Montanita Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here.

Let’s be real – the first week and a half is a total dud. The water is running at 78°, which is a massive 7° warmer than normal for this time of year. It’s like a warm bath, but the waves are barely a ripple. There’s a long gap with no real surf on offer.

The weekend of the 11th and 12th, we’ve got tiny swell – 3 to 3 feet – with the wind coming onshore or cross-onshore. The wave energy is weak, in the low 200s. It’s a washout.

From the 13th through the 19th, it’s the same story. Swell stays under 3 feet, and the wind is never clean. The energy drops into the low hundreds. It’s a flat spell, for sure. The break is usually consistent, so this is a bummer, but it won’t stay this way.

Now, finally, around the 20th of July, we get a pulse. The swell builds to 4 to 4 feet from the SW with a 14-second period on Monday the 20th. That’s a proper groundswell, and the energy jumps to 628 and 768 – that’s moderate to strong. The wind is a light cross-onshore, which is the best we’ll see. This is the best window. The swell direction matches the optimum for the spot.

After that, the 22nd and 23rd drop back to tiny 2 to 2 foot waves, with messy wind.

Then look at the 24th and 25th – we get a weird, long-period pulse. The period hits 23 seconds on the 24th morning and 22 seconds in the afternoon, with energy of 443 and 514. That’s a very long period groundswell, but it’s only 2 to 3 feet. Those long lulls are a factor, but if it lines up, the shape could be alright. The wind is a light cross-onshore, so not clean. This one is a long-range maybe.

So, the standout is the 20th and 21st of July. Biggest swell, highest energy, best wind. The 25th and 26th are a long shot. The rest is a quiet, warm, frustrating wait.

Rusty.

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