Nomozaki Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Looking at the charts for the next couple of weeks, it’s a pretty tricky stretch ahead. The first real window of surf doesn’t show up until Saturday the 11th, and even then, it’s far from perfect. There’s a solid week of poor conditions after that, with a brief glimmer of hope right at the end. Let’s break it down.

Saturday 11th July is the standout, and it’s not a bad one. We’ve got a clean, glassy morning at Nomozaki (beach and reef). The swell is coming from the SSW at 4ft, with a very long period of 18 seconds. That’s proper groundswell energy, and while the combined energy is moderate at 861, that long period means the waves will have real shape and power. The wind is a light easterly cross-off, so it’ll be clean. The water is sitting at 78°F, which is bang on average for this time of year. The catch is that this spot *rarely breaks*, so it’s a real treat when it does. Expect it to be a bit inconsistent, but the quality on offer could be magic. The afternoon sees the swell bump up to 5ft, but the wind swings southeasterly and goes cross-shore, introducing a bit of chop. Still, the morning is the pick.

Sunday 12th July brings a bigger pulse of swell – 8ft from the SSW with a period of 15 seconds. That’s solid groundswell, and the combined energy is strong at 2427. The morning winds are a cross-off from the ESE, keeping it clean. However, at 8ft, this is getting into expert territory, especially for a beach-and-reef setup. The afternoon drops to 7ft but the wind goes cross-onshore and choppy, so the session window is tight.

Then we hit a long, dry spell. From Monday 13th July through to Thursday 23rd July, the conditions are poor to marginal. The swell drops, the periods shorten, and the winds are mostly cross-onshore or onshore, making for chopped-out, messy surf. There’s a brief moment on Tuesday 21st July morning where it’s glassy with a 2ft, 12-second period swell, but it’s tiny and ordinary. The combined energy on that day is a weak 83. The 22nd of July morning is similar, glassy but only 3ft. It’s a long wait.

Finally, Saturday 25th July shows a bit of promise. The morning brings a clean 5ft swell from the SSW with a 10-second period, and a nice offshore breeze from the NE. The combined energy is a moderate 402. This is a decent option for the more experienced crew, as 5ft is on the bigger side for beginners. The afternoon goes a bit smaller and cross-shore, so again, the morning is the go.

If you’re a paddle surfer, the best bet is the morning of Saturday the 11th. That long-period SSW groundswell and clean cross-off wind at a rarely-breaking spot like Nomozaki is a true standout. The 25th July morning is the next best, but it’s a long way off, so keep an eye on it. For the rest of that week in the middle, it’s more of a kite-surfing scene with the onshore winds and choppy conditions.

Rusty.

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