
Surf Forecasts:
Aoura surf forecast from 28 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 3 Aug, 9PM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 16s period, ESE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 4 Aug, 3PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 18s period, ESE swell with 4,324 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 28 Jul, 9PM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.5m), 10s period with ESE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Aoura this week:
The surf forecast for Aoura over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 28) at 9PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.5m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.7m and 4s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Aoura in the next 16 days are 2.5m 18s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 04) at 3PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 4s period and expected on Tuesday (Jul 28) at 6PM.
| Wave Type | Time (JST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 9PM (Tue 28th Jul) | 1.5ft (0.5m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 9PM (Mon 3rd Aug) | 6.5ft (2.0m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 3PM (Tue 4th Aug) | 8ft (2.5m) 18s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Aoura over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, let me get my bearings here. The surf at Aoura looks like a slow burn. We’ve got a long stretch of pretty flat, weak conditions to kick things off, but there’s a serious pulse of energy brewing for the first week of August. Let’s break it down.
For the first few days, it’s a real struggle. Tuesday the 28th through to the end of July, we’re seeing tiny swell around 1 ft to 2 ft, with periods mostly under 10 seconds. The combined energy is weak, barely cracking 70 (63). Winds are a mixed bag, but the waves just aren’t there. Wednesday morning the 29th has a bit of clean offshore wind from the NW, but the swell is too small to get excited about. Saturday the 1st of August morning is similar – glassy and clean, but with only 1 ft on offer (27 weak energy). That’s a lot of flat days in a row, about six days of nothing really worth paddling out for.
Then things start to wake up. Sunday the 2nd of August afternoon sees a slight bump to 2 ft, but the period jumps to 13 seconds, pushing the combined energy to 235 (moderate). It’s still a marginal call, but you can feel the ocean waking up.
Now, here’s where it gets interesting. Monday the 3rd of August morning is the first real standout. Aoura is a reef break, and the swell is set to build to 5 ft from the ESE, with a very long period of 16 seconds. The combined energy jumps to 999 (strong). The wind is cross-offshore from the NNE, keeping things clean. This is a big, long-period groundswell, and at a reef, that’s prime. The water temp is sitting at 84°, which is about normal for this time of year.
Monday afternoon the swell lifts to 6 ft with a 17-second period, but the wind swings cross-shore, adding a bit of chop. Still, this is the best window of the whole outlook. It’s a serious swell, but at 5 ft to 6 ft, it’s still accessible for good intermediates, though the long period will make the sets pack a punch.
Tuesday the 4th of August gets bigger – 8 ft with an 18-second period, and the energy is very strong (3675 to 4467). The wind is cross-shore from the NE, creating some cross-chop. At 8 ft, this is getting into expert territory, especially on a reef with that kind of period. The long period will make it unload, and the sets will be spaced out, so paddling out is easier, but the take-off is critical.
The big one is Wednesday the 5th of August. Morning sees 15 ft from the E, with an 18-second period, and the energy is absolutely pumping at 12035 (very strong). The wind is cross-offshore from the NNE, keeping it clean. This is huge. But, and this is a big but, it’s 15 ft. That’s well over 8 ft, so this is strictly for experts only. The afternoon sees 16 ft, and the guidance says it might be too big for this break. The reef could be shutting down, or it could be a washing machine. For a surfer who knows the spot, this is a life-changing day, but it’s a serious call.
Thursday the 6th of August morning is still big at 15 ft, but the wind picks up to a strong breeze of 25 mph, making it challenging. The wind ramps up into a near gale by the afternoon, and the swell drops to 8 ft, but the conditions are trashed.
From Friday the 7th of August onwards, it’s a write-off. A severe gale hits, with 53-59 mph winds, making the ocean a complete mess. The swell drops back to under 3 ft, and the energy is weak. There’s a bit of a bump again on Monday the 10th of August afternoon with 6 ft, but the wind is onshore and choppy. Tuesday the 11th of August morning has a 10 ft swell with clean cross-offshore wind, but the period is only 10 seconds, so it’s a bit weaker than the big event. The afternoon gets blown out by 25 mph winds.
So, the standout is hands down Monday the 3rd of August and Tuesday the 4th of August morning. The first good window is Monday morning. If you’re an expert, Wednesday the 5th of August is the big dance, but you need to know what you’re doing. The crowds at Aoura are often there, so expect company on those days.
This is Rusty, signing off.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 33°C on Tue afternoon, min 26°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 31°C on Fri afternoon, min 26°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | Friday 31 | Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | Monday 3 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 11 | ESE 15 | ESE 14 | ESE 13 | ESE 16 | ESE 16 | ESE 17 | ESE 16 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
55 | 55 | 56 | 56 | 56 | 55 | 37 | 36 | 34 | 33 | 28 | 28 | 17 | 40 | 47 | 64 | 141 | 620 | 999 | 1574 | 2717 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-on | cross-off | off | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | on | cross-off | glassy | on | off | off | on | off | cross | on | glassy | cross-off | cross | cross-off |
High Tide | 6:37PM1.90m | 5:30AM1.95m | 7:05PM1.93m | 6:06AM2.00m | 7:32PM1.95m | 6:42AM2.02m | 7:58PM1.97m | 7:17AM2.01m | 8:23PM1.98m | 7:55AM1.99m | 8:48PM1.99m | 8:35AM1.93m | 9:15PM1.99m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 11:46AM0.34m | 00:00AM1.12m | 12:20PM0.28m | 00:32AM1.04m | 12:52PM0.25m | 1:03AM0.97m | 1:22PM0.26m | 1:35AM0.90m | 1:51PM0.31m | 2:08AM0.83m | 2:20PM0.41m | 2:43AM0.76m | 2:51PM0.54m | ||||||||
5:26 | — | — | 5:26 | — | — | 5:28 | — | — | 5:28 | — | — | 5:28 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | |
— | 7:14 | — | — | 7:13 | — | — | 7:12 | — | — | 7:10 | — | — | 7:10 | — | — | 7:09 | — | — | 7:08 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 |
Temp °C | 31 | 33 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 29 | 32 | 32 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 29 | 30 | 30 | 29 | 30 | 30 | 29 | 30 | 30 | 28 |
Feels °C | 33 | 35 | 32 | 33 | 33 | 31 | 36 | 35 | 32 | 32 | 33 | 33 | 32 | 32 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 34 | 33 | 33 | 32 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | ESE 14 | ESE 13 | ESE 16 | ESE 16 | ESE 17 | ESE 16 |
55 | 55 | 56 | 56 | 56 | 55 | 37 | 36 | 34 | 33 | 28 | 28 | 17 | 40 | 47 | 64 | 141 | 620 | 999 | 1574 | 2717 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 8 | S 8 | S 5 | S 8 | S 8 | S 7 | S 7 | S 7 | S 7 | S 7 | NE 4 | — | E 12 | E 18 | ESE 15 | SE 9 | ESE 16 | S 8 | S 7 | ENE 15 | E 6 |
32 | 21 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | — | 3 | 7 | 43 | 20 | 90 | 5 | 4 | 42 | 75 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 14 | ESE 13 | S 8 | ESE 13 | SE 13 | — | E 13 | E 15 | E 13 | E 12 | S 7 | S 7 | E 19 | E 16 | E 18 | ESE 11 | S 8 | ENE 16 | SSE 10 | S 7 | S 7 |
7 | 17 | 11 | 17 | 7 | — | 3 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 24 | 1 | 85 | 9 | 4 | 4 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 3 | S 4 | SW 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NE 5 | — | — | ENE 4 | — |
1 | 4 | 21 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | — | — | 11 | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 1 | 324 | 0 | 0 | 32 | 1 | 20 | 790 | 20 | 310 | 915 | 899 | 2441 | 374 | 0 | 4 | 136 | 0 | 0 | 32 | 4 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Kyu Shu | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Japan | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Aoura Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Aoura provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Aoura can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Aoura surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Aoura) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Aoura may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Aoura is 9 km (6 miles) from Nichinan. If you plan a holiday in Kyu Shu, look for hotels and other accommodation in Nichinan. Nichinan has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










