Surf Forecasts:
Ogmore-by-Sea surf forecast from 5 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 12 Sep, 7AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 6s period, W swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 7 Sep, 1PM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 13s period, WSW swell with 946 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 12 Sep, 7AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 6s period with W swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Ogmore-by-Sea this week:
The surf forecast for Ogmore-by-Sea over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Sep 12) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 6s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 8s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Ogmore-by-Sea in the next 16 days are 1.7m 13s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Sep 07) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.3m 2s period and expected on Sunday (Sep 06) at 10AM.
| Wave Type | Time (BST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7AM (Sat 12th Sep) | 3ft (0.9m) 6s |
| Best Surf | 7AM (Sat 12th Sep) | 3ft (0.9m) 6s |
| Most Powerful | 1PM (Mon 7th Sep) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 13s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Ogmore-by-Sea over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Right then, let's have a look at what's on the cards for Ogmore-by-Sea. I'm not gonna lie to you, it's a grim one for the next 16 days. The river mouth setup here is sheltered, preferring a good SW swell, but the wind and swell just aren't playing ball at all.
Even the biggest spike we see, which is on Monday the 7th of September, is a write-off. There's a solid 5ft to 6ft swell from the WSW with a very long period of 14 seconds, packing a strong energy punch (1405), but it's got a brutal cross-onshore wind on it. That's a choppy, blown-out mess, and with that size, it's expert-only territory anyway. The long period groundswell would ideally need a point or reef, but the wind wrecking it right at the river mouth means it's a no-go.
The rest of the first week is just small, weak, and messy. The wind is mostly cross-onshore or onshore, and the wave heights barely lift above 2ft for the most part. There's a brief moment on the morning of Saturday the 12th with a clean offshore wind from the east, but the swell is only 3ft with a weak period of 6 seconds and low energy (79). You'd be scratching for a waist-high one.
After that, it's a proper drought. From Sunday the 13th right through to the end of the 16-day window on the 20th, we're looking at knee-high dribble or flat spells. The biggest day in that stretch is only 2ft on the 15th, and the wind is onshore again. The morning of the 20th shows glassy conditions, but the swell is a pathetic 0.3ft. There's just nothing to get excited about.
Honestly, for a spot that's already inconsistent, this is a blank run that's pretty normal for the area when the wind and swell don't align. For paddle surfing, you're better off giving it a wide berth. If you've got a kite, you might find something to do on the 7th, but even that's a fight.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 24°C on Sun afternoon, min 14°C on Fri night). Winds increasing (calm on Sat night, fresh winds from the WSW by Mon afternoon). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 13mm), heaviest on Mon night. Very mild (max 18°C on Thu morning, min 14°C on Tue night). Mainly fresh winds. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 5 | Sunday 6 | Monday 7 | Tuesday 8 | Wednesday 9 | Thursday 10 | Friday 11 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 7 | WSW 8 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 6 | WSW 7 | WSW 14 | WSW 13 | WSW 12 | WSW 6 | WSW 7 | WSW 7 | W 7 | W 7 | W 6 | WSW 7 | W 8 | WSW 8 | W 9 | W 9 | W 6 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 82 | 35 | 66 | 26 | 21 | 46 | 874 | 938 | 583 | 252 | 308 | 220 | 159 | 92 | 64 | 171 | 217 | 149 | 300 | 269 | 54 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on |
High Tide | 1:01PM6.77m | 1:47AM6.53m | 2:33PM6.57m | 3:24AM6.57m | 4:04PM6.95m | 4:43AM7.10m | 5:11PM7.65m | 5:41AM7.78m | 6:04PM8.38m | 6:29AM8.41m | 6:48PM8.96m | 7:10AM8.88m | 7:28PM9.32m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 6:24AM2.36m | 7:09PM2.53m | 7:57AM2.74m | 8:57PM2.62m | 9:43AM2.57m | 10:31PM2.15m | 11:01AM1.98m | 11:35PM1.47m | 11:55AM1.31m | 00:23AM0.82m | 12:39PM0.72m | 1:04AM0.34m | 1:17PM0.31m | 1:40AM0.07m | |||||||
 |  |  | | |  | |  |  |  | | | | |  | | | | | | | |
 | 6:31 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — |
 | — | 7:52 | — | — | 7:50 | — | — | 7:47 | — | — | 7:45 | — | — | 7:44 | — | — | 7:40 | — | — | 7:38 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 6 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | 4 | 1 | — | — | — | — | 4 |
Temp °C | 15 | 15 | 15 | 23 | 24 | 18 | 17 | 17 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 18 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 15 |
Feels °C | 13 | 12 | 15 | 20 | 23 | 17 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 13 | 15 | 11 | 11 | 12 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 7 | WSW 8 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 6 | WSW 17 | WSW 13 | — | W 11 | — | — | — | W 7 | — | — | W 12 | W 8 | WSW 8 | — | — | WSW 8 |
| kJ | 82 | 35 | 66 | 26 | 21 | 29 | 531 | — | 553 | — | — | — | 159 | — | — | 3 | 217 | 149 | — | — | 54 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 9 | W 14 | — | — | — | WSW 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | W 12 | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 2 | 4 | — | — | — | 27 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | — | — | — | — | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | WSW 6 | — | SE 2 | S 3 | WSW 7 | WSW 14 | WSW 13 | WSW 12 | WSW 6 | WSW 7 | WSW 7 | W 7 | W 7 | W 6 | WSW 7 | WSW 7 | — | W 9 | W 9 | W 6 |
| kJ | — | 28 | — | 1 | 1 | 46 | 874 | 938 | 583 | 252 | 308 | 220 | 138 | 92 | 64 | 171 | 208 | — | 300 | 269 | 52 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 28 | 117 | 7 | 53 | 233 | 140 | 469 | 137 | 78 | 137 | 308 | 402 | 447 | 308 | 308 | 163 | 308 | 136 | 139 | 308 | 3 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Wales - South East | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United Kingdom | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Ogmore-by-Sea Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Ogmore-by-Sea provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Ogmore-by-Sea can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Ogmore-by-Sea surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Ogmore-by-Sea) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Ogmore-by-Sea may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Wales - South East? If you are looking for accommodation near Ogmore-by-Sea, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Wales - South East, consider staying in Porthcawl which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Wales - South East where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Nash Point which is 9 km (6 miles) away, Coity, Maesteg and Briton Ferry.
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