Nomozaki Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s take a look at what’s cooking for the next couple of weeks.

Honestly, it’s a tough stretch. We’re looking at a long, dry run with hardly any proper surf on offer. The first real chance to even talk about getting wet doesn’t come until Friday, July 17th, and even then, it’s not much to write home about. For the most part, the wind is all wrong, with onshore and cross-onshore breezes messing up the surface, and the swell is small and weak. There are a few days where the wind drops out and the ocean goes glassy, but the swell just isn’t there to back it up.

The standout here is Nomozaki (Nagasaki). It’s a beach-and-reef setup that rarely breaks, so to see it even come up as a potential option is notable. The best window is the morning of Friday, July 17th. The wind will be glassy, which is a huge plus—clean conditions. The swell is coming from the SW at 3 ft, with a period of 7 seconds. That’s a short-period, weak swell, with combined energy of only 69 (weak). This is for beginners and small-wave riders only. There’s a brief moment on Tuesday, July 21st, where conditions are also glassy, but the swell is even smaller at 3 ft and the energy is down to 65. It’s surfable, but barely.

Water temperature is about average for the time of year, nothing unusual there.

The rest of the forecast period is a wipeout. Strong onshore winds, risk of thunderstorms, and waves that are just too small or messy to bother with. After the 21st, the swell drops off sharply into the 1 ft to 2 ft range, with energy numbers falling into the teens and twenties. By the end of July and into the 29th, it’s flat.

So, to sum it up: if you’re desperate, the Friday morning of July 17th is your only real shot, and even then, keep your expectations tiny. Otherwise, it’s a long wait.

Rusty.

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