
Surf Forecasts:
Ogmore-by-Sea surf forecast from 5 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 5 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 6s period, W swell with 36 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Ogmore-by-Sea this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Ogmore-by-Sea in the next 16 days are 0.7m 6s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 05) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 2s period and expected on Sunday (Jul 12) at 1AM.
| Wave Type | Time (BST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 10AM (Sun 5th Jul) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 6s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Ogmore-by-Sea over the next 16 days.
Updates in hr min s Forecast update imminent
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's coming up for Ogmore-by-Sea (United Kingdom).
Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you – we’re looking at a pretty rough patch. The first week and a bit is a write-off for any kind of proper surfing. From Sunday the 5th of July all the way through to the morning of Friday the 10th, the swell is tiny and the wind is messy. We're talking knee-high dribble with cross-onshore and onshore breezes messing up what little bump there is. The combined swell energy is barely a whisper, reading just 52 on the morning of the 5th, and dropping to as low as 13 by the 8th. It’s just not worth paddling out. Someone at the beach might be having a nice time, but not a surfer.
Now, there is a glimmer of light. The morning of Friday July 10th, we finally see a change. The wind swings offshore from the east at 9 mph, cleaning up the surface nicely. But, and it's a big but, we only get 1ft of swell from the WSW at 9 seconds. The wave comment still calls it "poor surf conditions". It’s clean enough to bob around on a foamie, but don't expect any real juice. That weak 28 combined energy reading tells the story – it’s a desperate paddle, not a proper session. This cleaner but tiny trend continues right through the weekend and into the following week. We get offshore winds from the ENE up to 22 mph on the 12th, and the morning of the 14th has offshore breeze with a combined energy of 50, but the swell height never gets above 1ft.
We then hit a huge dead patch. From the 15th of July all the way through to the end of the period on the 20th, the swell drops right out, falling to 0.3ft. The combined energy drops into single digits (1 to 2). The wind does go glassy at times, particularly the morning of the 18th, but with 0.7ft of swell, or less, you’d be floating, not surfing.
To be honest, with this kind of small, weak, westerly swell bashing into a sheltered river mouth and an inconsistent reputation, there just isn't a standout session in the whole 16-day window. If you're desperate, the cleanest and least worst window is the morning of Friday the 10th through to the morning of Tuesday the 14th, but keep your expectations on the floor. For an area like Ogmore, a blank run like this is more normal than a constant stream of waves. Forecasts can change, but as it stands, leave the board in the car.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 19°C on Sun morning, min 14°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 32°C on Fri afternoon, min 17°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 5 | Monday 6 | Tuesday 7 | Wednesday 8 | Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 6 | WSW 6 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | W 5 | WSW 8 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 10 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
36 | 31 | 15 | 26 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 18 | 17 | 8 | 8 | 28 | 26 | 23 | 22 | 13 | 6 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | on | cross-on | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | cross-on | glassy | glassy | cross-on | off | off | off | off | off | off | off |
High Tide | 10:32AM7.65m | 10:51PM7.87m | 11:13AM7.48m | 11:34PM7.67m | 12:00PM7.29m | 00:23AM7.43m | 12:54PM7.11m | 1:22AM7.23m | 1:58PM7.01m | 2:31AM7.14m | 3:10PM7.09m | 3:45AM7.27m | 4:21PM7.40m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 4:18AM1.41m | 4:29PM1.50m | 4:56AM1.53m | 5:10PM1.67m | 5:40AM1.67m | 5:58PM1.86m | 6:31AM1.84m | 6:55PM2.04m | 7:31AM1.99m | 8:01PM2.13m | 8:40AM2.02m | 9:15PM2.04m | 9:53AM1.88m | 10:28PM1.76m | |||||||
5:03 | — | — | 5:05 | — | — | 5:05 | — | — | 5:07 | — | — | 5:07 | — | — | 5:09 | — | — | 5:09 | — | — | |
— | — | 9:32 | — | — | 9:31 | — | — | 9:31 | — | — | 9:30 | — | — | 9:30 | — | — | 9:30 | — | — | 9:29 | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 19 | 18 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 18 | 23 | 25 | 24 | 24 | 28 | 26 | 28 | 32 | 30 | 28 | 31 | 26 |
Feels °C | 17 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 23 | 23 | 24 | 24 | 26 | 25 | 27 | 32 | 27 | 25 | 28 | 20 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 6 | W 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 8 | W 4 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 10 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | WNW 4 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | WNW 4 |
36 | 24 | 15 | 26 | 14 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 18 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 28 | 26 | 23 | 22 | 13 | 1 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 9 | — | W 5 | — | — | WSW 8 | W 4 | — | W 4 | — | — | — | — | — | WSW 9 | — | — | WNW 4 | NW 4 | — | WSW 8 |
16 | — | 4 | — | — | 14 | 3 | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | 8 | — | — | 1 | 3 | — | 6 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | W 10 | — | — | — | — | — | W 5 | — | — | — | — | — | W 6 |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | WSW 6 | WSW 5 | WSW 4 | W 5 | — | — | W 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NE 2 |
— | 31 | 8 | 3 | 13 | — | — | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 28 | 140 | 174 | 189 | 190 | 133 | 184 | 196 | 80 | 80 | 80 | 92 | 80 | 196 | 56 | 40 | 49 | 48 | 48 | 163 | 92 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Wales - South East | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United Kingdom | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Live Wave Height (m)
Live Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Ogmore-by-Sea Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Ogmore-by-Sea provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Ogmore-by-Sea can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Ogmore-by-Sea surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Ogmore-by-Sea) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Ogmore-by-Sea may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Wales - South East? If you are looking for accommodation near Ogmore-by-Sea, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Wales - South East, consider staying in Porthcawl which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Wales - South East where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Nash Point which is 9 km (6 miles) away, Coity, Maesteg and Briton Ferry.










