Suruga Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s take a look at what’s on the table for Suruga Bay over the next couple of weeks.

We’re kicking off Monday morning, August 24, with a real treat. The waves are a clean 3 ft from the SSE, running on a long 15-second period – that’s proper groundswell energy. The wind is glassy, calm, zero on the dial. The water is sitting at 81°, which is pretty much bang on average for this time of year, so no surprises there. The combined energy of all swells is moderate (564). Expect very good surf conditions. This is the standout of the forecast period. The optimum swell direction is SE, so this SSE swell is working well for the breakwater setup. It’s a beginner-friendly spot, very consistent, but crowds are possible here, so get in early.

By Monday afternoon, the wind swings to a light cross-shore, the swell bumps up to 4 ft with a 16-second period, and the energy jumps to strong (1172). But the wind is not ideal, and tide conditions might be questionable. It’s still surfable, but not as clean as the morning.

Tuesday morning, August 25, brings 6 ft swell from the SSE with a 14-second period, and strong energy (1567). That’s getting a bit chunky for beginners (over 5 ft). The cross-shore wind is still light, but conditions are marginal. By Tuesday afternoon, the wind picks up to 16 mph, making it choppy with a cross-chop. The swell is 6 ft from the S – that’s getting into expert-only territory, especially since it’s pushing over 8 ft? No, it’s 6 ft, so still okay for stronger intermediates, but the wind is the spoiler here.

Wednesday morning, August 26, the swell drops to 5 ft from the S, period 12 seconds, energy moderate (640). Cross-shore wind is light. It’s marginal. By the afternoon, the wind howls up to 16 mph again, and the surf gets poor.

Thursday, August 27, is a bit of a redemption. Morning brings 3 ft from the SSW with an 11-second period, clean cross-offshore wind. Energy is low (281). It’s clean but small. Afternoon has a risk of thunderstorms, but the wind is still cross-off, wave height 4 ft. It’s clean, but still marginal.

From Friday, August 28, through the end of the first week and into the second week, it’s a long stretch of poor conditions. The wind is mostly cross-off or cross-shore but gusty, the swell is small (usually under 3 ft), and the energy is weak (often under 200). There’s a small window on the morning of Monday, August 31, with 2 ft from the SSW, glassy wind, but it’s very ordinary. The same for the morning of Tuesday, September 1 – 2 ft, glassy, but ordinary.

The next real pulse comes Wednesday morning, September 2. We get 4 ft from the SSW with a long 14-second period, and moderate energy (609). The wind is light cross-shore. It’s marginal, but it’s the best we’ll see in the second week. The period is long, so it’ll be better on the point-like setup of the breakwater than a beach, but it’s still a breakwater. The afternoon goes to 5 ft but onshore wind.

After that, from Thursday, September 3, all the way through Tuesday, September 8, it’s a dry spell. We’re looking at tiny waves under 3 ft, mostly weak energy, and poor wind conditions. The last day, Tuesday, September 8, has a 1.0 ft swell from the ESE with a 13-second period, but that’s barely a ripple.

So, the takeaway: Monday morning, August 24, is your day. Glassy, clean, moderate energy, and a long-period swell matching the optimum direction. Get on it. The rest of the first week is hit or miss, and the second week is mostly a write-off with a small chance on September 2.

Rusty out.

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