Kuminatu Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for Kuminatu over the next couple of weeks.

It’s gonna be a bit of a slow burn, to be honest. The first week is pretty grim, with poor surf conditions and a lot of onshore wind messing things up. The first few days from Wednesday the 15th through to Saturday the 18th are basically a write-off. The swell is small, the wind is mostly cross-on or onshore, and the water is a bit choppy. You’re looking at weak, choppy waves around 2ft to 4ft with a fairly short period. The combined swell energy is weak to moderate (113 to 235). Don’t bother paddling out.

Sunday the 19th shows a slight glimmer, with a marginal forecast. The swell starts to build a touch to 4ft from the east, and the wind eases right off in the morning – almost nothing at 3 mph. The water is sitting at a warm 77°, which is about average for the time of year. It’s still not great, but you might find a few grovelly ones if you’re desperate.

Monday the 20th morning is our first real sign of life. The wind goes glassy, dead calm, with a 4ft easterly swell at 10 seconds. Combined energy is moderate (357) and the wave comment says “expect good surf conditions.” It’s not a standout, but for a Monday morning session, it’ll be clean and fun. The afternoon gets a bit messy with a light onshore breeze.

Tuesday the 21st morning is the first true standout of the period. The glassy conditions are back, with a 5ft easterly swell at 10 seconds. The combined energy jumps to a strong 501, and the forecast says “expect very good surf conditions.” This is the best we’ll see in the first week. Clean, fun waves, perfect for an intermediate. The afternoon does get a bit choppy as the wind swings cross-onshore, so get out early.

Things go quiet again from Wednesday the 22nd through to Saturday the 25th, with a mix of marginal and poor conditions. The swell drops back down, and the wind is mostly onshore again. Not worth a trip.

Sunday the 26th is interesting, but not for the right reasons. The swell is tiny (2ft to 2ft) but the period jumps to a very long 15 seconds. That’s proper groundswell energy, but it’s so small and the wind is cross-onshore, so it’ll be a messy, shut-down mess. The combined energy is moderate (282 to 316), but the wave quality is poor.

Now, the second week brings a change. Conditions improve, and there’s potential for some solid surf.

Monday the 27th morning has a 3ft swell from the SE with a 13-second period, light cross-shore wind, and moderate combined energy (407). It’s marginal, but clean enough for a fun session on a longboard.

Wednesday the 29th is the big one, but it’s a long way out, so keep an eye on it. The swell builds to 5ft – 6ft from the SE with a 15-second period. This is a very long period groundswell, which means it’ll be powerful and have long lulls between sets. The combined energy in the afternoon is a massive 1390 – strong wave energy. The wind is still cross-onshore, which is a shame, but it’s a light breeze. For a point break or reef, this would be pumping, but at a beach break, it might be a bit straight and tough to paddle into. Still, it’s the best size we’ve seen.

Thursday the 30th is the absolute standout. The swell peaks at 7ft from the SE, with a 16-second period, and the combined energy is a massive 3220 – very strong. And here’s the kicker: the wind is a fresh cross-offshore breeze from the NE. That’s clean, offshore wind. For a 7ft groundswell, this is going to be a serious day for experienced surfers. It’s too big for beginners, and the long period will make it powerful and likely a bit tricky at the beach, but if you can handle it, this is the best day on offer. The forecast says “marginal” but with “clean” conditions, so don’t be fooled – this is a special swell window.

Bottom line: The first week is a struggle. Tuesday the 21st morning is your best bet for a clean, fun session in the first week. But the real prize is Thursday the 30th – a big, clean, powerful groundswell for the experienced crew. Mark it in your calendar, but don’t book the time off just yet.

Rusty.

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