Takanabe Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for Takanabe over the next couple of weeks. I’ll be straight with you – it’s a bit of a rollercoaster. The start is small, the middle gets way too big and messy, then there’s a couple of proper windows at the end if you can wait it out.

The first few days are quiet. Friday morning the 28th, we’ve got 1.3m from the SSE with a short 8-second period and a light cross-onshore wind. It’s marginal, not worth your time. That afternoon it drops to 0.6m and goes onshore, so forget it. Saturday the 29th is the best of this early patch – still small, 0.6m from the east, but the morning is glassy. Clean, but tiny. Sunday the 30th is the same story – small and glassy in the morning, but ordinary. If you’re really keen, Saturday morning is your best bet, but don’t expect much.

Then things get interesting, and not in a good way. From Monday the 31st, a new swell starts filling in, but it’s straight onshore with storm clouds and a moderate breeze. It’s poor. Tuesday the 1st of September jumps to 2.5m to 3.0m, all onshore, short-period junk. Big and messy. The 2nd gets even bigger – 3.5m to 4.0m – with a fresh onshore wind. That’s a complete write-off.

Now, around the 3rd and 4th of September, we’ve got serious size – 4.0m – and the wind and tide are favorable, but this is the catch: that’s just too big for this spot. Takanabe is a beginner wave, and anything over 2.5m is expert-only. The energy is strong, well over 3500 on the 3rd, but it’s not doing us any favors. This isn’t surfing for most of us, it’s survival. The 5th and 6th stay big and messy with storm clouds and cross-onshore winds – no good.

There’s a long stretch here, from about the 31st through to the 8th of September, where there’s just no decent surf. The 7th comes down to 2.5m, but it’s still cross-onshore and choppy. Not worth it.

But then we get to the good stuff. Wednesday the 9th of September, morning looks like the first real standout. We’ve got 2.0m from the southeast with a clean cross-offshore WSW breeze. It’s still a bit on the bigger side, but it’s clean and light. That’ll be proper. And Thursday the 10th is the one to circle on the calendar. The morning is glassy, dead calm, with 2.5m from the east and a 9-second period. The combined energy is strong, 1823 in the bracket, and for experienced surfers, that’s excellent. Big, clean, and with some push. That’s your session. The afternoon gets a bit onshore, but the morning will be worth the wait.

After that, it fades. The 11th has 2.4m but with a light cross-shore wind, so it’s not as clean. The 12th, Saturday, drops right back to 0.9m, but the morning is glassy again. Small and clean, might be okay for the beginners.

So, the plan is simple: skip the first week, dodge the huge messy middle, and hit the mornings on the 9th and especially the 10th of September. That’s where the magic will be. Water temp is about normal for this time of year, nothing unusual. And on those big stormy days in the first week, with that much swell and onshore wind, I’d say the kitesurfers will be having more fun than us.

Catch you out there.

Read more