Mocambique Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s break down what’s happening at Mocambique over the next 16 days. The ocean’s gonna be a mixed bag, with some real clean sessions early on, then a big pulse of swell that’ll only be for the brave. The water temp is sitting at 60°, which is 5° colder than usual for this time of year – that’s seriously chilly, so don’t forget a good thick wetsuit. Let’s get into it.

We kick off on Monday, July 13th, but honestly, that afternoon is a write-off. Cross-on southerly wind at 9 mph, messy 5-foot swell from the south with a short 8-second period and moderate wave energy (422). Not worth paddling out.

Tuesday, July 14th is where it starts to look good. Morning brings a clean, cross-off breeze from the west-southwest at just 3 mph, and the swell jumps to 6 feet from the southeast with a 10-second period – that’s a nice, workable groundswell. Combined energy sits at 610, so there’s some punch. Good waves for an intermediate. The afternoon stays clean with a light north-northeast wind. This is a solid window.

Wednesday, July 15th keeps the clean theme going, morning has a cross-off north-northwest breeze at 6 mph, swell at 5 feet from the southeast (10 sec, energy 446). Decent, but the afternoon gets a bit windier with north winds at 12 mph, dropping the wave quality.

Thursday, July 16th and Friday, July 17th are marginal – small, clean but weak. Friday morning does see a bump to 5 feet from the east-northeast (8 sec, energy 421), but it’s not a standout.

The first real standout arrives Saturday, July 18th. Morning session is the pick: clean 6-foot swell from the east-northeast, 8-second period, but the combined energy is a solid 531 – moderate but punchy. North wind at 9 mph, cross-off, so it’ll be clean and fun for intermediates. The afternoon gets a bit bigger at 7 feet but windier.

Sunday, July 19th morning is special – glassy conditions with a west-southwest breeze at just 3 mph, 6 feet from the northeast (8 sec, energy 406). That’s as clean as it gets. The wind is dead off the land. This is a prime session for anyone who can handle a chest-high wave. Afternoon goes a bit onshore.

Now, a heads up: Tuesday, July 22nd sees a big spike – 8 feet from the south with a 10-second period and massive energy (1465). But the wind is cross-on, and these waves are predicted to be too big for this break. This is expert-only territory, and honestly, the wind isn’t helping. The setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

Wednesday, July 23rd brings a sweet recovery: morning has a 6-foot swell from the south-southeast with a 12-second period – that’s a long period groundswell. It’ll have good shape and energy (982), but at a beach break it might be a bit straight. Light cross-off wind from the north-northwest at 6 mph. Clean. One to watch.

After that, from the 24th to the 27th, we see a lot of solid swell in the 7-foot to 8-foot range from the east-northeast, with periods around 8-9 seconds. The energy numbers are high (974 to 1511), but the forecasts keep saying the swell is too big for this break. Morning winds are often clean or offshore, so it could be a wild, expert-level session – but the break itself may not handle it well. Crowds are possible here, so even if it’s big, you might have company.

From the 28th onwards, the wind turns onshore and messy, and the quality drops hard.

The standout is Sunday, July 19th, morning – glassy, clean 6 feet from the northeast, light wind. Perfect for an intermediate surfer. Wednesday, July 23rd morning is also very promising with that long-period groundswell, but it’s a week away so keep an eye on the forecast.

Rusty.

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