Nomozaki Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it. The next couple of weeks are a bit of a slow burn for us here, but there’s a definite pulse of energy coming through if you’re patient.

We’re looking at a long stretch of small, weak surf for the first few days. Wednesday and Thursday are pretty much flat, just tiny leftovers with the water temp sitting at 84°, which is a touch warmer than usual for this time of year. It’s glassy in the mornings, but there’s just nothing to ride.

Friday and Saturday see a slight bump, but it’s still below 1 yard. The wind is offshore and clean, which is nice, but the swell energy is weak, sitting in the 50-190 range. It’s not going to be worth paddling out for unless you’re on a longboard and just want to enjoy the water.

Now, here’s where it gets interesting. The real swell shows up on Sunday the 9th. The energy jumps way up to 3847, with a solid 10ft of SSW swell. This is a big one, but it’s also a bit of a beast. The period is 16 seconds, which is a proper groundswell. For a spot like Nomozaki (Nagasaki), which is a beach and reef setup, this size is going to be heavy and powerful. It’s only for experienced surfers, and the wind is going to be a cross-off, keeping it reasonably clean but with a lot of water moving. This continues into Monday, with even bigger surf, up to 12ft, and the energy is maxed out around 4800. This is expert territory only. The paddle out will be a mission.

By Tuesday the 11th, it starts to drop a bit, but we’re still looking at 8ft surf. It’s still a solid size, but the period drops to 13 seconds, which makes it a bit more manageable, though still a heavy session. The wind is still cross-off, so it’s going to be a battle out there.

The middle of the week, Wednesday the 12th, things start to settle. The swell drops to 5ft, and the energy drops to 543. It’s cleaner, but the wind turns a bit cross in the afternoon. Morning looks better. This is when it starts to get more fun for the average surfer.

Thursday the 13th and Friday the 14th see a continued drop, with surf around 4ft and then 3ft. The mornings are clean with light offshore winds, making for some decent, if not spectacular, longboard waves. The energy is in the 130-300 range, so it’s weak to moderate.

The weekend of the 15th and 16th is small again, with waves around 2ft. It’s not really worth a dedicated session unless you’re desperate.

The last few days of the forecast period, from the 17th to the 20th, are pretty flat again. The swell drops back down to 1ft, and the energy is negligible. It’s a definite flat spell.

So, the standout window is clearly Sunday and Monday, the 9th and 10th. That’s the big, powerful SSW groundswell. It’s not for the faint of heart, but for the experts out there, that’s the one to circle. The other slightly more accessible window is Wednesday the 12th and Thursday the 13th, when the swell is still decent but the size is a bit more forgiving.

Rusty

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