Osaki Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s break down what we’ve got on the cards.

Right off the bat, this is a tricky stretch. For the first week or so, the wind is just not playing ball. We’ve got a lot of onshore and cross-onshore breezes, and that’s going to mess up the face of the waves. The swell is there, but it’s not clean. You’ll notice a real gap in quality from Thursday the 3rd right through to the 10th. During that time, the wind is mostly from the NE or NNE at 12 to 19 mph, gusty, with rain and storms about. The swell size fluctuates from around 5 ft to 12 ft, but it’s all blown out. The big 12 ft on Sunday the 6th, for example, might look juicy, but with that 19 mph onshore wind, it’s going to be a washing machine – that’s expert-only territory and even then, not much fun. The combined swell energy is strong, hitting 2090 on that Sunday, but it’s wasted.

You get a tiny window on Wednesday the 9th, but it’s only marginal with some cross-shore wind and a 5 ft to 5 ft SSE swell. Not worth getting excited about.

Now, if you can be patient, we’ve got two clear standouts.

Friday, 11th September is the first real gem. Early morning at Osaki Point (Osaki-Point), the wind goes glassy. Absolutely dead calm. That’s a massive positive. You’ll have a clean, smooth surface. The swell is a modest 4 ft from the SSE, with an 8-second period. It’s not huge, but it’s clean, and the combined energy is moderate at 278. For a Friday morning session, this is your best early bet.

Then, look to Tuesday, 15th September. Another glassy morning at Osaki Point. This time the swell is a touch bigger at 6 ft from the ESE, period of 8 seconds, and combined energy of 474 – that’s moderate energy. Again, flat-calm conditions meaning the wave faces will be clean. This is a solid session.

Later in the period, Thursday the 17th has some interest. The afternoon sees a 3 ft swell from the S, but the wind turns offshore from the WSW at 12 mph. It’s clean. The combined energy is moderate at 308. That’s a fun afternoon for a log.

Important to note: For that glassy Friday the 11th, the water temp is sitting at 85°F, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year (anomaly of 4°F). The water feels like bathtub soup.

Overall, the first week is a write-off due to wind. Hang tight for the 11th and the 15th – those are the best on offer. Crowds? Osaki Point can get them sometimes, but with the conditions being so average for the first week, you might find it quieter than usual. The swell direction (SSE to ESE) is also in line with what this break likes, so when the wind is right, it should set up nicely.

Stay patient.

- Rusty

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