Akabane Long Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G'day, Rusty here. Let's have a proper look at the surf prospects for Akane Long Beach over the next couple of weeks. Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you: this stretch of sand is in for a rough run. The water's sitting at a warm 84° which is about average for this time of year, so that's one thing in our favour, but the wave quality is going to be the story, and it ain't a good one for a while.

We're looking at a solid gap with nothing on offer for the first two days. Thursday afternoon is a complete write-off – there's a bit of swell at 5ft, but it's coming from the SSW with a strong cross-onshore 25 km/h wind, and the surf is just a choppy mess.

Friday morning rolls in with a bit of hope. There's some 4ft south swell and a clean offshore breeze from the NNW, pushing the combined energy up to 270. It's surfable, but nothing special. However, by Friday afternoon that window slams shut, with the wind swinging cross-off and the swell dropping. Then we hit a proper flat spell. Saturday and Sunday have a tiny bit of energy, but it's weak, with combined energy readings well under 100 – just small, gutless waves that will have you paddling around for nothing.

The whole of next week is a nightmare. There's swell, no doubt, but it's all wrapped in stormy, onshore winds. It builds from a messy 4ft on Monday to a serious 12ft by Thursday as a big SSW pulse ramps things up. The energy readings jump from a moderate 318 to a very strong 2422, but it's all for nothing because the wind and rain will make it totally unrideable. You'd be a lunatic to paddle out in that. This setup with the heavy swell and cross-shore winds might look more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing, to be honest.

Towards the weekend of September 7th and 8th, it actually gets bigger and angrier, with the combined energy going into the four and five-digit figures – we're talking 5449 on Monday morning – and even a proper gale-force wind on the 8th. It's too big and too wild for anyone but the most seasoned chargers, and even then, the quality is just poor.

As we push into the second week, things start to ease but the quality is still marginal. From the 9th through the 11th, the swell backs down to a more manageable 8ft, then 6ft, and finally 5ft. The wind finally turns offshore from the NW, creating cleaner conditions. These are the best days we've got, but they're not perfect. The energy is moderate, dropping from 1472 down to 344. For a couple of mornings there, particularly on the 11th with its light 15 km/h offshore breeze, it could actually be a fun, clean beach break, but the long waits between sets will be the trade-off.

Listen, this is a bleak outlook. There's no standout day here that I'd get excited about. The swell directions are all over the place and the winds are mostly rubbish. We'll have a few small windows – maybe a morning session here or there – but nothing that'll be remembered. This is what we get sometimes. We just have to be patient. Forecasts change, so I'd keep an eye on it, but bank on plenty of time on the beach, not in the water.

Rusty.

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