Cape Toi Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G'day, I'm Rusty. Let's have a look at what's coming up for Cape Toi.

Alright, straight up, the next week or so is going to be a bit of a grind for anyone looking for a proper wave. We've got tiny, weak swell all over the place. The combined energy is mostly in the low double or triple digits, barely registering. But hang tight, because the second week of the forecast is where things get interesting, with a proper pulse of groundswell heading our way.

For the first few days, from Friday the 24th of July right through to the end of the month, the swell is tiny—nothing over 2ft and mostly from the east or southeast. The water temp is about average for the time of year, nothing to write home about. You'll get some clean windows, like Saturday morning the 25th with that glassy NW wind on a 1ft SE swell (combined energy 110), but it's really just a nip out for a splash. The afternoons get messy with onshore winds, so don't expect much.

The first week of August is more of the same until we hit Tuesday the 4th. That's when the energy starts to build. Tuesday morning the 4th sees a 3ft ESE swell, but with a period of 15 seconds, that's proper groundswell energy starting to rumble in (combined energy 401). The wind is a cross-onshore, but the power is there. By Wednesday the 5th, we're looking at 7ft to 7ft from the ESE with a 16-second period. That's solid, but the onshore wind is going to mess it up a bit. Still, the energy is building, moving from moderate to strong (2005 to 2506).

Now, the standout. The real gold is on the 7th and 8th of August. Thursday the 6th is big, but it's messy and onshore (12ft, 16-second period, energy up to 6968) – that's expert territory and blown out. But Friday the 7th? We're talking a 13ft swell from the east with a 17-18 second period. The combined energy is massive (over 10,000). That's a very strong, very long-period groundswell. The wind is a light cross-onshore, not ideal but manageable. However, the best of the best is Saturday morning the 8th. The swell drops back to a still significant 12ft from the east, 15-second period, and the wind is glassy calm. Zero wind. This is a big, powerful, clean swell (combined energy 5113). It's only for expert surfers at that size, but if you've got the balls, this is the session of the forecast.

Keep in mind, Cape Toi is a reef break that's inconsistent and can get crowded. For a swell this size and this long of a period, the reef might handle it better than a beach, but it's going to be a heavy, powerful wave. The optimum swell direction is from the NE, and this is coming from the east, so it's a bit off the mark, but with that much energy, it'll still be cranking.

So, to sum it up: the first week is a write-off for any real surf. The second week builds to a massive peak around the 8th of August. That Saturday morning is the clear winner—just make sure you're an expert.

Rusty.

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