Asakawa Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right, grab a coffee, and I'll talk you through the next sixteen days for Asakawa. It's a bleak start, not gonna lie. We're looking at a solid week of tiny, weak, and poorly directed waves before something finally shows up. Asakawa is a point break, and it's inconsistent at the best of times, so a blank run like this isn't unusual for the area. The water temperature is about average for the time of year, nothing to report there.

The first few days, from Saturday the 18th through to Thursday the 23rd, are a write-off. We're dealing with ankle-snappers, mostly 1 ft to 1 ft from the ESE, with weak combined energy – the highest in that stretch is just 45 (moderate wave energy). The winds are a mixed bag with some glassy mornings, but the swell just isn't there. You're better off finding a different hobby.

We do get a slight uptick on Friday the 24th of July. The morning sees a glassy 1 ft swell from the SE with a very long period of 18 seconds, and the combined energy hits 85 (moderate wave energy). It's surfable, but very ordinary. The real kicker is that the swell is long-period, which is good for a point break like Asakawa, but it's still tiny. Saturday morning the 25th is a little better, with 1 ft from the SE, a period of 16 seconds, and combined energy of 152 (moderate wave energy). Still glassy. These are the best of a very poor bunch, but I wouldn't be rushing out.

From Sunday the 26th, the swell starts to build but the wind turns cross-onshore, trashing the quality. We get 2 ft on Sunday, then 3 ft on Monday morning the 27th, with energy jumping to 323 (moderate wave energy). The real action starts on Monday afternoon the 27th, as the swell jumps to 6 ft from the SE with a period of 13 seconds and combined energy of 975 (strong wave energy). The wind is onshore, but the size is coming.

Tuesday the 28th of July is the first real standout. Tuesday morning, we're looking at a 7 ft swell from the SE with a period of 12 seconds. The combined energy hits 1754 (strong wave energy). The wind is a light cross-onshore, but at 7 ft, it's getting serious. That's going to be big and powerful at Asakawa. It's a point break, so the long-period groundswell will wrap in nicely, but it's getting heavy. This is getting into expert territory for the bigger sets.

Wednesday the 29th of July is the biggest day of the period. The morning has a 10 ft swell from the SSE, period of 14 seconds, and combined energy of 3678 (very strong wave energy). The afternoon sees 12 ft from the same direction with energy of 4815 (very strong wave energy). This is massive. The wind is a light cross-onshore, but the size is the story. This is strictly for experts only. The point break will handle the size, but it's going to be a beast.

From Thursday the 30th of July, the wind picks up to a moderate cross-onshore, and the swell drops slightly but remains huge – 13 ft on Thursday with energy over 8000 (very strong wave energy). The quality is poor due to the wind and rain. Friday the 31st of July is the best of the big swell run. The morning shows a 16 ft swell from the S with a period of 15 seconds and a massive combined energy of 10788 (very strong wave energy). The wind is a gentle cross-onshore, which is actually manageable. The afternoon is similar, 15 ft from the S with 9505 energy. This is a full-on, solid, powerful groundswell for the point. It's a standout for size and power, but again, only for the brave.

Saturday the 1st of August sees the wind turning nasty, with a fresh cross-shore breeze and the swell dropping to 13 ft from the S. The energy is still massive but the conditions are messy. By Sunday the 2nd, it's a grim, windy, rainy mess, with the swell dropping to 12 ft from the SSW. That's a wrap.

So, to be brutally honest, if you're looking for clean, fun waves, you're out of luck. The best bet is Monday the 27th through Wednesday the 29th of July for the biggest, most powerful swell, but it's not for the faint-hearted. If you're a competent surfer on a big-wave gun, Friday the 31st of July morning is the pick of the bunch for the sheer size and energy. For everyone else, maybe take up golf.

Rusty.

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