Cape Toi Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming up for Cape Toi over the next couple of weeks.

To be straight with you, the first few days are a bit of a write-off. We’re looking at a real slow start from Wednesday the 29th right through until Saturday the 1st of August. The swell is tiny, barely 1.0ft to 2ft, and the combined energy is weak (73 at best). The winds are mostly cross-off or light, but there’s just no power in the water to work with. You’d be bobbing around more than riding. It’s a quiet spell, so don’t bother suiting up just yet.

Then Sunday the 2nd of August morning shows a little flicker of life. The swell bumps up to 2ft but with a proper long period of 14 seconds, pushing the combined energy to 110. It’s a groundswell, and with a clean cross-off breeze from the NNE, it’ll be tidy. But it’s still small, just surfable waves in very ordinary conditions. Not a standout, but a sign that things are waking up.

The real change kicks in Monday the 3rd of August. We’ve got a 5ft ESE swell rolling in with a 16-second period, and the combined energy jumps to 1376. The wind is a clean cross-off from the NE, so the morning is looking good. The water temp is about average for the time of year, nothing unusual. This is a solid return to form, but it’s not the best on offer.

Now, if you’re an experienced surfer, circle Wednesday the 5th of August. This is the standout. The morning brings a massive 13ft easterly swell with an 18-second period, and the combined energy is a crazy 10627. The wind is light and cross-off from the NNE, so the face will be clean. This is exceptional surf conditions for expert surfers only. The swell direction from the east is right in the sweet spot for Cape Toi’s optimum from the NE. It’s big, it’s powerful, and it’s flawless. The only catch: this is over a week away, so keep an eye on the forecasts, but it looks like a session to remember.

Thursday the 6th of August is even bigger, with 23ft to 26ft swells, but the wind picks up to a fresh breeze and near gale. It’s too big for even this exposed reef, and the wind, while cross-off, will be howling. That’s for the absolute diehards only.

After that, it all gets messy. Friday the 7th sees severe gale-force cross-shore winds and a big drop in quality. The rest of the second week into the 13th shows some more manageable 4ft to 8ft swells, but the wind is mostly cross or onshore, and the period drops short. There’s a moment on Monday the 10th of August morning with a 6ft easterly swell, 14-second period, and light cross-off wind, which is worth a look for experienced surfers, but it’s no match for that Wednesday the 5th blast.

So, the call is clear: if you’re a pro, the 5th of August is the one. The rest of the run is a mixed bag of clean but small, or big but blown out. Hang tight.

Rusty.

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