Las Redes Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you: the next couple of weeks are looking pretty flat and gutless for our stretch of coast. We’ve got a long stretch of nothing on the cards, which can happen around here. It’s not going to be a total write-off, but you’ll be hunting hard for anything worth a paddle.

The long-range picture shows a real gap of small, weak surf for most of the next week and a half. The first real pulse of energy doesn’t show up until the 28th, and even then, it’s nothing to write home about. There’s another slightly bigger one on the 30th, but it comes with a mess of onshore wind. So, for now, keep your expectations low.

The only spot we’re really looking at is Las Redes. It’s a sandbar setup, so it can be inconsistent, and it’s only rated for beginners. It’s fairly consistent, but the problem is the swell direction is all over the place. The spot wants a good west-southwest swell, but most of what we’re seeing is from the west or west-northwest, so it’s not lining up properly.

Now, the water here is a real standout—it’s running at 79°, which is much warmer than usual for this time of year. That’s a big anomaly, over six degrees Fahrenheit above average. So, if you do get out, you won’t need a thick wetsuit.

Let’s run through it day by day. From the 16th through to the 27th, it’s a real struggle. We’re looking at swell heights of 0.7ft to 2ft, with periods mostly between 4 and 8 seconds. That’s weak, short-period slop with no push. The energy readings are pitiful, mostly single or low double digits, like 20 or 27, which tells you there’s just nothing moving. The winds are mostly cross-onshore or cross-shore, so it’s going to be messy and lumpy. The 26th morning has a bit of offshore NNE wind, but with only 1ft of swell, it’s just a ripple.

There’s one morning on the 24th where it’s clean with a cross-offshore wind, but again, we’re talking 1ft of swell. Not worth the drive.

Now, things try to change on the 28th. On Friday afternoon, the swell jumps to 4ft from the southeast, and the energy reading gets up to 65—moderate but nothing special. The period is a weak 5 seconds, and the wind is a cross-shore breeze, so it’ll be a bit choppy. Still not great, but it’s the first sign of life.

The 30th is where we see the biggest pulse for the whole period. Sunday afternoon brings 4ft of southeast swell with a 6-second period, and the energy jumps to 111, which is moderate. But the wind is onshore and blowing at 12 mph, so it will be choppy. Then the 31st sees the peak—5ft of southeast swell, but the period is still a short 6 seconds, and the energy is 152. That’s the biggest swell of the window, but with that short period and the moderate cross-onshore wind, it’s going to be a lumpy, unorganised mess. Also, at 5ft, it’s right at the edge of what’s good for a beginner, so it’s not ideal for the target crew.

Honestly, for most of this stretch, the setup looks more interesting for a kite than a paddle. With all that weak, short-period swell and cross-shore winds, there’s nothing that’s going to give you a clean, peeling wave. The only real moments of clean surf are on the 25th and 26th mornings, but with 1-2ft of swell, it’s just not going to break properly.

So, the bottom line is this: there are no true standouts in this whole 16-day window. The forecast confidence on the near-term calls is high, and they’re all poor. The later stuff is less certain, so there’s a chance it might improve, but we’re not holding our breath. It tends not to stay this poor for long around here, so fingers crossed the models change. But for now, keep the board in the car and maybe find another hobby for a week.

Stay salty.

Rusty

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