
Surf Forecasts:
San Mateo surf forecast from 5 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 5 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 21s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 6 Jul, 7PM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 18s period, SW swell with 1,398 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 5 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 21s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for San Mateo this week:
The surf forecast for San Mateo over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 05) at 10AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.7m and 21s period with a secondary swell of 0.9m and 16s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at San Mateo in the next 16 days are 1.5m 18s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 06) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 16s period and expected on Friday (Jul 10) at 7AM.
| Wave Type | Time (-05) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10AM (Sun 5th Jul) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 21s |
| Best Surf | 10AM (Sun 5th Jul) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 21s |
| Most Powerful | 7PM (Mon 6th Jul) | 5ft (1.5m) 18s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for San Mateo over the next 16 days.
Updates in hr min s Forecast update imminent
G'day, Rusty here. Alright, let's have a good look at the next couple of weeks for San Mateo.
This is a tricky one, fellas. The opening weekend has a real tease of a morning, but the rest of the outlook is a long, drawn-out battle with the wind. We're staring down a 16-day window where the best of it is right at the start, and then it's a grind. There's a massive gap of mediocre to poor conditions from the afternoon of Sunday, July 5th all the way through until the morning of Monday, July 13th – that's over a solid week of nothing to get excited about. A few mornings in the second week might offer a little window, but you've got to be sharp.
The standout, and really the only true call to action, is Sunday, July 5th, first light.
Hit San Mateo early on Sunday morning. It's a point break, exposed to the NW swell, and it's going to be doing its thing. We've got a very long-period groundswell (21 seconds) coming in from the SW at 2ft. The real magic here is the wind – it's glassy, practically nothing out of the SSE. That means the surface will be like a mirror. The water is a very unusual 80°F – that's a massive 7°F warmer than average for this time of year, so you can leave the wetsuit at home. The combined energy is moderate at 820. The sets will be clean and lined up on that point. It's an inconsistent spot, so be patient, and when it does come through, it'll be worth it. The crowds are listed as "sometimes," so there may be a few others with the same idea.
By Sunday afternoon, the wind swings to the WSW and cranks up to 9 mph, turning it cross-on and choppy. That's the end of the fun.
The rest of the week is a write-off. Monday through to the following Sunday (July 6th to 12th) is a mess of cross-shore and cross-onshore winds, building all the way up to 16 mph. The swell does pulse up to 5ft on Tuesday, but with a 16-second period and cross-onshore chop, it's just going to be a lumpy mess. The energy on Tuesday afternoon hits 951 (moderate), but it's completely wasted. Not worth paddling out.
The second week offers a few little glimmers, but nothing to write home about.
Monday, July 13th morning is another glassy moment, but the swell has dropped back to 3ft at 13 seconds. The energy is weak at 274. It's a clean 3ft wave, which is okay for a cheeky log session, but not a stand-out.
Wednesday, July 15th morning has a clean feel with a light cross-offshore breeze from the S, keeping the surface tidy on a 3ft SW swell. Again, it's small, but it's the best of a bad bunch in the second week.
After that, it's a slow fade. The last few days from July 18th onwards see the swell bottom out completely, with tiny 1.0ft to 1ft swells and onshore winds. The combined energy drops to 46 and 132, which is just weak. There's nothing moving here.
So, bottom line: if you want a wave, be at San Mateo at dawn on Sunday, July 5th. After that, you're waiting for a clean-up that never really comes. The forecasts can change, but right now, it's a one-morning show.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 26°C on Sun morning, min 24°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 26°C on Wed morning, min 23°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 5 | Monday 6 | Tuesday 7 | Wednesday 8 | Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 21 | SW 21 | SW 20 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
449 | 449 | 731 | 716 | 1269 | 1367 | 988 | 940 | 917 | 620 | 471 | 471 | 435 | 360 | 424 | 739 | 803 | 551 | 529 | 521 | 308 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | glassy | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-on | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-on | cross |
High Tide | 7:17PM2.13m | 7:47AM2.33m | 8:02PM2.08m | 8:28AM2.31m | 8:54PM2.03m | 9:17AM2.28m | 9:54PM2.00m | 10:14AM2.26m | 11:03PM2.02m | 11:19AM2.26m | 00:14AM2.09m | 12:26PM2.30m | 1:22AM2.22m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 1:21PM0.65m | 1:24AM0.53m | 2:03PM0.65m | 2:06AM0.61m | 2:51PM0.64m | 2:55AM0.68m | 3:46PM0.61m | 3:53AM0.74m | 4:48PM0.57m | 5:01AM0.75m | 5:53PM0.48m | 6:13AM0.72m | 6:59PM0.36m | ||||||||
6:24 | — | — | 6:24 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | |
— | 6:29 | — | — | 6:30 | — | — | 6:30 | — | — | 6:30 | — | — | 6:30 | — | — | 6:30 | — | — | 6:30 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 26 | 26 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 24 | 26 | 26 | 24 | 26 | 26 | 24 | 26 | 26 | 24 | 26 | 25 | 24 | 26 | 26 | 24 |
Feels °C | 30 | 28 | 26 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 28 | 27 | 26 | 27 | 26 | 25 | 27 | 26 | 26 | 27 | 25 | 25 | 28 | 27 | 26 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 16 | SSW 15 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 |
371 | 367 | 377 | 716 | 1269 | 1367 | 988 | 940 | 917 | 620 | 471 | 471 | 435 | 360 | 424 | 739 | 803 | 551 | 529 | 521 | 308 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 21 | SW 21 | SW 20 | SSW 15 | NW 11 | NW 11 | NW 12 | NW 12 | NW 10 | NW 10 | NW 11 | NW 11 | S 7 | SSW 20 | SW 18 | NW 15 | NW 15 | NW 14 | NW 14 | WNW 14 | NW 14 |
449 | 449 | 731 | 387 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 37 | 81 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 7 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 7 | SSW 5 | NW 12 | NW 13 | NW 11 | W 18 | W 18 | W 18 | NW 17 | NW 16 | NW 16 | NW 16 | NW 16 | NW 16 | NW 15 | NW 10 | NW 10 | NW 10 | W 22 | SW 22 | SW 23 |
31 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 21 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | SSW 8 | SSW 8 | SSW 8 | SSW 4 | SSW 5 | SSW 5 | SSW 5 | SSW 5 | SSW 5 | SSW 5 | — | SW 5 | SSW 5 | SW 3 | SW 3 |
— | — | — | — | — | — | 32 | 36 | 35 | 13 | 24 | 22 | 19 | 22 | 17 | 9 | — | 11 | 8 | 5 | 4 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 912 | 138 | 141 | 916 | 7 | 7 | 141 | 7 | 7 | 815 | 7 | 7 | 815 | 141 | 7 | 857 | 7 | 7 | 141 | 141 |
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Information about the San Mateo Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for San Mateo provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at San Mateo can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our San Mateo surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (San Mateo) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for San Mateo may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Manabi? If you are looking for accommodation near San Mateo, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Manabi, consider staying in Manta which is 11 km (7 miles) away. Other places in and around Manabi where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Montecristi which is 21 km (13 miles) away, Portoviejo, Jipijapa and Sucre.










