Osaki Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here, let’s talk about the surf coming up.

We’ve got a strange run ahead at Osaki Point. The first few days are small and a bit ordinary, but then it builds into a serious, dangerous swell. The real standout is the glassy session on Sunday the 2nd of August—that’s the one to circle.

The water is sitting at 85°F right now, which is much warmer than usual for this time of year. Feels like a bath out there.

For the immediate days, Thursday the 30th of July afternoon is tiny—1 ft from the ESE, period at 9 seconds, and a light cross-off wind. Combined energy is weak (55), so it’s just a fun little paddle. Not worth getting excited about.

Friday the 31st of July morning is glassy, with 1.0 ft from the SE, period stretching to 12 seconds. That’s a long period for such a small wave, so it’ll be clean but small. Combined energy is still low (52). Friday afternoon goes cross and stays tiny.

Saturday the 1st of August is a write-off—cross-on wind, poor conditions, small swell.

Now here’s the standout: Sunday the 2nd of August. Morning starts glassy with 2 ft from the ESE, period 18 seconds—that’s a very long period groundswell for a small wave. Combined energy jumps to 403 (moderate). The afternoon gets even better: glassy, 4 ft from the ESE, period 16 seconds, combined energy 737 (moderate). These are clean, long-period waves. Because it’s a beach and reef setup, those long intervals can make the waves a bit straight at the beach, but the reef sections should handle them nicely. Winds are light and glassy—this is the best on offer.

Monday the 3rd of August gets bigger, but the wind shifts onshore. 6 ft in the morning from the ENE at 15 mph, then 7 ft in the afternoon with cross-on wind. The swell is solid, but the quality drops. This is getting into the too-big-for-beginners zone.

Tuesday the 4th of August is 10 ft plus, with onshore winds and a risk of thunderstorms. The energy is massive (6036 to 7490), but the wind and chop make it more of a kite-surfing setup than a clean paddle.

From Wednesday the 5th through Friday the 7th of August, it’s huge—18 ft to 28 ft—with strong onshore winds. The combined energy hits 78,758 on Thursday morning. This is for experts only, and even then, the wind is a problem. The break is too big and messy for most.

The second week sees a drop in size but more mediocre conditions. Saturday the 8th of August has 8 ft but with onshore wind and storms. Sunday the 9th is 5 ft and still marginal. The rest of the week into the 14th stays small, with short period (8 seconds) and cross-on winds. Combined energy drops to the hundreds. Nothing to plan a trip around.

So, bottom line: Sunday the 2nd of August is your best shot—small but clean, glassy, and long-period. The following week is a mix of blown-out big stuff and then small, choppy leftovers.

Rusty.

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