Asakawa Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, surfers, Rusty here. Let’s talk about the stretch ahead for our little slice of the lineup. It’s a bit of a waiting game, to be honest. We’ve got a slow, grovelly start before things finally wake up in a serious way.

For the first few days, through the weekend and into early next week, it’s a bit of a write-off. We’re looking at small, weak surf with a lot of cross-onshore chop and even a few stormy afternoons threatening to mess things up. The combo energy is weak, mostly in the low hundreds (like 109 on Friday the 14th), which just isn't enough to push any real shape through. It’s ankle-biters and paddle practice.

Then, things start to change shape around Tuesday the 18th. The wind goes glassy in the morning with a light S breeze, and a new, cleaner swell arrives from the E at 3.3ft, with an 8-second period. It’s small, but the conditions will make it feel better than it is. Energy climbs to a moderate 271. Tuesday morning looks like the first real chance to get a few fun ones, though it's not going to be a day to write home about. The water temp is 83.3°, which is about normal for this time of year, so a rashie is more than enough.

We do have a few quiet days after that, with surf dropping back down to knee-high and the winds not playing nice. The energy dips back into the weak zone, with numbers in the 50s to 100s. It's a real lull.

Hold on, because things get real around Monday the 24th. A much more significant swell starts to build. The 24th morning is glassy as a lake, and a proper groundswell from the SE rolls in with a 16-second period. The energy jumps to a strong 387. The size is only 2ft for the morning, but the combo will be there. This is the beginning of the main event.

The real standout is Tuesday the 25th and Wednesday the 26th. This is what we’ve been waiting for. A solid swell, straight out of the ESE, pushes wave heights up to 5ft to 6ft with a long 13-14 second period. The energy readings are huge – 841, then 879, and then over a thousand at 1162 on Wednesday morning. That’s strong to very strong energy, folks. The winds are light and offshore (NNE) or totally glassy, so this point break at Asakawa is going to be firing with clean, lined-up walls. The long period means more push and better shape, and this setup should handle it perfectly. This is the best window we’ve got on offer.

There’s a bit of swell left on Wednesday afternoon, but a cross-onshore breeze kicks up, making things a little lumpy. After that, the swell fades back down and we’re back to small surf for the tail end of the week. There is a pulse of energy late on Friday the 28th, but the direction swings to the SW and it looks jumbled and messy, not worth getting excited about.

So, my call: if you only get one or two sessions in the next couple of weeks, make it the morning of the 25th or the 26th. That’s the gold. See you in the water.

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