
Surf Forecasts:
Aoura surf forecast from 14 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 20 Sep, 9PM (local time) - 20ft (6.0m), 14s period, ESE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 21 Sep, 9AM (local time) - 23ft (7.0m), 15s period, E swell with 21,872 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 15 Sep, 12AM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 9s period with ESE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Aoura this week:
The surf forecast for Aoura over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 15) at 12AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.2m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 12s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Aoura in the next 16 days are 7.0m 15s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Sep 21) at 9AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 6s period and expected on Sunday (Sep 20) at 9AM.
| Wave Type | Time (JST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 12AM (Tue 15th Sep) | 4ft (1.2m) 9s |
| Best Surf | 9PM (Sun 20th Sep) | 20ft (6.0m) 14s |
| Most Powerful | 9AM (Mon 21st Sep) | 23ft (7.0m) 15s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Aoura over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's take a proper look at the local Aoura forecast. We’ve got a pretty quiet start, a big window of nothing special, so don’t bother waxing up just yet. The first real chance for a wave is from the 15th, but it’s nothing to write home about. The real story is a massive pulse of energy coming in the second week, but that brings its own problems.
The water temp is 82°, which is pretty normal for this time of year, so you won’t need more than a spring suit.
We kick off Monday the 14th with nothing. It’s a write-off with a cross-onshore wind and messy, weak energy (277) – leave the board at home.
Tuesday morning the 15th starts to show a little life. Aoura (reef) has a glassy morning with a slight 5ft swell from the ESE. The period is 10 seconds, giving it some shape, but the energy is moderate (399). It’s a small window before the wind shifts, so if you can sneak a quick session, it might be clean but not pumping. By afternoon, the wind goes cross-on and it gets tricky again.
Wednesday the 16th and Thursday the 17th are mostly cross-shore junk. The swell sticks around 3ft to 5ft but it’s short period and messy. Friday the 18th sees the swell bumping up to 7ft by afternoon, but it’s wind-chop city with strong cross-winds.
Now, here’s where it gets interesting. Saturday morning the 19th, we’ve got a solid 10ft swell from the E with a 14-second period. The wave energy is strong (4619) and the wind is light cross-offshore, so it’s clean. That’s a lot of water moving, so this is for experienced surfers only. At 10ft, beginners should sit this one out. The period is long, so it’ll have power but the sets will be spaced out.
Sunday the 20th is the standout. The swell builds to 15ft from the ESE with a 15-second period. The energy is very strong (8873) and the wind holds cross-offshore, keeping it clean. This is big, powerful groundswell. Aoura is a reef, which handles long-period swell well. This is the best day on offer, but it’s for experts only. The crowd factor is "often" at this break, so expect company for the big ones.
Monday the 21st is a beast. We're talking 23ft swell from the E with a 15-second period. The energy is off the charts (35058). But the wind is screaming at 34 mph cross-offshore. It’s clean, but that swell size is way too big for Aoura. The data says "too big for this break." That setup is more of a big-wave towing spot or, frankly, a good day for kites with all that wind and swell.
The rest of the week tapers down. Tuesday the 22nd morning offers cleaner 12ft surf with offshore wind (NW) and moderate energy (3939). It’s still big but the wind is right. Wednesday the 23rd drops to tiny 2ft glassy conditions, barely surfable. From the 24th to the end of the month, it’s a long stretch of small, weak swell and choppy winds. There’s nothing worth chasing.
So, the bottom line: if you’re a solid experienced surfer, Sunday the 20th is your target. Saturday the 19th is also good. The second week has a couple of clean days but the swell is either too big or too small. Best bet is that Sunday.
- Rusty
Short Range ForecastHeavy rain (total 22mm), heaviest during Tue night. Warm (max 27°C on Tue afternoon, min 24°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 7mm), mostly falling on Thu night. Warm (max 26°C on Thu afternoon, min 24°C on Sat night). Mainly fresh winds. | |||||||||||||||||||
Mon 14 | Tuesday 15 | Wednesday 16 | Thursday 17 | Friday 18 | Saturday 19 | Sunday 20 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 8 | ESE 9 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 8 | E 9 | E 14 | E 14 | ESE 14 | ESE 15 | ESE 15 | E 14 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
194 | 212 | 399 | 334 | 266 | 211 | 173 | 113 | 205 | 205 | 202 | 311 | 627 | 1014 | 3533 | 4310 | 4373 | 7056 | 8873 | 16723 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | glassy | glassy | cross-on | glassy | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 7:45PM2.09m | 8:32AM1.93m | 8:08PM2.04m | 9:13AM1.80m | 8:32PM1.96m | 9:59AM1.67m | 8:57PM1.87m | 11:04AM1.55m | 9:26PM1.76m | 1:20PM1.50m | 10:15PM1.64m | 3:30PM1.58m | 00:21AM1.56m | |||||||
Low Tide | 2:10AM0.48m | 2:14PM0.91m | 2:44AM0.54m | 2:39PM1.08m | 3:20AM0.63m | 3:05PM1.22m | 4:04AM0.74m | 3:34PM1.35m | 5:07AM0.84m | 4:37PM1.46m | 6:49AM0.88m | 8:06PM1.46m | ||||||||
— | — | 5:56 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | |
6:22 | — | — | 6:21 | — | — | 6:19 | — | — | 6:17 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — | 6:15 | — | — | 6:14 | — | |
mm | 2 | — | 1 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 |
Temp °C | 26 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 27 | 26 |
Feels °C | 28 | 29 | 31 | 30 | 30 | 29 | 28 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 26 | 24 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 23 | 24 | 23 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 8 | ESE 9 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | E 8 | E 13 | E 7 | E 12 | E 8 | E 9 | E 14 | E 14 | ESE 14 | ESE 15 | ESE 15 | ESE 14 |
194 | 212 | 399 | 334 | 266 | 211 | 173 | 113 | 205 | 78 | 167 | 45 | 453 | 803 | 3533 | 4310 | 4373 | 7056 | 8873 | 10140 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 13 | E 12 | S 7 | E 15 | E 14 | E 14 | E 14 | E 13 | E 13 | SE 8 | E 12 | S 10 | S 10 | ESE 16 | S 9 | S 8 | SE 17 | — | — | — |
83 | 74 | 1 | 67 | 33 | 142 | 100 | 84 | 83 | 3 | 44 | 2 | 7 | 457 | 6 | 6 | 1098 | — | — | — | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 7 | E 16 | S 7 | S 7 | E 16 | S 7 | S 7 | S 7 | — | — | — | S 10 | E 20 | S 9 | — | — | S 8 | — | — | — |
1 | 21 | 1 | 1 | 45 | 1 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | 2 | 8 | 6 | — | — | 6 | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | NE 4 | NE 5 | NE 5 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 8 | E 9 | ENE 10 | ENE 11 | — | N 6 | N 6 | E 14 |
— | — | — | — | — | 10 | 11 | 18 | 199 | 205 | 202 | 311 | 627 | 1014 | 1086 | 183 | — | 108 | 96 | 16723 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 324 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 32 | 32 | 32 | 32 | 32 | 32 | 248 | 310 | 32 | 32 | 32 | 32 | 302 | 302 | 136 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Kyu Shu | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Japan | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Aoura Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Aoura provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Aoura can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Aoura surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Aoura) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Aoura may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Aoura is 9 km (6 miles) from Nichinan. If you plan a holiday in Kyu Shu, look for hotels and other accommodation in Nichinan. Nichinan has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










