Asakawa Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let me tell you about the coming swell window at Asakawa.

The next couple of weeks are looking pretty average for a point break that's usually a bit picky about when it turns on. There's a bit of action at the start, and possibly a late lingering pulse, but plenty of flat spells in between.

We kick off this Monday the 7th with a moderate SE groundswell pushing 5 ft to 6 ft and a period of 9 seconds. The energy is there, clocking in at 524 (moderate), but conditions are a bit average with a cross-offshore breeze. Tuesday the 8th looks cleaner; the swell drops to 4 ft-5 ft, switching around to the S with that same 9-second period, and lighter winds make for a tidier wave. The combined swell energy is moderate (421-547).

Wednesday the 9th sees a bit of a spike in size, with a solid 7 ft SSE swell hitting in the morning, giving a strong energy reading of 761. However, the wind goes junk with onshore and rain. The afternoon improves dramatically—the wind swings offshore from the N at 9 mph on a 5 ft SSE swell (345 energy). This is the first standout period. That offshore flow and 8-second period will make for clean, hollow lines on the point, but the swell is a bit punchy.

After that, it’s all downhill for a while. Thursday to early the following week, we've got a real dry spell. Thursday the 10th sees dropping swell (4 ft-4 ft, weak to moderate energy of 143-180) with moderate cross-off winds. Friday through Monday are dominated by tiny, weak waves, often under 3 ft, with combined energy dropping into double-digits. The water temp is about average for the time of year here.

A glimmer appears on Monday the 14th with an ESE swell rebuilding to 4 ft-5 ft and a 9-second period. The wind is mostly cross-off from the NE at 9 mph, giving cleanish conditions with moderate energy (330-608). This is the second, more modest opportunity. But Tuesday the 15th the wind turns onshore and the quality drops away again into poor.

We then hit another extended flat stretch. From Wednesday the 16th through the end of the third week, it’s mostly tiny or poor. Swell heights mostly below 3 ft, energy values sink to just 46 to 130. A couple of mornings have glassy conditions, but the surf is barely ankle-high.

Then, looking way out to Tuesday the 22nd, something interesting pops up. The data shows a clean, glassy morning with a tiny 2 ft swell, but check the period—19 seconds. That is very long-period groundswell energy, giving a combined energy of 362 (moderate). This is the most intriguing long-range prospect. At a point break, that long-period swell will wrap in beautifully and produce long, lined-up waves, even though it's small. It is very uncertain this far out, but if it materialises, it’ll be a hidden gem.

Overall, Wednesday afternoon the 9th is your best early bet—go for that offshore session. Keep an eye on Tuesday the 22nd for a potential late surprise. The rest of the window is mostly flat or ordinary.

Rusty.

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