Surf Forecasts:
Ogmore-by-Sea surf forecast from 17 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 22 Jul, 7PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 4s period, NW swell with 17 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Ogmore-by-Sea this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Ogmore-by-Sea in the next 16 days are 0.7m 4s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 22) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.5m 3s period and expected on Sunday (Jul 19) at 1AM.
| Wave Type | Time (BST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 7PM (Wed 22nd Jul) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 4s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Ogmore-by-Sea over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G’day, Rusty here. Look, I’ve gotta be straight with you – this 16-day window for Ogmore-by-Sea is a real tough one. There’s hardly a whisper of surf worth paddling out for. The whole stretch is a series of flat spells and blown-out junk, with a long gap of nothing worth chasing from the start right through to the end.
The first hint of anything that even looks like a wave comes on the morning of Friday, 29th July, but even then we’re only talking about 1ft of swell from the WSW, with a period of 7 seconds. That’s weak, short-period stuff, and the combined energy is a paltry 26 – barely a bump. The wind is onshore from the west at 16 mph, so it’ll be messy. Not a session for the board.
The water temperature is sitting at 68°F, which is a massive 8°F warmer than normal for this time of year – that’s really unusual, almost like summer has jumped in early. But with no surf, it’s just a warm bath with no waves.
The best of a bad bunch, and I’m using the term loosely, is the morning of Thursday, 30th July. We’ve got 1ft of swell from the WSW, period of 6 seconds, combined energy of 15 (still weak). But the wind is light and cross-offshore from the SE at 9 mph, with the morning session showing glassy conditions. For a river-mouth break that’s inconsistent and sheltered, that’s clean but tiny. The optimum swell direction is SW, so this is a reasonable match direction-wise, but you’ll be fighting for dribbles.
After that, it’s back to flat or onshore slop. Friday, 31st July, has 0.7ft swell with 19 mph onshore winds – forget it. Into August, the first weekend shows nothing but 0.3ft and onshore winds.
Overall, there’s no standout day. The whole 16-day run is a blank for surf. Ogmore-by-Sea is a river break that’s inconsistent at the best of times, and this forecast is a textbook example of why it can go quiet for long stretches. If you’re desperate, the 30th July morning is the least worst option, but keep your expectations on the floor. For kite surfing, the stronger onshore days might offer something, but for paddle surfing, it’s a no-go.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastSome drizzle, heaviest during Fri afternoon. Warm (max 23°C on Fri morning, min 13°C on Sat night). Winds increasing (calm on Fri night, fresh winds from the ENE by Sat night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 23°C on Mon afternoon, min 14°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | Wednesday 22 | Thursday 23 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 8 | W 8 | WNW 4 | W 8 | W 8 | WNW 4 | W 7 | W 7 | W 10 | W 12 | W 11 | W 11 | W 11 | W 10 | W 10 | NW 4 | NW 4 | NW 4 | W 9 | W 9 | W 8 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | on | cross-off | glassy | on | off | off | on | cross-off | cross-off | on | off | cross-off | on | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | on | off |
High Tide | 9:35PM9.20m | 9:58AM8.63m | 10:18PM8.84m | 10:41AM8.22m | 11:02PM8.32m | 11:25AM7.72m | 11:46PM7.70m | 12:10PM7.18m | 00:34AM7.08m | 1:01PM6.69m | 1:29AM6.54m | 2:03PM6.32m | 2:38AM6.21m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 3:19PM0.40m | 3:48AM0.38m | 4:02PM0.64m | 4:31AM0.73m | 4:45PM1.02m | 5:13AM1.20m | 5:28PM1.51m | 5:57AM1.73m | 6:15PM2.03m | 6:44AM2.25m | 7:08PM2.51m | 7:40AM2.68m | 8:13PM2.85m | ||||||||
 |  |  | | |  |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 5:16 | — | — | 5:18 | — | — | 5:18 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:24 | — | — |
 | — | — | 9:22 | — | — | 9:22 | — | — | 9:21 | — | — | 9:20 | — | — | 9:19 | — | — | 9:16 | — | — | 9:15 |
mm | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 23 | 23 | 20 | 19 | 23 | 20 | 19 | 21 | 20 | 21 | 23 | 22 | 21 | 23 | 20 | 21 | 23 | 20 | 19 | 23 | 21 |
Feels °C | 20 | 20 | 16 | 17 | 19 | 14 | 16 | 18 | 17 | 19 | 20 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 17 | 16 | 19 | 18 | 17 | 21 | 19 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 8 | W 8 | WNW 4 | W 8 | W 8 | WNW 4 | W 7 | W 7 | NW 3 | W 9 | W 8 | NW 3 | W 11 | W 10 | WNW 3 | W 10 | W 9 | NW 4 | W 9 | W 9 | W 8 |
| kJ | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 6 | SW 6 | W 8 | — | — | W 8 | NW 4 | — | W 7 | — | W 11 | W 8 | W 8 | W 7 | W 10 | — | — | W 9 | — | — | — |
| kJ | 2 | 1 | 1 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | SW 6 | — | — | — | — | — | W 10 | W 12 | W 11 | W 11 | W 8 | W 7 | W 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | WNW 2 | — | — | — | E 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NW 4 | NW 4 | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | 1 | — | — | — | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 6 | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 345 | 794 | 420 | 422 | 422 | 368 | 422 | 195 | 334 | 367 | 441 | 367 | 133 | 190 | 380 | 777 | 308 | 206 | 142 | 195 | 367 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Wales - South East | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United Kingdom | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Ogmore-by-Sea Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Ogmore-by-Sea provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Ogmore-by-Sea can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Ogmore-by-Sea surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Ogmore-by-Sea) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Ogmore-by-Sea may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Wales - South East? If you are looking for accommodation near Ogmore-by-Sea, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Wales - South East, consider staying in Porthcawl which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Wales - South East where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Nash Point which is 9 km (6 miles) away, Coity, Maesteg and Briton Ferry.
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