Tainohama Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here, let’s get into it.

First up, Tainohama. The water’s sitting at 83°, which is a full degree warmer than you’d usually expect for this time of year – the ocean’s got a bit of extra tropical punch in it.

This 16-day window kicks off with a serious thump of energy, but the timing and wind are ugly. The first notable swell hits Tuesday afternoon with a solid 8 ft from the SSE, packing strong combined energy (1936). That’s a lot of power, but it’s coming with a brutal S wind, cross-on at 9 mph, making it choppy and messy. For the advanced crew only – this is heavy, and the conditions are rough. Wednesday morning pushes even bigger, 12 ft from the south, but with a 16 mph cross-on that’s pure junk. That’s a no-go for paddling; honestly, those two days look more like a kite session with that wind and size, not a surf.

We’ve got a few days of small, cleaner options starting Thursday morning. Swell drops right off to 4 ft from the SE, period short at 8 seconds, and the wind swings north offshore at 16 mph. It’s clean, the combined energy is weak (163), but it’s surfable. Thursday afternoon is similar with a cross-off breeze. The real standout in the near term is Friday morning, 11th September. A NNW offshore at just 3 mph, nearly glassy, with a 4 ft SE swell. The combined energy is still modest (218), but the wind is perfect for Tainohama’s exposed reef setup. It’s small and clean, a proper session for the advanced surfer who can make the most of a lined-up, offshore day. After that, Saturday the 12th morning goes completely glassy, but the swell is tiny, only 2 ft from the south, with weak energy (70). It’s ordinary.

We hit a long quiet stretch from Sunday the 13th right through to the middle of the second week. The swell drops below 3 ft, and most days are hampered by onshore or cross-onshore winds, or just too small to bother. There’s a small window Monday the 14th afternoon with 4 ft from the ESE, 9-second period, and glassy conditions – that’s worth a look for the keen local, but it’s a fleeting moment. Energy is moderate (265), and it’s clean, but the rest of that week is flat or wind-affected.

Into the third week, we see a few blips. Wednesday the 16th morning has a light offshore from the NNW with 3 ft, clean, and the afternoon is glassy again. Still small. By Sunday the 20th, we get another glassy window with 3 ft from the ESE, but the energy is low (111). After that, a series of light cross-off mornings keep things clean but tiny until the 23rd, when the wind turns onshore again and it’s back to poor conditions.

Overall, the only real standout is Friday morning, September 11th – small but absolutely perfect offshore conditions at Tainohama. The rest of the 16 days is a lot of waiting for wind and swell to line up, and for the most part, they don’t. There’s a solid 4-5 day gap in the middle where you’re better off staying home. Keep an eye on that Monday 14th afternoon glass-off too, but don’t hold your breath.

Rusty.

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