Surf Forecasts:
Ogmore-by-Sea surf forecast from 10 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 15 Sep, 10AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 7s period, WSW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 10 Sep, 10PM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 8s period, W swell with 412 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 15 Sep, 10AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 7s period with WSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Ogmore-by-Sea this week:
The surf forecast for Ogmore-by-Sea over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 15) at 10AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 7s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 11s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Ogmore-by-Sea in the next 16 days are 1.7m 8s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 10) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.3m 3s period and expected on Wednesday (Sep 16) at 4AM.
| Wave Type | Time (BST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10AM (Tue 15th Sep) | 3ft (0.9m) 7s |
| Best Surf | 10AM (Tue 15th Sep) | 3ft (0.9m) 7s |
| Most Powerful | 10PM (Thu 10th Sep) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Ogmore-by-Sea over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Right, let’s have a look at Ogmore-by-Sea. This is a river-mouth setup, sheltered from the swell and pretty inconsistent at the best of times. The water’s coming in at 67°F and that’s about 7°F warmer than usual for September – which is a weird one, but it’s a nice treat for the skin if you’re in a wetsuit.
To be honest, the first week is a write-off. The combined energy stays weak to moderate at best, with a lot of choppy, lumpy, cross-onshore wind. Nothing’s breaking clean and the quality’s poor. Thursday 10th and Friday 11th have some size but the wind’s a mess. You’re looking at a long gap of maybe six or seven days where there’s no real reason to paddle out.
The first real glimmer comes on Tuesday 15th September morning. The wind drops to glassy, with a light offshore from the SE, and the swell is a tiny 3ft from the WSW. It’s small and the combined energy is only 81, but it’s glassy and clean. That’s a window for a longboard or a foiler if you’re desperate. Still, the surf is very ordinary.
The only standout in the whole run is the morning of Tuesday 22nd September. Again, it’s glassy, with a light north-easterly breeze, and the swell has bumped up to 4ft from the WSW. The combined energy is 118 (moderate), and the period is 7 seconds so it’s a bit short, but with clean conditions at a river mouth spot like this, you’ll get some fun little walls. It’s not for beginners – the swell’s not huge, but the inconsistency means you’ll have to work for it.
After that, the last few days of the month drop right off. Swell fades to 1ft, clean but tiny. There’s a bit of a longer period (11 seconds) on the 24th afternoon, but it’s too small and weak to do anything with.
Bottom line: don’t hold your breath for the first week. The 15th and 22nd of September mornings are your best shots, but even then, it’s not a classic. This is one of those stretches where the forecast can change, because it’s been so consistently poor. Right now, I’d keep the board in the car for the 22nd and see if it comes good.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastSome drizzle, heaviest during Thu afternoon. Very mild (max 18°C on Thu night, min 14°C on Wed night). Winds increasing (light winds from the W on Wed night, fresh winds from the SW by Thu afternoon). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 20°C on Mon afternoon, min 16°C on Sat night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the WSW on Sat afternoon, calm by Mon night). | |||||||||||||||||||
Wed 9 | Thursday 10 | Friday 11 | Saturday 12 | Sunday 13 | Monday 14 | Tuesday 15 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 5 | WSW 6 | W 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 8 | WSW 6 | WSW 7 | WSW 7 | WSW 10 | WSW 10 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 6 | WSW 7 | WSW 7 | W 8 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 68 | 50 | 14 | 175 | 380 | 193 | 113 | 78 | 71 | 166 | 193 | 169 | 98 | 68 | 46 | 70 | 35 | 79 | 65 | 34 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | on | on | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | on | on | cross-on | glassy | cross-on | cross-off |
High Tide | 6:04PM8.38m | 6:29AM8.41m | 6:48PM8.96m | 7:10AM8.88m | 7:28PM9.32m | 7:48AM9.13m | 8:06PM9.42m | 8:24AM9.15m | 8:41PM9.27m | 8:59AM8.95m | 9:16PM8.90m | 9:32AM8.57m | 9:49PM8.36m | |||||||
Low Tide | 00:23AM0.82m | 12:39PM0.72m | 1:04AM0.34m | 1:17PM0.31m | 1:40AM0.07m | 1:53PM0.11m | 2:13AM0.04m | 2:26PM0.13m | 2:45AM0.22m | 2:58PM0.36m | 3:16AM0.58m | 3:30PM0.76m | 3:47AM1.08m | |||||||
 |  | |  | |  | |  |  | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:45 | — | — | 6:46 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — |
 | 7:44 | — | — | 7:40 | — | — | 7:38 | — | — | 7:37 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:30 | — |
mm | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 16 | 15 | 17 | 17 | 18 | 17 | 17 | 15 | 18 | 17 | 17 | 18 | 17 | 16 | 19 | 20 | 18 | 20 | 19 | 18 |
Feels °C | 12 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 14 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 18 | 19 | 19 | 20 | 18 | 16 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | W 11 | W 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 8 | — | — | W 7 | WSW 10 | WSW 10 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | — | WSW 6 | WSW 7 | WSW 7 | W 5 |
| kJ | 68 | 50 | 11 | 2 | 380 | 193 | 113 | 78 | — | — | 183 | 169 | 98 | 68 | 46 | — | 35 | 79 | 65 | 14 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 8 | W 13 | W 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | WSW 8 | W 11 | — | W 8 |
| kJ | 34 | 3 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 14 | 2 | — | 34 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | W 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | WSW 5 | WSW 6 | WSW 9 | — | — | — | WSW 6 | WSW 7 | WSW 7 | — | — | — | — | WSW 9 | — | — | — | NNW 3 |
| kJ | — | — | 14 | 175 | 359 | — | — | — | 71 | 166 | 193 | — | — | — | — | 70 | — | — | — | 4 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 28 | 20 | 354 | 294 | 72 | 3 | 90 | 107 | 140 | 308 | 159 | 3 | 77 | 49 | 140 | 140 | 49 | 0 | 28 | 10 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Wales - South East | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United Kingdom | ||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Ogmore-by-Sea Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Ogmore-by-Sea provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Ogmore-by-Sea can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Ogmore-by-Sea surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Ogmore-by-Sea) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Ogmore-by-Sea may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Wales - South East? If you are looking for accommodation near Ogmore-by-Sea, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Wales - South East, consider staying in Porthcawl which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Wales - South East where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Nash Point which is 9 km (6 miles) away, Coity, Maesteg and Briton Ferry.
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