Asakawa Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, so the first few days are flat as a pancake, but don't walk away – this one's got a massive, classic groundswell brewing on the horizon. Gotta be patient.

The first bits of interest are tiny. Monday afternoon, 27 July, we have glassy conditions at Asakawa – a point break – with a weak 1ft swell from the SE. It's surfable, but very ordinary. The water is warm at 83°, feeling about normal for this time of year. The combined energy is a low 174, so don't get your hopes up. Tuesday and Wednesday are more of the same – small, clean but barely breaking. There's a real lull from Thursday 30 July right through to Monday 3 August; the swell drops right out, with energy readings falling below 100. Nothing to get wet for.

Then the change arrives. On Monday 3 August, the swell starts to build properly. By Monday morning, we get a 4ft ESE swell with a period of 15 seconds. The energy jumps to 786 – moderate now – and the wind is light cross-shore. It's marginal, but the window is opening.

Now, the standout. The real magic is forecast for Tuesday 6 August. The morning of Thursday 6 August is the pick of the whole run. We're looking at a massive 15ft swell from the ESE, with a very long period of 18 seconds. The combined energy is a massive 11301 (strong to very strong wave energy). The wind is glassy – absolutely dead calm. It's the kind of morning that will have you calling in sick. The water temp is still warm. This is excellent to exceptional surf for experienced surfers, but that size is strictly for experts. The long period groundswell can make a point break like this really line up, but it'll be thick and powerful.

Wednesday 5 August is also a cracking day, with a 10ft to 12ft ESE swell, glassy morning wind, and very long 18-second periods. The energy is also very strong (6227-7122). Another day for the quiver.

From Friday 7 August onwards, the swell goes absolutely nuts. The wave heights exceed 23ft, and the energy values are astronomical (over 30000). While the wind is offshore and clean, the swell is far too big for this break. It's a spectacular sight, but not for paddling. This setup would be more interesting for the big-wave tow crew or kite surfers, not a standard paddle session.

The swell then winds down, but the 10th of August still has a 16ft SE swell with glassy conditions, though the period drops to 10 seconds. It's still for experts only. By the 11th, we're back to small, choppy, and onshore junk.

So, bottom line: the first week is a write-off. The absolute standout is the morning of Thursday 6 August – that's the one to circle. The morning of Wednesday 5 August is a very close second. Get on it.

Rusty

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