Takegashima Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cooking.

First up, we’re looking at Takegashima, a solid reef setup that needs a bit of patience. The next few days are pretty flat, with tiny waves around 1ft to 2ft from the SE. The water is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, sitting at 83°. The conditions are glassy at times, but the swell is just too weak to get excited about. The combined energy is low, around 32 to 175 (weak to moderate), so it’s more of a paddle-around situation than a proper surf.

There’s a bit of a dry spell from Sunday the 26th of July right through to the 2nd of August. We see a slight uptick on the afternoon of Sunday the 2nd of August, with a 2ft swell from the ESE, period around 12 seconds, and the combined energy finally hitting 126 (moderate). It’s clean and glassy, but still very small.

Now, things start to get interesting on Monday the 3rd of August. The swell jumps to 4ft from the ESE, with a long period of 16 seconds. The combined energy rockets to 606 (strong). The wind is light cross-shore, creating a little texture, but it’s surfable. By Monday afternoon, the swell is 4ft, still from the ESE, period 16 seconds, and the combined energy is 803 (strong). The wind is cross-offshore and clean. This is a decent session, but the real standout is just around the corner.

The best of the whole forecast is Tuesday the 4th of August through to Friday the 7th of August. On Tuesday morning, we’ve got 6ft swell from the ESE, period 16 seconds, and the combined energy is a massive 1621 (very strong). The wind is glassy. This is excellent surf for experienced surfers, but at 6ft, it’s getting a bit too big for beginners. The swell direction (ESE) is a little off the optimum E, but it’s still going to pump on this reef.

Wednesday the 5th of August is a monster. Morning sees 7ft from the ESE, period 17 seconds, combined energy 2314 (very strong), and glassy conditions. This is expert territory. The afternoon gets even bigger at 8ft, but the wind turns cross-shore, making it a bit more tricky.

Thursday the 6th of August is just huge. 10ft from the ESE, period 17 seconds, combined energy over 5000 (very strong). The wind is onshore, so it’s not clean, but the power is undeniable. This is for experts only. Friday the 7th of August is the absolute peak. Morning has 15ft from the ESE, period 17 seconds, combined energy 11032 (very strong), and glassy offshore winds. The afternoon is even bigger at 16ft, energy 12507 (very strong), and clean cross-offshore wind. This is a once-in-a-season event for the hardcore crew. The long period (17 seconds) means these waves will have serious energy and long lulls, perfect for a reef like Takegashima.

Saturday the 8th of August is still massive but messier. The swell is still 16ft in the morning, but with onshore wind. It drops to 13ft in the afternoon with cross-shore wind. The energy is still huge, but the quality is not as good as Friday.

After that, the swell drops off fast. Sunday the 9th of August is back to 2ft, and Monday the 10th of August is a similar 2ft to 3ft from the ESE. The combined energy is back to 177-235 (moderate), and the conditions are clean again, but it’s a big comedown.

So, the true standout is Friday the 7th of August. If you’re an expert, that’s the day. The forecast confidence is high for the near term, but the long-range stuff (Tuesday the 4th to Friday the 7th) is solid. For the rest of us, Tuesday the 4th and Wednesday the 5th of August mornings are also excellent, just a bit smaller. Crowds at Takegashima are possible, so get in early.

Rusty.

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