Asakawa Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right, folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at the next 16 days for Asakawa. It’s a point break, inconsistent, and it shows. The start of the run is a write-off, but there’s a couple of moments that’ll get the blood pumping.

For the first few days, we’re in the doldrums. From Thursday 27th August right through to the end of the month, it’s pretty grim. You’ve got cross-onshore winds and tiny, weak swell. The energy is weak (between 87 and 210), and the wave comment is all “poor surf conditions.” Friday 28th afternoon and Sunday 30th morning have a glimmer – glassy or clean conditions – but with ankle-to-knee high swell and periods around 8 seconds, it’s barely a session. Honestly, not worth paddling out for.

Then, Monday 31st August morning looks like the first real chance. The sky clears, the wind goes glassy, and we see a 4ft SSE swell pushing in at a 10-second period. The combined energy is moderate (289). The wave comment says “expect good surf conditions.” It’s a small window, but it’s clean and the best on offer in the first week. The water temp is about average for this time of year.

But hold on, because the real story starts after a gap of poor conditions. From Tuesday 1st September through to Monday 7th September, the wind stays onshore or cross-onshore, often fresh, and the swell gets big but messy. The wave comment is mostly “poor surf conditions.” The energy is strong to very strong (between 810 and 2275), but it’s all blown out. It’s a beach-and-reef setup, so honestly, with that much wind and lumpy water, it looks more interesting for the kite crew than for paddle surfing.

Then, Wednesday 9th September morning. That’s the standout. The wind goes glassy, the rain showers clear, and we get a solid 6ft S swell at a very long 14-second period. The combined energy is strong (1225). The wave comment is “expect very good surf conditions.” This is a groundswell – long period, fat lines – so at a point break like Asakawa, that’s the perfect recipe. It’s a bit much for beginners at over 5ft, but for the experienced crew, Wednesday 9th afternoon is even better. Swell bumps to 7ft from the S, still glassy, same very long period, with the energy jumping to 1849. The wave comment says “excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers.” That’s your pick of the entire forecast.

Thursday 10th September morning keeps the glassy, clean conditions with a 6ft S swell (13 seconds, energy 1503) – another “excellent” call. By the afternoon, the wind goes light cross-onshore, and the quality drops a touch. Friday 11th September morning cleans up again with a cross-offshore wind and a 6ft SSE swell at 11 seconds. The energy is very strong (2253), and the wave comment is “excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers.”

So, the two true standouts? Wednesday 9th September afternoon and Thursday 10th September morning. Both have glassy conditions, a solid S groundswell at a very long period, and powerful energy. It’s a point break, so those long lines will set up beautifully. It’s a promising window, but it’s a week and a half away, so keep an eye on the charts. The rest of the run is a waiting game. Stay salty, folks. Rusty.

Read more