Takanabe Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, folks, Rusty here. Let’s break down what’s happening for the next couple of weeks. We’re looking at just one spot, and it’s got a bit of a rollercoaster ahead.

Water temp is about normal for this time of year, nothing wild. The first real action kicks off Thursday morning, September 3rd. We’ve got a 5ft swell from the SE, period of 9 seconds, and a light cross-off breeze from the NNE at 9 mph. The wave energy is moderate (541), and it’s cleaning up nice. This is a solid start for a beginner-friendly spot, but it’s inconsistent, so don’t expect a constant flow. The wind is playing nice, making for clean little waves.

By Thursday afternoon, the swell bumps to 7ft, but the wind swings more cross-shore and the energy jumps to 907. It gets a bit choppy, and the tide conditions look questionable. Friday morning brings an 8ft swell from the SSE, but the wind is cross-on and light, and the energy is strong (1625). It’s a bit messy, and the tide is a worry. Friday afternoon sees a drop in size but the wind goes cross-off again, so it cleans up, but the overall quality is still iffy.

Now, Saturday morning, September 5th, is where things get interesting — but not for paddle surfing. The swell hits 10ft from the ENE, with a period of 9 seconds and a monster wave energy reading of 2904. That’s some serious power. The wind is cross-off and clean, so the waves look good, but it’s too big for this break. For a beginner spot, this is a no-go unless you’re a real expert. It’s more of a kite surfing playground than a paddle-friendly day.

Sunday the 6th settles down to 6ft and then 5ft, winds stay cross-off, so it’s clean, but the energy drops to 594 and 385 — weak to moderate. The consistency is still an issue. Monday and Tuesday are pretty average, with 4ft to 5ft swell and mixed winds. The standout for the first week is definitely Wednesday, September 9th. Morning sees an 8ft ESE swell, period of 11 seconds, and a clean offshore wind from the NNW at just 3 mph. The wave energy is strong (1638), and this is excellent for experienced surfers. The afternoon is even better — glassy conditions with a 7ft ESE swell and a period of 10 seconds. The energy is still solid (1079), and it’s slick as glass. This is your best window in the first week.

The second week is a bit of a mixed bag. Thursday the 10th through Saturday the 13th are mostly small, with 3ft to 5ft swell, and winds are light to moderate but mostly cross or cross-shore. The energy is weak to moderate (300 to 400 range). Not much to write home about. Sunday the 13th has a 3ft swell from the E with a very long period of 14 seconds — that’s a groundswell, but it’s tiny. Monday the 14th is similar, small and uninspiring.

We get a little spike on Tuesday the 15th with a 4ft E swell, period of 12 seconds, but the wind is moderate cross-shore and the energy is only 500. Not great. Wednesday the 16th looks promising: morning has a 4ft E swell with a light offshore from the NNW and clean conditions. The afternoon jumps to 5ft from the ENE, period of 10 seconds, and it’s very clean with a gentle cross-off breeze. The energy is 635 — moderate. That’s a solid, fun session for the more experienced.

The real standout in the second week is Thursday the 17th morning. Glassy conditions, a 2ft swell from the E with a very long period of 14 seconds, and low energy (474). It’s small but clean as a whistle. Then Friday, September 18th morning brings a 7ft SE swell, period of 13 seconds, and a light cross-off breeze. The energy is strong (2268), and conditions are excellent for those who know what they’re doing. That’s a real gem, but it’s a long way out, so keep an eye on the forecasts.

Best pick: Wednesday, September 9th morning and afternoon. The 8ft and 7ft ESE swell with offshore and glassy winds, strong energy, and clean conditions. For the second week, keep an eye on Friday, September 18th morning for the experienced crew.

Stay safe, and don’t go out on Saturday the 5th if you’re a beginner — that’s a kite day.

Rusty.

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