Nomozaki Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here, and I’ve been looking at the charts for Nomozaki. Honestly, the next two weeks are a real mixed bag. We’ve got a long wait for the good stuff, but there is a short window of proper swell that’ll get the blood pumping. The water temp is sitting at 77°F, which is about average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

The pattern starts quiet. On Thursday the 9th, we’ve got tiny 2ft swell from the WSW with a poor 7-second period and weak energy (67). The wind is cross-on, and the conditions are just poor. Not worth paddling out. Friday the 10th brings a shift. The morning has a tiny 1ft swell from the SSW, but the period jumps to 19 seconds – that’s a good groundswell signal. Energy is moderate (124), and with a light cross-off breeze, it’s clean. The afternoon is the real standout for the week: glassy conditions, 2ft SSW swell, still a long 18-second period, and energy jumping to 267. The wave comment says “expect good surf conditions,” and I’d agree – it’s small but clean, ideal for a longboard or a fun craft for beginners.

Saturday the 11th morning is the best on offer in the whole outlook. We get a 5ft SSW swell with a 19-second period – that’s very long-period groundswell. The combined energy is 1368, which is strong. Wind is a light cross-off, and the forecast says “excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers.” At this size, it’s pushing into the zone where beginners might find it a bit much, but for anyone with a bit of time in the water, it’s going to be lined up and powerful. The caveat: with that long period, it’ll break a bit straight on the beach, but Nomozaki is a beach-and-reef setup, so the reef sections should handle it well. By afternoon, the swell jumps to 6ft (still SSW, 19s, energy 2089), but the wind switches to a cross-shore, making it choppy and marginal. So Saturday morning is the golden window.

Sunday the 12th morning has 7ft SSW swell with a 16-second period (energy 2384). That’s big, expert-only territory. The wind is cross-shore, and conditions are marginal. Afternoon stays big but gets cross-on and choppy. From Monday the 13th onwards, the swell fades and the wind turns onshore. Monday morning has 6ft SSW swell (12s, 908 energy) but with cross-on winds. The rest of the week up to Thursday the 17th is a mix of poor, onshore junk – 2ft to 3ft, short periods, and cross-on breezes.

After that, we hit a long flat spell. From Friday the 18th through to Thursday the 24th, the swell drops to 2ft or less, with energy often below 100. There are a few glassy mornings on the 18th, 19th, and 23rd, but the waves are tiny and weak. Not worth a session. The period on the 24th Friday morning picks up a bit (11s, 2ft, 77 energy), and it’s glassy, but it’s still just knee-high ordinary surf. The window for any decent surf is really just Friday 10th afternoon to Saturday 11th morning. After that, it’s a long drought.

If you’re a kiter, those breezy, choppy days with 5ft to 7ft swell might be fun, but for paddle surfing, it’s a quiet spell.

Rusty.

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