Takegashima Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into this. The 16-day window for Takegashima has some proper muscle rolling through, but you gotta pick your moments. The first week is where the real action is, with some huge, powerful groundswell coming in, but a lot of it is simply too big for anyone but the hardcore crew. The second week fades off into small, weak stuff, so don’t sleep on the early days.

Right now, through Sunday the 2nd, we’ve got a solid start. Glassy conditions, clean lines, with an ESE swell averaging 4ft and a long 16-second period. The water is at 84°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year – feels like bathwater. The combined energy is moderate at 683. It’s not the biggest of the window, but it’s the most rideable, quality surf for a standard surfer.

Monday the 3rd sees the swell building to 5ft, with the same long period, but the wind swings cross-on and we get some questionable conditions. Monday afternoon picks up to 6ft but the wind is messy. Not the call.

Tuesday the 4th is where it starts to get serious. Morning sees 8ft ESE swell, still with that 16-second pulse, and combined energy jumping to 4446 – moderate, but punchy. It’s already pushing into expert-only territory though, especially with cross-on wind. Tuesday afternoon climbs to 10ft from ESE, 17-second period, energy at 6021. The wind is light cross-shore, but the size is big. This is for experienced surfers only.

The standout of the whole outlook is Wednesday the 5th. Morning brings a 15ft SE groundswell, 17-second period, and clean offshore wind from the ENE. Combined energy is a massive 11299 – strong. This is heavy, powerful, and lined up perfectly for a reef break. This is not for the faint-hearted, and it’s likely too big for beginners. If you’re advanced and looking for a session, this is the one. The afternoon stays huge at 16ft but the wind turns cross-on so the morning is the clear winner.

Thursday the 6th is just colossal. 21ft swell, 18-second period in the morning, 17-second in the afternoon. Combined energy hits 24428 and 26349 – very strong. The wind is onshore or cross-on, strong, and it’s just too much for a paddle board. Honestly, that setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing. Expert only, and even then, it’s a monster.

Friday the 7th is still huge, 21ft and 20ft with similar energy. Onshore and cross-on wind. Same story – too big, too messy. Stick to the Wednesday window.

From Saturday the 8th, it drops quickly. 15ft in the morning with poor conditions, then 10ft in the afternoon but with a short 9-second period and strong cross-on wind. The quality is gone. This pattern of poor surf, rain squalls, and lumpy wind continues through to Tuesday the 11th. It’s a gap of about four days of no real recommendations.

Wednesday the 12th is the first sign of life again. Morning sees a glassy 2ft S swell, 12-second period, combined energy weak at 244. It’s clean but tiny. Wednesday afternoon improves to 4ft S swell, 12 seconds, with cross-off wind, and the energy picks up to 521. This is surfable but nothing special.

Thursday the 13th morning is clean and glassy again, with 3ft S swell at 11 seconds, weak energy at 253. Nice for a longboard, but not a day to write home about.

Friday the 14th offers similar small, glassy conditions – 3ft and 3ft S swell, weak energy, but clean. Good for a quiet session if you’re desperate.

After that, from Saturday the 15th through the end of the outlook on Monday the 17th, it’s mostly flat to small, with onshore winds and poor conditions. The combined energy drops below 200 most of the time. Not worth the paddle.

So, the true standout is Wednesday the 5th, morning session at Takegashima – that 15ft SE groundswell with a 17-second period and clean offshore wind is the best on offer. It’s a proper, heavy reef break wave. The second-best window is the initial glassy 4ft on Sunday the 2nd – clean, fun, and much more accessible. After the first week, it’s pretty much a write-off for quality surf.

Rusty.

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