Monabe Rivermouth Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s in the water for Monabe Rivermouth over the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, I’ll be straight with you: this outlook is a tough one. The break is a river mouth, very sheltered, and it rarely breaks. That’s the reality here. The next 16 days are a real mixed bag, and honestly, the best window is a narrow one right at the start.

We’ve got a real standout on Wednesday, August 26th, in the morning. The wind is glassy out of the SSW at just 3 mph, and we’re looking at a 8 ft swell from the S with a long 11-second period. The wave energy is thumping at 1464 (moderate), and the conditions are calling for glassy surf. This is the best on offer without a doubt. That long period, southerly swell is perfect for a river mouth setup, and the glassy wind will make it clean. It’s a rare treat, so if you can get out there, go. The water temperature is about average for the time of year.

After that Wednesday morning window, things get messy. The afternoon sees an onshore wind and a drop in size, and the rest of the week into the weekend is a write-off with poor conditions. There’s a gap of several days with no real recommendations.

The following week, starting Tuesday, September 1st, the swell really kicks up, but so does the wind. We’re talking 8 ft to 13 ft southerly swells, but with strong onshore and cross-shore winds from the ESE and SSE. The wave energy gets huge (up to 9267 on the 3rd), but the wind is just too strong, and the conditions are messy. This is one for the experts only, and even then, the wind is a problem. For a beach or river setup, this is looking more like a kiteboarding session than a paddle surf.

Later in the second week, around September 7th and 8th, we see another big pulse of swell – up to 20 ft on the 7th afternoon – with moderate cross-shore winds. The conditions are described as “marginal,” but the energy is massive (19392). Again, that’s big, unruly stuff for a river mouth, and it’s only for the very experienced.

So, to sum it up: the only real window is that Wednesday morning, August 26th. After that, you’re looking at a long stretch of poor conditions or oversized, wind-affected waves. The break is inconsistent, so this blank run is a bit more normal for the area. But forecasts can change, so keep an eye on it.

Rusty.

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