Tainohama Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's take a look at what's coming up for Tainohama over the next couple of weeks.

Honestly, we’re in for a bit of a flat spell to start. The first week looks pretty grim for a proper surf. From Friday the 14th right through to Monday the 17th, it’s a write-off. The swell is small, the winds are messy—mostly cross-onshore or onshore—and the wave energy is weak. You’ve got readings around 109 to 304 (moderate energy), but the quality just isn’t there. It’s going to be choppy and unsurfable. Wait it out.

Tuesday morning the 18th is our first real glimmer of hope. The wind goes glassy, and we see a small but promising 3ft swell from the east at 8 seconds. The combined energy climbs to 271 (moderate), and for a moment, it’s looking clean. It’s not big, but it’ll be rideable. The afternoon gets chopped up again, so that morning session is your window. Water temp is sitting at 84°, which is about average for this time of year.

The next few days after that are more of the same—small, messy, and inconsistent. We see a few moments on Wednesday the 19th morning with a light offshore wind, but the swell drops to 3ft and the energy is weak at 99. Thursday the 20th is glassy but with only 1ft of swell; barely worth paddling out.

Now, here’s where things get interesting. The real standout is shaping up for Tuesday the 25th into Wednesday the 26th. We’ve got a solid pulse of groundswell arriving. Tuesday morning brings a 5ft swell from the east-southeast with a long period of 14 seconds, and the wind is offshore from the north. The combined energy hits 841 (strong). The afternoon turns glassy with 5ft and a 13-second period, energy at 879. This is going to be clean, powerful, and well-shaped. Wednesday the 26th holds onto that energy with 6ft in the morning and 5ft in the afternoon, both with offshore and cross-offshore winds. Energy peaks at 1162 (very strong) on Wednesday morning. This stretch is the best on offer. The swell is big enough to be fun but still manageable for experienced surfers. Keep in mind, with such a long period (13-14 seconds), it’s a groundswell that will love the reef setup at Tainohama, but it might break a bit straight if you’re used to a beach break. These are the sessions to circle on your calendar.

Late in the month, things settle back down. Thursday the 27th has a small, glassy morning, but the swell is fading. By Friday the 28th, the wind turns onshore again with a messy 7ft swell from the southwest—too much size for the conditions, and only for experts. It’s not worth it with the rain and chop.

Saturday the 29th sees a last gasp of small, clean surf, but it’s weak energy (68) and only 2ft. The window is closing.

Bottom line: The first week is a dud. The clear winners are Tuesday the 25th and Wednesday the 26th. Get in the water then, and you’ll be rewarded.

Rusty

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