Takanabe Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, I’m Rusty. Let’s talk about Takanabe.

Honestly, mate, it’s going to be a long, flat wait for a decent wave. The first week and a half has nothing really on offer. We get a few mornings with tiny waves, like 1.3ft to 2.6ft, but the quality is so poor it’s not worth paddling out. You will see a couple mornings with glassy conditions – like Thursday the 22nd of July morning with that 2.6ft at 12 seconds and moderate wave energy (174) – but the swell is from the east and the optimum direction here is from the southeast, so the wave shape just isn’t there.

There is a real dry spell from the 16th right through to the 27th of July. A few mornings are glassy, but the swell is tiny or the direction is off. It’s just ordinary.

Now, things look like they might get interesting from the 27th. But don't get too excited too fast. On the 27th of July, Monday morning, we see a jump in size to 4.6ft from the southeast with a 13-second period. The energy starts to get strong (666), but the wind is cross-shore from the northeast at 12 mph, and it's described as marginal. That afternoon it cleans up a bit, 7.2ft from the south-southeast with a longer 14-second period and very strong energy (2044), but again it's cross-shore. It looks more interesting for a kite surfer than a paddle surfer.

The real standout, and I mean the only one worth anything, is the 28th of July, Tuesday. Tuesday morning is the pick. We get a solid 9.8ft swell from the south-southeast with a long 14-second period and very strong energy (3123). The wind is a light cross-offshore breeze from the north-northeast, which should keep it clean. But I have to be straight with you – 9.8ft is too big for beginners and is really only for experts. This is a big, powerful groundswell. For a beach break, that long period can make it break a bit straight, but with clean conditions and that much energy, the experts are going to have a day. This is promising, but far out, so keep an eye on it.

After that, Wednesday the 29th is still big (8.2ft), but the wind turns onshore, making it messy. Thursday the 30th of July morning drops to 4.9ft from the south with a glassy wind, which will be surfable for the more experienced, with moderate energy (661). It drops off fast from there.

So, if you are a beginner, you might as well sit this whole forecast out. If you are an expert, pencil in Tuesday the 28th of July morning as the one to watch. The rest is a long, quiet wait.

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