Aoura Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G'day, Rusty here. Look, I’ll be straight with you—this 16-day window is a bit of a mixed bag for Aoura, and it’s going to take some patience. The first week is pretty grim, with a whole lot of nothing happening until the middle of the second week. We’ve got a solid run of days with no real recommendations, so don’t bother checking the cam until the 15th.

Let’s start with the early part. From Wednesday the 9th through to the 14th, it’s a write-off. The swell is small, the wind is mostly cross or cross-on, and the energy is weak. On the 9th morning, you’ve got a 4ft SE swell at 8 seconds, but it’s cross-on and the energy is low (229). The sea surface is a normal 83°F, about average for this time of year. Wednesday afternoon gets worse with a fresh 19 mph cross wind. Thursday the 10th sees a bit more size, 6ft ENE, but the period is short (7 seconds) and the wind is lumpy. Friday to Sunday the 11th-13th is tiny, with waves under 3ft and only a few spells of clean conditions, but the swell is too weak to bother with. Monday the 14th is still marginal.

Now, the first real window of opportunity shows up on Tuesday the 15th. That morning, the wind goes glassy, and we’ve got a 4ft ESE swell at 9 seconds. The energy is moderate (283). The afternoon is also glassy, with a 4ft swell. This is your best bet early on. Wednesday the 16th stays glassy again, with 3-3ft swell. The wind is light and the conditions are clean. It’s not huge, but it’s the cleanest we’ve seen.

Thursday the 17th and Friday the 18th are still surfable with clean cross-off winds, but the swell drops to 3ft and then 2ft, so it’s fizzling out. Saturday the 19th is ordinary.

The real standout is Sunday the 20th. That morning, we see a 2ft SE groundswell with a 13-second period, clean cross-off winds, and moderate energy (258). The afternoon gets interesting—the swell jumps to 3ft from the SE with a very long 15-second period, and the energy spikes to 568. That’s a good sign, but the wind is cross, so it’s not perfect. Still, the long period means decent shape, and this is a reef break, so it handles that well.

Then, Monday the 21st morning: a 5ft SE swell with a 13-second period and a massive energy jump to 1141. The wind is cross, so it won’t be glassy, but that’s a lot of power. This is a big groundswell, and with that period, it’ll be heaving on the reef. Not for beginners—over 5ft is pushing it for the inexperienced. The afternoon drops off with a messy ENE windswell.

Tuesday the 22nd brings a 6ft E swell at 8 seconds, but it’s cross-on and lumpy. The energy is strong (679), but the quality is poor. Wednesday the 23rd is a better bet: a 5ft E swell with clean cross-off winds, moderate energy (290). Still a short period, but it’s rideable.

The final note is Thursday the 24th. That morning, the swell is massive—23ft from the SE with a 15-second period and an insane energy of 26226. That’s way too big for this break. It’s a warning: only for experts, and even then, it’s likely too big for safe paddling. The afternoon is 15ft, still huge. The wind is messy, so if you’re a kiter, this setup might be more interesting than a paddle session.

Rusty.

Read more