Osaki Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get real about what’s on the menu for the next couple of weeks.

The picture is pretty grim for a long stretch. We’ve got a solid week of onshore winds and messy conditions ahead, with the only real light at the end of the tunnel being a couple of sessions around Friday the 11th and maybe a small window late in the second week. The wait is a grind, but there’s one standout that might just be worth the patience.

Osaki Point (beach and reef) is the only spot with any real pulse over the whole period. The water is sitting at a warm 85°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, so you’ll feel that difference.

The first week is a write-off. From Saturday the 5th right through to Thursday the 10th, it’s a mess of onshore winds, rain, and lumpy, choppy ocean. Sunday the 6th sees a big jump in size with an 12ft swell from the E, but it’s coming with a brutal 22 mph cross-onshore wind and heavy rain. The combined energy is massive (2570), but it’s a total no-go for a paddle. That setup actually looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing. The whole week sits with close to zero surf quality, so you’re better off doing something else.

Then we get the one true standout. On Friday the 11th, the whole picture flips. The morning sees a 6ft east swell with glassy conditions and only a 3 mph breeze. The energy is a solid 640. But the afternoon is the real deal: a 7ft easterly swell with a clean 9 mph offshore wind from the SW, and the combined energy jumps to 1143. This is excellent surf, but with that size, it’s only for experienced surfers. The swell period is 8 seconds, so it’s a short-period wind swell, but the offshore wind will iron it out into clean, lined-up waves. The break is consistent and exposed to the SSE swell, which is a good match for the direction. Crowds are possible here, so get in early if you can.

After that, the weekend of the 12th drops off fast. Saturday morning is back to small 3ft with poor conditions, and the rest of the week is a long, slow fade into tiny, weak surf. By Monday the 14th, we’re looking at 3ft swells with onshore winds, and the energy is weak. The second week is mostly a bust. There’s a tiny glimmer on Wednesday the 16th afternoon with a 3ft swell from the ESE, a 12-second period, and a light cross-offshore wind, which could give a clean little wave. The combined energy is low (211), but it’s surfable. The very end of the forecast, Sunday the 20th, has tiny 1.0ft glassy leftovers, but that’s barely a ripple.

Bottom line: the only real window to get excited about is Friday the 11th, especially the afternoon. If you can wait, it’ll be worth it. The rest is a long, quiet stretch.

Rusty.

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