Asakawa Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it.

The long-range picture has a bit of a rough start, but there’s a proper pulse lurking a week and a half out that’s worth keeping an eye on. The first few days are a bit messy, with cross-shore and cross-onshore winds messing with the swell. It’s not a total washout, but you’ll be working for it.

The first real window is Wednesday morning, August 5th. The swell is a solid 15ft from the ESE at 16 seconds, which is proper groundswell. The wind is light cross from the ENE, so it’ll be a touch textured but not terrible. The energy is strong, reading 9886, and the water is a touch warmer than usual at 84°F, which is a bit notable for the time of year. This is a big, powerful wave, so it’s not for the faint of heart. It might be a bit much for beginners, but for the experienced crew, it’s got some punch.

The rest of that first week is a downgrade. By Thursday afternoon, the wind picks up and it gets choppy, and it stays that way through the weekend. The swell drops, the wind swings onshore, and there’s a lot of cross-chop. It’s not worth paddling out for unless you’re desperate for a fight. There are a few stormy periods with that easterly wind, so it’s going to be a messy few days.

Then we hit a bit of a lull from Monday the 10th through to the 14th. The swell drops off hard, and while there are some glassy mornings, the waves are small and weak. The 11th and 12th have some clean, glassy conditions, but the swell is only around 4ft to 5ft from the SSW. There’s a window on the morning of the 11th with zero wind and a 4ft SSW swell at 12 seconds, but it’s pretty gutless. It’s surfable but not worth getting excited about.

Here’s the standout. The swell arrives on Tuesday, August 19th. The morning is looking like the pick of the whole period. We’ve got a 13ft swell from the SE at 15 seconds, with light offshore cross-off winds from the NE. The energy is strong at 6081, and the conditions are clean. This is a proper groundswell, and at a point break like Asakawa, that long period should wrap in nicely. This is the one you’ve been waiting for. It’s big, so it’s strictly for the experienced surfers—this is well over 8ft, so the beginners need to stay on the beach. The afternoon before, on the 18th, has some promise too, with a 4ft SE swell at 18 seconds, but the morning of the 19th is the one.

The last couple of days look like a step down again, with the swell backing off and the wind turning onshore, but that one morning is the golden ticket.

So, in short: the next week is mostly a struggle, but hold out for Tuesday the 19th. That’s your day.

Rusty

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