Takanabe Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here, let's talk about what’s coming up for our corner of the coast.

First off, don't get too excited for the immediate future. We’ve got a bit of a lull to get through. The only break on the radar is Takanabe. It's an exposed spot, so it catches what’s out there, but it's inconsistent and mainly a beginner’s wave, so don’t expect perfection.

The water is sitting at a warm 84°, which is pretty much bang on average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

The first couple of days are a write-off. Friday the 4th sees a 7ft SSE groundswell, but with strong cross-offshore winds and heavy rain, it’s a mess. Saturday the 5th is even smaller and weaker, with a 6ft ENE swell dropping fast. Not worth paddling out.

Now, here’s where it gets a bit wild. Sunday the 6th is the real standout in this outlook. We’ve got a solid 10ft east swell rolling in early, with a 12ft pulse later in the afternoon. The combined wave energy is massive – over 2,400 units – packing some serious grunt. The wind stays cross-offshore, which is good. But let’s be real: that size is way too big for beginners and borderline for anyone who isn't experienced. This is expert territory. The period is around 9-10 seconds, a decent groundswell, but at a beach break like this, that much east swell can close out fast and get shifty. It's a spectacle, but you need to know what you're doing.

Monday the 7th settles back down to a 7ft east swell, but it’s still clean with moderate breeze. Decent enough for a session if you’re keen.

From Tuesday the 8th onwards, the trend is smaller and more inconsistent. Waves drop to around 4ft, then down to 3ft for the rest of the week. Energy levels fall off a cliff, sitting in the hundreds. There are some glassy mornings, like Saturday the 12th with a 2ft, super long-period 15-second swell – but it’s tiny. That long period will make it wall up, so a point break or rivermouth would love it, but here it’ll just be slow and fat.

The second week is a quiet affair. From the 13th out to the 19th, we’re looking at knee-to-waist high dribble, mostly 2ft to 3ft. There’s a brief spike to 4ft on Tuesday the 15th afternoon, but that comes with a tricky cross-onshore wind and a low energy count. Not worth the paddle.

Best bet: if you’re a punter and experienced, Sunday the 6th is the only day with real juice, just be ready for a heavy, powerful lineup. For everyone else, the small glassy windows on the mornings of the 17th and 19th might give you a fun little knee-high slide, but don’t expect much. It’s a quiet run overall, but that’s how it goes here sometimes.

Rusty.

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