Monabe Rivermouth Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s break down what’s happening for the next couple of weeks.

Honestly, the first week and a half is a total washout. We’re looking at a long stretch of nothing but tiny, weak waves with poor conditions. The swell energy is basically non-existent, so don’t even bother checking the cams until we get into the second week of August.

The only real hope on this entire 16-day forecast is for Monabe Rivermouth. This spot is a river mouth, so it’s very sheltered and it rarely breaks, but when it does, it’s a special day. The wait is long, but it might just be worth it.

The action *finally* starts to fire up on Tuesday, August 4th. The morning is looking absolutely pristine. We’ve got a glassy, calm start with a solid 7ft swell rolling in from the ESE. The period is a very long 16 seconds, which is proper groundswell energy. The combined energy jumps right up to a strong 2123, so there’s real power behind it. This is a setup for clean, lined-up waves, but because it’s a river mouth, that long-period swell should wrap in nicely. The water temperature is 84°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year.

The swell keeps building through the week. Wednesday, August 5th morning is another glassy winner with 8ft from the ESE, and the energy is even stronger at 2741. The trend continues into Thursday, August 6th morning with 8ft and a huge energy reading of 3752, again with glassy offshore winds. This is the sweet spot – big, powerful, and clean. Anything over 8ft gets into expert territory, so keep that in mind.

By Friday, August 7th, things get a bit wild. The swell is 13ft to 15ft with a massive 18-second period. The energy is off the charts. The wind is strong offshore from the NNW, which will be clean, but that north wind might make paddling out a battle. This is for the big-wave crew and experts only.

Then Saturday, August 8th looks like it gets completely blown out and way too big to surf with the onshore wind. The setup would be more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

So, the standout window is the mornings of the 4th, 5th, and 6th of August. The glassy conditions and building ESE groundswell at Monabe Rivermouth are the only real highlights here. Just remember, this spot is inconsistent and rarely breaks, so when it does, it’s a special one. Crowds are possible, so get there early.

Rusty.

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