
Surf Forecasts:
San Mateo surf forecast from 5 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 9 Sep, 7AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 18s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 4 Sep, 10PM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 16s period, SW swell with 1,297 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 9 Sep, 7AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 18s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for San Mateo this week:
The surf forecast for San Mateo over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 09) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.0m and 18s period with a secondary swell of 0.7m and 13s. Another secondary swell of 0.7m and 5s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at San Mateo in the next 16 days are 1.6m 16s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Sep 04) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 6s period and expected on Saturday (Sep 05) at 1PM.
| Wave Type | Time (-05) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7AM (Wed 9th Sep) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 18s |
| Best Surf | 7AM (Wed 9th Sep) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 18s |
| Most Powerful | 10PM (Fri 4th Sep) | 5ft (1.6m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for San Mateo over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
In Imperial
Alright folks, let's break down what's coming for San Mateo. It's a bit of a mixed bag over the next couple of weeks. We've got some decent swell, but the timing and the wind are going to keep you on your toes. The water is sitting at a very unusual 80°, which is way warmer than you'd expect for this time of year.
The big story is the swell coming in on Friday, September 4th. It's a solid 5 feet from the SW with a long 16-second period, bringing in a lot of energy (1164). The morning looks the best with a light cross breeze and some clouds. It's not perfect, but it's the best we've got to start. The afternoon kicks up to a messy 16 mph cross-onshore, so get out early.
Saturday the 5th is a step down. The swell holds at 5 feet, and the period is still a nice 15 seconds, but that morning wind is a moderate 12 mph cross-shore, and the afternoon just gets choppy again. The combined energy is still around 1005, so there's push, but the surface is going to be a bit of a mess.
The trend continues through Sunday and Monday, with the swell fading slowly from 4 feet down to 3 feet. The mornings offer the best chance with lighter breezes, but the afternoons are consistently blown out. It's a bit frustrating, because there's a lot of energy in the water for a spot that's usually more consistent.
The real action, and the standout of the whole outlook, is going to be the morning of Wednesday, September 9th. The swell drops to 3 feet, but look at that period – 18 seconds! That’s a proper long-period groundswell, and it’s going to wrap into the point beautifully. The combined energy is still a solid 771, and with a light 6 mph cross breeze, the conditions will be clean. This is the one to circle on the calendar. It’s a point break, so that long period will really shine, offering long, lined-up waves.
After that, the rest of the second week is a slow fade. We see a bit of a pulse on the morning of Thursday the 10th with a 4-foot swell and 16-second period, but the pattern of clean mornings and blown-out afternoons holds. The surf is there, but you’ll be competing with a moderate cross-onshore wind most afternoons.
From the 12th onwards, the swell drops off significantly. We’re looking at waist-high or smaller waves, with the only real energy coming from very long-period pulses that are hard to catch. The morning of the 18th has a 2-foot swell with a 20-second period, which is just a whisper. It’s a long stretch of small, tricky conditions for a spot that can be inconsistent. Don't expect much.
So, the call is clear: the best wave you’ll see is the Wednesday morning, September 9th session. That long-period SW groundswell with light winds is the standout. The Friday morning, September 4th is a solid second choice for its size and energy, but the wind is just a little less perfect. Beyond that, pick your mornings carefully.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 27°C on Fri morning, min 24°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Tue night. Warm (max 27°C on Tue morning, min 24°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Friday 4 | Saturday 5 | Sunday 6 | Monday 7 | Tuesday 8 | Wednesday 9 | Thursday 10 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 18 | SW 15 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
1123 | 1314 | 1068 | 924 | 836 | 736 | 632 | 492 | 340 | 330 | 330 | 318 | 352 | 390 | 525 | 379 | 410 | 929 | 813 | 719 | 557 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-on | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-on | cross |
High Tide | 9:06PM2.07m | 9:24AM2.12m | 10:26PM2.01m | 10:46AM2.06m | 11:52PM2.06m | 12:10PM2.10m | 1:06AM2.22m | 1:21PM2.23m | 2:04AM2.41m | 2:19PM2.38m | 2:53AM2.58m | 3:09PM2.51m | 3:36AM2.71m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 2:46PM0.51m | 3:10AM0.77m | 3:58PM0.59m | 4:33AM0.85m | 5:20PM0.59m | 6:02AM0.81m | 6:37PM0.51m | 7:16AM0.67m | 7:40PM0.37m | 8:15AM0.49m | 8:33PM0.25m | 9:05AM0.33m | 9:19PM0.16m | ||||||||
6:18 | — | — | 6:18 | — | — | 6:18 | — | — | 6:18 | — | — | 6:18 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — | |
— | 6:24 | — | — | 6:23 | — | — | 6:23 | — | — | 6:23 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — | 6:22 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 27 | 26 | 25 | 27 | 27 | 25 | 27 | 27 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 27 | 26 | 25 | 27 | 26 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 25 |
Feels °C | 30 | 25 | 25 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 26 | 26 | 27 | 26 | 26 | 27 | 26 | 26 | 29 | 26 | 26 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 |
1123 | 1314 | 1068 | 924 | 836 | 736 | 632 | 492 | 340 | 330 | 330 | 318 | 352 | 390 | 525 | 336 | 410 | 929 | 813 | 719 | 557 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 10 | WNW 9 | SW 10 | WNW 9 | SSW 6 | WNW 10 | WNW 10 | WNW 9 | SSW 5 | SW 18 | SW 18 | WNW 10 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 18 | NW 11 | NW 11 | NW 11 | NW 10 |
10 | 8 | 15 | 8 | 60 | 10 | 9 | 17 | 19 | 199 | 304 | 20 | 139 | 139 | 184 | 379 | 375 | 30 | 30 | 29 | 28 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | W 12 | WNW 9 | NW 11 | WNW 10 | WNW 8 | SW 21 | SW 21 | SW 19 | WNW 10 | WNW 11 | — | WNW 10 | WNW 10 | WNW 12 | NW 12 | NW 11 | — | — | — | SW 20 |
— | 3 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 68 | 184 | 22 | 22 | — | 10 | 20 | 27 | 34 | 31 | — | — | — | 15 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 6 | SSW 6 | SSW 5 | SSW 6 | — | SW 6 | SSW 5 | SSW 5 | — | SSW 5 | — | SW 13 | SSW 4 | SW 4 | SSW 5 | SSW 5 | SSW 6 | SSW 6 | SSW 6 | SSW 6 | SW 6 |
31 | 43 | 39 | 68 | — | 33 | 16 | 26 | — | 11 | — | 310 | 15 | 19 | 19 | 22 | 41 | 39 | 37 | 46 | 33 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 138 | 912 | 303 | 102 | 920 | 377 | 102 | 912 | 141 | 7 | 766 | 102 | 7 | 1050 | 7 | 7 | 938 | 141 | 53 | 857 | 230 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Manabi | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Ecuador | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the San Mateo Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for San Mateo provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at San Mateo can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our San Mateo surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (San Mateo) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for San Mateo may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Manabi? If you are looking for accommodation near San Mateo, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Manabi, consider staying in Manta which is 11 km (7 miles) away. Other places in and around Manabi where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Montecristi which is 21 km (13 miles) away, Portoviejo, Jipijapa and Sucre.










