Monabe Rivermouth Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty. Let's have a look at what's coming up at Monabe Rivermouth.

Honestly, the next couple of weeks are a tough watch. We’ve got some serious size coming through, especially early on, but the conditions are going to be a mess for most of it. This is a river-mouth setup that's very sheltered, and it needs everything to line up just right to be any good. The opening days, August 6th and 7th, are the main event in terms of swell size – we're talking a solid 16ft to 18ft of south-east groundswell rolling in, with a long 14 to 15-second period. That's a lot of water moving around, with the combined energy hitting some big numbers (12,237 at its peak). But the wind is blowing straight across it from the east, so it’ll be lumpy and chopped up. The water temperature is sitting at a balmy 85°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year.

The standout window, and really the only time it looks worth paddling out, is the morning of Sunday, August 9th. The swell drops right back to a much more manageable 4ft from the east, with that same long 13-second period. More importantly, the wind goes glassy out of the south-east. That’s clean, smooth conditions. The energy is moderate (850), but for this spot, that glassy surface is gold. It won't be the biggest you've ever surfed, but it'll be the best quality you'll see. The only catch is this break rarely breaks at all, and even then it's only for intermediates. Don't expect perfection, but conditions will be better.

After that Sunday morning, it’s a slow fade into a long, flat spell. From the afternoon of the 9th all the way through to the 21st of August, the swell drops under 5ft, often sitting below 3ft. The wind is mostly onshore or cross-onshore, and nearly every session is rated as poor. There are a few glassy mornings in there, like the 13th and 15th, but the swell is too small and weak to do much with. It’s a long stretch of quiet water. The 19th and 20th mornings show a little bump back up to 4-5ft, but the wind is light and onshore, so it’ll be bumpy. Nothing here to get excited about.

So, bottom line: if you want the best of what’s on offer, you’re looking at the glassy Sunday morning, August 9th. Get on it early. The rest is a waiting game.

- Rusty

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