Deadman's Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here, and I’ve gotta be straight with you – the outlook for Deadman’s over the next 16 days is a bit of a slow burn. This is a beach-and-reef setup for the advanced crew, and it’s fairly consistent, but the conditions are mostly fighting it. We’ve got a few dates where it gets close to being worth a paddle, but nothing’s a clear winner. The first real sniff of anything is on Sunday morning, August 9th.

The overall pattern is dominated by a mix of WNW and SW swell directions, with the best period of swell energy hitting around Sunday morning, August 9th. That morning, we’ve got a 5ft swell from the WNW, with a period of 10 seconds and a combined energy of 474 (moderate). It’s a bit of a lumpy cross-shore wind from the WSW at 6 mph, so it’s not glassy, but it’s the cleanest looking window in the first week. The water temp is about average for this time of year – nothing wild to report there.

Another morning to keep an eye on is Thursday, August 13th. It’s a bit smaller at 4ft, but the swell is from the WNW with a longer period of 11 seconds (groundswell), and the combined energy is 438 (moderate). The wind is a cross-offshore breeze from the SSW at 9 mph, so it’s clean. That’s a standout for a more organised wave, but the size is modest. For the advanced crew, this could be a fun session.

The week of August 18th to 22nd shows a few mornings with 5ft swells, but the wind is always messing it up – cross-shore or cross-onshore, never clean. The period drops to 7-9 seconds, so it’s short-period, weak stuff. Not worth the drive.

The real size shows up on Wednesday afternoon, August 20th, with a 7ft swell from the WNW, but it’s got a period of only 6 seconds and a messy cross-onshore wind. That’s a big, chunky, ugly wave – only for the experts, and even then, it’s borderline dangerous. The combined energy hits 633 (moderate), but the quality is poor.

If I had to pick one true standout, it’s Sunday morning, August 9th. It’s not perfect, but it’s the best combo of size and relatively light wind. Thursday morning, August 13th, is a close second for cleaner conditions on a smaller, longer-period swell. The rest is a lot of average to poor surf.

So, keep the board waxed for those two mornings, but don’t expect a classic. The gaps are a few days at a time where you’re better off doing something else.

Rusty.

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