Monabe Rivermouth Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here with a look at what we’ve got on the cards. This is going to be a real tale of two halves for Monabe-Rivermouth – a whole lot of nothing, then a serious pulse of energy.

First up, we have to wade through a slow start. The water temperature is sitting at about 77°, which is pretty normal for this time of year. From now through the first week of July, it's dead. There’s tiny swell, poor conditions, and nothing worth paddling out for. That's a gap of nearly four days with nothing to recommend.

Things start to stir on Monday the 6th. The combined swell energy climbs to 130 with a tiny 2ft glassy swell from the SE, but it’s still reporting poor conditions. Not enough to get excited about.

Tuesday the 7th is where we finally see a pulse. The early morning glass-off with a 4ft SE groundswell (14 seconds) and a massive jump in combined energy to 1196 should have the river mouth starting to show some shape. The wind is glassy from the WSW, making for clean conditions. This is the first real chance of the run. By the afternoon though, the size jumps to 6ft and the wind swings onshore, getting a bit lumpy.

Now, Wednesday the 8th is for the brave. The swell is pushing 10ft from the SE with a groundswell period of 17 seconds. That’s a lot of water moving. Energy is at 8033 – we are in strong territory. But the wind is cross-onshore, which will muss it up. This is a big, raw ocean.

The real standout is Thursday the 9th and Friday the 10th. Thursday morning brings a clean, glassy 12ft SSE groundswell (16 seconds). The energy is a massive 7130, and the comment is "excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers." That is the call. This is a serious, powerful groundswell with long periods, perfect for a rivermouth setup that can handle that direction. The wind is light and glassy from the SSW. This is the day for the crew who can handle heavy water. Friday the 10th doubles down, with a 13ft morning glass-off from the S. Energy hits 9888. Again, excellent conditions for experienced surfers. If you are an expert, this is your window. But be warned, at this size, it is not for beginners.

The swell drops out fast after that, with a flat Saturday the 11th.

There is a little blip on Sunday the 12th with a 5ft SSE swell, but the conditions are described as "very ordinary." Not worth the mission.

We then see another gap of quiet days until the 16th and 17th. On Thursday the 17th of July, another big SSE groundswell (12ft) is on the cards with a 15-second period and energy of 6110. The wind is onshore though, making it a bit of a power-chop session. It’s more for the charger than the cruiser.

So to sum it up: ignore the first week. The best on offer is Thursday the 9th and Friday the 10th for experienced surfers looking for big, clean, powerful groundswell at the rivermouth. After that, it fades again.

Rusty.

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