Deadman's Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G'day, I'm Rusty. Let's get straight into it. For the next 16 days at Deadman's, it's a bit of a mixed bag. We've got some decent long-period SW groundswells trying to push through, but the wind is a pain in the arse for most of the run. The water is sitting at 65°, which is a whopping 7° warmer than normal for this time of year – that's a wild anomaly, you'll be in boardies or a spring suit for sure.

The first sniff of something worthwhile doesn't come until Sunday the 30th of August. There's a solid SW groundswell with a 16-second period and moderate wave energy (1125), but the real story is the morning. At Deadman's, we get a light cross-offshore breeze from the SSW at 6 mph, keeping things clean. The swell is around 3 feet, and while it's a long period, this spot is a beach and reef setup, so it might not be the most perfect shape. It's a standout for being the cleanest the place will see for a while, but it's an advanced wave, so don't expect a beginner-friendly session.

The crowds here are often an issue, so expect some company on that Sunday morning. The rest of that day turns to shit in the afternoon, with the wind swinging onshore.

Monday the 31st morning has a clean look with a cross-offshore breeze, but the swell is short-period (8 seconds) and the energy is weak (228) – it’s a flat, windy mess after that. The whole first week of September is a write-off; we're talking a solid 5-day gap of poor surf from the 31st of August through to the 4th of September, with onshore winds and choppy conditions making it a no-go.

The next real glimmer is on Saturday the 5th of September. The morning is looking glassy – a NNE breeze at 3 mph, basically dead calm. The swell is 3 feet from the SW with a 16-second period, and the energy is moderate (422). It's a good window, but it's the morning only. By the afternoon, the wind swings onshore again. The same story repeats on Sunday the 6th of September morning – another glassy session, similar 3 feet SW groundswell. These are the best two mornings of the run, but they are fleeting.

After that, we get a rough patch again. Monday the 7th and Tuesday the 8th look messy. Tuesday the 8th morning actually has a bit of size – 7 feet from the WNW with a short 9-second period – but it's cross-on and lumpy. That's expert territory, and the wind is going to make it a battle. The combined energy is strong (792), but the quality is poor. For a beach and reef setup, that's more kite-surfing conditions than paddle surfing.

The final days, the 9th and 10th of September, show a slow drop in size with cross-shore winds, but nothing that screams "go." It's a tough outlook. The window is really just those Sunday and Monday mornings, and even then, it's a long-period groundswell at a beach break, so don't expect perfection.

Rusty.

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