Suruga Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming up for Suruga Bay.

Right off the bat, we’ve got a bit of a wait. The first few days are ugly – cross-shore winds, lumpy chop, and the forecast is basically calling it marginal at best. You won’t want to paddle out on Monday the 3rd or Tuesday the 4th. The swell is building but it’s a messy, cross-shore mess. Wednesday the 5th sees the swell hit 8 ft to 10 ft from the SE, with a long 16-second period, but it’s still cross-shore and blowing 19 mph, so it’s all chop and no shape. The combined energy is strong, but it’s not for surfing.

From Thursday the 6th right through to Sunday the 11th, the swell gets huge – over 12 ft and up to 13 ft – but the wind stays onshore or cross-onshore, and the reports are blunt: “too big for this break” or “poor conditions.” The wave energy is very strong, but it’s a washing machine. Unless you’re a tow-in expert with a death wish, give it a miss. The break is a breakwater setup, so it’s not handling this size well at all.

Now, here’s the standout. On Tuesday the 11th, we get a window of pure magic. The morning shows glassy conditions – wind from the WSW at just 3 mph, and the swell is 7 ft from the E with an 11-second period. That’s a solid groundswell, clean and lined up. Combined energy is moderate, but with that glassy surface, it’ll be ramping. The water temp is about 81°F, which is bang on average for this time of year, so no surprises there. This is the best on offer, and it’s really the only true standout. The forecast reckons it’s excellent for experienced surfers. With the break being a breakwater, a long-period E swell will wrap in nicely, and crowds are only “sometimes” an issue, so you might have it mostly to yourself. Get on it.

After that, it tails off. Wednesday the 12th has a bit of swell, but the wind picks up and it gets choppy. From Thursday the 13th through to the end of the 16-day window, it’s all small, weak, and blown out. Swell drops to 2 ft to 3 ft, period shortens, and the energy is weak. The last day, Tuesday the 18th, has a glassy morning with 2 ft from the SSW, but it’s flat and ordinary – barely a ripple.

Overall, the first ten days are a write-off, then you get one killer morning on the 11th, then another week of nothing. Don’t hold your breath for the second week.

Rusty.

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