Asakawa Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cooking for Asakawa over the next couple of weeks.

We’re kicking off August 1st with barely a ripple – small 1 ft SE swell, light onshore breeze, and the water is sitting at 84°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year. Honestly, it’s a write-off for the first day. Nothing to paddle for.

But hold on, because Sunday morning August 2nd is where things start to get interesting. The swell jumps to 2 ft from the ESE, period stretching out to 18 seconds – that’s proper groundswell energy. The wind is light cross-offshore from the NE, and the water’s still warm. It’s small but clean, and that long period will give the waves some shape. The combined energy is moderate at 335, so don’t expect a lot of push, but for a point break like Asakawa, this long-period groundswell works a treat. The real standout, though, is Sunday afternoon. The swell bumps up to 4 ft from the ESE, still with a long 16-second period, and the wind stays light cross-offshore from the NNE. The combined energy jumps to 682 – moderate, but with very good surf conditions forecast. This is the pick of the early window. The water’s warm, the waves are clean, and the offshore wind is a major plus. Remember, Asakawa is a point break, so that long period will wrap in nicely.

Monday August 3rd sees the swell building to 5–5 ft ESE, still with that long 16-second period, but the wind swings onshore and cross-shore, leaving a light cross-chop. The energy is strong now (1272–1498), but the quality drops. It’s marginal. Tuesday August 4th gets even bigger, with 10 ft ESE swell and 17-second period, but the wind is onshore or cross-on, and the water’s getting messy. Combined energy is very strong (5327–6831), but it’s blown out. This is expert territory – too big for most.

Wednesday August 5th is a monster. The swell hits 15–16 ft from the SE, 17-second period, and the wind is light cross-shore from the ENE. The combined energy is massive (11588–14693). This is heavy, powerful groundswell – only for experienced surfers, and even then, it’s pushing the limits. The setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing with that size and cross-shore wind.

Thursday August 6th peaks at 20 ft with a 17-second period and moderate cross-shore wind – the combined energy is a staggering 20962. The guidance says it’s too big for this break. Then a stormy afternoon with onshore wind and 20 ft from the SSE – poor surf. Friday and Saturday continue the theme of big, messy swell with moderate cross-onshore winds and risk of storms. The water temperature is still warm, but the surf quality is poor.

By Sunday August 9th, the swell drops to 8 ft but the wind is still cross-onshore and choppy. Energy is still strong (3445) but conditions are poor. The following week, from August 10th to 15th, the swell steadily fades from 6 ft down to 2 ft, with onshore winds and poor surf conditions throughout. The combined energy drops from moderate (1435) to weak (158). It’s a long flat spell.

Then, right at the end of the window, Sunday August 16th morning brings a surprise. The swell picks up to 4 ft from the ESE, with a 9-second period, and the wind goes glassy from the SSE – 3 mph and glassy conditions. The combined energy is weak at 333, but the glassy wind and clean conditions make it a promising little session for the long-range forecast. It’s a long way out, so keep an eye on it, but it could be a nice finish.

Overall, the standout is Sunday afternoon August 2nd – 4 ft ESE, 16-second groundswell, light cross-offshore wind, clean waves, and warm water. That’s the one to circle. The rest of the period is either too big, too blown out, or too small, with a long gap of poor surf from August 10th to 15th.

Rusty.

Read more