Tsurigasaki Surfing Beach (Tokyo 2020) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's talk about what's shaping up for Tsurigasaki Surfing Beach over the next couple of weeks. It's going to be a tale of two halves, with a solid stretch of swell followed by a long flat spell. Stick with me.

We start off the forecast period with a bit of a slow grind. Monday July 6th is pretty marginal, with a small 2ft to 3ft SE swell at a long 13 to 16 seconds, but that ESE wind is blowing cross-onshore at 9 to 12 mph, making things choppy. The combined energy is weak to moderate, hitting 270 to 520. Not worth paddling out for, honestly.

Things start to get interesting on Tuesday July 7th. We've got a building SE swell, pushing 5ft in the morning and up to 6ft in the afternoon, with a period of 14 to 15 seconds. The wind swings around to an onshore direction from the ENE, but it's light at 9 mph. The combined energy jumps into the moderate range, hitting 886 to 1295. It's still a bit grubby but wave heights are getting there.

Now, the standout window. Wednesday July 8th is where it's at. The swell really kicks in, reaching 8ft from the SE and SSE, with those lovely long 16-second intervals. The wind is light, from the ENE at 6 mph, and while it's technically cross-onshore in the afternoon, the sea state is described as having just small wind ripples. This is clean enough for good waves. The combined energy is strong, a solid 3303 to 4416. This is the best day on offer. If you're an experienced surfer, this is your time. It's a bit big for beginners at over 5ft.

Thursday July 9th holds similar energy. We've got a 6ft SSW swell in the morning, bumping up to 8ft from the SSE in the afternoon, period still a solid 14 to 16 seconds. Light ESE to SE winds at 6 mph keep it manageable. The combined energy is strong, ranging from 2346 to 3021. Another very good day.

Friday July 10th keeps the swell size up around 8ft to 8ft from the S, with 16-second intervals. The wind picks up a bit, especially in the afternoon with a 12 mph SSE breeze that adds a bit of cross-chop. Not as clean as Wednesday, but still very surfable. The energy remains strong at 3074 to 3620.

Saturday July 11th is the final day of quality. The swell eases slightly to 7ft to 8ft from the S, still with a very long 17-second period. The wind goes cross-offshore in the afternoon, making for clean conditions. This is a great option for the weekend, but expect that S wind to blow a bit at 9 mph. The crowd factor at Tsurigasaki is listed as 'sometimes', so you might find some company out there.

Then the wheels fall off. Sunday July 12th we see a massive drop. Swell plummets to 2ft from the E, period drops to 9 seconds, and the combined energy is a paltry 47. That's flat, my friends. This flat spell runs all the way through to about Wednesday July 15th, with wave heights barely cracking 4ft and short, weak periods. The wind is mostly onshore and sometimes strong, so the water gets messy.

There is a tiny flicker of hope around Thursday July 16th and Friday July 17th with some 4ft to 4ft E/ESE swell, but the period is a weak 8 to 9 seconds. The combined energy is still in the low hundreds, just not enough push for a proper wave. The wind is light, but the swell is just too weak to get excited about. After that, it goes back to onshore wind and weak swell again, with a period of strong breeze around July 20th and 21st that will make things a complete mess, despite some larger swell mixing in. Not worth it.

So to sum it up: your best bet is Wednesday July 8th through Saturday July 11th. Wednesday is the real standout, with the cleanest conditions and biggest, most powerful swell from the SSE. After that, it's a long wait.

Stay salty,
Rusty

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