La Santa - El Quemao Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, grab your coffee, sit down, and let me, Rusty, tell you how the next couple of weeks are shaping up. It's not a pretty picture in the short run, so we gotta be patient.

Right now, things are flat and blown out. We're looking at a blank run for the first several days. From Sunday the 13th through to Wednesday morning the 16th, the swell is tiny and the wind is just not on our side. It's a proper dry spell, so don't even bother paddling out. It's going to feel like a grim wait, but hang in there.

For the first decent chance of a surf, keep an eye on Monday the 14th at first light. La Santa - El Quemao might offer something small, about 4ft from the NNE, but the wind is a clean offshore. The energy is moderate. But honestly, it's not the standout we’re looking for; it's more like a welcome hint that things could break.

After that, the wind turns messy again and stays cross-on pretty much through the whole of the next week. On Thursday the 17th, the swell does push up to 6ft to 7ft from the NNE, but the wind is howling at 22 mph from the same direction, leaving it all choppy and lumpy. That's expert-only stuff from the get-go. Look, if you’re a kite surfer, the setup from Thursday the 17th through Saturday the 19th might be interesting – there's solid wave energy but the wind is just too strong and cross-onshore for clean paddle surfing.

Now, if we're talking about the one true standout here, you have to wait. The real gem in this whole 16-day window is promising but a long way off. On Monday morning the 21st, La Santa - El Quemao gets a clean offshore wind from the NW at only 3 mph. The swell comes from the NNW, 3ft on a very long period of 16 seconds. This is proper groundswell with long lines, very clean, and just the right size for this expert-level reef. But because it's a long-period swell (over 15 seconds), it's going to bend and connect beautifully on this reef break. It might be a bit small for some, but the quality will be high. That is your best bet in the whole outlook.

Crowds are possible at La Santa - El Quemao, especially on a clean day. It’s a consistent spot, so you won't be alone when it's working. The water temperature is about average for this time of year, so no need to overthink it.

The first week is mostly a write-off. Don't charge anything until you get that very clean window around Monday the 21st. After that, the swell drops a little and the wind creeps back cross-on, but it remains surfable. All in all, save your energy for that Monday the 21st window.

Rusty.

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