Osaki Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right, let’s have a look at what’s cookin’ for Osaki Point over the next couple of weeks. Gotta be straight with ya – it’s a bit of a mixed bag, and the early part of the outlook is pretty much a write-off unless you’re after a washing machine.

We’ve got a massive pulse of swell rolling in right from the start of August, but the wind is just wrecking it. Wednesday morning the 5th sees a 16 ft ESE swell with a very long 16-second period, so there’s a ton of energy in the water (combined energy of 11654), but that ENE wind is blowing straight onshore at 9 mph. The water’s a touch warmer than normal at 85°, which is nice for the body, but the surf is just a mess. It’s too big for beginners anyway, and the conditions are marginal. Wednesday afternoon is even bigger at 18 ft from the ESE with even more energy (27216), but the wind goes cross-on from the east at 12 mph. The models say the conditions would be favourable if it weren't so big, but at this size, it’s really only for the brave and the very experienced. Honestly, Thursday through to the following Monday, it’s all big swell but with strong onshore winds, rain and thunderstorms. It’s a no-go zone. There are a few days of poor surf conditions where the energy is still up there (hitting over 10,000 again on Thursday afternoon), but it’s just not clean.

Things start to settle down around Tuesday the 11th. The swell drops to 7 ft from the SSW, with a 12-second period. The energy is still moderate (1917), but the wind is a near-calm 3 mph from the ENE in the morning. It’s still only marginal, but it’s a step in the right direction.

Now, the standout window. Wednesday the 12th into Friday the 14th is where we get the cleanest conditions of the whole run. On Wednesday morning, the 12th, we’ve got a 6 ft SSW swell with an 11-second period. The wind goes glassy – dead calm from the west. The combined energy is weak (954), but with that glassy surface, it’s going to be really clean. The swell is a bit small for the size of Osaki, but if you’re on a log or a fish, it’ll be a fun, peaceful session. The afternoon stays clean with a light cross-offshore. Thursday the 13th is similar – 5 ft SSW swell, glassy calm in the morning, and a clean cross-off in the afternoon. Friday the 14th looks even smaller at 4 ft, but again, glassy conditions all day, which is a rare treat. This is the pick of the bunch for a relaxing surf.

After that, Saturday the 15th afternoon has a bit more push, with a 6 ft easterly swell, but the period drops to a short 7 seconds, so it’ll be a bit fat and crumbly. The wind is cross-off, so it’ll be clean, but the energy is low (504).

Then from Sunday the 16th onward, it’s back to poor conditions with onshore winds and a drop in swell size, so we’re really just looking at that mid-week window around the 12th to the 14th as the only real chance for a good, clean wave. If you can wait for that Wednesday and Thursday, you’ll be rewarded with glassy conditions and a clean, manageable swell. Don’t bother with the first week unless you’re a masochist or a tow-in specialist.

Rusty out.

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