Tongo Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into what’s happening at Tongo Reef. This is an advanced reef break, exposed and fairly consistent, with a preference for south swell. The water is cranked up to 26°, which is 5° warmer than usual for July – that is a big anomaly, so the water will feel like a bathtub.

The first real action is on Monday the 13th of July and Tuesday the 14th of July. Monday afternoon you’re looking at a clean 0.8m swell from the SSW, long 14-second period, with a cross-off breeze from the SSE at 9 mph. It carries moderate energy (512). Tuesday morning repeats the same: 0.8m, 14 seconds, still clean with that 9 mph cross-off. That’s your best early bet – expect very good conditions.

From Tuesday afternoon through to Monday the 20th of July, things go marginal. The swell stays in the 0.8m to 1.1m range, mostly from the S or SSW, period between 12 and 14 seconds. Wind holds as a cross-off, moderate breeze. Energy stays between 475 and 665 – still moderate – but the surf quality is only okay. It’s a long, average stretch.

Then Monday the 20th of July through Thursday the 23rd of July takes a dive. The swell height is around 1.1m to 1.4m, but the period collapses to a short 7 to 8 seconds. That’s pure, weak wind swell, with energy down in the 250 to 280 range. On Thursday the 23rd of July, the surf is described as poor. Not worth your time.

Now, for the long-range look: Friday the 24th of July into the following week, a very long-period groundswell is on the cards. Friday morning shows a 0.7m swell from the SW with an incredible 21-second period and energy jumping to 760. Friday afternoon cleans up with a light 9 mph breeze, 0.6m from the SSW, same 21-second period, and 608 energy, marked as “very good surf.” That’s a classic groundswell – fast, powerful, and with that long period, it will run straight as an arrow. On a reef, that could be phenomenal. But it’s 11 days out, so treat it as a promising possibility.

Saturday the 25th and Sunday the 26th of July keep the energy high with 18 to 19-second swells from the SW, between 0.8m and 1.1m, and energy ranging from 599 to 836. Winds stay crossed-off and light. The scores are still marginal, but with that period and direction, the wave shape will be there.

Monday the 27th and Tuesday the 28th of July have a slightly smaller swell, 1.0m to 1.2m, period dropping to 15 to 17 seconds, but energy stays strong at 752 to 871. Cross-off winds continue. Solid for experts, but not a standout.

So, for the advanced surfer, the Monday-Tuesday window on the 13th-14th is your cleanest, most reliable bet. The big, long-period groundswell hitting on the 24th is the other one to circle, but it’s a wait-and-see. Beginners? Stay clear – it’s a reef break, and the swell gets over 1.3m at times. For that week where the period drops to 7-8 seconds and energy is low, it’s more of a kite surfer’s setup than a paddler’s.

Rusty.

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