Nomozaki Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Hey, Rusty here. Let’s be straight – the Nomozaki area is looking at a real flat spell from now through the end of July. The swell energy is just not there, barely cracking 100 (combined energy of all swells directed here) and often sitting in the low double digits. The water’s a warm 81°, which is about average for this time of year, but that’s about the only thing that’s average. The wind is a mixed bag, but the waves are tiny and weak, so it’s a bit of a write-off for the paddle crew.

Starting off on Friday 17 July, we’ve got cloudy skies with a light SW breeze, swell a measly 3 feet from the SW at a short 7 seconds. That’s a weak, crumbly little wave with poor surf conditions. It’s not gonna hold up. Saturday and Sunday, 18 and 19 July, are more of the same – small 3 feet SW swell, cross-onshore winds making it choppy and messy. Monday 20 July, there’s a risk of thunderstorms, but still only 3 feet and poor. Tuesday 21 July morning looks glassy from the NW, but with only 2 feet of SW swell and 54 energy, it’s just not enough to get excited about.

From Wednesday 22 July right through to Sunday 27 July, the swell drops even further, down to 0.7-1 feet. There are some glassy moments on the 23rd and 25th mornings, and a clean offshore on the 26th morning from the NNE, but the waves are tiny – you’d be struggling to get a ride. The combined energy of all swells directed here is often below 10, so it’s basically a lake.

Then on Monday 28 July, we get a weird little spike: a 0.3 feet swell from the south with a 15-second period, but that’s a long-period groundswell with zero size. It’s clean, but not surfable. The real action, if you can call it that, hits on Wednesday 30 July morning. A massive 12 feet swell from the west, with a short 8-second period and a combined energy of 1457 – that’s strong wave energy. But the wind is a severe gale from the SSE, cross-shore, with big crossing waves. It’s a full-on storm setup, total chaos. That’s expert-only, and even then, it’s dangerous and ugly. The afternoon stays stormy with 7 feet and 542 energy. After that, it drops back to tiny, poor conditions through to Saturday 1 August.

So, honestly, there’s no standout session here. The only time the swell gets big enough to surf is the 30th, but the wind is horrendous. For a break that rarely breaks, this is a long dry spell. The setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing on that 30th, if you’re into that. Keep an eye on the forecast, but for now, it’s a flat and stormy outlook.

Rusty.

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