Mocambique Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s check what Mocambique has lined up for you over the next couple weeks.

Right off the bat, Wednesday the 15th is a bit of a mixed bag. We get a pulse of ESE groundswell at 5ft with a solid 10-second period, and that morning has a light NNW offshore breeze—clean. The water’s sitting at 60°, a full 5° colder than usual for this time of year. That’s a real shock to the system—bring the thickest rubber you have. The combined wave energy is 455 (moderate energy), so there’s some push but nothing scary. The afternoon turns a bit lumpy as the wind picks up. Not the top pick of the week.

The real juice starts firing up on Friday the 17th. That morning we get a jump in size to 6ft from the NE with a short 8-second period. Combined swell energy hits 767 (moderate–strong). It’s a bit of a short-period windswell, but the wind is a gentle cross-off from the N giving you clean waves. This is the kind of day that’ll have you grinning—good fun for intermediates. The break is exposed and tends to handle swell from the SE, so this NE angle is a little different but still works.

Saturday the 18th keeps the party going with similar 6ft NE windswell and clean morning conditions. Again, the short period (8 seconds) keeps the waves punchy and a bit dumpy—better for a shortboard. Combined energy is 521 (moderate–strong), so you’ll feel the power.

Sunday the 19th is probably the best of this first push. Morning sees 7ft from the NE, a light NNW breeze (offshore—clean as a whistle), and the combined energy rockets up to 927 (strong). For an exposed spot like Mocambique, that’s a ton of juice. It’s getting up there in size—this is solid intermediate-to-expert territory if you’re used to a bit of grunt. The crowd factor is listed as “sometimes”, so you might have company, but it won’t be a zoo.

Monday the 20th is still good—6ft NE, light offshore, 831 energy (strong). A very similar picture.

Things start to drop off by Tuesday the 22nd. Wednesday the 22nd afternoon though, the wind goes glassy and the swell drops to 4ft from the ENE with that 8-second period. Combined energy is only 208 (weak–moderate), but with glass-off conditions, you can still have a fun little session on a log or a fish. Worth a paddle if you’re keen.

There’s a real dead zone after that. Thursday the 23rd is small and clean but nothing exciting, and Friday the 24th gets blown out by a S cross-onshore wind at 15 mph. Saturday the 25th gets even uglier—7ft of short-period slop from the SSE with onshore winds and rain. That’s a miss.

Then we get a glimmer of hope way out in the second week. Sunday the 26th sees a 5ft swell from the S with a long 11-second period. Onshore wind in the morning, but the afternoon goes glassy again. Combined energy is 481 (moderate). It’s not a standout, but a glassy south groundswell can surprise you.

The real long-range standout though is Monday the 27th July. Morning brings a clean NNW offshore breeze, 5ft from the S with a 12-second period (a proper groundswell), and combined energy of 569 (moderate). That’s a beautiful setup—clean, lined-up waves with some punch. Tuesday the 28th is similar: 5ft from the SSE with a very long 13-second period. Combined energy is 689 (moderate–strong). This is the kind of long-period groundswell that loves a reef or a point, and Mocambique is an exposed beach, so these sets will be well-spaced and a bit straighter, but still super fun for the crew that know where to sit.

If I’m calling one or two true standouts: Sunday the 19th for the biggest, cleanest NE swell of the first week, and Monday the 27th for that long-period S groundswell with offshore glass. Both are top shelf.

Stay keen, and don’t forget the 5/4.

- Rusty

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