Osaki Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on the menu. We've got a run of small, clean waves coming up at Osaki Point to start, but the real story is later on. The first batch of swell is pretty modest, but the winds look sweet for the most part.

We kick off Monday the 10th with a nice little window. Morning glass, some clouds, and a clean 4ft easterly swell rolling in at 12 seconds. That's a nice little groundswell, giving the waves some shape and energy (956 combined energy). It'll be a bit inconsistent between sets, but the paddle out will be easy. The water temp is about average for the time of year. Afternoon goes glassy calm too with a risk of a storm, but it’s still a tidy 4ft from the east. That first day is the standout of the near-term, with clean conditions and fun, user-friendly waves. This is a consistent spot, but it can get crowded with the "sometimes" crowd factor, so early morning is your best bet.

Tuesday the 11th sees a drop in quality. The swell shifts south, gets a bit weaker, and the wind turns onshore and cross-onshore. It's a write-off. Wednesday the 12th has a brief reprieve in the morning with another glassy session on a 4ft SSW swell, but the period drops to 10 seconds. By afternoon, it's poor again.

Thursday and Friday are pretty ordinary with smaller, weaker swells and dodgy wind. Not worth your time. Saturday the 15th and Sunday the 16th come back around with some clean conditions on a small, but fun 3ft easterly swell. Glassy mornings and clean afternoons, perfect for a longboard or a fish. The energy is weak (around 245-269), but the quality of the ride will be there.

Then we hit a real lull from Monday the 18th through to Sunday the 23rd. The swell window dries up badly, with tiny waves and poor winds. This spot is fairly consistent in general, so this extended flat spell is a bit of a drag, but it happens.

Now, hold onto your board. Monday the 24th and Tuesday the 25th are the big, promising, but uncertain standouts. On Monday morning the 24th, we see a long period groundswell start to fill in from the southeast, 15 seconds at 3ft. That's a very long period, which means better shaped waves with a lot of energy (461) but longer waits between sets. The wind is onshore though, so it'll be a bit messy.

The real kicker is Monday afternoon the 24th and Tuesday the 25th. The same southeast groundswell jumps to 6ft at 12-13 seconds. The energy jumps way up to 1309 and 1053 — that's strong. This is expert territory for sure, over 5ft and getting close to 7ft. It won't be a beginner's wave. The wind is light cross-onshore, so not perfect, but the sheer amount of energy from that long period southeast swell will make for some powerful, hollow waves on the reef at Osaki Point. It's a long-range call, so don't book your flights yet, but if that long-period groundswell hits right, it'll be the best session of the whole outlook.

So, to sum up: Monday the 10th is your best early call for clean, fun waves. The standouts are definitely the Monday afternoon and Tuesday of the 25th, if you're an expert and you don't mind a bit of cross-onshore breeze on a big, powerful southeast groundswell.

Rusty.

Read more