
Surf Forecasts:
San Mateo surf forecast from 11 Aug 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Friday 14 Aug, 7PM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 16s period, SW swell with 1,109 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for San Mateo this week:
The most powerful waves expected at San Mateo in the next 16 days are 1.5m 16s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 14) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.2m 6s period and expected on Saturday (Aug 15) at 4PM.
| Wave Type | Time (-05) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 7PM (Fri 14th Aug) | 5ft (1.5m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for San Mateo over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on the menu for San Mateo over the next couple of weeks.
To be straight with you, this outlook is a tough one. We've got a fair bit of swell energy hitting this exposed point, but the wind just won’t play ball for most of the period. The water is cooking at 80°, which is much warmer than normal for this time of year – a solid 9° above average, so you can leave the wetsuit at home.
The best wave energy is showing up from Thursday the 14th through Tuesday the 19th, with moderate to strong combined energy readings (between 876 and 993). The swell is a solid 4ft to 5ft from the SW, with those longer periods of 15 to 17 seconds bringing in some real groundswell grunt. This is a point break, so those long-period swells should wrap in nicely and hold their shape. The problem is the wind. Almost every day we’re looking at moderate cross or cross-onshore breezes that are going to chop things up.
If you had to pick a window, the best bet is the morning of Saturday the 15th. We’ve got a 4ft SW swell with a 15-second period and moderate cross-shore energy (876). The wind is just a gentle cross-shore breeze, which should keep the surface in better shape than the afternoons. It’s not perfect, but it's the cleanest looking morning in that whole window. Keep in mind this is rated as an advanced break and it’s inconsistent, so you’ll need some patience and skill.
After that, things get pretty grim. From Sunday the 23rd onwards, the swell drops right off to knee-high stuff with weak combined energy (under 275). It looks like a blank run to close out the month. The morning of Saturday the 22nd might offer a glassy window with a tiny 2ft swell, but it’s not worth rushing for.
So, to wrap it up: the standout is the morning of Saturday, August 15th. It’s not going to be epic, but with a bit of luck and that consistent SW groundswell, you might snag a few clean ones before the afternoon chop sets in.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 27°C on Tue morning, min 24°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 27°C on Thu afternoon, min 24°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Mon 10 | Tuesday 11 | Wednesday 12 | Thursday 13 | Friday 14 | Saturday 15 | Sunday 16 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 18 | SW 13 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 12 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 20 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
251 | 375 | 176 | 306 | 353 | 51 | 134 | 147 | 203 | 303 | 901 | 974 | 931 | 897 | 820 | 685 | 598 | 459 | 355 | 410 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-on | cross | glassy | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-on | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-on |
High Tide | 2:15AM2.37m | 2:26PM2.41m | 3:09AM2.56m | 3:20PM2.53m | 3:57AM2.70m | 4:09PM2.61m | 4:41AM2.79m | 4:55PM2.63m | 5:23AM2.80m | 5:39PM2.60m | 6:03AM2.74m | 6:22PM2.50m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 7:50PM0.30m | 8:21AM0.53m | 8:46PM0.16m | 9:17AM0.38m | 9:36PM0.05m | 10:06AM0.26m | 10:22PM0.01m | 10:52AM0.19m | 11:05PM0.03m | 11:35AM0.17m | 11:47PM0.12m | 12:17PM0.21m | 00:28AM0.26m | |||||||
— | — | 6:26 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | 6:24 | — | — | 6:24 | — | — | 6:24 | — | — | 6:24 | — | — | |
6:30 | — | — | 6:30 | — | — | 6:30 | — | — | 6:30 | — | — | 6:30 | — | — | 6:30 | — | — | 6:30 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 26 | 24 | 27 | 26 | 24 | 27 | 26 | 24 | 27 | 27 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 24 | 26 | 26 | 24 | 25 | 25 | 24 |
Feels °C | 26 | 23 | 27 | 26 | 25 | 28 | 26 | 26 | 29 | 28 | 27 | 26 | 25 | 23 | 27 | 25 | 23 | 25 | 25 | 26 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 18 | SW 13 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SSW 6 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 7 | SW 8 |
251 | 375 | 176 | 306 | 353 | 46 | 134 | 147 | 203 | 257 | 901 | 974 | 931 | 897 | 820 | 685 | 598 | 459 | 147 | 151 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 19 | SW 14 | SSW 16 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 15 | SW 12 | SW 6 | SSW 6 | SW 19 | — | — | NW 13 | NW 13 | NW 13 | — | NW 12 | NW 12 | SW 14 | SW 14 |
133 | 231 | 181 | 109 | 23 | 217 | 52 | 34 | 21 | 303 | — | — | 7 | 7 | 7 | — | 6 | 6 | 355 | 410 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 6 | N 7 | N 6 | N 6 | N 5 | SW 12 | SSW 13 | SW 18 | SW 20 | NW 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | W 12 | NW 12 | NW 14 |
1 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 51 | 33 | 50 | 192 | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | 6 | 8 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 4 | SSW 6 | SSW 6 | SSW 6 | SW 6 | — | SSW 6 | — | — | SSW 6 | SSW 6 | SSW 4 | SSW 5 | SSW 4 | SSW 5 | SSW 6 | SSW 6 | SSW 7 | — | — |
18 | 70 | 73 | 67 | 47 | — | 49 | — | — | 24 | 24 | 12 | 31 | 34 | 58 | 103 | 99 | 131 | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 141 | 912 | 111 | 11 | 916 | 310 | 11 | 912 | 7 | 11 | 912 | 221 | 102 | 938 | 111 | 7 | 912 | 303 | 141 | 1063 |
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Information about the San Mateo Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for San Mateo provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at San Mateo can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our San Mateo surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (San Mateo) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for San Mateo may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Manabi? If you are looking for accommodation near San Mateo, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Manabi, consider staying in Manta which is 11 km (7 miles) away. Other places in and around Manabi where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Montecristi which is 21 km (13 miles) away, Portoviejo, Jipijapa and Sucre.











