Mocambique Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here again, breaking it down in feet and knots for you.

We’ve got a two-week stretch ahead for Mocambique, with a big, powerful swell showing up in the second week that’s only for the experts.

The first few days are quiet. Wednesday morning, the 5th, is glassy with a light southwest breeze, and the swell is a small 3ft from the SSE. Wave energy is moderate (231). The water’s at 65°, which is right on average for this time of year. But the wind switches to the NE in the afternoon and it goes cross, turning it into a mess. Thursday and Friday are surfable but nothing special, with 3ft to 4ft of ENE swell and short periods around 8 seconds. The wind is offshore or cross-off, so it’s clean, but the waves are weak.

Saturday the 8th is where it gets real. The morning brings a solid 6ft groundswell from the south, with a long 12-second period. The energy is strong (1123), and the wind is a clean cross-off from the north. This is good, solid surf for the experienced surfer. The afternoon drops a bit to 6ft but stays clean. Sunday the 9th, the swell jumps to 7ft, and the wind turns cross-on from the south at 12 knots. The energy is very strong (1356), but it’s choppy and blown out. That’s too much size and the wrong wind for a paddle—might be a kite session instead.

From Sunday afternoon through to Tuesday the 11th, it’s a rough stretch. The swell holds around 5ft to 6ft, but it’s all southerly with a constant cross-on wind that makes it ugly. The energy drops from strong to moderate (505-891). Not worth it.

The turnaround comes on Wednesday the 12th. The morning is still a bit messy, but the afternoon goes glassy. The swell is a clean 6ft from the SSE with a 12-second period, and the energy is high (901). That’s a very good session. Thursday the 13th offers more clean, cross-off winds and a 4ft SSE swell, but the period jumps to 15 seconds in the afternoon. That’s a very long period groundswell—great for points and reefs, but at a beach break, it’ll be a bit too straight and the sets will be big and far apart.

Friday the 14th is back to light cross-on winds and a 5ft SSE swell, with high energy (1204), but it’s not clean. Saturday the 15th is a gem. The morning is glassy with a 4ft south swell, and the afternoon goes completely calm and glassy with a 5ft SSE swell and very strong energy (1028). That’s a top-notch session for experienced surfers.

Now for the big one—and a warning. Sunday the 16th through Tuesday the 18th sees a massive pulse. On the 16th, we’ve got 7ft to 8ft from the SE and E, with very strong energy (1398). The wind is cross-off or cross, but the size is too big for this break. Monday the 17th is pure power: 10ft from the NE with a 10-second period, and energy readings over 2300. The wind is offshore and clean, but this is strictly for experts only. Tuesday the 18th is the same story—10ft from the ENE, glassy in the morning, but again, only for the brave.

After that, the swell drops fast. Wednesday the 19th and Thursday the 20th are small and weak, with 2ft to 3ft from the S and E, and low energy.

So, the pick of the window is Saturday the 15th: glassy conditions, a solid 4-5ft south swell, and strong energy. That’s your best bet for a clean, fun session. The big 10ft days on the 17th and 18th are the other notable event, but only for the experienced crew—and that’s still a week and a half out, so the forecast is promising but not set in stone.

Rusty, signing off.

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