Surf Forecasts:
Ogmore-by-Sea surf forecast from 11 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Monday 13 Jul, 1PM (local time) - 0.5ft (0.1m), 19s period, SW swell with 15 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Ogmore-by-Sea this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Ogmore-by-Sea in the next 16 days are 0.1m 19s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 13) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 4s period and expected on Monday (Jul 13) at 1AM.
| Wave Type | Time (BST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 1PM (Mon 13th Jul) | 0.5ft (0.1m) 19s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Ogmore-by-Sea over the next 16 days.
Alright, let’s chew the fat on what’s coming for the next couple of weeks.
To be straight with you, it’s a rough stretch for Ogmore-by-Sea. This is a sheltered river mouth that rarely breaks, and the next 16 days are mostly a bust. There’s a massive gap of flat, tiny, or just plain messy conditions stretching all the way to the end of July. The water temp for the first session is 66°F, which is a whopping 7°F warmer than usual for this time of year—that’s very unusual, but it doesn’t save the waves.
The first real chance to get wet doesn’t come until the morning of Saturday, July 25th. It’s glassy, with a light breeze out of the WNW, and the swell is a tiny 4ft from the WSW with a period of 9 seconds. The combined energy is still weak at 248. The report says “surfable waves but very ordinary conditions,” and that’s about the best I can say. It’s a 1 out of 10, so keep your expectations in the cellar.
The afternoon of the 25th has a bit more energy—362—but the wind shifts onshore from the SW, so the quality will be poor. After that, it’s back to nothing.
For the entire rest of the forecast, almost every single session scores a flat zero. You’ll see a few tiny pulses of 1ft here and there, but the period is short, the winds are often onshore or cross-off, and the energy is barely a whisper. The end of the period on the 24th shows a 7ft swell from the WSW with a short period of 8 seconds and a combined energy of 574, which is moderate, but it’s met with a cross-onshore breeze. That setup at a river mouth with that wind is going to be a choppy, blown-out mess, more interesting for a kite surfer than a paddle surfer.
Honestly, there’s nothing to get fired up about here. Ogmore is inconsistent at the best of times, and a blank run like this is pretty standard for the area. I wouldn’t bother waxing the board for the next two weeks. Keep an eye on the forecasts, but don’t hold your breath.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 31°C on Sun afternoon, min 15°C on Sun night). Winds increasing (calm on Sat afternoon, strong winds from the ENE by Sun night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 10mm), heaviest on Thu morning. Warm (max 32°C on Tue afternoon, min 18°C on Wed night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the ENE on Tue night, calm by Thu night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | W 8 | W 8 | W 8 | E 3 | SW 19 | W 12 | SW 18 | WSW 11 | WSW 10 | WSW 10 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | W 8 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 7 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 5 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | glassy | off | off | off | off | off | off | off | off | glassy | off | off | off | off | off | on | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | off |
High Tide | 4:21PM7.40m | 4:55AM7.62m | 5:26PM7.89m | 5:56AM8.08m | 6:23PM8.44m | 6:51AM8.51m | 7:15PM8.92m | 7:42AM8.83m | 8:04PM9.24m | 8:29AM8.96m | 8:50PM9.34m | 9:14AM8.89m | 9:35PM9.20m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 10:28PM1.76m | 11:01AM1.57m | 11:35PM1.32m | 12:03PM1.17m | 00:35AM0.86m | 12:58PM0.77m | 1:28AM0.47m | 1:48PM0.48m | 2:18AM0.24m | 2:35PM0.35m | 3:04AM0.21m | 3:19PM0.40m | 3:48AM0.38m | ||||||||
 | |  | | |  | |  | | | |  | |  |  |  |  | |  | | | |
 | 5:09 | — | — | 5:11 | — | — | 5:11 | — | — | 5:13 | — | — | 5:13 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:16 | — | — |
 | — | — | 9:29 | — | — | 9:28 | — | — | 9:27 | — | — | 9:25 | — | — | 9:24 | — | — | 9:23 | — | — | 9:22 |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 28 | 30 | 27 | 28 | 31 | 24 | 25 | 29 | 23 | 28 | 32 | 27 | 29 | 32 | 26 | 23 | 24 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 22 |
Feels °C | 25 | 29 | 22 | 23 | 26 | 16 | 18 | 24 | 17 | 24 | 31 | 22 | 27 | 26 | 24 | 23 | 24 | 20 | 23 | 22 | 21 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 7 | WSW 6 | WSW 8 | W 8 | W 8 | W 8 | — | SW 19 | W 12 | W 11 | WSW 11 | WSW 10 | WSW 10 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 3 | WSW 6 | WSW 8 | WSW 4 |
| kJ | 4 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | — | 15 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 2 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | — | NW 4 | — | — | — | — | — | SW 18 | SW 18 | — | SW 16 | SW 16 | W 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | — | WSW 5 |
| kJ | 7 | 6 | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | 12 | 12 | — | 10 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 6 | — | 3 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | W 8 | — | — | — | S 7 | — | S 6 | — | SW 6 | — | — | W 8 |
| kJ | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — | 2 | — | — | 5 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | ENE 3 | ENE 3 | E 3 | ENE 4 | E 3 | E 3 | ENE 3 | ENE 3 | ENE 3 | — | — | — | WSW 2 | WSW 3 | WSW 3 | W 3 | — | WSW 6 | — |
| kJ | — | — | 3 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 1 | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | — | 3 | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 92 | 147 | 92 | 142 | 142 | 342 | 422 | 142 | 133 | 100 | 92 | 92 | 92 | 92 | 345 | 371 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 403 | 132 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Wales - South East | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United Kingdom | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Ogmore-by-Sea Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Ogmore-by-Sea provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Ogmore-by-Sea can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Ogmore-by-Sea surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Ogmore-by-Sea) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Ogmore-by-Sea may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Wales - South East? If you are looking for accommodation near Ogmore-by-Sea, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Wales - South East, consider staying in Porthcawl which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Wales - South East where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Nash Point which is 9 km (6 miles) away, Coity, Maesteg and Briton Ferry.
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