Monabe Rivermouth Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's get real about the next couple of weeks. The ocean is looking pretty dull for our stretch, and I'm not gonna lie to you. There's a big ol' dry spell comin' our way, so don't get your hopes up too high.

Right off the bat, we've got one window that looks wild on paper, but you gotta know what you're doing. On Wednesday the 5th, early morning, there's some serious size. We're talkin' 15ft of east-southeast swell, with a long 16-second period, pushing a massive amount of energy – the energy reading is a huge 11232. That's a lot of moving water. The wind is dead glassy from the south, and the water is a touch warmer than usual at 85°. It's gonna be a heavy, powerful river-mouth wave at Monabe Rivermouth. This is not for the faint of heart. At this size, it's strictly for the experienced crew. The period is so long it might be breaking a bit straight, but the rivermouth should still have some shape. It's promising, but very much a big-wave, expert-only session.

The good news doesn't last. By Wednesday afternoon, the wind swings onshore and things get choppy. That's your window. The rest of the week is a write-off. Thursday and Friday see the swell stick around at 16ft plus, but the cross-shore winds are gonna make a mess of it. It'll be lumpy, cross-chop, and just plain ugly. By Saturday, the energy drops right off, and we're just dealin' with the leftovers of a dyin' swell.

And that's about it, folks. From Saturday the 8th all the way through until the middle of the next week, there is nothin' worth paddlin' out for. We're lookin' at a solid week of small, weak, and messy waves. The swell drops to 6ft and under, the periods get short and crumbly, and the wind just won't give us a break. It's flat, it's bumpy, and it's just plain sad. If you're a kite surfer, this stretch from the 8th to the 11th might be more up your alley, with those fresh cross-shore breezes and a bit of chop to play in.

There's a tiny glimmer of hope on Wednesday the 12th morning, but it's not worth gettin' excited about. A clean 3ft wave with a glassy wind, but it's got no energy behind it. It's surfable, but very ordinary.

The following week, things just stay flat and sleepy. We see a few ankle to knee-high pulses, but nothin' with any power or form. The winds are mostly light or glassy, which is a tease – it looks clean, but there’s just no swell. The river mouth is a rare break as it is, and for most of this period, it's not even gonna be breaking.

So, here's the bottom line. Your one and only shot is Wednesday morning, the 5th of August. It's a big, powerful, expert-only wave, and the conditions should be clean. After that, the ocean goes to sleep for a while.

This is Rusty, signin' off. Keep an eye on the charts, things can change. But for now, it's lookin' like a long, flat spell.

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