Tainohama Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what Tainohama has in store for us over the next couple of weeks.

The pattern starts off with some pretty ordinary conditions, but there is a glimmer of decent surf hidden in there if you’re patient. We’ve got a few windows where the swell picks up and the wind plays ball, but you’ll have to sit through a fair bit of average to get to them. There are also some sizeable gaps right at the end where it just goes flat.

Saturday the 5th is a write-off, to be honest. Tiny 3ft SSW swell with a light breeze and cloudy skies. Not worth paddling out for. Sunday the 6th sees the swell jump up to a solid 7ft to 8ft from the ESE, and the combined energy is strong at 829 to 1152. Problem is, it’s cross-offshore wind and we’ve got rain – heavy at times – so it’s a messy one. Not the day to charge it.

Now, Monday the 7th morning is where we get our first proper look. The swell is still a healthy 7ft from the SE with a period of 10 seconds, and crucially, we have a moderate offshore breeze from the North. That’s clean, that is. The water’s sitting at a warm 85°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year. The combined energy is high at 924. This is the standout for the first week – Tainohama’s exposed reef setup will handle that SE swell nicely, and with the offshore wind, it’ll be proper. This is a good one for advanced surfers; it’s a little big for beginners at 7ft. Keep an eye on the tide.

Wednesday the 9th morning offers another chance with 7ft from the SSE and a moderate offshore breeze from the North, keeping things clean. The combined energy is still moderate to strong at 607. It’s a similar story to Monday, just slightly smaller. Not quite as good, but a solid backup. The afternoon freshens up a bit, making it a little more challenging.

After that, it drops off quickly. Thursday the 10th and Friday the 11th are poor – the wind goes onshore or cross-onshore and the swell loses all its energy. There’s a gap here of several days with nothing recommended. We see a little pulse on Saturday the 12th, but it’s small (3ft to 3ft) and weak. Sunday the 13th afternoon shows a bit of promise with 3ft S swell and a 10-second period, and the wind is light cross-offshore – that’s clean, but it’s small.

Tuesday the 15th morning is actually a bit of a surprise. We get a 3ft ESE swell, and the wind is glassy – dead calm. That’s about as clean as it gets, and the combined energy is moderate at 303. For a small day, that could be fun on the reef. It’s a light crowd spot sometimes, so you might have it to yourself. This is a nice little late-season treat.

From Wednesday the 16th onwards, it’s pretty much done. The swell drops right off to 1ft or less, and the energy is weak. There’s a long gap of flat conditions right through to the end of the 16-day window on the 20th. No surf on offer for that final stretch.

So, to sum it up: your best bet is Monday the 7th morning for the biggest, cleanest swell of the period, and keep Tuesday the 15th morning in mind for a glassy, small session if you’re after something clean and uncrowded. Everything else is a miss.

Rusty.

Read more