Takegashima Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cooking at Takegashima.

First up, we’ve got a bit of a slow start. The coming days are pretty flat and ordinary. Tuesday the 28th through to the end of July are all small, weak, and uninspiring – think knee-high dribblers with next to no energy. There’s a few glassy moments early on Wednesday the 29th morning, but the swell is just too tiny to get excited about. You’d be paddling for nothing.

Then we hit a bit of a dead zone. From Thursday the 30th right through to Sunday the 2nd of August, it’s mostly poor conditions with tiny swell and weak energy readings, mostly under 100 (combined energy of all swells directed here). There’s a slight bump on the Sunday afternoon with a 3ft swell from the ESE, but the period is 16 seconds and the wind is cross-shore, so it’s not really doing much for this reef.

Now, here’s where it gets interesting. Monday the 3rd of August morning is the real standout. We’ve got a 5ft ESE groundswell with a 15-second period, glassy conditions, and a reading of 939 (combined energy of all swells directed here). That’s clean, solid, and lined up. The swell direction from the ESE is a good match for the optimum E direction. This is the best on offer. The water is sitting at 83°, which is just a touch warmer than usual for this time of year, so it’s a pleasant surprise.

From Monday afternoon into Tuesday the 4th, the swell builds quickly. By Tuesday morning it’s 8ft with a very long 18-second period, and the energy is pumping at 4480 (combined energy of all swells directed here). That’s serious groundswell. However, it’s cross-shore winds and risk of thunderstorms, so it’s going to be a bit lumpy and tricky. This is expert territory – the size is solid, the period is long, and the reef will be handling that energy. Not for the faint-hearted.

Wednesday the 5th of August gets out of control. We’re looking at 16ft to 18ft ESE swells, still with that 18-second period, but the wind is onshore and strong. The energy readings are massive, over 16,000 (combined energy of all swells directed here). This is too big for this break, even for the hardcore crew. The setup is more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing right now.

The following days from Thursday the 6th through to Wednesday the 12th of August are a write-off. Strong onshore winds, messy conditions, and the swell is either too big or too junky. There’s a brief glimmer on Monday the 10th of August afternoon with a 6ft SE swell and glassy conditions, but the period is a short 7 seconds, so the shape won’t be there. It’s a long way out, so keep an eye on it, but don’t hold your breath.

So, the one true standout is Monday the 3rd of August morning. Glassy, clean, solid groundswell. That’s your window.

Rusty.

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