Takegashima Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here, let’s talk about what’s cooking at Takegashima. This is a reef break that needs an advanced skill set, and for the next couple of weeks, you’re going to need patience.

The forecast opens with a real bang, but it’s a short-lived one. Wednesday morning, the 9th, is the only real standout in the first week. We’ve got a 10ft swell from the south, with a period of 9 seconds, and a moderate offshore wind from the WSW. The water is sitting at 83°, which is about 2° warmer than normal for this time of year – a nice little bonus. The combined energy is a thumping 1581 (moderate to strong), but it’s only for the experienced crew. This is the best on offer, and it’s a beautiful, clean session for those who can handle it.

After that, it’s a sad story. From Wednesday afternoon right through to the end of the following week, the conditions are messy. You’ll see onshore winds, light rain, and a lot of small, weak swell. The morning of Monday the 14th offers a glimmer with a glassy 4ft swell, but it’s just ordinary. The afternoon of the 14th and Tuesday the 15th morning are better, with glassy or clean conditions on a 4ft to 4ft swell, but it’s still not firing. This is a real dry spell, nearly a week of nothing to write home about.

Now, if you can wait, the second week gets interesting. The morning of Friday the 18th sees a long-period groundswell arrive, 18 seconds, but it’s only 2ft. The energy is a weak 342. The real pulse comes that afternoon: a 4ft swell from the SE with a 16-second period, under glassy conditions. The energy jumps to 761 (moderate). This is a promising but less certain window.

The real heavyweight stuff shows up on Saturday the 19th. The morning has an 8ft swell from the SSE, but it’s onshore. The afternoon is similar with a 7ft swell. The energy is enormous (4469 and 4065), but the onshore wind kills it. Sunday the 20th is the big one. The morning has a 10ft SSE swell with a clean cross-offshore wind. The afternoon is even better: glassy winds and a 10ft swell from the south. The energy is through the roof (4855 and 4495). This is an expert-only session, but it’s going to be a classic.

Monday the 21st is for the crazy ones. The swell jumps to 13ft and 15ft from the south, with onshore winds. The energy is a staggering 10394 and 12081. It’s a beast, but messy. Tuesday the 22nd is a write-off – gale-force winds and a 15ft swell. Wednesday the 23rd is simply too big, with a 25ft SE swell. The energy is 14400 and 21047. This is not for surfing, it’s for survival.

Finally, the week wraps up on Thursday the 24th with a calm, glassy morning and a clean 4ft swell from the south. The energy is a manageable 352. A nice, easy finisher to a wild ride.

So, the bottom line: the best wave of the whole forecast is Wednesday morning, the 9th, if you’re an expert. The next best is Sunday the 20th, but it’s huge and only for the most experienced. The rest is a waiting game.

Rusty.

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