Surf Forecasts:
Ogmore-by-Sea surf forecast from 5 Aug 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 5 Aug, 4PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 7s period, WSW swell with 183 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Ogmore-by-Sea this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Ogmore-by-Sea in the next 16 days are 1.4m 7s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Aug 05) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 2s period and expected on Wednesday (Aug 12) at 4AM.
| Wave Type | Time (BST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 4PM (Wed 5th Aug) | 4.5ft (1.4m) 7s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Ogmore-by-Sea over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let's see what we've got for Ogmore-by-Sea.
Alright, truth be told, it's a pretty grim stretch for the next couple of weeks. Ogmore-by-Sea is a river mouth, which is usually a bit fickle, and it's a sheltered spot, so it needs a proper swell from the southwest to get going. For the first 13 days, everything is a big fat zero. The wind is mostly onshore or cross-onshore, the swell is tiny, and the energy is laughable. We're talking a combined swell energy of 93 on the 5th, and then it just flops around in the single digits and low double digits. It's a flat spell, plain and simple. There are a few moments of glassy conditions on the morning of the 7th and the afternoon of the 11th, but the swell is only 1.0 ft, so you're just bobbing around. Not worth paddling out for.
Then, we get a glimmer. On the morning of the 18th of August, the swell ticks up to 7 ft from the southwest, with a period of 8 seconds. The combined energy jumps to 752, which is a proper surge of power. The problem is the wind. It's a cross-onshore breeze at 9 mph, so it's going to be a bit messy and lumpy. That size is already getting into the "too big for beginners" territory, and with the wind chopping it up, it's a real challenge.
The best bet, and the only standout in the whole 16 days, is the morning of the 19th of August. The swell is still a solid 5 ft from the west, with a period of 9 seconds, and the combined energy is a strong 630. The wind backs off to a light northwest breeze at 6 mph, which is cross-onshore, but only light enough to create small ripples. It's far from clean, but it's the most surfable it's going to get. The forecast is a 1 out of 10, but it's the only one that even gets a score. At this size, it's for the experienced crew only. For a river mouth, a longer period swell like this (9 seconds) can actually be a good thing, as it'll hold its shape a bit better than a short-period wind swell.
So, to sum it up: you've got two weeks of nothing, then a couple of days of bigger, windy, lumpy swell that's just about rideable for the experts. The 19th of August morning is the one to pencil in, but keep your expectations low.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastSome drizzle, heaviest during Tue night. Very mild (max 18°C on Tue night, min 13°C on Wed night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the W on Wed afternoon, calm by Thu night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 19°C on Sat morning, min 15°C on Fri night). Winds increasing (calm on Fri night, fresh winds from the WSW by Mon afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 5 | Thursday 6 | Friday 7 | Saturday 8 | Sunday 9 | Monday 10 | Tuesday 11 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 7 | WSW 7 | W 6 | W 6 | W 6 | W 5 | WSW 5 | WSW 5 | W 4 | W 9 | WSW 8 | WSW 7 | WSW 6 | W 6 | W 5 | W 6 | W 6 | WSW 5 | WSW 5 | W 5 | W 5 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 93 | 183 | 78 | 62 | 54 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 42 | 33 | 40 | 14 | 23 | 24 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 2 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross | glassy | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | off |
High Tide | 11:27AM7.71m | 11:50PM7.67m | 12:18PM7.30m | 00:47AM7.20m | 1:22PM6.93m | 2:01AM6.85m | 2:44PM6.79m | 3:28AM6.84m | 4:08PM7.06m | 4:47AM7.24m | 5:18PM7.66m | 5:50AM7.83m | 6:15PM8.35m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 5:03AM1.29m | 5:22PM1.51m | 5:50AM1.68m | 6:15PM1.92m | 6:50AM2.11m | 7:26PM2.29m | 8:09AM2.39m | 8:54PM2.39m | 9:39AM2.34m | 10:24PM2.09m | 10:59AM1.92m | 11:36PM1.52m | 12:02PM1.34m | 00:33AM0.90m | |||||||
 |  |  | | | | | | | | |  | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 5:43 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:46 | — | — | 5:48 | — | — | 5:48 | — | — | 5:50 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — |
 | — | 8:55 | — | — | 8:53 | — | — | 8:52 | — | — | 8:51 | — | — | 8:49 | — | — | 8:46 | — | — | 8:45 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 16 | 17 | 17 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 16 | 19 | 19 | 17 | 19 | 19 | 17 | 19 | 19 | 18 | 20 | 26 | 24 |
Feels °C | 11 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 17 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 16 | 18 | 24 | 23 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | W 11 | W 10 | W 5 | WSW 5 | W 9 | W 4 | — | WSW 8 | WSW 7 | WSW 6 | W 8 | W 8 | W 6 | — | WSW 5 | WSW 5 | W 5 | W 5 |
| kJ | — | — | — | 2 | 8 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 3 | — | 14 | 42 | 33 | 1 | 1 | 23 | — | 9 | 5 | 4 | 2 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | W 10 | W 9 | — | W 9 | W 9 | — | — | — | — | W 8 | — | — | W 6 | SW 6 | W 10 | W 10 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2 | — | 2 | 2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | W 10 | — | SW 6 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | 2 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 7 | WSW 7 | W 6 | W 6 | W 6 | — | — | WSW 5 | — | — | W 3 | — | — | W 6 | W 5 | — | W 6 | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 93 | 183 | 78 | 62 | 54 | — | — | 7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 40 | 14 | — | 24 | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 354 | 308 | 389 | 417 | 367 | 335 | 338 | 359 | 359 | 210 | 335 | 28 | 213 | 354 | 196 | 196 | 196 | 195 | 429 | 196 | 196 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Wales - South East | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United Kingdom | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
- Map Icons:
Break
Live Wave Height (m)
Live Wind Speed (km/h)
Surf Rating (10 Max)
Ocean Swells (m)- Wind Speed (km/h)
Latest Updates
FREE! Surf-Forecast.com widget for your website
The surf report / weather widget below is available to embed on third party websites free of charge and provides a summary of our Ogmore-by-Sea surf forecast. Simply grab the html code snippet that we provide and paste it into your own site. You can choose your preferred language and metric/imperial units for the surf forecast feed to suit users of your site. Click here to get the code.
Information about the Ogmore-by-Sea Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Ogmore-by-Sea provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Ogmore-by-Sea can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Ogmore-by-Sea surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Ogmore-by-Sea) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Ogmore-by-Sea may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Wales - South East? If you are looking for accommodation near Ogmore-by-Sea, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Wales - South East, consider staying in Porthcawl which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Wales - South East where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Nash Point which is 9 km (6 miles) away, Coity, Maesteg and Briton Ferry.
Nearest