Nomozaki Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cooking for our local zone.

To be straight with you, the next 16 days are a real mixed bag. We’ve got a long wait for anything that’s actually worth paddling out for. The first week and a half is pretty much a write-off for proper surfing. The swells are tiny, the energy is weak, and the conditions are just meh. There’s a big gap from the start until we finally see something with a pulse. The real talking point is a big, powerful swell that shows up in the second week, but it’s not without its issues.

We’ll start with the only real standout on the entire forecast. On Tuesday the 11th, the swell pours in. It’s a solid 16ft swell from the SSW, with a moderate period of 14 seconds. The combined energy is a massive 10756, which is some serious power. Nomozaki is the spot. This is a beach and reef setup. The morning of the 11th looks like the best of the best, but it’s a beast. With the swell size over 8ft, this is strictly for experts only. The wind is a strong cross-offshore breeze, which will keep the surface fairly clean, but paddling out will be a battle. This is a session for the experienced crew who know what they’re doing. The rest of the week leading up to the 11th is a slow grind, with the swell building from a tiny 2ft on the Saturday morning the 8th, up through the 4ft on the 9th, and the 7ft on the 10th, but the winds are strong and the conditions are consistently rated as poor.

Now, after that big slug of energy on the 11th, the swell drops fast. The afternoon of the 11th turns messy with a strong cross-shore wind. By Wednesday the 12th, the swell is back down to 6ft and the wind is junk. The rest of the forecast from the 13th onward is a return to small, weak surf. The mornings of the 13th and 14th offer a little bit of hope with glassy or clean conditions and a tiny 3ft and 2ft swell, but the energy is low and the conditions are very ordinary. The water temperature is sitting at 84°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year.

In short, if you’re an expert, circle Tuesday the 11th on the calendar for a massive, powerful, and dangerous session at Nomozaki. For everyone else, it’s a long wait for very little.

Rusty

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