Nomozaki Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, I’m Rusty. Let’s have a look at what’s coming up for Nomozaki over the next couple of weeks.

Honestly, mate, there’s not a lot to get excited about here. The 16-day window is pretty much a write-off for any decent surf. Nomozaki is a beach and reef set-up that rarely breaks, and it’s living up to that reputation. The water temperature is sitting at 83°F, which is 0.7°F warmer than the long-term average, so it’s about what you’d expect for this time of year—nice and warm for a paddle, but you’ll be doing a lot of that with very little return.

The first sign of any real swell doesn’t show up until late in the run. We’ve got a long gap from now, with nothing but tiny, weak waves and poor conditions. Even the few mornings with glassy wind only bring up 0.7 ft to 2 ft of swell, and the combined energy is low, often under 100 – it’s just not enough to push anything worthwhile. Saturday morning the 22nd and Sunday morning the 23rd offer the best of a bad lot, with a glassy surface and a foot or so of swell from the SSW, but the energy is still weak (73 and 191), and the waves are ordinary. Not worth paddling out for.

Things take a dangerous turn on Saturday the 29th and Sunday the 30th. Swell jumps up to 8 ft to 8 ft, with strong energy readings around 2245 and 1605, but the wind is onshore, messy, and way too strong—gusting up to 34 mph. That’s not surfable in any pleasant way; it’s more of a kite-surfing setup if anything. The period is around 10 to 11 seconds, so it’s not even a clean groundswell, just a wind-affected mess.

After that, it drops back to tiny, clean, offshore winds in the first week of September, but with swells under 1.0 ft, you’re just looking at a flat ocean. The whole 16-day outlook is a major blank run, and with Nomozaki rarely breaking, a stretch like this isn’t unusual. Forecasts can change, but right now, there’s nothing to recommend.

Rusty.

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