Suruga Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Righto, let’s look at the Surf Coast over the next couple of weeks.

The first days are a total write-off. On July 20th, from Monday morning right through the following week, the waves are just junk. We’re talking tiny 1ft to 2ft slop with a hopeless period and onshore or cross-shore winds that will have you questioning why you brought a board. The combined swell energy is barely registering, sitting as low as 12 to 38 (weak) until July 26th. It’s a solid week of nothing good.

We do see a change around July 27th (Monday). The swell starts to pick up, reaching 3ft to 4ft from the south with a period of 12 seconds. The combined energy jumps to 296 and then 530 (moderate), so there’s some real power coming. But the wind is a mixed bag – onshore and cross-on – and the reports still say “poor surf conditions.” It’s a tease, not a goer.

Then from Tuesday, July 28th, things get interesting, but it’s a game for experienced surfers only. The swell jumps to 7ft from the SSW, with a period of 14 seconds – that’s a proper groundswell. The combined energy is huge: 1558 to 1966 (strong). The water temperature is about average for this time of year. This is serious size for Suruga Bay (Suruga Bay). The wind on Tuesday morning is a light cross-on at 6 mph, which is okay, but the size is not for beginners. Over 5ft, it’s already too much, and at over 8ft later on, it’s expert territory.

The standout window, if you can handle it, is from Monday, August 3rd, through to Tuesday, August 4th. On Monday morning, August 3rd, we get 7ft swell from the SSW at 13 seconds with glassy conditions – a light air from the SSE. That is clean, powerful, and the report says “excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers.” The combined energy is 1615 (strong). That’s the best on offer. The wind is practically zero. The rest of that day and the next day are still solid at 3ft to 6ft but with more cross-on wind, so grab that Monday morning session.

Crowds are “sometimes” a thing here, so you might get a crew out for that clean, powerful swell. The direction is straight out of the SSW, which matches the optimum swell direction for the spot (SE), so it should wrap in nicely. Be aware, a long-period swell like this (13-14 seconds) can be a bit fat at beach breaks, but if there’s any reef or point influence, it will be firing.

Overall, you have to wait a long time, but that Monday August 3rd morning is a bloody good prospect. There’s a gap of almost two weeks of flat or poor surf before the real swell hits, so don’t get your hopes up for this week.

- Rusty

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