Nomozaki Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you—this forecast for Nomozaki is a real heartbreaker. We’re looking at a long, long 16-day window with almost nothing to get excited about. The problem isn't a lack of swell; it's that the swell and the wind just never seem to get their act together. There’s a massive gap with no real recommendations.

Starting off, the first few days are a total write-off. Tuesday the 4th through to Saturday the 8th offer tiny, weak waves. You’re looking at ankle-to-knee high stuff from the south, with a combined energy of just 1 to 282 (weak to moderate). The wind is mostly offshore or cross-offshore, which keeps the water clean, but there’s just no power in the water to make it worth paddling out. It’s a frustrating start.

Then we hit a big period of nothing. Sunday the 9th finally sees some size, with the swell pushing to 4 feet from the SSW, and the combined energy jumping to 831 (moderate). The wind is cross-offshore, keeping it clean. But it’s still only rated as marginal. The real kicker is that it’s a long-period groundswell of 16 seconds, which at a beach-and-reef break like Nomozaki can mean the waves break too straight and fast. It’s a tease.

The week of the 10th to the 16th is the real wild card, but it’s a mess. The swell gets huge—we’re talking 10 feet to 15 feet from the SSW, with combined energy readings going through the roof from 4783 to 8869 (strong to very strong). That is powerful, heavy water. But the wind is a total disaster: strong cross-shore winds, messy cross-chop, and risk of thunderstorms. This is big, unruly, and dangerous. For your average surfer, this is a hard pass. The setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing. If you’re an expert, and you’re feeling crazy, maybe you look at Monday the 10th with the offshore wind, but even then, the near-gale force wind makes paddling out a nightmare. The water temperature is sitting at a warm 85°, which is a touch warmer than normal for the time of year.

The final week from the 17th to the 19th sees the swell drop right back down to tiny, weak 1 foot to 1 foot waves. The energy is back to low numbers (28 to 39). It’s clean, but it’s flat. There’s nothing to report.

Honestly, for this stretch, the only true standout, if you can call it that, is the early morning of Thursday the 13th. We’ve got a clean 4 foot swell from the SW with a light offshore wind from the NNE. It’s surfable, but very ordinary. It’s the best of a bad bunch. The rest of the window is a blank run, which for this area is more normal than not. Forecasts can change, but right now, I’d be finding something else to do.

Rusty.

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