Tainohama Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on the cards for Tainohama over the next couple of weeks.

First up, the water is sitting at 77°, which is a bit cooler than average for this time of year – nothing too drastic, just a touch of nip in the air.

We’re looking at a pretty quiet start, to be honest. The first decent chance rolls in on Tuesday, July 14th. Tuesday morning is your best bet for the early part of the week. We’ve got a clean 3ft swell running from the SSW with a moderate 10-second period, and a light cross-off breeze from the NNE will keep the face tidy. The wave energy is weak (247), but for the conditions, it’s the standout for the early days. Tuesday afternoon goes glassy with a 3ft SSW swell, which is nice for a glassy session but the energy drops off.

Wednesday, July 15th, offers clean 2ft surf in the morning, but it’s really just ankle-to-knee high stuff, and the energy is weak (145). After that, things go downhill fast. From Wednesday afternoon through to July 25th, there’s a long stretch – nearly a week and a half – where the forecast is just poor. We’re talking tiny waves, onshore winds, and very weak energy readings (often below 100). There’s not a single recommendation in there worth paddling out for. It’s a genuine flat spell, so don’t bother waxing up.

Now, if you can hold out, things get very interesting towards the end of the period. The last few days of July show a serious pulse of energy on the charts.

Monday, July 27th, starts showing some life with a building 4ft SSE swell, but the wind is onshore, making it a messy option. Honestly, it’s the following morning, Tuesday, July 28th, where the real deal shows up. We’ve got a clean 5ft swell from the ESE with a very long 15-second period, and a light cross-off breeze from the NE. The wave energy is strong (1437). This is solid, powerful groundswell, and for experienced surfers, this will be the standout session of the window. The long period means it’s going to suck a lot of water, so the reef there should handle it nicely, but it might be a bit too hefty for beginners.

Then, Wednesday, July 29th, is the big one. The forecast is showing an 8ft ESE swell at a 17-second period, with glassy conditions in the morning. This is massive energy (4424). It’s a true expert-only day. The crowd situation at Tainohama can be a pain sometimes, so with this kind of size, expect it to be busy. For the experienced crew, Wednesday morning is the absolute highlight of this whole 16-day outlook – but it’s a long-range call, so keep an eye on it.

Right, that’s your lot. Keep your eyes on that end of July pulse. Rusty out.

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