
Surf Forecasts:
Aoura surf forecast from 15 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 22 Sep, 6AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 13s period, E swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 21 Sep, 3PM (local time) - 18ft (5.5m), 14s period, E swell with 11,167 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 15 Sep, 6PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 10s period with ESE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Aoura this week:
The surf forecast for Aoura over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 15) at 6PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.4m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 15s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Aoura in the next 16 days are 5.5m 14s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Sep 21) at 3PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.7m 4s period and expected on Wednesday (Sep 16) at 12PM.
| Wave Type | Time (JST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 6PM (Tue 15th Sep) | 4.5ft (1.4m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 6AM (Tue 22nd Sep) | 11ft (3.5m) 13s |
| Most Powerful | 3PM (Mon 21st Sep) | 18ft (5.5m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Aoura over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get straight into it for Aoura. It’s a bit of a slow cooker, so don't expect an instant pick-up.
We’re looking at a split window here. The first few days are pretty average, but the real grunt arrives from the 19th onwards, ramping up into a solid run of groundswell. The first standout is a no-brainer, and a second one later in the period might just be worth a look if you’re patient.
Tuesday 15th - Thursday 18th: The Wait
Honestly, forget the first few days. From Tuesday 15th through Thursday 18th, the wind and swell are a mess. The setup is all cross-shore, the combined energy is weak (lowest around 283) and the swell periods are short and mushy at 8-9 seconds. You’re looking at lumpy, chopped-out lines. Not worth paddling out for.
Friday 19th - Monday 22nd: The Bigger Stuff Rolls In
Now we’re talking. Friday 19th sees the first pulse of serious energy, but the wind is still cranking cross-shore at 16 mph. By dawn on Saturday 20th we’ve got a clean, glassy-offshore look (NNE, 16 mph cross-off) with a healthy 12 ft ESE swell at a long 14 seconds. That’s powerful. The combined energy is huge, reading 4606. This is groundswell packing a punch. For an exposed reef like Aoura, this could be a proper session, but the crowd potential is there – it's often busy.
Then Sunday morning 21st gets *big*. We’re looking at a 16 ft swell from the ESE with a 14-second period. The energy reading is astronomical at 11551. This is expert territory only. If you’re not locked in and confident, stay on the sand and watch. The wind stays cross-off at 25 mph, so the face will be clean, but it’s a freight train.
Tuesday 22nd: The Cleanest Window
Tuesday 22nd morning is the absolute standout of this entire forecast. The swell drops to a very manageable 10 ft from the east with a 12-second period, but the real story is the wind. We’ve got a clean cross-off breeze from the WNW at only 9 mph (light breeze). The energy is still strong at 2363, but the conditions are described as excellent for experienced surfers. This is the day. The water temp is about average for the time of year at 82°. The swell direction (E) is a little off the optimum (NE), but with the glassy lines and the power, that’s a minor detail. If you can get out there, this is the one.
Wednesday 23rd - Sunday 27th: The Let-Down and a Late Surprise
The swell completely collapses from Wednesday 23rd. Swell heights drop below 5 ft with weak energy and crappy cross-shore winds. A total flat spell. This gap lasts a good few days.
Sunday 27th & Monday 28th: The Second Surge
Just as you’re about to give up, the end of the period lights up again. Sunday 27th morning brings a 6 ft swell from the SE with a long 13-second period, and a light cross-off breeze (NNE, 9 mph). Energy is solid at 1195. The conditions are excellent for experienced surfers. It’s not the size of the 22nd, but it’s clean and punchy.
Taking the crown though, is Monday 28th morning. Glassy conditions. Dead calm. Zero wind. A 7 ft SE groundswell rolling in at 14 seconds. Energy is pumping at 2320. That is a rare, perfect morning for a reef break. The water feels normal for this time of year. This is your second standout, though it’s a longer-range call, so don’t lock it in just yet.
After that, the energy fades out fast with weak, short-period chop returning.
Best on Offer: Tuesday 22nd morning for the best combination of size, power, and clean cross-off conditions. Monday 28th morning for the absolute glass and a solid, long-period groundswell.
Rusty, signing off.
Short Range ForecastHeavy rain (total 28mm), heaviest during Tue night. Warm (max 27°C on Tue morning, min 24°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Fri morning. Warm (max 27°C on Sun afternoon, min 23°C on Sat night). Mainly fresh winds. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 15 | Wednesday 16 | Thursday 17 | Friday 18 | Saturday 19 | Sunday 20 | Monday 21 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ENE 8 | E 8 | ENE 7 | E 8 | E 9 | E 10 | ESE 15 | E 14 | ESE 14 | ESE 14 | ESE 14 | ESE 14 | ESE 14 | E 14 | E 14 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
399 | 334 | 266 | 211 | 173 | 113 | 303 | 207 | 292 | 569 | 896 | 1600 | 1776 | 4448 | 4425 | 4606 | 6200 | 7650 | 10900 | 11167 | 6933 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | glassy | on | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 8:08PM2.04m | 9:13AM1.80m | 8:32PM1.96m | 9:59AM1.67m | 8:57PM1.87m | 11:04AM1.55m | 9:26PM1.76m | 1:20PM1.50m | 10:15PM1.64m | 3:30PM1.58m | 00:21AM1.56m | 4:06PM1.68m | 2:25AM1.61m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 2:14PM0.91m | 2:44AM0.54m | 2:39PM1.08m | 3:20AM0.63m | 3:05PM1.22m | 4:04AM0.74m | 3:34PM1.35m | 5:07AM0.84m | 4:37PM1.46m | 6:49AM0.88m | 8:06PM1.46m | 8:30AM0.81m | 9:31PM1.33m | ||||||||
5:56 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | |
— | 6:21 | — | — | 6:19 | — | — | 6:17 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — | 6:15 | — | — | 6:14 | — | — | 6:13 | — | |
mm | 1 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 1 | — | 1 | 4 | 5 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 27 | 27 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 27 | 26 | 26 | 27 | 28 |
Feels °C | 31 | 31 | 30 | 28 | 28 | 26 | 25 | 24 | 23 | 24 | 24 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 23 | 24 | 22 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | E 8 | E 13 | E 8 | SE 9 | S 9 | E 10 | E 10 | E 14 | ESE 14 | ESE 14 | ESE 14 | ESE 14 | ESE 14 | E 14 | E 14 |
399 | 334 | 266 | 211 | 173 | 113 | 208 | 78 | 223 | 3 | 2 | 1107 | 949 | 4448 | 4425 | 4606 | 6200 | 7650 | 10900 | 11167 | 6933 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 7 | E 15 | E 14 | E 14 | E 14 | E 13 | E 13 | SE 8 | E 12 | S 10 | SE 8 | E 17 | ESE 15 | S 8 | S 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
1 | 39 | 33 | 142 | 100 | 84 | 84 | 3 | 45 | 2 | 3 | 144 | 1776 | 6 | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 7 | S 7 | E 16 | S 7 | S 7 | S 7 | — | — | — | SE 8 | — | S 9 | — | S 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
1 | 1 | 45 | 1 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | 3 | — | 6 | — | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | NNE 3 | NE 3 | NE 4 | NE 5 | ENE 8 | E 8 | ENE 7 | E 8 | E 9 | E 10 | E 11 | — | N 4 | — | NNE 6 | — | NNE 7 | NNE 7 | — |
— | — | 1 | 4 | 10 | 32 | 303 | 207 | 292 | 569 | 896 | 1600 | 1661 | — | 7 | — | 169 | — | 651 | 778 | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 1 | 0 | 32 | 32 | 32 | 32 | 32 | 58 | 136 | 298 | 32 | 32 | 32 | 32 | 32 | 32 | 302 | 302 | 302 | 752 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Kyu Shu | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Japan | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Aoura Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Aoura provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Aoura can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Aoura surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Aoura) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Aoura may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Aoura is 9 km (6 miles) from Nichinan. If you plan a holiday in Kyu Shu, look for hotels and other accommodation in Nichinan. Nichinan has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










