Surf Forecasts:
San Mateo surf forecast from 28 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 3 Sep, 7AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 19s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 4 Sep, 1AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 17s period, SW swell with 1,437 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 3 Sep, 7AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 19s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for San Mateo this week:
The surf forecast for San Mateo over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 03) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 19s period with a secondary swell of 0.8m and 11s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at San Mateo in the next 16 days are 1.6m 17s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Sep 04) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.7m 11s period and expected on Thursday (Sep 03) at 10AM.
| Wave Type | Time (-05) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7AM (Thu 3rd Sep) | 3ft (0.9m) 19s |
| Best Surf | 7AM (Thu 3rd Sep) | 3ft (0.9m) 19s |
| Most Powerful | 1AM (Fri 4th Sep) | 5ft (1.6m) 17s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for San Mateo over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright mates, Rusty here. Let's get you the lowdown on San Mateo for the next couple of weeks. It's a bit of a mixed bag, with some clean windows but plenty of chop to work through too.
The water is sitting at a very unusual 81°, a full 9° warmer than you'd expect for this time of year, so you'll want a thinner wetsuit or just boardies if you're brave.
Right off the bat, Thursday the 27th is a no-go – just 2 feet of swell and a messy cross-shore wind giving us poor conditions. Don't even bother. Friday the 28th morning offers a slight bump to 3 feet from the SW with a long 18-second period. The energy is moderate (684), but it’s a cross-wind with marginal quality. It might be worth a look if you're desperate, but keep your expectations low.
Saturday the 29th morning has the swell pushing up to 5 feet from the SW, but the period drops to 16 seconds and the wind is still cross. The energy is strong (1090), but the wave comment says "marginal" and the score is weak. It’s messy out there. Sunday through to the middle of the following week is a write-off – cross-onshore winds, choppy conditions, and nothing scoring above a 2. A real flat and blown-out run.
Now, here's a standout to keep in mind. Monday morning, September 7th, is the one to circle. We’ve got 4 feet of SW swell with glassy conditions – that's a rare treat. The energy is moderate (452), and the period is a solid 13 seconds. For this normally inconsistent point break, a morning with flat-calm winds is your best shot at something smooth and rideable. Crowds are possible here, so get out early.
A bit further out, Wednesday morning, September 9th, sees a bit more energy, with 5 feet from the SW at a very long 17-second period and only a light cross breeze. The combined energy is strong (1390) and the overall quality is better than the surrounding days. It’s a promising window for some long, lined-up waves, though the period might make it a tad straight at the take-off zone.
Thursday morning, September 10th, is another decent shout with 5 feet of SW swell at 16 seconds, light cross winds, and strong energy (1002). It's worth setting the alarm for that one too. The wind looks better in the mornings throughout the second week, but the afternoons get choppy again.
Overall, the first week is mostly about waiting for the wind to play nice. The second week has a couple of promising mornings, especially that glassy spell on the 7th. Keep an eye on it – forecasts can change, and there’s a chance for a couple of good sessions here.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 27°C on Fri morning, min 24°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 26°C on Sun afternoon, min 23°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Thu 27 | Friday 28 | Saturday 29 | Sunday 30 | Monday 31 | Tuesday 1 | Wednesday 2 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | WSW 20 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 13 | SW 17 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 19 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
163 | 253 | 465 | 871 | 1109 | 1041 | 911 | 886 | 588 | 503 | 431 | 300 | 286 | 277 | 200 | 235 | 290 | 232 | 228 | 293 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross | cross | cross-on | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross-on | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross |
High Tide | 3:53AM2.45m | 4:01PM2.39m | 4:25AM2.56m | 4:37PM2.45m | 4:57AM2.62m | 5:12PM2.48m | 5:30AM2.63m | 5:49PM2.46m | 6:05AM2.60m | 6:28PM2.40m | 6:43AM2.52m | 7:12PM2.31m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 9:37PM0.34m | 10:01AM0.46m | 10:10PM0.28m | 10:35AM0.36m | 10:43PM0.25m | 11:09AM0.29m | 11:17PM0.26m | 11:44AM0.25m | 11:53PM0.31m | 12:21PM0.26m | 00:31AM0.39m | 1:02PM0.31m | 1:14AM0.50m | |||||||
— | — | 6:20 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | |
6:27 | — | — | 6:27 | — | — | 6:27 | — | — | 6:25 | — | — | 6:25 | — | — | 6:25 | — | — | 6:24 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 25 | 25 | 27 | 26 | 24 | 26 | 26 | 24 | 27 | 26 | 24 | 26 | 25 | 24 | 25 | 25 | 24 | 26 | 26 | 25 |
Feels °C | 25 | 26 | 27 | 25 | 24 | 26 | 25 | 23 | 26 | 25 | 23 | 26 | 24 | 23 | 26 | 25 | 25 | 28 | 28 | 28 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | WSW 20 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 11 |
163 | 253 | 465 | 871 | 1109 | 1041 | 911 | 886 | 588 | 503 | 431 | 300 | 286 | 277 | 200 | 235 | 203 | 232 | 228 | 179 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 21 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 13 | SSW 8 | WNW 11 | NW 11 | NW 12 | NW 12 | NW 12 | SW 20 | SW 20 | WSW 19 | SW 19 | SW 6 | SW 18 | SW 7 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 19 |
116 | 169 | 174 | 83 | 7 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 36 | 55 | 47 | 112 | 36 | 222 | 203 | 293 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 9 | SW 13 | WNW 13 | WNW 13 | WNW 11 | — | — | W 18 | — | SW 20 | NW 10 | NW 11 | NW 11 | NW 11 | SW 18 | NW 11 | SW 17 | WNW 9 | SW 20 | SW 15 |
12 | 61 | 17 | 17 | 12 | — | — | 6 | — | 16 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 113 | 4 | 290 | 8 | 188 | 178 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 4 | SW 5 | SSW 6 | SSW 6 | SW 4 | SSW 6 | SSW 6 | SSW 5 | SSW 5 | SSW 6 | SSW 5 | SW 5 | SW 6 | SSW 6 | — | SW 6 | — | — | — | — |
16 | 23 | 28 | 39 | 21 | 37 | 53 | 37 | 44 | 57 | 40 | 41 | 66 | 55 | — | 40 | — | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 912 | 102 | 7 | 912 | 141 | 181 | 916 | 310 | 102 | 1050 | 111 | 310 | 941 | 141 | 7 | 141 | 141 | 7 | 912 | 141 |
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Information about the San Mateo Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for San Mateo provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at San Mateo can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our San Mateo surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (San Mateo) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for San Mateo may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Manabi? If you are looking for accommodation near San Mateo, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Manabi, consider staying in Manta which is 11 km (7 miles) away. Other places in and around Manabi where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Montecristi which is 21 km (13 miles) away, Portoviejo, Jipijapa and Sucre.











