Asakawa Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it. The next couple of weeks are going to be a bit of a mixed bag for us at Asakawa. There’s a decent pulse of energy early on, but the wind is going to be the main character for the first few days, and not in a good way.

The first real window starts Thursday the 6th, but it’s more of a warning than a welcome. We’re looking at a solid 16.4ft SE swell, driven by an east wind at 15.5 mph. It’s cross-on and choppy, with plenty of energy but it’s going to be a battle. That’s more of a washing machine than a wave. We’ll see those conditions continue into Friday the 7th, with the swell dropping from 13.1ft down to 11.5ft through the day. The wind eases a bit to 12.4 mph, but it’s still cross-on and messy. Saturday the 8th, the swell drops to around 6.9ft in the morning and 5.9ft in the afternoon, but the wind is still on it, keeping things fairly choppy. It’s surfable, but you’ll be scratching for a clean one.

Now, here’s the light at the end of the tunnel. Sunday the 9th is our first real standout. The wind goes glassy, absolutely dead, in the morning with a light ESE breeze. The swell drops to a clean 3.3ft, but the period is a solid 13 seconds, direction ESE. The energy is moderate, but the conditions will be perfect. This is the cleanest, most inviting surf we’ll see in this run, even if it’s on the smaller side. That’s the one to get out for.

The early part of next week, Monday the 10th and Tuesday the 11th, is a bit of a lull. We’re looking at small, 3.3ft to 3.9ft swells, with light winds. Tuesday morning actually cleans up again with a bit of glass, so there might be a fun little wave for a log. But it’s not a headline. By Wednesday the 12th, the swell drops right off to 2.6ft. The morning is glassy, and the afternoon even has a bit of rain with glass. It’s small, but on the point, it could be playful.

From Thursday the 13th through Saturday the 15th, things get pretty desperate. The swell bottoms out, the winds go a bit cross, and we’re looking at surf in the 2.0ft to 2.6ft range. This is the real flat spell. A few days with almost nothing on offer. You might find a knee-high ripple, but it’s honestly not worth paddling out for.

We start to see a pulse of life around Sunday the 16th. It’s a bit of a weird one – the swell comes up to around 3.9ft to 4.3ft, but the period is a short 6 seconds. It’s going to be a bit bumpy and lack power. The afternoon on the 16th is glassy, so it might be rideable, but it’s not going to be pretty.

The new energy really starts to build from Monday the 17th. We see a jump to 5.6ft ESE, and while the period is only 10 seconds, it’s a sign of things to come. That morning is a bit onshore, but the energy is there.

Now, for the true standout of the second week, look to the morning of Tuesday the 18th. The swell builds to 6.9ft, the direction is ESE, and the wind goes completely glassy. The period is a short 7 seconds, so it’ll be a bit crumbly and not have that real push, but it’s head-high and clean. For Asakawa, that’s a classic morning. That’s the one to mark in the diary. The following week, the 19th and 20th, looks promising too, with 5.2ft to 6.2ft ESE swell and light, clean winds, especially the afternoon of the 20th. These are looking like the best days of the run, but being that far out, we’ll keep our fingers crossed.

So to sum it up: if you can get out Sunday the 9th for the clean, small waves, do it. Otherwise, the Tuesday the 18th morning is shaping up to be the biggest and cleanest of the run. The water is running about 2.2° warmer than usual, so a touch on the tropical side. Get on it.

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