Mocambique Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Righto, let’s get into it. Mocambique's the only break on the table, and it’s an exposed, fairly consistent left-hander that loves a SE swell. The water’s a chilly 61°, which is 5° colder than usual for this time of year – that’s a serious drop, so you’ll want a thick wetsuit and maybe some booties. The swell energy is moderate to strong, hanging around the 400-1000 range (839) for the opener, so there’s plenty of grunt.

We kick off Friday the 17th with a clean 6ft NE swell, 8-second period, under a light N breeze. It’s cross-offshore, so the lines will be tidy. The energy’s solid (839) and the morning is the call – the afternoon drops off a bit. Not a standout, but a solid start to the weekend.

Saturday the 18th sees the swell bump up to 7ft from the NE, still 8 seconds, with a cross-off N wind. The energy jumps to 1044 – that’s a lot of power. Now, this is getting into the “too big for beginners” territory, and the break is exposed, so it’ll be a handful. The morning is the best shot. Sunday the 19th backs off a touch to 7ft, same direction, with a lighter NNW breeze. The energy is still high (894). Clean and punchy, but again, it’s a solid size.

Now, a real gem: Tuesday the 21st morning. The wind drops to glassy – dead calm – from the SW, and the swell settles to a clean 5ft from the ENE, 8-second period. The energy is lower (341), but the glassy conditions will make it silky smooth. This is the best session of the first week – glassy, shoulder-high, and no crowds are mentioned, so it’s a quiet window of perfection.

The middle of the week gets messy. Wednesday the 22nd has a bit of rain and onshore wind, but the afternoon turns glassy again with a 3ft S swell, 10-second period. That’s small and clean, but not a lot of push. Thursday the 23rd morning is glassy again with a 4ft SSE swell, 10 seconds, and the energy is moderate (467). Worth a paddle if you’re keen on small, clean waves.

The weekend of the 26th and 27th turns ugly – strong onshore winds, lumpy, and the swell is either too small or too messy. The energy drops to 130-255, so it’s weak and choppy. Not worth it.

Then we get a long-range highlight. Friday the 31st of July morning: a 5ft ESE swell, 14-second period – that’s a proper groundswell, very long period. The wind is light NNW, cross-off, and the energy is 874. The afternoon gets even better: 5ft, same direction, 14 seconds, with a cross-off NNE breeze and the energy cranks to 1193. This is the standout of the whole outlook – clean, powerful, long-period lines. The break is exposed and a point/reef setup, so it will handle that long period beautifully. This is for experienced surfers – the size is moderate, but the long period means solid, walling waves. Saturday the 1st of August still has some leftover energy (959-1234), but the wind shifts onshore, so it’s a bit of a gamble.

In summary, the best of the bunch is Tuesday the 21st morning for glassy perfection, and the absolute standout is Friday the 31st of July afternoon for that long-period groundswell and clean conditions. Get ready for that one.

Rusty.

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