Aoura Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty, and we're looking at a mixed bag for Aoura over the next few weeks. We've got a tricky start with plenty of waiting, but there's some real potential hidden in the long-range if you can be patient.

First thing to note: the water's sitting right around 82°, pretty much dead on average for this time of year, so no surprises there. The tide might be a factor early on, so keep that in mind.

Right, the first real swell worth paddling out for isn't until the morning of Sunday the 13th of September. We've got a clean 3ft swell coming from the ESE with a very long period of 14 seconds, which is proper groundswell energy. The combined energy is moderate at 255. The wind is light and cross-offshore from the NNE, so it'll be clean. Aoura is an exposed reef break, and that long period will make for some serious, lined-up waves. Be warned, it's for advanced surfers and is rated as inconsistent, and it can get crowded. A 14-second interval on a reef like this is perfect—the sets will have plenty of power.

Monday the 14th looks similar, with a bit more size at 4ft from the ESE, period dropping to 8 seconds, combined energy at 274. The cross-off wind holds, so the morning session will be your best bet for clean conditions.

Tuesday the 15th is probably the standout of this first week. Morning sees the swell bumping up to 4ft from the ESE, a 9-second period, and combined energy hitting 347. With a light NNE breeze (10 km/h) blowing cross-off, the surface will be clean. That's your window.

The consistency runs through Wednesday the 16th and Thursday the 17th with clean, cross-off mornings and similar ESE swell, but the size drops back to around the 3ft mark. The energy levels stay in the moderate bracket.

Then we hit a big gap. From Friday the 18th through to Wednesday the 24th of September, it's a write-off for good surfing. We get a massive pulse of swell on the weekend of the 19th and 20th – we're talking 15ft to 16ft from the ESE with 15-16 second periods, and combined energy in the ten-thousands (10315 to 10520). That's a huge amount of power. But the issue is the wind. It's howling from the NE at 35-40 km/h, creating a fresh, lumpy cross-chop. For a point break or river mouth, it might hold, but at an exposed reef like Aoura, it's going to be a messy, dangerous beast. Only for the absolute experts, and even then, the quality will be poor. The following days are plagued by gale-force winds from the NE and then even a storm-force 95 km/h southerly on the 24th that will tear everything apart. Honestly, this stretch looks more interesting for a kite surfer than a paddle surfer, given the wind strengths.

After that storm passes, the model cleans right up. On the morning of Saturday the 26th of September, a full two weeks away, we get a fantastic call. The swell drops to a much more manageable 8ft from the ESE, with a clean 12-second period. The combined energy is a solid 2116. But the real kicker is the wind: glassy. Dead calm from the north. For an exposed reef break, that is as good as it gets. It's glassy, it's got size, and it's from a good direction. This is the standout of the whole 16-day window. It's a long way out, so treat that as a promising but not certain bet, but if it lines up, that’s the day to block out.

So, to sum it up: you’ve got a solid run of clean, chest-to-head-high waves from the 13th to the 17th of September, with Tuesday the 15th being the pick of that bunch. Then a big, angry, windy gap for over a week, followed by a potentially epic glassy day on the 26th of September. Set your alarm for that one.

Rusty.

Read more