Surf Forecasts:
Cape Toi surf forecast from 20 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 22 Jul, 6AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 11s period, ENE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 22 Jul, 6AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 11s period, ENE swell with 198 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 21 Jul, 3AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 9s period with E swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cape Toi this week:
The surf forecast for Cape Toi over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 21) at 3AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 9s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Cape Toi in the next 16 days are 0.9m 11s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 22) at 6AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.5m 15s period and expected on Monday (Jul 27) at 9AM.
| Wave Type | Time (JST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 3AM (Tue 21st Jul) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 9s |
| Best Surf | 6AM (Wed 22nd Jul) | 3ft (0.9m) 11s |
| Most Powerful | 6AM (Wed 22nd Jul) | 3ft (0.9m) 11s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cape Toi over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Rusty here, and I’ll be straight with you – Cape Toi isn’t firing at all over the next couple of weeks. This reef break’s always inconsistent, and the forecast is a real mixed bag of tiny, ordinary waves and a late pulse of big, messy swell. The water’s sitting at 82.6°, which is pretty much average for this time of year.
We start off with a run of small, glassy mornings but nothing to write home about. Monday 20 July morning has 2.3ft easterly swell at 10 seconds, dead calm, but the wave comment says “very ordinary” – and honestly, it’s just not happening. The afternoons get chopped up by onshore winds. That pattern holds through the week: Tuesday 21 July morning is glassy with 2.3ft, Wednesday 22 July morning sees a slight bump to 3.0ft from the ENE with a longer 11-second period, and the combined energy is moderate (194). That Wednesday morning is probably the best of the small stuff – clean, glassy, and a little more shape. But still, it’s only a 3.0ft wave, and the break is inconsistent, so don’t expect much.
The following week stays tiny and mostly poor until the very end. Saturday 25 July morning has a glassy 1.6ft, and Sunday 26 July is a write-off. From Monday 27 July through to the end of the month, the swell barely breaks 2.0ft, and the wind is often onshore or cross. The combined energy drops to weak levels (26 on 29 July morning). It’s a classic Cape Toi lull.
Then things change. On Sunday 2 August morning, a pulse of 4.3ft ENE swell arrives with a short 7-second period, cross-shore wind, and combined energy of 404 (moderate-
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 30°C on Mon morning, min 27°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 30°C on Thu afternoon, min 26°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | Wednesday 22 | Thursday 23 | Friday 24 | Saturday 25 | Sunday 26 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 10 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | ENE 11 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | E 10 | SE 16 | SE 16 | SE 16 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 11 | SE 11 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 92 | 108 | 106 | 79 | 79 | 83 | 194 | 147 | 106 | 104 | 106 | 77 | 75 | 68 | 43 | 42 | 41 | 49 | 50 | 57 | 56 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-on | cross | glassy | cross | cross-off | glassy | cross | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | glassy | glassy | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-on | cross |
High Tide | 10:04AM1.63m | 10:27PM1.78m | 11:07AM1.49m | 11:02PM1.71m | 12:32PM1.39m | 11:45PM1.64m | 2:25PM1.39m | 00:45AM1.58m | 4:00PM1.47m | 1:59AM1.57m | 4:54PM1.58m | 3:08AM1.61m | 5:30PM1.67m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 4:05PM0.73m | 5:00AM0.72m | 4:42PM0.93m | 6:01AM0.73m | 5:30PM1.11m | 7:14AM0.71m | 6:50PM1.24m | 8:30AM0.66m | 8:44PM1.28m | 9:34AM0.57m | 10:03PM1.24m | 10:24AM0.46m | 10:52PM1.17m | ||||||||
 | |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:24 | — | — | 5:24 | — | — | 5:24 | — | — | 5:26 | — | — | 5:26 | — | — |
 | — | 7:17 | — | — | 7:17 | — | — | 7:16 | — | — | 7:15 | — | — | 7:15 | — | — | 7:15 | — | — | 7:15 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 30 | 30 | 28 | 29 | 29 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 28 | 29 | 29 | 27 | 29 | 29 | 27 |
Feels °C | 33 | 33 | 32 | 32 | 31 | 32 | 32 | 33 | 32 | 32 | 33 | 32 | 33 | 34 | 32 | 32 | 32 | 30 | 31 | 31 | 30 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 10 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | ENE 11 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | E 10 | E 9 | E 9 | ENE 9 | SE 10 | SSE 12 | SSE 11 | S 12 |
| kJ | 92 | 108 | 106 | 79 | 79 | 83 | 194 | 147 | 106 | 104 | 106 | 77 | 75 | 68 | 43 | 42 | 28 | 49 | 147 | 314 | 870 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 8 | SW 8 | SW 8 | SW 8 | ENE 14 | ENE 12 | WSW 8 | WSW 7 | S 7 | WSW 7 | SE 10 | ESE 10 | SE 10 | SE 11 | SE 11 | SE 11 | SE 10 | ENE 9 | SE 10 | SE 11 | SE 11 |
| kJ | 16 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 37 | 57 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 10 | 16 | 19 | 41 | 41 | 37 | 27 | 50 | 57 | 56 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | WSW 7 | WSW 7 | S 7 | S 7 | SE 11 | SE 10 | S 7 | SE 18 | SE 18 | ESE 18 | SE 16 | SE 16 | SE 16 | SE 16 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 8 |
| kJ | 8 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 4 | 13 | 49 | 30 | 43 | 41 | 41 | 39 | 26 | 25 | 14 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | SW 3 | WSW 3 | WSW 2 | WSW 7 | WSW 3 | WSW 6 | WSW 3 | W 3 | — | WSW 6 | WSW 3 | WSW 6 | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | — | 3 | 1 | 4 | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 585 | 9 | 0 | 583 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 597 | 0 | 0 | 167 | 0 | 0 | 32 | 9 | 9 | 167 | 32 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Kyu Shu | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Japan | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Cape Toi Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Cape Toi provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Cape Toi can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cape Toi surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cape Toi) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cape Toi may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Cape Toi is 15 km (9 miles) from Kushima. If you plan a holiday in Kyu Shu, look for hotels and other accommodation in Kushima. Kushima has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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