Cape Toi Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G'day, Rusty here. Let's dig into what's happening at Cape Toi. It's a reef break that's wide open to the ocean, and it's a spot that doesn't turn on very often, so we've got to be patient.

Right now, things are looking pretty grim. We've got a stretch of small, messy, cross-onshore junk that's not worth paddling out for. This is going to run for a good week or so, with most days offering nothing but poor conditions. The water temp is about average for the time of year, nothing to write home about.

Now, the real interest is on Tuesday, August 25th. That's the standout. We're looking at a solid pulse of 15 to 16 feet swell coming from the SE, with a long period of 15 to 16 seconds. That's proper groundswell. The combined energy is massive—through the roof at 10,639. It's a big, powerful ocean. However, the wind is a fresh cross-shore, which will put a lumpy chop on the face. This is not a day for beginners; over 8 feet, it's expert territory. The direction is SE, which is a good angle for this exposed reef, but for a long period groundswell like this, a reef break is the right place to be. It's a bit of a gamble with the wind, but the size and power are undeniable.

The next day, Wednesday the 26th, the swell drops back to 7 feet, but the wind swings onshore and it gets lumpy again. Poor.

After that, it's back to a long run of small, weak waves. There's a faint glimmer on Monday, August 31st with a tiny 2-foot swell and glassy conditions. The energy is a weak 69. It's a novelty wave, very ordinary, and only for the desperate.

Moving into the second week, the first week of September, it's mostly small, clean, but weak. Thursday the 3rd has some clean cross-offshore winds, but the swell is tiny. The best of a bad bunch might be Friday, September 4th afternoon, with a clean 4-foot swell from the SE and light winds. It's still only surfable, nothing special.

So, the only true standout here is Tuesday, August 25th. If you're an expert and you can handle the lumpy, powerful surf, that's the day. The rest of the 16-day window is mostly a write-off, but with a spot like this that's inconsistent, a blank run isn't surprising.

Rusty.

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