Suruga Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, I’m Rusty. Let’s have a look at what’s shaping up over the next couple of weeks.

There’s a good run of solid swell coming in from the south, but conditions are a bit of a mixed bag. The first few days have some real highlights, especially for the more experienced crew, but after that the surf tapers off and we hit a patch of flatness before another pulse arrives late in the window.

Thursday morning, 9 July kicks things off with a clean 6 ft SSE swell, glassy conditions and light winds. The water’s sitting at 75°, which is a bit colder than normal for this time of year, so you might want a spring suit. The combined energy is strong at 1770, and it’s excellent for experienced surfers at Suruga Bay. The swell direction is SSE, which is a bit off the optimum SE, but with that glassy surface, it’s real nice. By afternoon, the wind swings cross-on and the swell jumps to 7 ft, but it gets choppy and messy – not worth it.

Friday morning, 10 July is another glassy one with 7 ft S swell and a 14-second period – that’s proper groundswell. The energy is up to 3166, solid and powerful. It’s a bit big for beginners, but for anyone with some experience, it’s clean and punchy. The afternoon sees the wind go cross-on again, and the swell drops to 6 ft, but it’s choppy and marginal.

Now, the standout session is Saturday morning, 11 July. This is the one to circle. The swell hits 10 ft from the SSW with a 17-second period – that’s a very long period groundswell, full of energy (5411 combined energy). The wind is glassy, and conditions are exceptional for expert surfers. This is big, powerful, and will be firing, but it’s only for the well-prepared. The SSW direction is close to the optimum SE, so it’s wrapping in nicely. The afternoon sees the wind pick up to 12 mph cross-shore, making it a chop-fest.

Sunday morning, 12 July still has 10 ft SSW swell with a 17-second period, and it’s glassy again. The energy is 4566 – still very strong, but it’s a bit of a drop from Saturday. Still excellent for experienced surfers. The afternoon is lighter at 8 ft but with a cross-on breeze, so it’s not as clean.

Monday morning, 13 July is a bit of a change. The swell drops to 6 ft from the SSW, period drops to 13 seconds, and the wind is cross-off from the west. It’s clean, and the energy is 1013, so it’s still surfable and fun. The afternoon is smaller at 4 ft, still clean, but not as punchy.

From Tuesday, 14 July through to Sunday, 19 July, the surf drops off significantly. Swells are below 3 ft, periods are short, and the energy is weak – mostly under 100. It’s a long stretch of flat or very poor conditions. You’d be better off doing something else.

Then Monday morning, 20 July shows a little pulse of 3 ft SSE swell with a 12-second period, but it’s cross-on and marginal. Not worth getting excited about.

Tuesday morning, 21 July sees a new pulse arrive: 8 ft SSE swell with a 14-second period, and the energy jumps to 2055. The wind is light cross-on, so it’s a bit bumpy, but there’s size. The afternoon pushes to 10 ft with the same direction, but it’s cross-on and choppy. This is promising but a long way out.

Wednesday morning, 22 July is the biggest of the whole run: 12 ft S swell with a 14-second period, and energy at 4944. But the wind is cross-on, and it’s described as too big for this break, so it’s really only for the die-hard experts, and even then, it’s messy. The same continues into the afternoon.

Thursday morning, 23 July has 10 ft S swell with offshore wind – that’s clean! The energy is 2582, and the direction is a good match. This could be a late-week highlight, but it’s over a week away, so don’t lock it in yet. The afternoon goes cross-on again.

Friday, 24 July winds down with 8 ft S swell in the morning and 8 ft SSW in the afternoon, both cross-on and marginal.

So, the best bet is Saturday morning, 11 July – that’s the standout for experts. For those who don’t want that size, Friday morning, 10 July is a solid, clean option. The long-range stuff around 23 July is worth watching, but it’s uncertain.

Rusty.

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