Suruga Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it. The long-range picture for Suruga Bay is a bit of a waiting game. There’s a lot of energy out there for the next week, but the wind and the conditions are going to be fighting us the whole way. It’s not a total loss, but we’re going to have to sit through some pretty average, and at times poor, sessions before things clean up. The water temp is sitting at a very normal 81°F, so nothing weird happening there.

First up, Tuesday the 4th sees some cross-shore ENE wind and a head-high, 5ft SE swell with a long 17-second period. It’s a bit of a messy cross-chop, so it’s not going to be pretty, but there is some push. The energy is weak-to-moderate (1747). By Wednesday, the swell is up but so is the wind. It’s bigger, around 7ft plus, but the cross-shore breeze has it looking lumpy. The energy is now moderate (2227).

Thursday is where the swell really starts to show, building to 10ft. This is now well overhead and pushing into the too-big-for-beginners zone. But the wind goes more onshore and the cross-chop is going to make it a real battle. The energy is strong (3690), but the surf quality is poor. This trend holds through Friday and into the weekend. The swell stays big, over 8ft, meaning this is expert territory, but with that cross-onshore wind and the chop, it’s going to be a close-out mess. The energy is strong to very strong, peaking on Sunday afternoon at 6118. It’s just a lot of water moving around without any real shape to it. I’d be looking elsewhere for a wave this week.

Heading into the middle of next week, on Monday the 11th, the swell is still a solid 7ft but the wind is still messing with it. It’s a marginal call at best.

Then, we get to the standout. Wednesday the 12th is the one to keep an eye on. The swell drops to a clean 4ft, but a WSW cross-offshore breeze creates some clean, glassy conditions. This is the best the surf quality has looked all period. The energy is weak (558), but the waves will have shape to them. It won’t be big, but it will be clean, and that’s worth everything after the slop we’ve had. This is a day for the log or a mid-length, just enjoying some fun, small waves at the breakwall.

After that, through the rest of the second week, things just fade away. The swell drops out, the energy falls to weak (under 300), and while the conditions are sometimes clean, especially Sunday morning the 16th with that glassy 2ft, there just isn’t any real power behind it. A week out, it looks like a flat spell sets in from around the 15th. We might get a couple of ankle-to-thigh high rollers on the inside, but nothing that’s going to get you out of bed.

So, the plan is to be patient. The first week is too big and too windy. The best bet is a short window on Wednesday morning the 12th for some clean, small waves. Beyond that, we're looking at a quiet stretch with a few dreamy but tiny morning glasses.

Keep the faith, check back in a few days. Forecasts can change, and this run of poor quality isn't going to last forever.

Rusty

Read more