Tainohama Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on the cards for Tainohama over the next couple of weeks.

We're in for a real mixed bag. The first few days are pretty small and not worth getting wet for, but hold onto your board – things are about to get proper heavy. This is a reef break that only handles advanced surfers, and when the big stuff rolls in, it's gonna be strictly for the experienced crew.

Sunday the 2nd is a write-off, with tiny 2ft to 4ft ESE swell and messy cross-off breezes. Not worth the paddle out. Monday the 3rd morning wakes up a bit with a clean 5ft swell from the ESE and light NE cross-off winds. The energy is building (1198) and the conditions are clean, so this is a decent warm-up for the crew who know the reef.

Then things get real. Tuesday the 4th morning sees a 10ft ESE groundswell with a long 17-second period. The combined energy is already pumping at 5629, and while the wind is a light cross-onshore, this is big, powerful water. By Wednesday the 5th, we peak. Wednesday morning has a clean 15ft SE swell with a 17-second period, cross-shore ENE wind at only 3 mph, and energy at a massive 12900. This is the standout of the whole forecast. The swell direction is off the optimum for this spot, but the sheer size, the glassy cross-shore wind, and that long-period energy make it a proper, heavy, expert-only session. Wednesday afternoon is even bigger at 16ft, but the wind picks up slightly.

Thursday the 6th stays massive with 20ft surf, but it's starting to get a bit lumpy with stronger cross-onshore winds. This is still expert territory, but the quality drops a touch. By Friday the 7th, the swell holds around 16ft, but the wind goes onshore and we get thunderstorms rolling through. It turns into a bit of a washing machine, honestly, probably more interesting for the kite crew on a beach setup than for paddle surfing.

The following weekend and into the new week sees a steady drop-off, with messy, onshore winds and a lot of chop from the 8th through the 11th. There's a brief window on Wednesday the 12th morning with clean, gentle offshore winds from the N and a small 3ft S swell, but the energy is only 248 – it's a clean but tiny session.

Now, for the second week, keep an eye on this. Friday the 14th morning looks promising. A clean 7ft ESE groundswell with a light N cross-off breeze. The period is 11 seconds, the energy is 1007, and the conditions will be glassy. Saturday the 15th morning stays solid with a 7ft ESE swell and clean cross-off winds, but it does get bigger and choppier in the afternoon. Sunday the 16th morning has a 10ft E swell with clean cross-off winds – that’s a big, expert wave, and it looks good. Then Monday the 17th morning offers a clean 8ft E swell with light offshore breezes. These last few days are promising, but they're a long way out, so stay tuned.

Alright, that's the long-range picture. Keep your eyes on that Wednesday the 5th and that Friday the 14th window. Get out there if you're brave enough.

Rusty.

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