Mocambique Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty. Let's get into it.

Right off the bat, we’ve got a bit of a mixed bag here. The water is a frigid 61°, which is a full 5° colder than normal for this time of year. That “much colder than normal” label is no joke – you'll want a thick steamer, no question.

The first real chance for a wave is Friday, July 10th, but honestly, it’s rough. A 3ft swell from the ESE with 12-second period is coming in with a cross-on SSW wind. The water is bumpy, and the overall energy is moderate at 450. It’s just not worth paddling out unless you're desperate to get wet.

Saturday, July 11th, looks better. The morning brings a cleaner 5ft ESE swell at 13 seconds, with light cross-off winds from the north. The combined energy kicks up to 709. Saturday afternoon holds a similar, clean 3ft. This is where the window starts to open.

Sunday the 12th starts okay in the morning – a clean-ish 4ft from the ESE (energy at 1140) but with cross-shore wind. By the afternoon, it turns nasty: the wind swings hard to the south at 18 mph, hitting you cross-onshore. The swell jumps to 8ft but the period drops to a short, weak 8 seconds. That's a choppy, lumpy mess – not worth it.

Monday the 13th is a write-off. Onshore winds and poor conditions all day. Don't bother.

Here’s the standout. Tuesday, July 14th. The morning is looking glassy with a light westerly wind – basically no wind at all. You’ve got a solid 6ft SE groundswell at 10 seconds. The combined energy is strong at 915. This is clean and powerful. Tuesday afternoon gets even better: the swell pushes to 7ft from the SE with an 11-second period, and the wind turns light cross-off from the north. It’s clean. It is big though, pushing into that expert-only territory if you’re not comfortable. The energy is up over 1000. This is the best session of the whole window.

Wednesday the 15th stays good. Morning brings a clean 6ft ESE swell with a gentle offshore breeze from the NNW (energy at 798). The afternoon stays clean with a cross-off wind and the same size. That’s a solid day.

Thursday the 16th is similar – clean, 5-5ft ESE swell, cross-off winds. Consistency is there.

Friday the 17th offers a fun little change. Morning has a clean 3ft ESE swell, but by the afternoon rain moves in and the swell switches to a short-period 5ft from the ENE. It’s still clean, but the quality drops.

From Saturday the 18th through the middle of the following week, the pattern becomes a bit repetitive. You’re looking at clean but short-period (8-second) wind swells coming from ENE, 5 to 6ft. It’s rideable and clean each morning, but nothing with real power. The wind stays mostly cross-off from the north.

Then we get a glimmer late in the run. Sunday the 19th morning: 6ft from the NE, period still just 8 seconds, but the energy is solid at 779 and it’s clean. That’s a fun, punchy morning.

The last bit of real interest shows up around Wednesday, July 22nd. A new, longer-period swell appears: 3-3ft from the S with a 12-second period. It’s small but clean, offering a taste of better shape. That trend continues into Thursday the 23rd, and then Friday the 24th goes glassy with a light SSE wind and a 2ft S swell – clean little waves.

The very last day, Saturday the 25th, we end on a quiet note with glassy conditions and a 4ft S swell.

My pick: If you can only surf one day, make it Tuesday, July 14th. The morning glass-off with 6ft SE swell is as good as it gets, and the afternoon’s 7ft is for the chargers. The long-range stuff around July 22nd is promising, but it’s small – keep an eye on it.

Stay warm, and keep paddling.
Rusty

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