Akabane Long Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you – the next 16 days at Akabane Long Beach are a mixed bag, but there are a couple of moments that’ll get the heart pumping if you’re patient. The water temp’s sitting at a balmy 80°, which is bang on average for this time of year – no surprises there.

We’ve got a solid week of small, messy surf coming up. From Saturday the 12th right through to Thursday the 18th, it’s pretty poor – mostly knee-to-waist high junk at 1 ft to 6 ft from the ESE and SE, with periods under 10 seconds. The wind’s cross-onshore most of the time, chopping things up. The combined swell energy is weak to moderate (164 to 542), so you’re not missing much. Thursday the 16th afternoon has a glimmer: the wind goes glassy and the swell bumps to 4 ft from the ESE at 8 seconds, but it’s short period and the wave comment says “expect good surf conditions” – still, keep your expectations in check.

Then things get interesting. Saturday the 19th morning is the standout. We’ve got a clean 5 ft SE groundswell coming in at a very long 16 seconds, with light cross-offshore wind from the NNE at just 3 mph. The combined energy is massive at 2953 – that’s strong, powerful juice. This is a proper long-period groundswell, perfect for a spread-out break like this, but it’s going to be big and straight-lining at the beach. Only experienced surfers should be out here – this is the best on offer.

Sunday the 20th morning is glassy with a 10 ft ESE swell at 11 seconds – plenty of size but the wind and tide are favorable – however, it’s too big for this break, as noted. The energy is even bigger at 4086. Only for experts. The afternoon’s similar at 10 ft but a bit shorter period.

After that, it gets gnarly again. Monday the 21st sees 7 ft ESE swell dropping in energy but still marginal. Tuesday the 22nd morning is a monster – 21 ft S swell at 14 seconds with 17256 energy – way too big, even for the brave. The wind is howling cross-onshore, so that’s a kite surfers’ playground, not for paddling.

From Wednesday the 23rd onward, it drops right off. Wednesday and Thursday see small, clean conditions but the swell is tiny – 3 ft to 4 ft – and winds turn offshore or cross-offshore. Friday the 25th picks up to 8 ft from the ESE, but it’s marginal. The final highlight is Saturday the 26th morning: glassy winds, 6 ft E swell at 8 seconds, combined energy of 857 – moderate, clean, and fun for intermediates. The crowd factor at Akabane is “often” busy, so expect company on the good days.

This spot is very consistent, so even though there are long gaps of poor surf from the 12th to 18th, it’ll come good. Don’t hold your breath for the first week.

Rusty.

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