Monabe Rivermouth Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty. Let’s have a look at what’s shaping up for the Monabe Rivermouth area.

Well, the first thing to say is that we’ve got some serious size coming in, but this spot is a tricky one. It’s a rivermouth and it rarely breaks, so when it does, it’s a special event, but you’ve got to nail the timing. The water is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, coming in at 85°, so that’s a nice bonus.

The standout window is Wednesday, August 5th. We’re looking at a massive 15ft groundswell from the ESE with a very long 16 second period for the morning. The combined energy is a huge 11232, and the wind is dead calm – glassy. That’s a dream setup if you’re an experienced surfer. This is powerful, pulse-y stuff, and with that period, it’s going to be a bit straight at a beach break, but at a river mouth, it might just line up perfectly. The morning is the clear winner here. The afternoon holds even bigger 16ft swell, but the wind comes onshore and chops it up.

Before that, Tuesday, August 4th is a bit of a warm-up. The morning has an 8ft swell with a 16 second period, but it’s a risky one with thunderstorms and a cross-onshore breeze. The afternoon builds to 10ft, but the wind picks up. Not the best, but you can see the energy building.

After that Wednesday peak, the wind absolutely ruins things. From Thursday, August 6th right through to August 10th, we’ve got strong cross-shore winds, 15 to 21 mph, and lumpy, choppy conditions. The swell stays big, but the quality is gone. This would be much more interesting for kite surfing than a paddle session.

There’s a small window of relief on Tuesday, August 11th. The morning is glassy again with a 5ft swell, but the period is short at 8 seconds, so it’s weak and mushy. The combined energy is only 537. It’s surfable, but very ordinary.

Then we hit another dry spell. The 12th, 13th, and 14th are all small and uninspiring, with a couple of glassy moments but nothing with any punch. The 15th and 16th see a pulse of 10ft to 12ft swell, but it’s short period and onshore wind again – poor quality.

The last few days of the forecast, from the 17th to the 19th, are small and marginal. The bottom line is: if you’re an experienced surfer, Wednesday morning, August 5th is the only true standout. Get there early for the glass and the big, clean lines. Everything else is either blown out or too weak.

Rusty.

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