Cape Toi Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty, and I’ve got a look at the Cape Toi region for you. Let me break it down.

Right off the bat, folks, it’s a rough start. We’re looking at a solid stretch of poor conditions for the first week. From Sunday, August 30th, all the way through the first part of September, the wind is a problem. It’s coming mostly from the south and east, creating cross-onshore and onshore junk. The swell is small, weak, and the combined energy is low, barely cracking 100 on the best of those days. Water temp is sitting at a warm 84°, which is about normal for this time of year, so at least a dip in the water won’t be a shock.

We do see a bit of a bump on Wednesday, September 2nd, with a short-period SE swell pushing 6ft, but the energy is only moderate and the wind is a messy cross-onshore with thunderstorms likely. That’s not one to get excited about for a paddle. On the 6th of September, there’s a big spike in energy on Sunday morning with a 6ft ESE swell and a long 14-second period, but the wind is a fresh 19 mph cross-shore. That’s more of a kite day than a surf day at Cape Toi.

The real light at the end of the tunnel, and the standout in this entire forecast, lands on Thursday, September 10th. The morning is looking clean. We’ve got a solid 8ft swell from the ESE with a 12-second period, and the wind is a light cross-offshore from the NE. The combined energy is strong. This is excellent surf for experienced surfers, but at that size, it’s too much for beginners. The wave comment says it’s clean, and with that light breeze, it’s going to be a session to remember. The afternoon on the same day is still good, but the wind turns a little cross-on, so the morning is the window.

Then, on Saturday, September 12th, we get another cracker. The morning is glassy. A 10ft ESE swell with a 9-second period and no wind. That’s pure, lined-up power for the experienced crew. The energy is very strong. That’s a big day, and it’s going to be a standout.

After that, the swell drops off into tiny, weak waves again for the second week. A few glassy mornings with knee-high chops, but nothing to write home about.

So, to sum it up: the first week is a write-off. The two sessions to circle are the morning of Thursday, September 10th, and the morning of Saturday, September 12th. Both are for the experienced surfer, but they are the best on offer. Cape Toi is inconsistent, so when it fires, you gotta be there. But remember, long-range forecasts are promising, not a guarantee.

Stay patient, and keep an eye on the sky.

Rusty

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