Shida Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s break down what’s happening at Shida for the next couple of weeks. It’s gonna be a slow start, but there’s a solid stretch of clean surf coming.

Right now, the ocean’s a bit of a mess. Through Wednesday and into the early hours, we’ve got a decent 7ft swell from the SE with a long 16 second period. The combined swell energy is strong (2473). But there’s a cross-onshore breeze messing with the surface, and the water temp is sitting at 72°, which is notably about 4° colder than normal for this time of year. Conditions are marginal, so I’d sit this one out.

But by Thursday morning, the wind switches to a light cross-offshore from the SSE, cleaning everything up. The swell drops a bit to 6ft, still from the SSE with a 14-second period, but energy is still healthy (1626). This kicks off a really good run. Friday gets even better: a light offshore wind from the south, swell bumps back up to 7ft from the S with a powerful 16-second period (energy at 2149). The water is still cold, but the waves are gonna be clean and lined up. This is the best of the bunch.

Saturday holds that same quality: 7ft south swell, 17-second period, gentle offshore breeze. The energy peaks at 2962. This is top-tier stuff. Shida handles this size fine, but with a period over 15 seconds, that long groundswell will produce better shaped waves at this point break, with more power and longer lulls between sets. It’s for experienced surfers, but it’s gonna be a classic weekend. Crowds are often here, so expect company.

Sunday still delivers clean, moderate offshore wind and solid 5-6ft SSW swell. Good, but energy is fading. By Monday the 13th, the swell drops under 3ft, and we hit a flat spell through Tuesday the 14th. Nothing worth paddling for.

The next pulse arrives Wednesday the 15th with 6ft SSE swell at 14 seconds. Light offshore wind, clean again. Thursday the 16th morning holds some clean 6ft SE swell, but the afternoon gets chopped up by a cross-shore breeze. Then from Friday the 17th through Sunday the 19th, the wind turns ugly from the ENE and NE, making for poor, choppy surf. A three-day dry spell for quality.

Now Monday the 20th and Tuesday the 21st are wild. The swell jumps to a massive 13ft from the ESE. That’s way too big for this break. Even Tuesday morning has glassy conditions, but 12ft east swell is for experts only. Later on Tuesday the 21st, the swell drops to a still significant 8ft with a light offshore breeze. That’s a standout for the brave. After that, the forecast gets messy again with onshore wind and poor quality through to the end.

So here’s the takeaway: from this Thursday through Sunday is your window. Clean offshore wind, solid south swell, plenty of energy. The top picks are Friday and Saturday. If you’re experienced, the 8ft clean swell late on Tuesday the 21st is also worth a look. The rest is either flat, choppy, or just too big to handle.

Stay wet,
Rusty

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