Nomozaki Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's be straight with you – the next 16 days are looking pretty flat for the Nomozaki area. We've got a long stretch of tiny, weak swell and mostly questionable wind. So, let's break down what we're dealing with.

Looking at the whole run, starting from Saturday, July 18th, it's a quiet scene. The water temperature is sitting at a warm 81°, which is about average for this time of year, so no surprises there. The swell is small, rarely getting above 3 ft, and it's coming from the Southwest. The problem is, the wind is mostly cross or cross-onshore, making what little surf there is choppy and messy. The wave energy is seriously weak, often down in the double digits like 78, 81, or even just 18 later in the week. There's a real gap of poor conditions that drags on.

For the first week, from Saturday the 18th through to Friday the 24th, we're seeing a slow decline. Saturday and Sunday have some 3 ft SW swell, but with a period of only 7 to 8 seconds, it's short-period wind swell, not groundswell. The wind is a problem – it's cross-on or onshore. The combined energy is weak, hitting 86 (moderate energy) at best on Sunday morning, but it's still not clean. Monday drops to 2 ft and the energy falls to 54, and it just gets smaller from there. By Thursday the 23rd, we're looking at 1 ft swell with a miserable 6-second period and energy of just 12. There's a glassy moment Thursday morning, but with that tiny size, there's nothing to ride.

The second week, from Friday the 24th through to Sunday, August 2nd, is even worse. The swell drops to 0.7 ft and 0.3 ft, and the energy plummets to single digits. On Friday, July 31st, things get a bit wild but not for surfing. The wind picks up to a severe gale of 47 mph, creating dangerous and blown-out conditions. The small swell that appears is completely out of control. The only interesting moment is on Tuesday, July 28th, when we see a 16-second period on a tiny 0.3 ft S swell, but the energy is still just 7, so it's a ghost of a groundswell, not a real wave. Wednesday and Thursday, July 29th and 30th, we get some offshore wind from the ENE, but the swell is still a tiny 0.7 ft, making it a clean, flat ocean. The combined energy is only 27 and 26, so it's still weak.

There are no standout sessions here. The best on offer, if you're desperate, is probably the glassy Thursday morning, July 23rd, with 1 ft SW swell. It'll be clean, but it's tiny. The other slight chance is the afternoon of Wednesday, July 29th, where we have a clean 0.7 ft, 18-second period S swell with a fresh offshore breeze of 22 mph. The long period might give it a little push, but it's still a knee-high wave at best, and with that energy (26), it's more of a paddle than a surf.

This is a tough run for Nomozaki. It's a beach and reef setup that rarely breaks, and this forecast shows why. There's nothing here for beginners or experts. The swell is too small and weak for the whole 16 days. For a spot that's already inconsistent, a blank run like this is more normal than not. The only thing that might get interesting is the wind on the 29th and 30th, but with no swell, it's a no-go for surfing. The outlook is pretty grim.

Rusty, signing off.

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