Osaki Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Let’s look at Osaki Point in feet and miles per hour.

Right now, and into Monday the 7th, the wind is howling out of the northeast at 12–16 mph, cross-on or onshore, and the swell is around 6 ft from the southeast with a period of 9 seconds. The combined energy is moderate at 751, but it’s messy—light rain and choppy conditions mean it’s a write-off. Water temp is sitting at 84°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year.

Tuesday the 8th doesn’t get much better: onshore winds, swell dropping to 5–5 ft, and the risk of thunderstorms.

The first real flicker of hope shows up Wednesday morning the 9th. Swell bumps up to 7 ft from the SSE, period a short 8 seconds, but the wind swings west at 9 mph—cross-offshore. That’s going to clean things up nicely, and the combined energy is moderate at 563. The break is a beach and reef setup, exposed to that SSE swell, and it’s consistent. Conditions are clean, and the forecast points to some very good surf. This is one of the better windows early on, but that 7 ft might be a bit much for beginners. Wednesday afternoon turns poor again.

Thursday the 10th through Saturday the 12th sees the swell drop right off—down to 2–3 ft with periods as low as 7 seconds and weak energy readings (95–239). There’s a brief glassy moment on Friday afternoon the 11th with tiny 2 ft waves from the SSE, but it’s ordinary.

A real standout pops up on Wednesday the 16th. Morning brings a 6 ft swell from the ESE, period a short 7 seconds, but the wind is dead calm—glassy conditions. The combined energy is moderate at 419, and the forecast points to good surf. That afternoon the wind goes southwest at 9 mph, cross-offshore, keeping it clean with 6 ft waves. This is your best bet in the first week and a half: clean, consistent, and that offshore wind will make Osaki Point shape up nicely. Crowds are possible here sometimes.

After that, we hit another quiet patch. Thursday the 17th and Friday the 18th have small, weak waves. The 19th has glassy moments but tiny 2 ft surf.

Now, hold onto your board. The second week has a massive pulse on the horizon. Monday the 21st brings a 4 ft swell from the ESE with a very long period of 21 seconds and strong energy at 2552. That’s groundswell, best on the reef. Winds are light onshore.

Then Tuesday the 22nd is the real beast. Morning shows a 10 ft swell from the ESE with a period of 19 seconds and very strong energy at 6917. That’s big, long-period groundswell—experts only. Wind is light onshore again. The forecast score is the highest of the whole run, suggesting something special, but it’s a week and a half out.

Overall, the standout is Wednesday the 16th for clean, surfable waves. The big one on the 22nd is the dream, but it’s a gamble.

Rusty.

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