Surf Forecasts:
Ogmore-by-Sea surf forecast from 18 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 25 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 7s period, W swell with 154 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Ogmore-by-Sea this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Ogmore-by-Sea in the next 16 days are 1.3m 7s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 25) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.3m 3s period and expected on Sunday (Jul 19) at 1AM.
| Wave Type | Time (BST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 10AM (Sat 25th Jul) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 7s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Ogmore-by-Sea over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you – this 16-day window for Ogmore-by-Sea is a tough one. The river mouth set-up is inconsistent at the best of times, and right now, the ocean just isn’t playing ball. We’re looking at a long, long stretch of nearly nothing on offer.
The whole run kicks off with a week of flat, poor surf conditions. From Saturday the 18th right through to the end of the 24th, you’re looking at wave heights barely a whisper at 0.3 ft, with combined energies barely reaching double digits. The swell is coming from the west, but the period is short and weak, and the break is sheltered from that direction. A few mornings, like Sunday the 20th, will have a clean, glassy look with light offshore breezes, but there’s just no push behind it. You’ll be floating, not surfing.
Then, on Saturday the 25th of July, we finally get a pulse. The swell bumps up to 4 ft from the west, with a period of 7 seconds, and the combined energy climbs to 154 (moderate wave energy). This is the one standout window for the whole outlook. The problem? The wind is a moderate cross-onshore from the northwest, so the surface will be chopped up. It’s not classic, but it’s the most size you’ll see. This is your best bet for a session, but expect it to be a bit of a fight.
After that, it fades fast. The next week drops back into the 0.3 ft to 3 ft range with the same west-northwest winds. The energy numbers drop back to double digits, and the surf is a mess of onshore wind and choppy conditions. There’s a brief moment on the morning of Wednesday the 30th of July with glassy conditions and an offshore breeze from the east, but the swell is still only 0.7 ft. It’s clean, but it’s flat.
So, to wrap it up: the best on offer is the morning of Saturday the 25th of July. It’s the only day with any real height and energy. The rest of the 16 days are a write-off. For a river mouth like Ogmore, this kind of blank run is normal when the swell direction is wrong and the wind is howling. Keep an eye on the sky, but don’t hold your breath.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 23°C on Sat afternoon, min 14°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 24°C on Wed afternoon, min 15°C on Wed night). Winds increasing (calm on Tue night, fresh winds from the NNW by Wed afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | Wednesday 22 | Thursday 23 | Friday 24 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 8 | W 8 | NW 4 | W 8 | W 7 | W 10 | W 12 | W 11 | W 11 | W 11 | W 10 | W 10 | W 10 | NW 4 | NW 4 | W 9 | W 9 | W 8 | W 8 | W 3 | W 4 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 20 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | glassy | on | off | cross-off | cross-on | off | cross-off | on | cross-off | cross-off | on | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | glassy | cross-on | on | cross-on |
High Tide | 10:18PM8.84m | 10:41AM8.22m | 11:02PM8.32m | 11:25AM7.72m | 11:46PM7.70m | 12:10PM7.18m | 00:34AM7.08m | 1:01PM6.69m | 1:29AM6.54m | 2:03PM6.32m | 2:38AM6.21m | 3:16PM6.19m | 3:54AM6.17m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 4:02PM0.64m | 4:31AM0.73m | 4:45PM1.02m | 5:13AM1.20m | 5:28PM1.51m | 5:57AM1.73m | 6:15PM2.03m | 6:44AM2.25m | 7:08PM2.51m | 7:40AM2.68m | 8:13PM2.85m | 8:48AM2.93m | 9:27PM2.95m | ||||||||
 | |  |  | | | | |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 5:18 | — | — | 5:18 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:24 | — | — | 5:26 | — | — |
 | — | — | 9:22 | — | — | 9:21 | — | — | 9:20 | — | — | 9:19 | — | — | 9:16 | — | — | 9:15 | — | — | 9:15 |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 20 | 23 | 22 | 19 | 21 | 20 | 20 | 21 | 20 | 21 | 23 | 22 | 21 | 24 | 19 | 20 | 22 | 20 | 19 | 19 | 17 |
Feels °C | 18 | 19 | 19 | 15 | 17 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 18 | 20 | 20 | 17 | 18 | 17 | 19 | 19 | 18 | 15 | 15 | 15 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 8 | W 8 | NW 4 | W 7 | W 7 | WNW 3 | W 9 | W 8 | WNW 4 | W 11 | W 10 | WNW 3 | W 10 | W 9 | NW 4 | W 9 | W 9 | WNW 3 | W 8 | — | W 8 |
| kJ | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | — | 1 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | NW 4 | W 8 | W 8 | — | W 7 | — | W 11 | W 8 | W 8 | W 7 | W 10 | — | — | W 9 | — | — | W 8 | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | W 10 | W 12 | W 11 | W 11 | — | W 7 | W 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | ENE 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | WNW 4 | NW 4 | — | — | — | — | — | W 3 | W 4 |
| kJ | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | 8 | 20 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 422 | 422 | 56 | 422 | 371 | 335 | 210 | 210 | 362 | 142 | 195 | 206 | 429 | 777 | 206 | 92 | 420 | 334 | 367 | 953 | 345 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Wales - South East | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United Kingdom | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
- Map Icons:
Break
Live Wave Height (m)
Live Wind Speed (km/h)
Surf Rating (10 Max)
Ocean Swells (m)- Wind Speed (km/h)
FREE! Surf-Forecast.com widget for your website
The surf report / weather widget below is available to embed on third party websites free of charge and provides a summary of our Ogmore-by-Sea surf forecast. Simply grab the html code snippet that we provide and paste it into your own site. You can choose your preferred language and metric/imperial units for the surf forecast feed to suit users of your site. Click here to get the code.
Information about the Ogmore-by-Sea Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Ogmore-by-Sea provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Ogmore-by-Sea can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Ogmore-by-Sea surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Ogmore-by-Sea) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Ogmore-by-Sea may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Wales - South East? If you are looking for accommodation near Ogmore-by-Sea, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Wales - South East, consider staying in Porthcawl which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Wales - South East where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Nash Point which is 9 km (6 miles) away, Coity, Maesteg and Briton Ferry.
Nearest