Takegashima Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it.

We’ve got a real slow burner on our hands for the next week and a half at Takegashima. For the first nine days, from Wednesday the 15th of July right through to the 23rd, it’s a flat spell. The swell is tiny, coming in at a measly 1ft to 1ft, with combined energy barely cracking 46 (weak). The forecast is calling it "poor surf conditions" across the board, and there’s no way around it — there’s just nothing to ride. That’s a solid nine-day gap with no recommendations.

The winds stay light and often glassy or offshore during that stretch, which is a tease, but with no power behind the swell, it’s just a calm sea.

Things start to stir on Friday the 24th of July. The swell picks up just a touch to 1.0ft, but the period jumps to 18 seconds. That’s a very long-period groundswell, and combined energy hits 80 (weak). It’s still small, but the clean offshore wind from the SW makes it surfable. The real story starts building from Saturday the 25th. The swell holds at 1ft, but the period stays around 16 seconds, and the energy climbs to 139 (moderate). By Sunday the 26th, it’s 1ft at 15 seconds with 140 (moderate) energy.

Now, the standout window is the final few days of the forecast. Monday the 27th of July gets a bit more push with 2ft to 3ft, period around 10 seconds, and energy up to 193 (moderate). But the real highlight is Tuesday the 28th. We’re looking at 3ft swell from the ESE with a 13-14 second period, combined energy hitting 434 (moderate-strong), and a clean offshore wind from the SSW. That’s "expect good surf conditions" turning into "very good." Then Wednesday the 29th is the absolute peak. Morning brings 5ft at 14 seconds with 857 (strong) energy and offshore wind. The afternoon serves up 4ft at a massive 20-second period and 1537 (strong) energy, with moderate offshore wind. That’s excellent for experienced surfers. Thursday the 30th of July morning is the cherry on top: 7ft at 18 seconds, with glassy conditions and a combined energy of 4852 (very strong). That’s a serious swell, but it’s big enough (7ft) that it’s really only for the experts. The period is very long, so it’s going to be walled up and fast, typical of a reef setup like Takegashima. The optimum swell direction for this spot is E, and we’re getting ESE to SE, which is close enough to work.

The crowd factor at Takegashima is "sometimes" busy, so on those standout days, expect company. The water temp is about average for the time of year, no major anomaly flagged.

For the first week, it’s a total write-off. The second week shows promise, with Tuesday the 28th and Wednesday the 29th being the best on offer. Thursday the 30th is a bomb but only for the brave.

Rusty.

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