Osaki Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Gather 'round, crew. The next two weeks at Osaki Point start off a bit slow, with plenty of small, messy conditions and wind against the swell. But don’t tune out – this forecast has a massive shift in store, and the final few days are looking absolutely wild. The water temp is sitting at 84° F, which is about average for this time of year, so no surprises on the thermal front.

Thursday the 13th kicks off with a risk of thunderstorms, a 3 ft SSW swell at 9 seconds, and a cross breeze. It’s pretty poor, honestly, with only 166 combined energy. Nothing to get excited about.

Friday morning the 14th is the first decent window. The wind goes glassy, and you’ve got a clean 2 ft easterly swell at 10 seconds. Combined energy is 224. It’s small, but glassy conditions make it worthwhile for a log or a longboard. Friday afternoon stays clean with a light S cross-off breeze.

Saturday the 15th and Sunday the 16th are largely write-offs with increasing onshore wind and a deteriorating swell. That Sunday morning shows a 5 ft ESE swell but it’s getting hammered by moderate cross-onshore breezes, giving it a combined energy of 453. Choppy, poor conditions.

We see a slight uptick Monday the 17th with a 4 ft ESE swell, but the cross-shore wind still only makes it marginal. Tuesday the 18th and Wednesday the 19th drop right back down, with energy falling below 100 on Wednesday. A real lull.

Thursday the 20th brings a change: a clean, offshore SW wind meets a 3 ft SSE swell at 8 seconds. Combined energy is 155. It’s still ordinary, but at least it’s rideable and clean. Friday the 21st morning goes glassy with a 3 ft SSE swell. More small, clean fun. Friday afternoon gets interesting though – a 3 ft SSW groundswell at 11 seconds rolls in with a light offshore WSW breeze and a combined energy of 296. The longer period will give it some shape, but it’s best on the point here to handle that longer gap between sets.

Saturday the 22nd afternoon is a highlight for the first week: glassy conditions, a 4 ft S swell at 9 seconds, and a combined energy of 377. Clean, fun, small waves.

Now, hold onto your board. Sunday the 23rd is where the outlook goes from average to absolutely bonkers. Sunday morning: a 5 ft SE groundswell with a 15-second period, glassy conditions, and a combined energy of 2102. This is for experienced surfers. Sunday afternoon jumps to an 8 ft SE swell at 17 seconds and a combined energy of 3411, with a light offshore SW breeze. This is big, long-period power – excellent for experts, and because it's a point break, that long period will wrap in nicely.

The momentum keeps building. Monday the 24th morning is an 12 ft SE swell, but the wind is onshore, so it's marginal. Then Monday afternoon: a 13 ft SSE groundswell at 17 seconds, glassy conditions, and a combined energy of 8130. That is an exceptional, expert-only session.

Tuesday the 25th is a full day of onslaught. Both morning and afternoon show 13 ft SE swell with periods of 15 to 16 seconds. Morning is glassy with 8273 combined energy, and the afternoon has a clean cross-off breeze with 7059. Exceptional, but only for the best in the water.

Wednesday the 26th sees the consistency peak. The afternoon hits a 16 ft ESE swell at 14 seconds with a light, clean cross-off breeze. Combined energy hits a colossal 9050. That is world-class heavy stuff for experts only.

The week closes out with a quick taper. Thursday the 27th morning still has a 7 ft E swell at 12 seconds under glassy skies, energy of 1471 – excellent for experienced surfers. Thursday afternoon drops to a 5 ft E swell, still clean. Friday the 28th goes quiet again, down to 2 ft.

So, the standout is the run from Sunday the 23rd afternoon through Wednesday the 26th. For a single highlight, I’d lock in Wednesday the 26th afternoon: a 16 ft ESE swell, a 14-second period, clean cross-off winds, and combined energy of 9050. That is the biggest, cleanest, most powerful swell of the window. Osaki Point will be absolutely pumping, but it is strictly for expert surfers at that size.

If you’re not in that league, don't despair. Friday the 14th morning is a glassy, small wave day for the beginners, and Saturday the 22nd afternoon is a nice, clean option with chest-high sets. But that final swell is the one to wait for.

Rusty.

Read more