Osaki Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here, and I’ve got a look at the surf ahead for Osaki Point.

Alright, let’s be straight up—this stretch coming up is a real slow burn. We’ve got a long patch of pretty ordinary conditions before anything worth getting excited about turns up. The next week or so is all small, weak surf, and you’ll be scratching around for scraps. The real action, and I mean *real* action, doesn’t show until the very end of July and into August.

For the first few days, from Saturday the 18th through to the end of the week, it’s a flat spell. Swell heights are hanging around 1 ft to 2 ft from the east-southeast, with combined energy readings in the 30s to 80s—that’s weak, barely any push. Winds are mostly light and variable, with some glassy mornings, but the waves are just too small to get stoked about. The water temperature is sitting at 82°F, which is pretty normal for this time of year, so no surprises there.

Sunday the 26th stays small, but there’s a hint of something better brewing. The real standout window opens up on Monday the 27th of July. That morning, the swell jumps to 4 ft from the southeast, with a period of 16 seconds—that’s a proper groundswell, long and clean. Combined energy is a solid 1238, and we’ve got glassy conditions with a light easterly breeze. This is your best bet for the whole forecast: clean, lined-up sets, not too big, just right for an experienced surfer. The afternoon gets a bit bigger at 7 ft, but it’s a little crossed up, so the morning is the pick.

Now, hold on to your board—because after that, things get wild. On Tuesday the 28th, the swell cranks up to 12 ft in the morning, then 16 ft in the afternoon. By Wednesday the 29th, we’re looking at 20 ft to 25 ft from the southeast. The combined energy numbers go through the roof—4557, then 13568, then 19720 and 35581—that’s massive, powerful swell. But here’s the catch: this is way too big for most surfers. Over 8 ft is expert-only territory, and with onshore winds picking up, it’s a messy, dangerous beast. This is more for the tow-in crew or the kamikaze types. The swell keeps building through Thursday the 30th, hitting 39 ft to 44 ft with gusty cross-onshore winds—this is big-wave territory, not a paddle session.

By Friday the 31st, the swell drops back to 20 ft from the southwest, but the wind is howling at 37 mph, so it’s blown out. Then, as we roll into August, things settle down. Saturday the 1st of August brings a cleaner outlook: 5 ft in the morning, dropping to 5 ft in the afternoon, with offshore winds from the southwest. Combined energy is a moderate 480 to 407, and conditions should be clean. It’s a good option for a more relaxed session, but not the standout.

So, in summary: the first week is a write-off. The best on offer is Monday morning the 27th of July at Osaki Point—4 ft of long-period southeast swell with glassy winds. That’s the one to circle. The huge swell later in the week is for experts only, and the beginning of August offers a decent, clean backup.

Rusty.

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