Takegashima Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s break this down in feet and miles per hour for you.

For Takegashima, it’s an advanced reef break, exposed and likes east swell. It’s consistent, but mate, the next week and a half is flat-lining for paddle surfing. The swell energy is weak to moderate, and we’ve got onshore winds and rain messing up the surface. Big gap of poor conditions from the start, so don’t bother for a while.

Monday the 7th and Tuesday the 8th are total washouts – poor surf, onshore wind, rain. Combined swell energy around 560 to 433 (moderate) but conditions are rubbish. Wednesday the 9th is marginal with a 7ft SSE swell, period 9 seconds, but cross-shore winds and rain make it ugly.

Thursday the 10th through Saturday the 12th stay poor or very ordinary. Friday the 11th morning has a tiny window with glassy conditions and a 3ft SSE swell – period is short at 7 seconds, so it’s weak. Combined energy is only 134 (weak). You might snag a couple of close-outs if you’re keen.

Sunday the 13th morning is glassy again with a 3ft SE swell, but energy is still low at 179 (weak). Afternoon picks up to 4ft ESE, but cross-onshore wind chops it up.

Now, the real standout is way off. Tuesday the 22nd morning is where it gets good. Glassy, calm morning with a tiny 2ft swell, but the period is a massive 19 seconds – that’s deep groundswell. The combined energy is 362 (moderate), which is punchy for that size. At Takegashima reef, that long-period swell will line up and offer some really powerful, clean waves. Swell direction is SE, not the ideal E, but with that period, it’ll wrap in fine. This is the best wave on the horizon, but it’s more than a week away, so keep tabs on it – long-range forecasts can shift.

Between now and then, there are long dry spells of poor to ordinary surf, especially from the 10th through the 16th. Water temp? No anomaly given, so it’s average for the time of year.

Rusty.

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