
Surf Forecasts:
San Mateo surf forecast from 4 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 5 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 16s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 7 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 18s period, SW swell with 1,351 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 4 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.4m), 18s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for San Mateo this week:
The surf forecast for San Mateo over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 04) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.4m and 18s period with a secondary swell of 0.7m and 6s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at San Mateo in the next 16 days are 1.5m 18s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 07) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 16s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 08) at 7AM.
| Wave Type | Time (-05) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4AM (Sat 4th Jul) | 1.5ft (0.4m) 18s |
| Best Surf | 4AM (Sun 5th Jul) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 4AM (Tue 7th Jul) | 5ft (1.5m) 18s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for San Mateo over the next 16 days.
Updates in hr min s Forecast update imminent
Alright, Rusty here. Let’s break down what’s coming your way.
Water temp at San Mateo is running 81°, which is a full 8° above the norm for this time of year – that’s way out of the ordinary. Feels more like a lagoon than the ocean out there.
We start off quiet. Friday the 3rd shows just 1ft of SW swell with a nasty 25 km/h cross-on wind – forget it. Saturday morning the 4th is glassy calm with 1ft of SW swell, a long 18-second period, but only weak energy (112). You’ll get some clean little rollers, but you’ll be working for them.
Sunday morning the 5th is the real deal. That SW groundswell bumps to 2ft with a 21-second period – super long period – and it’s glass flat. Energy hits a strong 820, so there’s proper grunt behind those sets. On a point like San Mateo, those long lines will wrap in smooth, just expect longer lulls between sets. This is the best session of the whole 16 days.
Monday the 6th pushes up to 3ft and then 5ft in the afternoon, but the wind goes cross or cross-on, so it gets messy. Tuesday the 7th holds 5ft in the morning with light cross-shore wind – surfable but not glassy.
From Wednesday the 8th through Friday the 10th, it’s downhill: cross-onshore wind and dropping swell. Saturday the 11th and Sunday the 12th offer marginal 4ft to 3ft SW swell with light cross breezes – cleanish but nothing special.
Tuesday morning the 14th gives another clean shot: glassy conditions, 3ft SW swell, 14-second period, energy of 360. It’s modest but smooth.
The last few days – 15th to 18th July – are mostly tiny, weak, and choppy. Wednesday morning the 15th has 1ft of SW swell with a light cross-offshore wind that keeps it clean, but it’s barely there.
The one to circle is Sunday morning the 5th at San Mateo: glassy, 2ft of SW groundswell, that very long 21-second period, and strong energy (820). That’s your call to paddle out. The rest is just filler.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 26°C on Sat morning, min 23°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummarySome drizzle, heaviest during Wed morning. Warm (max 26°C on Mon afternoon, min 23°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Fri 3 | Saturday 4 | Sunday 5 | Monday 6 | Tuesday 7 | Wednesday 8 | Thursday 9 | |||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 20 | SW 14 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 21 | SW 21 | SW 20 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SSW 5 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
60 | 412 | 112 | 201 | 489 | 449 | 449 | 731 | 716 | 1269 | 1227 | 1078 | 940 | 917 | 620 | 465 | 471 | 435 | 360 | 309 | 15 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross | glassy | cross-on | cross | glassy | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-on | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross-on | cross | cross |
High Tide | 5:58PM2.23m | 6:34AM2.35m | 6:36PM2.18m | 7:09AM2.35m | 7:17PM2.13m | 7:47AM2.33m | 8:02PM2.08m | 8:28AM2.31m | 8:54PM2.03m | 9:17AM2.28m | 9:54PM2.00m | 10:14AM2.26m | 11:03PM2.02m | 11:19AM2.26m | |||||||
Low Tide | 00:12AM0.38m | 12:41PM0.65m | 00:47AM0.45m | 1:21PM0.65m | 1:24AM0.53m | 2:03PM0.65m | 2:06AM0.61m | 2:51PM0.64m | 2:55AM0.68m | 3:46PM0.61m | 3:53AM0.74m | 4:48PM0.57m | 5:01AM0.75m | ||||||||
— | — | 6:24 | — | — | 6:24 | — | — | 6:24 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | 6:26 | |
6:29 | — | — | 6:29 | — | — | 6:29 | — | — | 6:30 | — | — | 6:30 | — | — | 6:30 | — | — | 6:30 | — | 6:30 | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 25 | 24 | 26 | 26 | 24 | 26 | 26 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 24 | 26 | 26 | 24 | 24 | 26 | 24 | 26 | 25 | 24 | 25 |
Feels °C | 25 | 25 | 28 | 27 | 26 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 28 | 27 | 26 | 28 | 27 | 26 | 25 | 27 | 25 | 26 | 25 | 26 | 27 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 15 | SW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 20 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 16 |
461 | 412 | 357 | 250 | 489 | 371 | 367 | 731 | 716 | 1269 | 1227 | 1078 | 940 | 917 | 620 | 465 | 471 | 435 | 360 | 309 | 573 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 20 | N 8 | SSW 6 | SW 18 | SW 24 | SW 21 | SW 21 | SW 15 | SW 15 | NW 11 | NW 11 | NW 12 | NW 12 | NW 10 | NW 10 | NW 10 | S 9 | S 7 | NW 16 | SSW 18 | NW 15 |
60 | 1 | 20 | 201 | 141 | 449 | 449 | 258 | 266 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 207 | 8 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 6 | W 11 | SW 18 | SW 25 | NW 9 | SSW 7 | SSW 6 | SSW 6 | SSW 7 | — | W 18 | W 18 | W 18 | NW 17 | NW 16 | NW 16 | NW 11 | NW 16 | NW 10 | NW 15 | NW 10 |
1 | 2 | 112 | 25 | 3 | 31 | 20 | 25 | 18 | — | 6 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 4 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 6 | SSW 6 | — | SSW 8 | SSW 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 3 | SSW 8 | SSW 4 | SSW 4 | SSW 5 | SSW 5 | SSW 5 | SSW 5 | SSW 5 |
31 | 28 | — | 43 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 5 | 22 | 5 | 14 | 21 | 14 | 19 | 15 | 15 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 805 | 141 | 0 | 857 | 7 | 0 | 912 | 138 | 141 | 912 | 7 | 7 | 141 | 7 | 7 | 141 | 7 | 7 | 815 | 7 | 7 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Manabi | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the San Mateo Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for San Mateo provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at San Mateo can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our San Mateo surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (San Mateo) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for San Mateo may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Manabi? If you are looking for accommodation near San Mateo, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Manabi, consider staying in Manta which is 11 km (7 miles) away. Other places in and around Manabi where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Montecristi which is 21 km (13 miles) away, Portoviejo, Jipijapa and Sucre.











