Surf Forecasts:
Ogmore-by-Sea surf forecast from 12 Sep 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 12 Sep, 10PM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 8s period, WSW swell with 276 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Ogmore-by-Sea this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Ogmore-by-Sea in the next 16 days are 1.6m 8s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Sep 12) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (BST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 10PM (Sat 12th Sep) | 5ft (1.6m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Ogmore-by-Sea over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Right then, Rusty here. Let's have a proper look at what's on offer for the Ogmore-by-Sea stretch. I'll be straight with you – it's a tough watch for the next couple of weeks. If you're hoping for a session, you're going to need a lot of patience.
First up, the standout spot around here is the river mouth at Ogmore-by-Sea itself. This place is a bit of a mystical beast – it's inconsistent and a sheltered setup, so it needs everything to line up perfectly. When it does, it's a gem, but that's not happening any time soon in this outlook.
Right now, and for the next several days, the picture is pretty bleak. The water's sitting at a balmy 66°, which is a good three degrees warmer than normal for this time of year – that's very unusual. But that's about the only positive. The swell is mostly short-period, wind-affected slop, and the winds are just never our friend. It's constantly onshore or cross-onshore, with a fresh breeze most of the time. We've got a run of "poor surf conditions" that stretches right through until the end of the third week of September. The wave energy is weak, often sitting around 60 to 100 (combined energy), barely enough to push a bit of whitewater in.
There is a flicker of hope right at the very end of the month. On the 25th of September, we finally get some offshore and cross-offshore winds from the east and southeast. The problem? We've got almost no swell to work with. Heights are barely 1 ft, and while the period gets up to 11 seconds – a proper groundswell – it's just not got the legs. Wave energy is a very low 23-26. The conditions would be clean, but there’s nothing to ride.
The 27th of September brings more wind from the southwest, and the swell gets a little bump to about 3 ft, but the energy is still weak (36-54), and it's all wind-driven slop from the wrong direction.
So, the honest truth is there isn't a single standout session in the entire 16-day window. It's a solid run of no recommendations. The Ogmore river mouth needs a perfect alignment of a decent SW groundswell and an offshore wind from the ENE to get good, and that just isn't showing up in the cards. For now, keep the board in the van, because it's going to be a blank run.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastHeavy rain (total 25mm), heaviest during Sat night. Very mild (max 19°C on Mon afternoon, min 16°C on Sat morning). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the WSW on Sat afternoon, light winds from the W by Sun night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Tue morning. Very mild (max 18°C on Tue morning, min 13°C on Tue night). Mainly fresh winds. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 12 | Sunday 13 | Monday 14 | Tuesday 15 | Wednesday 16 | Thursday 17 | Friday 18 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 5 | WSW 7 | W 8 | WSW 7 | W 10 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 6 | WSW 6 | WSW 6 | W 7 | WSW 7 | W 6 | WSW 9 | WSW 10 | WSW 6 | W 7 | WSW 7 | WSW 6 | WSW 6 | WSW 5 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 64 | 237 | 263 | 105 | 186 | 98 | 113 | 36 | 50 | 98 | 107 | 82 | 94 | 43 | 160 | 143 | 134 | 73 | 53 | 53 | 55 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | on | on | cross-on | on | on | on | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on |
High Tide | 8:06PM9.42m | 8:24AM9.15m | 8:41PM9.27m | 8:59AM8.95m | 9:16PM8.90m | 9:32AM8.57m | 9:49PM8.36m | 10:05AM8.05m | 10:23PM7.72m | 10:39AM7.43m | 10:59PM7.03m | 11:18AM6.78m | 11:43PM6.35m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 1:53PM0.11m | 2:13AM0.04m | 2:26PM0.13m | 2:45AM0.22m | 2:58PM0.36m | 3:16AM0.58m | 3:30PM0.76m | 3:47AM1.08m | 4:03PM1.29m | 4:19AM1.68m | 4:39PM1.92m | 4:56AM2.31m | 5:21PM2.57m | ||||||||
 | |  |  | |  | | | |  | |  | | | | |  | | | | | |
 | 6:43 | — | — | 6:45 | — | — | 6:46 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — |
 | — | 7:37 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:30 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:22 | — |
mm | — | — | 22 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 17 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 19 | 18 | 18 | 17 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 16 |
Feels °C | 12 | 13 | 16 | 18 | 16 | 19 | 18 | 17 | 17 | 16 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 12 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | W 8 | WSW 7 | W 10 | WSW 9 | W 9 | WSW 6 | WSW 6 | W 11 | W 10 | WSW 7 | W 6 | WSW 9 | W 6 | W 10 | — | WSW 7 | WSW 6 | W 12 | W 12 |
| kJ | — | — | 263 | 105 | 186 | 98 | 101 | 36 | 50 | 2 | 18 | 82 | 81 | 43 | 33 | 17 | — | 73 | 53 | 12 | 3 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | W 10 | — | — | — | WSW 9 | WSW 8 | — | — | — | — | — | W 10 | — | — | WSW 9 | SW 13 | — | W 8 |
| kJ | — | — | — | 49 | — | — | — | 25 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | 50 | — | — | 17 | 7 | — | 12 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | W 12 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 11 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 5 | WSW 7 | WSW 8 | — | WSW 10 | — | WSW 9 | — | — | WSW 6 | W 7 | NNW 3 | W 6 | W 6 | WSW 10 | WSW 6 | W 7 | — | W 6 | WSW 6 | WSW 5 |
| kJ | 64 | 237 | 240 | — | 163 | — | 113 | — | — | 98 | 107 | 5 | 94 | 39 | 160 | 143 | 134 | — | 38 | 53 | 55 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 308 | 308 | 140 | 28 | 90 | 103 | 140 | 140 | 107 | 77 | 47 | 28 | 28 | 140 | 308 | 308 | 354 | 354 | 132 | 361 | 140 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Wales - South East | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United Kingdom | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
- Map Icons:
Break
Live Wave Height (m)
Live Wind Speed (km/h)
Surf Rating (10 Max)
Ocean Swells (m)- Wind Speed (km/h)
FREE! Surf-Forecast.com widget for your website
The surf report / weather widget below is available to embed on third party websites free of charge and provides a summary of our Ogmore-by-Sea surf forecast. Simply grab the html code snippet that we provide and paste it into your own site. You can choose your preferred language and metric/imperial units for the surf forecast feed to suit users of your site. Click here to get the code.
Information about the Ogmore-by-Sea Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Ogmore-by-Sea provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Ogmore-by-Sea can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Ogmore-by-Sea surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Ogmore-by-Sea) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Ogmore-by-Sea may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Wales - South East? If you are looking for accommodation near Ogmore-by-Sea, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Wales - South East, consider staying in Porthcawl which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Wales - South East where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Nash Point which is 9 km (6 miles) away, Coity, Maesteg and Briton Ferry.
Nearest