Mocambique Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, it’s Rusty here, and I’ve been looking at the next stretch for Mocambique. Straight up, the opening few days are going to be a bit of a mixed bag, but there’s a solid window of quality coming up for those who can pick their moments.

We kick off on Wednesday the 16th with a bit of hope. Mornings are looking glassy with a light westerly breeze and some clouds. There’s a 1.4m south swell running at 8 seconds, and the combined energy is moderate at 343. It’s surfable, but the short period means it’ll be a bit lumpy and less powerful. The afternoon turns onshore from the southeast and gets messy, so make the most of the early session.

Thursday the 17th follows a similar pattern. Morning glass again with a 1.2m south swell, but the period is still short at 9 seconds. It’s clean but a little weak – you’ll be chasing the better sets. The afternoon gets a bit cross-shore from the northeast, so it stays marginal.

Friday the 18th and Saturday the 19th are where we lose a bit of shine. Friday’s got light rain and cross-shore winds, with small 1.0m and 0.9m swells. It’s not doing much. Saturday gets worse – rain, a stronger cross-shore, and the swell jumps up to 1.7m to 2.1m, but it’s from the ENE with a short 7-second period. That’s jumbled up, poor quality, and not really worth the paddle. The energy is building though, hitting 459 on Saturday afternoon.

Now, Sunday the 20th is where it gets interesting, but there’s a catch. The swell is solid – 2.2m in the morning, 2.1m in the afternoon – from the ENE again with an 8-second period. The wind is cross-offshore and the conditions are clean, but this is getting too big for this break. The combined energy is strong at 733 and 598, and while it looks powerful, it’s likely going to be closing out and pushing through. This is one for the experienced crew only, and even then, it might be too much. If you’re thinking about it, be careful.

Monday the 21st is a different story. The morning is pure glass – dead calm, no wind – and there’s a 1.6m ENE swell at 8 seconds. The energy has backed off a bit to 352, but it’s clean and should offer some fun, punchy waves. This is your best bet in the first week. The afternoon gets a light cross-onshore and it drops off a touch, so go early.

The middle of the week, Tuesday the 22nd and Wednesday the 23rd, is pretty poor. Onshore southerly winds, choppy conditions, and the swell drops right down. Not worth getting wet, honestly.

Then, hold on, because Thursday the 24th is a serious standout. We’ve got a long-period south swell arriving – 14 seconds in the morning, 13 in the afternoon – with a 1.3m swell. The wind is glassy in the morning and light cross-offshore in the afternoon. The combined energy jumps right up to 771 and 683, which is strong, and this is that proper groundswell you can feel. The sets will be well-spaced, offering clean, lined-up waves. This is the pick of the entire forecast. The long period means it’ll be a bit more walled-up at the beach break, but Mocambique should handle it well. Friday the 25th keeps the long-period SSE swell around the 1.1m mark, but the wind picks up from the NNE, making it a bit cleaner but with less push. It’s still okay, but Thursday is the day.

We drop off again over the weekend. Saturday the 26th has some small surf, and Sunday the 27th sees a return to glassy conditions with a 1.3m south swell at 6 seconds – that’s short, and it’ll be crumbly. There’s a bit more energy in the afternoon with a cleaner 1.2m SSE swell at 8 seconds, but nothing special.

The tail end of the window shows a bit of a tease. Monday the 28th is marginal, with onshore winds in the afternoon. Tuesday the 29th has a poor morning, but by the afternoon, the wind drops to glass and a 1.0m south swell at 12 seconds rolls in. It’s small, but clean.

Now, the real second standout is Wednesday the 30th. The morning has a 1.1m south swell with a 13-second period, cross-offshore winds from the north, and a combined energy of 602. That’s a very good setup – clean, lined

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