Suruga Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, folks, Rusty here. Let’s get straight into it for Suruga Bay.

Looks like the next week and a half is a bit of a mixed bag here. The first week is packing some serious size, but the wind is a real problem for most of it – we’re dealing with a lot of cross and cross-onshore winds that will keep things messy. There’s a lot of energy in the water, but the quality is going to be poor for paddle surfing until we get a break in the conditions.

The swell is coming in with a very long period at 17 seconds, which is a classic groundswell. That kind of period means better shaped waves, but at a beach break like Suruga Bay, it can make the waves break a bit too straight. The combined energy is massive – we’re talking values in the thousands (1740 on Tuesday morning, building to over 5000 by Sunday). That’s strong to very strong wave energy, but the wind is ruining it.

The water temp is sitting at 81°F with a tiny anomaly of 0.3°F, so it’s right on the money for this time of year – warm, comfortable.

The real standout here is the morning of Tuesday, August 11th. The wind drops to nothing – glassy conditions – and the swell is still a solid 6ft from the SSW at 14 seconds. The combined energy is 2283, which is still strong. The waves will be clean and powerful, but at this size, it’s getting into the territory for experienced surfers only. The crowd profile says "sometimes," so you might have a few heads out, but with conditions that good, it’ll be worth the paddle. The afternoon of the same day also looks glassy with a 5ft SSW swell, but the energy drops to 901, so it’s a bit weaker.

Before that, from Tuesday, August 4th through to Monday, August 10th, the surf is on the menu but the wind is consistently cross or cross-onshore from the ENE and ESE, with speeds between 9 and 19 mph. The swell height builds from 5ft up to 10ft, and the period is long (15 to 17 seconds), but the chop will be ugly. The comments are all "marginal" or "poor." This is really a kite surfer’s window – the wind is strong and the swell is there, but for a paddle board, it’s going to be a battle.

After the glassy Tuesday, things go downhill fast. From Wednesday, August 12th onwards, the swell drops below 4ft and the wind picks up again, mostly from the NE with moderate to fresh breezes. The combined energy falls to a few hundred, and the comments are all "poor" or "marginal." That’s a dead zone for quality surf. You’re looking at a gap of nearly a week with no real options from that point on.

So, to sum it up: the best bet is the morning of Tuesday, August 11th. It’s the only window where the wind cooperates with a decent swell. Before that, it’s a lot of energy with poor conditions, and after that, the surf fades out.

Stay stoked, and keep an eye on the charts.

Rusty.

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