
Surf Forecasts:
San Mateo surf forecast from 10 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 11 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 14s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 10 Jul, 4PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 16s period, SW swell with 636 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 11 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 14s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for San Mateo this week:
The surf forecast for San Mateo over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 11) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.1m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 14s. Another secondary swell of 0.7m and 6s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at San Mateo in the next 16 days are 1.1m 16s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 10) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 16s period and expected on Friday (Jul 10) at 1PM.
| Wave Type | Time (-05) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7AM (Sat 11th Jul) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 14s |
| Best Surf | 7AM (Sat 11th Jul) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 14s |
| Most Powerful | 4PM (Fri 10th Jul) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for San Mateo over the next 16 days.
Alright, Rusty here. Let's take a look at what we've got for San Mateo over the next couple of weeks. It's not going to be easy, that's for sure, but there are a few moments to get excited about if you're patient.
Right from the start, Friday the 10th through to the morning of Sunday the 13th is a real mixed bag. The swell is there, hovering around 3ft to 4ft from the southwest, and there's some decent energy in the water (combined energy around 260 to 677), but the wind is just ruining it. It’s consistently cross or cross-onshore, making things choppy and messy. It’s pretty much a write-off for a decent paddle.
Then, on Monday morning the 13th, we get a taste of what could be. The wind drops to a glassy calm, absolutely dead flat. The swell drops a touch to 3ft but with that 13-second period, the waves will have some shape. It's the best we’ve seen so far, but it's a short window before the afternoon onshore wind kicks back in. This is the true standout.
After that, we hit a real lull. From Tuesday the 14th all the way through the rest of the week and into the next, it’s slim pickings. The swell energy drops significantly, often down to 63 or a few hundred, and the wind stays mostly onshore or cross. The conditions just aren't there. We’re looking at a solid week of poor to marginal surf.
Now, look ahead to the morning of Tuesday the 21st of July. This is the second standout. The swell bumps back up to 4ft from the southwest with a clean, light cross-offshore breeze. The combined energy is pumping at 681, which is strong and will give the waves some proper grunt. The period is a nice 14 seconds, so you're looking at solid, lined-up groundswell. This is the one to mark on your calendar. A morning session here will be worth the wait.
For the following days, the swell fades out again, with small signals from the west-northwest on the 23rd and 24th, but the wind stays messy.
San Mateo is a point break, and it can be inconsistent, so don't get your hopes up for a long run of good days. The one to really chase is that morning of Tuesday the 21st. Glassy winds, solid southwest swell, and plenty of energy – that’s the session for the committed surfer.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Sat night. Warm (max 27°C on Sat morning, min 23°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 26°C on Mon morning, min 23°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 18 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 12 | SW 13 | SW 13 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
502 | 636 | 551 | 459 | 401 | 308 | 253 | 261 | 218 | 212 | 62 | 347 | 49 | 301 | 314 | 261 | 342 | 357 | 141 | 347 | 336 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross-on | cross | glassy | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-on | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-on | cross |
High Tide | 11:19AM2.26m | 00:14AM2.09m | 12:26PM2.30m | 1:22AM2.22m | 1:32PM2.38m | 2:23AM2.38m | 2:32PM2.48m | 3:19AM2.54m | 3:28PM2.57m | 4:12AM2.67m | 4:21PM2.62m | 5:01AM2.75m | 5:11PM2.62m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 5:01AM0.75m | 5:53PM0.48m | 6:13AM0.72m | 6:59PM0.36m | 7:22AM0.62m | 8:00PM0.22m | 8:26AM0.51m | 8:56PM0.09m | 9:24AM0.39m | 9:49PM-0.01m | 10:18AM0.30m | 10:39PM-0.05m | 11:10AM0.25m | 11:26PM-0.03m | |||||||
6:26 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | |
— | 6:30 | — | — | 6:30 | — | — | 6:30 | — | — | 6:30 | — | — | 6:30 | — | — | 6:30 | — | — | 6:30 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 26 | 25 | 24 | 27 | 26 | 24 | 26 | 26 | 24 | 26 | 26 | 24 | 26 | 26 | 24 | 26 | 25 | 24 | 27 | 26 | 24 |
Feels °C | 27 | 25 | 26 | 28 | 26 | 26 | 28 | 27 | 27 | 30 | 27 | 25 | 29 | 27 | 25 | 27 | 25 | 25 | 29 | 27 | 26 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SSW 14 | SW 13 | SSW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 |
502 | 636 | 551 | 459 | 401 | 308 | 253 | 261 | 218 | 212 | 161 | 347 | 323 | 301 | 314 | 261 | 342 | 357 | 211 | 347 | 336 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 6 | NW 15 | NW 14 | NW 14 | WNW 14 | SSW 18 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 5 | SW 19 | SW 13 | WNW 12 | SW 18 | NW 12 | NW 12 | SW 16 | NW 11 | NW 11 | SW 12 | NW 11 | NW 10 |
30 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 31 | 51 | 51 | 10 | 58 | 62 | 14 | 49 | 6 | 5 | 127 | 5 | 5 | 141 | 4 | 4 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 6 | N 5 | N 7 | — | SW 22 | NW 14 | NW 13 | WSW 21 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SW 16 | NW 7 | WNW 12 | SW 18 | NW 7 | WNW 11 | SW 22 | SW 20 | NW 11 | — | SW 22 |
1 | 1 | 1 | — | 20 | 7 | 7 | 44 | 42 | 21 | 41 | 2 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 12 | 18 | 16 | 5 | — | 18 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | SW 6 | SW 6 | SSW 6 | SSW 5 | SSW 5 | SSW 6 | SSW 5 | — | SW 5 | SSW 3 | — | SSW 3 | SSW 4 | SSW 4 | SSW 4 | SW 5 | SSW 5 | SSW 5 | SSW 5 | SSW 4 |
— | 32 | 39 | 30 | 25 | 19 | 20 | 17 | — | 7 | 3 | — | 3 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 22 | 28 | 18 | 17 | 13 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 48 | 912 | 7 | 7 | 815 | 7 | 7 | 912 | 7 | 0 | 815 | 7 | 7 | 815 | 7 | 48 | 912 | 7 | 0 | 857 | 7 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Manabi | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the San Mateo Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for San Mateo provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at San Mateo can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our San Mateo surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (San Mateo) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for San Mateo may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Manabi? If you are looking for accommodation near San Mateo, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Manabi, consider staying in Manta which is 11 km (7 miles) away. Other places in and around Manabi where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Montecristi which is 21 km (13 miles) away, Portoviejo, Jipijapa and Sucre.










