
Surf Forecasts:
San Mateo surf forecast from 6 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 13 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 13s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 6 Jul, 7PM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 18s period, SW swell with 1,398 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 13 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 13s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for San Mateo this week:
The surf forecast for San Mateo over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 13) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 13s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at San Mateo in the next 16 days are 1.5m 18s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 06) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 16s period and expected on Friday (Jul 10) at 10AM.
| Wave Type | Time (-05) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7AM (Mon 13th Jul) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 13s |
| Best Surf | 7AM (Mon 13th Jul) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 13s |
| Most Powerful | 7PM (Mon 6th Jul) | 5ft (1.5m) 18s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for San Mateo over the next 16 days.
Updates in hr min s Forecast update imminent
G'day, I'm Rusty, and I've been staring at this stretch of coast for a long time. Let's be straight with each other: the next 16 days at San Mateo are a tough watch. This is a classic point break that needs a clean, consistent swell, and we're just not getting it. The water is sitting at 80° for the first sessions, which is a whopping 7° warmer than normal for this time of year – that's very unusual, and it just adds to the weird vibe.
We're looking at a long, dry spell before anything even gets close to being worth a paddle. The first few days are a no-go, with messy, cross-onshore winds and choppy conditions. The swell is there, but it's all wrong.
Our best shot, and I mean the only window that's even worth mentioning, is the morning of Monday, 13 July. The forecast shows a glassy 3ft of swell from the SW, with a period of 13 seconds. The wind is glass, dead calm, which is a massive positive for a point break – it'll be clean as a whistle. The combined wave energy is moderate at 270, so it's not a powerhouse, but it'll be rideable. The only issue is that San Mateo is notoriously inconsistent, so you have to be patient. The good news is that the swell direction is from the SW, which is a solid match for the optimum swell direction of NW for this break. The water is still warm, but for this one morning, it's the pick of the entire 16 days. After that, it's back to small, weak, and choppy slop.
The rest of the second week is a write-off. We're looking at tiny, weak swells, periods dropping into the 4 and 5-second range, and wind that just won't let up. The energy dips into the low double digits, and even the glassy moments are on tiny, insignificant waves. It's a tough stretch. Don't expect a miracle.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 26°C on Mon morning, min 23°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 26°C on Thu morning, min 23°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Monday 6 | Tuesday 7 | Wednesday 8 | Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SSW 5 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 14 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
716 | 1269 | 1367 | 988 | 940 | 813 | 620 | 471 | 471 | 435 | 360 | 424 | 15 | 813 | 551 | 529 | 453 | 308 | 342 | 261 | 218 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-on | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-on | cross |
High Tide | 8:02PM2.08m | 8:28AM2.31m | 8:54PM2.03m | 9:17AM2.28m | 9:54PM2.00m | 10:14AM2.26m | 11:03PM2.02m | 11:19AM2.26m | 00:14AM2.09m | 12:26PM2.30m | 1:22AM2.22m | 1:32PM2.38m | 2:23AM2.38m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 2:03PM0.65m | 2:06AM0.61m | 2:51PM0.64m | 2:55AM0.68m | 3:46PM0.61m | 3:53AM0.74m | 4:48PM0.57m | 5:01AM0.75m | 5:53PM0.48m | 6:13AM0.72m | 6:59PM0.36m | 7:22AM0.62m | 8:00PM0.22m | ||||||||
6:24 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | |
— | 6:30 | — | — | 6:30 | — | — | 6:30 | — | — | 6:30 | — | — | 6:30 | — | — | 6:30 | — | — | 6:30 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 26 | 26 | 24 | 26 | 26 | 24 | 26 | 26 | 24 | 26 | 26 | 24 | 25 | 25 | 24 | 26 | 26 | 24 | 26 | 25 | 24 |
Feels °C | 29 | 27 | 26 | 28 | 26 | 25 | 27 | 26 | 26 | 27 | 26 | 26 | 27 | 26 | 26 | 28 | 27 | 26 | 27 | 25 | 26 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 14 |
716 | 1269 | 1367 | 988 | 940 | 813 | 620 | 471 | 471 | 435 | 360 | 424 | 587 | 813 | 551 | 529 | 453 | 308 | 342 | 261 | 218 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 15 | NW 11 | NW 11 | NW 12 | NW 12 | NW 10 | NW 10 | NW 11 | S 10 | NW 16 | SSW 7 | SSW 18 | NW 15 | NW 15 | NW 14 | NW 14 | WNW 14 | SSW 18 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 |
387 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 4 | 62 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 31 | 51 | 51 | 21 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 13 | NW 11 | W 18 | W 18 | W 18 | NW 17 | NW 16 | NW 16 | NW 11 | NW 11 | SSW 20 | NW 15 | NW 10 | N 10 | N 10 | W 22 | S 6 | NW 14 | NW 13 | WSW 21 | WNW 13 |
7 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 37 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 44 | 17 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | SSW 7 | SSW 8 | SSW 4 | SSW 4 | SSW 5 | SSW 5 | SSW 4 | SSW 5 | SSW 5 | SSW 5 | SSW 5 | SSW 5 | SSW 5 | SSW 4 | SW 5 | SW 4 | SW 4 | SW 5 |
— | — | — | 31 | 36 | 8 | 22 | 28 | 17 | 17 | 15 | 24 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 5 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 7 | 916 | 7 | 48 | 912 | 111 | 141 | 815 | 7 | 7 | 848 | 7 | 111 | 141 | 141 | 7 | 141 | 7 | 7 | 878 | 7 |
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Information about the San Mateo Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for San Mateo provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at San Mateo can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our San Mateo surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (San Mateo) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for San Mateo may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Manabi? If you are looking for accommodation near San Mateo, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Manabi, consider staying in Manta which is 11 km (7 miles) away. Other places in and around Manabi where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Montecristi which is 21 km (13 miles) away, Portoviejo, Jipijapa and Sucre.










