Suruga Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Hey, Rusty here. Look, I’ve been staring at the charts for Suruga Bay and, honestly, we’ve got a bit of a wait ahead. The next week and a half is mostly a write-off, with a few flickers of hope buried in there. The first real chance to get wet doesn’t show up until Monday the 7th of September, so we’ve got a few days of flat or messy conditions to sit through first.

The pattern starts off pretty ordinary. Friday the 4th has a tiny 3ft SSW swell, but with glassy conditions and a combined energy of 159, it’s just surfable, nothing to get excited about. Saturday and Sunday are a total loss – cross-shore winds, weak swells, and rain. Sunday’s got a 3ft to 4ft E swell with a shocking 4-second period and a combined energy of 58 to 94, plus strong cross-shore winds. It’s a mess.

Then, Monday the 7th of September dawns with a bit of life. The morning sees a solid 7ft S swell, period of 10 seconds, and a combined energy of 1295, but the wind is a light cross-shore from the NE, making it a marginal call. However, the afternoon is the real highlight of this whole forecast. The wind swings to a glassy S, the swell bumps up to 7ft from the SSE, and the energy jumps to 1116. That’s strong, powerful surf. This is the standout window. The break is a breakwater, and it’s very consistent, so it’ll be holding the swell well. The water temp is 82°, about average for this time of year. Crowds are possible here, so keep an eye out. This is a session for experienced surfers only – that 7ft is too big for beginners. The S-SSE direction is a good match for the optimum SE direction, so expect some proper lines.

Tuesday the 8th holds on a bit, but the wind turns cross-onshore. The morning has a 4ft SSE swell, but the afternoon gets a bit more size with a 6ft S swell (period 9 seconds, energy 763). It’s still surfable, but the wind will put a little texture on the face. Wednesday the 9th is similar – a 8ft S swell in the morning, but a moderate cross-shore from the NE makes it messy. The energy is still high at 1021, but the quality won’t match Monday afternoon.

After that, it’s a long, slow fade. From Thursday the 10th right through to the end of the forecast on the 19th, the swell drops off and the winds are all over the shop. There are a few tiny pulses with glassy conditions – like Friday the 11th afternoon with a 2ft S swell, or Saturday the 12th morning with a 2ft S swell, and even Friday the 18th afternoon with a 2ft E swell and glassy conditions – but the energy is weak (under 100). These are just knee-high dribbles, not worth paddling out for.

So, the bottom line: if you’re an experienced surfer, circle Monday the 7th of September afternoon. That’s the only true standout in this 16-day run. The rest is a long gap of flat or poor surf. Don’t hold your breath.
Rusty

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