Takanabe Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty, and I’ve got the lowdown on what’s cookin’ at Takanabe.

Right off the bat, it’s a slow start. We’re looking at a gap of a few days with no real recommendations here. The first few days are a write-off thanks to some pretty average conditions and stormy skies.

Wednesday the 26th and Thursday the 27th are a no-go. We’ve got a solid 8ft to 6ft south swell on offer, but the wind is on it or cross-on, and it’s just messy. The wave energy is strong but the quality is poor, so save your energy.

Things start to look a bit more promising as we head into the end of August. Saturday morning the 29th is our first real standout. It’s a tiny 2ft east swell with glassy conditions and no wind at all. The water’s sitting at a warm 84°F, which is pretty normal for this time of year. It’s not going to be big, but for a clean, easy paddle with a log or a funboard, this is the one. The crowds can sometimes be an issue here, so get there early for a piece of the peace.

Sunday the 30th has a similar vibe with a clean 2ft east swell in the morning, but the energy is weak (127). It’s surfable but ordinary.

Then from Monday the 1st of September, things start to get chunky again. We’re looking at a significant increase in swell, but the wind stays on it. Tuesday the 1st sees a 5ft south swell with a very long 16-second period, but the wind is onshore, making it a poor option for a good ride.

Wednesday the 2nd of September is a proper big swell event. We’re talking 15ft from the SSE with a very long 16-second period and extreme wave energy (9553). The wind is howling onshore at 19 mph. This is expert territory only, and with the onshore wind, it’s going to be a washing machine. Honestly, this setup looks far more interesting for the kite surfers than for paddling.

The big swell sticks around through Thursday the 3rd and Friday the 4th, with 10ft to 8ft waves, but the wind is still cross-on or onshore. It’s choppy and messy.

Now, if you’ve got patience, the forecast for Monday the 7th of September is mouth-watering, but it comes with a warning. We’re expecting a massive 15ft SE swell with a 13-second period and incredible wave energy (6584). The wind is a clean, offshore cross-off from the NNE. The models are saying the wind and tide are favorable, but the swell is predicted to be too big for this break. It’s a 13ft wave on a beach and reef setup – that’s only for the absolute elite, and even then, safety is the main concern. The same goes for Tuesday the 8th and Wednesday the 9th – clean conditions but simply too much juice for a comfortable session.

Finally, on Thursday the 10th of September, it all comes together nicely. The morning is glassy with a clean 8ft SSE swell. The wave energy is still strong (1121), but it’s manageable. The wind is glassy from the NNE, making for excellent, clean conditions for experienced surfers. This is the one to circle.

So, to sum it up: There’s nothing worth paddling out for until Saturday the 29th of August for a small glassy morning. The biggest, cleanest swell is too big for comfort around the 7th-9th, but the best balance of size and cleanliness looks like the morning of Thursday the 10th of September.

Stay patient, and watch the horizon.
Rusty.

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