Surf Forecasts:
Cape Toi surf forecast from 12 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 17 Jul, 9PM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.5m), 9s period, E swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 19 Jul, 9AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 10s period, E swell with 154 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 17 Jul, 9PM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.5m), 9s period with E swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cape Toi this week:
The surf forecast for Cape Toi over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 17) at 9PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.5m and 9s period. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Cape Toi in the next 16 days are 0.9m 10s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 19) at 9AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.7m 11s period and expected on Monday (Jul 13) at 9AM.
| Wave Type | Time (JST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 9PM (Fri 17th Jul) | 1.5ft (0.5m) 9s |
| Best Surf | 9PM (Fri 17th Jul) | 1.5ft (0.5m) 9s |
| Most Powerful | 9AM (Sun 19th Jul) | 3ft (0.9m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cape Toi over the next 16 days.
Rusty here again. Let's break down the Cape Toi forecast in feet and fahrenheit.
Forget the first week and a half. From Monday the 13th all the way to the 21st, it’s a flat spell. We’re looking at tiny, weak easterly swell – barely 1 to 2 feet – with combined energy readings mostly in the teeny 20s to 90s. On top of that, the winds are rubbish for the most part. There are some cleanish moments with cross-off breezes on Wednesday the 15th and Thursday the 16th, but the swell is still a pathetic 1ft with a short period. It’s a write-off.
The first real chance for a surf comes on Wednesday the 22nd. The morning is glassy, with a 4ft easterly swell at 10 seconds. The combined energy hits 388 (moderate). It’s not gonna blow your mind, but it’ll be clean and rideable.
The absolute standout day is Thursday the 23rd. The morning delivers a solid 5ft of east swell with a very long 12-second period, and the combined energy is heavy at 665. The wind is light and cross-off from the north, keeping it clean. That’s the kind of day that makes the wait worthwhile at this reef. The afternoon holds steady with 5ft and a glassy surface. This spot is inconsistent, and it’s for intermediate surfers, but when it lines up, it’s the goods. Expect some company in the water.
After that peak, it drops off fast. The weekend and following days see the swell shrink back to 1-2ft from the south-east, with poor wind and little energy. Water temp is 80°F, which is about 3°F cooler than average, so it’s a touch nippy.
Signing off, Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 32°C on Tue afternoon, min 26°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummarySome drizzle, heaviest during Sat night. Warm (max 31°C on Thu afternoon, min 26°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 9 | E 10 | E 10 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 10 | E 9 | E 9 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 27 | 27 | 28 | 27 | 26 | 26 | 27 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 28 | 28 | 46 | 41 | 42 | 64 | 60 | 58 | 154 | 133 | 60 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | cross-on | glassy | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross |
High Tide | 6:14PM1.96m | 5:05AM1.98m | 6:57PM2.01m | 5:57AM2.04m | 7:37PM2.02m | 6:46AM2.06m | 8:14PM2.00m | 7:34AM2.01m | 8:49PM1.96m | 8:22AM1.92m | 9:22PM1.91m | 9:11AM1.78m | 9:55PM1.85m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 11:14AM0.01m | 11:40PM1.06m | 12:03PM-0.08m | 00:27AM0.98m | 12:50PM-0.09m | 1:11AM0.90m | 1:33PM-0.03m | 1:54AM0.82m | 2:14PM0.11m | 2:37AM0.77m | 2:52PM0.29m | 3:21AM0.73m | 3:29PM0.51m | ||||||||
 | |  | | | | | |  |  | | | | | | | |  | | | | |
 | 5:18 | — | — | 5:18 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — |
 | — | 7:21 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:19 | — | — | 7:19 | — | — | 7:17 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | 3 |
Temp °C | 29 | 30 | 28 | 31 | 32 | 27 | 30 | 31 | 28 | 30 | 31 | 27 | 30 | 29 | 28 | 29 | 29 | 27 | 29 | 29 | 27 |
Feels °C | 32 | 32 | 31 | 34 | 34 | 30 | 31 | 32 | 31 | 33 | 33 | 29 | 34 | 32 | 33 | 32 | 32 | 31 | 31 | 31 | 30 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | S 8 | S 8 | SSW 8 | E 10 | E 9 | WSW 6 | E 10 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 10 | E 9 | E 9 |
| kJ | 683 | 410 | 273 | 168 | 106 | 78 | 50 | 34 | 21 | 30 | 28 | 33 | 46 | 41 | 42 | 64 | 60 | 58 | 154 | 133 | 60 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 11 | WSW 10 | WSW 10 | SW 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 10 | E 10 | SSW 8 | SSW 8 | E 10 | WSW 6 | SW 6 | SW 6 | SE 9 | SE 9 | ESE 11 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | ESE 8 |
| kJ | 81 | 42 | 38 | 21 | 26 | 26 | 27 | 30 | 30 | 19 | 11 | 28 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 14 | 14 | 27 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | SE 12 | SE 11 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | ESE 9 | SE 9 | SSW 7 | SSW 7 | SSW 7 | SE 10 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | SSE 9 | WSW 8 | SW 8 | SW 7 |
| kJ | 27 | 27 | 28 | 27 | 21 | 20 | 17 | 16 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 14 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | SW 3 | WSW 4 | WSW 3 | SW 4 | WSW 4 | WSW 4 | SW 4 | WSW 5 | WSW 6 | WSW 5 | W 6 | W 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | 5 | 10 | 3 | 22 | 16 | 18 | 38 | 44 | 47 | 69 | 73 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 9 | 32 | 9 | 9 | 32 | 9 | 9 | 32 | 26 | 32 | 44 | 44 | 9 | 12 | 0 | 31 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 659 | 26 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Kyu Shu | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Japan | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Cape Toi Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Cape Toi provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Cape Toi can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cape Toi surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cape Toi) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cape Toi may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Cape Toi is 15 km (9 miles) from Kushima. If you plan a holiday in Kyu Shu, look for hotels and other accommodation in Kushima. Kushima has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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