Monabe Rivermouth Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it for Monabe Rivermouth. This is a tricky little spot, and it’s a slow start.

Right now, the first week is pretty much a write-off. We’ve got tiny ankle-biters of 1ft to 2ft from the SE, with short periods, and the combined energy is weak (48-87). The water is a touch warmer than normal at 84°, but it doesn’t help. The break is called "rarely breaks" for a reason. It’s going to be frustratingly flat until the end of the first week.

The first real glimmer of hope comes early on Sunday, the 2nd of August. The swell bumps up to 2ft in the morning from the ESE, and the period stretches to a very long 15 seconds. The combined energy jumps to a moderate 200. That’s promising, but the surf is still just "surfable" – not great. The glassy morning winds will make it look better than it is.

Now, hold on to your board. Monday, the 3rd of August, is when things get interesting. The morning brings a solid 6ft groundswell from the ESE at a very long 17 seconds. The combined energy is strong (2023), and with glassy SSW winds, the conditions are set to be "very good." This is the standout window for the period. Beginners will find it a bit much at 6ft, but for intermediates, it’s a go. The long period does mean it might wall up at the beach, so keep an eye on the tide.

The swell builds even more overnight. Tuesday morning, the 4th, has 10ft from the ESE at 18 seconds, with combined energy of 6137. That’s big, but the wind is onshore and the forecast is "marginal." This is now expert territory, and the quality is questionable.

The monster swell arrives on Wednesday, the 5th of August. The morning has 21ft from the ESE at 19 seconds, with a massive combined energy of 29550. The wind is glassy. This is "exceptional" for expert surfers only. Anything over 8ft is for the pros, and this is triple that. It’s a rare, powerful event, but the break might not handle it well.

Thursday, the 6th, is even bigger: 31ft from the SE. The energy is astronomical (76155), but the forecast says it’s too big for this break. The wind is clean and cross-off, but the size makes it dangerous for paddle surfing. The setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

After that, the swell drops fast. Friday, the 7th, is messy with strong cross-shore winds and poor conditions. The rest of the second week is a mix of small, weak swells and poor-quality wind, with a few glassy mornings giving tiny, mediocre waves. The only other notable moment is Thursday, the 13th of August, with a 18ft swell from the E, but it’s a messy cross-off wind and marginal conditions – not a recommendation.

The best of the whole run is clearly the Monday morning, the 3rd of August. Good size, clean conditions, and a long-period groundswell that should have some punch. The Wednesday morning, the 5th, is a once-in-a-blue-moon event for experts only.

Rusty.

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