Deadman's Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get real about the next couple of weeks. It’s a bit of a mixed bag out there, so let’s break it down day by day.

We’re looking at a period that starts with some pretty average conditions. The energy is moderate, but the wind is going to be a constant issue, mostly cross-shore, which messes up the surface. The water temp is sitting at 64.4°F, and that’s a solid 6.8°F warmer than normal for this time of year. That’s a weird one, for sure – water’s feeling more like a bathtub than the usual late-winter chill.

First up, the early part of the week. Sunday morning has a little bit of swell, around 4.3ft from the WNW, but the light cross-shore wind and the general vibe are just marginal. It’s not a complete write-off, but it’s not going to be pretty. The energy is weak at 354. By the afternoon, the wind picks up and it turns into a cross-chop mess. Not worth paddling out for.

Monday and Tuesday follow a similar pattern. Swell stays around the 3.9ft to 4.9ft mark, but the wind is constantly cross-shore, and the wave comment just says “poor surf conditions” across the board. It’s a frustrating stretch because there’s waves, but they’re going to be lumpy and hard to ride. The energy is moderate, but it’s not translating into any quality.

Wednesday is more of the same, with a bit more wind in the afternoon. The swell is dropping a touch, but the cross-shore wind is just making it ugly. We’re looking at a few days of this, and it’s not until Thursday morning that things start to shift.

Thursday morning, we get a cleaner look. The wind is cross-offshore, light, and the surface is clean. The swell is a bit smaller, around 3.6ft from the WNW, but the period has dropped to 8 seconds, which is a bit short and junky. It’s a marginal call, but at least the surface is clean. There’s a window there, but it’s not exactly pumping.

Friday morning is the first real standout of the period. The swell drops to 2ft, but the period jumps to 15 seconds, which is a proper groundswell. The wind is light and cross-offshore, and the surface is clean. It’s small, make no mistake, but it’s going to be glassy and lined up. This is a long-period swell, so it will be best at a point or reef break. Deadman's is a beach and reef setup, so there might be some good ones on the reef. The energy is weak at 238, but the quality will be there. This is a good morning for a longboard or a fish.

The weekend sees the long-period swell start to fade, but there’s still some energy around. Saturday morning has a light cross-shore and a 17-second period, but the swell is only 3ft. It’s surfable, but the tide might be a factor. By Sunday morning, the wind drops to almost nothing, and the swell is 2.6ft with a 16-second period. The energy is up to 551, which is moderate, but it’s still small. It’s another clean morning, but you’re going to be scratching for waves.

The following week is a bit of a mixed bag. Monday morning has a similar look, but the swell is starting to get smaller. The real problem is the wind swings cross-on, which makes things choppy. The energy is still moderate, but the quality is dropping off.

From Tuesday onwards, it’s mostly small and poor. The swell drops right off, and the conditions are nothing to write home about. There’s a brief pulse on the 20th with a 5.2ft WNW swell, but the period is a short 6 seconds, and the wind is cross-shore. Not great.

The last few days of the period, from the 21st to the 24th, see a bit more size arrive. It’s mostly in the 3.6ft to 6.2ft range, but the period is short, around 6-8 seconds, and the wind is still cross. The energy is moderate, but the waves are going to be messy and sectiony. There will be a lot of whitewater and not a lot of clean faces. This is more of a challenge than a pleasure.

The standout day is Friday, August 14th. It’s small, but it’s clean, and the long-period swell will make the most of the reef. The Thursday morning before that is also a window, but it’s not as clean. There’s also a morning on the 16th that looks like it could be okay, with light winds and a clean surface, but the swell is small.

For the most part, the second week is not looking great. The swell is either too small, too short-period, or the wind ruins it. The last few days of the window have more size, but the quality is poor. It’s a lot of effort for not much reward.

If you’re a beginner, the

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