Kuminatu Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s talk about Kuminatu. The combo of wind and swell angles just isn’t lining up for most of the outlook. The window opens with a long stretch of poor conditions, with the first few days offering nothing but choppy, weak waves. The combined energy of all swells is low, sitting around 122 on Wednesday morning, barely enough to keep your board wet. Winds are cross-onshore, and the water temp is 77°, which is spot on average for this time of year.

Wednesday and Thursday are a write-off – small, short-period swells, messy wind. The energy builds a bit by Friday and Saturday, but the wind stays onshore or cross-onshore, keeping it choppy. The combined swell energy climbs to 242 on Friday morning, but the “poor surf conditions” label tells the story.

The first real standout comes on Sunday, July 19th. Glassy conditions in the morning with a light SSE breeze, and the swell holds at 4ft from the east, with a period of 9 seconds. The combined energy hits 284 – moderate. It’s the only window where the forecast says “expect good surf conditions.” That’s the one to chase if you’re keen. The break is exposed and inconsistent, and it breaks rarely, so don’t expect a miracle, but when it’s on, it’s clean. The SSE wind is offshore, and that’s a major positive for those early hours.

Monday the 20th is marginal, with cross-onshore winds creeping back in. The energy stays moderate, but the texture gets bumpy. From Tuesday, July 21st, through to the end of the week, the swell picks up but the wind stays cross-onshore. The combined energy climbs into the 400s and 500s, but it’s all messy. On Wednesday the 22nd, a rain shower and a strong cross-offshore NE wind at 15 mph actually clean it up a bit – the wave comment says “clean” – but the swell is only 4ft and the period is 11 seconds, so it’s a so-so session.

The second week brings a major pulse of energy. From Sunday, July 26th, the swell jumps to 5ft, and by Monday the 27th it’s 8ft with combined energy over 2000 – that’s serious power. But the wind is still cross-onshore, and the wave comments are all “marginal” or “poor.” That’s a lot of water moving around with no good wind to handle it. The setup is more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing during those days.

The best of the whole outlook? That’s Thursday, July 30th. The swell hits 6ft from the ESE with a very long period of 15 seconds, and the combined energy is a massive 2426. The wind is glassy in the morning from the SSE, which is onshore but at 3 mph it’s almost nothing. This is a long-period groundswell, so Kuminatu’s beach break might get a bit straight, but with that energy and clean conditions, it’s worth the look. The downside: it’s inconsistent and rarely breaks, so you’ll need patience. Crowds are possible here – it’s exposed and can handle a crew when it’s on.

For the advanced surfers, Monday the 27th and Tuesday the 28th have 8ft and 4ft swells, but the wind is still messy. The 8ft is too big for beginners, and even for experts the chop makes it a grind.

Overall, the best window is the morning of Sunday, July 19th, and the big pulse on July 30th is promising but less certain so far out. If you’re after a clean peak, aim for the 19th. The rest is a waiting game.

Rusty.

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