Laniakea Reef and Holtons Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's talk about what's on the menu for the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, it’s a tough stretch. We’re looking at a whole lot of nothing for the first ten days, from Friday the 17th of July all the way through to Sunday the 26th of July. The swell is tiny, mostly under 2 feet, and the wind is a constant cross-offshore from the east. The water temp is sitting at 79°, which is about average for this time of year, so at least a dip won’t sting. We’re talking about a lot of days where you’d be better off with a towel than a board. The combined energy during this period is weak, really struggling to get above 100 (moderate wave energy) for most of it, with many days flatlining at zero.

The best news on the horizon comes late on Monday the 27th of July. We finally see a pulse of swell push in. Laniakea Reef and Holtons is the only spot we’ve got intel on, and it’s a consistent reef break that handles the NW swell direction well. On Monday morning, it’s looking at a 7ft swell from the northeast. That’s a solid size, but with a short period of 8 seconds, it’s going to be a bit of a mushy, close-out machine at a beach break, but for a reef setup like this, it might just have some shape. The combined energy jumps to 655 (strong wave energy), so there’s real power behind it. The wind is a cross-off from the east at 12 mph, which isn't perfect, but it’s workable. This is the standout – it’s a proper, heavy day for experienced surfers only. The crowd factor is "sometimes" at Laniakea, so expect a few other mad dogs out there in the heat.

After that, Tuesday the 28th of July drops back to 5ft, still from the northeast, with a gentle breeze. It’s a shadow of the Monday pulse, but still surfable for the keen. The rest of the outlook fades again into small, weak stuff through to the end of July and into August.

Forget the long-range hope for the first of August – the morning shows a 3ft swell from the northeast with a 10-second period, which might offer a few fun ones, but it’s nothing to drive across the island for.

So, the play is clear: if you’ve got the skills and the hunger, circle Monday the 27th of July. That’s your only real shot at something with some grunt.

Rusty.

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