Takegashima Surf Forecast and Surf Report

We’re looking at a drawn-out period for Takegashima, with a real slow start and then a massive pulse of energy way out there. The first several days are nothing to write home about, with small, weak swell and average conditions. You’ll be waiting a while for anything meaningful. The water temp is sittin’ around 28°, which is pretty much normal for this time of year, so no surprises there.

Saturday the 12th kicks things off with a tiny 0.7m south swell at 7 seconds, and the combined energy is a measly 104. Just weak and small. Wind is light onshore in the morning, but the afternoon goes glassy – still, it's not goin' to get you excited. Sunday the 13th is similar, small 0.4m to 0.6m stuff, period up to 9 seconds, and glassy or clean conditions, but the energy is still weak (60-96). Monday the 14th sees a slight bump to 1.0m, period at 8 seconds, and energy creepin' into the moderate range at 151-153. Still, it's ordinary. Not recommended for a paddle.

The first real highlight comes on Tuesday the 15th. Morning is glassy with a 1.1m SE swell, period 9 seconds, and energy at 216. Conditions are clean, and the break itself is consistent and exposed. This is the first day you’d actually think about paddling out for a few fun ones. Wednesday the 16th drops back off, with cross-onshore wind and poor conditions, then stays small and poor through Thursday the 17th. There’s a big gap of poor surf here.

Now, Friday the 18th is interesting but not for beginners. We’ve got a 2.0m E swell, period 8 seconds, and energy jumps to 770 – that's moderate. But the wind is cross-onshore, and the surf quality is only marginal. This one’s for experienced locals only. Saturday the 19th is when things get serious. The morning shows 3.5m from ESE at 15 seconds – a very long period groundswell – and energy is a massive 4990. The afternoon blows up to 5.0m from ESE, 14 seconds, with energy at 16439. That’s strong to very strong wave energy. The comment says it’s too big for this break, and with wind up to 20 km/h cross-onshore and choppy, this is not a paddle. This looks far more like a kite-surfing session, if you’re into that. Definitely experts-only, if anyone even tries.

Sunday the 20th still holds big energy (3785 to 3408) with 3.5m to 2.3m swell, but onshore wind and marginal conditions. Not a good call.

Then we get to the absolute standout. Monday the 21st. The morning is glassy with a 3.5m S swell at 12 seconds, energy at 4797. The afternoon is where it peaks: a 4.5m S swell at 13 seconds, energy at a massive 8437. The wind is light and cross-offshore, the comment says exceptional for expert surfers. This is the best on offer across the whole outlook. It’s a reef break, so that long-period groundswell will be lining up nicely. It’s exposed, consistent, and the direction is straight from the south – right in the wheelhouse. Keep in mind, this is over a week out, so it’s a promising call but not locked in. It’ll be big and powerful, and only for the experienced crew.

Tuesday the 22nd is still good but smaller, with a 2.3m SSE swell, glassy morning, and clean conditions. After that, it drops off again. From Wednesday the 23rd onward, we see a return to poor, small surf, with weak energy and onshore wind. The only blink of life is Thursday the 24th afternoon, with a glassy 1.8m E swell and energy at 725 – that’s a decent little session, but by then it’s the tail end.

So overall, the first week is a slog. The real action is the big South swell around the 21st, and the days just before and after that. If you can wait it out, that Monday the 21st afternoon is the one to circle. Otherwise, there’s not much else to get excited about.

Rusty.

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