Nomozaki Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is a tough one to call. To be honest, looking at this 16-day window for Nomozaki, the pickings are extremely slim. We’ve got a long stretch of nothing worth paddling out for. The first half of the outlook is a write-off – from the 16th of July right through to the 28th of July, it’s pretty much a flat spell with poor conditions. The wind is mostly onshore or cross-onshore, the swell is small and weak, and the energy just isn’t there. You’d be wasting your time.

The water temp is sitting at 81°, which is about average for this time of year, so at least you won’t be cold while you’re sitting there waiting for a wave that never comes.

Now, things finally get interesting around the 29th of July. That Wednesday morning, we see a big jump in swell – a solid 13ft from the SSW, with a period of 12 seconds. That’s a proper groundswell, and the combined energy hits 6102, which is serious power. But here’s the catch: Nomozaki is a beach and reef setup, and a long-period swell like this can break a bit too straight and closed out on a beach. It’s really built for a point or reef. The wind is light and cross-shore, so it’ll be clean, but the surf report flags it as marginal. That’s a big swell, over 8ft, so this is strictly for experts only. Beginners, stay well clear.

The afternoon of the 29th sees a drop to 12ft, still big, but the wind turns cross-onshore, making it a bit messy. The 30th of July morning has a smaller 6ft SSW swell but with light cross-on winds, giving a bit more manageable size, but the energy is already dropping.

Bottom line: The only real standout in this whole 16-day run is the morning of the 29th of July. It’s a big, powerful, expert-only swell, and it’s our best shot. But it’s a long way out, so treat it as promising but not locked in. For anything else, you’re better off waiting for the next forecast.

Rusty.

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