Deadman's Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Deadman's has a bit of a mixed bag over the next 16 days, but honestly, it’s mostly a tale of ‘could’ve been.’ The water is running much warmer than normal for this time of year, about 63° at the moment, which is unusual for July.

The first few days are a write-off. Through Thursday, July 16th and Friday, July 17th, we’ve got a moderate cross-onshore breeze messing up a 6ft to 7ft, 8-second wind swell. The combined energy is moderate (543 to 762), but it’s just choppy and poor. Not worth paddling out for.

Saturday, July 18th looks a bit different, but still not good. The swell drops right off to 2ft, but that very long, 17-18 second period from the SW brings a surge of energy (549-646). The wind is cross-shore, so it’s not completely blown out, but the waves are tiny and weak. The swell’s direction is from the SW, which is side-on for Deadman’s optimum NW, so it’s not really wrapping in right.

Sunday, July 19th through to the 23rd is a real lull. Swell hangs around 1ft to 2ft, with a mix of short and long periods. The energy is low (16 to 317), and the wind is either cross or cross-onshore. It’s described as poor or marginal at best. Friday, July 24th shows a spike in period to 24 seconds, but the swell is still only 2ft and the wind cranks up to 19 mph cross-onshore in the afternoon. That’s a lot of energy (797) but it’s going to be lumpy and messy. Honestly, that setup looks more interesting for a kite surfer than a paddle surfer.

Now, the one standout worth keeping an eye on is Saturday, July 25th. The morning shows a 3ft, 21-second swell from the SW, with a gentle cross-shore breeze. The combined energy is massive at 1741, and it has a marginal score. This is a long-period groundswell, so it’ll have proper shape and power, but at a beach and reef break like Deadman’s, that long period can make it break a bit straight. The early morning session could be the pick of the whole 16 days if you’re an advanced surfer, but it’s a week away, so keep an eye on the forecasts.

The tail end from the 26th to the 31st keeps a similar pattern, with 3ft to 4ft swells, mostly from the SW, and persistent cross-onshore winds in the afternoons. The energy is moderate to strong (379 to 1415), but the wind is never fully offshore, so it’s always going to be a little choppy.

Bottom line: Saturday, July 25th morning is the best bet, but it’s a long way out. The rest of the window is either too small, too windy, or both. Deadman’s can be fairly consistent, but this run is a bit of a flat spell with a couple of OK moments.

Rusty

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