Tainohama Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty comin' at ya from Tainohama. We've got a full 16-day window to look at here, and let me tell you, it's a bit of a wild ride. The water is sittin' at about 77°, which is just a touch cooler than what we'd usually expect for this time of year – nothin' to stress about, just a little refreshing.

The real story starts on the first few days. Things begin quiet but promising. Tuesday morning on the 7th of July is looking proper glassy with a solid 3ft of swell from the southeast, period at 12 seconds, and combined energy at (858). The wind is flat out of the SE at just 3 mph, making it dead calm. Expect very good, clean conditions, easy paddling, and some fun little runners. That's a solid early kick-off.

Then we hit a rough patch. From Tuesday afternoon all the way through to Sunday the 12th, the wind turns messy with cross-onshore or onshore wind, and the swell jumps up – real big, up to 13ft by Friday the 10th. That's serious, expert-only territory. The combined energy hits a massive (8721) on Friday afternoon, driven by a long-period 17-second swell from the south. But it's blown out. That kind of power and period will pour into Tainohama, but with the wind on it, it's a battle. Honestly, this setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing. We’re essentially shut out for five days, from Tuesday afternoon through Sunday.

Monday the 13th brings a bit of relief, with a glassy 4ft south-southwest swell that's consistent enough to offer some good, clean walls, even if the energy has dropped right off. Tuesday the 14th is also glassy in the morning. But then we've got another lull, with smaller, weaker swell and mixed winds through to Saturday the 18th. That's about four more days of slim pickings.

Now, for the standout. You want to mark your calendar for the 21st of July. Tuesday morning is looking like the one. A clean 4ft swell from the south, period at 11 seconds, with glassy conditions and combined energy at (459). It's not going to be massive, but it will be perfect – clean, long lines. The break itself is a reef, fairly consistent, so it holds that long-period energy well. Just a heads up, though – Tainohama can get a crowd *sometimes*, so get in early for the best of it.

The first week is all about that short, glassy window on Tuesday morning the 7th. The real highlight looks like it's that far-off Monday morning on the 21st. Long-range, so keep an eye on it, but it's got "sneaker day" written all over it.

Stay salty,
Rusty

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