Suruga Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here, checking in on the local scene for the next couple of weeks.

First up, we've got a story to tell. The water temp is sitting at a normal 81°, so no surprises there. The forecast starts quiet, but hold on to your board, because things are about to get real, and then messy.

The first bit of action we see is on Friday the 31st of July. The morning is glassy with a tiny 3 ft SSW swell, period a short 6 seconds. The combined energy is weak (49), so it's surfable for the absolute beginner but very ordinary. The afternoon drops off to a score of 0 pretty quickly. Saturday and Sunday are a write-off, with tiny, messy, or cross-onshore junk. You'd be better off staying on the beach.

Then we hit a bit of a gap. Monday the 3rd through to the 6th is where the energy really starts to build, but it's a tricky one. By Monday the 3rd morning, the swell picks up to 3 ft from the ESE, but the wind is a moderate cross-shore, making it choppy. That combined energy is already moderate (474). By Tuesday the 4th, the swell is up to 6 ft from the SE with a long 18-second period, and the energy is strong (2071). But the wind is a problem. By Wednesday the 5th, we're looking at a big 10 ft SSE swell (energy 5230), but it's messy. Thursday the 6th morning is the big one: a massive 15 ft S swell with a very strong energy (10737). This is way too big for most, and the wind is a moderate cross-onshore, so it's a dangerous, choppy mess. Honestly, this whole stretch from Monday to Thursday looks more interesting for kite surfing at Suruga Bay than paddle surfing. The wave quality is just not there.

By Friday the 7th, the swell is still big at 10 ft from the S, but the wind is still cross-onshore and choppy. It's a marginal call. The weekend of the 8th and 9th sees the swell drop back under 7 ft, but the wind stays onshore or cross-onshore, and the wave comment is 'poor' or 'marginal'. The following week (10th to 15th) is mostly small and messy.

Now, the standout that has me talking is the morning of Wednesday the 12th of August. The forecast shows a 3 ft SSE swell with a moderate 12-second period. The combined energy is moderate (592). But the real winner here is the wind: it's glassy. That's a major positive. The comment says "expect very good surf conditions". For a spot like Suruga Bay, a morning with glass and a clean 3 ft swell is a proper treat. The Thursday morning on the 13th is also decent, with a 4 ft S swell and glassy conditions, but the energy is a bit lower (396) and the period is a touch shorter. So, if you're looking for the best clean waves on offer, Wednesday the 12th morning is the one to mark on the calendar. Just be aware, the crowds at Suruga Bay can be a factor sometimes, so get there early.

Other than that, it's a long stretch of cross-onshore junk and building, stormy swell. The surf window is really narrow this time around.

- Rusty

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