Onjuku Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, surfers, Rusty here. Let's cut through the noise and look at what's actually on the menu for our stretch of coast. This is a long-range look, so keep that in mind – the early calls are solid, but the further out we go, the more we're just reading the tea leaves.

Right off the bat, we've got some serious swell on the way. The first real shot of action is shaping up for Wednesday the 5th, but there's a catch – it's beefy. We're talking 12ft of southeast swell with a 15-second period. That's a lot of juice, and the combined energy is reading strong at 5361. The wind is a cross-offshore from the NE at 19 mph, which would normally have me licking my chops. But honestly, this is just too much for Onjuku. The model is saying the same thing – it's too big for the break. It's not going to be a friendly wave for the average punter; it's going to be a washing machine. The water temp is a touch above average at 81°, so it's a nice balmy day to watch.

Thursday the 6th sees the swell drop a bit to 7ft, still from the SSE with a 13-second period. The morning is looking clean, with a light ENE cross-offshore breeze at 9 mph. This is where it starts to get interesting for the experienced crew. The energy is moderate at 1969, and the conditions are described as excellent for experienced surfers. This is a proper standout – solid size, long period, and clean faces. This is the one to circle on the calendar if you know what you're doing. The afternoon goes a little cross, so the morning session is the go.

From Friday the 7th through the weekend, things get a bit lazy. The swell backs off to 5ft to 7ft, but the wind goes onshore or cross-onshore, and the surf gets a bit ragged. The energy drops into the weak to moderate range, between 905 and 1720. It's not terrible, but it's not worth getting excited about. We'll have some rideable waves, but it'll be a bit of a grovel.

Monday the 10th and Tuesday the 11th see a new pulse of energy, and this time the wind is offshore – a proper NNE breeze at 22 to 25 mph. The swell is 8ft to 8ft from the E/ENE. The energy is moderate, around 1963 and 1718. The problem? The wind is howling. It's a strong offshore, which will hold the waves up, but it's going to be a battle to get out the back. It's clean, but the conditions will be wild. This is for the fit and the brave, not for a casual paddle. On the 12th, the wind picks up even more, with a near-gale possible, and the surf quality just goes to the dogs.

The following week, from Wednesday the 12th through the 17th, is pretty grim. The swell drops off, the wind stays messy, and we're dealing with a lot of poor surf conditions and onshore slop. There's a lot of rain in the forecast too. It’s a real flat, junky spell. The energy readings are weak, mostly under 600. It's a good time to get the fishing gear out or work on your tan.

Now, we do have a light at the end of the tunnel. Around Tuesday the 18th and into Wednesday the 19th, the models are hinting at a proper long-period groundswell from the SSE. We're looking at periods of 16 seconds, which is very long. The energy starts to build again, hitting 1444 and climbing. On the 19th, the swell is up to 8ft to 10ft, but the wind is going to be the issue, coming onshore. It’s a bit of a tease.

But then, on Thursday the 20th, we might get something special. The forecast shows an 12ft swell from the SE with a 13-second period, and the energy is reading strong at 4674. The early call has a light SSW wind on it. If that holds, Onjuku could be on. However, like the 5th, this size is predicted to be too big for the break, and the conditions are unknown. It's far out, so treat it as a promising but very uncertain prospect. It's a long way off, so we just have to wait and see.

So, to sum it up: the clear standouts are the Thursday morning session on the 6th for the experienced rippers, and that far-off potential on the 20th. The rest is either too big and wild or just plain flat and messy. Keep an eye on the sky, and I'll see you out there.

Rusty.

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