Suruga Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty. Let's have a look at what we’ve got for the shores here over the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you – the first week looks pretty grim. From today, Thursday the 13th, right through until the morning of Wednesday the 19th, the surf is going to be a total write-off. We’re talking tiny, weak swells with cross-shore and onshore winds messing up anything that tries to form. You’ll be sitting there watching a lake for days. The good news is, things shift towards the end of the window, but you’re gonna have to be patient.

We start to see a little pulse of life on the morning of Thursday the 20th at Suruga Bay. The swell is a weak little 3 ft from the S, and the period is only 8 seconds, so it's a windswell, not a groundswell. The combined wave energy is a very modest 122 (weak to moderate). What makes this a tiny glimmer of hope is the glassy conditions—that “slight air” with the wind variable – so the surface should be clean, even if the waves themselves are weak. The water temp is a warm 81°, which feels normal for this time of year. It’s a spot for beginners anyway, given the low swell.

Then there’s a real stand-out on the horizon, but it’s way out there. Come Sunday, the 23rd of August, and into Monday the 24th, a serious groundswell is forecast to push in. The morning of the 24th shows 5 ft of swell from the SSE with a period of 15 seconds. That’s a proper long-period groundswell. The combined energy (1238) is strong. The wind is light and cross-onshore from the ENE, which is okay but not perfect. By the afternoon, it jumps to 6 ft from the SSE with a 16-second period, and the energy is very strong (1703). That’s big for this break. However, that period is so long it might make the waves a bit fat and shut down on a beach break setup. It points towards the optimum SE direction for Suruga Bay, which is a good sign. Because the swell is over 5 ft but under 8 ft, it's getting into intermediate territory, and you might want to leave the beginner boards at home. Given it’s two weeks out, treat this as a promising possibility, not a guarantee. Crowds are sometimes an issue here, so there might be a few of us out there if it fires.

After that pulse, it fades back down pretty fast into the end of the month. The morning of Tuesday the 25th still has a solid 6 ft from the SE with a 15-second period (energy at 1268). The wind is light and onshore from the ESE, which will keep the surface a bit bumpy. It's still that same long-period groundswell, so expect those long lulls between sets, but the paddling out should be easier.

So, to sum it up: the first week is a dead loss. The second week has two windows to look at. The glassy morning of the 20th might give you a fun, weak wave if you just need to get wet. Your main target, the one that could be something special, is the long-period groundswell arriving around the 24th and 25th. Keep your fingers crossed and check back closer to the time.

Rusty.

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