Takegashima Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, folks, Rusty here with the lowdown on Takegashima. We got a real tale of two fortnights coming up, so listen close.

The water’s sitting at 76°, which is a touch cooler than usual for this time of year, so you might want a little extra rubber.

The week kicks off real nice. Tuesday morning the 7th is glassy, with a clean 3ft SE swell, a period of 12 seconds, and the combined energy is a moderate 817. This is a reef break for the advanced crew, and it’ll be clean as a whistle. That afternoon, the period jumps to 16 seconds, and the energy bumps up to 1226. It’s still glassy, with the swell nudging 4ft. This is the pick of the early days – smooth, long-period groundswell, and you’ll have the place to yourself, but it’s only for those who know the line-up.

Wednesday and Thursday the 8th and 9th get a bit more serious, with swell heights climbing from 7ft to 10ft. The wind goes cross-shore, so it’s not glassy, but it’s clean enough. The energy is gettin’ heavy, hitting 5775 by Thursday afternoon. This is powerful water. The period is still long (15-16 seconds), so it’s gonna be a freight train on the reef. This is strictly expert territory.

But the real standout, the one that’s got me hyped, is Friday the 10th. The afternoon session is firing. We’re lookin’ at a 13ft S swell (that’s over 8ft, so experts only) with a 17-second period, smashin’ in with a combined energy of 8317. That’s a serious, strong pulse. And the wind? It’s a clean cross-off breeze. That’s the recipe for a perfect, thick, barreling reef wave. It’s the top of the forecast for a reason.

Then there’s a dead zone. Saturday the 11th is a total flat spell, no surf at all. That’s a 24-hour gap where you’re better off doing something else.

Sunday the 12th and Monday the 13th bring a much smaller reset, with 4ft to 4ft swells, glassy or clean winds, and a moderate 377 to 426 combined energy. It’s a fun little window, but nothing compared to the week prior.

The whole middle of the second week, from the 14th to the 16th, is tiny. Swells are 1ft to 3ft, and the energy is low, under 200. You might get a little waist-high ripple, but it’s ordinary.

Friday the 17th shows a bit of a pulse again, with 7ft ESE swell, but the period is short (8 seconds) and the wind is cross-off in the afternoon, giving it a combined energy of 698. It’s surfable, but it’s not the same quality.

The weekend of the 18th and 19th is messy. The swell is up to 10ft, but the period is a disappointing 7-8 seconds, and the energy is weak for the size. It’s a bit of a windswell mess. Glassy conditions on Sunday the 19th with 6ft to 7ft will make it look okay, but it’s not gonna have the punch.

The 20th and 21st are small again. However, Monday the 21st afternoon has a surprise: a 5ft SSE swell with a 15-second period, energy of 1210, and clean conditions. That’s a nice, long-period groundswell sneaking in.

Finally, the 22nd delivers the last notable pulse. Wednesday morning has a 7ft S swell, 14-second period, with glassy winds and a combined energy of 1735. The afternoon is clean offshore at 7ft with a 13-second period. This is the second standout window. It’s a great, clean, long-period groundswell for the advanced crew, and it’s a solid way to finish the 16-day run.

Summary: If you’re an expert, you live for next Friday the 10th. That’s the one. The early part of the second week (21st-22nd) is also a solid, promising option. The rest is either small, messy, or full of flat spells. Don’t bother with the middle of the second week.

Rusty.

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