Asakawa Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it. We’ve got a bit of a slow start with Asakawa, but there’s something brewing out there for the patient surfer.

Right now, through the end of July, it’s pretty flat. We’re looking at tiny waves, mostly around 0.7ft to 1ft from the ESE, with not enough energy to get excited about. The combined swell energy is weak, sitting in the low double digits (22 to 77). The wind is a mixed bag, with some glassy mornings on Tuesday, Wednesday, and Thursday that would make the water look like a mirror, but there’s just no push. The 24th of July sees a glimmer with a very long period 18-second swell sneaking in from the SE, but it’s still only 1.0ft. The water temp is about average for the time of year, nothing wild.

The real action starts to build around the 27th of July. Monday morning the swell lifts to 4ft from the SSE, and the energy jumps to 612 – that’s moderate energy. The wind is light cross-shore, keeping things a little bumpy. By Monday afternoon, it’s 5ft from the S with a 12-second period. Tuesday the 28th is where it gets serious: a solid 10ft groundswell from the S hitting with a 15-second period, and the energy is cranking at 3416. That’s strong. But the wind is cross-onshore, so it’s not going to be perfect. This is a big, powerful swell. For a point break like Asakawa, that long period will wrap in nicely, but the 10ft is too big for beginners. It’s expert territory.

The standout moment might be the 27th of July Monday afternoon. That 5ft swell from the S, with that 12-second period, combined with the light onshore wind, won’t be pristine, but it’s the first real sign of life. The 28th morning has the size, but the wind is a bit of a letdown. The big dog is the 1st of August, but that’s 8 days away. The forecast shows a 16ft monster from the S with a 14-second period, and energy levels going through the roof at 10535. But the wind is howling onshore at 19 mph, and there’s a risk of thunderstorms. That’s a full-on, angry ocean. Only for the truly experienced, and even then, it’s going to be a battle.

From the 31st of July through the 4th of August, the swell stays big, 8ft to 13ft, mostly from the SSW, but the wind is consistently cross-onshore or onshore, creating chop and poor conditions. The 4th of August Tuesday morning offers a drop in size to 5ft from the ESE, with a very long 18-second period. The energy is still strong at 2601, and the wind is light cross-onshore. That could be a redeeming moment, much cleaner than the days before, but it’s a long way out.

So, the best on offer? If you’ve got the skills, the 28th of July Tuesday morning has the biggest, most powerful swell of the early window, but the wind is against it. For a cleaner, more manageable wave, keep an eye on the 27th of July Monday afternoon. That’s the one that might actually deliver a fun session. The 4th of August is a promising, long-range whisper.

Rusty out.

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