Suruga Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it. The next couple of weeks are a bit of a mixed bag for us here. We’ve got a pulse of energy coming, but it’s going to be a wild ride with a lot of wind and some seriously big surf for a bit before things settle down into cleaner, smaller waves.

The first few days are pretty average. Monday the 3rd and Tuesday the 4th have some waist to chest-high lines in the 3ft to 6ft range, but it’s cross-shore and a bit lumpy. Not terrible, but not worth getting excited about, especially with the moderate breeze. The swell direction is from the ESE, which is a bit off from what we want, so it won’t be at its best.

Things start to get real from Wednesday the 5th. The swell jumps up, but the wind is on it. By Thursday morning the 6th, we’re looking at a solid 13ft of SSE swell. The energy reading is a massive 10182, which is strong to very strong. The problem is, it's way too big for this break. It’s not a day for the casual surfer. This is maxing out, and unless you’re a proper expert looking for a heavy, lumpy session, you’re better off watching from the shore. The winds are fresh and cross-shore, making it messy. Not a clean day at all.

That big, raw energy hangs around through the 7th, 8th, and 9th, still over 10ft, but it’s all over the place with cross-onshore winds. It’s basically a washing machine out there. If you’re into it, maybe there are waves to be had, but I wouldn't call it surf. It honestly looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing at this point.

After that pulse, the swell backs down. Monday the 10th looks more manageable at around 7ft, but the wind is still a bit questionable. It’s a slight improvement, but I’d still hold off.

Here’s where it gets interesting. The standout window is the 12th and 13th of August. It’s not the biggest swell, but the quality is there. On Wednesday morning the 12th we get 4ft of SSW swell with a 12-second period and, get this, glassy conditions. The wind is basically dead, and the forecast says “expect very good surf conditions.” This is the one to point the car at. Clean, lined-up waves with a bit of push. Same story on Thursday morning the 13th with 4-5ft of SSW swell and glassy conditions. This is your window. It’s not huge, but it will be fun and clean, and the light wind will make all the difference.

After that, the energy fades fast. The rest of the second week is a real letdown. From the 14th onwards, we’re dealing with smaller swell, poor wind, and nothing that’s going to get your heart racing. By the 17th and 18th, we’re looking at tiny, short-period dribble below 3ft. It’s pretty much done.

So, to sum it up: the first week is a mess of too-big and blown-out conditions, with that one window on the 12th and 13th giving us our cleanest, most fun surf. It might not have the size, but the quality will be far better than anything else on offer. Rounding out the second week is just a flat, sloppy descent into nothing. If you’re keen, be in the water on Wednesday or Thursday morning. That’s the call.

Rusty

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