Omaezaki Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for Omaezaki. Gotta be straight with you – the next week or so is looking pretty grim. We’ve got a long stretch of tiny, weak waves and less-than-ideal wind. But hold onto your leash, because the second week of the outlook is where things get absolutely wild. Let’s break it down.

Right now, starting Saturday the 25th of July, we’ve got a tiny 1 ft swell from the SE with a long 16-second period, but the energy is weak (79). The water is a warm 81°, which is about average for this time of year. The wind is glassy in the morning, which is a rare treat for the conditions, but the swell is just too small to get excited about. Through the rest of July and into the first days of August, it’s a real struggle. We’re looking at swell heights hovering between 1 ft and 3 ft, with periods all over the place and mostly light to moderate cross-shore winds. The combined energy stays below 150 (e.g., 84, 76, 138), meaning the ocean is barely breathing. There’s a gap of about 8 days here where you’d be better off cleaning your board or waxing a kite.

Then, around Sunday the 2nd of August, things start to rumble. We see a jump to 3 ft and then 5 ft from the ESE with a 13-second period, and the energy climbs to 305 and then 770. The wind stays clean, cross-offshore. This is the first sign of life, but it’s still described as marginal. The real standout, if you are a seasoned charger, is the window from Monday the 3rd of August through to the following weekend. The swell builds rapidly from 7 ft to an enormous 26 ft, and the energy readings go through the roof – from 2622 all the way up to a staggering 40527. The period hits 17-18 seconds, which is proper groundswell. The direction is mainly ESE to SE, which matches the optimum swell direction for Omaezaki.

Now, here’s the catch. This swell is massive. By Tuesday the 4th of August, it’s 12 ft, and by Wednesday the 5th it’s 13 ft. For the average surfer, anything over 5 ft can be a handful, and over 8 ft, it’s expert territory only. This is well beyond that. The wind forecast is clean – cross-offshore or even offshore at times, but the sheer size of the swell is going to make this a paddle-out for the fittest and most experienced only. The beach and reef setup at Omaezaki is exposed, so it’s going to get the full force of it. Be aware that with such a long period (17-18 seconds), at a beach break, the waves can close out quickly, but it will be a raw, powerful ocean. This is not a beginner’s playground. The crowds are sometimes an issue, but on days like this, only the hardcore will be out. For anyone else, the setup honestly looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing, especially with the 19-40 mph offshore winds on the 7th of August.

From the 7th to the 9th of August, the swell peaks at 26 ft to 33 ft with gale-force winds, and then drops back to a still-chunky 8 ft on Sunday the 9th. That’s a lot of water moving around. So, to sum it up: the first week is a write-off. The second week has a true, mind-blowing swell event, but it’s for experts only. If you’re not ready for that, sit this one out. The forecasts for that far out are promising but less certain, so keep your eyes on the charts.

Keep it salty,
Rusty

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