Asakawa Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, crew, Rusty here, pullin' up a chair for the next couple of weeks. It's a bit of a wild ride, with a huge pulse of swell that's gonna have a lot of wind on it before we get a clean window.

The ocean's running a bit cooler than it should be for July, around 77°F, which is about 3°F colder than usual. Not a dealbreaker, but a wetsuit top might be nice for the early sessions.

The first real shot of surf comes Friday, July 10th. A massive 12ft groundswell from the south, with a 17-second period, is pumping in – the energy is off the charts. But the wind is blowing straight onshore at 5 mph. It's gonna be a big, messy, blown-out wall of water. For experts only, and even then, it's a tough ask.

Friday afternoon, the swell stays fat at 12ft, but the onshore wind picks up to 9 mph. No good. Saturday the 11th, we're looking at a 13ft south swell, but the wind is still onshore all day. This is massive, powerful, and ugly. It's the kind of setup that's more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

Now, here's the moment we've been waiting for. Sunday morning, July 12th. The swell drops to a still-burly 10ft from the SSW, with a 16-second period, and the energy is still very strong. But the wind goes dead calm, glassy. A 5 mph breeze from the south that's barely a breath. For a point break like Asakawa, which faces the south swell, this is a dream scenario. The conditions are "excellent for experienced surfers," and I'm calling it. This is the standout of the whole forecast. The wave face will be clean, powerful, and organized. The crowd is listed as "sometimes," so you might have a few others, but it's the session to be in. The afternoon goes south with a cross-onshore wind and a risk of thunderstorms, so it's a dawn patrol.

Sunday is the peak. Monday the 13th still has a clean 5ft wave from the SSW in the morning with glassy conditions, but it's a lot smaller. The energy is moderate. A fun, smaller option for intermediates.

From Tuesday the 14th right through to the 22nd of July, it's a long, flat spell. The swell drops to under 2 feet, the periods get short, and the energy is weak. A few glassy mornings, but the swell is just too small to bother.

Then, a flicker of hope. Thursday afternoon, July 23rd. The swell builds to 4ft from the ESE with a 12-second period (long period groundswell). The energy is moderate, and the wind is glassy. The forecast says "very good surf conditions." This is a promising, long-range standout but less certain. For a point break, that direction and glassy wind could produce some fun, clean waves. Mark it.

The final days, Friday the 24th and Saturday the 25th, show some small, clean waves in the mornings, but nothing special.

So here's the bottom line: This Sunday morning, July 12th, is the big one. Big, clean, glassy groundswell at Asakawa. The rest of the forecast is mostly flat or blown out, with a possible long-range glimmer on the 23rd.

Rusty, signing off.

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