Ikumi Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s get into it.

To be straight with you, the surf window for Ikumi Beach is pretty grim for the next week and a half. We’ve got a real dry spell, so don’t rush to wax your board just yet. The first few days are small, weak, and mostly glassy but the waves are just too ordinary to get excited about. The water is sitting at 83°, which is about average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

Wednesday the 19th and Thursday the 20th are tiny – we’re talking 2 ft and 1 ft from the ESE and SE, with periods around 8 to 10 seconds. The combined energy is weak, barely hitting 93 and 55. It’s glassy in the mornings, which is nice, but the swell is just too small to bother with. The afternoons get cross-on or cross winds, making it even worse.

Friday the 21st through Sunday the 23rd sees a slight bump to 3 ft from the S and SSW, with periods creeping up to 9-11 seconds. Energy gets into the moderate range, hitting 175 to 185. Still, the mornings are glassy, and the afternoons get messed up by cross-onshore winds. It’s surfable if you’re desperate, but nothing to write home about.

Monday the 24th is the first real glimmer. The morning glassy conditions with a 3 ft SSW swell, 11-second period, and energy of 263 (moderate) – that’s actually decent. The swell direction is a bit off, but the glassy wind makes it clean. This is the best of the first week, but it’s still only a small wave.

Then things get weird. Tuesday the 25th morning we get a 7 ft SE swell with a 16-second period, energy jumping to 2312. That’s a long-period groundswell, and it’s onshore wind. The period is so long that at a beach break like Ikumi, it might break too straight. Still, 7 ft with that period has power, but the wind is onshore, so it’s messy. Not a standout.

Wednesday the 26th is a total bomb – 13 ft to 15 ft of SSE swell, 16-17 second period, energy over 10,000. That is massive, but it’s way too big for Ikumi. The break can’t handle that size. It’s a warning sign, not a recommendation. The rest of the week stays huge, with 18 ft on Thursday the 27th, and heavy rain. This is for experts only, and even then, it’s pushing limits. The wind is cross-on or cross, so it’s choppy and dangerous.

Into the second week, the swell drops but stays big. Saturday the 29th has 7 ft from the S, 11-second period, but with risk of thunderstorms and cross-on wind. Not good. Sunday the 30th is 6 ft SSW, but windy and choppy.

The real standout, if you can wait, is Wednesday the 2nd of September. That morning we get a 5 ft S swell, 12-second period, with glassy conditions. Energy is 799 (moderate). The wind is dead calm, the swell is a good size, and the period is solid. This is the best on offer in the whole 16 days. Clean, punchy, and rideable. After that, it drops back to small stuff with cross winds.

So, to sum it up: the best window is the morning of Monday the 24th for a small clean wave, and the absolute standout is the morning of Wednesday the 2nd of September. That’s the one to mark on your calendar. The rest is either too small, too windy, or too big for this spot.

Rusty.

Read more