Asakawa Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here with a look at what Asakawa’s got cookin’ over the next couple of weeks. It’s a bit of a slow burn to start, but there’s some real firepower waiting if you can be patient.

Right now, we’re in a flat spell. Tuesday the 1st sees tiny, gutless 1ft to 2ft ESE slop with onshore winds, and the combined energy is a weak 114 to 144 – not worth paddling out for. Wednesday the 2nd isn’t much better with a messy 4ft to 4ft S to SSE swell and cross-onshore breezes creating wind ripples. That energy picks up to 257 to 366, but the conditions are ordinary.

Thursday the 3rd morning is where we finally see a glimmer. It’s a small 4ft SSE swell, but the wind goes glassy – dead calm – and that’s rare magic. The break’s a point, so it’s got the shape to handle small stuff, and the water’s sitting at 84°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year. That morning sesh is your best bet early on. The afternoon turns clean with a cross-offshore breeze and a slightly bigger 4ft wave.

Friday the 4th pushes into 6ft, but heavy rain and strong cross-off winds (12 mph) make it a mission. Saturday the 5th sees 7ft to 7ft ESE swell, but the wind’s cross-shore and a bit chunky. The combined energy is ramping up (736 to 693), but the quality isn’t there yet.

Monday the 7th morning is a real standout. The swell sits at a solid 7ft from the ESE with a 9-second period, and the wind is light cross-off from the NNE – that’s clean, powerful surf. The combined energy reads 809 – moderate and punchy. This is the pick of the first week for sure. Asakawa is a point break that’s inconsistent, so when it fires like this, you want to be on it. Crowds are possible here, so get in early.

We then hit a bit of a lull through Tuesday the 8th with 6ft to 7ft and cross-shore chop, before Wednesday the 9th serves up a beauty. The morning shows 10ft of SE groundswell with a 12-second period – that’s proper long-period groundswell, packing a combined energy of 2401 (strong). The wind is light cross-off from the NE. This is for experienced surfers only – 10ft is big – but if you’ve got the skill, it’s firing. A point break like Asakawa will handle that long-period energy perfectly. The afternoon stays good but gets a little cross-choppy.

Thursday the 10th holds at 10ft to 12ft with the same SE groundswell, but the wind gets gusty and unsettled, with risk of thunderstorms. The energy is huge (2893 to 2962), but conditions are marginal.

Friday the 11th is a monster – 13ft SE swell with a 12-second period. The combined energy hits 4353 – that’s very strong. But the wind is onshore from the SE, making it a messy, dangerous beast. Only absolute experts should even look at it. The afternoon stays big and bumpy.

From Saturday the 12th through Monday the 14th, the swell drops back to 5ft to 8ft, but with onshore or cross-onshore winds and risk of thunderstorms, it’s pretty poor. Tuesday the 15th sees another pulse of big, long-period groundswell – 10ft from the ESE with a 15-second period. That combined energy of 4694 is enormous, but it’s onshore and messy again. Wednesday the 16th shifts to a 6ft to 7ft SSW groundswell with a very long 16-second period, but cross-onshore winds and thunderstorms ruin the party.

All in all, the real standouts are Thursday the 3rd morning for the glassy, small-stick session, and Monday the 7th morning for that clean, solid 7ft ESE swell. Wednesday the 9th morning is the big-wave highlight for the crew who can handle it. The long-range stuff from the 15th and 16th looks promising but the wind forecast is holding it back for now.

Rusty.

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