Nomozaki Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s take a look at what’s on the table for Nomozaki. I’ll be straight with you – the next 16 days are a real mixed bag, and you’ll need to be patient. There’s a long stretch of quiet, small stuff, and then one window that looks like it could be an absolute belter for the crew who know what they’re doing.

The first real chance to get wet isn’t until Thursday, August 27th, but honestly, it’s not worth your time. We’ve got a 5ft swell from the SSW with a moderate period of 11 seconds, but the wind is a cross-shore from the SE at 12 mph, and conditions are already described as poor. The water is sitting at 86°F, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, so you won’t need a thick suit, but the surf itself is a write-off. The combined energy is moderate (615), but that doesn’t matter when the chop is ruining the shape.

Friday the 28th doesn’t get much better. The morning sees a similar 6ft SSW swell, but it’s just marginal, with a light cross-shore breeze. The afternoon turns onshore and messy. This is a spot that rarely breaks, so you’re not missing much here.

From Saturday the 29th all the way through to Thursday, September 3rd, it’s a long, dry spell. The swell drops away to barely a ripple – we’re talking 0.7ft to 2ft – and the energy is weak (values between 14 and 144). The winds are mostly clean or glassy on some of the mornings, but with no wave height to speak of, there’s just nothing to ride. You’re looking at a solid week of flatness.

Then, Friday, September 4th shows a glimmer of hope, but it’s still not great. The swell builds to 5ft in the morning and 6ft in the afternoon from the SSW, with a longer period of 13 seconds. The wind is a clean cross-offshore from the north, but the forecast is still marginal. The energy jumps up to 653 and 1255, so there’s power, but it’s not quite coming together for a good session.

Now, here’s the one you’ve been waiting for. Saturday, September 5th – mark it in your calendar. The morning is a standout. The swell is a solid 23ft from the SSW, with a period of 12 seconds. That’s a heavy groundswell. The wind is a moderate offshore from the NNE at 12 mph, keeping things clean. The combined energy is a massive 13979. This is exceptional wave energy, but let’s be clear – this is for experts only. At 23ft, it’s way too big for beginners. The long period also means it’s going to be powerful and won’t be forgiving at a beach break. Nomozaki is a beach and reef setup, so that long-period swell might be better focused on the reef sections, but it’s going to be a serious, heavy day. The afternoon drops off to 12ft from the west with a shorter period and a cross-offshore wind, which is still big but less clean.

After that, the surf drops off a cliff again. Sunday, September 6th sees a tiny 1ft swell, and the rest of the forecast through to the 11th is just small, weak, and mostly onshore or messy. There’s nothing else to get excited about.

So, the call is simple: this is a one-hit wonder. The only true standout is the morning of Saturday, September 5th, with that massive 23ft SSW groundswell and clean offshore winds. But it’s a beast, and if you’re not an expert, stay on the sand. For everyone else, the next two weeks are mostly a flat, quiet affair.

Rusty.

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