Monabe Rivermouth Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Let’s break down the next couple of weeks for Monabe Rivermouth. It’s a real game of patience, with a few clean windows but a lot of chop.

The main story is a big pulse of swell this weekend that gets trashed by the wind, followed by a long lull. The one true standout is Sunday morning, August 9th. That’s your best chance at a proper session. The wave energy peaks hard on Friday at (5590), but it’s all wind. The cleanest real surf comes Sunday morning.

Here’s the run-down:

Friday, August 7th (Afternoon): Solid 13ft swell from the SSE, but it’s a total mess. Cross-onshore wind at 15 mph will chop it to pieces. Wave energy is massive (5590), but you’re better off waiting. Water temp is 85°, a touch warmer than normal.

Saturday, August 8th (Morning): Swell drops to 7ft from the S, with a light cross-shore wind. It’s marginal. Energy is still strong (1887). Afternoon goes smaller and onshore.

Sunday, August 9th (Morning): This is the one. A clean 5ft E swell, with a long 13-second period. The wind is glassy, just a slight air from the SSE. This is what we wait for. The energy is solid (1043), and the waves will have some punch. The afternoon turns onshore, so get in early.

Monday, August 10th (Morning): Glassy again, with a 4ft E swell (12-second period). Moderate energy (790). It’s surfable, but ordinary. Onshore in the afternoon.

Tuesday, August 11th (Morning): Glassy, but the swell is tiny at 3ft from the E. Very low energy (160). A barely-there wave.

Wednesday, August 12th through Friday, August 14th: A real flat spell. Swell stays small, wind is messy, and energy drops into the low hundreds. Friday morning the 14th has a glassy 3ft S swell, but it’s weak.

Saturday, August 15th (Morning): Glassy again, with a 5ft E swell. Moderate energy (574). The period is short at 9 seconds, so the waves will be soft. The afternoon gets a bigger 6ft E swell (12-second period, 1456 energy), but it’s cross-onshore again.

Sunday, August 16th through Tuesday, August 19th: Mostly small and messy. The standout in this stretch is Wednesday morning, August 19th. A solid 8ft ESE swell (9-second period, 929 energy) with glassy conditions. That’s big, only for the experienced, but clean. The short period means it might be a bit lumpy.

Thursday, August 20th and beyond: The swell fades. A 7ft E swell on Thursday morning is glassy, but the period is short (7 seconds) and energy is moderate (727). The rest of the forecast is small and glassy, but with very little punch.

So, my advice: Sunday morning, August 9th is your day. The other real shot is Wednesday morning, August 19th, but that’s a bigger, more challenging swell. Everything else is a waiting game.

Rusty.

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