Osaki Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Righto, let's have a look at what's on the table for the next couple of weeks. At a glance, this is a classic tale of two halves. We’ve got a big, messy start followed by a real clean-up into some stunning conditions later on. The first week is going to be a write-off for anything decent, so you can save your energy for the second week which has some absolute gems in store.

We’re looking at Osaki Point, a beach and reef set-up. The water is sitting at 85°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year – it feels good on the skin.

Right off the bat, Thursday the 6th through to the 10th of August is a tough slog. We’ve got a solid groundswell coming in, but it’s completely ruined by strong onshore winds. On the 6th, we’re talking about a massive 18 ft swell from the SE with a long 15-second period, but it’s blowing a gale onshore at 22 mph. The wave energy is through the roof (11919), but it’s all just whitewater chaos – strictly for the kamikaze crew or those who want to get thrashed. This pattern hangs around for days, with 13 ft on Friday, and then slowly dropping into the 8 ft range by Saturday. The wind eases a touch, but it’s still cross-onshore and choppy. It’s just not surfable.

Monday the 10th is still marginal with chest-high 4 ft swell and light cross-onshore wind. The energy is starting to drop (1118), but the waves are just messy.

Now, Tuesday the 11th of August is the first real glimmer of hope. We get a 5 ft SSW groundswell with an 11-second period, and the wind goes totally glassy in the morning. The energy is still moderate (755), but that clean, glassy surface is what we’ve been waiting for. It’s not huge, but it’ll be fun and clean for an intermediate crew. The afternoon keeps the clean lines going with a light offshore breeze.

Skip the rest of that week – the 12th through to the 16th is a return to onshore mush with tiny 3 ft swell and poor conditions. A full four days of nothing.

But then we get to the real standouts. The absolute best of the whole forecast kicks off on Monday the 17th and runs right through to Friday the 21st. This is the main event, folks.

Monday the 17th sees a new pulse of 8 ft E swell with a short 10-second period. The energy ramps up strong (2075), and while the morning has a light onshore breeze, it’s workable.

The stars align perfectly from Tuesday the 18th through to Thursday the 20th of August. This is where Osaki Point absolutely lights up. We’ve got a consistent 6 ft to 7 ft swell from the ESE. The periods are between 7 and 10 seconds, so it’s a mix of ground and wind swell, but the key here is the wind. Mornings are glassy – dead calm – and afternoons are clean with light offshore and cross-offshore breezes. The wave energy sits in the sweet moderate range (627-855). This is the sweet spot for an intermediate surfer – chest to head-high, clean, peeling waves. The consistency is there, and with the glassy conditions, the early sessions on the 18th and 19th are going to be unforgettable.

Thursday the 20th is another cracker with the same glassy mornings and clean 6 ft ESE swell. Friday the 21st starts glassy too, with a 5 ft swell, though the afternoon gets a bit more breeze on it and becomes more marginal.

To sum it up: if you want waves you can actually surf, forget this week. The real window is Tuesday the 18th through Thursday the 20th of August. That’s your two-to-three-day standout where the conditions are as good as it gets for this stretch. The water’s warm, the swell is solid, and the wind is right. Get in the water.

Rusty.

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