Aoura Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right, let’s have a look at what’s cooking for Aoura over the next couple of weeks. I’ll be honest with you, mate – it’s a slow start, and there’s a proper long gap of nothing worth chasing. But there is a late burst of proper energy that could make it all worthwhile if you’re patient.

We’re looking at a reef break that’s for advanced surfers only in Aoura. It’s inconsistent, and when it’s small, it’s just not doing much. The water’s sitting at 82°F, which is pretty normal for the time of year, nothing wild there.

From the 18th right through until the 26th of July, it’s lean. Real lean. The swell is tiny, mostly around 1ft to 2ft, coming from the east with a short period of 9 to 10 seconds, so the energy is weak (68 to 89 on the combined energy scale). The combined energy is low, barely reaching three digits. Winds are a mixed bag, but there are a few glassy mornings – like Sunday the 19th, Monday the 20th, Tuesday the 21st, and Wednesday the 22nd – where the ocean is clean but the waves are just too small and weak to get excited about. The best you could say is “surfable but ordinary.” There’s a long stretch of quiet.

Then the real story kicks in. On Monday the 27th of July, things finally wake up. A solid southeast groundswell arrives, with a very long period of 15 to 16 seconds, meaning proper energy. The combined energy jumps up to 1538 to 2097, telling you there’s strong wave energy in the water. The swell height is 6ft to 7ft, and the wind is cross-offshore from the northeast, keeping it clean. This is the standout of the entire forecast. The water will be a bit lumpy with the risk of thunderstorms, but the surf quality will be there. For a reef break, that long period (over 15 seconds) is a bonus – it’ll wrap nicely and give you those long, clean walls. But at over 5ft, it’s not for beginners, and by the afternoon at 7ft, it’s getting into expert territory.

Tuesday the 28th of July pushes it even further. The swell builds to 10ft to 12ft, with a period of up to 17 seconds, and the combined energy is massive – 3300 to 6745. That’s serious power. The wind stays cross-offshore from the north, but it’s strong – 25 mph – so it’s going to be a wild, challenging session. Only for the experienced. The rain and wind will make it feel raw.

Wednesday the 29th holds size, with 10ft to 12ft, but the wind swings more westerly, still cross-off, and the period drops to 13-15 seconds. Still powerful, but the quality drops a notch as the swell starts to fade. The combined energy is still high (2678 to 5736).

After that, it drops off a cliff. From Thursday the 30th onward, the swell crashes back to 2ft to 3ft, and the energy is gone. The glassy morning on the 1st of August with 1.0ft is just a flat calm – not worth paddling out.

So, the true standout is Monday the 27th of July. That’s the day to circle. The combination of a long-period southeast groundswell, clean cross-offshore winds, and strong wave energy will give you the best waves of the whole 16-day window. Tuesday the 28th is also massive, but it’s for the brave and the strong. The rest of the first week is a write-off, and the second week fizzles out fast.

Stay patient, and be ready for that late July pulse.

Rusty.

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