Mongagua Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, it’s Rusty here, looking at the next couple of weeks for our local stretch. We’ve got a bit of a slow start, but there’s a flash of something decent if you’re willing to wait.

The first real chance to get wet doesn’t come up until the morning of Sunday, July 26th. The swell is small at 2ft from the south, with a nice long period of 13 seconds – that’s proper groundswell, with clean lines and energy. The wind is glassy, dead calm, so it’s going to be silky smooth out there. The combined energy is moderate at 321. This is a good window for an intermediate surfer; the water temperature anomaly is about average for the time of year, so nothing crazy there. It’s the pick of the early period, but it’s not huge.

Don’t get too excited for the rest of that week. From Sunday afternoon right through to the morning of Saturday, August 1st, it’s a real mixed bag of tiny, weak waves and poor wind. The swell drops right off, with short periods around 8-10 seconds, and the wind is generally cross or cross-onshore, churning things up. The energy drops into the double digits (54-98), which is really weak. There are long gaps of nothing worthwhile here.

The morning of Saturday, August 1st, offers a little reprieve with a glassy 2ft south swell, period 12 seconds, and moderate energy (132). It’s surfable, but nothing special.

The real standout, the one worth circling on the calendar, is the morning of Wednesday, August 5th. We see a jump in swell to 4ft from the ESE, with a period of 8 seconds. It’s a bit short-period, but the wind is clean cross-off from the north at 9 mph, and the combined energy is a solid 255. This is the best quality, most consistent swell of the whole run. It’s not going to be too big for most, but it’s got enough push to be fun. The morning of Thursday, August 6th, is also promising with a similar 5ft ESE swell and offshore wind from the NNW, energy at 280 – that’s a solid morning, too. After that, things get messy again with onshore winds and choppy conditions.

For the true beginner, it’s mostly small and manageable, but the cleaner windows are on those early mornings. For the experts, only the Wednesday and Thursday mornings in early August offer any real punch, but they’re not big enough to call it a proper challenge.

So, to sum it up: the first week is a write-off with a few small, glassy windows. The best bet is the morning of Wednesday, August 5th, with Thursday morning, August 6th, as a close second. After that, the swell fades back into mediocrity. It’s been a slow patch, but it won’t stay this way forever.

Rusty.

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