Tainohama Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a proper look at what’s coming down the line for Tainohama. It’s a bit of a slow burn over the next 16 days.

We’ve got a solid window of clean conditions and building swell, but the first few days are a write-off. From Wednesday the 16th through to Thursday the 17th, the wind is pushing cross-off and it’s just not offering anything worth paddling out for. You might as well stay home.

Things start to look up on Friday, September 18th. We’ve got a glassy morning with the wind dropping to nothing. The swell comes in at 5ft out of the ESE with a 9-second period, and the combined energy jumps to 353 (moderate). It’s not huge, but for Tainohama, that clean, glassy surface is a massive positive. This is the standout of the first week. The water temp is sitting at 82°, which is about normal for the time of year.

Saturday the 19th sees the swell jump to 7ft – 8ft from the ESE, with a long 13-second period pushing the energy right up (1615-2483). That’s strong energy. But the wind is cross-off from the N/NNE at 12 mph. It’s clean, but at that size and with that long period, it’s going to be powerful and only for experienced surfers. The long period also means it might be a bit straight for a beach break, but Tainohama being a reef might handle it better.

Sunday the 20th holds solid at 8ft to 10ft, with the wind finally turning offshore on the afternoon. That’s fresh offshore and clean, but the size is firmly in the “experts only” zone. Monday the 21st drops off quickly, and by Tuesday the 22nd we’re back to tiny, weak conditions for several days.

We then hit a long gap of nothing really surfable from the 23rd through to the 26th. Just tiny, short-period, messy stuff.

The real standout event is shaping up for the end of the forecast period. Sunday, September 28th brings back some size, but the magic window looks like Tuesday morning, September 29th. We’ve got a 7ft swell from the SSW with a very long 15-second period. The combined wave energy is a solid 2054 (strong). The wind is a slight air from the NE, making it cross-off but clean. This is excellent for experienced surfers.

Then, Wednesday, September 30th afternoon is another cracker. The wind goes offshore, the swell holds at 6ft from the SSW with a 14-second period, and the energy is 1421 (moderate). This is clean and powerful, definitely one to pencil in.

Finally, for the real big wave hunters, Thursday, October 1st delivers. A massive 15ft swell from the S in the morning, with 5282 energy (very strong!). The wind is light, but that is pure beast mode. Only for the experts, and even then, respect the ocean.

So, to wrap it up: Friday the 18th is your pick for the first half for clean, manageable waves. Tuesday the 29th and Wednesday the 30th September are the standout windows for solid, powerful, clean conditions. The 1st of October is for the big dogs only.

Stay safe, Rusty.

Read more