
Surf Forecasts:
Ogmore-by-Sea surf forecast from 4 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 5 Jul, 4PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 9s period, WSW swell with 82 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Ogmore-by-Sea this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Ogmore-by-Sea in the next 16 days are 0.7m 9s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 05) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 3s period and expected on Saturday (Jul 11) at 7AM.
| Wave Type | Time (BST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 4PM (Sun 5th Jul) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Ogmore-by-Sea over the next 16 days.
Updates in hr min s Forecast update imminent
Imperial
Alright, let’s talk it through in feet and miles per hour. It’s a grim outlook, I won’t sugarcoat it.
We’re looking at a solid sixteen-day period where the surf is basically dead. Starting Saturday the 4th and Sunday the 5th, it’s a mess. The wind is blowing onshore at 12 to 19 mph, and the swell is nothing to write home about – maybe 2 to 2 feet. The combined wave energy is weak, topping out at just over 100 on a couple of afternoons, but the “poor surf conditions” label says it all. There’s a huge gap at the start with no decent waves at all. You’re looking at at least an entire week before anything even looks possible.
Mid-week, like Wednesday the 8th, we get a glassy morning with a slight air. But the swell is a pathetic 1 foot. You might as well be looking at a lake. The combined energy is only 15.
The best the forecast can offer is a few days around Friday the 10th to Saturday the 11th, when we get a moderate offshore breeze from the east at around 16 mph. The surf is still tiny – just 1 foot – but it’s clean. The combined swell energy sits around 17 to 18. It’s surfable for a micro-grom on a soft top, but no one’s getting a proper ride.
The only other small window is right at the end, on Sunday the 19th. A light cross-off breeze from the southeast gives us clean conditions, but again, the swell is a measly 0.7 feet. It’s been a long, long wait for that.
Look, sometimes you get runs like this. The ocean just shuts off. Most of these days are inconsistent or simply flat. Don’t hold your breath. Leave the board in the bag for now.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 19°C on Sun morning, min 14°C on Fri night). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 31°C on Thu afternoon, min 16°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 4 | Sunday 5 | Monday 6 | Tuesday 7 | Wednesday 8 | Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 10 | WSW 6 | WSW 10 | W 6 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | W 5 | WSW 8 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | W 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 8 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
50 | 80 | 31 | 26 | 82 | 16 | 15 | 18 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 17 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 16 | 14 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | glassy | cross-on | glassy | cross-off | glassy | cross-off | off | off | off |
High Tide | 9:54AM7.77m | 10:12PM8.03m | 10:32AM7.65m | 10:51PM7.87m | 11:13AM7.48m | 11:34PM7.67m | 12:00PM7.29m | 00:23AM7.43m | 12:54PM7.11m | 1:22AM7.23m | 1:58PM7.01m | 2:31AM7.14m | 3:10PM7.09m | 3:45AM7.27m | |||||||
Low Tide | 3:53PM1.38m | 4:18AM1.41m | 4:29PM1.50m | 4:56AM1.53m | 5:10PM1.67m | 5:40AM1.67m | 5:58PM1.86m | 6:31AM1.84m | 6:55PM2.04m | 7:31AM1.99m | 8:01PM2.13m | 8:40AM2.02m | 9:15PM2.04m | ||||||||
5:03 | — | — | 5:03 | — | — | 5:05 | — | — | 5:05 | — | — | 5:07 | — | — | 5:07 | — | — | 5:09 | — | — | |
— | — | 9:32 | — | — | 9:32 | — | — | 9:31 | — | — | 9:31 | — | — | 9:30 | — | — | 9:30 | — | — | 9:30 | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 17 | 17 | 16 | 19 | 19 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 16 | 20 | 20 | 19 | 22 | 24 | 23 | 26 | 31 | 27 | 29 | 32 | 25 |
Feels °C | 13 | 12 | 14 | 17 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 17 | 18 | 17 | 22 | 23 | 23 | 25 | 31 | 26 | 24 | 27 | 18 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 10 | — | WSW 5 | W 6 | W 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | W 4 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | W 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 8 |
50 | — | 28 | 26 | 24 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 17 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 16 | 14 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | WSW 10 | WSW 9 | — | W 4 | — | — | W 4 | — | W 11 | WSW 8 | W 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
— | — | 31 | 16 | — | 4 | — | — | 3 | — | 2 | 13 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | W 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 6 | WSW 6 | — | — | WSW 9 | WSW 4 | W 5 | W 5 | WSW 4 | W 5 | WSW 5 | — | — | W 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
50 | 80 | — | — | 82 | 6 | 14 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 47 | 353 | 39 | 140 | 140 | 190 | 190 | 190 | 190 | 196 | 213 | 92 | 80 | 194 | 80 | 80 | 125 | 80 | 294 | 208 | 56 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Wales - South East | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United Kingdom | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Live Wave Height (m)
Live Wind Speed (km/h)
Surf Rating (10 Max)
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Information about the Ogmore-by-Sea Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Ogmore-by-Sea provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Ogmore-by-Sea can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Ogmore-by-Sea surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Ogmore-by-Sea) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Ogmore-by-Sea may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Wales - South East? If you are looking for accommodation near Ogmore-by-Sea, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Wales - South East, consider staying in Porthcawl which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Wales - South East where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Nash Point which is 9 km (6 miles) away, Coity, Maesteg and Briton Ferry.










