Suruga Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Righto, let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for Suruga Bay. This is a breakwater setup that’s very consistent and beginner-friendly, with an optimum swell direction from the southeast. The water temp is sitting at 82°, which is pretty much spot on for this time of year – feels like a warm bath, no need for a wetsuit.

The next week and a half is a bit of a write-off, to be honest. We’ve got a long stretch of nothing but poor surf conditions from Friday the 28th of August all the way through most of the first week of September. The waves are small, the wind is mostly cross or onshore, and the energy is weak. The combined swell energy hangs around 42 to 73 (weak) for most of that time, barely enough to get a wobbly pop. There’s a slight pulse on the 1st of September, with energy climbing to 148 (moderate), but it’s still cross-on wind and messy. It stays like this, with energy building to 324–346 (moderate) by the 2nd and 3rd, but the wind is still onshore or cross, so the quality is just not there.

The first real glimmer of hope comes on the morning of Friday the 4th of September. It’s glassy, with a 4ft south swell at 10 seconds, and the combined energy jumps to 301 (moderate). The wind is light and glassy – that’s the standout window for clean, fun waves. It’s not huge, but it’ll be clean and rideable, maybe the pick of the fortnight for a beginner wanting a nice, uncrowded paddle.

After that, it’s back to marginal conditions through the weekend and into the start of the week, with cross-shore winds and bumpy surf. The energy stays around 184–330 (moderate), but the wind just won’t cooperate.

Now, the real promise shows up in the second week. On the morning of Friday the 11th of September, the swell direction swings to southeast and the period jumps to 15 seconds – a proper groundswell. The combined energy rockets to 845 (strong), but the wind is a moderate cross-shore, so it’s going to be a bit choppy. Still, the size is there. By the afternoon of the 11th, the swell is 5ft from the southeast at 19 seconds (very long period), and the energy is 2386 (very strong). This is a serious swell, but it’s onshore winds, so it’ll be lumpy. For the experienced crew, this is when the bay could light up, but it’s not clean.

The biggest call is Saturday the 12th of September. Morning and afternoon both show a solid 10ft swell from the southeast, with a period of 17–18 seconds (very long period) and energy hitting 4594–4834 (very strong). That’s a huge, powerful groundswell. The wind is a gentle cross-onshore, so it’ll be bumpy, but for experts only. This is a big, powerful ocean, and at a breakwater, it’ll be a beast. The long period makes it best for a point or reef, but here it’s a breakwater, so expect it to wall up and close out in places. Definitely not for beginners. If you’re a kiter, this setup might be more interesting than paddle surfing, given the size and wind.

So, to sum it up: the best clean surf is the morning of Friday the 4th of September – glassy, 4ft, and fun. The big, powerful, expert-only swell hits on the 12th of September, but it’s bumpy and huge. Patient beginners will want to wait for that Friday the 4th morning.

Rusty.

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