Takegashima Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, listen up. Rusty here.

First thing you need to know: the start of this forecast run is a bit of a write-off. We’ve got a few days of slop and messy conditions before anything worthwhile shows up. The water temp is sitting at 84°F, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, so the boardies are the go.

We’re looking at Takegashima, a reef setup that’s an advanced-only wave. It’s exposed to the swell, so it catches what’s out there, but the early week is a grind. The first real sniff of something decent comes on Wednesday, September 9th. The morning shows a 7 ft swell from the SSE, with a light WNW cross-offshore breeze. That’s clean. The energy is moderate (626), and the period is a workable 9 seconds. This is the best window early on, but it’s short-lived as the afternoon turns to junk.

After that, we get a long, flat spell. From Thursday the 10th right through to the middle of the following week, it’s small and ordinary. Winds are mostly onshore or glassy, but the swell just isn’t there. The biggest lull is from the 10th to the 15th of September, with hardly anything worth paddling out for. There’s a brief moment on the morning of Wednesday, September 16th where the wind goes glassy and the swell picks up to 6 ft from the ESE, with moderate energy (321). That’s a clean, glassy morning, but it’s a short window before the afternoon mixes up.

Now, the real standout is the very end of the run. Look at Monday, September 22nd. This is a serious event. We’ve got an 8 ft swell from the ESE, but the period is a massive 19 seconds. That’s very long-period groundswell, and the energy numbers are through the roof (4539). This is expert territory. At 8 ft and that period, it’s going to be solid, powerful, and wonky at a beach break, but Takegashima is a reef. It’ll be a freight train. The wind is a light NE onshore, so it’s not perfect, but the sheer size and power will make it a session for the brave. The afternoon (22nd) holds similar size at 8 ft and 18 seconds (4159 energy). This is the standout of the whole 16 days, but it’s a long way out and the wind could change. The earlier bigger swell on the 14th (6 ft, 10 seconds, 1100 energy) is a decent second option, but the wind is cross-onshore, so it’s not as clean.

The 21st of September also has a big long-period swell (3 ft ESE, 19 seconds, 1143 energy), but the size is small for that period, making it a bit of a tease.

Rusty.

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