Asakawa Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, mates, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for our stretch of coast over the next couple of weeks. It’s a bit of a slow burner, but there’s some serious size lurking out there for those who can handle it.

The next few days are pretty flat, to be honest. We've got a few small pulses of energy through Thursday and Friday, but they're weak. The swell energy is down in the double digits, which just isn't enough to get anything going properly. You’ll see some lines on the 21st and 22nd, but it's small – around 3ft with a short 9-second period. The south-east wind will be light in the mornings, but it swings onshore in the afternoon, chopping things up. It's not worth getting too excited about yet.

There’s a bit more push on Sunday the 24th, as the energy starts to build, but the swell is still pretty weak and the wind is on it, so it's going to be messy and hard to read. We're really waiting for the main event.

And that event looks like it's shaping up for Tuesday the 25th. This is where things get serious. The swell jumps to 8ft early with a long, 16-second period, and the energy reading is strong. The wind is light offshore and glassy early, which is going to make it clean. This is a proper groundswell, and it's coming from the SE. This will be big and powerful, so it's not for the faint of heart. If you’re an experienced surfer, this is your window. The afternoon sees it bump up to 8ft, but the wind comes onshore, so get on it early.

The swell keeps building through Wednesday the 26th, but the wind starts to turn against us. We're looking at 11-15ft of SE swell with a 17-second period, but with a cross-shore breeze and some rain around. The energy is massive. This is a lot of water moving around, and the quality is going to suffer. It might be more interesting for the kite crew than for us paddle surfers.

By the 27th, things get properly wild and ugly. The swell peaks at 18ft, but with a strong cross-onshore wind and rain, it’s going to be a washing machine. There's no way you want to be out there. The conditions stay rough and stormy through the 28th and 29th, with more rain and strong winds. The swell is still big, but it's a total mess. This is not a time for a surf.

After that storm blows through, things finally start to clean up. By Monday the 31st, the swell has settled to a still-chunky 7ft with a 14-second period and the wind is a light cross-offshore. The energy is still solid. This looks like a much better proposition. Glassy conditions return on Monday afternoon and into Tuesday the 1st, but the swell has jumped back up to 11ft. That’s big, make no mistake. But with no wind and that long period, the point should be handling it well.

As we move into the first week of September the pattern is looking promising, but as always with these longer-range forecasts, we’ll have to see how it plays out. We’re looking at solid 10-11ft swells early in the week, with clean, offshore winds. Wednesday the 2nd and Thursday the 3rd are looking like the pick of the second week. The swell comes down a touch to that 7ft range, but the wind is offshore and the energy is still strong. This will be proper, clean, lined-up surf. It’s a promising long-range call, but don’t book your flights just yet.

So, the standout days are Tuesday the 25th for the big and powerful early session, and then the 31st and 3rd of September for the cleaner, more manageable swells with offshore winds.

Rusty out.

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