Omaezaki Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming our way for Omaezaki over the next couple of weeks.

Honestly, it’s a pretty quiet start for us. There’s a big gap of nearly a week and a half at the beginning with hardly anything worth paddling out for. The first real glimmer of hope doesn’t show up until Tuesday morning, August 4th. For the first ten days, we’re looking at tiny, weak waves, mostly under 2 ft, with a lot of cross or onshore wind. The combined swell energy is very low, rarely cracking 100 (like 62 or 138), and the consistency is just "fairly consistent" at best, so it’s a waiting game.

Now, let’s talk about the water. When we finally get something going, the water temp is sitting at 80°, with a anomaly of only 0.4°, so it’s pretty much bang on average for late July. Not a wetsuit issue at all, but it’s not a talking point either.

The real standout window is from August 4th through the 8th. This is the one to circle on the calendar.

Tuesday, August 4th is the first day we can actually get excited. The morning session at Omaezaki (beach and reef) is the pick. We’re looking at a 3 ft groundswell from the ESE with a period of 13 seconds. That’s a solid, long-period groundswell, and the offshore wind is light from the NNE at 6 mph. That’s going to make for clean, lined-up waves. The combined energy jumps to 476 (moderate), which is a massive step up from the weeks prior. The afternoon keeps building, hitting 5 ft from the SE with a 16-second period, but the wind swings cross, so the morning is the cleaner, more attractive option.

Wednesday, August 5th is when things get serious. The swell pushes to 10 ft from the SE with a 16-second period. That’s a big, powerful groundswell, and the wind is offshore from the NE at 12 mph. The combined energy is a massive 4159 (very strong). This is expert-level territory. It’s going to be a beast, and with a beach-and-reef setup, it’ll be a proper challenge. Not for beginners.

Thursday, August 6th is even bigger. Swell hits 13 ft from the SE at 17 seconds. The wind is fresh offshore from the NE at 22 mph in the morning, making it clean but very, very heavy. The energy is 8226 (very strong). This is for the elite crew only.

Friday, August 7th and Saturday, August 8th are enormous. We’re looking at 15 ft and 20 ft+ swells from the ESE with a 17-18 second period. The wind is strong to severe gale offshore, with combined energy readings over 12,000 and 22,000. That’s not surfing; that’s survival. The forecasts say it’s too big for the break, and I’d agree. Unless you’re towing in, stay on the beach.

So, to wrap it up: the first week and a half is a write-off. The best on offer is Tuesday morning, August 4th and Wednesday morning, August 5th for the big wave chargers. The Tuesday morning is the most accessible with clean 3 ft waves, and the Wednesday is the standout for the heavy hitters, but it’s massive. The long period means it’ll be breaking straight at the beach, so watch the rips.

Keep an eye on it, but don’t hold your breath for the first ten days.

Rusty.

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