Asakawa Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here, checkin’ in from the Asakawa (point) corner. Look, I’ll level with you – this forecast is a bit of a mixed bag. We’ve got some solid swell pulses punchin’ through, but the conditions are gonna be a real head-scratcher for most of it. The water’s a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, sittin’ at 85°, so at least you won’t need a wetsuit.

The first real chance to get wet hits Saturday afternoon, the 5th of September. It’s nothin’ to write home about – just 3 ft of SSW swell, period around 9 seconds, and the wave energy is weak (165). The wind is a cross-offshore from the NE, so it’ll be clean, but the surf is just ordinary. A real shoulder-shrugger.

Sunday, the 6th, is where things get interesting, but not in a good way. The morning sees a jump to 7 ft from the ESE, period 9 seconds, and the energy is strong (829). By the afternoon, it’s 8 ft (1152 energy). That’s a lot of power, but it’s pumpin’ with heavy rain and a 12 mph cross-off wind. The surf is labeled as marginal due to questionable tides. This is expert territory only – way too big for beginners.

Monday the 7th keeps the size up with 7 ft in the morning (924 energy) and 7 ft in the afternoon (759 energy), both from the SE. Wind is still a cross-off from the north, but the forecast is mixed with light rain. It’s still a messy, marginal setup best left to the pros.

Tuesday the 8th sees the swell drop back to a more manageable 4 ft in the morning (421 energy), then 3 ft (372 energy) in the afternoon. Wind is cross-off and clean, but the scores are low. It’s surfable, but nothin’ special.

Wednesday the 9th brings another pulse – 7 ft from the SSE in the morning (607 energy), droppin’ to 6 ft in the afternoon (472 energy). The wind is cross-off, but it’s rainin’ and the period is short at 8 seconds. That’s a junky, short-period chop.

From Thursday the 10th right through to Saturday the 20th of September, it’s a long, drawn-out run of poor surf. The energy drops right off into the weak zone (values of 211 and below), and the swell heights hover around 4 ft or less. There’s a little blip on Sunday the 13th – a 3 ft, 11-second-period groundswell from the south (273 energy) with light cross-off winds. The longer period will give it some shape, but it’s a tiny wave.

The real standouts, if you can wait, are on Sunday the 13th morning and again on Tuesday the 15th morning. The 13th has that 3 ft, 11-second groundswell with clean cross-off winds – that’s the best combo of the whole run. Then on Tuesday the 15th, we get a 3 ft swell from the ESE with a 9-second period and glassy conditions. The wind is dead calm (glass), makin’ for a beautiful, clean surface. The energy is moderate (303). It’s not a big day, but it’ll be a lovely, easy paddle with clean little waves.

Honestly, for a point break, those longer-period swells (11 seconds on the 13th) are a good sign – they’ll wrap in nicely. But the crowds are listed as “sometimes,” so don’t expect to have it to yourself on the best days.

For the rest of that second week, the swell is tiny (1.0 ft to 2 ft) and the energy is pathetic. There’s just nothin’ doin’.

So, if you’re keen, aim for the morning of Sunday the 13th or the Tuesday the 15th. The 13th is the pick for a bit of grunt with the 11-second period, but the 15th will be the cleanest, glassiest session. The rest is a write-off.

Rusty.

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