Takanabe Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cookin' for Takanabe over the next couple of weeks.

The first thing you need to know: this is a strange run. The early part of the outlook is a no-go for paddle surfing, especially for the first few days where we’ve got a huge, powerful, long-period groundswell hitting. The water’s sitting at 79°, which is a bit colder than normal for this time of year, so you might want a thicker spring suit.

We start with Friday, July 10th, and through to the end of Saturday, July 11th, there’s a solid 13ft swell from the SSE, with a period of 16 to 17 seconds. That is a *massive* amount of energy – we’re talking combined energy of up to 9083, which is very strong. However, the wind is light and cross-on, and the wave comment says it’s simply too big for this break. Takanabe is a beginner spot, and 13ft is expert territory. It’s a no-go for most of us. The setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing in that size.

Sunday the 12th still has a decent 8ft to 7ft south swell, but the wind is onshore or cross-onshore, and the consistency is poor, with energy dropping to 1294. The conditions are described as marginal at best. Not worth the paddle.

Now, Monday the 13th morning is a little tease. We get a 5ft south swell with a period of 11 seconds, and for the first time, the wind goes glassy. The energy is moderate at 563, and the forecast says “expect very good surf conditions.” This is the standout for the first week. It’s still a bit on the bigger side for true beginners, but for a competent surfer, that glassy morning with a clean south swell will be the best on offer. The afternoon goes to junk with a risk of thunderstorms, so get it early.

After that, the surf gets small. Tuesday the 14th morning has glassy conditions but only 3ft of swell with weak energy (196). Wednesday the 15th is tiny at 2ft, and from Thursday the 16th through to Saturday the 18th, it’s flat with poor surf and energy under 141. We’ve got a gap of several days with no real recommendation.

The second week shows a little pulse. Sunday the 19th has a 5ft south swell, but the wind is cross-shore and the energy is still moderate. It’s marginal. The real standout for the second half is Thursday the 24th morning. We get a 5ft swell from the ESE, period of 10 seconds, with glassy conditions and a “very good surf conditions” tag. The energy is moderate at 552. That morning session is the one to circle. It’s a long way out, so treat it as promising but less certain. The following Saturday morning the 25th also looks good with glassy winds and 2ft, but it’s smaller.

Overall, the best bet is Monday the 13th morning for clean, glassy, solid waves, and keep an eye on Thursday the 24th morning for a promising return.

Rusty.

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