Mocambique Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's coming our way at Mocambique over the next couple of weeks.

First things first, right now the water is sitting at 62°, which is a solid 4° colder than what's normal for this time of year. That's a noticeable chill, so don't forget your thickest wetsuit if you're paddling out.

The overall pattern is a bit of a slow burner. We’ve got some serious size early on, but it’s not really for the faint-hearted. The opening weekend is all about big, powerful southerly groundswell, but it's too big for the average punter. Saturday the 4th is pumping with an 8ft southerly swell around 10 seconds from the south, but that's straight into the risk zone. The combined energy is massive at 2464 (strong), and the morning cross-on breeze isn't doing it any favours. Later on Saturday afternoon, the swell drops a touch to 8ft but still with strong energy (1530) and an onshore wind. These are proper expert-only waves.

Sunday the 5th is where it starts to come together. That southerly groundswell drops to a much more manageable 6ft, but it's coming from a slightly better SSE direction with a long 11-second period. More importantly, the wind swings offshore and light out of the NNW in the morning. Those conditions will clean the waves right up. That Sunday morning session is the standout for this entire forecast window. It’s clean, the lines will have good shape thanks to that long-period energy, and it's a solid intermediate level with 833 moderate energy in the water.

Sunday afternoon keeps the same 6ft SSE swell, but the breeze swings to a light cross-off from the NNE, so it will stay clean. That’s a solid afternoon sesh too.

Monday the 6th is still surfable but smaller, with 4ft SSE dropping to 4ft by the afternoon. The northwesterly cross-off keeps it clean, and the crowd factor is only “sometimes” there, so you might find a bit of space. It’s a good backup day.

After that, things go pretty flat and ordinary through the middle of the week. Tuesday the 7th is a write-off with short-period, cross-on slop. Wednesday the 8th and Thursday the 9th are small and weak, but at least there are some clean moments. The energy drops right off, barely registering with readings like 178. It's a quiet spell.

We get a bit of a pulse again on Sunday the 12th. The morning looks promising with a 3ft ESE groundswell, a very long 12-second period, and a light offshore wind from the WSW. The water will have moderate energy (642) and it should be clean with good shape. That's another good window for a clean, user-friendly wave if you want a relaxed session.

The long range into the third week shows another building trend. Friday the 17th sees another big southerly swell push through at 8ft in the morning, dropping slightly to 7ft in the afternoon. The wind goes glassy in the afternoon! That's an amazing sight, but these waves are well over the 8ft mark at times and the energy is strong. It’s purely expert territory. If you're a skilled charger, that glassy afternoon window on the 17th might be the hidden gem, but it's only for the brave. By Saturday the 19th, the swell is still over 7ft with strong energy and clean cross-off winds, but again, not for beginners.

So to sum it up: if you want the best clean, offshore conditions with decent size, your absolute standout is Sunday morning, July the 5th, at Mocambique. The Sunday the 12th is the backup for a cleaner, smaller paddle.

Stay safe out there.
Rusty.

Read more