Tongo Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s break down what’s coming up at Tongo Reef over the next couple weeks.

This run starts with a solid pulse that fades out quick, then there’s a big gap of flat days before something builds back. The first few days pack a punch but have some strings attached. The real standout is further out, in the second week – you’ll have to be patient.

Monday, 27 July kicks it off with a proper SW groundswell, 6ft, with a long period of 18 seconds. The combined energy of all swells directed here is a strong 2063. The water is a warm 79°, which is about 9° warmer than normal for this time of year – that’s very unusual. Wind is SSE at 15 mph, blowing cross-offshore, keeping the surface clean. This is advanced territory at that size, the reef will be working, but it’s not a beginner’s wave. Crowds are possible. The score isn’t top-tier, but the raw swell is there.

Tuesday, 28 July holds similar conditions – 5ft, 16-second period, cross-off SSE wind at 12 mph. The energy is still strong at 1303. The swell is easing, but it’s still clean.

From Wednesday, 29 July, the swell starts dropping – 5ft, then 4ft, and by Saturday, 1 August, it’s down to 2ft. The period also drops, and the combined energy falls into the weak range, below 500. The wind stays cross-off, but there’s just not enough swell to get excited about. This is a lull, a proper gap of several days with no real recommendation.

On Sunday, 2 August, a new swell tries to show up – 4ft, but from the SSE with a short period of just 7 seconds. The energy is only 367. That’s weak, short-period windswell, not the kind that makes Tongo Reef work. This continues through the middle of the week – 3 to 5 August – with heights around 4ft to 4ft, periods still short, and energy in the 300-400 range.

The real turnaround shows up on Friday, 7 August. This is the standout. The swell is 4ft from the SSW, with a period of 16 seconds – proper groundswell. The combined energy climbs to 934, which is moderate to strong. The wind turns offshore from the SE at 9 mph, giving you clean, glassy conditions. This is a very promising window, but it’s over a week away, so treat it as a hopeful call. The reef will handle that long-period swell well.

The weekend of 8-9 August sees the swell mix up. The SSW groundswell hangs around, but by Saturday afternoon it shifts to a shorter-period SSE swell at 5ft and 10 seconds. The wind stays cross-off, but the quality drops.

The following Monday, 10 August, we see the swell bump to 6ft, still SSE with a period of 9 seconds. Combined energy is 988. The wind is a gentle cross-off, but the short period means the swell will be a bit junky. Tuesday, 11 August, drops back to 5ft, still SSE and short period.

So, the best of the whole run is a toss-up between the opening pulse on 27 July, which is big and powerful but only for experienced surfers, and the cleaner, more promising window on 7 August with offshore winds and a better swell direction. If I’m picking one, I’d say the 7th is the pick – less size but better quality with that offshore wind and a solid groundswell. It’s a long way out, but it’s the one to keep an eye on.

Rusty.

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