Tainohama Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's take a look at what Tainohama has in store for us over the next couple of weeks.

We're looking at a bit of a slow start, but there’s a serious payoff on the horizon if you’re patient. The water temperature is sitting at a warm 83°, which is a touch above the norm for this time of year, so you can get away with a shorty or even just boardshorts.

The first few days are pretty average. Wednesday the 9th is a write-off with a thunderstorm and a choppy 10ft S swell blowing straight onshore. Not worth paddling out. Things settle down from Thursday the 10th through the weekend, with some small, clean waves in the 2ft to 4ft range. The wind goes light and cross-offshore, so the surface will be clean, but the swell is weak and short-period, around 8 seconds. The energy is low (123-213), so you'll be scratching for anything rideable. It's surfable, but very ordinary.

The real story starts around Wednesday the 16th. The wind goes glassy, and the waves start cleaning up with a 3ft SE swell. This is the beginning of the buildup. Thursday the 17th stays small and glassy, still nothing to write home about.

Then, Friday the 18th is our first standout. We get a sudden pulse of long-period groundswell from the SE at 16-18 seconds. The wave height is only 2ft to 4ft, but the energy jumps to 339-761, and it’s dead glassy. This long-period energy will wrap in cleanly, offering some great shape on the reef, with long waits between sets. It’s a sneaky good day for those who know what to look for.

The real showstopper hits on Saturday the 19th. We’ve got a solid 7ft to 8ft SSE groundswell with a period of 16-17 seconds and a massive energy reading of 4065-4441. The wind is light and glassy or clean cross-offshore. This is excellent surf for experienced surfers, but at 8ft, it’s getting into expert-only territory. Sunday the 20th keeps the size up with a 10ft S swell and glassy conditions in the afternoon, but the wind goes cross-onshore in the morning, making it a bit tricky.

Monday the 21st is the big one for the hardcore crew. We’re looking at a massive 13ft to 15ft S swell with a 17-second period. The combined energy is off the charts (10,394-12,081), and the wind stays clean and cross-offshore. This is exceptional, expert-level surf. But be warned, by Tuesday the 22nd, the wind cranks up to a gale from the SE at 43-53 mph, completely blowing out that massive swell. It’ll be a mess.

Wednesday the 23rd sees an enormous 26ft SSW groundswell, but the forecast says it’s simply too big for this break. The wind is light, but the raw power is dangerous and unmanageable. Even the 23ft on the afternoon is way beyond what’s safe here. After that, the swell drops right off, and we're back to small, clean 4ft surf on Thursday the 24th to wrap things up.

So, the standout windows are Friday the 18th for a sneaky, long-period session, and Saturday the 19th for the best combination of size, power, and clean conditions. The following Monday is for experts only. For the rest of the time, it’s a waiting game.

Rusty.

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