Akabane Long Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on the cards for the next couple of weeks.

We've got a mixed bag ahead, with a proper pulse of solid swell coming through, but it's going to be too big for most of us. The best sessions are going to be those smaller, glassy moments that sneak in before and after the main event.

The first real chance to get wet is Tuesday morning, 7 July, at Akabane Long Beach. It's a fairly consistent spot, but it does get crowded. We're looking at a 4ft SSE swell with a period of 13 seconds, which is decent groundswell but the wave energy is moderate (657). The wind is a light cross-onshore from the E at 6 mph, so it'll be a little bumpy. Don't expect perfection here, it's a bit marginal.

Wednesday morning, 8 July, the swell builds to 7ft from the SSE (15 seconds), with a solid wave energy (2228). The problem is the wind is directly onshore from the SE at 3 mph, which is light but it's still onshore. The data says it's marginal, and my gut says the same.

Thursday, 9 July, brings a similar story: 8ft SSE swell (14 seconds) in the morning, but with a cross-onshore wind from the ESE at 3 mph. A lot of energy (2264), but the wind is just cheating us out of clean faces.

Then we hit the big stuff. Friday, 10 July, through to Saturday, 11 July, the swell pumps up to 10ft to 12ft from the S and SSE, with periods of 15 to 17 seconds. The wave energy is massive, hitting 6771 on Saturday morning. The wind is favourable, but the swell is just too big for this break. The data literally says "swell is predicted to be too big for this break." This is heavy, expert-only territory. If you're not a pro, stay on the beach.

Sunday, 12 July, the swell drops back to 8ft from the SSW in the morning, but it's still a messy cross-onshore wind. The energy is still high (2775), but the quality isn't there.

Now, here's the standout window. Monday morning, 13 July, is the one to circle. The swell drops to a very manageable 4ft from the SSW at 12 seconds. The wave energy is light (544), but the wind is glassy – absolutely glassy from the ESE at 3 mph. The report says "expect very good surf conditions." This is the cleanest, most user-friendly wave of the whole forecast. Get out there early.

The rest of that week into the weekend (14-19 July) is mostly small and onshore, with a few exceptions. Friday morning, 17 July, offers another glassy window with a 3ft from the ESE (10 seconds) and light W winds at 3 mph. That's a tiny, clean wave for a longboard. And then Saturday morning, 18 July, is also glassy with a 4ft S swell (10 seconds) and a light SSW wind. Another small but clean option.

The final week (20-22 July) gets blown out. Strong winds from the E and ESE, gusting up to 31 mph, with lumpy, messy, and poor conditions. The swell is there but it's unsurfable. This setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

All in all, the standout is Monday morning, 13 July for the glassy conditions on a clean, small swell. The Saturday morning, 18 July, is a decent backup. The big swell in the middle of the month is for experts only, and the last week is a write-off.

Stay stoked.

Rusty.

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