Shida Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's see what's cooking.

Straight up, the next week is a bit of a bummer. The first real shot at a wave doesn't come until Tuesday the 22nd, and even that's got a catch. Let's break it down.

It starts on Tuesday the 15th with small 2ft to 3ft easterly swell at Shida. The energy is moderate (386 to 421), and the wind is light and clean – offshore then cross-offshore. It would be alright, but this spot is *inconsistent*, so don't count on it. Water temp is 78°, which is normal for the season. Wednesday and Thursday are a mess with onshore junk. By Thursday the 17th, the swell hits 8ft but it's a short-period 7-second ENE windswell with 25 mph cross-onshore wind. Pure rubbish.

Friday the 18th through Monday the 21st is all wind-affected and sloppy. The swell pumps up to 8ft with strong energy (up to 2615), but the wind is cross-onshore or onshore, making it lumpy and choppy. No good.

Now, Tuesday the 22nd is a big one. The swell hits 10ft from the S with a 14-second period, and the energy is very strong (3349). But for Shida, that's too big. It's an exposed spot, but at that size it's only for experts, and the report flat out says it's too big for this break. Afternoon it's even bigger at 15ft. The morning has cross-onshore wind, but the afternoon goes cross-offshore with a risk of storms. It's powerful, but not for paddling.

Wednesday the 23rd has the swell dropping to 7ft, but the wind is 31 mph from the SW – a near gale. Clean wind, but that's kite-surfing territory.

Thursday the 24th and Friday the 25th are tiny, poor, and onshore.

Here's the real standout: Sunday the 27th. The morning is glassy, with a 3ft SSE swell and a solid 12-second period. The energy is strong (474) for that size. This would be clean, long-period groundswell. By the afternoon it’s a bit smaller at 2ft, also a 14-second period, with light cross-offshore wind from the SSE. The report says "expect very good surf conditions." This is the best of the lot, but remember Shida is *inconsistent* and *rarely breaks*, so it's a bit of a dice roll.

The 16-day window fades out after that with small swells and onshore winds on Monday the 28th and beyond.

Best bet: Sunday the 27th. Glassy in the morning for clean 3ft SSE groundswell. Afternoon also clean with light cross-offshore wind. It's the only real highlight, but at an inconsistent break, so keep your hopes in check.

Rusty.

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