Suruga Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming down the pipe for Suruga Bay.

We’re looking at a pretty quiet start to the forecast period. The first few days are a write-off with tiny onshore chop, so don’t bother paddling out just yet. The real action starts to build from Monday morning, the 24th of August, when we get a nice clean pulse of groundswell.

The standout window is the morning of Monday the 24th. We’ve got a solid 3ft SSE swell rolling in with a very long period of 15 seconds – that’s a proper groundswell. The wind is glassy, dead calm, so the surface will be like a mirror. The water is sitting at 80°, which is pretty much bang on average for the time of year, so no wetsuit needed. The combined energy is a moderate 488, but the quality of the wave will be way better than that number suggests. This is the best chance for a clean, lined-up wave at Suruga Bay for the whole outlook. Just keep in mind, with a period that long, the sets might be a bit spread out, and it could be a bit straight on the beach, so look for a sandbank that’s working.

The swell builds through the middle of the week, but the wind gets messy. On Tuesday the 25th, we’re looking at a 8ft to 8ft S swell with a 15-second period – that’s serious energy (2339) and will be too big for beginners. The problem is a moderate cross-shore wind, which will chop it up. This is definitely expert-only territory.

By Wednesday the 26th, the swell drops back to 6ft, still with a long period, but the wind is still cross-shore and a bit lighter in the morning. It’s a better window for experienced surfers, but it’s not a standout.

After that, we see a steady drop in size and quality. The wind shifts around, and the surf becomes marginal with poor conditions through the rest of August and into September. There’s a couple of days with clean-ish cross-offshore wind, but the swell is too small and weak to really get excited about. The energy drops hard – into the 100s and 200s – and the wind ramps up, including a strong breeze and risk of thunderstorms on the 6th of September. That’s a day to stay well clear of the water.

The last week of the outlook is a bit of a bust. The swell is small and the wind is mostly onshore or cross-onshore, so it’s going to be a frustrating run of closeouts and wind chop. For the committed surfer, the Monday morning of the 24th is your only real call.

Stay patient, and keep an eye on the charts.

Rusty.

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