Takanabe Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here with a look at the next 16 days at Takanabe. Let’s be honest, it’s a bit of a mixed bag. We’ve got a solid window of fun waves on the way, but it’s bookended by a lot of junk and some real wild stuff.

The first real action kicks off on Sunday morning, August 2nd. The water temperature is sitting at 85°F, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year. That morning, we get a glassy start with some clean little 2 ft waves from the ESE. The swell period is a very long 16 seconds, so that’s proper groundswell. The energy is moderate, around 238. It’s small, but clean and rideable. That afternoon, the swell picks up to 2 ft still, but with a 17-second period, the energy jumps to 466, but the wind swings cross-on and makes it a mess.

Moving into Monday, August 3rd, the swell jumps up to 5 ft from the ESE with a 16-second period. The energy is now strong at 1192. The wind is cross-shore, so expect some chop. It’s a bit of a marginal call, but there’s some size. That trend continues into Tuesday, August 4th. The swell builds to 8 ft in the morning, and then 10 ft in the afternoon, both from the ESE with a 17-second period. The energy is very strong, hitting 3989 and 5098. The wind is cross-shore, but at 10 ft, it’s getting too big for a beginner spot like Takanabe. Wednesday, August 5th, is a monster. Swell hits 15 ft, then 16 ft, with energy readings of 12211 and 16483. The wind is cross-shore, but this is serious, expert-only territory. It gets even bigger on Thursday, August 6th, with 25 ft and energy over 30,000. That’s not just big, that’s dangerous. The wind is strong cross-shore too, making it lumpy. This whole stretch from Wednesday to Friday is for the big wave chargers only, and even then, conditions are raw.

The standout for the whole period, if you’re looking for something you can actually paddle out on, is that Sunday morning session on August 2nd. It’s the only time we get glassy wind with any kind of swell. The waves are small, but it’s clean and the long period will give them some shape. After that, it’s a waiting game.

From Friday afternoon, August 7th, the swell starts to drop, but the wind howls onshore, trashing things. We get a long stretch of poor conditions from the 8th all the way through to the 15th of August. The wind is a constant strong cross-onshore, with rain and thunderstorms, and the waves are a jumbled mess. The swell energy drops from high to weak, and the periods shorten. It’s a real blank run.

Finally, there’s a glimmer of hope. On Sunday morning, August 16th, we get another glassy session. The wind is dead calm, with waves of 5 ft from the E. The period is a short 10 seconds, so it’s windswell, but at least it’s clean. The energy is weak at 487. That afternoon, the swell bumps up to 6 ft but the period drops to 9 seconds and the wind comes onshore, making it messy again.

So, to wrap it up: your best bet is the very clean, glassy Sunday morning on August 2nd for some small, mellow waves. If you’re a glutton for punishment, there’s a massive swell mid-week that’s for experts only. Then it’s a long, windy wait until another glassy chance on the final Sunday. For Takanabe, a spot that’s often inconsistent, this long stretch of poor surf is a bit of a bummer, but that one clean morning makes it worth keeping an eye on. Forecasts can change, so don’t write it off entirely.

Rusty.

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