Suruga Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming our way for Suruga Bay. Gotta be straight with you – it’s a tough stretch ahead. The next week and a half looks pretty bleak for a proper paddle, with only a few windows where it might be worth a look, and even then, you’ll need to manage your expectations.

The first real chance of anything rideable comes up on Wednesday the 29th. We’ve got a small SW swell pushing in, about 2ft in the morning building to 4ft by the afternoon. The period is short though, only 6 seconds, so it’ll be a bit weak and wonky. The silver lining is that morning wind is a light WNW cross-off, cleaning it right up. Combined swell energy is weak (51 in the morning, 114 in the afternoon), so don’t expect much push. It’s surfable, but it’s very ordinary.

From there, it goes completely flat and poor for days. Thursday the 30th right through to Sunday the 3rd of August is a write-off – tiny swell, onshore winds, and messy conditions. You’re looking at knee-high slop at best, with barely any energy. The combined energy readings are mostly in the double digits, so it’s dead.

Now, things get a bit weird starting Monday the 3rd of August. We see a long-period groundswell building from the SE, with periods stretching to 15-16 seconds. The size stays around 3ft for Monday, but by Tuesday the 4th, it jumps to 5ft in the morning and 6ft in the afternoon. The period hits 18 seconds – that’s very long period. The combined energy is suddenly strong, reading 1403 on Tuesday morning. However, the wind is onshore or cross-onshore from the ESE, so it’s going to be bumpy and blown out. This kind of long-period swell on a breakwater setup can be pretty straight and hard to manage, especially with a cross-on wind. Not ideal for a beginner.

The standout but tricky period hits from Tuesday the 4th through to Thursday the 6th. Swell size climbs hard: Tuesday 5ft to 6ft, Wednesday the 5th hits 8ft in the morning and 10ft by afternoon, and Thursday the 6th sees 13ft to 16ft. The energy readings are massive – 4477 on Wednesday morning, 5771 in the afternoon, and over 10,000 on Thursday. This is serious, powerful swell. But the wind is brutal – strong cross-shore and cross-onshore from the ENE, making a lumpy, choppy mess. For experts only, and honestly, with that wind and the breakwater setup, it looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing. The swell direction is SE to SSE, which is off from the optimum SE direction noted for the spot.

By the 8th and 9th of August, the swell drops back to 5ft to 7ft, with periods shortening to 10-13 seconds. The wind eases a touch but stays onshore or cross-shore from the east. The mornings of the 9th might offer a window of cleaner conditions with NE cross-shore wind on a 5ft S swell (10 seconds), but the energy is moderate (886). It’s marginal, and the tide could be a factor.

Honestly, the best bet in this whole outlook is Wednesday morning the 29th. It’s small, but it’s clean with that light offshore. After that, you’re waiting until the 9th of August for another marginal look. The big swell in between is powerful but too messy for a good time. Keep an eye on the forecasts, but don’t hold your breath.

Rusty.

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