
Surf Forecasts:
Akabane Long Beach surf forecast from 11 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 18 Sep, 3AM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 8s period, E swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 19 Sep, 9AM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 16s period, SE swell with 1,916 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 15 Sep, 6AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 9s period with SE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Akabane Long Beach this week:
The surf forecast for Akabane Long Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 15) at 6AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.0m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 14s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Akabane Long Beach in the next 16 days are 1.9m 16s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Sep 19) at 9AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 4s period and expected on Wednesday (Sep 16) at 9PM.
| Wave Type | Time (JST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 6AM (Tue 15th Sep) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 9s |
| Best Surf | 3AM (Fri 18th Sep) | 7ft (2.1m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 9AM (Sat 19th Sep) | 6ft (1.9m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Akabane Long Beach over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G’day, it’s Rusty.
Honestly, the next couple of weeks are a bit of a mixed bag. The ocean is going to be fairly sleepy for the next few days. We’ve got a long stretch of poor, small surf ahead, but there’s a serious pulse of energy that shows up later in the period that should get the heart rate up.
Things are pretty flat and messy to start. Akabane Long Beach is going to be small and bumpy right through the weekend and into Monday. Don’t get too excited; the energy is weak, with readings down around 150-176 (weak) and the swell direction is not matching what this break wants. It’s a write-off for a paddle.
We finally see a glimmer of hope on Tuesday the 15th. The swell bumps up just a touch to around 3ft, but more importantly we get a light offshore breeze from the NE. It’s clean, and the energy ticks up to 220 (moderate). It’s not going to be huge, but it’s something to get wet for. The water temp is 80°, which is pretty much average for this time of year, so keep the boardshorts on.
Wednesday the 16th looks even better for a morning session. The swell is still small, but it’s glassy, clean, and the energy jumps to 257 (moderate). A dawn patrol with some fun little waves will be your best bet. The period is a short 8 seconds, so it’ll be a bit crumbly, but fun.
Then it turns crappy again. Thursday and Friday mornings stay small and messy.
Now, pay attention because this is where it gets interesting. Friday morning the 18th is a standout morning. The swell pushes up to 6ft, and the energy reading jumps to 742 (strong). It’s glassy with a clean E swell pushing straight in. This is the first proper swell of the period, and it’s looking good. Expect some fun, punchy waves at Akabane Long Beach.
Don’t get too comfy, because the wind turns onshore that afternoon and it gets messy.
The weekend after that brings the biggest surf of the forecast, but it’s not for everyone. Saturday the 19th, we’ve got a big groundswell. The swell height jumps to 6ft in the morning, with a very long 16-second period. The energy is reading 4014 (very strong). The problem is the wind is howling out of the E at 22 mph, making it lumpy and cross. By the afternoon, the swell is pushing 10ft, but with the wind, it’s going to be a washing machine. This is only for experts.
Sunday the 20th sees the swell sticking around at 10ft, but the comment says it’s too big for this break. That same note comes up again. It’s not a good look.
The real gem is Monday the 21st. The wind swings around to a light NE offshore, and the swell settles to a solid 7-7ft. The period is a nice, long 12 seconds, which is proper groundswell. The energy is still strong at 1486-1634, and the conditions are clean. This is what you’ve been waiting for. It’s a big day, with raw power, and it’s for experienced surfers only. Akabane Long Beach is going to be firing.
After that, it goes to hell in a handbasket. The wind goes strong and onshore out of the ESE on Tuesday the 22nd, with the swell hitting 13ft and energy over 10811 (very strong). That’s just a beast, messy and blown out. It’s more of a kite-surfing zone at that point. Then a gale-force SSW wind on Wednesday the 23rd seals the deal, and we’re done. The surf drops off again, and things get back to small, ordinary levels for the following weekend. A couple of clean but tiny days on the 25th and 26th are the only thing left to look at.
So, to wrap it up in a nutshell: if you want the easy, clean waves, head out on Wednesday morning the 16th. If you want the big, powerful stuff, Monday the 21st is the standout. The 19th and 20th will be big, but the wind is gonna ruin it for everyone but the most seasoned chargers.
Take it easy.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 8mm), mostly falling on Mon night. Warm (max 27°C on Mon afternoon, min 23°C on Sat morning). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 10mm), heaviest on Wed afternoon. Warm (max 25°C on Thu morning, min 22°C on Wed afternoon). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 12 | Sunday 13 | Monday 14 | Tuesday 15 | Wednesday 16 | Thursday 17 | Friday 18 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 7 | ESE 14 | ESE 5 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | E 13 | SE 8 | SE 9 | SE 10 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 5 | ESE 9 | ESE 6 | ESE 7 | ESE 8 | E 9 | E 9 | E 8 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
67 | 61 | 102 | 137 | 95 | 121 | 78 | 97 | 181 | 159 | 152 | 118 | 197 | 72 | 116 | 104 | 154 | 287 | 481 | 339 | 562 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-off | cross-off | off | glassy | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-on | cross | glassy | cross-on | cross |
High Tide | 6:25PM1.91m | 6:42AM1.91m | 6:49PM1.91m | 7:21AM1.86m | 7:11PM1.88m | 8:00AM1.77m | 7:32PM1.84m | 8:39AM1.66m | 7:51PM1.78m | 9:24AM1.54m | 8:09PM1.70m | 10:28AM1.42m | 8:28PM1.61m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 12:14PM0.41m | 00:28AM0.50m | 12:44PM0.54m | 00:59AM0.46m | 1:12PM0.70m | 1:31AM0.46m | 1:38PM0.86m | 2:04AM0.49m | 2:03PM1.01m | 2:39AM0.56m | 2:25PM1.15m | 3:20AM0.65m | 2:46PM1.26m | ||||||||
5:31 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:33 | — | — | 5:33 | — | — | 5:33 | — | — | 5:35 | — | — | |
— | 6:02 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 5:59 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:55 | — | — | 5:54 | — | |
mm | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 7 | 1 | 1 | — | 2 | 4 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 24 | 24 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 27 | 26 | 23 | 24 | 24 | 23 | 23 | 23 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 26 | 25 |
Feels °C | 25 | 24 | 24 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 29 | 29 | 30 | 24 | 26 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 26 | 25 | 28 | 24 | 22 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 7 | S 7 | S 7 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | SE 8 | SE 8 | SE 9 | SE 10 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 8 | ESE 13 | ESE 5 | ESE 9 | ESE 6 | E 12 | E 13 | E 9 | E 9 | SE 17 |
67 | 34 | 24 | 137 | 95 | 77 | 78 | 97 | 181 | 159 | 152 | 118 | 56 | 61 | 116 | 104 | 25 | 3 | 251 | 339 | 243 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 14 | ESE 14 | ESE 13 | SSW 7 | SE 9 | E 13 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 12 | SE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 12 | E 12 | S 7 | S 9 | SSE 9 | SE 9 | SE 13 |
61 | 61 | 58 | 15 | 39 | 121 | 49 | 48 | 30 | 60 | 57 | 31 | 3 | 49 | 29 | 25 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 45 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 10 | SE 10 | S 9 | SSE 7 | SSW 7 | SSW 7 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | E 15 | S 7 | S 7 | ESE 15 | S 6 | ESE 13 | S 7 | S 7 | S 7 | S 7 | S 13 | SE 16 | S 10 |
24 | 24 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 31 | 31 | 18 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 1 | 56 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 2 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 5 | ESE 5 | ESE 5 | ESE 4 | ESE 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | ESE 8 | ESE 5 | NW 3 | — | ESE 7 | ESE 8 | E 9 | — | E 8 |
33 | 43 | 102 | 18 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 197 | 72 | 2 | — | 154 | 287 | 481 | — | 562 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 92 | 92 | 92 | 92 | 198 | 91 | 91 | 263 | 91 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 91 | 92 | 92 | 92 | 242 | 0 | 263 | 324 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Shizuoka | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Japan | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Akabane Long Beach Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Akabane Long Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Akabane Long Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Akabane Long Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Akabane Long Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Akabane Long Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Akabane Long Beach is 10 km (6 miles) from the city of Tahara. If you plan a holiday in Shizuoka, look for hotels and other accommodation in Tahara. Tahara has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










