Osaki Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it. This is Rusty.

Alright, listen up. We’ve got a slow start on our hands at Osaki Point. The first few days are a write-off with tiny, weak swell and messy winds, so don’t bother paddling out until later. The real story here builds slowly, then turns into something absolutely monstrous in the last week of the month.

The first real window of opportunity shows up around Friday the 21st of August. Overnight, a S swell pushes in at 5 ft, with 11-second period, and the combined energy hits 665 (moderate). Winds are light cross-onshore in the morning, but it’s still a bit junky. The afternoon drops to 5 ft but stays messy. It’s not great, but it’s the first thing worth getting wet for.

Saturday the 22nd and Sunday the 23rd are pretty weak – swell gets smaller, winds are tricky. But late Sunday the 23rd, we get a bit of clean-up with cross-offshore winds from the SSW, and the swell bumps back to 5 ft. That’s a window for a few fun ones if you’re keen, but the real magic is still a week out.

Now, let’s talk about the standout. Thursday the 27th of August through to Monday the 1st of September is absolutely insane. The swell ramps up hard from the SE, starting at 10 ft on Thursday morning with a 17-second period and a combined energy reading of 5125 (very strong). That’s big, powerful groundswell – this is for experienced surfers only. Winds are cross-onshore and choppy on Thursday, so the quality is hurt, but the raw power is there.

Then we hit the absolute gem: Friday morning the 28th of August. Glassy conditions, light N wind, 13 ft SE swell, 16-second period, and the energy is 7351 (very strong). This is exceptional – big, clean, lined-up swell at a point break that loves this direction. This is the best on offer, no doubt. Saturday the 29th is even bigger at 16 ft with glassy conditions in the morning (13,096 energy), but that size is only for experts. Sunday the 30th morning is also glassy at 16 ft. It’s a run of absolute heavy-hitting days.

The water temperature is about 83°F at the start of the outlook, which is a bit warmer than average for this time of year (anomaly of 1°F), so it’s pleasant but not weird.

Just be aware, this is a consistent spot, and with conditions like that on the 28th and 29th, you can bet there will be a crowd. Paddle early or pick your peak wisely.

So, bottom line: forget the first week. The standouts are Friday August 28th morning and Sunday August 30th morning – both glassy, huge, and clean. That’s where you want to be.

Rusty.

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