Suruga Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, alright, gather 'round. Rusty here, and I'm lookin' at the charts for Suruga Bay. Gotta say, the next couple of weeks are a real mixed bag, mostly flat and ordinary before Mother Nature decides to flex on us.

For the first few days, it’s pretty grim. We’ve got tiny swell, a lot of cross-onshore junk, and nothing worth paddling out for. The water is warm at 81°, which is about what you'd expect for this time of year. But you’d be bobbing around on nothing. Even Wednesday morning the 29th looks glassy, but with a weak 2-ft swell, it’s barely surfable. That stretch of nothing really runs from now until the end of July.

Friday the 31st sees a jump in the wind, with a cross-off shore blowing 19 mph and the swell triples to 5 ft, but the period is a short 5 seconds. It’s clean but weak, and the combined energy is only 121, so it’s just not gonna have any punch.

Now, here’s where it gets interesting but messy. Starting Monday the 3rd of August, a very long period groundswell from the SE (16-17 seconds) starts filling in. The energy readings start climbing into three digits (261) and then four digits by the 5th (991). The problem? The wind is mostly onshore or cross-onshore, wrecking the quality. The swell gets big – 5 ft on the 5th, 6 ft on the 6th, and 8 ft on the 7th. That’s getting into expert territory. The combined energy hits a massive 5,515 by Friday afternoon the 7th. But the wind is a strong cross-shore or cross-onshore, so it’s gonna be a messy, lumpy, choppy mess. Not good for a paddle board, honestly. This setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

The peak of the madness hits Saturday the 8th and Sunday the 9th of August. We’re talkin’ massive 16-ft swell with onshore and cross-onshore winds up to 28 mph. The energy numbers are off the charts – over 14,000. That’s dangerous, that’s for experts only, and honestly, with that wind, it’s just a washing machine. Stay on the beach for that.

For the one true standout, you have to look at Monday the 10th of August. The swell is dropping to a still hefty 10 ft from the ESE, with a 14-second period. The wind swings light and cross-onshore from the ENE, which is way better. The combined energy is still strong at 6,087, and the score suggests it’s the best quality on offer in the whole run. It’s still a big, powerful groundswell at a breakwater, so it might be a bit straight and you’ll want to be experienced, but that’s your window for the best chance at a wave.

So, to sum it up: don't bother for the next week. The 8th and 9th are a full-on storm. Mark your calendar for Monday the 10th of August for the biggest, most promising surf.

Stay safe out there.

Rusty.

Read more