
Surf Forecasts:
Aoura surf forecast from 15 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 15 Jul, 9PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 5s period, SSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 22 Jul, 9PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 11s period, E swell with 154 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 15 Jul, 9PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 5s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Aoura this week:
The surf forecast for Aoura over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 9PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.0m and 5s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Aoura in the next 16 days are 0.8m 11s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 22) at 9PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 8s period and expected on Thursday (Jul 16) at 12AM.
| Wave Type | Time (JST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 9PM (Wed 15th Jul) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 5s |
| Best Surf | 9PM (Wed 15th Jul) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 5s |
| Most Powerful | 9PM (Wed 22nd Jul) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 11s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Aoura over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let's talk about the local scene.
First up, we’re looking at a pretty quiet stretch for a while. Aoura is a reef break that needs a specific swell direction to really work, and it’s just not getting it for the next week or so. We’ve got a run of tiny, weak swell with cross-off or onshore winds that’s going to keep things frustratingly small and messy. The water temp is sitting at 82°F, which is pretty much what you’d expect for this time of year.
For the first several days, from Wednesday the 15th right through to Monday the 21st, you’re looking at knee-high slop at best with very low energy. The wind is mostly cross-off or cross, and while there are a few glassy moments like Friday morning (17th) and Friday afternoon (17th), the swell is so small (around 2ft) from the east that it’s barely surfable. It’s a waiting game.
Saturday the 18th and Sunday the 19th bring a little more size (about 2ft) but the wind swings around to the south and becomes cross-on, turning the ocean into a choppy mess. Not worth paddling out. Monday the 20th sees a brief window of light NNE winds (cross-off) and small waves, but it’s still marginal.
From Tuesday the 22nd, we start to see the energy build. The swell stays small but the period stretches out to 11 seconds, and the combined energy climbs. That’s still just weak to moderate energy, and the winds aren’t ideal—cross or cross-on. It’s not until Wednesday the 23rd morning that we get a glassy, clean session with about 3ft swell from the east (11-second period), and that’s the first real chance for a few fun little runners on the reef. Still, it’s very ordinary.
There’s a long gap of mediocrity after that until we hit the standout window. Keep your eyes on Thursday the 30th of July. That morning, Aoura is looking like the real deal. We’re seeing a 5ft swell from the ESE with a 16-second period—that’s proper groundswell, long lines, and plenty of push. Combined energy is massive. The wind is a light NNE breeze, cross-off and clean. This is excellent surf for experienced crew looking for a reef with power. The afternoon bumps up to 6ft with a 15-second period, but the wind swings cross-shore, so the morning is your peak. This is the standout. It’ll be a quality session for advanced surfers, though expect some crowd pressure as it’s often busy here.
Also worth a mention is the morning of Tuesday the 29th of July. Not quite as big (about 2ft, 13-second period) but the wind is clean cross-off from the NNE, and the energy is still healthy. It’s a good warm-up for the main event the next day.
Bottom line: the next week is mostly flat and messy, but don’t get bummed. The second week, especially Thursday the 30th, has a proper pulse of long-period groundswell with clean conditions. That’s the one to circle on the calendar.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 33°C on Wed afternoon, min 27°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 32°C on Sat afternoon, min 26°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wed 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | |||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | E 10 | E 10 | ESE 10 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 10 | E 9 | E 10 | E 10 | E 11 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
33 | 33 | 31 | 29 | 29 | 47 | 45 | 31 | 58 | 58 | 57 | 54 | 59 | 61 | 60 | 58 | 87 | 83 | 87 | 96 | 146 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross | cross-on | off | cross-off | on | glassy | cross-off | on | cross-off | cross |
High Tide | 7:43PM2.03m | 6:51AM2.11m | 8:20PM2.01m | 7:40AM2.07m | 8:56PM1.97m | 8:28AM1.97m | 9:29PM1.93m | 9:16AM1.84m | 10:01PM1.88m | 10:08AM1.68m | 10:33PM1.83m | 11:10AM1.54m | 11:07PM1.78m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 1:13AM0.99m | 1:40PM0.01m | 1:56AM0.91m | 2:21PM0.13m | 2:40AM0.85m | 3:00PM0.31m | 3:24AM0.81m | 3:37PM0.53m | 4:11AM0.80m | 4:13PM0.76m | 5:03AM0.81m | 4:50PM0.97m | 6:04AM0.82m | ||||||||
— | — | 5:18 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | |
7:20 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:19 | — | — | 7:19 | — | — | 7:19 | — | — | 7:17 | — | — | 7:17 | — | 7:16 | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 33 | 28 | 33 | 33 | 28 | 30 | 30 | 28 | 30 | 32 | 28 | 30 | 30 | 28 | 29 | 29 | 28 | 28 | 29 | 28 | 29 |
Feels °C | 34 | 31 | 36 | 36 | 32 | 35 | 36 | 33 | 33 | 34 | 32 | 34 | 32 | 32 | 33 | 34 | 33 | 32 | 33 | 32 | 33 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 8 | S 8 | SSW 8 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | E 10 | E 10 | ESE 10 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 10 | E 9 | E 10 | E 10 | E 11 |
21 | 33 | 19 | 29 | 29 | 47 | 45 | 31 | 58 | 58 | 57 | 54 | 59 | 61 | 60 | 58 | 87 | 83 | 87 | 96 | 146 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | SSW 7 | SSW 7 | SSW 7 | S 7 | E 8 | SSW 7 | SE 8 | SSW 4 | SSW 6 | S 6 | S 4 | SSE 9 | SE 8 | SSW 4 | SE 8 | SE 8 | E 12 | SE 8 |
33 | 33 | 31 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 21 | 5 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 2 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 10 | SE 10 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | SSW 7 | ESE 9 | SE 9 | SSW 7 | SE 9 | SE 13 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | SE 8 | SE 12 | S 7 | SW 8 | SE 8 | S 7 | E 13 | SSW 7 | S 7 |
16 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 21 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 3 | SSW 8 | SW 5 | — | SW 6 | WSW 6 | — | — | SSW 7 | SW 7 | SSW 5 | SW 4 | SSW 4 | — | — | S 7 | — | — | — | — | — |
6 | 112 | 25 | — | 14 | 26 | — | — | 18 | 12 | 14 | 5 | 5 | — | — | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 1 | 1 | 13 | 83 | 1 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 726 | 0 | 0 | 310 | 0 | 0 | 324 | 0 | 28 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Kyu Shu | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Japan | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Aoura Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Aoura provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Aoura can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Aoura surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Aoura) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Aoura may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Aoura is 9 km (6 miles) from Nichinan. If you plan a holiday in Kyu Shu, look for hotels and other accommodation in Nichinan. Nichinan has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











