Suruga Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it.

Right off the bat, I’ve gotta be straight with you – the immediate future is looking pretty sad. For the first few days, from Thursday the 30th of July right through to Sunday the 2nd of August, we’re stuck with weak, short-period windswell and onshore winds. The combined energy is barely registering (30 to 196), and the surf is just poor. There’s not a single wave worth chasing. We’re looking at a gap of about four days of rubbish.

Things start to show a sliver of life on Monday the 3rd of August. The swell picks up a bit from the ESE, with a very long period of 17 seconds – that’s proper groundswell energy. The morning has a cross-shore breeze from the NE, which is decent. The combined energy jumps to 785 (moderate), but the quality is still only marginal. The afternoon sees the energy crack the 1000 mark (1003), but the wind swings cross-on. It’s not great, but it’s a start.

The real standout, the one to circle on the calendar, is Suruga Bay itself. Wait for Wednesday the 5th of August. The morning has a clean cross-shore wind from the ENE, and we’re looking at a solid 8ft swell from the SE with that same long 17-second period. The combined energy is a massive 3798 (strong). This is a powerful, clean groundswell hitting a breakwater setup. Now, I gotta be honest with you – this spot is a beginner break, and 8ft is getting into the expert zone. The crowd profile says "sometimes," so you might have some company, but if you’ve got the skills, this is the window. The water temp is a balmy 81°, which is about average for this time of year.

Thursday the 6th of August is all-time big, but it’s too much. The morning sees 15ft from the SSE (12615 energy – very strong), and the wind is cross-shore, but the forecast flat-out says it’s too big for this break. That’s for the big-wave chargers only, and even then, the afternoon goes onshore and messy.

After that, the swell hangs around through the 7th and 8th, but the wind turns against us. The combined energy is still huge (3593 on the 8th morning), but with cross-on and onshore winds, it’s going to be a choppy, blown-out mess.

By Sunday the 9th of August, the swell drops back down to around 3ft, and we’re into a long stretch of poor, marginal conditions with very little energy. The last bit of interest comes on Wednesday the 12th of August, with a marginal 4ft ESE swell and a light cross-on breeze, but it’s a long way off and not much to write home about.

So, to sum it up: the first half of the week is a write-off. The best bet is the morning of Wednesday the 5th of August for a powerful, clean groundswell, but only if you’re comfortable with overhead waves. Everything else is either too small, too windy, or too big.

Stay frothy,
Rusty

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