Shida Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s break down what we’ve got here. Only one spot to talk about – Shida – and it’s a finicky one, rarely breaking clean. The whole 16-day run looks pretty thin, so don’t get your hopes too high.

The action, if you can call it that, starts around Wednesday, August 12th. There’s a 7ft ESE swell showing, but it comes with risk of thunderstorms and a cross-offshore breeze. The combined energy is moderate at about 762, but conditions are marginal at best. Water temp is 81°F, just a touch warmer than average for the time of year, so nothing wild there. The big issue: Shida is inconsistent, so a lot needs to line up for it to work.

Through Thursday and Friday we get chest-high waves around 5ft from the east, but the winds stay cross or cross-on, leaving the surface messy. The energy stays in the moderate range (around 480-501), but for us paddle surfers it’s all a bit ordinary.

Come the weekend of August 16th-17th, the swell cranks up. Sunday morning sees 8ft from the ESE with strong energy at 1069, and by the afternoon it’s 8ft and a huge 2696 in energy. But here’s the catch – the wind is a solid NE cross-on at 12-16 mph. With that size and onshore chop, this beach-and-reef setup looks way more suited for kites than paddleboards. Expert-only if you’re even thinking about it.

The second week drops right off. From August 18th onward, we’re looking at waves mostly under 3ft, with energy falling into the 100s. A couple of bright spots show up: Thursday morning August 20th goes glassy with a light WSW breeze and only 2ft from the south – tiny, but clean. The 12-second period swell on August 26th (2ft) from the ESE is a long-period groundswell, but it’s got no size behind it.

The one true standout is the very end of the forecast. On Thursday, August 27th, the morning goes glassy with a slight air and a fun 6ft peak from the ENE at a short 7-second period. Energy is moderate at 391, and the wind goes offshore in the afternoon. That’s a solid-looking session, but it’s over a week away and Shida is never a sure thing, so treat it as promising, not a lock.

Expect long gaps with no real recommendations, especially through the second week. For an inconsistent spot like this, a blank spell is normal. Stay patient, keep an eye on that last Thursday, and don’t force it.

Rusty.

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