Surf Forecasts:
Ogmore-by-Sea surf forecast from 16 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 16 Jul, 4PM (local time) - 0.5ft (0.2m), 8s period, WSW swell with 8 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Ogmore-by-Sea this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Ogmore-by-Sea in the next 16 days are 0.1m 14s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 16) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.5m 3s period and expected on Sunday (Jul 19) at 1AM.
| Wave Type | Time (BST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 4PM (Thu 16th Jul) | 0.5ft (0.2m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Ogmore-by-Sea over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s happening with the surf at Ogmore-by-Sea over the next couple of weeks.
Right off the bat, I’ve got to be straight with you – this is a tough one. The whole 16-day window is looking pretty bleak for any kind of decent surf. We’re staring down the barrel of a long, flat spell. There’s genuinely nothing here that I’d recommend paddling out for. The wave energy is almost non-existent, with the combined swell energy peaking at a measly 76 (weak energy) right at the very end of the period. For the most part, it’s sitting in the single digits or low double digits, which is just about as flat as it gets.
The first week is a total write-off. From Thursday the 16th of July right through to Wednesday the 29th, we’re looking at swell heights that barely tickle 0.7 ft. The swell periods are all over the place, from a short 4 seconds up to 14 seconds, but with that tiny height, it’s all just wind chop and bumps. Even the glassy mornings, like Friday the 17th and Saturday the 18th, are on a flat ocean. There’s just nothing to ride.
The very end of the forecast, around Thursday the 30th and Friday the 31st of July, shows a slight pulse. Wave energy climbs to 76 (weak energy) on Friday morning with a 3 ft swell from the WSW and a period of 8 seconds. The wind is light and offshore from the NNW, which would make for clean conditions. But that’s it. The water is much warmer than normal for this spot, sitting at 67°, but that doesn’t make the waves any better.
It’s a river break here, sheltered and inconsistent, and it tends to go through these blank runs. This is one of them. For a proper paddle, it’s just not happening. If you’re desperate, the last day of the month might offer a tiny, clean-ish wave, but don’t hold your breath. The setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing on the afternoons with a stronger onshore wind.
Rusty, signing off.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 27°C on Thu afternoon, min 13°C on Sat night). Winds increasing (calm on Fri morning, fresh winds from the ENE by Sat night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 24°C on Mon night, min 15°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | Wednesday 22 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | W 9 | W 8 | W 8 | W 8 | W 8 | W 8 | WNW 4 | W 7 | W 7 | W 10 | W 12 | W 11 | W 11 | W 11 | W 10 | W 10 | W 10 | W 10 | NW 4 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 8 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | cross-on | off | glassy | cross-on | off | glassy | cross-on | off | off | on | off | glassy | on | off | off | on | off | on | cross-on | cross |
High Tide | 8:50PM9.34m | 9:14AM8.89m | 9:35PM9.20m | 9:58AM8.63m | 10:18PM8.84m | 10:41AM8.22m | 11:02PM8.32m | 11:25AM7.72m | 11:46PM7.70m | 12:10PM7.18m | 00:34AM7.08m | 1:01PM6.69m | 1:29AM6.54m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 2:35PM0.35m | 3:04AM0.21m | 3:19PM0.40m | 3:48AM0.38m | 4:02PM0.64m | 4:31AM0.73m | 4:45PM1.02m | 5:13AM1.20m | 5:28PM1.51m | 5:57AM1.73m | 6:15PM2.03m | 6:44AM2.25m | 7:08PM2.51m | ||||||||
 | |  | | | | | | | | |  | | | | | | |  | | | |
 | 5:15 | — | — | 5:16 | — | — | 5:18 | — | — | 5:18 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — |
 | — | — | 9:23 | — | — | 9:22 | — | — | 9:22 | — | — | 9:21 | — | — | 9:20 | — | — | 9:19 | — | — | 9:16 |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 25 | 27 | 26 | 23 | 25 | 23 | 21 | 23 | 20 | 20 | 22 | 21 | 20 | 23 | 24 | 20 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 25 | 20 |
Feels °C | 24 | 24 | 23 | 21 | 22 | 21 | 19 | 19 | 14 | 17 | 18 | 18 | 17 | 21 | 20 | 18 | 20 | 21 | 19 | 19 | 17 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | WNW 3 | W 8 | W 8 | WNW 3 | W 8 | W 8 | WNW 4 | W 7 | W 7 | WNW 3 | W 9 | W 8 | WNW 3 | W 8 | W 10 | WNW 3 | W 10 | W 10 | NW 4 |
| kJ | 7 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 7 | W 9 | SW 6 | SW 6 | W 8 | — | — | W 8 | NW 4 | — | W 7 | — | W 11 | W 8 | W 11 | W 7 | W 10 | W 7 | — | W 9 |
| kJ | 8 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | — | 2 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 10 | SW 14 | SW 7 | — | — | S 6 | — | — | — | — | — | W 10 | W 12 | — | W 11 | W 8 | — | W 7 | — | — | — |
| kJ | 2 | 8 | 2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 3 | — | 2 | 1 | — | 1 | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | W 2 | — | — | — | ENE 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | E 2 | — | — | — | NW 2 | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | 2 | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 249 | 249 | 345 | 345 | 422 | 422 | 422 | 422 | 362 | 195 | 334 | 367 | 441 | 92 | 142 | 195 | 429 | 464 | 893 | 206 | |
Best forecast wave conditions in Wales - South East | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United Kingdom | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Ogmore-by-Sea Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Ogmore-by-Sea provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Ogmore-by-Sea can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Ogmore-by-Sea surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Ogmore-by-Sea) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Ogmore-by-Sea may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Wales - South East? If you are looking for accommodation near Ogmore-by-Sea, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Wales - South East, consider staying in Porthcawl which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Wales - South East where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Nash Point which is 9 km (6 miles) away, Coity, Maesteg and Briton Ferry.
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