Akabane Long Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right, look, I'm not gonna lie, this is a tough one. Akabane Long Beach is in for a pretty grim run over the next week and a half or so. The wind is a real problem – it's blowing cross-on or onshore from the east for days on end, mixing up the water and making it choppy and lumpy. The swell is there, but it’s messy, and the energy is just getting wasted. The water temp is sitting at 81°, which is bang on average for this time of year, so no complaints there.

From Tuesday the 8th right through until the middle of the month, it’s a write-off. We’ve got a few days of 7ft to 8ft southerly swells, but the wind is howling from the SSW and ESE at 15 to 22 mph, making it a total battle. The wave energy is moderate (between 666 and 1140), but it’s all for nothing. The forecast is basically saying "poor surf conditions" over and over again. There’s a long gap of about 8 days where there’s honestly nothing to recommend.

Then, on the morning of Wednesday the 16th of September, we finally get a little window. The wind turns light offshore from the NW at 9 mph, and the swell drops to 3ft from the SE with a 9-second period. The energy is weak (183), but it’ll be clean and surfable. It’s an absolute beginner wave, but at least you won’t be fighting the wind. The crowds are often here, so expect company.

The real standout, the one that’s got a bit of sparkle, is the morning of Sunday the 20th of September. The wind is light offshore from the NNW at 6 mph, and we’ve got a 7ft swell from the east with a 9-second period. The wave energy is strong (1136), and the conditions are described as excellent for experienced surfers. This is a proper wave, but at 7ft it’s getting into the territory where it’s for the crew who know what they’re doing. The swell direction is from the east, which is a decent match for the optimum SSE direction, but it’s not perfect.

Looking further ahead to Monday the 21st and Tuesday the 22nd, the swell gets bigger with a very long period from the southeast (16 and 15 seconds). We’re talking 6ft to 7ft with wave energy shooting up into the thousands (2174 to 3077). This is proper groundswell energy. But the wind is a strong offshore breeze from the NW at 22 to 25 mph. That’s going to make paddling out a real struggle and the waves will be tricky. The 15-second period means the sets will be very spaced out, and at a beach break like this, the long period can make the waves break too straight. It’s a promising outlook for the second week, but it’s a long way out, so keep your fingers crossed.

Overall, the first week is a wipeout, the middle of the second week has a clean but small option, and the final weekend of the forecast window has the real potential for a good session if you can handle the wind and the size.

Rusty.

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