Takegashima Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Let’s break down what’s coming for our local lineup.

Right now, we’re in a flat patch. The first few days are tiny—1ft to 1ft SE pulses with periods around 10 to 13 seconds, and combined energy barely registering. The water’s sitting at 84°, which is a touch warmer than usual for this time of year. Honestly, not worth wetting a suit.

Come Sunday, August 2nd, we start seeing some life. An ESE groundswell kicks in with period hitting 18 seconds—proper long-period energy. Sunday morning shows 2ft with 339 energy, but it’s onshore from the NE, so choppy. By Sunday afternoon, the swell jumps to 4ft with 578 energy, still onshore. Monday the 3rd keeps building: morning 5ft (900 energy), afternoon 6ft (2,014 energy). The wind turns cross-shore with slight chop—still marginal, but getting there.

Tuesday, August 4th, is where it gets real. Tuesday morning: 10ft ESE swell, period 18 seconds, combined energy at 5,579—strong. Wind is light cross-onshore, a bit lumpy, but the power is unmistakable. Tuesday afternoon: 12ft, 18 seconds, 8,399 energy, wind going cross-shore. This is big, clean-ish power. At 12ft, it’s expert territory at this reef.

Wednesday, August 5th, goes nuclear. Morning: 16ft SE swell, 18 seconds, 16,739 energy. Afternoon: 20ft, 18 seconds, 20,997 energy. The wave comment says wind and tide are favorable, but the swell is just too big. And it’s true—20ft at Takegashima is survival only. Energy numbers are off the charts.

Thursday, August 6th, is even bigger: 26ft in the morning (37,352 energy) and 25ft in the afternoon (51,390 energy), with onshore wind making it a full-on washing machine. This is kite-surfing territory, not paddle.

The swell drops Friday, August 7th, to 12ft with energy around 2,078 to 2,758, but the wind stays cross-onshore and choppy. Saturday the 8th sees 8ft in the morning (1,212 energy) and 5ft in the afternoon (974 energy). Wind improves to light cross-onshore by the afternoon.

Here’s the real standout: August 10th. Monday morning sees 5ft E swell, 13 seconds, with 1,689 energy. Light cross-onshore, but building. The best window is August 12th. Wednesday morning: 5ft SE swell, 12 seconds, glassy conditions—glassy. Combined energy 805. Afternoon: 6ft ESE, 11 seconds, with offshore SW wind at 6 mph, making for clean waves. This is the pick. The swell direction matches the optimum east-north-east for this break. Crowds are sometimes an issue, so expect company, but it’ll be worth it.

August 13th is also good: Thursday morning 4ft, 12 seconds, glassy, with 943 energy. Thursday afternoon 4ft S swell, 12 seconds, light cross-off wind, 828 energy. Very clean.

After that, it fades. August 14th sees 4ft S swell, glassy mornings, but energy drops to 314-358. From August 15th, it’s back to 3ft and poor. The best stretch runs from August 10th through the 13th, with August 12th as the absolute standout.

Remember, anything past next week is a little less certain, but this one looks promising.

Signing off, Rusty.

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