Deadman's Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. We’ve only got one spot on the cards for this outlook: Deadman’s. It’s a beach and reef setup that takes on the NW direction best, and it’s advanced territory. Right now, the water is sitting at 65°, which is much warmer than usual for this time of year.

First off, the real standout in this 16-day window is Tuesday the 15th morning. We’ve got a clean 5ft swell out of the WNW, period of 8 seconds pushing moderate combined energy (386), and a light cross-off SSW breeze. The waves are clean, the energy is there, and it’s the best shot we’ve got in the first week. Can’t be greedy with the quality here.

Wednesday the 16th and Thursday the 17th mornings are a step down. The swell drops to 2ft on Thursday, but the period jumps to 16 seconds, bringing moderate energy (271) with a light cross-off wind. It’s clean, but that long period at a beach-and-reef setup can make it a bit too straight, so don’t expect barrels.

Friday the 18th morning is a real treat—glassy conditions, 2ft of SW groundswell with a very long 19-second period. The combined energy is moderate (383), and the glassy wind is gold. This is the absolute pick of the week. It’s small, but oh so clean. The long period means better-shaped waves and easier paddling out between sets.

Saturday the 19th and Sunday the 20th get messy. Cross-on winds kill the quality, and the swell stays tiny. The energy picks up a bit on Sunday afternoon to 535, but with a fresh 19 mph cross-on, it’s a chop-fest. Forget it.

Monday the 21st morning brings a clean 3ft SW swell, 17-second period, and very high energy (672) with a light cross-off. This is a solid session if you’re keen—clean lines, good energy, and a long period that’ll hold shape.

Now, here’s the second big standout: Tuesday the 22nd morning. Deadman’s gets a glassy 4ft WNW swell with a 10-second period, and the combined energy is solid (678). No wind at all—glassed out. This is premium. Size is right for advanced surfers, and the direction matches the optimum. This is the best on offer for the whole outlook. Mark it.

Wednesday the 23rd and Thursday the 24th mornings fizzle out. The energy drops, winds turn cross or cross-on, and the swell goes back to 2ft to 2ft. Not worth it.

Friday the 25th morning is marginal with a 3ft WNW swell, 10-second period, and light cross wind. Quiet session.

Saturday the 26th sees similar conditions, but afternoon winds ruin it.

The last few days from Sunday the 27th through to Wednesday the 30th remain poor. Small swell, cross-on winds, and low energy. Monday the 28th and Tuesday the 29th mornings stay under 2ft and choppy. Wednesday the 30th morning has a tiny 3ft WNW with a 7-second period—that’s weak, short-period slop.

Bottom line: Deadman’s is the only game in town. If you’re free, hit Tuesday the 15th morning for a clean session, or wait for Friday the 18th morning when it’s glassy and smooth. But the absolute best is Tuesday the 22nd morning—4ft, glassy, and pumping energy. That’s the one to circle.

Rusty.

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