La Santa - El Quemao Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get real about what we’ve got. It’s not pretty, I won’t lie. We’re looking at a long stretch of northerly wind and chopped-up conditions at La Santa - El Quemao. This is a world-class left, no doubt, but for the next couple of weeks the wind just won’t do it any favours. The water temp is about average for this time of year, so at least you won’t be fighting the cold on top of everything else.

From Monday the 10th right through to at least Saturday the 24th, it’s a grind. The wind is hammering in from the NNE, sitting cross to cross-on, with speeds hitting 18 to 22 mph. That’s going to put a real lumpy, bumpy texture on the face. The swell is hanging around in the 2 to 6 ft range, but with short periods of 6 to 8 seconds it lacks the push to punch through that wind. The combined energy (269 to 367) shows it’s not weak, but it’s messy. Sunday the 16th and Monday the 17th see the wind drop slightly to 12 mph, offering a brief breather with swell around 4 ft and an 8-second period (energy 275), but it’s still cross-onshore and choppy. That’s the best of a bad bunch, and that’s not saying much.

The standout, if you can call it that, would be Monday the 17th. The swell drops a bit to 3 ft, but the period lengthens to 8 seconds and the wind is down to 12 mph. It’ll still be messy, but it’s the least messy window in the first week.

The second week, from Friday the 22nd onward, the swell really fades. We’re talking down to 1 ft with a 10-second period on the 22nd, energy dropping to just 92. The wind stays cross-on and fresh. There is no surf to get excited about here.

Honestly, for a spot that needs a clean, lined-up WNW swell, this is a write-off. The constant NNE wind ruins the shape. Given the beach/reef setup and the persistent wind, this looks more interesting for the kite crew than for paddle surfing right now. We’ve got a 15-day gap from the start of the 10th right through to the 24th with zero good options. After that, on the 24th and 25th, there’s a tiny flicker of hope with some cross-shore wind and a 10-second period swell around 3 ft (energy 192), but it’s still not clean. A blank run like this is just the nature of the area with this wind pattern. Forecasts change, but this one looks stubborn.

Rusty

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