Suruga Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cooking for Suruga Bay over the next couple of weeks.

First off, I gotta be straight with you—this outlook is a tough one. The water temp is sitting at a nice 82°, which is pretty much spot on for this time of year, so that’s not the issue. The problem is that there’s a big gap of nothing good at the start. From now until the morning of Wednesday the 9th of September, we’re looking at a solid 9-day stretch where the surf is just poor. It’s a mix of tiny swell, onshore wind, and generally crummy conditions. You’ll see a few days with a bit of energy, like the 6th and 7th of September, where the combined swell energy hits 359 and 606 (moderate), but the winds are fresh cross-shore or cross-onshore, making it lumpy and unappealing. Not worth paddling out for.

Now, the first real glimmer of hope comes on Wednesday morning, the 9th of September. There’s a solid 8ft swell from the SSE, with a long period of 13 seconds—that’s proper groundswell energy, and the combined energy is a whopping 2381 (strong). The wind is light, cross-shore off the NE at 6 mph, so it’ll be a bit lumpy but manageable. But here’s the thing: 8ft is getting into expert territory, and this is a breakwater setup, so the long period may make it break a bit straight. Still, it’s the first real surf in a week.

The true standout, though, is Wednesday afternoon, the 9th of September. The swell jumps to 12ft from the SE, with a period of 12 seconds, and the combined energy is a massive 4328 (very strong). The wind goes glassy, with a slight air from the SE at 3 mph. That’s a major positive—it’ll be clean. But listen, at 12ft, this is for experts only. The breakwater might handle it, but it’s going to be heavy. If you’re a seasoned charger, this is your window.

The following morning, Thursday the 10th of September, still has a decent 6ft from the SE, with a 12-second period and 2210 energy (strong). Wind is light and cross-shore from the NE at 6 mph, so it’s okay, but not as clean as the afternoon before.

Looking further out, the next best is Friday morning, the 11th of September. The swell drops to 6ft from the S, with a 12-second period, and the combined energy is 954 (moderate). The wind is glassy, from the SSW at 3 mph. That’s a beautiful setup for a morning session—clean, a bit of power, but not too big for a strong intermediate.

Saturday morning, the 12th of September, is similar: 4ft SSW swell, 12-second period, 624 energy (moderate), and glassy conditions with a slight air from the ESE. That’s a fine option, but it’s a step down from Friday.

After that, it starts to fade. Sunday the 13th and Monday the 14th have some energy, but the wind turns onshore or cross-onshore, making it messy again. The surf on Monday afternoon the 14th is a loss.

So, if I’m picking one or two standouts: Wednesday afternoon the 9th of September is the biggest, cleanest, most powerful swell of the whole run—absolute expert territory, but a true highlight if you’ve got the skills. For the rest of us, Friday morning the 11th of September is the best all-rounder: clean, glassy, and a solid 6ft S swell with 12-second period. That’s your go-to.

Rusty out.

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