Takegashima Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Lookin’ at the 16-day window for the local break, and I gotta be honest with ya—it’s a slow starter. We’ve got a real quiet first week with only tiny, weak pulses that ain’t worth paddlin’ out for. The real action doesn't kick off until Monday the 24th, and then it gets proper interesting, but with some serious caveats for the crew.

Alright, so from Wednesday the 19th through to Sunday the 23rd of August, it’s mostly flat and messy. You’re lookin’ at knee-high dribble at best with a combined swell energy that barely registers (77 down to 42). Winds are glassy in the mornings but swing to cross-off in the arvos—clean, just no power. Water temp is sittin’ at 83°, which is bang on average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

Now, things finally wake up on Monday the 24th. Monday morning is the first real standout. Takegashima is clean with a glassy morning, light breeze, and a building 4ft SE groundswell with a period of 16 seconds. That’s a proper long-period groundswell, which means long lulls between sets but real push when they show. Combined swell energy is a solid 648 (moderate). This is a reef break, so that long period will wrap in nicely and give you some decent lines. Crowds are possible here (sometimes), so get in early. This is the best bet of the whole run.

The afternoon of Monday the 24th stays clean with a cross-off breeze and the swell bumping to 4ft SE at 15 seconds. Still good, still got energy (682).

Tuesday the 25th is where the size jumps, but so does the wind. 8ft to 8ft SE groundswell (15-16 sec period) with massive energy (2220-3095)—that’s strong. But the wind is cross-on, which will put some bumps on the face. This is for the experienced crew only; over 8ft is expert territory, and that cross-on wind makes it a grind.

Wednesday the 26th gets wild. 13ft SSE swell (17 second period!) with onshore wind. Combined energy is off the charts (9737). This is massive, but the wind is onshore and there’s light rain. It’s going to be a churning, powerful mess—more of a novelty for the very brave or the kite surfing crew if you’re into that.

Thursday the 27th is probably the standout for size junkies. 15ft ESE groundswell (9100 energy) but with cross-on wind. Again, expert-only territory and bumpy.

The end of the first week and start of the second week settles down a bit. Friday the 28th brings excellent conditions for experienced surfers—7ft S swell with cross-off winds and clean faces. Still big, but cleaner.

Into the second week, from Saturday the 29th onwards, the swell dips and the winds get more variable. Saturday the 29th has cleaner 5ft to 5ft S/SE swell with cross-off winds—good for a session but not a standout. Sunday the 30th has some cross-on issues with a 3ft to 6ft SE swell. Monday the 31st and Tuesday the 1st of September see size bump again (8ft to 12ft), but with onshore and cross-onshore winds, it’s messy.

Then from Wednesday the 2nd of September, it all falls apart. Strong onshore winds (16 mph) and dropping swell. Thursday the 3rd is the same story with onshore winds and small, weak swell. A big ol’ blank to end the run.

So, if you want the one true standout, aim for Monday the 24th of August, morning session at Takegashima. Glassy, clean, and that long-period groundswell will give you some memorable waves. After that, it’s a roll of the dice with size and wind.

Rusty.

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