Takegashima Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, surfers, Rusty here. Let’s talk about the waves on the calendar for the next couple of weeks.

The pattern for this stretch is all about waiting for the good stuff. We’ve got a lot of small, junky days to wade through before the ocean finally wakes up and delivers some real swell. The start of the period is pretty meh, but it gets seriously interesting around the 25th. Keep that in mind.

Kicking things off at Takegashima (reef), this Friday afternoon the winds are a bit messy with a cross-off breeze, but the ocean’s got some weak 2ft south swell coming in at 9 seconds. The energy is weak, clocking in at 109, and it’s just ordinary out there. You’ll get a wave, but it won't be a pretty one.

Saturday morning is looking glassy with 2ft of south swell, 10-second period, and a bit more push with 140 combined energy. It's surfable but still very ordinary. The water is a warm 83°, which is about average for this time of year. Saturday afternoon, the breeze turns light cross-shore and things get a bit messy.

The weekend gets a little bigger on Sunday, but it's not good. Swell jumps to 5ft but the period craters to 6 seconds. That’s just bumpy, wind-blown junk, especially with the cross-onshore winds. The energy is moderate at 286, but it's not going to be a fun wave to ride. A lot of chop and not a lot of form.

Monday and Tuesday: Monday is still small and mixed up, not worth getting excited about. But Tuesday, the 18th, is where we get our first taste of proper conditions. The morning is glassy with a clean 3ft east swell and solid 252 energy. Tuesday afternoon, the wind goes light cross-off, the swell picks up slightly to 4ft, and it’s clean. This is a fun, albeit small, day to get the board wet.

After Tuesday, things flatline. Wednesday through the following week is a mess of small, wind-affected waves. There’s a stretch from Wednesday the 19th all the way through to Monday the 24th where the pickings are extremely slim. We’re talking about a real gap of poor options. If you're keen, you might find a sneaky clean wave on Friday afternoon the 21st with 3ft south swell and light cross-off winds, but it's not a standout.

Then, the ocean switches on. Monday the 24th is promising. The morning is glassy with a 2ft south-east swell, but the period is a massive 16 seconds. That’s long-period groundswell, and the energy is already a solid 365. The afternoon is even better: 4ft at 15 seconds and clean with a light cross-off breeze. This is the start of the good run.

The standout of the whole period, though, is Tuesday the 25th. The morning sees 5ft of east-southeast swell with a 14-second period and glassy conditions. The energy jumps to a strong 843. This is a proper solid groundswell, and it’s clean. The afternoon is just as good, with 5ft at 13 seconds and 877 energy, still glassy. This is the day to clear your schedule. It will be a proper, powerful reef wave. The size is getting bigger, but it's still in the workable zone for experienced surfers. This is the one.

Wednesday the 26th is bigger, pushing 6ft, but the wind turns onshore in the morning and the conditions get messier. It's still got a lot of energy at 1165, but that onshore wind is a killer. The afternoon backs down a touch to 5ft but that cross-onshore breeze will make it lumpy. It’s a step down from Tuesday, and the wind is a problem.

After Wednesday, the swell backs right down again. Thursday the 27th has a small, clean 3ft pulse, and then the energy just fades out for the rest of the period back to small, weak surf. The long-range window looks like it's done after that.

So, here’s the deal. If you can only pick one day, make it the 25th. That’s the standout. The 24th is a strong warm-up, and Tuesday the 18th is a fun, small-wave option. The rest of the time, you’re looking at small, messy conditions. Keep the faith, though, because when the good swells come through here, they’re worth the wait.

Rusty out.

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