Takanabe Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for Takanabe over the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, we’ve got a stretch of flat, uninspiring conditions. The first few days are a real struggle – tiny, gutless swell with hardly any energy behind it. The water is sitting at a warm 84°, which is about average for this time of year, so that’s one thing to be grateful for if you’re in the water.

Tuesday 28 July morning offers the first glimpse of something surfable, with a tiny 1.6ft swell from the southeast, but it’s weak as anything with a combined energy of just 98. The wind is glassy, though, so it’s clean. It’s not going to get the heart racing, but for a beginner on a longboard, it’s a chance to get wet. The afternoon goes onshore and messy, so that’s that.

Wednesday 29 July morning is a repeat: 1.6ft, ESE, glassy again. Still tiny. Wednesday afternoon picks up a little offshore wind from the northwest, which is a nice touch, but the swell is still barely there. Thursday 30 July and Friday 31 July are even smaller – 1.3ft with energy dropping into the 30s. This is a proper flat spell. Saturday 1 August is the same story.

Now, Sunday 2 August morning shows a little spike in period – 14 seconds – and the energy jumps to 103. The swell is still only 1.3ft, but that long-period groundswell signal is a hint of better things to come. The morning is glassy, so it’s a clean, tiny wave. Not a standout, but a sign of life.

Monday 3 August is where things start to get real. The morning sees a 5.2ft swell from the ESE with a very long period of 16 seconds, and the combined energy jumps to 1186. This is a moderate, powerful groundswell. The wind is light cross-shore. This is a solid beginner to intermediate option, but that long period will make it break a bit straight at the beach. It’s the best on offer so far. The afternoon is a bit bigger at 6.2ft, but the wind goes cross-onshore, so go for the morning.

The best session of the whole outlook is Tuesday 4 August morning. We’ve got a 9.8ft swell from the ESE with an 18-second period – that’s a very long-period groundswell pumping in with a combined energy of 4864. The wind is gentle cross-shore from the northeast. This is a powerful, clean swell. However, that 9.8ft is too big for beginners, and at a beach break, that long period will make it dumpy and fast. This is for experienced surfers only. The morning is the pick, as the afternoon goes cross-onshore.

Wednesday 5 August is just massive – 16.4ft to 18ft from the east with 18 seconds and energy over 14,000. That’s a strong, dangerous swell. Only for experts, and even then, it’s going to be a washing machine. The wind is cross-shore, so it’s not completely blown out, but the size is the main issue.

Thursday 6 August morning is still big at 14.8ft, but the wind picks up to 25 km/h, creating a lumpy cross-chop. The afternoon drops to 8.2ft but the wind is getting fresh, making it messy. The energy is still high, but the quality drops.

After that, from Friday 7 August through to Monday 10 August, the wind goes nuts. We’re talking near gale and gale force winds, onshore, with rain and storms. The swell is there (2.6ft to 3.6ft), but it’s blown out, choppy, and ugly. Don’t bother. This is a solid 4-day gap of no good surf.

Tuesday 11 August morning sees a clean 9.8ft swell from the ESE with a cross-offshore wind from the north, which is a treat. The period is a short 10 seconds, so it’s a windswell, but it’s clean. The energy is moderate at 1955. Again, 9.8ft is expert territory. The afternoon is bigger and windier, so the morning is the only window.

The outlook ends on Wednesday 12 August with a 13.1ft swell and fresh, lumpy cross-shore winds. Too big and too messy.

So, to sum it up: the standout is Tuesday 4 August morning for the sheer power and clean conditions, but it’s strictly for experts. The second best is Monday 3 August morning for a more manageable 5.2ft with cleaner conditions. The rest of the week is either flat, blown out, or too massive. The long-range stuff around 11 August is promising but less certain due to the wind.

Stay safe out there.

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