Takanabe Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming up for Takanabe over the next couple of weeks.

The first half of the forecast is pretty quiet, with a bit of a slow start. We’ve got some small, clean windows early on, but the real standout is shaping up for the very end of the period – a solid pulse of groundswell arriving around Monday the 24th and into Tuesday the 25th. That’s the one to circle on the calendar.

Let’s start with Monday morning, the 10th of August. It’s cloudy with a light cross-shore breeze from the ENE at 3 mph, and we’re looking at a 5 ft easterly swell with a 13-second period. The combined energy is strong, around 1032, but the call is marginal – tide might be a factor. Monday afternoon drops a fraction, still around 5 ft, but the wind swings cross-onshore, making it less inviting.

Tuesday the 11th is where it gets interesting. Morning is glassy – zero wind – with a clean 4 ft easterly swell, period 12 seconds, and energy at 613. The forecast says “expect very good surf conditions.” That’s your best early window. Tuesday afternoon sees the wind turn onshore from the SE, and the quality drops.

Wednesday the 12th morning is glassy again, with a north-northeast breeze at 3 mph, and a 4 ft east swell, 10-second period, energy 395. It’s a good one, but the swell is small. Wednesday afternoon goes onshore again.

From Thursday the 13th through to Sunday the 16th, the swell drops below 3 ft most days, with early morning glassy conditions but tiny waves – 2 ft to 3 ft. The energy is weak, under 251. It’s surfable if you’re desperate, but nothing to write home about.

Monday the 17th morning brings a slight uptick: 3 ft east swell, 11-second period, glassy with a light SSW breeze, energy 275. That’s a decent little session, but the afternoon gets ruined by onshore wind again.

Tuesday the 18th morning is glassy, 3 ft east-northeast swell, 10-second period, energy 218. Fine for a small-wave board, but nothing special.

Now, the real standout is coming in the second week. Monday the 24th of August afternoon – a new pulse of swell arrives: 5 ft from the southeast with a very long 14-second period. The combined energy jumps to 993. The wind is light cross-onshore from the east at 6 mph, which is a bit of a shame. Still, this is groundswell with real push.

Then Tuesday the 25th morning – that’s the pick of the entire forecast. We’ve got a 6 ft southeast swell, period 12 seconds, and energy hitting 1044 – solid, strong wave energy. The wind is from the northeast at 9 mph, cross-shore, creating a gentle cross-chop, but it’s manageable. This is a big, powerful swell for Takanabe, and it’s only for experienced surfers – over 8 ft is expert territory, but 6 ft is still a serious step up. The southeast direction is a bit off the optimum (SE is the optimum direction), so it should wrap in nicely. The long period (12 seconds) means it’s proper groundswell, with good shape and energy, but it might be a bit straight for a beach break – best on a point or reef if you can find one.

So, bottom line: if you’re free on Tuesday morning the 11th, that’s a clean, glassy little session. But the real one to watch is Tuesday the 25th morning – that’s the biggest, most powerful swell of the run, with acceptable wind. Mark it down.

Rusty.

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