Asakawa Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what Asakawa's got cooking for us over the next couple of weeks. It's a bit of a slow burn, but there's a real beast lurking in the long-range forecast.

Right off the bat, we've got to be honest: the next week or so is pretty flat and ordinary. From the 10th right through to the morning of the 18th, it's a long stretch of mushy, weak waves. The swell is tiny, mostly under 3 ft, and the period is short, so there's no real push behind it. The combined wave energy is barely flickering, mostly between 91 and 260 – that's weak energy, my friends. Winds are mostly light and cross-off or glassy, which would be great if there was any swell to use, but for a paddle, it's a write-off. Thursday the 19th has us looking at a massive jump, with the swell hitting 13 ft from the SE with a very long 17-second period. That's a lot of power, with combined energy at 9194, but the wind is cross-on, so conditions will be messy and the tide could be an issue. It's a big, dangerous wall of water for experts only.

Now, hold onto your board. The standout window is Sunday the 20th. This is the real deal. We're looking at a 16 ft to 18 ft SE groundswell, with a very long 16-second period. The combined energy is insane – hitting 12288 on the morning and then a whopping 15471 on the afternoon. That's very strong wave energy. The wind is forecast to be light and cross-off from the NNE, which will keep the faces clean. This is exceptional surf, but let's be clear: anything over 8 ft is expert territory, and this is double that. This is not for the faint-hearted or the inexperienced. For the seasoned charger, this is about as good as it gets at Asakawa (a point break, which handles these long period, SE swells beautifully). Expect the water to be a warm 82°F, which is about average for this time of year.

After that monster, the swell drops like a stone. By Monday the 21st, we're back to small, weak 3 ft to 3 ft waves, and by Tuesday the 22nd, a severe gale from the NNW makes paddling out a ridiculous idea. The end of the month looks like a return to the poor, tiny conditions we saw at the start.

So, if you're a beginner, the whole 16-day window is a bust for you. For the experts, don't even look at the first week. Your entire focus should be on that Sunday the 20th. It's a long way out, so keep an eye on the forecasts, but right now it's the only game in town, and it could be a session you'll never forget.

Rusty.

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