Tainohama Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s break it down. The next couple of weeks look mostly flat and messy at Tainohama, but there are a couple of days that’ll get the blood pumping if you’re brave.

Right now and for the next several days, it’s a write-off. Onshore winds from the SSE and S, tiny weak swell, and energy numbers well under 200 (139, 81, 61...). Nothing worth paddling out for. That stretch runs all the way to Monday, August 24th.

Monday August 24th brings a jump in size – 6ft in the morning up to 8ft in the afternoon – with a 17-second period, which is a very long period groundswell from the SE. Energy jumps to 2235 and 3154, so there’s real power. But the wind is cross-onshore from the SSW at 12 mph, and the reef prefers S swell, so the quality is marginal. Big and raw, not clean.

Tuesday August 25th morning is the standout. Glassy conditions, 12ft SSE swell at 16 seconds – very long period. That’s a massive groundswell and the direction is close enough to the reef’s optimum. Energy is a huge 5383. Wind is light out of the east at 3 mph, so it’s glassy. This is exceptional surf, but only for experts. 12ft is way too big for beginners, and intermediates will be out of their depth. Crowds are ‘sometimes’ so you might see a few, but on a Tuesday it shouldn’t be a zoo. The afternoon gets a little bumpy, but the morning is the session.

Wednesday August 26th morning stays clean with 12ft SSE swell at 14 seconds and light southerly winds (3 mph, onshore). Still huge, still expert-only. The afternoon gets windier and drops to 10ft.

Thursday August 27th holds 10ft from the SE but the period drops to 10 seconds. Still big, but quality drops with onshore winds and shorter period.

Saturday August 29th morning is a solid option – glassy, calm, 8ft SSW swell at 13 seconds. Energy is 2804, still strong. That’s a clean, powerful swell for experienced surfers. Crowds are ‘sometimes’ so you might have it to yourself.

Then Monday September 1st morning brings a massive 13ft SE swell with a 17-second period. Energy is 8968 – very strong. Winds are light onshore from the south at 6 mph. That’s a huge, long-period groundswell, expert-only. The afternoon jumps to 16ft and 16 seconds (14178 energy) with a gentle cross-onshore, so it’s still very big and a bit bumpy. Another standout for the big-wave crew.

Water temp at the start is 83°F, about 1°F above normal – nothing wild, just a warm summer sea.

Overall, the real quality is on the 25th morning and the 31st morning. Everything else is either too small and windy or too big and bumpy. Experts have two good windows. Everyone else, maybe sit this one out.

Rusty.

Read more