Takegashima Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here, checkin' in with the outlook for Takegashima.

The next week and a half is a real mixed bag. We've got some promising action a week out that's got my heart thumping, but the immediate days ahead? Honestly, a bit of a flat spell to wait through.

We kick off this Saturday, the 20th, and the whole first week is pretty lackluster. The swell barely makes it to 1ft out of the ESE, and the wave energy is weak, sitting well under 100 (52). The sea surface is running about 81°F, which is pretty normal for the time of year. The wind up to today, Friday, the 24th, is mostly light cross-off or glassy in the mornings, keeping it clean, but the waves themselves are tiny and poor. From Friday the 24th through Sunday, the 26th, we get a bit more pulse, with the swell climbing to 1ft and the period stretching out to a very long 15 to 18 seconds. This pushes the energy into the low hundreds (145), but the call is still for ordinary, surfable but average waves. It's clean, glassy mornings, but it's not what you're driving for. A real holding pattern, this first week.

But then, Monday, the 27th of July... that's the one. The wind picks up a light offshore from the SE at just 3 mph, giving us glassy, clean conditions. The swell jumps to a solid 4ft out of the SE with a very long period of 16 seconds. The energy reaches a strong 1224. The conditions are rated as excellent for experienced surfers. This is a proper long-period groundswell, so it will have power, well-shaped waves, and those longer lulls between sets that make paddling back out a bit easier. Takegashima is an exposed reef break, so it should handle this swell well. It is consistent here, but be aware, crowds can be an issue sometimes. This is absolutely the standout of the outlook.

Monday afternoon cranks up a notch with the swell hitting 7ft (SE, 16s) and a massive energy of 2255. The wind stays light from the SSE, keeping things clean. This is getting serious now, still for experienced surfers only. If you've got the skills, the morning of the 27th is the pick, though the afternoon session could offer more muscle.

Now, Tuesday the 28th through Thursday the 30th gets ugly. The swell just explodes, hitting 12ft to a monstrous 39ft from the SE. The energy is off the charts, over 70,000 on Thursday! The problem is the wind turns cross-onshore and picks up. The waves get too big and messy, even dangerous. For a spot like this, these days are only for the absolute top-tier experts, if anyone at all, but the reports say the swell is predicted to be too big for this break. I'd sit this one out.

Friday the 31st sees the swell drop, but the wind goes haywire with a near gale, making it completely unsurfable with a tiny wave.

Rounding out the outlook, the first couple of days of August clear up. On Saturday the 1st, we get a clean, moderate offshore wind from the SW with a 5ft swell from the S (9 seconds). It's rideable and fun, with moderate energy (416). It's a good backup. Then Sunday the 2nd offers glassy conditions early with a smaller 4ft S swell. Both are decent options, but they don't hold a candle to that Monday the 27th session.

So, in short: suffer through the tiny stuff this week, your reward is Monday the 27th of July. That’s the day to make a plan for. It's a proper standout.

Rusty.

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