Osaki Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here with a look at what we’ve got on the cards for the next couple of weeks.

First thing ya gotta know: the water is sitting right at 84°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year. Feels nice on the skin.

The real story is a solid pulse of groundswell arriving Monday afternoon and sticking around for a few days, with strong wave energy in the water. The standout runs from Monday afternoon through Tuesday. On Monday afternoon we’re looking at a clean 7 ft swell out of the SE with a very long 16-second period pushing into Osaki Point. Winds are light from the south, cross-off, keeping things lined up and tidy. This is excellent surf but it’s no beginner wave – that size and period mean it’s for experienced surfers only.

The best of the bunch hits Tuesday morning. It’s glassy, absolutely glassy, with a bigger 10 ft swell shifting more southerly and a 14-second period. The energy is massive, and with zero wind on the face, this is gonna be world-class for the crew who can handle it. The swell direction (SSE) lines up nicely with the optimum here. It’s a heavy day, not for the faint-hearted.

Tuesday afternoon still pumps at 10 ft but the wind swings south and cross-off. Still excellent and clean, just not quite as perfect as the morning glass.

Wednesday pulls back a touch with 8 ft swell from the S and SSW, periods still at 13 seconds. Morning has a risk of thunderstorms but winds are light cross-off, keeping it clean. This is still expert territory.

By Thursday morning we’re down to 6 ft from the SSW, but the period is still 12 seconds and it’s clean with light offshore wind out of the SW. A solid day for strong intermediates willing to step up.

Thursday afternoon drops to 5 ft and the period shortens to 11 seconds. Still clean with light cross-off breeze, but the power is fading. Friday and Saturday see the swell drop further into the 3 ft–4 ft range with shorter periods around 8–9 seconds. Winds are mostly offshore or cross-off, so the surf is clean but small – fun for a cruise and a log, but not the highlight of the run.

Sunday the 30th through Monday the 31st of August is pretty ordinary. Swell holds around 2 ft–3 ft, light wind, but the juice is gone.

Then we hit a bit of a flat spell. Tuesday the 1st of September is small and glassy but only 2 ft – weak energy. Wednesday the 2nd turns onshore with poor conditions and not much better. Thursday the 3rd sees a jump in size to 8 ft from the S with a 14-second period by afternoon, but it’s blown out by onshore winds and messy. Not worth it.

Friday the 4th of September is a big one – 13 ft to 15 ft from the S, but with strong cross-onshore winds up to 25 mph and heavy rain. Kite surfers might have a field day, but for paddle surfing, this is a write-off. The energy is off the charts but the quality is poor.

Now here’s a wild card: Saturday the 5th of September. We’re looking at a massive 28 ft swell from the S with a 14-second period and light cross-shore wind in the morning, then glassy conditions in the afternoon. The energy is ludicrous. But honestly, this is too big for this break – it’s going to be washing through with nowhere to hide. This is a stay-on-the-beach-and-watch day unless you’re a big-wave charger on a proper craft.

Sunday the 6th settles to 8 ft from the S but the period drops to 10 seconds and wind is light cross-onshore – marginal at best. Monday the 7th and Tuesday the 8th of September are all in the 5 ft–6 ft range with onshore or cross-onshore winds, questionable conditions, and not much to get excited about.

All in all, grab the window from Monday afternoon through Wednesday – that’s your best run. Tuesday morning is the absolute pinnacle. After that, it’s a waiting game.

Rusty.

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