Golfcourse Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s take a look at what’s on the cards for the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, we’ve got a long stretch of small, clean conditions but nothing that’s gonna get you too excited. The first real surfable days are from Saturday the 18th through to Wednesday the 22nd, with a tiny 2ft to 2ft easterly swell. The wind is glassy or very light on the mornings, which is a big plus for keeping it clean. The wave energy is weak, sitting around 65 to 107 (combined energy of all swells directed here). It’s surfable but very ordinary – think of it as a longboard fun day for the beginners. The water temp is a warm 82°, which is pretty much average for the time of year.

From Thursday the 23rd through to Sunday the 26th, the swell drops even more to 1ft to 2ft, and the wind gets a bit more cross-on in the afternoons, making it even less appealing. There’s a gap here of a few days where the surf is just not worth paddling out for.

Then things get interesting. On Monday the 27th, we see a serious pulse of energy arrive. The morning starts with a modest 3ft from the ESE, but the period jumps to a very long 17 seconds, and the energy reading shoots up to 667 (moderate). The wind is light cross-on, so it’s not perfect, but the potential is there. By the afternoon, the swell jumps to 6ft, still from the ESE with a very long 16-second period, and the energy is now a strong 1650. However, the wind is a gentle cross-on, making it a bit choppy. This is a real groundswell; that long period will make it better suited for a point or reef break than a beach break, as it might break a bit straight.

Tuesday the 28th is a no-go. The swell gets too big for this spot, hitting 10ft to 12ft, and it’s accompanied by a moderate cross-onshore breeze and risk of thunderstorms. The energy is huge (3328 to 8023), but with those winds and the size, it’s just too messy for a safe paddle.

The standout session, if you have the skill, is Wednesday the 29th. The swell is massive, 16ft to 20ft from the ESE, with a very long 17-second period. The combined energy is enormous (15260 to 18996). The wind is onshore but strong, and the notes say wind and tide are favorable, but the swell is predicted to be too big for this break. This is strictly for experts only—over 8ft, it’s for the brave. The risk of thunderstorms is there, too.

From Thursday the 30th onwards, it’s blown out or too small. Thursday has near-gale winds, Friday the 31st has a tiny 2ft to 2ft swell with strong cross-offshore winds, but the energy is very weak (127 to 111). It’s clean but not worth the paddle.

Finally, there’s a bit of hope for the long range. On Saturday the 1st of August and Sunday the 2nd of August, we get a cleaner setup. The swell picks up to 3ft to 4ft from the SSE, with a moderate offshore wind from the west. The energy is moderate (211 to 449), and the conditions are clean. This is a promising end to the forecast, but it’s a week and a half away, so keep an eye on it.

The best call, if you’re not a madman, is the morning of Monday the 27th. It’s the first real pulse of longer-period swell, and while it’s a bit small, the energy is there, and the wind is light. For the big dogs, Wednesday the 29th is the one, but it’s a beast and only for the experienced.

- Rusty

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