Ohara Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty. Let's talk about what's coming up for Ohara over the next couple of weeks.

We've got a slow start, but there's some serious juice building way out there. The water is sitting at 80°, which is pretty much average for this time of year.

Thursday afternoon kicks off with a stormy vibe and a 6ft swell from the east, period around 10 seconds. The combined energy is moderate (600). The wind is a cross-offshore, so it'll be clean, but the forecast is pretty marginal. It's surfable, but nothing to get excited about. Friday morning is similar, with a 5ft E swell, but the wind goes cross, so it gets a bit ripply. The rest of the weekend and into Monday is a washout. The wind swings cross-on or onshore, and the swell gets short and choppy. The combined energy drops, and the conditions are just poor. Take a few days off.

Now, Tuesday the 18th and Wednesday the 19th is where we see a flicker of hope. Tuesday morning, the swell drops to 4ft from the east, but the wind is clean offshore from the south. The combined energy is weak (273), but it's clean. It's a small window of clean, tiny waves. Wednesday sees the swell drop further to 3ft, and the wind is offshore again. It's a tiny wave, but it's clean.

Then we hit a big gap. From Thursday the 20th through to Saturday the 22nd morning, the swell is tiny and the wind is messy. Not much happening.

But strap in, because the second week is a monster. The standout window is from Sunday the 23rd through to Thursday the 27th. This is big, powerful, and dangerous. A massive long-period groundswell from the south arrives. Sunday the 23rd sees a 6ft swell from the SE with a 15-second period, and the combined energy jumps to 2121. That's strong. By Monday the 24th, we're looking at a 10ft swell from the SSE with a 16-second period, and the energy is through the roof at 3764. The wind is light cross-on, but the report flat out says this break is too big for these conditions. This is not for the faint of heart. The swell peaks around Wednesday the 26th with a 13ft S swell and a combined energy of 8426, and then Thursday the 27th hits a 33ft monster from the south with energy hitting 49228. Even with offshore winds, this is a massive, expert-only, potentially life-threatening situation. The sheer size and the long period of that groundswell means it will be breaking straight and heavy, especially at a beach break. This is more of a survival mission than a fun session.

After that big pulse drops, Friday the 28th morning looks a lot more manageable. A 6ft swell from the south, period dropping to 8 seconds, clean offshore wind, and a combined energy of 507. The conditions are described as "very good." This is your best chance for a solid, clean, and fun session after the chaos, but it's still a decent size for most.

So, the honest truth: the best on offer is the clean, offshore glass on Friday the 28th morning. The size is good, the wind is perfect, and the crowds at Ohara (sometimes) might be manageable. The big stuff from the 23rd to the 27th is a spectacle, but for the vast majority, it's a no-go zone. If you're an expert on a big-wave gun, you might be looking at it, but the conditions are marginal due to the sheer size. For the average surfer, wait for that Friday morning session.

Rusty.

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