Takegashima Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s look at what we’ve got on the cards. It’s a mixed bag right now, with some proper size showing up for a couple of days, but the wind is going to work against us for most of it. We’re looking at a bit of a barren spell after that.

So, right off the bat, we’ve got a couple of weeks ahead, and for the first four days, don't even bother. Wednesday the 16th through to Thursday the 17th are flat and blown out. The swell is barely a ripple and the onshore wind will just mess up what little there is.

Things start to perk up on Friday the 18th. Takegashima (Tokushima) will see some 4.6ft swell from the ESE, and with a period of 9 seconds, it's just a standard windswell. The wind is looking light and cross-shore though, so it might be ridable but it's nothing to write home about. The wave energy is still moderate (396).

Then we get into the weekend, and the ocean wakes up. Saturday the 19th and Sunday the 20th see some serious size building. We're talking 8.2ft to 9.8ft of ESE to SE swell. That’s big, expert-only territory – way too much for beginners. But here's the rub: the wind is cross-onshore and stiff, so it’s going to be choppy and messy. The wave energy is cranking (2804 on Saturday morning), but it's for Kite Surfers, not paddle surfers. The set-up looks way more interesting for the kite crew.

Monday the 21st is the peak of this event, possibly the best on offer. Takegashima will see the biggest swell of the run with 11.5ft from the ESE (combined energy 5036). The period is 14 seconds, which is long-period groundswell. That will bring a lot of power, but it also means it might be a bit unruly on this reef. It's still cross-onshore winds, but it's a notch better than the weekend. This is a solid call for experienced surfers only if they can handle the messy conditions.

After that, it all drops away. From Tuesday the 22nd all the way through to Sunday the 28th, we’re looking at a major gap. The swell just falls off a cliff, dropping to 1.3ft and 1ft. There’s nothing on offer for over a week. You'll find some tiny, weak waves on the 25th (2ft with glassy conditions), but it’s just not enough.

Right at the tail end, we get a little glimmer. On Monday the 28th, there’s a pulse of 6.6ft ESE swell, but the wind is onshore with a risk of storms. Not great.

The last day in the window, Tuesday the 29th of September, actually brings the one standout moment. Takegashima will have 3ft from the SSE, but the wind is glassy in the morning and offshore in the afternoon. That is a major positive. The period is a short 8 seconds, and the energy is moderate (200), but for clean, clean surf on a quiet day, that’s your ticket. It's the one session worth lining up for.

Water temps are about average for the time of year at this spot, nothing wild to report.

Stay patient, lads. We’ve got a big, messy swell and then a long dry spell. Keep an eye on that Tuesday the 29th for the cleanest little session.

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