Asakawa Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Look, I’ll be straight with you – the next 16 days at Asakawa are a tough watch. It’s a point break, fairly exposed to swell, and it prefers an optimum swell from the southeast, but for the first week, we’re just not getting the goods. The first real surf we can talk about doesn’t show up until Friday, July 24, so there’s a solid gap of nothing worth paddling for from now until then.

Friday morning, July 24, we get a tiny 0.3ft of swell from the southeast, with a period of 18 seconds – that’s a long-period groundswell, which is a nice sign for a point, but the energy is still weak (74). It’s glassy though, so what’s there will be clean. But it’s ordinary, not something to get excited about.

Saturday, July 25, the morning brings a bit more – 0.4ft from the southeast, period dropping to 16 seconds, still long-period. The combined energy bumps up to 139 (moderate). It’s glassy again. It’s surfable, but you’ll be scratching for waves.

Sunday, July 26, is the first real standout. The morning session is still small at 0.4ft from the southeast, but the energy is climbing to 195 (moderate). Then the afternoon shifts – swell jumps to 0.8ft from the south, period 10 seconds, and the energy hits 272 (moderate). The wind is glassy, and the conditions are good. This is a window where you want to be in the water. The water temp is about average for this time of year, nothing unusual.

Monday, July 27, morning is glassy with 0.9ft from the south, period 9 seconds, energy 263 (moderate). It’s surfable but ordinary. The afternoon gets a bit messy with cross-on wind.

Now, if you’re an expert, Tuesday, July 28, morning has a solid 2ft from the south, period 12 seconds, energy 1400 (strong). But the wind is cross-on, which will be messy. That’s too big for beginners, and the conditions are marginal. The afternoon sees 3ft from the south, energy 2485 (very strong), but with a moderate cross-onshore and choppy – this is more of a kite-surfing setup than a paddle session.

Wednesday, July 29, morning has 2ft from the SSE with offshore wind, period 11 seconds, energy 1774 (very strong). That’s a powerful wave, but it’s a risk of thunderstorms and the conditions are unknown. It’s a tricky one.

The next real highlight is Thursday, July 30, morning. We get 1ft from the SSW, period 11 seconds, energy 456 (moderate), with cross-off wind from the NE and clean conditions. That’s a solid, clean wave for intermediate surfers. The afternoon fades a bit.

Friday, July 31, morning is another good one – 0.9ft from the ESE, period 11 seconds, energy 303 (moderate), with cross-off wind and clean conditions. It’s small but fun.

Then we go into the second week, and it’s a stormy mess. Saturday, August 1, morning has 2ft from the ESE, period 11 seconds, energy 937 (strong), but cross-shore wind and risk of storms. Sunday, August 2, morning sees 4ft from the SE, period 10 seconds, energy 2685 (very strong) – that’s massive, but it’s a beach-and-point setup with cross-shore wind and chop. That’s for experts only, and honestly, it looks more interesting for kite surfing than a paddle. The rest of the week is marginal at best, with onshore winds and dropping energy.

Overall, the best windows are Sunday, July 26 afternoon, and Thursday, July 30 morning. The swell direction is mostly south or southeast, which matches the optimum, so that helps. But crowds are possible at Asakawa, so keep that in mind. It’s a long wait, but those two sessions are worth the patience.

Rusty.

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