Takegashima Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G'day, Rusty here. Look, I've got some good news and some bad news. The bad news is the next week or so is pretty much a write-off. The good news is that a proper swell is on the horizon, and it's going to be a cracker for the crew who can handle it.

The forecast starts quiet, real quiet. From Sunday the 19th right through to the morning of Saturday the 26th, it's all small, weak waves. We're talking ankle to knee-high slop, mostly around 0.7 ft to 1 ft, with combined swell energy barely cracking 100 (33 to 156). The wind is mostly light or glassy, which is a tease, but there's just no power in the water. You'd be better off cleaning the wax off your board than paddling out. There's a little spike on Friday the 24th with a very long period swell (18 seconds) coming in from the SE, but the height is a measly 1.0 ft, so it's just a flat, weak line.

Then, things change. Monday the 27th is the first day we see some real life. The swell jumps to 3 ft in the morning, and by the afternoon it's a solid 3 ft from the S, with a period of 13 to 14 seconds. The energy starts to build, hitting 406 on Monday morning and 568 by the afternoon. The wind is offshore (SSW) and clean, making for a proper session. This is when the run starts.

Now, the real standout is Tuesday the 28th and Wednesday the 29th. This is for the big dogs only. On Tuesday morning, we're looking at 8 ft from the S, and by the afternoon it jumps to a solid 10 ft. Wednesday morning holds the same size at 10 ft. The period is a pumping 15 seconds, so this is pure groundswell, and the combined energy is massive—2623 on Tuesday morning, going up to 3866 on Wednesday morning. The wind is offshore and clean, holding out of the SSW. This is a serious, powerful swell that will be barrelling at Takegashima. This is a reef break, so it's built for this kind of long-period energy. Be warned, at over 8 ft, this is expert territory only. You'll need to know your line-up and have your wits about you. The water temp is sitting at 83°F, which is a touch warmer than usual for this time of year.

The window closes fast. By Wednesday afternoon the 29th, the swell nosedives back to 1.0 ft, and the energy drops to 26. The rest of the forecast from Thursday the 30th through to Monday the 3rd of August is back to tiny, weak conditions, mostly under 1.0 ft, with poor surf.

So, the call is simple. The best on offer is Tuesday the 28th and Wednesday the 29th at Takegashima. That's the one to circle on the calendar. It's a big, powerful, clean swell, but it's not for the faint-hearted. The morning of Monday the 27th is also a good, more manageable session to get the blood flowing.

Rusty.

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