Ikumi Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, grab a coffee and listen up. This is Rusty, and I’m looking at the next couple of weeks for us. To be straight with you, the first few days are a bit of a write-off. We’ve got a solid, but messy, 7ft swell from the ESE rolling in on Sunday, but it’s arriving with a 12 mph cross-shore wind and heavy rain. The water is a touch warmer than usual at 85°, about 2° above average for this time of year, but that doesn’t help the chop. The combined energy is moderate (779), but the conditions are just too rough to get excited about. It’s a “marginal surf” call, so I’d save your energy.

The real window opens up on Monday the 7th. The morning is your best bet. We’ve got a 6ft SE swell, with a clean cross-offshore breeze from the north at 9 mph. The energy is still moderate (596), but the wind is making it much cleaner. The swell period is a decent 9 seconds, so there’s some shape to it. This is the standout for the first week. The afternoon will turn messy with a cross-on wind, so get it early.

Tuesday the 8th sees a drop in size to 4ft, with a light cross-shore breeze. The energy is moderate (414), but the period drops to 8 seconds, making it a bit weak. It’s an option for the morning if you’re desperate, but not a highlight.

Wednesday the 9th is a tough one. The swell jumps back up to 7ft, and the energy is moderate (694), but there’s a risk of thunderstorms and a light cross-shore wind. The afternoon sees it hit 8ft, which is starting to get into expert territory, especially with a cross-on wind. The combined energy is getting close to strong (978), but the conditions are still “marginal.” This setup is more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

The best of the whole run, by a long shot, is Saturday the 19th. After a real dry spell, the morning brings a 4ft S swell, glassy conditions with a light offshore from the northwest, and the energy is moderate (559). The period is a solid 9 seconds. This is clean, lined up, and the best you’ll see in the whole 16-day window. The afternoon stays glassy with a 4ft S swell, but the period drops to 8 seconds. It’s still a good session, but the morning is the standout.

There’s a long gap between the 10th and the 19th where the surf is small, weak, or messy. The wave energy drops to weak values (under 100) for a few days, and the winds are mostly cross-on. It’s a stretch of “poor” or “marginal” calls. The 14th (Monday) afternoon shows a spike in energy to 1212 (strong) with a 7ft ESE swell, but the wind is a light cross-on, and the period is 10 seconds. It’s a “marginal” call, so it’s a gamble. The 16th (Wednesday) morning is glassy but only 3ft, so it’s a grovel session.

The 18th (Friday) afternoon shapes up nicely with a 4ft S swell and a clean cross-offshore breeze. The combined energy is moderate (363). It’s a solid option for the end of the week.

So, to boil it down: You’re looking at Monday the 7th morning for the first decent window, and then Saturday the 19th morning is the absolute best of the bunch. That’s the one to circle on the calendar. For the rest, keep your expectations low, and always check the wind before you paddle out.

Catch you in the lineup.
Rusty.

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