
Surf Forecasts:
Deadman's surf forecast from 15 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 16 Jul, 8PM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 8s period, WNW swell with 723 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Deadman's this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Deadman's in the next 16 days are 2.4m 8s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 16) at 8PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.7m 15s period and expected on Tuesday (Jul 21) at 8PM.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 8PM (Thu 16th Jul) | 8ft (2.4m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Deadman's over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on the menu for the next couple of weeks.
Right off the bat, I gotta be honest with you – it's a pretty grim stretch for Deadman's. We've got a solid run of poor surf conditions and marginal windows, but nothing that screams "drop everything and paddle out." The early part of the week is pretty much a write-off, with a lot of cross-onshore wind and choppy, lumpy water. The combined energy is there, hitting moderate levels, but that wind just ruins it.
The first real glimmer is on Friday morning, the 17th of July. We've got a 6ft swell from the WNW, with a period of 8 seconds. It's not a classic groundswell, but the energy is strong. The wind is a light cross-shore from the SW, which is the best we're going to see. It's still a bit marginal, but it's the cleanest the place will be. For an advanced spot like Deadman's, that's the only time this week you might find a few rogue ones.
After that, it drops right off. The weekend and most of the following week are a total bust. Swell heights drop to 2-3ft, and the wind is either cross-on or cross, making it a choppy, frustrating mess. There's a long, dry spell from the 18th of July all the way through to the 24th of July where the scores are just zeroes. It's going to be flat and messy.
Now, look ahead to the 25th of July, Saturday. The long-range models are hinting at something. The swell is tiny, only 3ft, but the period stretches out to a very long 21 seconds. That's a deepwater groundswell from the SW. The wind is a light cross-shore, and the energy is getting up there. That long period will make it very straight at a beachie like Deadman's, but it's a reef and river setup, so it could wrap in and offer some proper, clean lines. The main issue is the size – it's just small. For a highly skilled surfer, it might be a fun, glassy session. For the rest of us, it's a tease.
The 28th of July, Tuesday, is another similar story. A 4ft SW swell with a long 18-second period, light cross-shore winds, and strong energy. Again, it's a promising signal but too small to be a proper standout. It's a "check the cams" kind of day.
So, the honest truth? The best bet is the Friday morning the 17th for a bit of size, but it's not perfect. The long-range stuff on the 25th and 28th is the most interesting for clean conditions, but it's small and a long way out. Nothing here is a slam dunk. Keep your eyes on the forecast, because it can change, but right now, this is a lean patch.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 20°C on Tue night, min 12°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Mon afternoon, min 11°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tue 21 | |||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 7 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | W 16 | SW 17 | W 16 | W 16 | SW 16 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 15 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
215 | 232 | 459 | 555 | 389 | 581 | 521 | 458 | 237 | 188 | 243 | 258 | 174 | 203 | 297 | 267 | 242 | 245 | 299 | 221 | 174 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on |
High Tide | 11:14PM2.19m | 1:24PM1.58m | 00:06AM2.08m | 2:04PM1.62m | 00:58AM1.91m | 2:42PM1.66m | 1:51AM1.70m | 3:20PM1.69m | 2:49AM1.48m | 3:59PM1.73m | 3:56AM1.27m | 4:38PM1.76m | 5:22AM1.13m | 5:19PM1.78m | |||||||
Low Tide | 6:11AM-0.50m | 6:06PM0.79m | 6:56AM-0.41m | 7:04PM0.71m | 7:39AM-0.25m | 8:04PM0.64m | 8:21AM-0.05m | 9:08PM0.57m | 9:04AM0.17m | 10:16PM0.49m | 9:49AM0.41m | 11:25PM0.40m | 10:40AM0.64m | ||||||||
— | 5:58 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:03 | — | — | 6:03 | — | |
8:31 | — | 8:30 | — | — | 8:30 | — | — | 8:30 | — | — | 8:30 | — | — | 8:29 | — | — | 8:28 | — | — | 8:28 | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 20 | 15 | 17 | 16 | 15 | 17 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 16 | 14 | 14 | 16 |
Feels °C | 17 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 11 | 11 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 12 | SSW 13 | SW 12 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | WNW 8 | W 17 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | W 16 | WNW 8 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 15 |
61 | 62 | 37 | 90 | 89 | 124 | 110 | 298 | 214 | 128 | 91 | 243 | 51 | 98 | 68 | 267 | 242 | 245 | 299 | 221 | 174 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 17 | W 20 | W 19 | W 19 | W 18 | W 17 | SW 14 | W 16 | W 16 | SW 18 | W 16 | SW 16 | SW 17 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | S 12 | S 11 | S 10 | S 11 |
109 | 108 | 73 | 72 | 118 | 116 | 162 | 214 | 54 | 188 | 181 | 258 | 174 | 203 | 297 | 64 | 48 | 101 | 56 | 30 | 57 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 13 | W 13 | W 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 11 | SW 19 | SW 19 | SW 14 | SW 17 | SW 13 | WNW 10 | W 16 | W 15 | S 12 | S 11 | W 14 | NW 8 | W 13 | W 13 |
31 | 30 | 30 | 27 | 27 | 13 | 13 | 130 | 88 | 72 | 243 | 44 | 39 | 170 | 109 | 72 | 63 | 64 | 18 | 54 | 30 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 7 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | — | — | WNW 8 | — | — | — | — | — | WNW 8 | WNW 4 | WNW 5 | WNW 5 |
215 | 232 | 459 | 555 | 389 | 581 | 521 | 458 | 237 | — | — | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | 62 | 9 | 27 | 61 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 3 | 3 | 101 | 3 | 102 | 101 | 3 | 102 | 102 | 3 | 3 | 102 | 3 | 3 | 102 | 3 | 3 | 74 | 3 | 3 | 101 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Marin County | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Deadman's Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Deadman's provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Deadman's can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Deadman's surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Deadman's) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Deadman's may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Deadman's is 6 km (4 miles) from the city of San Francisco. If you plan a vacation in Marin County, look for hotels and other accommodation in San Francisco. San Francisco has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











