Takanabe Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cookin’ for Takanabe over the next couple of weeks.

Alright, straight up, the first few days are a bit of a struggle. We’ve got some small swell on the Wednesday, 15th of July, with waves around 2ft coming from the S, but with a cross-offshore wind, it’s not really doing much for me. The energy is weak (122), and it’s just that “ordinary” feeling. The water temp is about average for the time of year, so no surprises there.

We roll into Thursday the 16th, and it actually gets a bit smaller. Thursday afternoon sees a tiny 1ft wave from the E with a period of 9 seconds, and the wind goes glassy. It’s clean, but it’s barely a ripple. The energy drops to 60. Friday the 17th is even worse—the score is a zero, with poor surf and glassy conditions on tiny 1ft waves. It’s a bit of a flat spell, to be honest.

The weekend doesn’t offer much hope either. Saturday the 18th morning has clean 2ft waves from the E on the glass, but the energy is weak (60). Sunday the 19th is similar, with 2ft waves and clean conditions in the morning, but the energy is still low (71). Monday the 20th through Wednesday the 22nd are more of the same—tiny, weak, and mostly poor. There’s a gap of several days here where you’re really not missing anything.

Things start to change a little towards the end of the week. On Thursday the 23rd and Friday the 24th, we see a small bump in energy, with the combined energy hitting 117 and 129, but the wind is cross-shore and the waves are still only 2ft. It’s classified as poor surf, so still not worth a paddle.

Now, here’s a glimmer. Saturday the 25th afternoon has a glassy 1ft wave from the SE with a period of 12 seconds, and the energy is 111. Still small, but it’s clean. Sunday the 26th morning is similar, with 2ft and glassy conditions, energy at 120. It’s surfable, but nothing to write home about.

The real story, and the only true standout here, is way out at the end. On Wednesday the 29th of July, we start to see a significant pulse of energy. The combined energy jumps to 683 in the morning, with 4ft waves from the ESE and a period of 14 seconds. That’s a legitimate groundswell with good period. The caveat is the wind is cross-onshore, and the conditions are marginal. The afternoon sees the energy rocket to 1331, with 4ft waves and a 16-second period, but the onshore wind messes it up.

Then, on Thursday the 30th of July morning, we get the big one. A massive 10ft swell from the SE with a very long 18-second period. The combined energy is a whopping 5390, which is serious power. The wind is light and onshore, but the forecast says the swell is predicted to be too big for this break. This is expert-only territory, and even then, it might be a washing machine. For a beach break like Takanabe, that long period on a big swell can make it close out and be dangerous. This one is a promise, but it’s a dangerous one.

So, for the next two weeks, the best bet is the Saturday the 25th and Sunday the 26th for a clean, small session. The big one on the 30th is a spectacle, but only for the brave and the very experienced. If you’re a beginner, stay away from that last day.

Rusty.

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