Tainohama Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it.

Right now, we’re looking at a pretty bleak start here for Tainohama. For the first few days, it’s a write-off. Sunday the 16th through to Thursday the 20th is all onshore wind and small, weak swell, with no real surf to speak of. The combined swell energy barely gets past the mid-100s through most of that stretch, so it’s just not worth paddling out.

Things start to look a little more interesting on Friday the 21st. We’ve got a bump in swell coming from the south, running at 5ft with an 11-second period. The energy jumps up to 548. But the wind is still on it, so it’s only marginal. Don’t get too excited.

Then from Saturday the 22nd right through to Sunday the 23rd, it goes back to being poor. Onshore and weak.

Now, Monday the 24th shows a bit more size – swell from the southeast at 6ft to 7ft, with a long 16-second period. That’s a nice groundswell. But it’s still onshore wind, so it’s messy and only a marginal call, with moderate wave energy on the rise (1802 to 1989). Not the day for it.

But here’s where it gets real.

The standout window is Tuesday the 25th. That’s the one to circle. The morning starts glassy – wind from the east-northeast at just 3 mph – and the swell is a solid 8ft from the southeast with a very long 16-second period. The water’s already warm at 83°, which is about average for this time of year. This is a big, clean groundswell. For experienced surfers, this is excellent. The combined energy is massive – over 3100. Just be aware, a 16-second period at a beach can make it a little straight, so it’ll be better if you can find a corner or a reef, but Tainohama’s a reef break anyway, so it should handle that nicely. Crowds are possible here sometimes, so get in early.

Wednesday the 26th holds similar size, but the wind gets a bit cross, so it’s not as clean. Still decent for those who know what they’re doing.

Thursday the 27th is the big one. Morning shows an 12ft swell from the southeast with a 16-second period, and the wind is cross-offshore from the north-northeast at 9 mph. That’s clean. The energy is through the roof at 5343 to 6769. This is an exceptional day for expert surfers only. Too big for anyone else. The afternoon holds even better.

Friday the 28th gets blown out by a strong cross-onshore wind and a massive 13ft to 15ft swell. That’s a mess, and the energy is huge, but not rideable for paddle surfing.

Saturday the 29th is just mental. Swell hits 25ft in the morning, with near gale-force onshore wind. That’s not surfable – it’s more like a survival mission. Even the afternoon has 21ft. Leave it for the kites if anyone’s mad enough.

Sunday the 30th cleans up with a cross-offshore wind, but the swell drops to 10ft with a short 9-second period. Marginal call.

Monday the 31st is the last chance in this window. You get a clean offshore wind from the north, with a 7ft swell from the southeast, but the period drops to 7 or 8 seconds. Still fun for a wave, but it’s not the same power as the middle of the week.

So, to sum it up: Tuesday the 25th is your standout for clean, powerful, glassy conditions for experienced surfers. Thursday the 27th is the expert-only big-wave day with exceptional-quality surf. The rest of the window is either onshore junk or way too big. Get on it while it’s clean.

Rusty.

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