Nomozaki Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Look, I’m not gonna sugar-coat it for ya—Nomozaki is having a shocking run right now. The next ten days are pretty much a write-off. From Monday the 7th right through to the 15th of September, we’re looking at flat, useless conditions. Swell heights barely tickle 0.7 ft, and the combined energy is down in the single digits (2) – it’s like a lake out there. The wind is mostly offshore or clean, but with nothing to push around, it’s all for nothing. Don’t even bother paddling out; you’ll be floating around with the seabirds.

Now, the first real hint of life shows up on Wednesday the 16th. A pulse of 3 ft–4 ft swell rolls in from the S/SSW, pushing the combined energy up to 86 – finally some moderate grunt. But here’s the kicker: the wind is cross-onshore and fresh, up to 19 mph, making it lumpy and choppy. That setup is more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing, I reckon.

You gotta wait until Thursday the 17th for something half-decent. A 1 ft–2 ft groundswell from the SSW arrives with a long period of 11–12 seconds, and the wind turns fresh offshore from the NNE. The combined energy sits at 65–78. It’s small but clean, and those long-period lines could wrap in nicely for a patient surfer on a longboard. The break is a beach-and-reef setup and rarely breaks, but with offshore wind, it’s your best shot in a long while.

The standout in the whole outlook is Friday the 18th. You get a mix: 3 ft of SSW groundswell at 11 seconds in the morning, with moderate offshore wind from the NE, giving a combined energy of 143 – solid moderate to strong energy for this little nook. It’s surfable, though “very ordinary” is what the data says. The afternoon drops to 2 ft but the wind shifts to a light cross-off, keeping it clean. For Nomozaki, which is inconsistent and rarely breaks (it’s a beginner-friendly spot), this is as good as it gets this fortnight. Optimum swell direction is S, and we’ve got SSW – close enough to work. Water temp is 85°, a touch warmer than normal for this time of year. Just be aware, crowds are possible here sometimes, and this might be the day they show up.

Beyond that, Saturday the 19th and Sunday the 20th see the swell fade back to 0.7 ft–1 ft and energy dropping to 37 or less. The next week runs flat again, with tiny 0.3 ft slop and fresh offshore wind – clean, but no wave to ride. A long period burst of 19 seconds on Tuesday the 22nd doesn’t bring any height to speak of.

So, to sum it up: the first ten days are flat, the best surf is a small, clean window on Friday the 18th, and everything after that fizzles out. If you’re in Nagasaki and desperate, that Friday morning is your call – but don’t get your hopes too high.

Rusty.

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