Takegashima Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's talk about what's cookin' at Takegashima.

Overall, we've got a slow start, but a real pulse of powerful groundswell is on the way. The water temp is sitting right around 83°, which is bang on average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

The first few days are a bit of a tease. Sunday the 23rd is a write-off with tiny 1ft waves and poor conditions. Not worth paddling for.

Everything changes on Monday the 24th. That’s the standout. We’re looking at a solid 4ft swell from the SE in the morning, bumping up to 7ft in the afternoon. The period is a very long 18 seconds dropping to 16 seconds later – that’s a proper groundswell, packing a ton of energy (1197 in the morning, 2133 in the afternoon). This is a reef break, and that long period will wrap in beautifully. The wind is glassy in the morning and light cross-off in the afternoon, so the surface will be clean as a whistle. This is the one to aim for, but it's an advanced spot, so only the experienced crew should be in the water. The size around 7ft is getting up there, but it's manageable.

Tuesday the 25th sees the swell peak. We’re talking 12ft of SSE swell, with 15-second periods. The combined energy is massive, hitting 5909 in the morning and 5419 in the afternoon. This is expert territory only. The afternoon looks fantastic with clean cross-off wind, but at this size, it’s going to be a heavy, powerful wave. The morning has a slight cross-on, which might mess with the shape a little, but it's still glassy. If you're not an absolute charger, sit this one out.

The quality holds through Wednesday the 26th and Thursday the 27th, with the swell dropping from 10ft to 5ft. Winds stay mostly glassy or light cross-off, keeping it clean. The period drops from 14 seconds down to 9 seconds, so the energy level drops from 4000 down to 407. It'll still be good, with the morning sessions looking best.

From Friday the 28th through Sunday the 30th, the swell fades and the wind gets a bit messy. There are still some rideable waves, but nothing to get excited about. The energy drops off significantly, down to 82 on Sunday the 30th with a short 8-second period. That’s poor stuff.

We hit a real dry spell from Monday the 31st of August right through to Saturday the 5th of September. The swell is inconsistent, the wind is mostly onshore or cross-shore, and the conditions are poor. On top of that, the wind kicks up to 31 mph on the 5th, making it completely unsurfable. This stretch is a no-go.

There is a light at the end of the tunnel. Sunday the 6th of September sees a change. A clean 4ft to 6ft swell from the ESE with a 10-second period and, best of all, true offshore wind. The energy is back up to 935 in the afternoon, and it’ll be clean. This is a promising option for the second week, but it’s a long way out, so keep an eye on it.

So, the standout is clearly Monday the 24th for the experienced crew, and Sunday the 6th of September is the one to watch for the long-range forecast.

Rusty.

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