Suruga Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s be honest, looking at the next few weeks here at Suruga Bay, it’s not a classic summer run. There’s a big pulse of energy coming in, but it comes with a ton of wind, so you gotta pick your windows carefully. The big standout is the weekend and Monday morning, everything else is a bit of a letdown.

The water’s sitting at 75°, which is about 3° colder than normal for this time of year – you’ll feel that nip on the first duckdive.

It kicks off on Friday the 10th with a solid 6ft SSW swell with a very long period of 16 seconds. The wave energy is pumping (3448), but the wind is a cross-on 9 mph from the SSW, so it’s going to be a bit messy and choppy. Fun for a well-read beginner, but not classic.

Saturday the 11th and Sunday the 12th are your big wave days. We’re looking at 10ft SSW groundswell with a period of 16 to 17 seconds – that’s a lot of water moving (energy readings over 4900). That is serious, powerful surf. At 10ft, this is strictly for experienced surfers only. The wind is cross or light cross-shore from the SW, so it’ll be a wall of water but with some chop. It’s going to be raw and heavy.

Then Monday the 13th morning is your absolute pick of the bunch. The swell has dropped to a still-chunky 5ft from the SSW, period is a nice 13 seconds, and the wind has clocked around to a light offshore from the WNW. The report says “clean” and the wave energy is still solid (803). This is the session you want. Perfect conditions for a point break vibe, but since it’s Suruga Bay, expect the long-period swell to make it a bit straight. It will be clean, though.

After Monday afternoon? Forget it. From Tuesday the 14th onward, it’s a long, painful run of tiny, weak, onshore junk. The swell drops below 3ft, period goes short, and the wind is constantly on it or cross-on from the east and south-east. Wave energy plummets to the 100s and lower. There’s a glimmer on Tuesday the 21st morning – glassy conditions with a small 3ft SSW swell – but it’s weak and you’ll be scratching for scraps.

Honestly, after the 13th, we’re looking at nearly two weeks of flat or poor conditions. It’s a real desert. The only reason to paddle out is if you absolutely need to wet your hair, but don’t expect anything decent. If the wind stays cross-on like this, this stretch looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

So, mark your calendar for Monday the 13th morning. That’s the one.

Rusty.

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