Osaki Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s on the menu for Osaki Point over the next couple of weeks.

First off, I gotta be straight with you – the next few days are not looking good. Tuesday the 8th kicks off with a stormy vibe, onshore winds, and messy conditions. The swell is there at 5ft from the S, but with that ENE wind blowing 12 mph, it’s just a choppy mess. Combined energy is moderate at 589, but it’s not worth paddling out. Afternoon gets a bit bigger at 6ft, but same story – wind is on it, and the rain is moving in. Score is low.

Wednesday the 9th is a little better. Swell bumps up to 8ft from the SSE, and the wind drops to a light breeze, but it’s cross-shore. The combined energy hits 1029 which is moderate, but the surf is still marginal. There’s some risk of thunderstorms, so it’s a gamble. Not the day to rush.

Thursday the 10th drops back to 4ft, and the wind is on it or cross-on. Poor conditions. Same for most of the weekend. Friday the 11th is the first real flicker of hope – the morning goes glassy with a light 4ft SSE swell. The energy is only 238, but glassy conditions are always a gift. Afternoon turns clean with a light cross-offshore. It’s small, but it’s rideable.

Saturday the 12th is tiny – 2ft from the E, with a very long 14-second period. That’s a groundswell, but it’s so small it’s barely breaking. Glassy in the morning, clean in the afternoon, but you’ll be chasing ankle-biters. Energy is weak at 156. Sunday the 13th is worse, onshore winds and poor conditions.

We’ve got a gap of poor surf from Sunday through most of the next week. Monday the 14th and Tuesday the 15th are mostly onshore or cross-on, with small swell. The energy is moderate, but the wind ruins it. Wednesday the 16th morning goes glassy again with 4ft from the ESE – a clean, small window, but it’s short-lived as the wind swings onshore in the afternoon.

Now, the real standout. You’ve got to wait until the 21st of September. Monday the 21st afternoon at Osaki Point, the stars align. The swell hits 8ft from the SE, with a very long 16-second period. The combined energy is a massive 3237 – strong wave energy. And the wind? Glassy. That’s a recipe for excellent surf, but it’s for experienced surfers only, as it’s over 8ft. This is a point break setup, so that long period groundswell will wrap in nicely, but it’s going to be powerful. This is the best on offer in the whole window. Tuesday the 22nd is even bigger – 10ft from the same direction, but the wind is cross-on or onshore, so it won’t be as clean. Still, for the big-wave crew, it’s a serious session.

The water temp is about average for this time of year, no big anomaly to report.

If you’re not an expert, wait for the glassy morning of the 16th, or the clean Friday the 11th. The rest of the fortnight is a write-off or for the brave.

Rusty.

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