Suruga Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on offer down at Suruga Bay. This is a breakwater setup, so it's a bit of a sheltered spot, and it's a beginner-friendly wave – very consistent, which is a good start. The water is a warm 81°, and that's just about bang on average for this time of year, so no shock to the system when you get in.

Right now, we're in a bit of a flat spell to kick things off. The first couple of days are a write-off. Saturday (1st August) and Sunday (2nd August) are both a no-go – the wind is all over the place, mostly cross or onshore, and the swell is small and weak. There's barely any energy in the water (combined energy of all swells directed here is just 34-180). The forecast says "poor surf conditions," and I'm not going to argue with that. It's a classic early-August lull.

Monday (3rd August) things start to get a little more interesting, but it's still marginal. The swell picks up to 3ft-4ft from the ESE, with a very long period of 16-17 seconds. That's proper groundswell. The energy jumps up too (636-879), which is a good sign. The wind is a moderate cross-shore from the NE, which is okay, but not perfect. The reports say "marginal surf forecast," so it's a session for the keen, not for the crowd.

Tuesday (4th August) and Wednesday (5th August) see the swell building. We're talking 5ft-10ft from the SE and SSE, still with that long 17-second period. The energy is getting up there (1852-5627), so there's some serious power. The wind stays cross or cross-onshore, which will put some chop on the face. These are still rated as "marginal" – the swell is coming in, but the conditions aren't quite clicking. It's getting big, but it's not clean.

Now, here's the big one. Thursday morning (6th August) is the standout. We're looking at a massive 13ft swell from the S, with a combined energy of 7282. The wind is a moderate cross-onshore from the ENE, which is about as good as it's going to get for this spot. The forecast actually says "wind and tide favorable, but the swell is predicted to be too big for this break." This is for experts only. At over 8ft, this is big, powerful, and dangerous. The long period (15-16 seconds) means it's going to be a heavy, surging wave. For a beginner-friendly breakwater, this is a beast. The afternoon swings more onshore and it's a write-off.

The rest of the run from Friday (7th August) through to Saturday (15th August) is a mixed bag of marginal conditions and poor surf. The swell drops, the wind stays messy, and the energy fades. There are some long-period swells in there, but the wind kills the quality. It's a long stretch of "meh," with a few sessions that might be worth a paddle if you're desperate, but nothing to write home about.

Finally, on Sunday (16th August) , we get a little pulse back. The swell jumps to 6ft from the ESE, with a 14-second period and a moderate cross-shore from the ENE. The energy is back up to 1597. It's rated as "marginal," but it's the best of the second week. It's a fair way out, so don't hold your breath, but keep an eye on it.

So, the bottom line: the one real standout is Thursday, 6th August, but it's a big, dangerous, expert-only wave. For the rest of the 16-day window, it's a lot of waiting and hoping. The conditions are just not playing ball for clean, fun waves.

Rusty.

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