
Surf Forecasts:
Aoura surf forecast from 16 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 17 Jul, 9PM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.5m), 10s period, E swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 22 Jul, 12PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 11s period, E swell with 110 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 17 Jul, 9PM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.5m), 10s period with E swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Aoura this week:
The surf forecast for Aoura over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 17) at 9PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.5m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 5s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Aoura in the next 16 days are 0.7m 11s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 22) at 12PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.5m 4s period and expected on Monday (Jul 20) at 9AM.
| Wave Type | Time (JST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 9PM (Fri 17th Jul) | 1.5ft (0.5m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 9PM (Fri 17th Jul) | 1.5ft (0.5m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 12PM (Wed 22nd Jul) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 11s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Aoura over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here, let’s talk about what’s on offer for Aoura over the next couple of weeks.
Honestly, it’s a pretty slow start. The first week and a half or so will leave you staring at mostly flat, weak, and messy conditions. We’ve got a long stretch from Thursday, July 16th, right through to around Saturday, July 25th, where the swell is tiny – barely 1ft to 2ft – and the combined wave energy is very weak, hovering between 48 and 118. The water temp is sitting at a pretty average 82°F, nothing unusual for this time of year. Most of the time the winds are cross-shore or onshore, so don’t expect much. There are a few glassy windows on the mornings of the 17th, 19th, 20th, and 22nd, but even then the waves are just too gutless to get excited about. Friday morning the 17th is glassy with a tiny 2ft easterly swell, but it’s just not worth paddling out for.
Things finally start to look more interesting right at the tail end of the month. Monday, July 27th, we see a jump in size – 5ft in the morning building to 6ft in the afternoon, with a moderate combined swell energy (583) and a longer period of 11 to 12 seconds from the SE. That’s a proper groundswell. But the wind is cross-onshore, which will keep the surface lumpy. This is more of a kite-surfing setup than clean paddle surfing, to be honest.
Tuesday, July 28th, is the standout, but it’s a big one. We’re looking at a 10ft SE swell with a very long period of 12 to 13 seconds, and the combined energy is pumping at a massive 2889. The problem is, that’s expert territory – over 8ft, it’s only for the experienced crew. Add in that the wind is still cross-onshore, so it’ll be raw and challenging. Also, that long period groundswell can make a reef like Aoura (Aoura) pitchy; it’s an exposed reef break that’s already for advanced surfers, and it’s inconsistent, so it doesn’t break often. When it does, it’s a proper beast. Expect crowds to be likely. If you’ve got the skill and the nerve, that’s the day to aim for, but it’s a long way off, so keep an eye on it – the call is less certain that far out.
For the rest of us, there’s really nothing on the menu until that last week. It’s a bleak run for a while, but with breaks like this, it can turn around quick.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastSome drizzle, heaviest during Fri afternoon. Warm (max 33°C on Thu afternoon, min 27°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Sun afternoon. Warm (max 30°C on Sun afternoon, min 27°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Thu 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | Wednesday 22 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | E 10 | E 10 | ESE 10 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 10 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 11 | E 10 | E 11 | E 10 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
29 | 29 | 46 | 45 | 31 | 60 | 57 | 57 | 56 | 60 | 64 | 65 | 60 | 60 | 58 | 78 | 108 | 98 | 110 | 104 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | on | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | glassy | cross | cross-off | glassy | on | off | cross-off | on | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | glassy |
High Tide | 8:20PM2.01m | 7:40AM2.07m | 8:56PM1.97m | 8:28AM1.97m | 9:29PM1.93m | 9:16AM1.84m | 10:01PM1.88m | 10:08AM1.68m | 10:33PM1.83m | 11:10AM1.54m | 11:07PM1.78m | 12:36PM1.45m | 11:49PM1.73m | |||||||
Low Tide | 1:56AM0.91m | 2:21PM0.13m | 2:40AM0.85m | 3:00PM0.31m | 3:24AM0.81m | 3:37PM0.53m | 4:11AM0.80m | 4:13PM0.76m | 5:03AM0.81m | 4:50PM0.97m | 6:04AM0.82m | 5:36PM1.16m | ||||||||
— | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | |
7:20 | — | — | 7:19 | — | — | 7:19 | — | — | 7:19 | — | — | 7:17 | — | — | 7:17 | — | — | 7:16 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 33 | 28 | 29 | 29 | 28 | 30 | 31 | 28 | 30 | 30 | 28 | 30 | 30 | 29 | 28 | 29 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 28 |
Feels °C | 36 | 32 | 34 | 34 | 34 | 34 | 34 | 32 | 35 | 33 | 33 | 35 | 35 | 35 | 32 | 33 | 32 | 33 | 33 | 32 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | E 10 | E 10 | ESE 10 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 10 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 11 | E 10 | E 11 | E 10 |
29 | 29 | 46 | 45 | 31 | 60 | 57 | 57 | 56 | 60 | 64 | 65 | 60 | 60 | 58 | 78 | 108 | 98 | 110 | 104 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 7 | S 7 | S 7 | S 7 | E 8 | S 7 | SE 8 | S 4 | SSW 4 | SE 8 | SSW 4 | SSE 9 | SE 9 | S 3 | SE 8 | SE 8 | E 14 | SE 8 | S 7 | S 7 |
18 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 21 | 4 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 1 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 7 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | SE 9 | SSW 7 | SE 9 | S 7 | SE 8 | SSE 8 | S 6 | S 6 | SSW 4 | SSE 9 | SE 8 | S 7 | S 7 | SE 8 | S 7 | SE 8 | SE 10 |
11 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 5 | — | — | — | SW 5 | SSW 7 | SSW 3 | SSW 4 | SW 4 | S 4 | SW 4 | SW 4 | S 7 | SW 3 | — | — | — | — | — | SW 7 |
27 | — | — | — | 14 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 13 | 1 | 1 | 922 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 58 | 0 | 0 | 701 | 0 | 0 | 324 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Kyu Shu | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Japan | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Aoura Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Aoura provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Aoura can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Aoura surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Aoura) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Aoura may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Aoura is 9 km (6 miles) from Nichinan. If you plan a holiday in Kyu Shu, look for hotels and other accommodation in Nichinan. Nichinan has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










