Osaki Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cookin’ for Osaki Point over the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, it’s a bit of a slow start. We’ve got a few days of small, weak, and messy surf from Tuesday the 18th through to Thursday the 20th. The swell is tiny, around 1 ft to 3 ft, coming from the ESE with a short, weak period of 8 seconds. The combined energy is weak, sitting between 124 and 218. On top of that, the wind is mostly cross-onshore, so the conditions are pretty poor. Not worth paddling out for. The water temperature is 83°, which is about average for this time of year.

Things start to look up a little on Friday the 21st. We get a cleaner S swell, 3 ft to 4 ft, with a period of 9 to 10 seconds, and the combined energy bumps up to moderate (267–279). The wind goes glassy Friday morning and cross-off in the afternoon, which is a real treat. The waves will be clean and fun, though nothing huge. That solid, glassy morning window on Friday is your best bet for the first week. Saturday the 22nd and Sunday the 23rd follow a similar pattern with clean, glassy mornings and smaller S-SSW swell, but the wave heights are a bit smaller by Sunday.

Now, here’s where it gets interesting. The big pulse arrives on Monday the 24th. A long-period groundswell from the SE rolls in, jumping from 3 ft to 5 ft and the period stretches to a very long 16 seconds. The combined energy skyrockets to 751 Monday morning and then 1458 in the afternoon – that’s strong wave energy. The morning looks glassy, but the afternoon gets a bit of a cross-shore wind. This is a promising setup, but that long period (16s) means the waves will be fat and powerful, better for a point or reef, so keep that in mind at a beach-and-reef setup like Osaki.

From Tuesday the 25th through Wednesday the 27th, the swell goes ballistic. We’re talking 8 ft to 15 ft, all from the SSE, with periods still in the 16-17 second range. The combined energy is massive (over 10,000 at its peak). This is serious, heavy water. The problem is the wind: it’s mostly onshore or cross-onshore, creating choppy, tough conditions. This is not for the faint of heart. This is expert-only territory, and honestly, the setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing with that kind of wind and size.

The real standout, the one you want to circle on your calendar, is Friday the 28th. The swell eases a touch to 13 ft, but the wind swings to a clean cross-offshore from the WNW in the morning, and then a solid cross-off from the NW in the afternoon. The combined energy is still very strong (over 6,300), and the period is a grinding 14 seconds. The forecast says “exceptional surf conditions for expert surfers” – and that’s exactly what it is. Big, powerful, clean lines. This is the best on offer.

Saturday the 29th and Sunday the 30th see the swell drop to 10 ft, still big, with the wind turning glassy on Sunday morning. That Sunday morning (August 30th) is another excellent window for experienced surfers, with clean, glassy conditions and a solid 10 ft SSE swell. The energy is still very strong (over 4,600).

Into the first week of September, the swell holds at 8 ft to 12 ft, but the wind gets a bit messier. Keep an eye on the clean morning windows, but the peak of the action is definitely that Friday the 28th and Sunday the 30th.

So, to sum it up: the first few days are a write-off. The middle of the second week gets huge but messy. The absolute standout is Friday the 28th of August – big, clean, and powerful. The Sunday the 30th is a close second. Get on it if you’re an expert.

Rusty.

Read more