Mocambique Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here with the look ahead for our local stretch.

We’ve got a bit of a mixed bag coming, with some real gems hidden in there if you’re patient. The start of the period is a bit of a write-off, with a few small windows of clean, fun surf, but the real standout is a week and a half away. Let’s get into it.

Right from the get-go, we have some action on Thursday the 10th. Mocambique is seeing a clean 3ft SSE groundswell with a long 15-second period. The water temp is sitting at 64.9°, which is just about average for this time of year. Energy is moderate at 478. It’ll feel a little lazy with that long period, but it’s a nice, clean wave with a light cross-off shore breeze. This is a good, easy-going session.

Friday the 11th is a bit of a split day. The morning is a small 2.3ft southerly swell, but the wind is a solid cross-off from the NNW. Energy is lower (231), but it remains clean. By the afternoon, the swell switches up to a short, weak 3ft from the ENE with only an 8-second period and moderate energy (217). It’s clean but pretty weak and crumbly.

Then we hit a rough patch. From Saturday the 12th right through to the morning of Tuesday the 16th, it gets ugly. We’re looking at days of choppy, cross-onshore winds and lumpy conditions. Swells get bigger, up to 7.5ft, but the quality is just not there for a good paddle. It’s a solid week of no-go.

But hang in there, because things flip. Thursday the 17th is where it gets interesting. The morning is pure magic: glassy conditions with an ESE wind at just 5 km/h. There’s a solid 5.2ft groundswell from the SSE with a lovely 11-second period and strong energy (654). This is a proper, powerful groundswell with no wind. The wave quality will be excellent, even if the long period might make it a bit walled-off at this beach setup.

Friday the 18th is a step back. A small 3ft SSE swell returns, but it’s clean thanks to a cross-off breeze. Nothing special, just a clean knee-high poke.

Now, for the real standout of the whole outlook. Saturday the 19th is a cracker. We’ve got a clean 6.2ft ENE swell with an 8-second period (moderate energy at 510) and a perfect light cross-off breeze from the NNW at just 5 km/h. This is going to be well-shaped, clean surf. It’s a standout morning and the best of the bunch early on. The afternoon gets a bit cross, but the morning is the ticket.

Sunday the 20th morning is another clean one, with a 5.2ft ENE swell and a light offshore from the WNW. Good but not as powerful as the day before.

Monday the 21st is still decent. A clean 4.9ft ENE swell with a light offshore breeze from the north. Good, clean, fun-sized waves.

Tuesday the 22nd turns back to poor conditions with strong cross-onshore winds. Leave it.

The Big One – We have to talk about Wednesday the 23rd. This is a very large swell event. An S swell of 6.9ft with an 11-second period and very strong energy (1188) is forecast. However, the report states the swell is predicted to be too big for this break. This is expert territory only, if it’s even rideable. The wind is light and cross-on, so it’ll be lumpy. Unless you are an absolute charger on a big-wave gun, give this one a wide berth. The following day, Thursday the 24th, sees a similar 5.9ft to 5.6ft SSE groundswell with a very long 12-13 second period. The energy is high (893-949), but with light cross-onshore winds, it’s going to be a tricky, shifting beast.

Finally, we finish on a high note. Friday the 25th morning is completely glassy again. A 4.6ft SSE groundswell with a massive 13-second period and very strong energy (904) is rolling in. This is a beautiful, long-period groundswell with absolutely no wind. It will be a dream-like surf for any surfer who is happy dealing with long waits between clean, powerful sets. The afternoon tries to step it up to 7.5ft, but the period drops to 7 seconds, so it’ll be a messy close-out.

So, to sum it up: the absolute pick of the bunch is the morning of Saturday the 19th. Clean, head-high swell from the ENE with perfect offshore winds. Thursday the 17th is a very close second with that glassy, powerful groundswell. The final Friday the 25th also offers a glassy, special long-period swell, but it’s further out. The rest is a mix of average, clean small waves and a big, angry week of onshore chop in the middle.

Stay stoked.

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