Takegashima Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Righto, let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for Takegashima.

First up, it’s a pretty quiet start to the run. We’re looking at a few days of messy, onshore junk through Monday and Tuesday of this week, with south-east swell around 5 ft to 6 ft and periods of 9 seconds, but the wind is all wrong – cross-on or onshore at 9 to 12 mph. It’s just poor, choppy conditions. Don’t even bother paddling out. The combined wave energy is moderate (604) on Monday morning, but it’s all wasted with that wind.

Things start to get interesting on Wednesday the 9th. Wednesday morning is the one to circle. We’ve got a clean 8 ft south-south-east swell with a 9-second period, and a cross-offshore wind. That’s going to set up some proper, well-shaped waves for the advanced crew. The energy is strong (846), and the water is 84°, which is a touch warmer than normal for the time of year – so you can leave the wetsuit at home. The swell direction is south-south-east, which works well with Takegashima’s optimum easterly direction – not a perfect match, but close enough to get those reef lines offering up. This is the standout of the whole outlook. Get on it.

After Wednesday morning, the wind shifts back onshore and the swell fades fast. Thursday the 10th and Friday the 11th drop into the 3 ft to 4 ft range, mostly with onshore breeze or glassy but small. The energy drops way down (118 to 185). It’s surfable but nothing to write home about – ordinary conditions.

We hit a flat patch from Saturday the 12th through Monday the 14th. Tiny waves, low energy (below 92 to 241). Some glassy mornings on Saturday and Sunday, but the swell is just too small to get excited. The 11-second period on Sunday afternoon is interesting but with only 2 ft and a cross-shore wind, it’s a no-go.

Tuesday the 15th morning brings back a bit of hope. Glassy conditions, 4 ft east-south-east swell, period 10 seconds, and moderate energy (258). That is a genuinely good surf window – clean, lined-up waves with some push. The swell direction is east-south-east, right in the wheelhouse for the reef. This is your second best opportunity in the outlook.

From Wednesday the 16th onwards, it’s a slow decline into tiny, poor-quality surf for the rest of the run. Offshores on Wednesday and Thursday keep it clean, but the swell is barely 3 ft, and energy is low. By the 20th and 21st, we’re down to 2 ft to 3 ft at best, with only brief moments of glass.

To sum it up: Wednesday morning the 9th is the clear winner – solid 8 ft south-south-east swell, clean, powerful. Tuesday morning the 15th is your backup with clean 4 ft conditions. Everything else is either too small, too windy, or flat. The gap between the 9th and the 15th is about 6 days of mediocrity.

– Rusty

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