Deadman's Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on the table for the next couple of weeks.

First up, the water is sitting at 64° – that's a solid 7° warmer than normal for this time of year, so you're looking at a pretty warm bath out there.

Honestly, the outlook is a bit of a struggle. We've got a long stretch of nothing much happening. From Tuesday the 11th right through to the end of the 16-day window, it's mostly poor surf conditions. The swell energy is moderate at best, with values like 300 to 538, but the wind is almost always cross or cross-on, keeping things choppy and messy. There's no standout session, no day where the stars align.

The only break on the menu is Deadman's, a beach and reef setup for advanced surfers. It's fairly consistent and exposed to the NW, but the swell is tiny and weak for most of the period. The best you'll get is a slight glimmer on Wednesday morning the 12th, with a clean cross-off breeze and a 4ft swell from the WNW with a short 8-second period. It's a marginal call, but it's the cleanest window we've got. The energy is moderate at 347, but the short period means the waves will be a bit weak and choppy.

The rest is just a grind. Swell builds slightly around the 16th and 17th with a long-period groundswell from the SW (15-16 seconds), but the wind is cross-on, ruining any chance of quality. A long-period swell like that would be better suited to a point or reef, but at Deadman's it's just going to close out. The energy is there – 538 on the 16th morning – but the wind kills it.

For the 23rd and beyond, we see a long-period swell from the SW (19 seconds) with very light wind on the 23rd morning, but the swell height is only 1ft. It's too small to do anything with. The 26th morning looks clean again with a cross-off breeze and a 1ft swell from the SW at 19 seconds, but again, it's marginal.

In short, there's no real gem here. The best you can hope for is a clean, small wave on Wednesday morning the 12th or maybe a look at the 26th, but don't get your hopes up. This is a pretty blank run for the area, and it's more normal to have these quiet spells. With the small swell and strong cross-onshore winds, this setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

Rusty.

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