Akabane Long Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it.

We’ve got a solid run of serious swell on the way for Akabane Long Beach, but it’s not for the faint-hearted. The water’s sitting at about 75°F, which is a solid 4°F colder than usual for this time of year – so you’ll be wanting a spring suit or a decent 3/2, no question.

The pattern kicks off Thursday morning, July 9th, with a juicy 8ft SSE swell at a very long 14 seconds. And the wind? Glassy as a mirror. The combined energy is pumping at 2188 - that’s a lot of power in the water. This is proper groundswell, and it’s going to be pitching. For experienced surfers, this is a real treat. Expect some serious grunt, but those long-period sets might be a bit walled at the beach, so pick your peak carefully. Go early, because by Thursday afternoon the wind swings onshore and the quality drops right off.

Friday, July 10th, the swell jumps to 10ft from the S, period stretching to 16 seconds. Energy is now 4112+ – massive. The morning is glassy, but honestly, this is getting into the "experts only" zone. Big, powerful, and with that long period, it’ll be a challenge to get out and hold your ground. If you’re not a pro, watch from the sand.

Saturday morning, July 11th, is the big one. We’re talking 12ft of S swell at 17 seconds. Combined energy is 7752, and it’s glassy. The “best” window of the whole outlook, but it’s a beast. This is a true standout for big-wave crew only. The sets will be huge, the period is very long, and the beach break is going to be moving around a lot. It’s raw power.

Sunday morning, July 12th, still has 10ft from the SSW at 17 seconds, but it’s clouded over. Still glassy though. That’s another day of heavy surf for the experts. By Sunday afternoon, the wind gets messy and the swell drops a touch, but it’s still plenty big.

The drop-off happens Monday, July 13th. The swell fades to 5ft to 6ft, and the wind turns offshore from the NNW in the afternoon – that’s “moderate offshore and clean.” It’s a much more manageable size, but the energy is down to 622. Good for a paddle, finally, but not a standout.

Tuesday and Wednesday, July 14th and 15th, the surf goes flat. Seriously small stuff – under 3ft, weak energy, onshore winds. It’s a dead zone for surfing. The same poor conditions stretch right through until Saturday, July 18th. There’s a gap of about 5 days with nothing worth paddling out for.

Then Sunday, July 19th, things perk up. We get a 6ft SE swell at 13 seconds, with light onshore wind. The energy is back up to 1017, but the wind is not ideal, so it’s marginal. Monday, July 20th, sees a bigger 7ft SSE swell, but the wind is cross-onshore. That’s kite-surfing territory, not clean surfing.

The last possible shot is Wednesday morning, July 22nd. A clean 4ft SSW swell, with a light cross-offshore breeze from the WNW. It’s small, but it looks clean. Energy is 438. Not a standout, but a nice little morning session if you’re desperate.

The standout: Saturday morning, July 11th (Akabane Long Beach). Glassy, 12ft at 17 seconds from the south, massive energy. That’s the big-wave window. Only for experts, but it’s the best on offer.

Runner-up: Thursday morning, July 9th (Akabane Long Beach). 8ft, glassy, very long period. The best balance of size and clean conditions for the strong intermediate crew.

Rusty.

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