
Surf Forecasts:
San Mateo surf forecast from 7 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 11 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 14s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 7 Jul, 4PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 16s period, SW swell with 940 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 11 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 14s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for San Mateo this week:
The surf forecast for San Mateo over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 11) at 10AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.1m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 14s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at San Mateo in the next 16 days are 1.4m 16s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 07) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.4m 16s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 08) at 1AM.
| Wave Type | Time (-05) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10AM (Sat 11th Jul) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 14s |
| Best Surf | 10AM (Sat 11th Jul) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 14s |
| Most Powerful | 4PM (Tue 7th Jul) | 4.5ft (1.4m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for San Mateo over the next 16 days.
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on offer for our stretch of coast.
This forecast is a bit of a mixed bag, and honestly, for the next several days the surf isn't great. We’ve got a solid swell showing up early on, but the winds are going to rip into it, making things pretty ugly. It’s not until the end of the first week that we finally get a clean window.
The best swell of the period hits right at the start on Tuesday, July 7th. We’re looking at a 5ft SW groundswell with a long 16-second period, packing some serious energy (combined energy of 999). But the problem is the wind. Tuesday morning is a cross-shore, and by the afternoon it switches cross-onshore, turning it into a choppy mess. Wednesday through Friday are the same story – fair bit of swell for Wednesday and Thursday (around 4ft to 3ft, SW) but with moderate cross-shore winds and that cross-on afternoon chop that’ll ruin your session.
Now, hold onto your board, because the standout comes on Saturday, July 11th. That morning we finally get a clean one. Swell drops a touch to 4ft from the SW with a 14-second period (moderate energy of 543), but the wind is a light 6 mph cross-offshore breeze from the south. That is magic. San Mateo will be clean, with lined-up walls. The water is a very warm 80°, crazy for this time of year – over 7° warmer than usual. Expect some crowds here, as it's a well-known point break that can get busy.
Sunday the 12th and Monday the 13th see the swell fading to 3-3ft. Monday morning might offer a brief clean session with light cross-offshore winds, but it's small.
Looking further out into the second week, things become a promising but less certain prospect. From the 14th onwards, the swell drops right off, with a lot of days showing tiny, weak energy (often below 120). There are some very long-period pulses from the NW on the 20th and 21st (21-second and 20-second period), but the wave heights are tiny – only 0.7ft to 1ft. A couple of those mornings do have light winds, so if that long-period energy pushes something rideable, it could be a sneaky glassy session at a point or reef, but don't count on it. For the most part, the back half of the outlook is a write-off for decent waves.
So, the call is simple: if you can get out for Saturday morning, July 11th, that's your best bet in the whole 16 days.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 27°C on Tue afternoon, min 23°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 26°C on Fri afternoon, min 23°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 7 | Wednesday 8 | Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 16 | SSW 4 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | NW 15 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
988 | 940 | 12 | 620 | 471 | 471 | 370 | 360 | 360 | 8 | 636 | 551 | 529 | 401 | 308 | 290 | 261 | 218 | 212 | 63 | 347 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-on | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross-on | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on |
High Tide | 8:54PM2.03m | 9:17AM2.28m | 9:54PM2.00m | 10:14AM2.26m | 11:03PM2.02m | 11:19AM2.26m | 00:14AM2.09m | 12:26PM2.30m | 1:22AM2.22m | 1:32PM2.38m | 2:23AM2.38m | 2:32PM2.48m | 3:19AM2.54m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 2:51PM0.64m | 2:55AM0.68m | 3:46PM0.61m | 3:53AM0.74m | 4:48PM0.57m | 5:01AM0.75m | 5:53PM0.48m | 6:13AM0.72m | 6:59PM0.36m | 7:22AM0.62m | 8:00PM0.22m | 8:26AM0.51m | 8:56PM0.09m | ||||||||
6:26 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | |
— | 6:30 | — | — | 6:30 | — | — | 6:30 | — | — | 6:30 | — | — | 6:30 | — | — | 6:30 | — | — | 6:30 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 |
Temp °C | 26 | 27 | 24 | 26 | 25 | 23 | 26 | 25 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 24 | 26 | 26 | 24 | 26 | 26 | 24 | 26 | 26 | 24 |
Feels °C | 27 | 28 | 26 | 25 | 24 | 24 | 27 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 27 | 26 | 27 | 26 | 26 | 27 | 26 | 26 | 28 | 27 | 27 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SSW 13 | SW 13 |
988 | 940 | 1031 | 620 | 471 | 471 | 370 | 360 | 360 | 587 | 636 | 551 | 529 | 401 | 308 | 290 | 261 | 218 | 212 | 151 | 347 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 12 | NW 12 | NW 10 | NW 10 | NW 11 | NW 11 | N 6 | SSW 20 | SSW 18 | NW 15 | NW 15 | NW 14 | NW 14 | WNW 14 | SSW 18 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 5 | SW 5 | SW 13 | WNW 12 |
5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 37 | 62 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 31 | 51 | 51 | 9 | 6 | 63 | 14 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 18 | W 18 | NW 17 | NW 16 | NW 16 | N 6 | NW 16 | NW 16 | NW 15 | N 10 | N 10 | N 10 | NW 14 | NW 14 | NW 14 | SSW 6 | WSW 21 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SW 16 | NW 6 |
6 | 6 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 44 | 42 | 40 | 41 | 2 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 7 | SSW 8 | SSW 4 | SSW 5 | SSW 5 | SSW 6 | SSW 6 | SSW 5 | SSW 5 | SSW 5 | SSW 7 | SW 7 | SSW 7 | SSW 5 | SSW 3 | SSW 4 | SW 4 | — | — | SW 5 | SW 5 |
31 | 36 | 11 | 24 | 46 | 27 | 28 | 25 | 19 | 15 | 29 | 22 | 17 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 6 | — | — | 8 | 5 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 7 | 857 | 230 | 102 | 815 | 7 | 7 | 814 | 7 | 141 | 141 | 141 | 0 | 815 | 7 | 7 | 141 | 46 | 0 | 857 | 75 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Manabi | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Ecuador | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the San Mateo Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for San Mateo provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at San Mateo can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our San Mateo surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (San Mateo) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for San Mateo may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Manabi? If you are looking for accommodation near San Mateo, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Manabi, consider staying in Manta which is 11 km (7 miles) away. Other places in and around Manabi where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Montecristi which is 21 km (13 miles) away, Portoviejo, Jipijapa and Sucre.










