Tsurigasaki Surfing Beach (Tokyo 2020) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get straight into it for Tsurigasaki Surfing Beach.

First up, the water temp is sitting at 82°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year—nothing crazy, but you’ll feel it.

Right now, and for the next few days, it’s a bit of a write-off. We’ve got a solid, long-period groundswell from the SE pushing in, but the wind is a real problem. From Monday the 3rd through Wednesday the 5th, it’s cross-on and fresh at 18-22 mph, making for lumpy, poor conditions. The swell is big, between 6 ft and 13 ft, with a combined energy reading between 2159 and 8427, so there’s plenty of power, but it’s just not surfable. The period is 16 seconds, so it’s a proper groundswell, but with that wind, it’s a mess.

The first real chance of anything decent comes on the morning of Thursday the 6th. The wind drops to a gentle breeze from the ENE, going onshore, and we’ve got a 12 ft swell from the SSE, still with a long 15-second period. The energy is strong (6115), but it’s a marginal call—tide could be a factor. It’s not a standout, just a window if you’re desperate. After that, the wind shifts back to cross-on and choppy through Friday and Saturday, with the swell dropping to 7 ft-8 ft, and the energy moderating (2863-3316). Still not clean.

We hit a bit of a lull from the 8th to the 9th, with the swell period dropping to 9-12 seconds and the energy falling to 672-968. The wind is still cross-on and moderate to fresh, so it’s poor again.

The next week doesn’t get much better. The 10th and 11th see some big swell (13 ft on Monday, then 8 ft) but the wind is either cross-on or onshore at 6-22 mph, and the conditions are lumpy or choppy. The energy is high (2179-7723), but it’s not coming together.

From the 12th through the 14th, we finally see a glimmer. The wind lightens up, especially on the 12th morning with a slight air from the ESE, and on the 13th morning with a gentle breeze from the NE. The swell is around 6 ft-7 ft from the E or ESE, with a period of 11-12 seconds, and energy in the moderate range (914-1426). It’s still marginal, but with the wind going onshore or cross-shore, it’s the best we’ve got. The 14th afternoon sees a bit of a bump in energy (3507) but the wind picks up to a moderate cross-on.

Honestly, there’s no true standout day in this 16-day window. The first week is blown out, and the second week offers only marginal, onshore conditions. The best bet is the morning of Thursday the 13th, with a 6 ft E swell, 12-second period, and a gentle onshore breeze, but it’s far from perfect. The break is inconsistent, so don’t bank on it.

If you’re a kite surfer, the 3rd-5th and 10th-11th have plenty of wind and swell, but for paddle surfing, it’s a tough run. The gap between decent windows is long, and the conditions just aren’t cooperating. Forecasts can change, but right now, it’s a waiting game.

Rusty.

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