
Surf Forecasts:
Ogmore-by-Sea surf forecast from 24 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 26 Jul, 7PM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 7s period, W swell with 138 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Ogmore-by-Sea this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Ogmore-by-Sea in the next 16 days are 1.2m 7s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 26) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (BST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 7PM (Sun 26th Jul) | 4ft (1.2m) 7s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Ogmore-by-Sea over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Right then, let's have a look at what's on offer here at Ogmore-by-Sea. Straight up, it's a tough one. We've got a river break that's pretty inconsistent at the best of times, and this 16-day stretch is looking like a real quiet period, no two ways about it.
For the first part of the run, from Friday the 24th of July right through until the end of the month, we're looking at tiny, wind-affected slop. The swell is barely there, mostly under 2ft, and coming in from the west. With the wind howling from the west too, it's going to be a messy, onshore affair. The water temperature is a solid 69°F, which is *much warmer than normal* for this time of year – a solid 9°F above the average, so the water itself will feel lovely, but you won't need a wetsuit to get in for a paddle. There's a brief moment on the morning of Tuesday the 28th of July where it turns glassy, but with a wave height of just 1ft and combined energy down at (11), there's nothing to actually ride.
August rolls in and it's more of the same. The first week is a write-off. The morning of Sunday the 2nd of August sees a proper 25 mph offshore from the ENE, but with the swell still under 2ft, it's all wind and no wave. Strong offshore and clean, but hard to paddle into is bang on.
Then, on Tuesday the 4th of August, things finally look like they might wake up. The morning shows a pulse of 4ft swell from the WSW building, and by the afternoon it's up to 5ft from the same direction, with a period of 7 seconds. The combined energy hits a moderate (178) for the afternoon, and the wind drops to glassy. It's only scored as "surfable waves but very ordinary conditions", but in this whole window, that afternoon is the only time the waves are over 3ft and the wind is calm. It's not a classic, but it's the best we've got. The break itself is shielded from the swell, so don't expect much power, but if you're desperate for a few small, crumbly waves in clean conditions, that's your shot.
After that, it's back to small, choppy slop for the remaining days. We're talking a long, dry stretch from the 25th of July right up until the 4th of August with nothing worthwhile. It's a proper blank run, and for an inconsistent river break like this, that's not unusual. The longer period swells that pop up near the end, like the 10-second stuff on the 8th of August, are coming in with cross-onshore winds and low energy, so they won't deliver.
So, if you're a beginner, the waves never even reach 5ft, so you're safe but you won't get a ride. For the rest of us, the standout is that one glassy afternoon on Tuesday the 4th of August. Even then, it's a gamble. Don't hold your breath for the rest of it.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 20°C on Fri afternoon, min 14°C on Sun night). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 5-7 Weather SummarySome drizzle, heaviest during Tue afternoon. Warm (max 23°C on Tue afternoon, min 16°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Fri 24 | Saturday 25 | Sunday 26 | Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 8 | WNW 3 | W 5 | W 4 | WSW 6 | W 7 | W 7 | W 7 | W 6 | WSW 6 | W 6 | WSW 6 | WSW 5 | WSW 4 | W 11 | W 5 | W 10 | W 8 | W 7 | W 4 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
1 | 2 | 2 | 28 | 56 | 110 | 134 | 89 | 38 | 50 | 17 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 8 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | cross | cross-on | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | on | cross-on | glassy | on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | on | on | cross |
High Tide | 3:54AM6.17m | 4:28PM6.34m | 4:59AM6.41m | 5:26PM6.70m | 5:51AM6.79m | 6:13PM7.15m | 6:34AM7.22m | 6:53PM7.62m | 7:12AM7.62m | 7:30PM8.03m | 7:47AM7.95m | 8:04PM8.36m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 9:27PM2.95m | 10:01AM2.92m | 10:39PM2.80m | 11:06AM2.67m | 11:38PM2.46m | 11:59AM2.29m | 00:25AM2.04m | 12:42PM1.86m | 1:06AM1.63m | 1:19PM1.47m | 1:42AM1.27m | 1:53PM1.15m | 2:15AM1.00m | |||||||
— | — | 5:26 | — | — | 5:28 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:33 | — | — | 5:33 | — | — | |
— | 9:15 | — | — | 9:13 | — | — | 9:12 | — | — | 9:09 | — | — | 9:08 | — | — | 9:07 | — | — | 9:06 | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 20 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 17 | 19 | 20 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 21 | 23 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 18 | 18 | 19 | 19 |
Feels °C | 17 | 15 | 15 | 12 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 13 | 13 | 17 | 20 | 22 | 19 | 18 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 16 | 17 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 8 | W 8 | W 8 | — | — | — | — | W 7 | W 6 | — | W 6 | WSW 6 | WSW 5 | WSW 4 | W 5 | W 10 | W 4 | W 8 | W 10 | W 9 |
1 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | 89 | 38 | — | 17 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | W 9 | W 8 | W 8 | W 8 | W 11 | W 8 | W 10 | W 10 | — | W 7 |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 2 | — | 1 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | W 11 | W 8 | — | — | W 10 | — | — |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — | 2 | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | WNW 3 | W 5 | W 4 | WSW 6 | W 7 | W 7 | — | — | WSW 6 | — | — | — | — | — | W 5 | — | — | W 7 | W 4 |
— | 2 | 2 | 28 | 56 | 110 | 134 | — | — | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | — | — | 9 | 8 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 908 | 462 | 891 | 441 | 462 | 794 | 354 | 3 | 140 | 238 | 62 | 142 | 194 | 194 | 195 | 354 | 194 | 213 | 368 | 441 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Wales - South East | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United Kingdom | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Ogmore-by-Sea Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Ogmore-by-Sea provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Ogmore-by-Sea can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Ogmore-by-Sea surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Ogmore-by-Sea) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Ogmore-by-Sea may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Wales - South East? If you are looking for accommodation near Ogmore-by-Sea, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Wales - South East, consider staying in Porthcawl which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Wales - South East where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Nash Point which is 9 km (6 miles) away, Coity, Maesteg and Briton Ferry.










