Takanabe Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here, checking in from the Miyazaki coast.

Look, I’ll level with you: we’ve got a flat spell ahead for Takanabe before things get interesting. The first week or so is pretty ordinary, with tiny, weak waves and mostly onshore breezes. The water temp is sitting at 84° right now, which is about normal for this time of year – nothing out of the ordinary there.

We’ve got practically nothing going on from Tuesday the 28th of July right through to the morning of Sunday the 2nd of August. The swell is tiny – around 1ft to 2ft – and the energy in the water is barely a whisper (combined energy of all swells directed here is between 29 and 111). The mornings on the 29th and 30th of July will be glassy as a lake, but there’s just no size to even bother paddling out for. It is a blank run for sure.

Then, come Monday morning the 3rd of August, things start to wake up. We’ll see a chest-high, 6ft ESE swell arrive with a long period of 16 seconds – that’s proper groundswell energy. The combined energy of all swells directed here jumps to 1401, so there’s some real punch behind it. The wind is light cross-shore from the NE. The offshore direction for Takanabe is NW, so that’s not quite perfect, but it’s clean enough. This could be a solid option for the intermediate crew, but for beginners, 6ft is starting to push it a bit.

Now, if you are an expert looking for the standout, you have to circle Tuesday the 4th of August. The swell is pumping at 10ft from the ESE, with a very long 18-second period. The combined swell energy absolutely roars at 5066. This is serious, heavy ocean energy. The mornings are looking best with a light, cross-shore ENE breeze at 15 km/h. But I have to warn you, this is too big for all but the most experienced surfer. The records say the swell is predicted to be too big for this break. That’s not a spot for a Sunday session; that’s a day for big-wave equipment and a clear head.

The biggest stuff rolls through Wednesday the 5th of August, with 15ft to 16ft waves and energy readings over 12,000. That is pure, raw power. The wind stays manageable, but again, that is expert-only territory.

We get a serious storm event on the 7th of August, with near-gale force NNE winds at 37 mph and a massive 38ft swell. That’s not surf; that’s survival. The break will be a washing machine.

After that chaos, the swell drops back, but conditions stay messy. The 8th and 9th of August are blown out with onshore gales. Not worth a look.

Finally, we see a glimmer of hope again on Tuesday the 11th of August. The morning is glassy, with a 6ft swell from the ESE but with a short period of 7 seconds. The combined energy is down to 501. It'll be lumpy but rideable, and the glassy clean wind makes it the best option in the second week for a more relaxed paddle.

So, the pick of the entire run has to be the morning of Tuesday the 4th of August, if you’ve got the nerve. For the rest of us, the morning of the 11th of August looks like the most user-friendly window.

Stay safe out there.
Rusty.

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