Surf Forecasts:
San Mateo surf forecast from 27 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 3 Sep, 7AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 18s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 29 Aug, 4AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 16s period, SW swell with 1,314 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 3 Sep, 7AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 18s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for San Mateo this week:
The surf forecast for San Mateo over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 03) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 18s period with a secondary swell of 0.9m and 11s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at San Mateo in the next 16 days are 1.6m 16s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 29) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 6s period and expected on Monday (Aug 31) at 4PM.
| Wave Type | Time (-05) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7AM (Thu 3rd Sep) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 18s |
| Best Surf | 7AM (Thu 3rd Sep) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 18s |
| Most Powerful | 4AM (Sat 29th Aug) | 5ft (1.6m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for San Mateo over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let me tell you straight—it's a slow burn out at San Mateo right now, but there's some fire on the horizon for those willing to wait it out. We got some proper groundswell trying to push through, but that wind is going to be our main battle for the first part of this run, and it's gonna make things look pretty average.
Right now, we're seeing the last bit of a weak swell. Thursday morning, we've got a touch of southwest swell at 2ft with a long 16-second period, but it's crossed up and lacking any real punch, with only about 249 units of energy. It's not doing much except putting some texture on the water. By Thursday afternoon, that southwest wind gets a bit stronger and it chops up real quick. That early stuff is only for the die-hards who don't mind the mess.
We've got a bit of a lull moving into the weekend. Friday and Saturday are there, but they're not offering much in the way of quality. The mornings on both days have a little more size—Friday morning sees 3ft, and Saturday morning jumps to 5ft—but the energy is only moderate, with readings like 662 and 1078. The problem is, that wind is swinging from the southwest, putting a cross-chop on everything, and it's making the surf look pretty ordinary. The period is dropping too, which takes away some of the grunt. For a spot like San Mateo, that southwest swell is okay, but it's not showing its best face with this wind messing it up.
Sunday and Monday are a real disappointment. The swell backs off a touch, the period gets shorter, and we're just getting poor conditions with a fresh cross-onshore breeze on Sunday afternoon. It's a total write-off for those wanting to get the board wet.
Then, here's the little spark we've been waiting for. Wednesday the 2nd of September, first thing in the morning, the wind just dies. It goes glassy. Proper glassy. The swell is still small at 3ft, but that clean surface is a huge positive. The energy is moderate at 466, and with that 12-second period, it might be a little on the short side, but on a point break like this, there could still be some fun ones if you're in the right spot. That's your standout window for the first week. Don't miss that morning session.
The lull continues for a couple of days after that. Thursday the 3rd is looking cross-onshore and messy. Friday the 4th, we finally see the size start to come back. It jumps to 5ft in the morning and 5ft+ in the afternoon, and the energy is getting into that strong range, hitting 1138 and 1249. The wind is still cross-shore and creating some texture, so it's not perfect, but the power is definitely starting to return. That's the building phase.
And then, over the horizon, on the 9th of September—a week and a half out—we've got something promising. It's a long way off, so take this as an early heads-up, but the models are showing a real dump of energy. Wednesday morning the swell is up at 5ft, and it pushes to 5ft+ in the afternoon with a solid 17-second period. The energy readings jump to 1418 and then 1580, which is strong, proper stuff. The wind is still a bit onshore, so we'll have to see how that plays out, but if it cleans up, San Mateo could be firing. That's the one to put a star next to on the calendar.
So, here's the takeaway: the next few days are small and bumpy. Get out there for that glassy Wednesday morning for the cleanest waves of the first week, even if it's not big. Then, keep your eyes locked on the 9th. It's promising, but it's a long-range call, so don't get too committed yet. We'll be watching.
Rusty out.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 27°C on Fri morning, min 24°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 26°C on Sun morning, min 24°C on Sun afternoon). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 27 | Friday 28 | Saturday 29 | Sunday 30 | Monday 31 | Tuesday 1 | Wednesday 2 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 16 | WSW 20 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 13 | SW 17 | SW 12 | SW 16 | SW 15 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
169 | 163 | 253 | 465 | 871 | 1109 | 1041 | 911 | 886 | 588 | 503 | 431 | 300 | 286 | 277 | 200 | 235 | 238 | 278 | 203 | 221 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross-on | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross-on | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-on | cross |
High Tide | 3:25PM2.29m | 3:53AM2.45m | 4:01PM2.39m | 4:25AM2.56m | 4:37PM2.45m | 4:57AM2.62m | 5:12PM2.48m | 5:30AM2.63m | 5:49PM2.46m | 6:05AM2.60m | 6:28PM2.40m | 6:43AM2.52m | 7:12PM2.31m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 9:37PM0.34m | 10:01AM0.46m | 10:10PM0.28m | 10:35AM0.36m | 10:43PM0.25m | 11:09AM0.29m | 11:17PM0.26m | 11:44AM0.25m | 11:53PM0.31m | 12:21PM0.26m | 00:31AM0.39m | 1:02PM0.31m | 1:14AM0.50m | ||||||||
6:22 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | |
— | 6:27 | — | — | 6:27 | — | — | 6:27 | — | — | 6:25 | — | — | 6:25 | — | — | 6:25 | — | — | 6:24 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 26 | 25 | 24 | 27 | 26 | 24 | 26 | 26 | 24 | 26 | 26 | 24 | 25 | 25 | 24 | 25 | 25 | 24 | 26 | 26 | 24 |
Feels °C | 26 | 24 | 25 | 27 | 25 | 24 | 26 | 25 | 23 | 25 | 25 | 24 | 25 | 24 | 24 | 26 | 25 | 24 | 27 | 26 | 26 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 16 | WSW 20 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 15 |
169 | 163 | 253 | 465 | 871 | 1109 | 1041 | 911 | 886 | 588 | 503 | 431 | 300 | 286 | 277 | 200 | 235 | 203 | 278 | 132 | 221 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 9 | SW 21 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 13 | SSW 8 | WNW 11 | NW 11 | NW 12 | NW 12 | NW 12 | SW 20 | SW 20 | WSW 19 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 17 | SSW 7 | SW 11 |
13 | 116 | 169 | 171 | 83 | 7 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 36 | 55 | 82 | 112 | 238 | 222 | 47 | 99 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 22 | SW 9 | SW 13 | SSW 10 | WNW 13 | NW 11 | — | — | W 18 | — | SW 20 | NW 10 | NW 11 | NW 11 | NW 11 | NW 11 | NW 6 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | SW 16 | SSW 7 |
45 | 12 | 61 | 10 | 17 | 5 | — | — | 6 | — | 16 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 203 | 33 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 6 | SW 4 | SW 5 | SW 6 | SW 6 | SSW 4 | SSW 6 | SSW 6 | SSW 4 | SSW 5 | SSW 5 | SW 5 | SSW 6 | SSW 6 | SW 6 | SSW 6 | SW 6 | SW 7 | — | — | — |
26 | 26 | 36 | 32 | 31 | 25 | 36 | 41 | 35 | 34 | 51 | 45 | 55 | 65 | 47 | 41 | 33 | 49 | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 46 | 141 | 815 | 11 | 7 | 938 | 303 | 141 | 930 | 310 | 11 | 1050 | 111 | 310 | 944 | 450 | 102 | 930 | 7 | 0 | 1050 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Manabi | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the San Mateo Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for San Mateo provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at San Mateo can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our San Mateo surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (San Mateo) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for San Mateo may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Manabi? If you are looking for accommodation near San Mateo, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Manabi, consider staying in Manta which is 11 km (7 miles) away. Other places in and around Manabi where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Montecristi which is 21 km (13 miles) away, Portoviejo, Jipijapa and Sucre.











