Ogmore-by-Sea Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here, and I’m looking at the next 16 days for Ogmore-by-Sea.

Honestly, mate, I’ve got to be straight with you – the surf forecast is a bit of a flat spell for the most part. We’re looking at a long stretch of small, weak energy, and the wind is going to be a pain in the arse more often than not. The combined energy of the swells is mostly weak, hanging around two-digit figures, for example (22) to (96), and it’s only going to push into moderate three-digit territory a few times, like (129) or (172). That tells you we’re not getting any real punch.

For the first week, from Saturday the 1st right through to about Saturday the 8th, it’s pretty grim. We’re talking waves mostly under 2 ft, with periods that are short and weak – often under 8 seconds. The wind is a constant problem. There’s a little window on Sunday morning, the 2nd, with a clean cross-offshore breeze, but the swell is tiny at 1 ft. Then Sunday afternoon turns glassy, but it’s still just 1 ft of nothing. Monday the 3rd morning has a clean look again, but the swell is a pathetic 2 ft. It’s frustrating, because you’ll see clean conditions but no real wave to ride.

The 6th of August (Thursday) shows a bit of a bump in energy with a 3 ft swell from the WSW, but the combined energy is only (129) – moderate at best – and the wind is cross-onshore, making it choppy. Not worth paddling out for.

The second week doesn’t get much better. There’s a slight spike around the 11th and 12th of August. On Tuesday the 11th morning, it’s glassy, but the swell is just 0.7 ft. That afternoon, the wind turns cross-onshore and choppy, even though the combined energy bumps up to (146) with a 3 ft swell. On Wednesday the 12th morning, the combined energy hits (172) – the highest we’ll see – with a 3 ft swell from the WSW and a 10-second period. That’s the best wave energy on offer, but the wind is onshore, and the break is a sheltered river mouth. It’s not going to hold that energy well, and it’ll be a messy, lumpy mess.

The rest of the second week is just wind and tiny waves. By the 16th, we’ve got a strong breeze at 27 mph and a 2 ft swell. That’s kite-surfing weather, not paddle surfing.

Ogmore-by-Sea (Ogmore-by-Sea) is a river break that’s sheltered and inconsistent, so it’s not a surprise to see a blank run like this. It tends not to stay poor for long, but this window is a write-off. There’s just no standout session here. The water temperature is about average for the time of year, nothing out of the ordinary.

If you’re desperate, the morning of Wednesday the 12th is the only time the swell gets close to 3 ft with a little bit of period, but the onshore wind will ruin it. Stay home, watch the cams, and wait for the next system.

Rusty.

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