Takegashima Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, folks – Rusty here. Grab a seat, ’cause this is a wild one. The surf this week is a total mixed bag with one absolute monster of a day on the horizon, but you’ll have to be patient and pick your moments. The forecast starts with a huge, glassy, very long-period groundswell on Saturday the 24th of July that’s going to demand respect.

First up, the main event. The standout is at Takegashima, a reef break that’s advanced-only. On Saturday the 24th of July, we’ve got two stunners. The morning session is a beast: 23 ft of SSE swell with a very long 14-second period, combined wave energy is absolutely pumping at (22847). It’s glassy with no wind – sheets of water, perfect conditions for the crew who can handle it. But listen, at that size, it’s strictly for the experts; beginners, stay on the beach. The afternoon is still massive at 15 ft, SSE swell, 12-second period, and still glassy from the WNW. Combined energy at (13197) – it’s a jaw-dropper. The wind is zero, so expect clean, grinding lines over the reef. It’s a rare and special day if you’ve got the skill and nerve.

Now, leading up to that, expect a lot of small, ordinary surf. The week starts on Saturday the 11th of July morning with a decent but tricky pulse: 13 ft of S swell at a very long 17 seconds, combined energy (8927). The wind is a cross-off from the SSE at 10 km/h, so it’s clean and rideable for experts, but that long period might make the reef a bit straight and shifty. That morning’s your only real wave window for days. After that, the surf drops right off. From Saturday the 11th afternoon all the way through Friday the 24th morning, it’s mostly flat or ankle-snappers below 3 ft, with poor conditions. There’s a long dry spell here of about 12 days where you’re really not getting much, bar a tiny uptick on Wednesday the 22nd afternoon with 3 ft SE swell at 8 seconds, combined energy (143), which is barely worth a paddle.

Then, after the big swell on the 24th, it settles back to small stuff. Sunday the 25th afternoon brings a fun little pulse: 5 ft from the S at 10 seconds, combined energy (526), with a glassy 5 km/h WNW breeze. That’ll be clean, punchy waves for the afternoon session, but it’s nothing compared to the day before. The water temp is about average for the time of year – no wild anomaly to note, just your usual summer feels.

Crowds at Takegashima? They’re “sometimes” a factor, so on that massive Saturday the 24th, with the best conditions of the whole run, you can bet there’ll be a pack of keen locals out there. It’s a reef, so the long-period groundswell will wrap in beautifully, but that early morning 23 ft set is proper heavy. Respect the place.

That Saturday the 24th of July morning and afternoon is the clear highlight. The rest of the window is mostly a waiting game. If you’re not an expert, sit this one out or bring a kite – that big day will have some serious wind potential.

Stay safe, score one for me.

Rusty

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