La Santa - El Quemao Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get straight into it. The next 16 days are looking pretty grim for the local scene. We’ve got a solid window of poor conditions with no real standouts to get excited about. The wind is stuck onshore from the north and north-northeast, and the swell is short-period, choppy, and messy. It’s a long stretch of nothing special.

The first real chance of a wave comes on Saturday, August 8th, but it’s a write-off. At La Santa - El Quemao, we’ve got a 6 ft swell from the NNE, but the wind is a fresh 22 mph cross-onshore, making it lumpy and unrideable. The combined swell energy is moderate at 405 (moderate), but the short period of 7 seconds means it’s weak and disorganized. The water temperature is about average for this time of year, nothing unusual.

This pattern locks in for the whole first week. From Saturday the 8th right through to Saturday the 15th, it’s the same story: swell heights between 5 ft and 7 ft, all from the NNE, with wind howling from the north at 16 to 22 mph, always cross-onshore. The swell energy climbs up to 579 (moderate) on the 15th, but with the wind tearing it up, it’s just a mess. The period never gets above 8 seconds, so it’s all windswell—no power, no shape.

The second week is a little weaker but still no good. From Sunday the 16th to Sunday the 23rd, the swell drops to 3 ft to 5 ft, and the wind stays cross-onshore or cross-shore, with speeds of 12 to 19 mph. The period slowly improves to 9-10 seconds by the 21st, but the direction is still from the north, and the wind never cleans up. The energy stays moderate, peaking at 431 (moderate) on the 21st, but it’s all for nothing.

Honestly, for the entire 16-day window, there’s nothing here worth paddling out for. The break is a reef, but with the wind howling onshore and the swell short-period, it’s just a washing machine. If you’re into kite surfing, the setup might be more interesting—there’s plenty of wind and some decent swell—but for paddle surfing, it’s a total bust. The forecast can change, but right now, I’d hang up the board and wait for a better window.

Rusty.

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