Ikumi Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s heading our way at Ikumi Beach.

First up, the brutal truth: we’ve got a long stretch of nothing good on the cards. From now through the 26th of July, it’s flat and frustrated. The swell is tiny, mostly under 1ft, and the energy is weak (combined energy of all swells directed here is in the 20s to 80s). The wind is okay at times, but with next to no waves, it’s just a bunch of pretty, clean puddles. It’s a dry spell, and it’s going to feel like a long one.

Then, things start to look a little interesting. On the 27th of July, Monday morning, we see a pulse of 3ft swell from the south, with a period of 15 seconds. That’s a long period groundswell, so it’ll have some push, but for a beach break it might be a bit too straight. The energy jumps to 921 (moderate). Still, it’s only a 2 out of 10 in my book, and the wind is onshore from the east, so it’s messy. Monday afternoon gets up to 6ft, but the wind is still cross-onshore.

Now, the standout. The 28th of July, Tuesday morning, is the one to circle. We’ve got 7ft of swell from the south, period 14 seconds, and glassy conditions. The energy is strong (2047), and the report says excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers. This is for the big kids only – over 8ft is expert territory, and 7ft is still solid and powerful. The wind is glassy, so it’ll be clean. This is the best option on offer. Tuesday afternoon gets a bit bigger (8ft), but the wind shifts cross-shore and the gloss is gone, so it’s not as good.

The 29th of July, Wednesday, stays in the 7ft to 8ft range, but the wind is cross-shore, so it’s not as clean. The energy is still strong (1500-1898), but it’s a step down.

After the 29th, things go downhill fast. The 30th of July brings strong onshore winds (12-19 mph) and the swell drops. By the 31st, we’re into strong cross-onshore winds and lumpy, blown-out conditions. The 1st of August is a mess of rain and strong wind. The 2nd and 3rd of August have bigger swell (7ft to 8ft), but with onshore winds from the east, it’s going to be a washing machine. The energy is huge (over 3000), but it’s unsurfable for paddle surfing. Honestly, that setup on the 3rd of August with 8ft and onshore wind looks more interesting for kite surfing than anything else.

Water temp is around 82°, which is about 1° above average for this time of year – nothing unusual, just a nice warm tropical bath.

So, to sum it up: suffer through the flat spell until the 27th, then get ready for Tuesday morning the 28th of July. That’s your window. After that, the wind trashes it.

Rusty.

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