Ikumi Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's take a long look at what's coming up for Ikumi Beach. We've got a bit of a slow start, but the end of the run is looking promising.

Right now, we're in a quiet patch. The first real chance for a wave is Monday afternoon, 6th July. It’s small, maybe 3 ft from the SE, but the wind goes glassy, which is a huge bonus. The water temp is 76°, which is a bit colder than we’d normally expect for this time of year. Monday morning is a write-off with risk of thunderstorms and a cross breeze.

Tuesday the 7th starts off with the best conditions we'll see for a few days. Tuesday morning is glassy offshore wind (ESE at 3 mph) with a 3 ft, 15-second SE groundswell. The combined energy is moderate (621), and the glassy conditions will make for clean, fun little waves. This is your window for a longboard or a fish. Tuesday afternoon the wind switches cross-onshore and the quality drops right off.

Then things get heavy. From Wednesday the 8th through to Saturday the 11th, we've got serious size rolling in. Wednesday morning is already 8 ft from the SE with a 17-second period, but it’s accompanied by onshore wind and messy. By Thursday the 9th, it's 10 ft from the SSE, and by Friday the 10th we're looking at 13 ft from the S with a massive combined energy of 10553. The comments say it’s too big for this break, and I have to agree. This is expert-only territory, and even then, it's going to be a washing machine. The ESE wind keeps it onshore and lumpy. This stretch is not one for the average punter—if you're into kiting, maybe it’s interesting, but for a paddle, it’s a pass.

We get a breather on Sunday the 12th. Sunday morning sees the swell dropping to 8 ft from the SSW with glassy conditions. This is the real standout of the first week. The wind is flat calm, the wave energy is still strong (2015), and the conditions are clean for experienced surfers. The 14-second period is solid groundswell, so expect some power and long waits, but the quality will be there.

After that, we settle into a long, quiet spell. From Monday the 13th right through to Thursday the 16th, we’re looking at small, inconsistent surf. The swell hangs around 3 ft to 4 ft, mostly from the S and ESE. There are some glassy mornings, but the wave energy is weak (under 300), so don’t expect much more than ankle-to-knee-high dribblers. The second half of July 17th is much the same.

Then, as we push into the third week, things start to look interesting again. Saturday the 18th morning brings a jump to 5 ft from the S with a 12-second period and glassy conditions. The energy picks up to 791. This is a promising sign. Sunday the 19th is the heavyweight of the second week. Sunday morning shows 10 ft from the ESE with a 13-second period and glassy offshore wind. The combined energy is 3320. It’s big, but with the glassy wind and ESE direction, this could be the session to circle on your calendar. Sunday afternoon drops to 8 ft, still clean. Monday the 20th is also clean (7 ft, glassy), but the wind tips cross-onshore in the afternoon and it gets too big again by Tuesday.

So the two true standouts: Tuesday morning the 7th for clean, small waves, and Sunday morning the 19th of July for the big, clean groundswell. That Sunday is the one to keep an eye on as it gets closer. The week in between is mostly a waiting game.

Rusty.

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