Ikumi Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here, your local surf reporter. Let's have a look at what's on the cards for Ikumi Beach.

Alright folks, the truth is, we're in for a pretty bleak run at Ikumi Beach for most of the next two weeks. The first week is a write-off, honest. We're talking poor surf conditions day after day with tiny, weak swell and often the wrong direction. The water’s warm, sitting at 83°F with an anomaly of 1°F, so that's pretty much average for this time of year, but that’s about the only thing going for us.

Look, there’s a long gap right off the bat here. We don't see anything worth mentioning until Tuesday the 18th of August. Even then, it's only a couple of dodgy windows. Tuesday morning brings a tiny 2ft swell from the ESE with a period of 8 seconds, and the wind is glassy. The combined energy is weak at 124, so it’s surfable but very ordinary. Thursday the 20th offers a similar picture with a glassy morning and a 3ft swell from the ESE. It’s the same story though – very ordinary.

Then we get into the next weekend, the 22nd and 23rd of August. Saturday the 22nd morning has our first glimmer of hope with glassy winds and a 4ft swell coming from the SSW with a 9-second period. Combined energy is moderate (268). It’s not huge, but with the clean wind, it'll be the best we've seen. Sunday the 23rd morning looks similar with another clean 4ft SSW swell. These are your best bets in the first week, but they're nothing to write home about. Still, with the offshore wind predicted, it’ll be clean. Remember though, it’s an inconsistent break, so you’ll be waiting around.

Now, here’s where it gets interesting, and a little bit scary for a spot like this. On the 25th of August, Tuesday morning, we’ve got a massive 10ft groundswell from the SE with a very long 16-second period. The combined energy is a staggering 3795 – that is strong, powerful water. The wind is forecast to be glassy too. For a moment, that sounds like the session of the year, but here is the problem: this break gets exposed and that swell is predicted to be too big for Ikumi. This one is strictly for experts only. For the rest of us, it's just a show.

Following that, Monday the 24th of August afternoon actually sees that pulse start to arrive with a 5ft swell from the SE and a very long 17-second period (combined energy 1429), but the wind is cross-shore and conditions are marginal.

Don’t get too excited for the rest of the run. That big pulse drains away quickly. By Thursday the 27th, we’re back to small, weak and onshore junk. The final weekend of August looks completely blown out with strong winds, making it a total no-go for surfing.

So, if you want the honest truth: the standout is undeniably the Tuesday morning of the 25th of August with that huge, glassy groundswell, but only if you are a seasoned expert. For everyone else, the clean, shoulder-high windows on the mornings of the 22nd and 23rd of August are your best chance at a paddle. Just keep your expectations low.

Rusty.

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