Asakawa Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Look, I’ll be straight with you – for the next week or so, it’s a proper flat spell. We’re looking at a gap of about nine days where there’s really nothing to get excited about. From Thursday the 23rd of July right through to Saturday the 1st of August, the swell is tiny, mostly around 1.0ft to 1ft, and the energy is weak (41 to 173). The guides call it poor or ordinary, and I’m not gonna argue. It’s a frustrating stretch, but these things happen. The water temp is sitting at 83°F, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, so at least it’s comfortable for a float.

The real story, and the one standout in this whole sixteen-day window, is Asakawa on Monday the 3rd of August. We finally get a pulse of proper swell. The morning session is where it’s at. Swell bumps up to 7ft from the ESE, with a long period of 18 seconds – that’s classic groundswell energy. The combined energy is a massive 2927 (strong), and with glassy conditions and near-calm wind, it’s going to be clean. That’s a big swell, over 5ft, so it’s for the confident intermediate and above. It’s a point break, which is a good thing for a long-period swell like this, as it’ll line up nicely. The crowd situation is “sometimes”, so you might have a few others, but for a setup this good, it’s worth it.

Tuesday the 4th of August sees the swell peak even bigger, hitting 12ft from the ESE with a very long 19-second period. The energy is off the charts (8565 in the morning, 9427 in the afternoon). But – and this is a big but – the wind turns cross-onshore, and the afternoon kicks up a gentle breeze making it choppy. The morning is glassy, but 12ft is expert territory only. It’s a heavy, powerful wave.

Wednesday the 5th of August holds that 12ft ESE swell, period dropping to 17 seconds. Morning again looks the pick with glassy conditions and excellent surf for the experienced crew. The energy is still very strong (6381).

Thursday the 6th of August is a bit more manageable. The swell drops to 8ft from the E, period 16 seconds, and the morning is glassy with a 3438 energy reading. Excellent surf for experienced surfers. The afternoon holds at 8ft, still glassy, with 2522 energy. This is a solid day.

By Friday the 7th of August, the swell drops to 5ft from the E, period 14 seconds. The morning is clean with a slight offshore breeze, and energy is a moderate 1028. This is now a fun, manageable size for a wider range of surfers.

So, the call is clear. The first week is a write-off. The second week, starting Monday the 3rd of August, is where the magic happens. The absolute standout is Monday morning at Asakawa – that’s the one to mark on the calendar. It’s promising, but it’s over a week away, so keep an eye on it. Tuesday and Wednesday are for the brave. Thursday and Friday are your best chance for a big, clean wave that’s a bit less intimidating.

Rusty.

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