Asakawa Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, listen up. For the first week and a bit, Asakawa is basically a dud. Swell is tiny, the period is short, and the wind is mostly a pain. You’re looking at a solid 9-day gap of nothing worth paddling for. But hold on, because the second half is a whole different story.

Starting Wednesday the 9th, there’s a 10ft south swell, but a 12 mph cross-shore from the southwest is going to chop it to pieces. Plenty of energy (1581), but the wind ruins it.

Thursday the 10th is a step down, with 3ft to 6ft SSE swell, but the wind is better from the NNE. It’s clean, but the energy is low (141 to 456) and the period is a short 8 seconds. Surfable, but that’s about it.

Friday the 11th gives us a brief moment of glassy conditions on the morning with a 3ft SSE swell. The wind is a light 3 mph from the ENE, making it nearly glassy. The energy is weak at 123, but it’s the cleanest wave we’ve seen. Small, but the best of the early period.

From Saturday the 12th through to Tuesday the 16th, it’s a whole lot of nothing. Swell drops below 3ft, wind is all over the place, and the water temp is a warm 83°F, about 2°F warmer than normal. Nothing to get excited about.

Then, on Wednesday the 18th, we see a glimmer. A 2ft swell from the southeast, but with a very long 18-second period. That’s a groundswell, and it’s clean with glassy conditions. The energy is moderate at 339. By the afternoon, the swell bumps to 4ft with a 16-second period, and the energy jumps to 761. This is where it starts to build.

Now, the real standout. The weekend of the 19th and 20th is where you want to be in the water. Saturday the 19th brings a 8ft to 7ft SSE swell with a very long 16 to 17-second period. The wind is light and variable, from the NNE and ENE, leaving it glassy early and clean throughout. The energy is massive, hitting 4441 and 4065. This is excellent surf for experienced surfers, but not a beginner wave. The swell direction is from the SSE, which is a great match for the point. Crowds are “sometimes” an issue, so expect a few others.

Sunday the 20th is even bigger. We’re looking at 10ft from the S and SSE, with a 16-second period. The wind is onshore from the SE in the morning, but by the afternoon it turns glassy from the NE. The energy is over 4500. This is a solid, powerful swell. With a period over 15 seconds, this groundswell will be breaking a bit straight at the beach, but at a point break like Asakawa, it’s going to be a treat.

Monday the 21st is the peak, with 13ft to 15ft from the south, with a 17-second period. The wind is a cross-off from the NNE to NE, keeping it clean. The energy is an incredible 10,394 to 12,081. This is for experts only. Too big for anyone else.

Tuesday the 22nd is a write-off. A gale force wind from the SE at 40 mph and then 47 mph from the south absolutely destroys the 15ft swell. It’s dangerous and blown out.

Wednesday the 23rd is a monster. 26ft from the SSW with a 17-second period. The wind is glassy from the west in the morning, but the swell is simply too big for this break. The energy is 51,977. It’s a spectacle, not a surf session.

Finally, Thursday the 24th, the swell drops rapidly to 4ft from the south with a 10-second period, and glassy conditions return. The energy is back to 311. A clean, manageable wave to finish the run.

So, the best bet is the weekend of the 19th and 20th. That’s the clear winner. The glassy conditions and the long period groundswell from the SSE are a perfect match for the point. If you’re an expert, Monday the 21st is also a killer session, but expect a few more heads out.

Rusty.

Read more