Deadman's Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s take a long look at what’s coming up over the next couple of weeks. Gotta be straight with you, it’s going to be a tough watch for a while before we get any real windows of opportunity.

The setup for the first handful of days is pretty ugly. We’ve got moderate wave energy (values in the 400 to 600 range), but it’s all being hammered by onshore and cross-onshore winds, making for poor, choppy surf. It kicks off this Wednesday, September 9th, with a small SW swell of 2 ft and a very long 19-second period, but cross-shore winds just ruin the shape. This slop continues through the end of the week and into the weekend. Friday afternoon, September 11th, sees the swell bump up to 6 ft from the WNW, but the period drops to a short 7 seconds and the wind is messy. By Saturday, September 12th, we’re looking at a 7 ft swell from the WNW with that same short period and fresh, lumpy cross-onshore breezes. This is too big for beginners, but the quality is so poor, it’s not good for anyone. Honestly, this part of the week looks more interesting for kite surfing than for paddle surfing.

Now, Sunday morning, September 13th, is where things get interesting. Deadman's finally gets a break in the weather. The wind goes glassy, and we’ve got a 5 ft NW swell. The period is short at 7 seconds, but that clean, glassy surface is a game-changer. The energy is still moderate (518). This is the first real standout in the period, but it’s a morning-only window; the afternoon goes back to choppy onshore wind. The water temperature is about average for this time of year.

Monday morning, September 14th, is another solid call. Glassy, clean conditions with a light cross-offshore breeze, and a 4 ft WNW groundswell with a 9-second period. The energy is moderate (390). This is a tad smaller than Sunday but the wind is better, offering a really clean face.

After Monday, we hit another rough patch of onshore winds and lumpy conditions through to the end of that week.

The second week looks more promising for small, clean windows. Saturday, September 19th, and Sunday, September 20th, both offer glassy mornings with tiny 2 ft SW swells, but with very long periods (18 and 19 seconds) and moderate energy. The calm or light winds will make for a smooth surface. Then Monday, September 21st, is the best of this run: calm, glassy conditions with a 2 ft SW swell (17-second period), moderate wave energy (385). It’s small, but it will be clean and lined up. These are the pick of the second week.

Keep in mind, Deadman’s is a fairly consistent beach and reef setup, and crowds are likely here, so get there early for those morning windows. The long-period swells we’re seeing might break a little straight on a beach, but it should hold some shape around the reef.

Keep an eye on it, forecasts can change, but for now, lock in those Sunday and Monday mornings.

Rusty.

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