Shida Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here, and I’ve taken a look at the charts for Shida. It’s a bit of a mixed bag, but there are a couple sessions that should get you out of the house.

We’ve got a bit of a slow start through the first week, with the best to be found next week. The water’s sitting at a warm 82°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year.

This week (Sept 8th-15th)

The opening Tuesday is about the best we’ve got in the near term. Tuesday morning offers up clean, 6ft swell from the south with a solid 9-second period. The combined energy is a moderate 585, and with a gentle cross-offshore breeze, it’ll be clean. It’s a bit inconsistent here, and the crowds can be a thing, but for a weekday morning, you might get your share. The afternoon holds good too, with a proper offshore wind, but the swell drops a touch to 5ft.

Wednesday the 9th gets blown out with a fresh cross-offshore breeze, even with 8ft of swell. That’s getting into the "not for beginners" zone and the wind kills it.

Things drop off hard after that. We’re looking at a massive gap from Wednesday afternoon right through the weekend and into the start of next week. The swell goes tiny and the wind is messy, mostly cross-onshore. It’s a bleak run of poor surf conditions until the 14th.

Next week (Sept 14th-21st)

We finally see a change. Monday the 14th looks promising. The morning is glassy with a light 4ft SE swell, 9-second period and 344 moderate energy. That’s a prime window for a clean session. The afternoon keeps it going with a gentle offshore breeze.

Tuesday the 15th stays clean in the morning with cross-offshore wind and more 4ft SE swell. The afternoon throws in a curveball: the swell drops to 2ft, but the period jumps to 14 seconds, giving it some real groundswell feel. Energy is still moderate at 370.

The Standout (Week 3, Sept 20th-22nd)

Now, if you can wait, there’s a proper pulse on the horizon. Sunday the 20th of September is the real standout of this entire outlook. The morning shows a 7ft SE swell with a very long 18-second period. The combined energy is a strong 3260. The wind is light cross-onshore. But it’s the afternoon that’s the real call: a solid 10ft swell from the SE, still at 17 seconds, with a cross-offshore breeze. That’s a massive 5117 energy reading. This is the one to circle on your calendar. However, this swell is going to be massive. At over 8ft, this is expert territory only, and with that long period, it’ll be most manageable if you know the reef or the river mouth setup. The crowd factor will be a thing here, no doubt.

Monday the 21st gets hammered by heavy rain and howling onshore winds with a giant 13ft+ swell. That’s a write-off for paddle surfing and looks more like a kite session.

The Final Window (Sept 22nd-23rd)

Tuesday the 22nd morning cleans up again with an 12ft SE groundswell and a glassy offshore wind. Again, this is a massive, expert-only swell. The afternoon drops to 8ft but goes cross-shore. After that, the wind turns ugly again.

To wrap it up: the first week is mostly a dud. Wait for Monday the 14th for the first clean surf, and definitely keep your eye on Sunday the 20th afternoon for the big, clean groundswell—just know what you’re stepping into.

Rusty.

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