Osaki Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here with a look at what’s on the cards for Osaki Point.

Right off the bat, we’ve got a stretch of tiny, ordinary surf to kick things off. From Wednesday the 29th through to Saturday the 1st of August, it’s pretty flat with wave heights hanging around 1.0 to 2 feet. The combined energy is weak, sitting between 30 and 88. We get some glassy and clean windows, but there’s just not enough juice to get excited about.

We then run into a week-long rough patch from Sunday the 2nd of August onwards. The swell starts to build, but it comes with cross-onshore winds, making conditions pretty messy. By Monday the 3rd, we’re looking at 5 to 6 foot swell from the ESE with a long 16 to 17-second period, and the energy jumps right up (1365 to 1962). But the wind is all wrong—it’s a light cross-onshore and the forecast flags it as marginal at best. The swell keeps rising through the week, hitting a massive 16 to 18 feet by Wednesday the 5th and 28 to 39 feet on Thursday the 6th. Wind speeds hit gale force (31 to 40 mph) and it’s straight onshore or cross-onshore. The combined energy goes ballistic, reading 21153 on Wednesday afternoon and hitting a gigantic 144984 on Thursday afternoon. Honestly, this isn't paddle surfing—this is big, dangerous, blown-out chaos. It’s going to be too big for anyone but the most seasoned big-wave chargers, and even for them the wind is just awful. This setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than a traditional paddle session.

The surf finally settles down by the second weekend. Saturday the 8th of August brings cleaner conditions with cross-offshore winds and dropping swell—still a solid 10 to 13 feet from the SSW, with moderate energy (1602 to 2942). It’s still big, but there’s a little more hope for the experts. By Sunday the 9th, it drops further to 4 to 4 feet with a longer 13-second ESE period, holding clean cross-offshore wind. The energy is moderate (764 to 1360). Nothing special, but surfable.

Now for the real standout. Monday the 10th of August looks like the best of the bunch. We’ve got a clean 4 foot swell from the east, a 13 to 14-second period, and light offshore to cross-offshore southwesterly winds. Combined energy reads a solid 899 to 845. Conditions are flagged as “expect very good surf conditions.” That’s your window for a clean, fun session with some decent shape. The water temp? We don’t have a specific reading here, but given that there’s no anomaly noted, it’s about average for the time of year—nothing crazy.

Tuesday the 11th and Wednesday the 12th offer smaller but still clean windows: 3 to 5 foot swell with glassy or clean conditions, though the period drops to 7 or 8 seconds by Tuesday afternoon and Wednesday, so the waves will be a bit weaker and mushier for beach breaks. Osaki Point is a beach and reef setup though, so the longer-period groundswell we saw earlier in the week is better suited here—the shape will hold up better on the reef than on the beach. But the wind is clean, and the energy is moderate (390 to 579).

Crowds at Osaki Point can be an issue sometimes, so keep that in mind if you’re heading out.

So to sum it up: the first few days are flat, the middle of the run is huge and windy, and the tail end of the second week—especially Monday the 10th—is the one to pencil in.

Rusty.

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