Nomozaki Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cookin’ for the next couple of weeks at Nomozaki (beach and reef).

Honestly, the next week or so is a real bummer. We’re looking at a solid gap with no surf worth paddling out for right through to the morning of Tuesday the 22nd of September. That’s a long stretch of flat or tiny, weak dribble with combined swell energies barely getting into double digits – mostly just a 2 or a 1, which is basically nothing. You’d be chasing ripples, not waves. For a spot that rarely breaks, this is a pretty normal kind of quiet spell, so don’t let it get you down.

The first sign of life shows up on Tuesday the 22nd. The morning brings a little bump of 2 ft from the SSE, with a moderate offshore wind from the NE, but the energy is still weak at 176. It’s not gonna be great. The afternoon gets a bit more interesting with a 2 ft swell from the SSW, 15-second period, and a steady offshore wind from the NE (19 mph). That’s clean, but the combined energy is still only 285. It’s marginal at best, so keep your expectations in check.

Now, Wednesday the 23rd kicks up a notch, but it’s a bit of a mess. The morning has a 4 ft SSW swell with a 16-second period and a 40 mph cross-offshore wind from the E. The energy jumps to 779, which is moderate, but that wind is howling. The afternoon turns ugly as the wind swings onshore from the S at 25 mph, bringing a 5 ft SSW swell and a huge energy reading of 1162, but it’s gonna be messy and crossed-up. Not a good look for a paddle.

Here’s where it gets wild – and this is the standout for the whole forecast. Thursday the 24th. Morning sees a massive 13 ft SSW swell with a 16-second period, but a strong cross-shore wind from the WNW at 19 mph is gonna make it lumpy. The energy is a serious 7196. The afternoon, though… that’s the one. We’re talking a 23 ft swell from the S, 15-second period, with a moderate cross-shore wind from the WNW at 16 mph. The combined energy is a staggering 21718. That is a serious, powerful, very long-period groundswell. This kind of size and energy is for experts only – it’s way too big for beginners. The long period (over 15 seconds) will make it break straight and fast on the beach sections, but the reef at Nomozaki could handle it. The crowd profile says “sometimes,” and with a pulse like this, you can bet it’ll be busy if it’s clean. But the cross-shore wind will keep it from being perfect.

The following morning, Friday the 25th, drops to a still-chunky 10 ft from the SW with an 8-second period, a light offshore breeze from the NNE, and clean conditions. Energy is 1167 – strong, but the short period (less than 8 seconds) will make it a bit crumbly and less organized than the day before. Still a big day for the brave. The afternoon is smaller at 8 ft but with a stronger cross-offshore wind, so it’s less appealing.

After that, it fades fast. Saturday the 26th is back to tiny 2 ft dribble from the SW, and that’s pretty much it for the run.

So, here’s the deal: if you’re an experienced surfer and you want the biggest, most powerful swell of the window, you circle Thursday the 24th of September. That afternoon session is the only true standout – huge energy, very long period groundswell. It’s not for the faint-hearted, and the cross-shore wind is a caveat, but for size and grunt, nothing else comes close. The rest of the fortnight is either flat or blown out.

Stay safe out there.
– Rusty

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