Takanabe Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's cookin' at Takanabe over the next couple of weeks. Gotta be straight with you – this forecast has a painfully slow start. We're looking at a solid stretch of nothing special before it all kicks off.

The first few days are pretty much a write-off. From Monday the 17th through to about Wednesday the 21st, we've got small, weak surf with poor wind. The combined energy is just 185 to 649 (moderate) and the swell is short-period, onshore slop. Nothing to get excited about. The wind is all over the shop, mostly cross or onshore, making for choppy, messy conditions. It's a real grind with barely a glimmer of a wave worth paddling for.

There's a bit of a pulse on Thursday the 20th afternoon with a 5ft S'ly swell and a period of 11 seconds, but the wind is on it, so it's still marginal. Friday and Saturday are the same old story – not worth the drive.

The real change comes on Sunday the 24th of August. That's where we finally get something to talk about. Monday the 24th morning sees a glassy 2ft SE swell, but it's the Monday afternoon that's the first real standout. A clean, glassy 5ft SE groundswell with a period of 16 seconds rolls in. The combined energy is a solid 944 (moderate), and with the glassy conditions, Takanabe will be offering up some clean, lined-up sets. This is the first good call of the forecast.

Then, Monday night into Tuesday the 25th morning, it gets serious. We're looking at a 7ft SE groundswell (16-second period) with zero wind – absolutely glassy. The combined energy jumps to 2347 (strong). This is the best session on offer for the first week. It's clean, powerful, and has that long-period push. You’ll want to be an experienced surfer for this one, as 7ft is pushing into expert territory, but for those who can handle it, this is a gem.

Wednesday the 26th through to the end of the month is a different story. The swell keeps pumping, hitting 8ft, then 10ft, 12ft and even 15ft by the 29th. The combined energy blows up into the thousands – strong to very strong. But here's the catch: the forecast flat-out says this swell is too big for Takanabe. The waves will be massive, powerful, and likely closing out or just dangerous. It’s a case of “wind and tide favorable, but the swell is predicted to be too big for this break.” There’s a window on the 27th morning with a clean cross-offshore wind and an 12ft SE swell (7660 energy), which is impressive, but you better be an expert.

From the 29th to the 31st, it finally starts to back off. The 31st of August morning has a glassy 7ft ESE groundswell (16-second period, 2782 energy) – that's another excellent call for experienced surfers. By Tuesday the 1st of September, it's back to 13ft and too big again.

Bottom line: Don't bother this week. It’s a blank run until the 24th. The standout is undoubtedly Tuesday the 25th of August morning – a clean, glassy 7ft SE groundswell. That’s the one to aim for. The following week has massive, powerful swell, but it's mostly too big for this break, so only the top-tier crew should even look at it.

Rusty.

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