Osaki Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G'day, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's coming up for Osaki Point.

Right from the off, it's a rough start. The first solid look we get is Thursday the 3rd, and honestly, it's not worth paddling out for. We've got a small 4ft SSE swell with a short, weak 8-second period (combined energy 274), and the wind is a light cross-onshore. It's marginal at best. The whole first week is a write-off. From Thursday the 3rd right through to Monday the 7th, we've got a mix of rain, storms, and strengthening onshore winds that just trash the waves. The swell builds but the quality is zero. On Saturday the 5th, it's 7ft–8ft of messy E swell with strong cross-onshore winds—that's just not fun. Sunday the 6th sees the swell push up to 8ft, but it's rain-lashed and onshore. By Monday the 7th, we're still in the gutter with 6ft–7ft of short-period chop.

There's a bit of a shift from Tuesday the 8th. The swell really fires up, hitting 10ft on Tuesday morning and pushing to 12ft by the afternoon. This is big, powerful SE swell with 10-second period and very strong combined energy (1996). The wind goes light, but it's onshore and the conditions are still messy. This is expert-only territory due to the size, and the quality is questionable. Wednesday the 9th sees the swell hold at 10ft from the SE, with the period stretching out to 11 seconds and the energy hitting 2017. The wind is light cross-onshore in the morning. It's still big and heavy, but there's a glimmer of potential for someone who knows what they're doing. It's not what I'd call a standout day for the average surfer.

After that, it fades again. Thursday the 10th drops back to 6ft, and from then until the 16th, it's mostly small, weak, and poor. A lot of days are a total blank.

Then, hold onto your board. The real standout is Thursday the 17th. We've got a 2ft swell, sure, but look at that period: 16 seconds. That's very long-period groundswell, and the combined energy is still a solid 665. The wind goes glassy in the morning—absolutely dead calm. For a reef-and-beach setup like Osaki Point, that long period could produce some beautifully shaped, clean lines, especially if it wraps in. This is the best morning of the entire outlook. Because the tide conditions are flagged, you'll need to pick your time, but if you can, this is the one. The following morning, Friday the 18th, has a bigger 7ft SE swell with a 12-second period (combined energy 2442) and light cross-onshore winds. It's big and could be unruly for many, but for an experienced surfer, it's worth a look.

If you're a beginner, stay well clear of anything over 5ft, and the stuff over 8ft is for experts only. The crowds at Osaki Point can be a factor sometimes, so keep that in mind for that glassy Thursday morning.

Water temperature is about average for this time of year.

Sorry for the bleak first week, but that Thursday the 17th looks pure magic. Set the alarm.

Rusty.

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