Deadman's Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s break down what Deadman's has cooking.

Honestly, straight up, it’s a bit of a tough stretch. The first run of days is pretty average, with a lot of poor surf conditions and cross-onshore chop gumming things up. The water’s sitting at a temperature that’s about what you’d expect for this time of year, nothing wild to report there.

Thursday the 13th is a washout – messy wind, junk waves. You’re better off doing something else. Friday the 14th is smaller, with a 2ft swell from the SW, but the period is 15 seconds, so there’s some decent groundswell energy in there. Problem is, wind is cross or cross-on, so it’s not going to be clean. The combined energy is moderate at 243.

Saturday morning the 15th, you get a 3ft SW swell with a 17-second period – proper long-period groundswell. There’s a gentle breeze and it’s just cross-shore, so the chop is slight. The energy is moderate (449). It’s moving into marginal territory, not terrible but you’ll be working for it. That Sunday morning the 16th is also a bit of a tease: 3ft SW, 16-second period, light cross-shore wind, and clear skies. The waves will be clean but small and inconsistent. It’s a maybe.

The real standout in this whole outlook is Tuesday the 18th. Early morning sees a jump to 6ft from the NW, with only a 8-second period. The wind is light and cross-shore – that’s the big win. Combined energy is strong at 756. The swell is 6ft, so it's right at the upper end of intermediate territory, but for a confident surfer at Deadman's, with those light winds, it’ll be the pick of the bunch. It won't be perfect – that short period means it’ll be a bit crumbly – but it’ll be the most push you’ve had in a while.

Wednesday the 19th morning pushes up to 7ft from the NW, still short period (8 seconds). That’s getting into expert-only territory, and the wind stays light and cross-shore. The energy is very strong at 1047. If you’re good and you’ve got the right board, that could be a blast, but it’s on the bigger side.

After that, the trend tails off. The end of the second week, around the 26th and 27th, there’s another pulse of 5ft to 6ft NW swell with light cross-shore winds, but those are way off – we’re talking over a week away – so treat that as promising but not locked in. The Thursday the 27th morning looks like it could be another solid, clean session with 6ft and light wind, but again, it’s a long way out.

Crowds at Deadman's are often an issue, so if you’re heading out on the 18th or 19th, expect plenty of company. The swell direction matches what this spot likes – NW is the optimum – so that’s a plus.

Overall, if I had to point you at just one day, it’s Tuesday the 18th morning. That’s your best shot. The 19th morning if you want a bigger challenge. Everything else is waiting for better days.

Rusty.

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