Deadman's Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it.

First up, the water temperature is sitting at 64°F right now, which is a whopping 6°F warmer than usual for this time of year. That’s very unusual, and it’s a big talking point for Deadman’s. The ocean feels like a bath out there.

Honestly, the outlook over the next 16 days is a tough one. We’re looking at a long stretch of poor conditions with only a few glimmers of hope. The first recommendation doesn’t come until Thursday morning, the 3rd of September. Before that, we have a solid gap of over a week with nothing but onshore junk, short-period windswell, and generally messy conditions. The combined swell energy is weak for most of that time, and when it does pick up, the wind is just wrong.

The standout, and really the only window worth getting excited about, is Thursday morning, the 3rd of September. Deadman’s will see a 2ft swell from the SW with a very long period of 19 seconds. That’s proper groundswell. The wind is a light cross-offshore from the SW at 3 mph, which will leave the surface clean. The combined energy comes in at a moderate 361, and the wave comment says “expect good surf conditions.” This is a rarity in this forecast. That long period will wrap into Deadman’s nicely, but remember, it’s a beach and reef setup, so the sets might be a bit straight at the beach, but the reef should line them up. It’s an advanced break, so don’t expect a learner’s wave. Crowds are likely here, so get in early.

After that, it’s back to marginal conditions. Friday morning the 4th has a slight chance with a 3ft SW swell (18 seconds) and light cross-shore wind, but it’s a “marginal” call. The combined energy is moderate (609), but the wind is more cross than offshore, so it won’t be as clean. Saturday the 5th morning is similar, but again, it’s a gamble.

For the rest of the second week, the surf is small and the wind is mostly cross to cross-on. There’s a glassy morning on the 2nd of September with a tiny 1ft swell, but it’s a zero on the score for surf quality, so that’s a flat calm more than a surfable wave. The best advice is to keep an eye on the Thursday morning window, and after that, the forecasts can change, but right now, it’s a waiting game.

Rusty out.

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