Mongagua Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s get stuck into what we’ve got for Mongagua.

The water is 71° Fahrenheit, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year. Not swimming pool warm, but you won’t be freezing your nuts off.

Alright, we’ve got a bit of a slow start, but it’s not all bad. Wednesday afternoon the 9th kicks off with a tiny but clean 3-foot swell from the ESE, combined wave energy around (235). The wind is glassy, so it’s not going to be big, but for a sneaky session on a log or a funboard, it’ll be clean and tidy.

Thursday the 10th is a mixed bag. The morning cleans up with a 3-foot southerly swell, a healthy 12-second period, and a cross-offshore breeze. That’s a nice combo for shape. But the afternoon goes straight into the bin with onshores and heavy rain. Score the morning window if you can.

Friday the 11th sees a similar setup in the morning – 3 feet from the south, 13-second period, cross-off wind. It’s not a standout, but it’s ridable and clean. The afternoon goes a bit wonky with a light cross-shore, making it average.

Saturday the 12th is mostly a write-off. A tiny 2-foot easterly and onshore slop in the morning. The afternoon does jump up to 5 feet from the south but with an onshore wind and marginal conditions. Not worth the paddle.

Sunday the 13th has a bit more size but the onshore wind is your enemy. 6 feet from the SSE in the morning, but cross-onshore chop. The afternoon gets blown out completely. Avoid.

Now, here’s where we lock in. Monday the 14th is the real standout of this whole outlook. The morning bumps up to a solid 7 feet from the ESE with a cross-offshore breeze and clean conditions. Wave energy kicks right up to (966). But the afternoon? Glassy as a lake, 7 feet from the east, period around 8 seconds, and the combined energy fires to a whopping (1142). This is proper beach-break juice. It’s going to be chunky, powerful, and clean. Not for beginners – this is solid paddle fitness territory and needs some experience. If you’re intermediate and up, call in sick.

Tuesday the 15th is a letdown after that. The morning looks glassy with a smaller 4 feet from the ESE, fine for a cruiser session, but the afternoon goes onshore and messy.

Wednesday the 16th has some size but the wind is straight onshore and the quality drops. 5 feet in the morning, 6 feet in the afternoon, but both are sloppy.

Thursday the 17th has another pulse of size (7 feet from the SSE, with a long 13-second period) but the wind is cross-onshore and choppy. The period is long, so the sets will be fat and walled up, but it’s fighting the wind. More of a grunt session than a classic.

Friday the 18th is a nice little rebound. The morning goes glassy with a 6-foot easterly, a bit of a shorter period at 7 seconds, but clean. Afternoon stays glassy at 5 feet. Good for a more relaxed paddle.

From Saturday the 19th through Sunday the 20th, we have consistent but small to moderate surf. 5 feet down to 3 feet, all from the east-southeast, and mostly glassy or light offshore wind. These are mornings for cruising, not charging. Crowds are often at Mongagua, so expect company.

We then hit a dry patch from Monday the 21st to Tuesday the 22nd with onshore winds and tiny, weak waves. A real lull.

Wednesday the 23rd sees a return of a glassy, clean 2-foot southerly swell with a nice 12-second period in the morning, building to 4 feet in the afternoon. Clean but mellow.

Finally, Thursday the 24th offers a final reminder. Morning is 6 feet from the ESE with a clean offshore breeze, but the period is short at 7 seconds. Afternoon jumps to 6 feet but the cross-onshore wind shows up.

For the long-range, the pulse around Monday the 14th is the one to circle. That’s a true standout. The week after, the reliable windows are mornings with glassy conditions, but nothing hits the same heights as that Monday.

Stay wet.

Rusty.

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