Surf Forecasts:
Ogmore-by-Sea surf forecast from 8 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 14 Aug, 4AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 9s period, WSW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 13 Aug, 7PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 10s period, WSW swell with 205 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 14 Aug, 4AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 9s period with WSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Ogmore-by-Sea this week:
The surf forecast for Ogmore-by-Sea over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 14) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.7m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 4s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Ogmore-by-Sea in the next 16 days are 1.0m 10s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 13) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 3s period and expected on Tuesday (Aug 11) at 10PM.
| Wave Type | Time (BST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4AM (Fri 14th Aug) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 9s |
| Best Surf | 4AM (Fri 14th Aug) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 9s |
| Most Powerful | 7PM (Thu 13th Aug) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Ogmore-by-Sea over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here again. This 16-day look at Ogmore-by-Sea is a real bummer. There’s nothing to get stoked about. The first week is a dead zone – tiny, weak swell and combined energy numbers that are barely a whisper. The water is 69°F on the 8th, which is much warmer than normal, but that’s the only good news.
The first real pulse comes on Thursday, August 13th, with 2ft to 3ft swell from the WSW, pushing the combined energy up to 101 and then 176. That’s moderate energy, but the wind is cross-on or onshore, so it’s going to be a choppy, windblown mess. The 14th is more of the same – a bit more size but the same wind trouble. The spike comes on Wednesday the 19th and Thursday the 20th, with 4ft to 5ft swell from the west, and combined energy jumping to 448. That’s strong wave energy, but the period is short (7 to 8 seconds), and the wind is cross-on or onshore from the WNW. This is a messy, onshore slop. For a river break, this is more of a kite-surfing day than a clean paddle session.
There are a couple of glassy mornings on the 15th and 22nd, but the swell is tiny (1ft to 2ft) and the energy is low. Clean, but not rideable. The only clean, offshore wind is on Sunday the 23rd, with an ENE breeze at 10 km/h, but the swell is a pathetic 1ft. This break is inconsistent and rarely fires, and this forecast backs that up. It’s a long stretch of nothing. The forecasts can change, but for now, leave your board at home.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 24°C on Mon afternoon, min 16°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 31°C on Wed afternoon, min 17°C on Tue night). Winds increasing (calm on Wed night, fresh winds from the W by Thu afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 8 | Sunday 9 | Monday 10 | Tuesday 11 | Wednesday 12 | Thursday 13 | Friday 14 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 9 | SW 9 | WSW 7 | W 9 | W 8 | W 3 | W 4 | W 5 | W 4 | W 10 | W 10 | WSW 11 | WSW 10 | WSW 10 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 10 | WSW 10 | WSW 6 | W 6 | W 6 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 40 | 54 | 64 | 61 | 176 | 74 | 53 | 49 | 17 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | on | cross | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | on | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | glassy | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off |
High Tide | 2:44PM6.79m | 3:28AM6.84m | 4:08PM7.06m | 4:47AM7.24m | 5:18PM7.66m | 5:50AM7.83m | 6:15PM8.35m | 6:42AM8.41m | 7:05PM8.95m | 7:29AM8.86m | 7:49PM9.35m | 8:11AM9.09m | 8:30PM9.49m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 8:54PM2.39m | 9:39AM2.34m | 10:24PM2.09m | 10:59AM1.92m | 11:36PM1.52m | 12:02PM1.34m | 00:33AM0.90m | 12:53PM0.78m | 1:21AM0.39m | 1:37PM0.36m | 2:03AM0.09m | 2:17PM0.15m | 2:42AM0.02m | ||||||||
 |  |  | | | |  | | | | |  | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 5:48 | — | — | 5:48 | — | — | 5:50 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:56 | — | — | 5:56 | — | — |
 | — | 8:51 | — | — | 8:49 | — | — | 8:46 | — | — | 8:45 | — | — | 8:43 | — | — | 8:40 | — | — | 8:39 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 20 | 22 | 20 | 19 | 20 | 18 | 21 | 24 | 23 | 25 | 28 | 24 | 29 | 31 | 24 | 23 | 21 | 20 | 22 | 23 | 17 |
Feels °C | 18 | 20 | 18 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 18 | 21 | 21 | 23 | 25 | 21 | 23 | 26 | 22 | 20 | 17 | 19 | 18 | 18 | 14 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | SW 9 | WSW 7 | SW 7 | SW 6 | SW 6 | W 4 | WSW 6 | W 4 | SW 7 | W 10 | WSW 11 | WSW 10 | WSW 10 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | — | WSW 10 | WSW 6 | W 9 | W 6 |
| kJ | — | 3 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 40 | 54 | 64 | 61 | — | 74 | 53 | 25 | 17 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 9 | — | — | W 9 | W 8 | W 8 | SW 6 | W 8 | SW 7 | W 8 | SW 6 | W 7 | — | — | W 3 | WSW 11 | — | — | WSW 9 | — | WSW 8 |
| kJ | 2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | — | — | 1 | 40 | — | — | 17 | — | 13 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | W 8 | SW 6 | W 8 | W 10 | W 6 | SW 6 | W 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | W 3 | — | W 5 | — | ESE 3 | ESE 2 | SE 3 | ESE 3 | SE 3 | — | — | WSW 10 | W 4 | — | W 6 | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | 8 | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | — | — | 176 | 7 | — | 49 | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 368 | 317 | 195 | 354 | 454 | 194 | 194 | 195 | 195 | 362 | 424 | 48 | 208 | 53 | 7 | 35 | 213 | 3 | 3 | 402 | 47 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Wales - South East | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United Kingdom | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Ogmore-by-Sea Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Ogmore-by-Sea provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Ogmore-by-Sea can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Ogmore-by-Sea surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Ogmore-by-Sea) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Ogmore-by-Sea may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Wales - South East? If you are looking for accommodation near Ogmore-by-Sea, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Wales - South East, consider staying in Porthcawl which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Wales - South East where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Nash Point which is 9 km (6 miles) away, Coity, Maesteg and Briton Ferry.
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