Monabe Rivermouth Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for this stretch of coast.

To be straight with you, the next week or so is pretty quiet. There’s a lot of clean, glassy mornings with tiny swell – we’re talking 1.0ft to 2ft – and the combined energy is weak, often under 100. It’s not doing much at all. The waves are there, but they’re barely a bump. You’d be scratching for a ride. This lull runs right through until the end of July and into the first few days of August.

The one big standout is a major pulse that arrives around the 4th of August and builds into a monster. The real gem is Monday morning, the 10th of August. That’s when things get wild. But before that, on the 8th of August, we’ve got some serious energy.

Let’s talk about the main event. The best of the best is Saturday morning, the 8th of August. Monabe Rivermouth is a river break, and it’s a rare one. It rarely breaks, so when it does, you pay attention. The swell is pumping from the ESE at 28ft, with a very long period of 19 seconds – that’s proper groundswell. The combined energy is a massive 50128, which is very strong. The wind is a moderate offshore from the N at 16 mph, keeping it clean. The water temp is 85°, which is a whopping 4° warmer than normal – much warmer than average for this time of year. This is a setup for experts only. That 28ft is way over the 8ft mark, so it’s too big for beginners. The long period and ESE direction will suit this river break well, but it’s going to be a wild, powerful beast. Crowds are sometimes a problem here, so with a rare, massive swell, expect company.

The morning of the 7th of August is also a cracker for the brave. Friday morning has a 16ft swell from the ESE at 18 seconds, with glassy conditions. The energy is 16165, still very strong. That’s another expert-only session.

By the 8th, Saturday afternoon, the wind swings to a cross-offshore from the NE at 22 mph, but the swell is up to 30ft, so it’s still huge and powerful.

Now, the 9th of August swings into the danger zone. The swell is 46ft on Sunday morning, with a cross-onshore near gale at 34 mph. That’s too big for this break, and the wind is going to make it a mess. The afternoon isn’t much better. This is more of a kite surfing show, if you ask me, not a paddle session.

The 10th of August, Monday morning, the swell is still a solid 21ft from the S at 12 seconds, but the wind is onshore from the S at 9 mph. It’s holding some size, but the quality drops off.

So, the long story short: the first week is a write-off. The action starts on the 4th of August and builds to a massive peak on the 8th. For the true standouts, lock in Saturday morning, the 8th of August, at Monabe Rivermouth for the biggest, cleanest, most powerful swell of the window. That’s the one you want to be on. The morning of the 7th is your second pick. Everything else before that is a flat spell or just too big and ragged.

Rusty.

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