Ikumi Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, I’m Rusty. Let’s have a proper look at what’s coming up for Ikumi Beach. This stretch is exposed and can fire when the angle is right, but it’s an inconsistent setup, so a good swell doesn’t always line up. Keep that in mind—this isn’t a break that pumps every week. Right now the water is sitting at 76°F, about 3°F cooler than average for this time of year, so you’ll notice the water’s a bit chillier than usual.

The first few days? Honestly, the surf’s there but it’s messy or too big for the break. Wednesday morning (8 July) has a solid SE swell of 7ft with a very long 15-second period, and the energy is strong (2685), but the wind is light onshore. Crowds are often around here, and Ikumi is not a forgiving spot when it gets heavy. That swell pushes up to 7ft on Wednesday afternoon and the wind goes glassy—that’s the kind of clean surface every surfer chases—but it’s pushing the limits for this break.

Thursday (9 July) keeps building: 8ft Thursday morning, then 10ft Thursday afternoon. The combined energy jumps to 3606, which is strong, but the swell is bigger than what this place usually handles well. Wind stays cross-onshore. Friday (10 July) sees the peak with an 12ft S swell in the morning and a 17-second period—very long and powerful, energy reading 7367—turning to 13ft in the afternoon. Glassy conditions in the morning, but for beginners, this is way too much. For experts, it could be a beast, but it’s heavy and the break isn’t set up for clean takeoffs when it’s that big.

Saturday (11 July) keeps the 13ft S swell rolling with strong energy (9002 in the morning), but the wind stays light and onshore-ish. Again, not ideal. Sunday (12 July) drops back to 8ft in the morning with glassy wind and a long 16-second period from the SSW—that’s probably the most manageable size for experienced surfers across this whole first week. The energy is still moderate (3494). The afternoon gets a bit sloppy.

Then from Monday (13 July) through about the middle of the following week, the swell drops away significantly. We’re looking at 4ft to 2ft most days, with short 10- to 12-second periods. Combined energy sits in the low hundreds (292-729). Winds are often glassy, so it’s clean but tiny—not worth paddling out for unless you’re on a longboard and just want a few ankle-biters. Wednesday morning (15 July) has a clean 4ft from the SE, 12-second period, and glassy wind, but it’s small.

The standout in the whole outlook? I’d point you to Wednesday 22 July morning. The swell picks back up to 5ft from the SSE with a long 15-second period, combined energy at 922 (moderate but building), and glassy wind—NE light air. That’s clean, shoulder-high waves with proper groundswell energy. The afternoon that same day jumps to 7ft from the SSE, 13-second period, energy hitting 1639, still glassy. That afternoon is for experienced surfers only—but if you’re solid, it’s the best wave of the whole run. After that, Thursday (23 July) gets a bit lumpy with stronger cross-onshore wind.

So, to sum it up: there’s a solid swell window from Wednesday 8 July through the weekend, but it’s mostly too big or poorly aligned for Ikumi. A few glassy pockets on Wednesday afternoon and Sunday morning are the best of that run. Then a flat spell through the middle of the month, before Wednesday 22 July delivers the real highlight—especially that afternoon session for the experienced crew. Keep an eye on that one, but remember, this is two weeks out, so don’t lock plans yet.

That’s the read.
- Rusty

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