Nomozaki Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, crew, Rusty here. Let's cut to the chase: the next couple of weeks here at Nomozaki are looking bleak. We've got a long stretch of nothing on the horizon, so save your energy. Looking at the full 16-day window, there's only a small chance of a wave, and it's going to be a tricky one.

The first several days are a total dead loss. We're talking about tiny, weak swell and poor conditions. Don't even bother waxing up. This quiet spell hangs around for days on end. It's one of those stretches where the forecast is just a flat line, and nothing on the charts is going to change that.

The only sign of life shows up on Sunday the 9th, a week from this coming Sunday. The swell is forecast to jump to 10 feet from the SSW with a 16-second period. That's a big, powerful groundswell with some serious energy behind it. But the forecast is only calling it marginal, which is a red flag. The wind will be a fresh cross-offshore breeze, which will help keep it clean, but this is a heap of water for a break that rarely works. This size is way over the 8-foot mark, so it's strictly for the most experienced surfers. Also, a long-period swell like this can become a closeout mess at a mix of beach and reef, making it a washing machine. With that much water moving, it might honestly look better for the kite surfers than for us.

That pulse carries into Monday the 10th. We're still looking at a solid 11-12 feet of SSW swell with a 15-second period, and the energy is still very strong. But again, the forecast is marginal, and the wind remains a fresh cross-offshore breeze. It’s a similar story to Sunday: powerful but potentially unruly. There might be some heavy ones on the reef, but it’s not a friendly forecast for most.

After that, the swell backs off pretty quick. By Tuesday the 11th, it's down to around 7-8 feet, and the energy drops to a moderate level. The period is down to 12 seconds, and it's still only rated as marginal. The morning looks like the better bet, but even then, you're making do with a lesser version of a decent swell.

Looking into the second week, there’s nothing to get excited about. The swell fades into small, weak conditions. The 12th might see a small, clean 5 feet of SSW swell in the morning with light winds, but the quality is questionable, and it deteriorates quickly. After that, it's a long, slow fade into flatness. There are a few mornings with clean, glassy conditions on tiny waves, like the 15th and 16th, but we're talking about ankle-biters at best.

So here’s the deal: The only real window, if you can call it that, is the weekend of the 9th and 10th. That's where all the size and energy are, but it's for experts only and the quality is a gamble. For the average surfer, there is nothing on offer in this entire forecast period. It's one of those stretches where you just have to wait it out. This spot is inconsistent as it is, so a run like this isn't that unusual. Things can change, but right now, I wouldn't be holding my breath.

Stay patient.

Rusty.

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