Osaki Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, this is Rusty.

Let’s cut to the chase: the next 16 days at Osaki Point are a bit all over the place, with a slow start and then a massive pulse of swell that’s only for the brave. The water’s sitting at 85°F, which is about 3°F warmer than normal for this time of year, so it’s a touch warmer than you’d expect.

The first real action doesn’t kick in until Monday the 5th of August. Wednesday morning sees a 16ft swell from the ESE with a 17-second period, and offshore wind from the ENE at 12 mph. The combined energy is a whopping 14683, and it only gets bigger. By Wednesday afternoon, we’re talking 20ft from the ESE, 17 seconds, offshore wind again, with energy hitting 39334. This is expert-only country. The swell direction is lining up nicely with the optimum SSE, and the wave quality is there, but the size is brutal. If you’re a seasoned charger, this is the standout window, but it’s a long-range call so keep that in mind.

Thursday the 6th keeps the big stuff coming – 23ft from the SE, 17 seconds, with offshore ENE wind at 22 mph in the morning and 25 mph in the afternoon. The energy is still enormous at 29784 and 29255. Again, experts only. Friday morning the 7th holds at 20ft from the SSE, 16 seconds, offshore wind, energy at 20218. By Friday afternoon, the swell starts to drop and shift, and the conditions go south. From Saturday the 8th onwards, the wind turns cross-onshore or onshore, the swell direction swings to the SSW, and the quality tanks. There’s a long stretch of poor surf conditions with no real recommendations.

After the 10th of August, the swell drops to around 8ft to 3ft, but the wind stays messy or cross-onshore, and the energy is weak to moderate, ranging from 516 to 3315. It’s a real flat spell. The best of this later period might be Tuesday the 11th of August morning with a 8ft swell from the E, 12 seconds, and offshore ENE wind at 9 mph, but the energy is only 2705 and the forecast is marginal. The 17th of August morning sees an 8ft E swell, 10 seconds, with light offshore ENE wind at 6 mph, energy at 1536, but again it’s only marginal. The very last entry on the 18th of August afternoon has a clean 4ft swell from the E, 8 seconds, with light cross-offshore wind from the S, but the energy is weak at 336.

So, if you’re not a big-wave specialist, the first week is a washout, and the second week is mostly flat with poor conditions. The standout is definitely the Wednesday to Friday of the first week for the heavy hitters, but be ready for size and a long paddle.

Rusty.

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