Tainohama Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty, and I’m looking at what’s on the table for Tainohama over the next couple of weeks. Let me tell you, it’s a mixed bag with a serious dose of reality.

First thing, the water temperature here is about average for the time of year, nothing wild.

We’re starting off with a bit of a whimper right now. The first real chance to paddle out comes on Wednesday, August 28th, early morning. The wind will be glassy, and we’ve got a small 3 ft swell from the SSW with a short period of 8 seconds. The combined energy is weak (220), so it’s not going to be a day of power, but it’ll be clean. It’s a reef break, so the short period isn’t a huge issue. Still, expect it to be pretty ordinary.

The rest of that week is a write-off, honestly. The wind is mostly cross-onshore or onshore, choppy, and the energy is weak. There’s a gap of several days where I wouldn’t bother.

Now, looking ahead to the first week of September, things get interesting, but it’s not all good news. On Tuesday, September 1st, the morning shows a jump in swell to 8 ft from the SSE, with a period of 12 seconds. The combined energy is strong (1746), but the wind is a gentle cross-shore, which is decent. The problem is the conditions are described as marginal, and it’s a lot of water moving. That’s more for the experienced crew.

Then we get a big, messy, powerful swell from the 2nd to the 4th of September. Swells are hitting 11 ft to 13 ft, with strong energy (5000-9000 range), but the wind is onshore and strong, making it lumpy and poor. This is kite-surfing territory, not a great paddle surf.

The real standout, and the one that has me a little excited, is Monday, September 8th, in the morning. We’re looking at a solid 16 ft swell from the SE, with a long period of 12 seconds. The combined energy is massive (12864). The wind is gentle cross-shore, which is a huge positive. This is a big, powerful groundswell, the kind that can be a bit too straight for a beach break, but Tainohama is a reef, so that long period will wrap in nicely. This is one for the experts only, as it’s well over 8 ft, but it has the potential to be the best day of the window. The forecast is a week and a half out, so keep an eye on it, but it’s a promising one.

The days after that drop off quickly, with the swell fading and the wind turning cross-onshore again.

So, to sum it up: the next few days are a scratchy, clean but weak start. The middle of the first week is a messy, windy washout. The big standout is Monday, September 8th, morning, for the big wave chargers. For now, it’s a waiting game.

Rusty.

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