Mocambique Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's get into what's shaping up for Mocambique over the next couple of weeks.

First thing you need to know is that the water is *freezing* right now. We're sitting at 60°F compared to what’s normal, and that’s a full 5°F colder than average - that's very unusual, so grab a thick wetsuit and maybe some booties. The good news is there’s surf on the way, and it’s looking pretty fun for the most part.

We kick things off this Thursday morning, July 16th, with clean 3ft waves from the ESE, period around 10 seconds. It's not huge, but the combined energy is moderate (306) and the wind is a cross-off from the NNW at 9 mph, keeping things clean. It's a solid start for a paddle out.

Friday morning, July 17th, is where the first standout really shows. Swell jumps to a solid 6ft from the NE, period is a short 8 seconds, but the combined energy is strong at 792. Wind is light from the north, cross-off, and it’s clean. This is a proper fun-size wave for intermediates and a great morning session.

Saturday the 18th holds that energy with another 6ft swell from the ENE, 8-second period, combined energy at 511. Again, light north wind, clean conditions. That Friday-to-Saturday window is your top play for this first week.

Sunday the 19th through Tuesday the 21st stays in the 5ft to 6ft range with ENE windswell, periods around 8 seconds. Winds stay light and cross-off, so it’s still very surfable, just a notch down in size. The energy drops a bit (267-400 range), but nothing to complain about.

Wednesday the 22nd gets a little weird. Morning has some light rain and a cross-shore wind, but the afternoon turns glassy with an offshore breeze from the NW at just 3 mph. Swell is a smaller 3ft from the ENE, but that glassy setup makes it a real gem for a longboard or a funboard if you want smooth walls.

Now, here’s a heads-up for Thursday the 23rd and Friday the 24th. We get a new push of SSE groundswell. Thursday afternoon looks excellent: 5ft from the SSE, 10-second period, combined energy jumps to 665, and the wind is light from the north. Clean. Friday morning the 24th is a true standout: 6ft from the SSE, 10-second period, energy at 714, and pure offshore wind from the NW at just 6 mph. That’s the best-looking session of the whole run, hands down.

BUT - Friday afternoon on the 24th gets too big. We see 8ft from the south with a short 8-second period. The combined energy hits 877, but at that size, it’s strictly for experts only, and the wind goes cross-off, so it’s going to be a heavy, tricky beast. Keep that one for the very experienced crew.

Saturday the 25th and Sunday the 26th are a write-off. Strong cross-shore and cross-onshore winds, lumpy conditions. The swell drops back to 3ft to 5ft but it’s blown out. A couple of days to do other things.

We get a nice reset Monday morning, July 27th. Glassy conditions, 5ft from the east with a short 7-second period, energy at 536. That’s a clean, punchy morning if the sandbars are holding.

Monday afternoon on the 27th is interesting: only 3ft but from the SSE with a very long 14-second period, combined energy 666. That’s a proper groundswell, but with such a long period, it might wall up and close out on a beach break. Best on a point or reef if you can find one.

Tuesday the 28th through Wednesday the 29th stays in the 4ft to 6ft range with east-northeast windswell, cross-off winds, clean. Nothing huge but solid, surfable conditions.

Thursday the 30th looks promising again. Morning is glassy with 4ft from the east, 10-second period. Then Thursday afternoon we get a spike: 6ft from the south, 8-second period, energy at 657, light north wind. That’s another standout for the second week.

We finish off on Friday the 31st with 4ft from the ESE, 10-second period, but the wind picks up a bit. Still cross-off, still rideable, but the magic is fading.

Overall, the best of the best here are Friday morning July 24th for the offshore 6ft SSE groundswell, and Thursday afternoon July 30th for the clean 6ft south swell. If you can only pick one, make it that Friday morning. The water is cold, but the waves are worth it.

Rusty, signing off.

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