Monabe Rivermouth Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G'day, Rusty here, and I've gotta tell you, the next 16 days are a wild ride, starting with a real bang then a long, frustrating lull. We're kicking off with a proper standout, but you'll need to be patient and pick your moments.

Right off the bat, Monday August 3rd, Monabe Rivermouth is the place to be. The water is a touch warmer than normal, sitting at 85°, and it's glassy. We've got a 5 ft swell rolling in from the ESE, with a very long 16-second period groundswell. The energy is pumping at 1389, and it's going to be clean. This is a rare treat, so if you can get down there Monday morning, do it. Keep in mind, this spot rarely breaks, so when it's on, it's on. Crowds are possible, but it'll be worth it.

The quality builds through the week. Tuesday afternoon the 4th sees it jump to 12 ft, still glassy and from the ESE with a 17-second period. That's a massive 8198 energy reading. Wednesday morning the 5th is the absolute peak for the whole period: 16 ft, glassy, 17-second ESE groundswell, and 13904 energy. But listen, this is big. Anything over 8 ft is only for experts, and 16 ft is serious. This is a ripper, but it's a heavy, heavy wave. The river mouth setup will handle the long period, but it's not for the faint-hearted.

By Thursday the 6th, the swell is up to 23 ft from the SE, still with a 17-second period. The energy is off the charts at 30297. But the wind swings to a cross-offshore and then a cross-shore, and it's blowing 18-19 mph. This setup is looking more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing. The sheer size and wind will make it a mess for a standard board.

Then it all goes south. From Friday the 7th, the wind is onshore and the swell drops. There's a massive gap from Saturday the 8th all the way through to Sunday the 16th of August where conditions are just ordinary. You'll see some small waves, but the wind is either cross, cross-on, or the period drops to 8-9 seconds, making it weak and choppy. The energy readings are below 1000, and it's just not worth paddling out.

There is a tiny glimmer on Monday the 17th of August. The wind goes glassy again, and we get a 8 ft, 11-second E swell. That's a bit of a return to form with 1499 energy, but it's a long way off and not the same quality as that first week.

So, to sum it up: the first few days, especially Monday morning, Tuesday afternoon, and Wednesday morning, are the real deal. After that, you're on the beach for a solid week and a half. It's a classic case of a short, sharp hit of glory, then a long wait.

Rusty.

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