Surf Forecasts:
Ogmore-by-Sea surf forecast from 19 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 26 Jul, 4PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 6s period, W swell with 78 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Ogmore-by-Sea this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Ogmore-by-Sea in the next 16 days are 1.0m 6s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 26) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.2m 2s period and expected on Thursday (Jul 23) at 1AM.
| Wave Type | Time (BST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 4PM (Sun 26th Jul) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 6s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Ogmore-by-Sea over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what Ogmore-by-Sea has in store for us over the next couple of weeks. I'll be straight with you: it's a tough one. The whole 16-day window is a bit of a write-off for decent waves. There are no real surf options to speak of, so don't get your hopes up for any proper sessions.
The water temperature is sitting at a balmy 69°, which is *much warmer than normal* for this time of year – a solid 9° above average, so you won't need a thick wetsuit, but you will need patience.
Looking at the first week, from Sunday the 19th right through to the end of July, it's all tiny, weak surf. We're talking about knee-high dribble at best from the west, with periods all over the shop. The combined swell energy barely cracks double digits, often sitting at just 1 or 2. It's a proper flat spell. The wind is mostly onshore or cross-onshore, so even the tiny ripples are going to be messy. There's nothing to get excited about here.
Heading into the first week of August, the pattern doesn't change much. Saturday the 1st and Sunday the 2nd are still tiny, with the swell energy only reaching 6 to 11. The wind is howling from the west, so it'll be lumpy and choppy. Into Monday the 3rd of August, we see a slight increase in period to 11 seconds, suggesting a bit more shape, but the swell height is still a pathetic 1 ft and the wind is all wrong. The combined energy is still a weak 29.
Honestly, for a spot like Ogmore, which is a sheltered river mouth and inconsistent at the best of times, this kind of blank run is pretty normal. The forecasts can change, but as it stands, there isn't a single wave worth paddling out for. If you're desperate for a fix, the stronger onshore winds on the 26th and 31st of July might make the bay look interesting for kite surfing, but for a paddle surfer, it's a total bust.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 24°C on Tue afternoon, min 15°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 24°C on Wed afternoon, min 16°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | Wednesday 22 | Thursday 23 | Friday 24 | Saturday 25 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 7 | W 7 | W 10 | W 12 | W 11 | NW 4 | W 11 | W 10 | W 10 | W 10 | NW 4 | NW 4 | W 9 | W 9 | WNW 4 | W 8 | W 3 | WNW 4 | W 5 | W 4 | W 5 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 22 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-on | off | cross-off | on | cross-off | cross-off | on | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | cross-on | on | glassy | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on |
High Tide | 10:41AM8.22m | 11:02PM8.32m | 11:25AM7.72m | 11:46PM7.70m | 12:10PM7.18m | 00:34AM7.08m | 1:01PM6.69m | 1:29AM6.54m | 2:03PM6.32m | 2:38AM6.21m | 3:16PM6.19m | 3:54AM6.17m | 4:28PM6.34m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 4:45PM1.02m | 5:13AM1.20m | 5:28PM1.51m | 5:57AM1.73m | 6:15PM2.03m | 6:44AM2.25m | 7:08PM2.51m | 7:40AM2.68m | 8:13PM2.85m | 8:48AM2.93m | 9:27PM2.95m | 10:01AM2.92m | 10:39PM2.80m | ||||||||
 |  |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 5:18 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:24 | — | — | 5:26 | — | — | 5:26 | — | — |
 | — | — | 9:21 | — | — | 9:20 | — | — | 9:19 | — | — | 9:16 | — | — | 9:15 | — | — | 9:15 | — | — | 9:13 |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 19 | 22 | 22 | 21 | 22 | 21 | 22 | 24 | 23 | 23 | 24 | 22 | 19 | 22 | 20 | 21 | 24 | 20 | 19 | 19 | 17 |
Feels °C | 17 | 18 | 18 | 19 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 21 | 19 | 20 | 19 | 17 | 18 | 18 | 17 | 19 | 16 | 13 | 13 | 15 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 7 | W 7 | — | W 9 | W 8 | NW 4 | W 11 | W 10 | WNW 3 | W 10 | W 9 | NW 4 | W 9 | W 9 | WNW 4 | W 8 | W 8 | W 8 | W 8 | — | — |
| kJ | 1 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | — | — |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | W 7 | — | W 11 | W 8 | W 8 | W 7 | W 10 | W 7 | — | W 9 | — | — | W 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | — | 2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | W 10 | W 12 | — | W 11 | — | W 7 | W 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | 2 | 3 | — | 2 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NW 4 | NNE 2 | — | WNW 2 | — | — | W 3 | WNW 4 | W 5 | W 4 | W 5 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 6 | 1 | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 22 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 208 | 371 | 335 | 210 | 210 | 98 | 159 | 210 | 206 | 417 | 741 | 206 | 354 | 391 | 338 | 906 | 887 | 908 | 794 | 308 | 410 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Wales - South East | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United Kingdom | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Ogmore-by-Sea Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Ogmore-by-Sea provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Ogmore-by-Sea can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Ogmore-by-Sea surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Ogmore-by-Sea) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Ogmore-by-Sea may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Wales - South East? If you are looking for accommodation near Ogmore-by-Sea, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Wales - South East, consider staying in Porthcawl which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Wales - South East where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Nash Point which is 9 km (6 miles) away, Coity, Maesteg and Briton Ferry.
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