Nomozaki Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Gutted, folks. I've looked at the next 16 days straight, and honestly, it's a bit of a famine out here. The long-range forecast for Nomozaki is about as empty as a tip jar on a Tuesday. There are no good surf options in this entire window. Not one. The swell just completely shuts down.

We've got a long, flat stretch ahead. The first few days are hopeless, with tiny, weak swell and a messy, cross-onshore wind that’s chopped everything up. Through the end of August and into the first week of September, we're looking at nothing but knee-high dribble, if that. The combined wave energy is weak, mostly in the double digits – you'll see values like 97 and 83, which is basically nothing pushing in.

Even the few mornings that are glassy and clean, like Monday the 31st, there's just no waves to ride. It's a blank run, and for Nomozaki, that's a bit more normal for this time of year. The water's warm, though. The first break I'd mention is Nomozaki itself; the water temp is sitting at 86°F, which is a solid 4°F warmer than average for this time of year. That's notable, folks, that's some real bathwater.

As we push into the second week, it just gets smaller. The swell drops off a cliff, and by the 10th and 11th of September, the energy readings are down to single digits. A few spots try to show a pulse, with some cleaner winds and light offshores, but the swell just isn't there. We're talking 0.3ft to 0.7ft of nothing.

Now, hold on. There is one small glimmer of light at the very end of the tunnel. It’s a long way off, so take it with a grain of salt, but the forecasts are hinting at something on Sunday the 13th of September. A SSW groundswell with a 12-second period is showing up, and the wave energy jumps right up into the moderate range, with readings of 286 in the morning and 573 in the afternoon. It’s looking like 3ft to 5ft of clean, lined-up swell. The wind is forecast to be light offshore in the morning and cross-off in the afternoon, which should keep it tidy.

That’s the standout of the whole run, but it’s still only a "promising" call. The long period and the SSW direction are good for Nomozaki, as it likes that southerly exposure. But because it’s so far out, it's a definite "maybe." Still, it’s something to hold onto. If that comes through, it’s the only time you'll want to paddle out. Otherwise, keep the board in the car and the wax in the drawer.

That’s all I’ve got. This one’s a test of patience.

Rusty.

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