Tsurigasaki Surfing Beach (Tokyo 2020) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cookin’ at Tsurigasaki Surfing Beach over the next couple of weeks. Gotta be straight with you – it’s a slow start and we’re gonna be workin’ for it.

Right now, we’re looking at a run of small, ordinary conditions. The first proper surfable day kicks off Tuesday the 14th, but it’s nothin’ to write home about. We’ve got a small 2ft swell from the south with a period of 10 seconds, and the combined energy is a modest 132. The water’s sittin’ at 76°, which is pretty average for this time of year. The wind’s a light cross-off, so it’s clean, but the waves are just... flat. You’ll get a few dribblers, but it’s more of a paddle and a tan than a proper session.

The pattern stays pretty anaemic through the middle of the week. Wednesday the 15th and Thursday the 16th see even smaller swell, droppin’ to 2ft and 3ft, with energy fallin’ off a cliff to 63 and 103. The wind stays cross-off, keepin’ the surface tidy, but there’s just no power behind it. Friday the 17th gets a little bump up to 4ft from the ESE, with the energy climbin’ to 194, but that cross wind chops it up pretty good. Not a great look.

We’ve got a solid gap here. Through the weekend and into early next week, it’s a real mixed bag of marginal surf and ordinary conditions. The swell sticks around 3ft to 3ft, but the winds are all over the shop – cross-on, cross, you name it. You’ll see some glassy mornings on Monday the 20th and Tuesday the 21st, where the swell is 3ft to 3ft with a period of 8 to 9 seconds. The combined energy ticks up a little, around 146 to 154. It’s clean, it’s surfable, but it’s tiny. You’d be better off on a longboard, and you’ll be fightin’ for scraps.

Now, for the standout – you gotta wait for it. The real interest comes late in the forecast, about a week and a half out. We’re lookin’ at Wednesday the 29th of July. We finally get some proper juice. The swell bumps up to 4ft from the southeast, and the period stretches out to a nice long 13 seconds. That’s groundswell, folks. The combined energy jumps to a solid 553. This is the best wave energy we see in the whole run.

However – and there’s always a however – the wind on the morning of the 29th is onshore from the ENE at 6 mph. That’s a bit of a bummer for a break like Tsurigasaki, which is an exposed beach. An onshore breeze will blow it out, put a chop on the face, and make it lumpy. The afternoon looks a little better with a light cross-on, but it’s still not ideal.

Still, 4ft of long-period southeast swell is a big step up. If you’re an experienced surfer and can handle a bit of chop, that Wednesday morning could offer the best chance of a proper wave in this entire 16-day outlook. It’s not perfect, but it’s the closest thing we’ve got to a standout. Thursday the 24th has a moderate offshore wind with 2ft swell, and Saturday the 25th has a moderate offshore too with only 1ft of swell but a very long period of 16 seconds – that’s a weird one. That long period could make it break too straight on the beach, but if there’s any rip or a point, it might grovel. But honestly, the 29th is where my eyes are. It’s late in the game, so don’t book your flights yet, but keep an eye on that date.

So yeah, it’s a lean run with a lot of flat spells. If you’re desperate for a paddle, the glassy mornings on the 20th and 21st are your best bet for a clean but tiny wave. The only real event on the table is that Wednesday the 29th. Patience, friends.

Rusty.

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