Osaki Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here again, giving you the imperial version.

First off, the early part of the window is a write-off. A big storm system is kicking up a messy 15 ft swell from the SE on the morning of Friday the 7th, but with a 16 mph onshore wind from the East and risk of thunderstorms, it’s a total washout – poor surf conditions, and the combined energy is a massive 11233, but it’s all just wind-slop and chaos. That afternoon and into Saturday the 8th it stays cross-onshore, the swell drops fast but remains choppy and marginal. Not worth paddling out.

The real turning point comes Monday morning the 10th of August. The swell drops to a clean 4 ft from the East, but the kicker is the wind: glassy, dead calm, from the ENE. That’s the kind of morning you set the alarm for. The water is sitting at 85°F, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, so you’ll be comfortable in boardshorts. The combined energy is 1190, a solid moderate pulse, and the period is 12 seconds – a nice groundswell that will set up well at Osaki Point, a beach and reef setup that’s consistently exposed to the SSE swell. The wind is offshore (WSW) for this break, so it’ll be clean. It’s rated for intermediate surfers, and with that swell size, it’s not too big for a confident beginner. Crowds are sometimes an issue here, so you might have a few mates out, but with those conditions, it’s worth it.

The glassy conditions hold through Tuesday afternoon the 11th, with a 5 ft SSW swell and a period of 11 seconds. The combined energy is 675, still moderate, and the wind is calm. That afternoon session could be very good, but the morning of the 11th is more marginal with a cross-onshore breeze. Wednesday the 12th is also a standout: clear skies, glassy calm in the morning with a 5 ft SSW swell at 11 seconds, and then a light cross-offshore in the afternoon. It’s clean, it’s head-high, and the water is warm. That’s the best run of the whole forecast.

After that, the surf fades hard. From Thursday the 13th onward, the swell drops below 3 ft, the wind turns onshore or cross-onshore, and the combined energy falls into the low hundreds. There’s a long stretch of poor-to-marginal conditions right through to the end of the window on the 22nd. A few days like the 22nd of August show a small 4 ft SSW swell at 11 seconds, but with cross-shore winds and only marginal quality, it’s not enough to get excited about. The whole second week is a dud – small, weak, and mostly choppy.

So, the standout is Monday the 10th of August, morning session at Osaki Point. That’s the one to mark on the calendar. Glassy, clean, warm water, and a solid 4 ft groundswell. Tuesday and Wednesday the 11th and 12th are also very good, especially the afternoons. After that, it’s a waiting game.

Rusty.

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