Tainohama Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here with a look at what’s coming up for Tainohama.

We’ve got a big window ahead, but don’t get your hopes up too early. The first real chance for a surf doesn’t arrive until Tuesday morning, 7th July. Even then, it’s a mixed bag. Tuesday morning looks pretty solid for an opener: a 4ft swell from the ESE with a long 12-second period, clean conditions under a light cross-off breeze from the NE, and wave energy sitting at 800 (moderate). That’s your best early call, no doubt. The afternoon turns messy with a cross-on wind, so make the most of the morning.

Wednesday and Thursday (8th & 9th July) see the swell building fast – way fast. Wednesday morning is already 7ft from the SE with 15-second period and a combined energy of 2694 (strong), but a solid onshore wind rips it to bits. It’s too big for beginners and the onshore wind makes it a real battle. Thursday morning hits 8ft from the SSE, period 15 seconds, and 3731 energy (strong), but again, that onshore wind kills the quality. This is expert-only territory and even then, it’s rough.

Friday 10th July is where things get wild. Morning swell at 12ft from S, 16-second period, 7575 energy (very strong). The afternoon pushes 13ft from S, 17-second period, and a huge 13401 energy (very strong). That’s massive, heavy, and dangerous – only for the most experienced hellmen. Onshore winds all day, so it’s a washing machine. Kite surfers might have a field day, but for paddle surfing, it’s a full-on mission.

Saturday 11th July stays big at 13ft morning, 12ft afternoon, still onshore, with energy in the 6000–8000 range. Still expert-only, still rough. Sunday 12th July starts dropping: 7ft morning, 4ft afternoon, energy dropping to 1114 (moderate), but onshore winds remain. Not worth paddling out.

Monday 13th July into Tuesday 14th – the swell fades to under 4ft with energy under 500 (weak). Conditions are poor. Wednesday 15th shows a little life with 5ft from SE, 12-second period, and 821 energy (moderate), but it’s still onshore. Just a tease.

Now here’s a standout for the second week: Thursday morning, 16th July. It’s small – only 4ft from the ESE, 10-second period, and just 297 energy (weak) – but the wind goes glassy. That means clean, smooth, fun little waves. For a summer morning, that’s as good as it gets. Don’t sleep on it.

After that, Friday 17th through Sunday 19th is small and mostly onshore or cross-on. Nothing to write home about. Then Monday 20th July afternoon rolls in with 6ft from ESE, 8-second period, and 692 energy (moderate), but the wind is cross-off from the NE, so it’s clean again. That’s your second standout – a solid little afternoon session with clean conditions. But that Tuesday 21st page turns with heavy rain, a fresh cross-on wind at 19 mph, and lumpy surf. Kite territory again.

So, take it from me: Tuesday morning, 7th July is your pick for the first week – clean, long period, and manageable. For the second week, keep your eyes on Thursday morning, 16th July for a glassy, clean morning surf, and Monday afternoon, 20th July for another clean session with a bit more size. Everything else is either too big and blown out, or too small and messy.

– Rusty

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