
Surf Forecasts:
Aoura surf forecast from 5 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 6 Aug, 3PM (local time) - 20ft (6.0m), 16s period, ESE swell with cross-shore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 6 Aug, 6PM (local time) - 20ft (6.0m), 15s period, ESE swell with 16,834 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 6 Aug, 3PM (local time) - 20ft (6.0m), 16s period with ESE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Aoura this week:
The surf forecast for Aoura over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 06) at 3PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 6.0m and 16s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-shore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Aoura in the next 16 days are 6.0m 15s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 06) at 6PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 5.5m 14s period and expected on Friday (Aug 07) at 9AM.
| Wave Type | Time (JST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 3PM (Thu 6th Aug) | 20ft (6.0m) 16s |
| Best Surf | 3PM (Thu 6th Aug) | 20ft (6.0m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 6PM (Thu 6th Aug) | 20ft (6.0m) 15s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Aoura over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, let’s break this down for Aoura. This forecast is a real mixed bag, and for a long stretch, it looks pretty bleak. The water temp is a comfy 85°F, which is about normal for now, so no surprises there.
The first surf we can even consider kicks off on Wednesday, August 5th. There’s a solid 15ft swell coming from the ESE, but the wind is howling out of the NE at 22 mph, making it a messy, cross-shore chop. The wave energy is massive (11719), but with that wind, it’s going to be a lumpy disaster. This is a reef break for the experts, and at that size, it’s way too big for anyone but the most experienced.
Thursday the 6th gets even bigger – we’re talking 18ft to 20ft swell, with the energy reading a monstrous 16539. But the wind is stronger still, hitting 31 mph. This is looking far more like a kite-surfing session than a paddle. The swell is simply too big and the wind too strong.
This pattern of strong, onshore or cross-shore winds and oversized swell sticks around for the rest of that first week. From Friday the 7th through Tuesday the 12th, the swell stays in the 8ft to 15ft range, but the wind doesn’t let up. The energy stays high in the thousands, but the conditions are blown out and messy. For days where the swell pushes over 8ft, it’s only for experts, and even then, the wind ruins it. We’re looking at a solid week or so with no good recommendations.
Things finally calm down in the second week. On Thursday, August 13th, the swell drops right back to 2ft from the east, and the wind goes glassy in the afternoon. The energy is almost nothing (167), and it’s described as ‘very ordinary’. Surfable, but tiny.
Looking further out, there’s a flicker of hope right at the end. Tuesday, August 18th sees a pulse of 8ft east swell, with a clean cross-offshore wind from the NNE at 13 mph. The energy jumps to 837. Then Wednesday, August 19th looks even better on paper: 12ft swell from the east, clean, with that same NNE wind, and energy at 2177. But here’s the catch – this break works best with swell from the NE, and we’re getting it from the east. The period is only 10 seconds, so it’s not a proper groundswell. The size is there and the wind is good, but the direction mismatch means it might not shape up perfectly. It’s too big for beginners at 12ft. This is the only clean, solid swell in the whole window, but it comes with those caveats. And Aoura can get crowded, so be ready.
After that, the wind picks up again with a near gale on the 20th, so that window is short.
The honest truth? There are no absolute, no-brainer standouts here. The best bet is that brief window on the 18th and 19th for the size and clean conditions, but the direction is a real question mark. The rest of the time is either way too big and windy, or too small and weak. A tough run for Aoura.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastHeavy rain (total 75mm), heaviest during Thu night. Warm (max 28°C on Wed night, min 27°C on Wed night). Mainly near gales. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryHeavy rain (total 120mm), heaviest during Sun afternoon. Warm (max 28°C on Sun afternoon, min 27°C on Sat night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the E on Sun night, light winds from the ESE by Tue afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 6 | Friday 7 | Saturday 8 | Sunday 9 | Monday 10 | Tuesday 11 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 16 | ESE 15 | ESE 16 | SE 15 | ESE 14 | SE 14 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | SE 8 | SE 8 | SE 8 | SE 8 | SE 7 | E 11 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
12393 | 12634 | 16553 | 16153 | 14038 | 6587 | 3147 | 2321 | 1874 | 1374 | 1003 | 657 | 1048 | 981 | 931 | 774 | 432 | 273 | 203 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | on | on |
High Tide | 10:19PM1.93m | 11:29AM1.64m | 11:02PM1.88m | 1:17PM1.59m | 00:03AM1.82m | 3:25PM1.66m | 1:32AM1.80m | 4:41PM1.80m | 3:02AM1.86m | 5:29PM1.93m | 4:13AM1.97m | 6:07PM2.01m | |||||||
Low Tide | 5:05AM0.67m | 4:49PM1.14m | 6:17AM0.66m | 6:03PM1.33m | 7:45AM0.60m | 8:05PM1.43m | 9:10AM0.47m | 9:49PM1.38m | 10:18AM0.32m | 10:51PM1.26m | 11:12AM0.18m | 11:36PM1.12m | |||||||
— | 5:31 | — | — | 5:33 | — | — | 5:33 | — | — | 5:33 | — | — | 5:35 | — | — | 5:35 | — | — | |
7:07 | — | 7:07 | — | — | 7:06 | — | — | 7:05 | — | — | 7:04 | — | — | 7:02 | — | — | 7:01 | — | |
mm | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 8 | 14 | 20 | 10 | 12 | 19 | 9 | 11 | 17 |
Temp °C | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 |
Feels °C | 28 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 28 | 28 | 26 | 26 | 27 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 30 | 31 | 32 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 16 | ESE 15 | ESE 16 | SE 15 | SSE 14 | SE 14 | SSE 14 | SSE 13 | SSE 13 | S 14 | S 13 | S 12 | S 12 | S 12 | S 12 | S 12 | SE 8 | SE 7 | SSE 11 |
12393 | 12634 | 16553 | 14796 | 12641 | 6587 | 4301 | 2154 | 1568 | 1633 | 1103 | 1233 | 940 | 827 | 555 | 404 | 432 | 273 | 540 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | ENE 15 | E 15 | ENE 14 | E 14 | E 13 | E 14 | E 13 | E 13 | E 12 | S 11 | E 12 | E 11 |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | 21 | 17 | 41 | 101 | 272 | 411 | 417 | 473 | 347 | 248 | 214 | 203 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | ESE 12 | SE 16 | S 16 | SE 14 | SE 14 | SE 14 | E 12 | S 11 | SE 13 |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 52 | 9 | 133 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 282 | 198 | 7 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | ESE 15 | ESE 14 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | SE 8 | SE 8 | SE 8 | SSE 11 | — | — |
— | — | — | 16153 | 14038 | 3233 | 3147 | 2321 | 1874 | 1374 | 1003 | 657 | 1048 | 981 | 931 | 774 | 1565 | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 656 | 248 | 374 | 812 | 502 | 802 | 812 | 802 | 812 | 812 | 298 | 802 | 802 | 848 | 710 | 1210 | 298 | 310 | 248 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Kyu Shu | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Japan | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Aoura Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Aoura provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Aoura can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Aoura surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Aoura) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Aoura may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Aoura is 9 km (6 miles) from Nichinan. If you plan a holiday in Kyu Shu, look for hotels and other accommodation in Nichinan. Nichinan has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











