Takegashima Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Righto, let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for the next couple of weeks. I’m looking at our little corner here, and the first thing to say is: it’s a bit of a slow burn. We’ve got a gap right at the start before anything really worth paddling out for shows up. The first good window is from Tuesday the 15th of September, but it’s brief. After that, there’s a long, dry spell of poor to marginal conditions until we get a couple of promising sessions later on.

Alright, the standout moment is on Tuesday the 15th of September in the afternoon. Takegashima is looking like the place to be. We’ve got a 4ft south-east swell rolling in, period of 9 seconds – that’s a decent little groundswell with some push behind it. The combined energy is a solid 217 (moderate), and here’s the real gem: the wind is glassy, 3 mph from the ENE. That means the surface is going to be clean, smooth, and offering up some proper lined-up walls on that reef. Water temp is 82°, which is about normal for this time of year. This is your session – a classic pick for anyone who knows the spot. It’s an advanced break, and with crowds marked as “sometimes,” you might get a few out, but it’s worth it.

Now, Wednesday the 16th and Thursday the 17th are a write-off – onshore winds and poor conditions kill it. Friday the 18th is marginal at best; you get a 4ft swell but the wind is cross-on and choppy. Saturday the 19th is a bit of a tease – the swell jumps to 8ft with a very long period of 14 seconds (combined energy of 2458 – strong), but the wind is onshore and it’s a messy setup. That kind of long-period groundswell can make a reef like Takegashima a bit too straight and tricky for most. Only for the experts, and even then, it’s not clean.

You’re looking at a long gap from the 20th of September right through to the end of the week – mostly onshore winds, rain, and dropping swell. The 27th of September has a fleeting moment: Sunday morning sees a tiny 2ft SSE swell with glassy conditions, but the period is short (8 seconds) and energy is weak (104). It’s surfable, but ordinary.

The next real potential pops up on Tuesday the 29th of September morning. A 4ft SE swell with a period of 11 seconds – combined energy of 467 (moderate) – and light offshore wind from NNE. That’s a far better look for Takegashima. Cleaner lines, more shape, and that longer period will bring good energy. This is your second-best call, and knowing the pattern, it’s worth keeping an eye on as it gets closer.

So overall: Tuesday the 15th afternoon is your absolute top pick. The 29th of September morning is the backup. Everything else in between is either blown out or too small. No major standouts beyond that in the 16-day window – the swell just fades into junk. But hey, that one glassy afternoon is a beauty. Stay tuned.

- Rusty

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