Asakawa Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, I’m Rusty. Let’s wade into this one.

Alright, look – the next few weeks are a mixed bag for Asakawa. There’s a real dry spell to start, with barely a ripple worth paddling for. Then, right at the end of the forecast period, we get a bit of a pulse. The standout window is around the 28th and 29th, with some cleaner, more energetic swell. Overall, it’s a patience game.

Right now, through the middle of July, it’s flat and uninspiring. Tuesday morning the 14th offers the best of a weak bunch: a small 3ft SSW swell, but it’s only got a 10-second period and the combined energy is a weak 247. The water is sitting at 78°, which is a bit colder than normal for this time of year. The glassy conditions will make it look pretty, but honestly, it’s just surfable, not worth rushing out for. After that, the swell drops right off. From Wednesday the 15th all the way through to Sunday the 27th, we’re stuck with tiny, weak waves – mostly under 2ft and with period dipping as low as 7 seconds. The energy values are in the double digits or low triple digits, a sign of very weak wave power. The wind is often onshore or cross-shore, and the comments are all “poor surf conditions.” There’s a brief moment on the 18th with a glassy morning, but the swell is only 2ft. It’s a real waiting game. The 24th and 25th see a bit of a spike in period, hitting 18 seconds on the 24th, but the swell height is still tiny at 1.0ft, so it’s not doing anything for us.

Now, the turnaround. The 28th of July, Tuesday morning, is the standout. Asakawa is a point break, so it favours that longer-period groundswell we start seeing. The swell jumps to 4ft from the SE, with a solid 11-second period. The combined energy is a moderate 367, and the wind is clean, cross-offshore from the NE. This is the best-looking window of the whole forecast. The optimum swell direction is SE, so this is a perfect match. The water is a bit colder than average still, but the conditions are clean and the wave state is “clean.” The crowd situation at Asakawa can be “sometimes” busy, so you might have some company, but it’ll be worth it.

The 29th, Wednesday morning, is also solid. Another 4ft swell, this time from the SSE, with a 10-second period. The energy is 278, and the wind is again cross-offshore from the NE, keeping things clean. It’s a close second to the 28th, but that morning’s slightly longer period gives it the edge. The afternoons both days get a bit messy with onshore wind and a risk of thunderstorms, so hit it early.

Forget the kites; the wind is too light for that. This is a paddle surfer’s game, but only for those with patience. The 28th and 29th mornings are the only real reasons to get excited.

Rusty.

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