Coity, Maesteg and Briton Ferry.
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