Dragons Leaf Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what the next couple of weeks are serving up for us at Dragons Leaf. It’s a bit of a mixed bag, to be honest, so let’s get into it.

We’re looking at a solid run of small, clean conditions kicking off this Monday morning, July 13th. The water is a touch colder than normal for this time of year, sittin’ at 77°, so you’ll want a spring suit. The swell is 5 feet from the south with a period of 11 seconds, giving us a moderate wave energy (486). But here’s the thing: Dragons Leaf is a reef break that rarely breaks. So to see it working on Monday morning with glassy, offshore wind from the NE is a proper treat. It’s an advanced wave, so this is for the crew who know the lineup. The morning session is the standout here – clean, a little punchy, with that long period making for some nice shaped waves. There’s a chance of crowds, but with it being a rare-breaker, those in the know will be out. Monday afternoon holds up fine, 4 feet from the south with glassy conditions.

Tuesday the 14th sees the swell dropping to 3 feet from the south in the morning with a cross-off wind, and it gets smaller through the week. From Wednesday the 15th through to the end of that week, it’s a total flat spell. We’re talking sub-2 foot waves and weak energy for days, with a few onshore breezes spoiling what little is there. Don’t bother paddling out from Wednesday to Saturday the 18th – it’s a gap of several days where the surf is just not worth it.

Things start to look up again on Sunday the 19th, but the wind is onshore and messy, so it’s still a pass. Monday the 20th has a brief moment of glassy 2 foot swell from the ESE, but it’s tiny and weak.

Now, here’s where it gets interesting. On Wednesday, July 22nd, we get a pulse of cleaner energy. The swell bumps up to 3 feet from the east, period at 10-12 seconds, and the wind is a clean cross-off from the NNE. Wave energy is moderate (238-305). This won’t be a huge day, but it’s surfable and clean – the best we’ve seen in a week.

But the real standout of the entire forecast? That’s Monday, July 27th. We’ve got a 6 foot south swell with an 11-second period, and the combined energy is a whopping 951. That is a lot of water moving – solid, strong wave energy. The wind is glassy from the NE in the morning. For Dragons Leaf, this is a big call. 6 feet is hefty, pushing into expert territory for sure, and because it’s a reef, that south swell will wrap in with plenty of power. This could be the session of the run, if you’ve got the skills. The afternoon gets a bit tricky with a passing rain shower and a cross-on wind, so the early bird gets the worm.

Tuesday the 28th holds onto that swell, 6 feet from the south, still strong energy (748), but the afternoon wind turns cross-on again.

So, to sum it up: there’s a long flat spell in the middle, but the very start and the very end of this outlook are where it’s at. The Monday and Tuesday morning sessions on July 27th and 28th are the real gold in this forecast – big, powerful, and clean. Don’t sleep on it, but respect the reef.

Rusty.

Read more