Omaezaki Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what the next couple of weeks has in store for us. We’re looking at a real mixed bag – a few days of clean, manageable surf early on, then a big, long lull, followed by a late-arriving pulse of serious energy. The standout windows are clear, but patience is the name of the game.

The forecast kicks off with a bit of a messy start. Wednesday the 9th is a write-off with strong onshore winds and a stormy 10ft swell that’s just all over the place. We’ve got to wait until the 10th for things to settle. Thursday morning shows a drop to 5ft from the south, but with a cross-offshore wind, it’s clean enough to be a marginal session. The real pick of this early window is Thursday afternoon at Omaezaki (beach and reef). The swell settles to 4ft from the south with a moderate offshore wind. It’s clean, the combined energy is moderate (241), and the wave comment says “expect good surf conditions.” This is a solid, fun-sized option for the afternoon.

Friday the 11th offers a similar story – small, clean waves in the 3ft to 4ft range with light cross-offshore winds. The combined energy is weak to moderate (162-217). It’s surfable, but nothing to write home about. Saturday and Sunday the 12th and 13th drop right off. We’re looking at tiny 2ft waves from the east-southeast with a very long period of 14 seconds. The energy is weak (156-201). That long period means the wave shape is better, but the size is just too small for much. It’s a glassy little dribble. Then we hit a major gap. From Monday the 14th through to the 19th, the swell stays tiny, mostly under 2ft, with combined energy dropping into the double digits (as low as 28). There’s no real surf on offer here for nearly a week. It’s a proper dry spell.

The forecast starts to wake up again on Sunday the 20th. The afternoon brings a welcome pulse: 4ft from the east with a short period of 7 seconds. The combined energy jumps to 356 (moderate), and the conditions are clean with a cross-offshore breeze. “Expect good surf conditions.” This is a nice little pick-me-up after the flat spell.

Now, here’s the real promise. The standout is Monday the 21st morning at Omaezaki. We’re looking at 4ft from the south with a long 12-second period, producing a combined energy of 437 (moderate). The kicker? The wind is glassy – absolutely zero wind. It’s going to be clean as a whistle. This is the best session on offer. The swell direction from the south is right on the money for this spot.

After that, the energy builds, but the wind turns ugly. Tuesday the 22nd sees the swell bump up to 5ft from the south with a very long 15-second period, creating strong energy (1249). But the wind is cross-onshore, making it choppy and marginal. Wednesday the 23rd is a total bust for paddle surfing. The swell is 8ft to 10ft from the south-southwest, with a very long period of 15-16 seconds. The combined energy is massive (2753-3937), but the wind is a strong cross-onshore. This setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

The last two days of the forecast, Thursday the 24th, are a case of “what could have been.” The swell is huge – 13ft to 16ft from the south-southwest with a very long period of 16 seconds. The energy is enormous (7996-13155). The wind is finally clean and cross-offshore, but the swell is far too big for this break. A stunning, dangerous swell that’s only for the experts, if anyone. The forecast notes say it’s too big for the break.

So, the bottom line: grab Thursday afternoon on the 10th for a fun, clean session, and circle Monday morning the 21st for the absolute standout – glassy, clean, and solid. The rest is a waiting game.

Rusty.

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