Monabe Rivermouth Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on the cards for this stretch.

First off, we’ve got a serious pulse of swell coming through, but it's not for everyone. The first few days are all about a big, powerful S groundswell hitting Monabe Rivermouth. This is a river mouth break, and it's a sheltered one, so it really needs the right direction to fire. The optimum swell direction is from the east, but we're getting a solid south pulse.

Friday, July 10th, starts off with a bang. There's a 13ft S swell with a very long 17-second period. The water temp is 77°, which is a bit colder than normal for this time of year. Friday morning is glassy, with zero wind, and the combined energy of all swells is strong to very strong (7851). That's excellent for experienced surfers only. This swell is too big for beginners, and with that long period, it's going to be a very powerful, walled-up wave at a river mouth. It could be a bit scary, but for the right crew, it's a proper session. Friday afternoon, the wind swings onshore and the outlook drops off.

Saturday, July 11th, the morning is even bigger. The swell bumps up to 15ft, still from the south with that 17-second period, and it's glassy again. The combined energy is very strong (11381). This is a serious, heavy, expert-only day. The quality is there, but the size and the specific direction are a caveat for a spot that prefers east in its optimum. This is the standout window, but it's a short, intense window just for the experienced.

After Saturday morning, it all just shuts down. There's a massive gap in surfable waves. Sunday through to the following Monday, July 20th, the swell drops to almost nothing. We're looking at a week of tiny, weak waves and poor conditions with a mix of onshore breezes. It's a blank run.

Things start to wake up a little around Tuesday, July 21st. We get a new, smaller ESE swell. The morning of the 21st is glassy with a 4ft ESE swell at 9 seconds. The combined energy (238) is moderate. It's described as very ordinary, but it's surfable. Wednesday, July 22nd, morning is similar – 3ft E swell, glassy, with moderate energy (252). Still "ordinary," but it's clean.

The next small window is Thursday the 23rd morning, with a 3ft E swell, glassy, moderate energy (316). Then Friday the 24th morning, with a 4ft S swell, glassy, moderate-to-strong energy (612). It's still nothing to write home about, just small, clean waves.

To be honest, the only real standout is that first Friday and Saturday morning. It's a massive, powerful, and clean swell. But it's a short-lived, expert-only affair at a break that's rarely breaking. After that, it's a long, quiet stretch. The second week offers a few small, clean mornings, but nothing that’s going to get the heart racing. It's a bit of a tease, that big swell up front.

Stay safe out there, and don't be a hero if you're not ready for that size.

Rusty.

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