Asakawa Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty. Let's get into it.

We've got a bit of a dramatic story unfolding for this 16-day window. It kicks off with a proper swell, but the opening days are messy, then we get a gorgeous clean window, followed by a long flat spell before a possible pulse resurfaces in the last days. It’s a classic case of "look before you leap" – or in this case, "paddle before you get dumped."

Right now, on Saturday the 11th, there's a big swell running, but it's not doing us any favours at Asakawa (point). We've got a solid 13ft swell from the South, with a proper long-period groundswell of 17 seconds, pumping some very strong wave energy (8486). But the wind is on it, and the report is crying "marginal." The water temperature is 76°, which is a bit colder than normal for this time of year, so you might want a thin spring suit.

The day's a bit of a write-off for clean surfing, honestly. It’s a lot of energy with a cross-onshore breeze. It might be more interesting for the kite crew than for a paddle surfer like us.

Now, Sunday the 12th? That's the standout. The wind goes glassy, absolutely dead calm or just a whisper. The swell drops a touch but is still a hefty 12ft to 10ft from the SSW, with a 16 to 14-second period. The energy is still massive (5296 to 3043). This is for experienced surfers only – over 8ft, it's expert territory. But if you can handle a point break with that kind of size and power, and it’s dead clean, this is the session to be in. Clouds are around, but with those conditions, it’s going to be special. Crowds are possible here, so get on it early.

Monday the 13th is still a winner, but the swell is backing off. We’re looking at 5ft to 5ft from the SSW, period still a decent 12 to 11 seconds, and the wind is glass in the morning and mostly glass in the afternoon. Wave energy is moderate now (687). This is the sweet spot for a broader range of surfers – good, clean, fun waves. Still a great day to be in the water.

From Tuesday the 14th onwards, it's a slow fade into a long flat spell. The swell drops under 3ft and keeps shrinking. The wave energy plummets into double digits (265, then 227, then 146, etc.). By Wednesday the 15th, we're into poor surf conditions, and there's a solid gap of several days where there's basically nothing worth paddling out for.

This flat run stretches all the way through to the end of the third week. You'll see days with glassy winds but tiny, weak waves. Don't be fooled by the clean water; it's not surfable.

The outlook gets a glimmer of hope right at the tail end. On Wednesday the 22nd of July, we see a new pulse showing up. It's a bit of a long-range promise, so don't book the trip yet, but it's interesting. We've got a 3ft to 4ft swell from the ESE, with a very long 15 to 14-second period. The wind is glassy, the energy is moderate (600-739). This longer-period groundswell will be looking for those clean point breaks and reefs, and Asakawa is a point, so it could shape up beautifully. That's a great "expect very good surf conditions" call.

Thursday the 23rd keeps that clean energy with a 4ft swell and cross-offshore winds from the NE. It’s clean and lined-up. From Friday the 24th, it fades again, but that final Wednesday-Thursday window is the one to watch.

So, to boil it down: if you're an expert, Sunday the 12th is your day. For everyone else, Monday the 13th is prime. Then it goes dead for over a week, before a promising but less certain pulse arrives around the 22nd and 23rd.

Stay salty,
Rusty

Read more