Asakawa Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here, and I've got a good look at the next couple of weeks for us. We're talking about Asakawa, a point break that's pretty inconsistent and can be a bit of a tease. The water's sitting at a warm 84°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, so you can leave the steamer at home.

The immediate forecast is a bit of a slow grind. Monday the 3rd kicks off with small, weak 5ft swell from the ESE, and a light cross-on breeze. The energy is pitifully low (1263), so honestly, don't even bother. The surf is marginal and the conditions are just not there.

We finally get a pulse of energy beginning on Tuesday the 4th. The swell picks up to 10ft from the ESE, but it's still carrying that cross-on wind. The combined energy climbs to a moderate 6692, but it's still a bit messy. The afternoon looks better with an 12ft swell from the ESE and a period of 17 seconds, giving it some real grunt. The combined energy (14172) is a good sign of the power coming in.

Now, for the standout. You want to circle Wednesday the 5th and Thursday the 6th. Wednesday morning is a beauty. The swell is a solid 15ft from the SE, with a very long 17-second period driving it. The energy is massive (12450), and we have a clean, cross-shore breeze from the ENE. That's a recipe for some serious, well-shaped lines at this point break. The afternoon bumps up to 16ft, still with that same long period and clean cross-shore wind. This is the best on offer, but it's a heavy wave. At 15ft to 16ft, this is expert territory only. The size, the power, and the period are no joke.

Thursday the 6th is even bigger, with 21ft swells from the ESE. The energy is off the charts (22487). The wind is cross-shore, but the forecast explicitly says the swell is too big for this break. Plus, it's a point break, so a long period groundswell of 17 seconds can make the waves break a bit too fast and closed out. This is for the absolute elite, or maybe just for watching from the cliff.

The swell starts to back off toward the end of the week, but it stays big. Friday the 7th and Saturday the 8th see 15ft to 13ft swells, but the wind turns more onshore and the conditions get messy, with a lot of cross-chop. The energy is still high, but the quality drops.

After the 8th, we enter a lull. There's a big gap of a few days with very little surf. Sunday the 9th and Monday the 10th are small, weak, and onshore.

Then, a few interesting windows pop up later. Tuesday the 11th of August offers a 8ft easterly swell with glassy conditions in the morning. The energy is moderate (2926), and with a period of 11 seconds, it should be a fun, manageable size for experienced surfers. The glassy wind is a major plus for clean waves.

Finally, Wednesday the 12th has a very small 3ft SSW swell with glassy conditions, but the energy is a weak 676. It's a session for a longboard or a foiler.

The real highlight is the Wednesday the 5th to Thursday the 6th window. Massive, powerful, long-period groundswell with clean cross-shore winds. It's a world-class swell, but it's for experts only. For the rest of us, the early morning of Tuesday the 11th looks like a nice, clean, and much more manageable option.

Rusty.

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