Takegashima Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the table for Takegashima. This is a reef break for the advanced crew, and it’s consistent, but the next few days are looking pretty grim. There’s a bit of a rough patch to get through before we see any real quality.

Right off the bat, we’re in a bit of a dry spell. The first decent sniff of surf doesn’t come until Thursday afternoon, September 3rd, with a small 4ft SSE swell at 10 seconds. But that’s a tough one – the wind is a light cross-onshore at 3 mph and there’s a risk of thunderstorms. The water is sitting at a warm 85°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year. The combined energy is weak (342), making it a marginal call at best. Honestly, you’d be better off waiting.

The next few days are a write-off. Friday the 4th through to Wednesday the 9th are a mess of onshore and cross-onshore winds, with wind speeds picking up to 15 mph. The swell tries to build, but it’s all messy. There’s a big pulse on Sunday afternoon the 6th, with a 12ft E swell at 10 seconds, but the wind is a cross-onshore at 9 mph. The energy is massive (3260), but it’s too rough and too big for anyone but the most experienced. That’s a kite-surfing day if I’ve ever seen one. The conditions are poor, and the scores are low.

Now, we start to see a glimmer of hope. Friday morning, September 11th is where it gets interesting. The wind drops to glassy – dead calm, 3 mph from the SE. The swell is a modest 4ft from the SSE at 8 seconds (short period, so not the best shape), but with glassy conditions, that’s clean. The energy is weak (205), but it’s surfable and the best we’ve seen in a week.

The real standout, the one you’ve been waiting for, is Tuesday, September 15th. The morning session is a beauty: glassy winds from the SSE at 3 mph, with a 6ft ESE swell at 8 seconds. The combined energy is moderate (697), and the conditions are expected to be very good. That afternoon, the wind shifts to a light cross-offshore from the SSE, the swell drops slightly to 5ft, and it’s clean. This is the best on offer in the entire 16-day window. The swell direction is from the ESE, which is a good match for this spot’s optimum E direction. It’s a bit short period, but with that wind, it’ll be a fun, hollow wave on the reef. Get out there.

The following days are a mixed bag. Wednesday the 16th has glassy 3ft waves, but it’s ordinary. Thursday the 17th has a tiny 3ft swell with a gentle offshore wind from the SW, which is clean but small. The energy is very weak (80). Then Friday morning, September 18th brings another glassy morning with a 4ft S swell at 9 seconds. The wind is dead calm from the NNE. It’s not the size of the 15th, but it’s clean and worth a paddle.

So, to sum it up: the first week is a bust. The clear winner is the 15th of September. If you can only get out once, make it that Tuesday morning. The 11th and the 18th are decent fallbacks if you’re desperate for a glassy session. Keep an eye on the long-range – the 15th is a bit of a way out, so it’s promising but not locked in yet.

Rusty out.

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