Takanabe Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, I’m Rusty, and here’s how the surf shapes up for Takanabe over the next sixteen days.

Right now we’re in a flat spell, so if you’re hanging for a wave, you’ll have to wait until Monday morning, September 14th. That’s when a small bump shows, with chest-high 4ft swell coming from the ESE, period around 9 seconds – a clean little groundswell. The water’s sitting at 82°, which is pretty much normal for this time of year so no surprises there. Combined wave energy is moderate at 268. Wind’s a light cross-off from the NNE, so the face will be clean. It’s only for beginners though, so if you’re learning, this is your window. Takanabe itself is an exposed spot facing SE, and it’s inconsistent, so don’t expect much more than a few sets.

Tuesday morning, September 15th, is the standout in this first week. The swell holds at 4ft from the ESE, period 9 seconds, and it’s glassy – flat calm, no wind, just you and the ocean. Wave energy picks up to 327. This is the pick of the run: clean, punchy, and small enough for anyone. It won’t be crowded, but Takanabe breaks only sometimes, so don’t bank on it being packed.

Wednesday and Thursday mornings, September 16–17, keep the clean cross-off wind, with chest-high waves around 3–3ft from the ESE and energy dropping to 215–227. Still surfable, but the quality fades a touch.

Then things get weird. Friday September 18th into the weekend sees the swell jump big, but the wind swings onshore and messy. By Saturday September 19th, the swell hits 7–8ft from the E, period 17 seconds on the afternoon – that’s serious groundswell with very long period, and wave energy cranks to 4512. It’s going to be lumpy and cross-chop though. Not good for a paddle. Might look more like a kite day.

Sunday morning September 20th, and here’s the real beast – 15ft of ESE swell, period 15 seconds, with combined energy reading a massive 8066. The wind is cross-off, so the face might look okay, but this is way too big for Takanabe. Experts only, and even then, it’s a wild card. The forecast says it’ll be too big for the break, and I’d agree. Same story rolls through Monday and Tuesday, with 12–21ft swells – that’s big-wave territory, and with fresh to near-gale winds, it’s pretty much unsurfable here.

By Wednesday September 23rd, it drops back to a clean 4ft from the SE, and that morning looks like a decent little session with gentle cross-off winds. After that, the energy fades to weak, with very small waves under 2ft for the rest of the period. Thursday through Sunday, September 24–27, you’re looking at knee-to-thigh-high dribble, some glassy mornings but not enough to get excited about. The combined energy drops into the double digits – weak, weak, weak.

So overall, Monday morning September 14th and Tuesday morning September 15th are the best on offer. After that, it’s either too big and messy, or too small. The second week only has a fleeting clean window on Wednesday the 23rd, but it’s nothing to write home about. Keep an eye on the forecasts though – it tends not to stay poor for long around here.

Rusty

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