Surf Forecasts:
Ogmore-by-Sea surf forecast from 24 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 26 Jul, 7PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 6s period, W swell with 104 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Ogmore-by-Sea this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Ogmore-by-Sea in the next 16 days are 1.1m 6s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 26) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (BST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 7PM (Sun 26th Jul) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 6s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Ogmore-by-Sea over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, folks. Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you – this is a tough stretch for Ogmore-by-Sea. The whole 16-day window is pretty grim. Don’t get your hopes up too high, but there’s a tiny glimmer way out there.
We start off with absolutely nothing. The first few days through the end of July are a write-off. We’re looking at flat, weak swell with combined energy barely registering (1-30 range). Water temps are a very unusual 69°F – that’s much warmer than normal for this time of year, but it doesn’t help the waves. The wind is mostly onshore or cross-onshore, making it messy. There’s a couple of glassy moments on Friday the 24th and Tuesday the 28th, but with only 0.3ft to 1ft of swell, it’s not even worth paddling for.
The first and only real sign of life comes on Saturday, the 1st of August. The morning kicks off with a pulse of 6ft swell from the WSW, with a period of 9 seconds. The combined energy jumps to 497 – that’s moderate wave energy. Now, the wind is light and cross-on, so it’s not perfect, but it's the best on offer. The afternoon gets bigger at 8ft, but the energy spikes to 821 and the wind stays light. This is solid, punchy size for Ogmore. For intermediate surfers, the morning session is the one to aim for. The afternoon at 8ft is pushing into expert territory for a river mouth setup. Sunday the 2nd fades fast, dropping to 4ft with onshore winds.
After that, it’s back to the doldrums. The second week from the 3rd of August onward is all small, weak, and windy. Swell drops below 3ft, energy values are tiny (under 60), and the onshore winds just won’t quit. It’s a proper blank run.
So, the standout here is the morning of Saturday, the 1st of August. It’s the only real window where you’ll find any push. The river mouth at Ogmore-by-Sea (river) is inconsistent at the best of times, so a pulse like this is worth a look. Just keep in mind it’s a sheltered spot, so it won’t handle the size as well as a more exposed reef. If you’re a beginner, stick to the smaller morning session; the afternoon (8ft) is for the experienced crew only.
Keep your chin up, and remember, forecasts can change. For now, pencil in that Saturday morning and hope for the best.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 23°C on Thu afternoon, min 15°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (calm on Fri morning, fresh winds from the W by Sat morning). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 24°C on Tue afternoon, min 13°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the WNW on Sun afternoon, calm by Mon night). | |||||||||||||||||||
Thu 23 | Friday 24 | Saturday 25 | Sunday 26 | Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 9 | W 8 | W 8 | W 8 | WNW 3 | W 8 | W 4 | W 6 | W 6 | W 6 | WSW 6 | W 7 | W 6 | WSW 6 | WSW 6 | W 5 | W 11 | W 11 | W 4 | W 4 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 29 | 57 | 95 | 101 | 64 | 33 | 18 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | cross-off | glassy | on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | on | cross-on | glassy | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | glassy |
High Tide | 2:38AM6.21m | 3:16PM6.19m | 3:54AM6.17m | 4:28PM6.34m | 4:59AM6.41m | 5:26PM6.70m | 5:51AM6.79m | 6:13PM7.15m | 6:34AM7.22m | 6:53PM7.62m | 7:12AM7.62m | 7:30PM8.03m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 8:13PM2.85m | 8:48AM2.93m | 9:27PM2.95m | 10:01AM2.92m | 10:39PM2.80m | 11:06AM2.67m | 11:38PM2.46m | 11:59AM2.29m | 00:25AM2.04m | 12:42PM1.86m | 1:06AM1.63m | 1:19PM1.47m | 1:42AM1.27m | |||||||
 |  | | | |  | |  | | |  | | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | — | 5:26 | — | — | 5:26 | — | — | 5:28 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:33 | — | — |
 | — | 9:15 | — | — | 9:15 | — | — | 9:13 | — | — | 9:12 | — | — | 9:09 | — | — | 9:08 | — | — | 9:07 |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 23 | 20 | 19 | 21 | 19 | 18 | 17 | 17 | 19 | 20 | 17 | 15 | 17 | 16 | 23 | 24 | 21 | 21 | 23 | 21 |
Feels °C | 20 | 18 | 17 | 18 | 16 | 14 | 11 | 15 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 21 | 21 | 19 | 18 | 21 | 20 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 9 | WNW 3 | W 8 | W 8 | WNW 3 | W 8 | — | W 6 | — | — | WSW 6 | W 7 | W 6 | WSW 6 | WSW 6 | W 5 | W 5 | W 5 | W 10 | W 4 |
| kJ | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | — | 57 | — | — | 64 | 33 | 18 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | W 8 | — | — | W 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | W 9 | W 8 | W 8 | W 8 | W 11 | W 8 | W 8 |
| kJ | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | W 11 | W 8 | — | W 10 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 2 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | W 4 | W 4 | WSW 6 | W 6 | W 6 | — | — | WSW 3 | — | — | — | — | — | W 4 | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 29 | 45 | 95 | 101 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 825 | 354 | 390 | 890 | 462 | 891 | 441 | 458 | 354 | 364 | 28 | 194 | 213 | 94 | 142 | 194 | 142 | 194 | 196 | 196 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Wales - South East | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United Kingdom | ||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Ogmore-by-Sea Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Ogmore-by-Sea provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Ogmore-by-Sea can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Ogmore-by-Sea surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Ogmore-by-Sea) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Ogmore-by-Sea may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Wales - South East? If you are looking for accommodation near Ogmore-by-Sea, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Wales - South East, consider staying in Porthcawl which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Wales - South East where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Nash Point which is 9 km (6 miles) away, Coity, Maesteg and Briton Ferry.
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