Osaki Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right, grab a coffee and settle in, because this one's a bit of a slow burn before it gets properly wild. I'm Rusty, and I'm looking at the forecast for Osaki Point.

For the next several days, it's a bit of a write-off. The swell is small and onshore winds are making a mess of things. We've got a patch from Friday the 11th right through to the middle of the following week where the surf is either poor or marginal. Don't bother paddling out until we get a proper window. The wait is a long one.

The first real flicker of hope comes on Tuesday the 15th. The afternoon session at Osaki Point is looking glassy – that's a major positive. The wind dies right off, giving us a "glassy" surface. The swell is a modest 4ft from the ESE, with a combined energy of (313). It's not a world-beater, but for a Tuesday afternoon session, you'll be sharing it with barely anyone. The water temp is about average for this time of year, so nothing crazy there.

Now, hold on to your boardies. The standout is a full week away, on Saturday the 19th of September. This is the one you circle on the calendar. We’ve got a solid 15ft of groundswell, and it's a long-period 16-second pulse from the SE. The combined energy is a massive (10,131) – that's a lot of power in the water. The morning session has light offshore winds (NE at 6 mph), which will keep it clean. This is a big, powerful swell, so it's for experienced surfers only. It's way too big for beginners. The only caveat is the long period, which can make it a bit straight at beach breaks, but Osaki Point is a beach and reef setup, so you'll find some defined lines. Expect crowds to be possible.

Sunday the 20th is pretty much the same story, with another 15ft day from the SSE, combined energy still over (10,000) in the morning with light offshore winds. It's holding. Then Monday the 21st gets absolutely mental. A massive 28ft swell hits in the morning, with a 16-second period and combined energy of (36,097). By the afternoon it's 41ft with a 17-second period and energy of (92,562). The guidance says it's too big for this break, and with a fresh cross-onshore wind, it's going to be a mess. This is a "watch from the cliff" kind of day, or maybe a session for the big-wave chargers on a ski. For the average punter, it's not on.

The week after that, the wind turns nasty again. A near-gale on Tuesday the 22nd shuts it down, and then we get a brief window of clean, offshore winds on Wednesday the 23rd, but the swell has dropped right back to 4ft – ordinary, surfable waves but nothing special. It's a cruel comedown.

So, to sum it up: the best and only real standout is Saturday the 19th and Sunday the 20th of September. That's where the power and the clean conditions align. The rest of the 16-day window is either flat, onshore junk, or completely out of control.

Rusty.

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