Nomozaki Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get straight into it. Look, I’ve gotta be honest with you – the next week or so is a bit of a tough one for us here at Nomozaki. This spot is a bit of a fickle one, a beach and reef setup that rarely breaks, so when it’s flat, it’s flat. And for the first week, it’s pretty much a dead loss.

We’re looking at a long stretch of hardly any surf to speak of from Monday the 20th through to Sunday the 27th of July. The swell is tiny, mostly around 1 ft to 2 ft, with a short period of 6 to 8 seconds, which is just weak, gutless stuff. The wave energy is in the low double digits, like 61 (weak energy) at best, dropping to single digits. It’s all poor surf conditions, I wouldn’t bother paddling out. There are a couple of mornings, like Wednesday the 22nd, where the wind goes glassy, but with only 2 ft of weak swell, it’s just not enough to do anything with.

Now, the real action is much further out. We’ve got a bit of a pulse showing up around the 28th. On Tuesday morning the 28th, a long-period southerly swell of 2 ft with a 16-second period shows up. The energy bumps up to 129 (moderate wave energy) and the wind is glassy. It’s “surfable waves but very ordinary conditions”, so not a standout, but it’s a sign of life.

The real standout, and the one to circle on your calendar, is Wednesday the 30th of July. Overnight, the swell jumps up. Thursday morning the 30th of July, we’re looking at a solid 10 ft SSW groundswell with a 15-second period. The wind is a fresh 19 mph offshore from the NE. This is big, powerful stuff. The combined energy is a massive 3867 (strong wave energy). Now, this is expert territory, over 8 ft, so it’s only for the experienced crew. The long period groundswell at a beach and reef break can mean it breaks a bit straight, but with a strong offshore wind, it’s going to be clean and powerful. It’s a proper, heavy day.

The afternoon of the 30th gets even bigger, with 12 ft SSW swell, and the wind remains offshore from the ENE at 22 mph. The energy skyrockets to 6094 (very strong wave energy). This is the peak, but the conditions are listed as “marginal” – likely due to the sheer size and the tide. The wind on Friday the 31st stays strong offshore from the NE at 22-25 mph, with the swell at 12 ft on the morning. This is a serious, serious window for big-wave chargers only.

After that, it drops off a cliff. The wind goes absolutely mental from the 1st of August, with a strong breeze and near gale-force winds, and the swell collapses to 1 ft. Not worth it.

So, if you’re a beginner, this whole period is a no-go. If you’re an expert, the morning of Thursday the 30th of July is the one to aim for – that’s the standout. It’s a long way out, so the call is less certain, but the potential is there for a serious session. For the rest of us, it’s a waiting game.

Rusty.

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