Ikumi Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming up for Ikumi Beach. Straight up, the first week is a bit of a struggle. We have a few small windows of surfable waves, but nothing that’ll get your heart pumping. The real standout is a solid pulse of swell that arrives in the second week, but there’s a catch.

The Overall Pattern

We’re looking at a long 16-day window here, but the good stuff doesn’t really start cranking until the 24th of August. The first week is mostly a write-off with tiny, choppy, or onshore conditions. The water temp is sitting at a warm 83°, which is about average for the time of year, so you won’t need a thick wetsuit.

The Early Days (16th – 23rd August)

Honestly, don’t wet your wetsuit for the first week. From Sunday the 16th right through to the 23rd, it’s a real mixed bag of poor surf. The swell is small, the wind is mostly onshore, and the energy is weak. You’ll see morning swells of just 1 ft to 5 ft, but the wind is ruining it. The one tiny glimmer is on Tuesday the 18th morning, with a 2 ft swell from the ESE and glassy conditions. It’s surfable, but ordinary. The combined energy barely gets into the low hundreds, so it’s limp. The rest of the week is a write-off with rain, thunderstorms, and cross-onshore winds. The swell tries to pick up a bit on the 21st and 22nd, with a 5 ft S swell and a little more energy (539), but the wind is still messy. The 22nd and 23rd morning sessions show a clean, cross-offshore wind, but the swell is only 3 ft to 4 ft. It’s not a standout, just a passable session if you’re desperate.

The Real Standout – The Big Swell Arrives (24th – 31st August)

Hold onto your board, because from the 24th of August, the ocean wakes up. This is your best bet, and it’s a big one. On Monday the 24th morning, Ikumi Beach gets a sweet 6 ft swell from the SE with a very long period of 16 seconds. The combined energy is a massive 1842, and the wind is glassy. This is excellent surf for experienced surfers. The swell direction is a perfect ESE, which matches the break’s optimum. It’s a groundswell with that super long period, so expect proper, well-shaped waves with long lulls between sets. The crowds are often here, so you’ll likely have company.

Tuesday the 25th morning is even better – an 8 ft SE swell, period of 15 seconds, and still glassy. The energy is 2654, and it’s another excellent session for experienced surfers. This is the peak of the good stuff before it gets too big.

The Caveat – Too Big for Most

After the 25th, the swell just keeps building. By the 26th morning, it’s 12 ft from the SSE, and the wind is already cross-onshore. The energy is a staggering 5905, but it’s simply too big for this break. The same goes for the rest of the week. The 27th, 28th, 29th, 30th, and 31st all see swells of 10 ft to 21 ft with energy values in the thousands – even tens of thousands. The wind is clean on some days, but the guidance says it’s too big for Ikumi Beach. This is strictly for experts only, and honestly, it’s more of a tow-in or a look-at-from-the-beach kind of swell. For a beach break like this, with that long period, the waves might be closing out and pretty dangerous.

So, to sum it up: your best window is the morning of the 24th and 25th of August. Glassy, clean, solid groundswell, and perfect for experienced surfers. After that, it’s a monster swell that’s best left alone unless you’re a pro. The first week is a dud. Don’t hold your breath.

Rusty.

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