Takanabe Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, surfers, Rusty here. Let’s get into it. The next couple of weeks are a bit of a mixed bag for the Takanabe area. We’ve got a long patch of small, ordinary surf to start, and then it looks like a proper pulse of energy arrives late in the window. Let's break it down day by day.

Right now, the early part of the week is looking pretty flat and uninspiring. We’re starting off with a tiny, weak swell. The water temp is sitting at 82°, which is pretty much normal for this time of year.

We’ve got a few sessions with glassy conditions, like Sunday the 19th morning with a 2ft easterly swell and an 81-second period. It’s surfable, but nothing to write home about. The combined wave energy is a measly 51 (weak). Monday the 20th morning is similar, with a 2ft easterly swell, period of 10 seconds, and a combined energy of 98 (weak). The wind is glassy on these mornings, so the surface will be clean, but the waves are just too small to get excited about. Tuesday the 21st and Wednesday the 22nd follow the same pattern: small, weak, and ordinary. This stretch of tiny surf runs for about 5 days.

The afternoons across this period are mostly a write-off, with onshore winds and poor conditions. Thursday the 24th morning sees a 1.0ft swell with a very long period of 18 seconds, but the energy is weak at 96. That long period might make for some weird, straight-breaking waves on the beach, so it’s not a great option.

We then get a slight uptick on Saturday the 26th morning with a 1ft SE swell, period of 15 seconds, and a combined energy of 120 (moderate). Still small, but the longer period might give it a little more shape. The glassy wind will keep it tidy.

Now, the real story starts to build around the 28th of July. We’ve got a significant swell coming in. Tuesday morning the 28th sees a 7ft SSE swell with a 15-second period, and the combined energy jumps to 1990 (strong). That’s a big step up. The wind is cross-shore, so it’s not going to be perfect. By Tuesday afternoon, the swell pushes to 8ft, with energy at 2351 (strong). This is getting into the territory where only experienced surfers are going to have a good time.

The standout session looks like Wednesday the 29th morning. We’re looking at a 10ft SSE swell, period of 15 seconds, and a massive combined energy of 4003 (very strong). The wind is a clean cross-offshore from the NNE, which is a great direction for this spot. The swell is predicted to be too big for this break, so this is strictly for experts. The afternoon drops to 8ft but stays clean.

After that, it settles down a bit. Thursday the 30th morning brings a solid 5ft SE swell with a 12-second period and combined energy of 885 (moderate). The wind is a clean cross-offshore from the WNW. This is a very good window for confident intermediate surfers. Friday the 31st morning is also looking nice: 5ft from the east with a 11-second period and energy at 516 (moderate). The wind is a light cross-offshore from the north. Glassy and clean.

The following weekend, the 1st and 2nd of August, sees the wind turning onshore and the swell dropping back down. It gets messy. The final couple of days, the 3rd of August, have a new swell pulse arriving, but the wind is cross-onshore, so the quality will be poor.

So, to sum it up: the first week is a total dud for any real surfing. The standout is hands-down Wednesday the 29th of July morning for the sheer size and power, but only for the absolute experts. For the best balance of size, shape, and clean conditions, Thursday the 30th of July morning is your best bet. Crowds are always possible at Takanabe, so keep that in mind.

Rusty.

Read more