San Mateo Surf Break

Lat Long: 0.95° S 80.83° W

San Mateo Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 12 pm 16 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's San Mateo sea temperature is
26.5° C
3.8° 

San Mateo surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


San Mateo surf forecast from 16 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Friday 17 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 13s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Thursday 23 Jul, 7PM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 24s period, SW swell with 349 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 17 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 13s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for San Mateo this week:

The surf forecast for San Mateo over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 17) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.0m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 6s. Another secondary swell of 0.8m and 5s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at San Mateo in the next 16 days are 0.6m 24s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 23) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 12s period and expected on Monday (Jul 20) at 4PM.

Wave TypeTime (-05) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 7AM (Fri 17th Jul)3.5ft (1.0m) 13s
Best Surf 7AM (Fri 17th Jul)3.5ft (1.0m) 13s
Most Powerful 7PM (Thu 23rd Jul)2ft (0.6m) 24s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for San Mateo over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cooking for San Mateo over the next couple of weeks.

To be straight with you, the first week is a bit of a grind. We’ve got some swell in the water, but the wind is just not playing ball. A lot of cross-shore and cross-onshore breezes are going to keep things choppy and messy. We’re looking at a lot of “poor surf conditions” days, so don’t expect any magic right off the bat. The water is a whopping 80°F and that’s much warmer than normal for this time of year, which is a nice bonus if you’re just getting wet.

The first real glimmer of hope comes on Thursday, July 23rd in the morning. San Mateo is a point break, so it handles a longer period swell well. We’ve got 3ft of SW swell with a 9-second period, but the real kicker is the wind: it’s glassy. That’s a major positive. The combined energy is moderate at 281. It’s an inconsistent break, so you’ll be waiting for sets, but when they come, it’ll be clean. Crowds are a possibility here, so get in early.

The next standout is a bit further out, but it looks promising. On Wednesday, July 29th in the morning, we’ve got another glassy session. The swell is 3ft from the SW with a 15-second period, which is a nice long-period groundswell. That longer period gives the waves more shape and energy, and for a point break like San Mateo, that’s a great combination. The combined energy is strong at 623. This is the best on offer across the whole run, but it’s still a week and a half away, so keep an eye on the forecasts.

In between those two glassy windows, the surf is mostly marginal with questionable conditions. The wind is often onshore or cross-shore, making it choppy. For the second week, from the 24th onward, the swell sizes pick up a bit, with some 3ft to 4ft days, but the wind is still a problem. The morning of Saturday, July 26th has clean cross-offshore winds, with 3ft of SW swell and a 17-second period, and the combined energy is very strong at 983. That’s a heavy one, but the afternoon turns into a lumpy mess. It’s a spot for those who are keen on the long period, but the wind window is tight.

So, in short: the first week is mostly a write-off for clean waves. The two true standouts are Thursday, July 23rd morning and Wednesday, July 29th morning – both glassy and offering clean, rideable waves. The rest of the time, it’s a fight against the wind.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 27°C on Thu morning, min 24°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 26°C on Sun morning, min 23°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light.

Thursday
16
Friday
17
Saturday
18
Sunday
19
Monday
20
Tuesday
21
Wednesday
22
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.7
SW
12
1
SW
13
1
SW
13
1
SW
13
0.8
SSW
6
0.7
SW
6
0.9
SW
12
0.6
SW
12
0.4
SW
17
0.3
SW
18
0.3
SW
17
0.6
SW
16
0.6
SW
14
0.7
SW
14
0.6
SW
14
0.8
SW
13
0.8
SW
13
0.8
SW
12
0.8
SW
11
0.4
WSW
12
0.7
SW
11
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
141
347
336
326
43
31
212
114
103
49
47
159
167
214
153
242
239
203
155
56
110
Wind (km/h)
15
SSW
25
SW
20
SSW
20
SSW
25
SW
15
SSW
15
SSW
25
SW
15
SW
10
SSW
20
WSW
20
SW
15
SSW
20
SW
20
SSW
20
S
25
SW
20
SSW
20
SSW
25
WSW
10
SW
Wind State
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross-on
cross
cross
cross-on
cross
cross
cross-on
cross
cross-off
cross
cross
cross
cross-on
cross
High Tide
5:11PM2.62m
5:48AM2.77m
6:01PM2.56m
6:34AM2.73m
6:49PM2.46m
7:19AM2.63m
7:38PM2.33m
8:04AM2.48m
8:29PM2.18m
8:50AM2.31m
9:23PM2.03m
9:39AM2.15m
10:24PM1.92m
Low Tide
11:10AM0.25m
11:26PM-0.03m
11:59AM0.26m
00:13AM0.07m
12:47PM0.30m
00:58AM0.21m
1:35PM0.38m
1:44AM0.39m
2:23PM0.48m
2:32AM0.59m
3:13PM0.59m
3:23AM0.76m
4:08PM0.67m
part cloud
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
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part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:26
6:26
6:26
6:26
6:26
6:26
6:26
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
6:30
6:30
6:30
6:30
6:30
6:30
6:30
 mm
Temp °C
27
26
24
26
26
24
26
26
24
26
26
24
26
26
24
26
26
24
26
25
24
Feels °C
28
26
25
27
26
25
27
26
25
27
26
25
27
26
24
26
25
24
26
24
25
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the San Mateo Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for San Mateo provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at San Mateo can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our San Mateo surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (San Mateo) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for San Mateo may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Manabi? If you are looking for accommodation near San Mateo, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Manabi, consider staying in Manta which is 11 km (7 miles) away. Other places in and around Manabi where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Montecristi which is 21 km (13 miles) away, Portoviejo, Jipijapa and Sucre.

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