Surf Forecasts:
San Mateo surf forecast from 26 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 28 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 16s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 28 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 17s period, SW swell with 1,223 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 27 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 19s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for San Mateo this week:
The surf forecast for San Mateo over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 27) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 19s period with a secondary swell of 0.9m and 15s. Another secondary swell of 0.7m and 5s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at San Mateo in the next 16 days are 1.5m 17s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 28) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 6s period and expected on Friday (Jul 31) at 10PM.
| Wave Type | Time (-05) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7AM (Mon 27th Jul) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 19s |
| Best Surf | 7AM (Tue 28th Jul) | 5ft (1.5m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 4AM (Tue 28th Jul) | 5ft (1.5m) 17s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for San Mateo over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let's take a look at what San Mateo's got lined up for the next couple weeks.
I’ll be honest right up front – this forecast isn't looking like a classic. The first few days are blown out or just average. There are a few clean-ish slots, but you’ll have to pick your moments.
The real standout is Tuesday morning, July 28th. We’ve got head-high-plus swell at 5ft from the southwest, with a 16 second period – that’s some real groundswell muscle (combined wave energy of 1140). Light cross-shore wind from the south-southwest at only 6 mph will keep the surface clean with just a few little bumps. That long period will wrap nicely into this point break. This one’s for the advanced crew.
Another one to circle is Thursday morning, July 30th. Swell drops to 4ft from the southwest, but the wind goes cross-offshore from the south at 9 mph – that’ll give you clean, lined-up waves. The period is still healthy at 13 seconds. Not the biggest, but it’s clean. Keep in mind this spot is inconsistent and can get crowded, so bring your patience.
Water temps are running *much warmer than normal* right now at 80°F – about 8°F above average. That’s unusual for July.
Once we hit August, the swell really shrinks – down to 2ft to 3ft through the first week, and the winds are mostly onshore or cross-onshore. Not much to write home about. There’s a faint glimmer on Thursday morning, August 6th with 3ft swell and light cross-shore wind, but it’s only marginal.
If you’re into kiting, those afternoons with 12-16 mph cross to cross-onshore winds and small, bumpy swell might be more fun than trying to paddle.
So, bottom line: Tuesday morning, July 28th is your best shot. Thursday morning, July 30th is the reliable backup. After that, expect a long, quiet stretch until at least the 6th of August.
Stay sharp.
- Rusty
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 27°C on Sat afternoon, min 24°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 27°C on Thu morning, min 24°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Sat 25 | Sunday 26 | Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | Friday 31 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 17 | SW 20 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 627 | 602 | 760 | 692 | 455 | 1099 | 1099 | 1187 | 1123 | 1096 | 1014 | 836 | 736 | 485 | 451 | 386 | 320 | 310 | 273 | 207 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross |
High Tide | 1:38AM1.93m | 1:37PM2.00m | 2:28AM2.02m | 2:26PM2.08m | 3:11AM2.14m | 3:09PM2.17m | 3:49AM2.26m | 3:48PM2.26m | 4:24AM2.36m | 4:25PM2.31m | 4:58AM2.44m | 5:01PM2.35m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 7:11PM0.67m | 7:34AM0.91m | 8:03PM0.59m | 8:25AM0.83m | 8:48PM0.49m | 9:10AM0.73m | 9:28PM0.39m | 9:50AM0.65m | 10:05PM0.32m | 10:27AM0.57m | 10:39PM0.29m | 11:03AM0.52m | 11:13PM0.28m | |||||||
 |  | |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — |
 | 6:31 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:30 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 27 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 24 | 26 | 26 | 24 | 26 | 26 | 24 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 27 | 26 | 24 | 26 | 25 | 24 |
Feels °C | 28 | 26 | 29 | 27 | 25 | 27 | 27 | 26 | 29 | 27 | 26 | 28 | 27 | 27 | 28 | 26 | 25 | 27 | 24 | 25 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SSW 6 |
| kJ | 627 | 602 | 760 | 692 | 406 | 1099 | 1099 | 1187 | 1123 | 1096 | 1014 | 836 | 736 | 485 | 451 | 386 | 320 | 310 | 273 | 67 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 10 | SW 10 | SW 22 | SW 12 | SW 20 | WNW 13 | SW 10 | WNW 13 | SSW 5 | WNW 13 | NW 10 | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 12 | NW 12 | NW 12 | NW 12 | NW 12 | WNW 12 | SW 12 |
| kJ | 53 | 28 | 118 | 73 | 455 | 17 | 36 | 17 | 11 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 207 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 10 | SW 13 | NW 14 | NW 14 | SW 11 | NW 13 | WNW 13 | NW 9 | WNW 13 | NW 10 | NW 13 | NW 12 | NW 12 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | — | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 17 |
| kJ | 33 | 46 | 53 | 53 | 60 | 7 | 17 | 3 | 17 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 3 | — | 13 | 12 | 47 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 4 | SW 9 | SW 10 | SSW 5 | SSW 5 | SSW 5 | SSW 6 | SSW 6 | — | SSW 5 | SW 5 | — | — | SSW 7 | SSW 4 | SSW 4 | SSW 5 | SSW 6 | SSW 5 | — |
| kJ | 10 | 90 | 98 | 34 | 26 | 26 | 31 | 22 | — | 19 | 13 | — | — | 30 | 13 | 22 | 22 | 27 | 48 | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 912 | 141 | 7 | 920 | 7 | 7 | 141 | 141 | 48 | 930 | 67 | 7 | 141 | 7 | 0 | 1014 | 7 | 102 | 920 | 141 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Manabi | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Ecuador | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the San Mateo Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for San Mateo provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at San Mateo can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our San Mateo surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (San Mateo) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for San Mateo may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Manabi? If you are looking for accommodation near San Mateo, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Manabi, consider staying in Manta which is 11 km (7 miles) away. Other places in and around Manabi where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Montecristi which is 21 km (13 miles) away, Portoviejo, Jipijapa and Sucre.
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