Asakawa Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s shaping up for Asakawa. I gotta be straight with you – the next week and a half is mostly a write-off. We’re looking at a long, frustrating gap of poor surf right through until the morning of Thursday the 20th. For days on end, the swell is tiny, the wind is mostly onshore or cross-onshore, and conditions are just plain ugly. There’s a brief moment of hope on Saturday the 15th morning when that glassy wind brushes the surface, but the swell is only 2ft from the south, with combined energy of just 117 – weak sauce. It’s surfable, but nothing to get excited about.

The real story, the one that gets my heart pumping, is the last week of the forecast. The morning of Sunday the 23rd of August is where it all changes. We’ve got a solid 5ft swell rolling in from the southeast with a very long period of 15 seconds – that’s serious groundswell energy. The combined energy reading is a massive 1099, and the wind is a light cross-offshore breeze from the northeast. That’s clean surf, folks. Now, this is a point break, and that long period swell is perfect for it – expect nice, lined-up waves. The catch is, at 5ft, it’s getting into the intermediate zone, not ideal for beginners. And the crowds? They’re possible here, so get out early.

The absolute standout, the one you circle on the calendar, is Monday the 24th of August. The morning sees a 8ft swell from the southeast, period still a very long 15 seconds, and the combined energy jumps to 2396. The wind is light and cross-shore from the east-northeast. This is big, powerful, clean surf. But I have to warn you – at 8ft by the afternoon, this is expert territory. The waves will be demanding, and the tide could be a factor. This is not a day to be casual. If you’re a confident surfer on a point break, this is your window. The water temperature is sitting at 84°, which is about average for the time of year.

The following Tuesday morning, the 25th of August, is still pumping with a 8ft swell from the east-southeast, combined energy of 2225, but the wind swings around to a gentle cross-shore. It’s still good, but it’s a hair messier than the day before. By Wednesday the 26th, the swell drops off and the wind turns onshore again, closing the window.

So, to sum it up for you: the first week is a dud. Don’t bother. The real action kicks off on the 23rd, with Monday the 24th being the best bet for the experienced crew. It’s a long way out, so keep an eye on it, but the signs are promising.

- Rusty

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