Surf Forecasts:
San Mateo surf forecast from 28 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 3 Sep, 7AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 19s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 4 Sep, 1AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 17s period, SW swell with 1,437 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 3 Sep, 7AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 19s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for San Mateo this week:
The surf forecast for San Mateo over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 03) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 19s period with a secondary swell of 0.8m and 11s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at San Mateo in the next 16 days are 1.6m 17s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Sep 04) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 6s period and expected on Saturday (Aug 29) at 1PM.
| Wave Type | Time (-05) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7AM (Thu 3rd Sep) | 3ft (0.9m) 19s |
| Best Surf | 7AM (Thu 3rd Sep) | 3ft (0.9m) 19s |
| Most Powerful | 1AM (Fri 4th Sep) | 5ft (1.6m) 17s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for San Mateo over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here, checking in. Let's have a look at what's on offer for our stretch of coast over the coming weeks. It’s a bit of a mixed bag, so let’s get into it.
The main story for the next couple of weeks is a series of SW groundswells pushing through, but the wind is going to be our biggest headache. Most days, that cross to cross-onshore breeze is going to put a lumpy, choppy lid on things. The water is sitting at a very unusual 81° at San Mateo, which is more than three degrees warmer than normal for this time of year, so you can leave the thick wetsuit at home.
There’s no standout surf for the first week, to be honest. Friday morning the 28th sees a small 3ft groundswell from the SW with a long 18-second period, but the cross-shore wind will have it looking a bit marginal, with the energy reading at a moderate (684). The tides or something else will be off too, giving it a low score. The afternoon gets worse as the wind swings onshore and picks up. Saturday and Sunday have a bit more size, around 5ft, but once again, the wind is onshore or cross-onshore, making for poor, choppy conditions. We’re in a stretch of pretty average surf here.
There’s a gap of a few days with no real quality on offer until we look further ahead. Thursday morning, September 3rd, offers a small 4ft swell with a fantastic 18-second period, which is a long-period groundswell, and light cross-shore winds. It's still only marginal, but that long period could create some nice, walled-up lines at the point, especially if you can work around the tide. The energy is moderate (772). That’s probably the most promising session in the first week.
The real highlight, however, looks to be the morning of Friday, September 4th. We’ve got a solid 5ft SW groundswell with a still-impressive 16-second period, and the wind finally plays nice with a gentle cross-shore breeze. The combined energy is strong at (1246). With San Mateo being an exposed point that loves this NW direction of swell, this could serve up some proper, clean groundswell runners. The afternoon holds a bit more size at 6ft, but the wind gets stronger and more side-shore, making it a bit lumpier. The Friday morning is the standout of the entire 16-day window. After that, the following week sees a slow drop in size, and the wind pattern returns to more cross-onshore junk.
It’s worth noting that San Mateo is an inconsistent break, so when a window like Friday the 4th lines up with a good swell and clean wind, you really want to be on it.
Stay patient, wait for that Friday the 4th morning, and you’ll be rewarded. Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 27°C on Fri morning, min 24°C on Fri afternoon). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 26°C on Mon morning, min 24°C on Mon afternoon). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Friday 28 | Saturday 29 | Sunday 30 | Monday 31 | Tuesday 1 | Wednesday 2 | Thursday 3 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 13 | SW 17 | SW 12 | SW 16 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 17 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
465 | 871 | 1109 | 1041 | 911 | 886 | 588 | 503 | 431 | 300 | 286 | 277 | 232 | 231 | 290 | 232 | 248 | 296 | 758 | 702 | 1437 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-on |
High Tide | 4:01PM2.39m | 4:25AM2.56m | 4:37PM2.45m | 4:57AM2.62m | 5:12PM2.48m | 5:30AM2.63m | 5:49PM2.46m | 6:05AM2.60m | 6:28PM2.40m | 6:43AM2.52m | 7:12PM2.31m | 7:26AM2.40m | 8:03PM2.18m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 10:01AM0.46m | 10:10PM0.28m | 10:35AM0.36m | 10:43PM0.25m | 11:09AM0.29m | 11:17PM0.26m | 11:44AM0.25m | 11:53PM0.31m | 12:21PM0.26m | 00:31AM0.39m | 1:02PM0.31m | 1:14AM0.50m | 1:49PM0.40m | 2:05AM0.64m | |||||||
6:20 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | 6:18 | — | — | |
— | 6:27 | — | — | 6:27 | — | — | 6:25 | — | — | 6:25 | — | — | 6:25 | — | — | 6:24 | — | — | 6:24 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 27 | 26 | 24 | 26 | 26 | 24 | 27 | 26 | 24 | 26 | 25 | 24 | 26 | 26 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 24 | 26 | 26 | 25 |
Feels °C | 27 | 25 | 24 | 26 | 25 | 23 | 27 | 25 | 24 | 25 | 24 | 24 | 27 | 26 | 25 | 28 | 27 | 26 | 29 | 26 | 27 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 11 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 17 |
465 | 871 | 1109 | 1041 | 911 | 886 | 588 | 503 | 431 | 300 | 286 | 277 | 232 | 231 | 203 | 232 | 228 | 179 | 758 | 702 | 1437 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | SW 13 | SSW 8 | WNW 11 | NW 11 | WNW 12 | NW 12 | NW 12 | SW 20 | SW 20 | WSW 19 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 11 | SW 11 | WNW 11 |
174 | 83 | 7 | 12 | 5 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 36 | 55 | 82 | 112 | 290 | 222 | 248 | 221 | 119 | 121 | 12 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 13 | WNW 13 | WNW 11 | — | — | W 18 | — | SW 20 | NW 10 | NW 11 | NW 11 | NW 11 | W 5 | NW 11 | SW 7 | NW 9 | SW 20 | SW 19 | WNW 12 | SW 14 | — |
17 | 17 | 12 | — | — | 6 | — | 16 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 42 | 3 | 188 | 296 | 14 | 114 | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 6 | SW 4 | SW 5 | SSW 6 | SSW 6 | SSW 5 | SSW 6 | SSW 6 | SW 5 | SSW 5 | SW 6 | SW 6 | SW 6 | SW 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
28 | 24 | 33 | 46 | 63 | 40 | 49 | 61 | 41 | 33 | 52 | 38 | 32 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 7 | 912 | 102 | 7 | 930 | 310 | 102 | 1005 | 111 | 377 | 820 | 141 | 141 | 141 | 141 | 141 | 141 | 7 | 11 | 815 | 141 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Manabi | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the San Mateo Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for San Mateo provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at San Mateo can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our San Mateo surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (San Mateo) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for San Mateo may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Manabi? If you are looking for accommodation near San Mateo, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Manabi, consider staying in Manta which is 11 km (7 miles) away. Other places in and around Manabi where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Montecristi which is 21 km (13 miles) away, Portoviejo, Jipijapa and Sucre.











