Takegashima Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, it’s Rusty here. We’ve got a wild 16-day window shaping up for Takegashima, and it’s a real tale of two halves. The week kicks off with some clean but modest surf, then absolutely detonates mid-week with a massive pulse that will have the experts frothing – but it’s going to be way too much for most of us. Then it fades just as fast as it came, leaving a long, flat stretch that’ll have you checking the cams out of habit more than hope.

Water temp is sitting at 84°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year – you’ll feel that when you first paddle out, but it's nothing crazy.

Sunday morning (Aug 2) is where we start. There’s a small, glassy 0.5 ft ESE swell pushing through with an 18-second period. It’s weak energy (359) but the conditions are clean as a whistle with a slight air. This is a slow, lined-up reef wave – not a throwaway, but you’ll be working for it. The swell direction is a bit off the optimum for this spot, so it’s more about the glassy surface than the push.

The afternoon (Aug 2) picks up a bit – 3.6 ft ESE at 16 seconds. Still clean as glass, and the energy jumps to 648, which is moderate. This is a better session, and with the light NE air, it’s your best bet for a fun, cruisy surf before the chaos hits.

Monday (Aug 3) builds. Morning sees 4.9 ft ESE at 16 seconds, but the wind swings E at 10 km/h, making it cross-on. It’s a bit lumpy, and the energy (1258) is solid but the surface isn’t doing it any favours. The afternoon gets messier – 5.6 ft ESE with a SE crosswind and a risk of thunderstorms. At this point, it’s not surf you’re paddling out for unless you’re desperate.

Tuesday (Aug 4) is where the magic happens. Morning: 8.2 ft ESE at 16 seconds, with a glassy surface. The energy is cranking at 4561 – strong. This is excellent surf for experienced heads. The direction is still ESE, which isn’t the optimum (E), but the size and clean face make up for it. The afternoon is the standout of the whole window: 9.8 ft ESE at 17 seconds, clean with a light cross-off breeze. Energy hits 6411, and the comment says it all – exceptional for experts. This is the one to circle. This is big, powerful reef surf, and it will be pushing well overhead. Beginners, stay on the beach.

Wednesday (Aug 5) is a different beast. The swell jumps to 16.4 ft ESE by morning, and even though the wind is light cross-on, the sheer size is freighting. The energy is monstrous (13203). This is already too big for the break, and the afternoon gets worse – 16.4 ft SE with a stronger cross-on breeze and massive energy (15148). The note says it’s just too big. This is expert-only territory, and even then, you’re looking at a washing machine. I'd be watching from the cliff.

Thursday (Aug 6) is pure insanity. 21.3 ft swell in the morning, onshore wind at 25 km/h, and energy is off the charts (27340). The afternoon is just as big with a cross-on wind. This is not surfable for paddling – it’s a survival mission. Honestly, at this size and with that wind, the setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing. The risk of injury is high, and you won’t get a wave – you’ll just get worked.

Friday (Aug 7) holds at 23 ft in the morning with onshore winds, and 19.7 ft in the afternoon. The energy is immense. Again, way too big. The crowd factor is irrelevant because nobody in their right mind is out there.

Saturday (Aug 8) drops to 16.4 ft and 14.8 ft, but it’s raining, cross-on, and choppy. The quality is gone. Still huge, still dangerous, and the conditions are poor.

Sunday (Aug 9) sees the swell crash down to 9.8 ft, but the period drops to a short 9 seconds, and it’s messy with 30 km/h onshore winds. Poor surf.

Monday (Aug 10) – 7.5 ft ESE, but again short period (9s) and onshore winds. Poor conditions.

Then we hit the long flat spell. Tuesday (Aug 11) – here’s a little late burst:

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