Asakawa Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it.

The next couple of weeks are a bit of a mixed bag, but there’s a clear window of proper waves if you’re patient. We’ve got a bit of a slow start, but things pick up for a solid stretch around the 6th and 7th, before fading out into smaller, cleaner conditions later on.

The first real window kicks off Friday afternoon with a rising swell, but it’s messy. We’re looking at 5ft of south swell at 10 seconds, but the wind is howling from the NNE at 22 mph, and it’s pouring with heavy rain. The energy is moderate (437), but it’s not going to be pretty. I’d give this one a miss unless you’re desperate for a beatdown.

Saturday and Sunday morning are cleaner with lighter winds, but the swell drops away. Saturday has 3ft and 3ft of S/SSW swell, and Sunday morning is similar at 3ft. They’re surfable, but pretty ordinary to be honest. Nothing here to get excited about.

Now, here’s the standout. Sunday afternoon (the 6th) into Monday (the 7th). We see a jump in size and energy. The swell kicks up to 8ft on Sunday afternoon from the ESE at 10 seconds, and the energy jumps right up to 1287 – that’s strong. The wind is cross-offshore from the NNE at 12 mph, which will keep the faces clean. It’s going to be a proper push. This is your window if you’re an intermediate or better. That’s over the 5ft mark, so it’s not for the beginners. Monday morning holds at 7ft from the SE, and by the afternoon it’s a bit smaller at 6ft but still packing a punch. These are the best days on offer. The crowd factor at Asakawa is “sometimes,” so you might actually get a few to yourself.

After this push, things settle down. The rest of the first week and the start of the second week are small, around 3ft to 4ft, with cross-off winds that keep things clean but pretty weak. The energy drops back into the low hundreds. A lot of it is marginal or poor.

Don’t sleep on Friday the 11th, though. The morning has a clean 4ft from the east with a light breeze and “good” surf conditions. It’s small, but it might be the most fun you’ll have on a longboard. The swell direction is a bit off the optimum for this stretch, but it’s clean.

Now, going into the second week proper, the waves get really small. From the 12th onward we’re in the 1.0ft to 3ft range. The standout from this section is Thursday the 12th – we see a 1.0ft, but it’s a long-period 15-second groundswell from the east. That’s a long period, which means it’ll be lining up nicely, but there’s just not a lot of size. It’s glassy in the morning with the energy is weak (103). I wouldn’t call it a surf day, more of a splash. The wind stays light and sometimes glassy through this period, but the waves just aren't there.

There’s a two-day run of clear, glassy mornings on the 13th and 16th, which will look amazing, but the swell is tiny. The energy numbers really bottom out, hitting the low 20s by the 19th. That’s as weak as it gets. There’s just no power.

So, overall – the standout is definitely Sunday the 6th and Monday the 7th. Get on it. The setup is for a point break, and a long-period ESE swell will likely make it wall up nicely. After that, it’s a waiting game and a long, flat spell. The water temp is a touch warmer than normal for the time of year, about 85°F, which is pretty tropical, so you won’t need much rubber.

This is Rusty, signing off.

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