Monabe Rivermouth Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Righto, let's have a look at what's on the cards for Monabe Rivermouth. It's a tricky little river mouth setup that rarely breaks, so when it does, you gotta be on it. The water's sitting at 77°, pretty much where you'd expect for this time of year.

Truth be told, the next week and a half looks mostly frustrating. We've got a long quiet spell from now right through to the end of Saturday the 6th of July. The swell that's around is tiny – 1.0ft to 2ft – and mostly from the ESE or SE with weak energy (30 to 168). There's a moment on Sunday morning the 5th with 1ft SE swell at 11 seconds (62 combined energy) and glassy conditions, but it's just too small to get excited about. Monday morning the 6th has 2ft, 16-second SE groundswell (168 energy) and glassy, but again, it's barely breaking.

Then things ramp up in a big way. Tuesday the 7th of July morning: the swell jumps to 3ft, but the period is a massive 18 seconds from the SE, and the combined energy is up at 1010 – that's moderate energy with very long-period groundswell. The wind is glassy. This is the first real standout. Long-period waves on a river mouth can be a bit straight, but if the banks are right, the sets will have real shape and power.

Wednesday the 8th of July morning is where it gets serious for the experienced crew. We're looking at 10ft of SE swell at 17 seconds, with glassy conditions and the combined energy roaring at 5040. That is strong wave energy. This is proper, heavy, expert-only territory. The river mouth will be handling a lot of water.

The absolute pick of the entire outlook is Friday the 10th of July morning. The swell hits 15ft from the S at 18 seconds, with glassy conditions and a massive 13289 combined energy – that's very strong wave energy. That is a massive, long-period south groundswell. For an experienced surfer who knows the river mouth's ins and outs, this could be an epic, heavy session. The afternoon has 16ft, but the wind goes onshore and questionable, so the morning glass-off is the window.

After that, the 11th sees nothing, then we're back to small, weak, and ordinary for the rest of the run. A few days of 1.0ft to 3ft junk from the 12th to the 19th of July, with poor surf conditions and weak energy (mostly under 100). Nothing worth paddling out for.

All in all, keep your eyes on the morning of Tuesday the 7th for a taste of quality, but the true standouts for the big dogs are the mornings of Wednesday the 8th and Friday the 10th of July. That Friday morning glass-off with the 15ft south groundswell is the one to circle on the calendar – promising, but with a long-range forecast so stay tuned.

Rusty.

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