Osaki Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you—looking at this stretch, the next week is going to test your patience. We’ve got a long run of poor surf ahead, with only tiny glimmers of hope before things finally fire up in the back half of the window. If you’ve got a quiver of logs and a lot of love for the ocean, you might find something, but for most, the board stays in the car for a while.

Right out of the gate, Wednesday afternoon is a write-off. We’ve got a cross-onshore breeze chopping up a 6ft SSE swell, and the energy is weak-to-moderate (496). It’s messy, and not worth the paddle. This poor stretch hangs around through Thursday and into Friday too, with light rain and onshore winds keeping things ordinary. The swell drops to around 3ft, but the quality just isn’t there.

There’s a tiny spark on Saturday morning. The wind goes glassy, and the SSE swell is a small 3ft with a weak period of 7 seconds. It’s surfable, but calling it good would be generous. The real action that day is the afternoon. A cross-offshore SSW wind cleans up a 2ft E swell (289) with a long 14-second period. It’s small, but clean—a proper longboard wave if you’re keen to get wet. Sunday and Monday slide back into the doldrums, with onshore winds and weak, short-period ESE swells making everything look average.

Now, here’s where it gets interesting. As we push into the following week, the models start showing a serious pulse on the horizon. Saturday the 19th is the first day things get properly big. A SE groundswell starts to build, hitting 10-13ft by the afternoon with a very long 16-second period. The energy is strong (5073-9309), but the wind is onshore, so it’s not going to be clean. Still, this is the start of something. Sunday the 20th is the standout—there’s a huge SE groundswell pushing 16-21ft, with energy maxing out at a powerful 25243. The wind is onshore though, and this much water is only for the experts. For most, it’s a spectator event. This is way too big for a beach and reef setup like this, and honestly, the conditions will be chaotic. If you’re a strong paddler, this is the biggest day on offer, but be realistic about your limits.

After that big pulse, Monday the 21st still has some solid swell (8-10ft) from the SSE, but it’s backing off and the wind is onshore, keeping it marginal. By Tuesday, it’s dropping out again, and we’re back to smaller, wind-affected waves.

One last thing—for the first session that’s even remotely worth it (Saturday morning), the water temp is sitting at 83°F, which is about average for this time of year. No surprises there.

So, bottom line: the first week is mostly a bust. The standout is Saturday the 20th, but only if you’re an expert. The cleanest waves on offer are probably Saturday the 12th afternoon, if you can find a longboard and some patience. Otherwise, this stretch is a good time to sort out your fins.

Rusty.

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