Asakawa Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it. The surf is gonna be a tale of two halves really. There's a slow start for the first couple of days with only small stuff around, then the ocean just wakes up from Wednesday onwards and we get a proper pulse of solid swell that hangs around for a while.

Monday afternoon the 6th kicks it off over at Asakawa. Glassy conditions with 3ft of swell out of the SE. The water sits at 76°, which is a bit colder than normal for this time of year – you’ll feel that difference, nothing crazy but you’ll notice it. That swell's carrying moderate energy (316) and the winds are dead still. It’s a small but clean start.

Tuesday morning the 7th looks better. Swell bumps up to 4ft from the ESE with a solid 12-second period, and the energy builds to 854. Glassy again. This is about as clean as it gets for a small wave. The inconsistency of the break is worth mentioning though – it doesn’t fire all the time, so don’t be surprised if you’re waiting a bit.

From Wednesday the 8th onwards, things ramp up drastically. The swell jumps to over 6ft and keeps climbing. The trade-off is the wind goes onshore, so the quality gets questionable. By Wednesday afternoon we’re looking at 8ft / 16-second SE groundswell but that onshore wind will mess with the face. Not ideal for a point break.

The standout window arrives Friday afternoon the 10th and Saturday the 11th. Friday afternoon we’ve got a thumping 13ft / 16-second S swell with massive energy at 11634. The wind is onshore but light – that actually might line up okay here. By Saturday morning we’re still holding at 13ft but now the period stretches to 17 seconds – that's a very long period groundswell, meaning deep ocean energy. This is too big for beginners (over 8ft is expert territory) and long-period swells like this can run a bit fast and straight over the sand, but at a point like Asakawa it could link up nicely.

Then Saturday afternoon the 11th – this is the moment. The swell eases slightly to 11ft from the SSW, period still at 16 seconds, and the wind goes glassy – dead flat. That’s excellent surf for experienced surfers. Clean, powerful, consistent lines. We’re talking 6278 units of energy, which is strong. This is your best bet across the whole run.

After Sunday it tails off steadily. By the middle of the second week (the 16th and 17th) we’re back to knee-high dribble with very ordinary conditions, but there’s a little uptick on Sunday the 19th afternoon – 8ft of ESE swell with light cross-onshore wind, and then Monday the 20th looks interesting too: 7ft from the ESE with glassy conditions in the afternoon. That’s a decent note to finish on, but the confidence is lower that far out.

Overall, the standout is Saturday afternoon the 11th. Don’t sleep on that.

Rusty.

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