Monabe Rivermouth Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it.

First up, we’ve got Monabe Rivermouth. This is a river mouth setup that only rarely breaks, so we need to be patient. The water temperature is sitting at 77°, which is a bit colder than normal for this time of year – about 3° cooler than average, so you’ll feel that difference.

The pattern kicks off on Thursday, 9th July with a solid 10ft swell from the SSE, but it’s blown out by onshore winds. The swell energy is pumping (3403), but the conditions are marginal, and the tide’s likely an issue. Not the day.

Friday, 10th July morning is the standout of the entire forecast period. We’ve got a 13ft swell from the S, with a long 17-second period – that’s proper groundswell energy. The wind goes glassy, and the combined energy is massive (7851). This is a big, powerful wave. Over 8ft, so this is for experienced surfers only. The long period means the river mouth setup could be a bit tricky, but if the tide plays ball, it’ll be a proper session. The afternoon stays onshore, so get it early.

After that, it drops off hard. From Saturday, 11th July through to the end of the week, we’re looking at flat to tiny waves – nothing over 3ft until the following week. The swell energy stays below 100 for days, and most of it is poor surf conditions. There’s a long gap of about 8 days with hardly anything worth paddling out for.

Things start to look up again on Sunday, 19th July morning. The swell builds to 6ft from the ESE, with a 13-second period, and it’s glassy. The combined energy is 950 – moderate, but the conditions are clean. The afternoon gets onshore, so morning is the go.

Monday, 20th July morning is another one to circle. Swell jumps to 8ft from the SE, 14-second period, glassy winds, and the energy is strong (2414). This is getting big again, into the expert-only zone, but the river mouth could handle it.

From Tuesday, 21st July onwards, the swell stays big – 12ft to 13ft – but the winds turn cross-on or onshore, and the quality drops. The period drops to 12-13 seconds, and the conditions are marked as marginal. The last real hope is Friday, 24th July morning, with a 7ft SSE swell, 12-second period, and glassy conditions. The energy is moderate (1442), and it’s a clean option for the end of the run.

Overall, this is a classic case of a rare break that fires for one morning, then goes quiet for over a week, then offers a few more solid but tricky days. The only true standout is Friday, 10th July morning – get it while it’s there.

Rusty.

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