Asakawa Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Look, I’ll be straight with you – the next week or so is a tough slog for Asakawa. This point break is inconsistent as it is, and for the first few days, we’re looking at tiny, weak swell with nothing to get excited about. The water temp is sitting at 82°, which is pretty much average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

We’ve got a real dry spell from now until Saturday the 26th of July. The surf is mostly knee-high or smaller, and the energy in the water is pathetic – we’re talking combined swell energy in the low 30s to 40s (31 to 42), which is barely a ripple. Winds are mostly light, with some glassy mornings on Monday the 20th, Tuesday the 21st, and Wednesday the 22nd, but even then, the swell is just 0.7ft to 1.0ft from the ESE. Not worth paddling out for.

There’s a slight uptick on Saturday the 25th and Sunday the 26th, with a 1ft SE swell and a period stretching to 15–16 seconds. That’s a long-period groundswell, and combined energy climbs to around 139 to 152 (moderate), but the wave comment says it all – “surfable waves but very ordinary conditions.” It’s still too small for a proper session.

Now, things get interesting from Monday the 27th of July. The swell jumps to 7ft from the SSE with a 15-second period, and combined energy rockets to 1768 (strong). The wind is cross-shore from the ENE at 6 mph, so it’s a bit crinkly. This is more of a moderate-to-intermediate size, but the rating says it’s marginal due to tide. By Tuesday the 28th, we’re looking at 12ft to 13ft from the SSE with a 14 to 17-second period. That’s a big, powerful groundswell, and the energy is massive – 4658 to 10256 (very strong). The wind is cross-offshore from the NE to NNE at 12 to 16 mph, keeping it clean. This is expert territory, though – over 8ft, so only for those with serious skills. The best session on offer is Tuesday afternoon, where the combination of big swell, clean conditions, and a solid 17-second period matches the optimum SE direction nicely. It’s a standout, but with “sometimes” crowds, expect a few locals out.

Wednesday the 29th of July is a full-on caution. The morning shows 25ft from the SE with a 16-second period, and a gale-force 40 mph onshore wind from the SSE. Combined energy hits 30144 (extreme) – that’s way too big and messy for Asakawa. It’s a “too big for this break” situation. The afternoon drops to 7ft but with strong cross-onshore winds, so it’s poor.

Thursday the 30th and Friday the 31st settle down, with 7ft to 8ft swell from the S and SW, but the wind is cross-onshore and choppy. Not great. By Friday morning, we get a clean 4ft from the S with cross-offshore NNE winds at 9 mph, and the energy is 274 (moderate). It’s a “good surf conditions” tag, but it’s small and fading.

Into the first week of August, it’s back to 2ft to 3ft, clean but weak. The energy is between 129 and 289 (weak to moderate). Nothing to write home about.

So, the real standout is Tuesday the 28th of July – that 13ft, 17-second SSE groundswell with clean cross-offshore winds is the pick of the lot. It’s big, powerful, and for experts only. Keep an eye on it, but don’t get your hopes up for the rest of the window.

Stay frothy,
Rusty

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