Takanabe Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s take a look at what’s going down at Takanabe for the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, we’ve got some serious size on the way, but it’s not for everyone. Wednesday morning, July 8th, kicks things off with a solid 8ft swell out of the SE, with a long 17-second period. That’s proper groundswell energy, with a combined energy reading of 3103 – that’s strong. The wind is glassy – light and offshore from the ESE at just 3 mph. The water’s sitting at 79°, which is a bit colder than normal for this time of year. This is excellent, powerful surf, but it’s only for experienced surfers. Too much juice for beginners.

That Wednesday afternoon, the swell bumps up to 8ft, but the wind swings onshore, making conditions a lot less tempting. Thursday morning, July 9th, the swell jumps to 10ft from the SE with a 15-second period. The energy is pumping at 4698. But here’s the thing: the wind is light cross-shore from the ENE at 6 mph, and while the conditions are favorable, that size is getting too big for this break. This is expert-only territory. The same goes for Friday, July 10th, when we see a massive 13ft to 15ft swell from the SSE with periods of 17 seconds. Energy readings hit a massive 12485 and 17178 – very strong. There’s a risk of thunderstorms, but the wind stays light. This is big, powerful, and serious. Only the most seasoned chargers should even look at it.

Saturday, July 11th, the swell drops slightly to 13ft then 12ft from the S, still with 16-second periods. Wind picks up a bit, becoming a gentle cross-onshore breeze. Still too big for comfort at Takanabe. Sunday, July 12th, the swell eases to 7ft and 6ft from the S, but the period shortens to 12-13 seconds. Wind is light cross-onshore. Conditions are more marginal, not great.

From Monday, July 13th, through to Wednesday, July 15th, the swell drops right off. We’re looking at 3ft to 4ft from the S and SE, with periods between 9 and 12 seconds. Energy is weak, under 600. The conditions are marginal, and honestly, not worth paddling out for.

Then, on Saturday, July 18th, we get a little blip of hope. The morning shows a clean 8ft swell from the ESE with an 8-second period. The wind is glassy – dead calm from the E at 3 mph. The energy is moderate at 1374, and the conditions are excellent for experienced surfers. It’s a standout window, but that short period means it’ll be a bit lumpy and less organised. It’s the best on offer for a few days, but still an experts-only game due to the size.

After that, things stay messy and marginal through to the 23rd. Swells hover between 5ft and 8ft, mostly from the ESE and SSE, with periods varying from 10 to 14 seconds. There are some light cross-shore winds, but nothing that’ll give you those clean, peeling lines we all dream of.

One more standout shows up on Tuesday, July 21st. The morning brings a 7ft E swell with a 12-second period and completely glassy conditions, calm wind. The energy is moderate at 1180. This is a good session for experienced surfers, with clean conditions. The afternoon holds a slightly smaller 6ft swell, still glassy, and it promises very good surf. That Tuesday morning is probably your best bet in the whole outlook if you can hold out.

Overall, this is a period split between dangerous, oversized swell and flat, marginal days. Takanabe is inconsistent, so a dry spell like this isn’t unusual. For the shredders out there, Wednesday July 8th morning and Tuesday July 21st morning are the true standouts.

Rusty.

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