La Santa - El Quemao Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s get straight into it for this one.

We’re looking at a pretty flat and frustrating run for La Santa - El Quemao for the next couple of weeks. Honestly, it’s a bit of a heartbreaker because this place can be a beast, but right now it’s just not showing its teeth. The surf starts off on Thursday, 2 July, but it's a bit of a mess. We’ve got a 7 ft swell from the north, but that wind is a cross-onshore from the north at 9 mph, chopping it up, and the water temp is sitting at 70°, which is about average for this time of year. The combined energy is moderate (758), but the conditions are poor and the score reflects that – not worth paddling out for.

The whole first week is a write-off. Friday through Sunday sees swell drop from 5 ft down to 3 ft, and while we do get some lighter winds and even a few patches of offshore on Friday afternoon and Saturday, the swell is just too small and weak to get excited about. The energy readings drop into the low hundreds and even below 200 by Sunday afternoon (124). It’s just not on.

Monday and Tuesday of the following week (6-7 July) stay small with 3 ft swell and even shorter period around 6-8 seconds, plus the cross-onshore wind picks up to 9-12 mph. It’s choppy and weak. Energy dips into double digits by Tuesday morning (79). That’s not even worth suiting up for.

From Wednesday, 8 July, right through to the end of the forecast window on 17 July, it’s more of the same: tiny swell, mostly around 2 ft to 5 ft, with short periods between 5 and 6 seconds, and a persistent cross-onshore breeze that gets stronger – hitting 19-22 mph from the north by the second week. The energy stays weak, often under 200, though there’s a brief spike over 200 on Monday afternoon, 13 July (206) on a 4 ft north-northeast swell, but with that wind, it’s just lumpy and unrideable.

There is a little glimmer on Sunday the 12th, where the swell period jumps to 13 seconds from the NNW, but the swell height is tiny at 1 ft to 2 ft. That’s a long period groundswell with no juice behind it – a tease. Energy is moderate (118-133) but the size is just not there.

To be brutally honest, there’s no standout session in this entire 16-day run. Not one. It’s a long, flat gap with no real recommendations. The break is consistent, but the conditions just aren’t aligning. For a spot like this, with exposed reef and needing proper swell and clean wind, this is a blank run that’s more normal for a quiet spell. I’d say keep an eye on the charts – it won’t stay this dead forever.

Rusty.

Read more