Mocambique Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here, checking in on the outlook for Mocambique. Let's get straight into it.

The forecast is a bit of a slow burner, but there’s a quality window coming up. The water is sitting at 62.9°, which is a noticeable 3.2° colder than average for this time of year, so you’ll want a decent wetsuit.

We start off with a bit of a rough patch. Tuesday morning and afternoon are both a write-off. The swell is messy and the wind is cross-onshore, so it’s choppy and uninviting. Wednesday morning, things start to clean up nicely with a light offshore wind from the WNW. A clean 3.3ft south swell, period 9 seconds, with moderate energy. Better, but still small. It stays clean through Thursday and Friday, but the swell is tiny, dropping to 2.0ft on Friday morning. The standout on Friday morning, July 10th, is the glassy conditions with a light W wind. That 2.0ft swell is coming from the ESE at a very long 14 seconds, giving it a surprising amount of energy for its size. It’s a real long-period groundswell, which will offer those long, clean lines, but at that size it’s a log or a longboard kind of wave.

The real action kicks off on Saturday, July 11th. The morning session sees a jump in size to 4.6ft, ESE swell, with a long 13-second period. The wind is a clean cross-offshore from the north, and the energy is strong. It’s going to be a very good day. It’s consistent and clean, so you can get a few. Crowds are possible here, so get in early.

Then, Sunday, July 12th, shapes up as the best of the whole run. The morning is glassy with a 3.6ft SSE swell and a 12-second period, which is already great. But the afternoon is the one to wait for. The swell jumps to 6.2ft from the SSE, with a solid 11-second period. The wind is clean offshore from the NNW, and the combined energy is a powerful 1074. This is excellent surf for experienced surfers; it’s well overhead and powerful. This is the one to point your board at if you’ve got the chops.

After that high, it gets messy again. Monday, July 13th, is a write-off with strong southerly winds making it choppy and poor. The middle of the week sees a return to smaller, less energetic swells, with a mix of onshore and side winds. The waves are surfable but ordinary. From Friday, July 17th, through to the end of the forecast period, we see a persistent pattern of small, clean waves. The swell is coming from the ENE, around 2.6ft to 3.3ft, with a short 7-8 second period. The wind is consistently cross-offshore from the north, so it’s clean. The energy is low to moderate. It’s a long stretch of small, clean, weak waves. Good for a beginner, or a longboard cruise, but nothing to get the pulse racing for a shortboarder.

So, to sum it up: the standouts are Saturday morning, July 11th for a solid, clean day, and Sunday afternoon, July 12th for the real punchy, experienced-only session. The rest is a waiting game or a cruise on a longboard.

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