
Surf Forecasts:
Ogmore-by-Sea surf forecast from 29 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 1 Aug, 4PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 9s period, W swell with 79 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Ogmore-by-Sea this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Ogmore-by-Sea in the next 16 days are 0.7m 9s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 01) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (BST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 4PM (Sat 1st Aug) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Ogmore-by-Sea over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Right then, let’s have a look at what’s on offer for Ogmore-by-Sea over the next couple of weeks.
To be straight with you, the outlook is pretty grim. There’s no real surf to speak of across the entire 16-day window. The combined swell energy barely gets off the floor, with the highest reading hitting just 95 (weak) on the afternoon of Saturday the 1st of August, and most days it’s well below that. The swell heights are tiny, mostly 0.3 ft to 2 ft, and the periods are short, often around 5 to 8 seconds, so there’s no power or shape.
The first week is a write-off. Wednesday morning the 29th of July offers a tiny 1 ft from the WSW with a 5-second period, but the wind is onshore and it’s described as poor surf conditions. The rest of that week and into the first weekend is the same story: small, weak, and mostly onshore or cross-onshore. The morning of Sunday the 2nd of August is a bit of a tease – 1.0 ft from the WSW, but with a light offshore breeze and clean conditions. Still, the energy is only 14 (weak), so it’s barely rideable. The afternoon of that day is glassy, but again, it’s just 1.0 ft with a weak 8-second period. There’s nothing to get excited about.
The second week is even worse. From Monday the 3rd of August right through to Thursday the 13th of August, the swell stays tiny, often 0.3 ft or 0.7 ft, with combined energy dropping to just 1 or 2 (very weak). There are a few glassy windows, like the morning of Wednesday the 5th of August and the morning of Thursday the 6th of August, but with virtually no swell, it’s a flat spell. The river break itself is inconsistent and sheltered, so it needs a decent push of SW swell to work, and that just isn’t coming.
Given the consistently poor surf quality, strong onshore winds on many afternoons, and the beach-and-river setup, this looks far more interesting for a kite surfer than anyone with a paddleboard. There are no standouts here. The only positive is that the water temperature is about average for the time of year, so if you’re just getting in for a swim, it’s fine.
We’re looking at a long, blank run. It’s a quiet period for the area, and forecasts can change, but right now, leave the boards at home.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 20°C on Wed afternoon, min 14°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (calm on Tue night, fresh winds from the W by Thu afternoon). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 22°C on Mon morning, min 13°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | Friday 31 | Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | Monday 3 | Tuesday 4 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 5 | W 5 | W 10 | W 6 | W 5 | W 5 | W 5 | W 5 | W 4 | W 5 | W 9 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 9 | SW 9 | SW 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 7 | WSW 7 | W 9 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
9 | 12 | 8 | 21 | 32 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 79 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 16 | 19 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 2 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross | cross | on | cross | cross-on | on | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | cross-off | off | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | off |
High Tide | 7:12AM7.62m | 7:30PM8.03m | 7:47AM7.95m | 8:04PM8.36m | 8:21AM8.20m | 8:38PM8.58m | 8:55AM8.33m | 9:12PM8.66m | 9:30AM8.36m | 9:47PM8.61m | 10:05AM8.26m | 10:23PM8.42m | 10:44AM8.04m | 11:03PM8.10m | |||||||
Low Tide | 1:19PM1.47m | 1:42AM1.27m | 1:53PM1.15m | 2:15AM1.00m | 2:25PM0.93m | 2:46AM0.83m | 2:56PM0.82m | 3:18AM0.77m | 3:28PM0.82m | 3:49AM0.83m | 4:01PM0.94m | 4:24AM1.00m | 4:38PM1.17m | ||||||||
5:33 | — | — | 5:33 | — | — | 5:35 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:39 | — | — | 5:39 | — | — | 5:41 | — | — | |
— | — | 9:07 | — | — | 9:06 | — | — | 9:04 | — | — | 9:02 | — | — | 9:00 | — | — | 9:00 | — | 8:58 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 19 | 20 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 16 | 18 | 18 | 16 | 16 | 18 | 17 | 19 | 20 | 18 | 22 | 19 | 17 | 18 | 18 | 14 |
Feels °C | 18 | 17 | 16 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 15 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 21 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 11 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 5 | W 10 | W 10 | W 10 | W 10 | W 5 | W 5 | — | SW 11 | W 5 | WSW 9 | W 4 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 9 | SW 9 | SW 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 7 | WSW 7 | SW 7 |
9 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 13 | — | 5 | 7 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 16 | 19 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 2 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 11 | — | W 10 | — | W 8 | W 9 | W 9 | W 8 | W 9 | WSW 10 | — | WSW 8 | W 4 | W 4 | — | — | W 9 | — | W 9 | W 9 | W 9 |
2 | — | 8 | — | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | — | 14 | 1 | 1 | — | — | 2 | — | 2 | 2 | 2 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 11 | — | — | — | — | W 9 | W 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 9 | — | — | W 10 | — | — | SW 7 |
2 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 2 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | W 5 | W 4 | W 6 | W 5 | — | — | W 5 | W 4 | — | W 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
— | 12 | 7 | 21 | 32 | — | — | 12 | 8 | — | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 190 | 308 | 190 | 354 | 389 | 194 | 196 | 391 | 196 | 196 | 213 | 195 | 210 | 195 | 40 | 100 | 49 | 460 | 352 | 787 | 334 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Wales - South East | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United Kingdom | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Ogmore-by-Sea Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Ogmore-by-Sea provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Ogmore-by-Sea can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Ogmore-by-Sea surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Ogmore-by-Sea) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Ogmore-by-Sea may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Wales - South East? If you are looking for accommodation near Ogmore-by-Sea, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Wales - South East, consider staying in Porthcawl which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Wales - South East where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Nash Point which is 9 km (6 miles) away, Coity, Maesteg and Briton Ferry.










