Mompiche Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it. We’re looking at a pretty quiet run ahead for Mompiche, but there’s a glimmer of something better if you’re willing to wait.

First thing you need to know – the water is cooking. At 81°F with a 5°F anomaly, that’s much warmer than normal for this time of year. You’ll be surfing in a bath, so leave the thick rubber at home.

The next few days are flat and weak. We’ve got a long stretch of small, low-energy surf. Sunday morning, the 2nd, you might see a tiny 2ft swell from the SW with a touch of cross-off wind, but the energy is a limp 260 (weak) – it’s marginal at best. Monday the 3rd and Tuesday the 4th don’t offer much either. Tuesday morning the energy drops to 93 (very weak). It’s a bit of a slog. Wednesday the 5th is clean but small, with a 2ft SW swell and 111 (weak) energy. Still just surfable, nothing special.

The pattern holds through the first week. The swell tries to nudge up by Friday the 7th morning with 3ft from the SW and 318 (moderate) energy, but the wind is cross, so conditions are iffy. Saturday the 8th is similar, with clean cross-off winds in the morning but the swell is still only 3ft. The energy sits at 268 (moderate). It’s surfable, but don’t plan your day around it.

Then we hit a real dead zone. From Sunday the 9th through to Thursday the 13th, the energy drops back into the weak range, with swells barely hitting 2ft. It’s a long flat gap. The 10th has a weird 19-second period on the afternoon – that’s a long groundswell, but at only 1ft, it’s a ghost. Not worth the paddle.

Now, here’s where it gets interesting. The real standout comes in the second week. Friday the 14th morning sees a 3ft WSW swell with 399 (strong) energy – that’s the most juice we’ve seen all outlook. Light cross winds, clean. But it’s still early days, so take it as a promising sign.

The best window is Saturday the 15th and Sunday the 16th. Saturday morning we get 3ft from the WSW with cross-off SSW winds, 308 (moderate) energy, and the forecast says "expect good surf conditions." This is the pick. The swell direction is WSW, and the optimum swell for Mompiche’s point break is NW, so it’s not perfect, but the wind is clean and the wave quality should be there. Sunday the 16th morning is also a goer, with 2ft from the SW, 276 (moderate) energy, and cross-off winds. Clean again.

Then Monday the 17th morning delivers the biggest combo: 2ft SW swell, 405 (strong) energy, and cross-off winds. The swell period is 14 seconds, a nice groundswell. That’s the best energy of the whole run. The afternoon pushes 3ft from the SW with 579 (strong) energy, but the wind swings cross-on, so the morning is where it’s at.

The standout here: Saturday 15th August morning at Mompiche. It’s not huge, but the combination of clean cross-off wind, moderate energy, and a decent 3ft SW swell makes it the best bet. Get out there early, because the afternoons get choppy.

If you’re a beginner, the swell never gets over 5ft, so it’s safe for learning. The period is generally in the 10-14 second range, which gives reasonable shape for a point break. Just don’t expect any barrels.

Rusty.

Read more