Onjuku Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s happening at Onjuku. I’ll be straight with you – the next 16 days are a real mixed bag, with a whole lot of nothing at the start and then some heavyweight stuff later on that’ll test your nerve.

Right now and through the first several days, there’s just not much to get excited about. We’re looking at small, weak surf with poor conditions from Thursday (the 3rd) well into next week. The first few days have waves under 3 ft with a combined swell energy of just 160 to 199, and the wind is cross-on or just messy. You’d be fighting a losing battle. The water temp is about average for this time of year, nothing unusual to report.

We hit a bit of a turning point around Sunday the 6th into Monday the 7th, but it’s still far from perfect. The swell jumps up to 8 ft to 8 ft, coming from the E with a short period of 7 seconds. That’s a lot of water moving fast with not much shape. The combined energy climbs to 641 and 865, but the wind is strong offshore and clean. This is marginal at best, and honestly, at that size with that short a period, it’s a bit of a washing machine. Not for the faint-hearted.

There’s a real wildcard Tuesday the 8th, but don’t get your hopes up. The swell is 8 ft from the S, period of 10 seconds, and the combined energy is a massive 2052, but the wind is a strong cross-onshore. It’s lumpy and messy. Then Wednesday the 9th sees the biggest swell of the whole outlook – a solid 13 ft from the SSE with an 11-second period. The energy readings are off the charts at 3278 and 3444, but the wind is howling onshore at 22-25 mph. This is pure chaos, and unless you’re a total expert on a big-wave setup and don't mind a beating, give it a miss. It looks more like a kite surfing day than a paddle surfing day.

After that, things slowly settle. From the 11th to the 14th, we get some cleaner conditions with cross-off winds but the surf drops back to 3 ft to 5 ft, with energy dropping to the 300-600 range. It’s still marginal, with the odd clean window but nothing that screams “go now”.

The one true standout is the early morning of Tuesday the 15th. This is your best bet. We’ve got a 5 ft swell from the ESE with a solid 10-second period. The combined energy is 558, so moderate and punchy, but the big news is the wind – it’s true offshore from the NNE at 19 mph. That means clean, lined-up waves at Onjuku. The break is exposed and likes a SSE swell, so this ESE direction is a bit off-angle, but the quality of the wind and the consistency makes this the pick of the week. Crowds are sometimes an issue here, so get in early.

Later in the second week, the 18th (Friday morning) pops up with a 6 ft SSE groundswell and a very long 15-second period. The energy is a beastly 3005. This is a big, powerful, clean swell but with that long period, it might throw up some walls at the beach break – better suited for a point or reef if you can find one. The wind is offshore and clean, making it a promising but less certain long-range call.

So, to sum it up: The first week is a write-off, and the middle is either too big and blown out or too small. Your only real windows are Tuesday the 15th morning for a clean, solid session, and maybe a look at Friday the 18th morning if you’re feeling bold and the forecast holds.

Stay safe out there, Rusty.

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