Tainohama Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty. Let’s take a look at what’s coming up for Tainohama.

The first few days are pretty flat and ugly. Sunday the 13th, the mix of onshore wind and tiny swell gives you nothing to work with. The water is sitting at 81°, which is about average for this time of year, so at least it’s warm if you’re just having a swim.

Things start to wake up on Tuesday morning, September 15th. There’s a 4ft swell from the SE with a 9-second period, and the wind goes glassy. For a moment, it looks like the cleanest window of the whole run. The combined energy is moderate at 290, and while the conditions are right, the size is small and the direction is so straight that this reef break might be a bit fat. Still, Tuesday morning is the first real chance to get wet without getting washed.

Then we hit a gap of ordinary, clean but small days through Wednesday and Thursday. The swell drops below 3ft and energy dips into the low double digits. That’s a stretch of nothing exciting.

But hold onto your board. Friday the 18th is when the party starts. Friday morning brings a solid 7ft swell from the E, period at 8 seconds, and clean cross-off wind. Combined energy hits 944 – that’s a proper bump in power. You’ll have good, punchy waves. Friday afternoon drops slightly to 6ft, but goes glassy again, making it another top pick for clean rides.

Now, Saturday September 19th is the standout. The swell jumps to 12ft in the morning and 13ft in the afternoon, both from the ESE with a very long period of 15-16 seconds. Combined energy is massive – 6196 in the morning, 7643 in the afternoon. A 13ft, 15-second groundswell with clean cross-off wind is serious. This is for experts only – it’s big, powerful, and that long period will make it wall up on the reef. Rips will be strong, and paddling out will be a mission, but the reward is extreme.

Sunday the 20th keeps the size at 13ft from the SE, but the wind cranks up to 22-25 mph from the north. It’s cross-off, but that’s a lot of breeze. The waves will be lumpy and hard to manage. The energy is still up around 6120-7429, but the quality drops.

Monday the 21st is only for the absolute crazies. The swell maxes out at 21-25ft from the SE with 14-15 second periods. Combined energy hits 19895-21886. That’s a monster. Even with offshore wind, this is simply too big for Tainohama. Not for paddle surfing.

After that, it drops off a cliff. By Tuesday the 22nd, the swell crashes to 4ft, and the rest of the week into the 28th sees mostly weak, small, or onshore junk. There is a brief glimmer on Monday September 28th – a 6ft SE swell with a 14-second period and clean offshore or glassy wind. Combined energy is 1483. That’s a decent long-period groundswell with clean conditions – excellent for experienced surfers. But that’s a full two weeks out, so it’s promising but not locked in.

All in all, the best bet is Saturday September 19th for the brave, and the Friday before that for a slightly more manageable score. The rest is either flat, blown out, or outright dangerous.

Rusty

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