Ikumi Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's talk about what's coming up for Ikumi Beach. This stretch is an inconsistent, exposed beginner spot, and it's a slow start with a long wait. For the first several days, we are looking at a real struggle. The water temp is sitting at 83°F which is about normal for this time of year.

We kick off on Thursday, September 10th with nothing to write home about. Tiny, weak SSE swell of 3ft and a short period of 8 seconds, combined with a messy cross-shore wind. Total energy is weak at 196. It's a write-off.

Friday the 11th brings a glimmer. The morning shows a glassy 3ft SSE swell, but still a short 8 second period and very ordinary conditions. It's a 1 out of 10 situation. The afternoon turns to junk with a cross-onshore breeze.

Saturday and Sunday are more of the same struggle. Small swell, poor winds, and the energy stays weak, dipping as low as 52 on Sunday morning. Not worth the paddle.

Monday, September 14th, things start to turn. The morning is glassy with a 4ft SE swell at 9 seconds, and it feels a little better. The afternoon looks even better - flat calm, glassy, and the energy is picking up to 202. This is the first real chance for a clean session, even if the waves are small.

Tuesday the 15th is the standout of this whole first week. The morning delivers 4ft SE swell at 9 seconds with glassy conditions, and the energy jumps to 260. The afternoon holds similar quality with 4ft and glassy conditions. This is as good as it gets for the first half of the forecast. Clean lines and no wind. Keep your expectations realistic for size though.

Wednesday and Thursday see a drop back to ordinary conditions. The wind and swell just don't cooperate. The energy drops below 200 again.

Now, looking into the second week, this is where it gets wild but not for us. Friday, September 18th, we start seeing a massive jump in period to 16 seconds, meaning a proper groundswell. The swell size climbs to 5ft and then 7ft, with combined energy skyrocketing to 1451 and then 3142. But the wind is onshore or cross-onshore, and the wave comment warns of marginal or questionable conditions. It's too much for a beginner spot.

From Saturday the 19th all the way through Tuesday the 22nd, the swell goes ballistic, hitting 30ft on Tuesday morning with an insane energy reading of 34458. The comments say it all: the swell is predicted to be too big for this break. This is expert-only territory, and honestly, even for experts, the wind and tide aren't aligning. For the average surfer, this is a stay-on-the-beach day.

By Wednesday the 23rd, the swell crashes hard and the wind switches to a near gale from the SW at 37 mph. The ocean will be a clean but angry mess, probably more interesting for kite surfers than paddle surfers.

The last few days, September 24th and 25th, fizzle out with tiny, weak swell and poor wind again.

So, the bottom line: The best you'll get is Tuesday, September 15th. Glassy conditions, a clean 4ft SE swell. It's not big, but it's the most rideable and pleasant session in this 16-day run. Everything else is either too small and weak, or too big and messy.

Rusty.

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