
Surf Forecasts:
Akabane Long Beach surf forecast from 15 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 16 Jul, 12AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 9s period, SSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 18 Jul, 12PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 8s period, ESE swell with 177 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 16 Jul, 12AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 9s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Akabane Long Beach this week:
The surf forecast for Akabane Long Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 16) at 12AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.7m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 9s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Akabane Long Beach in the next 16 days are 1.1m 8s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 18) at 12PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.7m 4s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 22) at 3AM.
| Wave Type | Time (JST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 12AM (Thu 16th Jul) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 9s |
| Best Surf | 12AM (Thu 16th Jul) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 9s |
| Most Powerful | 12PM (Sat 18th Jul) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Akabane Long Beach over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, let’s get into it. Conditions are looking pretty quiet for a while, but there’s a serious pulse on the horizon for the end of the month.
Right now, surf is basically flat to weak. We’ve got a long stretch of nothing special from Wednesday 15 July right through to Sunday 20 July. Tiny waves, cross-shore winds, and just a lot of “poor surf conditions” in the logs. The combined energy is weak, usually under 100 or just barely over, like 117 (moderate), so don’t expect much. Water temp is sitting at 77°F, which is a bit colder than normal for this time of year.
Monday 20 July morning, there’s a brief moment of glassy conditions at Akabane Long Beach with the wind going light from the west, almost nothing. Swell is only 2ft from the east, period 10 seconds, combined energy 89—still weak. It’s surfable, but very ordinary. Best to wait for something better.
From Tuesday 21 July through to Saturday 26 July, the swell stays tiny, mostly 1ft to 2ft, with some longer period swells coming in from the east (11 to 16 seconds), but the energy is still mostly moderate (three-digit values like 101 to 174). The problem is the wind: cross-shore, cross-on, or onshore for most of the afternoons. The mornings on 21, 22, and 26 July are clean, but the waves are just too small to get excited about.
Now, here’s where it gets interesting. The standout window is late in the forecast. On Monday 27 July morning, the surf finally starts to wake up. Swell size is 2ft from the southeast, period 14 seconds, and combined energy jumps to 257 (strong). The wind is glassy from the south at just 3 mph. That’s clean, lined-up, proper groundswell. Best on offer in the whole outlook.
Tuesday 28 July morning is similar but even better. Glassy conditions, east wind at 3 mph, swell 3ft from the southeast, period 12 seconds, energy 264 (strong). The waves will have a bit more push, and the glassy morning means it’ll be smooth. This is the pick of the week.
But the real heavy hitter is Thursday 30 July morning. Swell hits 6ft from the SSE, period 16 seconds (very long period groundswell), combined energy 1487 (very strong). That’s a serious pulse. The wind is offshore from the northwest at 3 mph, clean. This is excellent surf, but only for experienced surfers—it’s too big for beginners. Beach breaks might get a bit straight with that long period, but if you can find a point or a reef setup, it’ll be gold. The afternoon gets onshore and messy, so hit it early.
Bottom line: The first two weeks are mostly flat or weak. The real action is the last few mornings of July, with standouts on the 27th, 28th, and especially the 30th. Glassy conditions and solid southeast swell. Keep your eyes on the 30th morning—that’s the best wave in the whole forecast.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Fri night. Warm (max 30°C on Thu morning, min 25°C on Fri night). Winds increasing (light winds from the N on Thu night, fresh winds from the ESE by Fri night). | Days 5-7 Weather SummarySome drizzle, heaviest during Sat night. Warm (max 31°C on Tue morning, min 25°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wed 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | |||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 9 | SSW 9 | SSW 7 | SSW 8 | SW 8 | SSW 8 | E 9 | E 9 | ESE 8 | SE 5 | E 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | E 9 | E 10 | E 9 | E 10 | E 11 | E 11 | E 11 | E 11 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
71 | 65 | 48 | 74 | 62 | 39 | 39 | 54 | 125 | 37 | 60 | 88 | 86 | 87 | 65 | 63 | 75 | 61 | 85 | 89 | 89 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 7:11PM1.85m | 6:10AM1.83m | 7:48PM1.82m | 7:00AM1.79m | 8:22PM1.79m | 7:49AM1.72m | 8:54PM1.75m | 8:39AM1.62m | 9:24PM1.72m | 9:32AM1.51m | 9:54PM1.68m | 10:34AM1.39m | 10:23PM1.64m | 12:00PM1.31m | |||||||
Low Tide | 00:40AM0.97m | 1:01PM0.02m | 1:21AM0.89m | 1:42PM0.14m | 2:04AM0.83m | 2:21PM0.30m | 2:47AM0.79m | 2:57PM0.50m | 3:34AM0.76m | 3:31PM0.70m | 4:27AM0.74m | 4:05PM0.90m | 5:27AM0.74m | ||||||||
— | — | 4:48 | — | — | 4:50 | — | — | 4:50 | — | — | 4:50 | — | — | 4:52 | — | — | 4:52 | — | — | 4:52 | |
7:04 | — | — | 7:04 | — | — | 7:04 | — | — | 7:02 | — | — | 7:02 | — | — | 7:01 | — | — | 7:00 | — | 7:00 | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 29 | 28 | 30 | 30 | 28 | 28 | 29 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 27 | 26 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 31 | 31 | 29 | 31 |
Feels °C | 30 | 31 | 32 | 32 | 31 | 31 | 32 | 27 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 28 | 29 | 29 | 30 | 28 | 31 | 32 | 32 | 32 | 33 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 9 | SSW 9 | SSW 7 | ESE 8 | SW 8 | SSW 8 | SSW 8 | E 9 | SW 7 | E 8 | E 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | E 9 | E 10 | E 9 | E 10 | E 11 | E 11 | E 11 | E 11 |
71 | 65 | 48 | 24 | 62 | 39 | 32 | 54 | 12 | 37 | 60 | 88 | 86 | 87 | 65 | 63 | 75 | 61 | 85 | 89 | 89 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | SE 10 | E 8 | E 9 | E 9 | SSW 7 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 8 | SE 8 | S 8 | SE 8 | SSE 9 | SE 8 | SW 3 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | SSW 4 | SSW 5 |
16 | 26 | 26 | 16 | 36 | 39 | 39 | 20 | 19 | 19 | 17 | 14 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 17 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 3 | 3 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 11 | SE 10 | SSW 8 | SSW 8 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 9 | S 9 | SW 7 | S 9 | S 8 | SSE 7 | SSW 6 | SE 8 | S 8 | SSE 8 | SSW 6 | — | SSE 8 | SSE 8 |
29 | 28 | 14 | 7 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 22 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 13 | 4 | — | 6 | 6 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 2 | — | WNW 3 | SSW 8 | — | — | — | ESE 3 | ESE 8 | SE 5 | SE 4 | SSE 4 | S 2 | — | — | SSW 6 | — | NW 3 | WSW 3 | WNW 4 | NW 4 |
1 | — | 7 | 74 | — | — | — | 1 | 125 | 31 | 9 | 3 | 1 | — | — | 7 | — | 2 | 3 | 10 | 14 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 263 | 0 | 91 | 263 | 0 | 92 | 198 | 301 | 198 | 198 | 92 | 198 | 301 | 91 | 0 | 158 | 91 | 91 | 158 | 0 | 92 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Shizuoka | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Japan | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Akabane Long Beach Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Akabane Long Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Akabane Long Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Akabane Long Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Akabane Long Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Akabane Long Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Akabane Long Beach is 10 km (6 miles) from the city of Tahara. If you plan a holiday in Shizuoka, look for hotels and other accommodation in Tahara. Tahara has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











