Tsurigasaki Surfing Beach (Tokyo 2020) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Let’s get into it. For the next 16 days, the surf around Tsurigasaki Surfing Beach (Tokyo 2020) is a real mixed bag. We’ve got a few bright spots, but plenty of flat spells and blown-out days to wade through. The best of the bunch is a solid, clean swell that shows up in the second week, so keep your eyes peeled for that.

The first real chance to get wet comes Wednesday morning, 22 July. It’s small, around 3ft from the east, with a 10-second period and a fair bit of energy (202). The wind is a cross-off from the SW at 9 mph, keeping it clean. It’s a bit inconsistent here, and crowds can be a factor, so expect some company. Not a standout, but a decent little session to start. The water temp is about average for this time of year.

Wednesday afternoon, 22 July, the wind picks up to 16 mph from the SSW, still cross-off, but the swell drops to 3ft. It’s a no-go really. Thursday, 23 July, through Friday, 24 July, is a write-off with onshore winds and tiny, weak waves. Saturday, 25 July, stays poor with cross-onshore winds and messy conditions.

Then, Sunday morning, 26 July, we get a bit of a reprieve. The wind goes glassy, near calm, with 3ft from the east, but the period is a short 6 seconds, so it’s weak and lumpy. Sunday afternoon, 26 July, turns glassy again with a slight uptick to 4ft from the ESE, period 5 seconds, and energy picking up (213). The conditions are clean, but the short period means it’s not the best shape. Still, a surfable session.

Monday, 27 July, starts with a risk of thunderstorms and a jump in swell to 6ft from the ESE, period 6 seconds, and a big energy spike (352). The wind is a cross-off from the SW at 12 mph, so it’s clean, but that swell is getting a bit too big for beginners. It’s a step up, but the quality is marginal. Monday afternoon, the wind turns offshore from the WSW at 6 mph, with 4ft on offer, but the period is still short.

Tuesday, 28 July, through Wednesday, 29 July, is a slow grind with small, weak waves and light winds. Thursday, 30 July, to Friday, 31 July, is flat and poor, with nothing worth paddling out for.

Now, here’s where it gets interesting. Saturday morning, 01 August, the wind is glassy, calm, with a tiny 1ft from the ESE, but check this out – the period is 17 seconds, and the energy is decent (212). That’s a very long-period groundswell, but at this size, it’s more of a whisper than a roar. A long-period swell like this will break straight at the beach break, so it’s not ideal, but the glassy conditions are a big plus.

Sunday, 02 August, morning is the real standout. You’ve got 4ft from the ESE, period 15 seconds, and the combined energy is a solid 1014 – that’s strong wave energy. The wind is a gentle cross-off from the south at 9 mph, keeping it clean. This is good, powerful surf for experienced surfers – it’s not for beginners with that size and period. The crowd situation is a factor, so expect likely company. This is the best on offer in the whole outlook.

Sunday afternoon, 02 August, stays similar in size, but the wind picks up a bit. Monday, 03 August, morning, the swell bumps up to 7ft from the south, period 15 seconds, and the energy is massive (3005). That’s very strong, but the wind is a light cross-on from the ESE at 6 mph, so the surface is a bit rippled. This size is only for experts. The afternoon is even more onshore, making it messy.

Tuesday, 04 August, through Wednesday, 05 August, gets hammered by strong winds from the NE, with the swell around 6-6ft but blown out and choppy. Thursday, 06 August, sees a gale from the ENE at 43 mph and 6ft swell – that’s kite-surfing territory, not paddle surfing.

So, to wrap it up: the best windows are Sunday morning, 02 August, and possibly Monday, 03 August, morning for the brave. The rest of the fortnight is a lot of waiting and watching.

Rusty.

Read more