Takanabe Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for Takanabe over the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, we’re looking at a real slow start. For the first week and a half, from Friday 24 July right through to Monday 3 August, it’s flat to tiny. We’re talking ankle-snappers at best. The swell energy is weak, sitting at just 94 (combined energy) on the Friday morning, and it barely gets into the low hundreds for the rest of that stretch. It’s going to be a long wait for anything worth waxing up for.

The only real bright spots in that first period are a couple of glassy windows. The Friday morning (24 July) has a glassy 0.3m SE swell on a very long 18-second period, but it’s just too small. The Sunday morning (26 July) sees a slight bump to 0.6m from the S with a 9-second period and glassy conditions, but the energy is still weak (151). It’s surfable, but you’d be scratching for scraps.

Then we hit a proper gap. From Monday 3 August afternoon, the energy starts building with a combined energy of 213, but the wind is cross-onshore and the waves are still only 0.8m. It’s not until the 4th of August that things get interesting. On Tuesday 4 August morning, the swell jumps to 1.8m from the ESE with a long 16-second period. The combined energy is a massive 1644, so there’s plenty of grunt. The wind is cross-shore from the NE at 15 km/h, which will put some texture on the face. The water temp is about 28.3° which is pretty normal for this time of year.

Now, the standouts. This is a classic case of too much of a good thing. The 7th and 8th of August see some serious size. On Friday 7 August morning, we’ve got a 3.5m E swell on a 17-second period, with a clean 20 km/h offshore wind from the NNW. The combined energy is a whopping 6149. That’s proper groundswell. But, and it’s a big but, this is too big for Takanabe. It’s expert-only territory. The same goes for Saturday 8 August, with a 6.5m to 7.5m E swell and a 19-second period. The energy is off the charts (30763), but the commentary says it’s too big for the break. The wind is cross-offshore, so it’ll be clean, but only for the brave.

If you’re looking for the best window that’s actually surfable, you’d have to pin your hopes on the morning of Thursday 6 August. That’s when the swell is running 2.5m from the E with a 16-second period and a combined energy of 3750. The wind is light cross-shore from the NE at 5 km/h, so it’ll be nearly glassy. It’s still a big, powerful swell, and with that long period, it’s going to be a bit walled-up at the beach break, but it’s the cleanest and most powerful option before it all gets too wild. The crowd is listed as "sometimes", so you might get a few out, but it won’t be a circus.

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