Surf Forecasts:
Cape Toi surf forecast from 14 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 18 Jul, 12AM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.5m), 9s period, E swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 19 Jul, 12AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 9s period, E swell with 83 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 18 Jul, 12AM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.5m), 9s period with E swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cape Toi this week:
The surf forecast for Cape Toi over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 18) at 12AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.5m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Cape Toi in the next 16 days are 0.7m 9s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 19) at 12AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 5s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 3PM.
| Wave Type | Time (JST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 12AM (Sat 18th Jul) | 1.5ft (0.5m) 9s |
| Best Surf | 12AM (Sat 18th Jul) | 1.5ft (0.5m) 9s |
| Most Powerful | 12AM (Sun 19th Jul) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cape Toi over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G'day, Rusty here, and I've gotta be straight with you—this 16-day window for Cape Toi is a real mixed bag, and honestly, mostly a flat spell, so don't get your hopes up too early. The water's sitting at 80°, which is a bit colder than what we'd normally expect this time of year, so you might want a slightly thicker spring suit than usual.
The forecast kicks off with a whole lot of nothing. From Tuesday the 14th right through to the early hours of Friday the 24th, the swell is tiny—mostly around 1.0ft to 2ft—and the energy is weak (26 to 91). The wind is usually cross-off or cross, which would be fine if there was any wave to ride, but the surf conditions are consistently rated as poor. You'll be staring at a flat ocean for ten days straight. There's no standout surf on offer at all during this stretch.
Now, heading into the second week, things finally start to show a pulse. On Friday the 24th, the combined energy of the swells directed here climbs to 207 (moderate), with a 3ft swell from the ENE, but it's still pretty marginal with a cross-onshore breeze. Not worth the drive.
The real glimmer of hope, and the only time I'd actually get excited, is on Tuesday the 28th of July. The morning session looks promising. We've got a 4ft swell from the SE, with a period of 11 seconds, and the combined energy is a solid 389 (moderate to strong). The wind is light and cross-off from the north, so the waves should be clean. This is the best on offer by a long shot. The SE direction is a bit off the optimum NE for this reef, but it's still rideable, and that clean morning glass is a major plus. The swell is just under 5ft, so it's not too big for intermediates, but it's not a beginner wave either. The break is inconsistent, so you'll need to be patient between sets, and it can get crowded sometimes, so get out there early. After that, the energy drops right off again.
So, to sum it up: you've got a ten-day flat spell, then a bit of a tease on the 24th, and one decent morning on the 28th. If you can wait, Tuesday the 28th is your window.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 31°C on Tue afternoon, min 26°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummarySome drizzle, heaviest during Fri afternoon. Warm (max 30°C on Fri morning, min 26°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | SE 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 9 | E 9 | E 10 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 26 | 26 | 26 | 17 | 18 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 29 | 31 | 42 | 42 | 49 | 64 | 83 | 81 | 78 | 81 | 60 | 59 | 56 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | glassy | cross-off | cross | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | glassy |
High Tide | 6:57PM2.01m | 5:57AM2.04m | 7:37PM2.02m | 6:46AM2.06m | 8:14PM2.00m | 7:34AM2.01m | 8:49PM1.96m | 8:22AM1.92m | 9:22PM1.91m | 9:11AM1.78m | 9:55PM1.85m | 10:04AM1.63m | 10:27PM1.78m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 12:03PM-0.08m | 00:27AM0.98m | 12:50PM-0.09m | 1:11AM0.90m | 1:33PM-0.03m | 1:54AM0.82m | 2:14PM0.11m | 2:37AM0.77m | 2:52PM0.29m | 3:21AM0.73m | 3:29PM0.51m | 4:08AM0.72m | 4:05PM0.73m | ||||||||
 | |  | | |  | |  | | |  | | | | | | | | | |  | |
 | 5:18 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — |
 | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:19 | — | — | 7:19 | — | — | 7:17 | — | — | 7:17 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 |
Temp °C | 30 | 31 | 27 | 30 | 30 | 28 | 30 | 31 | 28 | 30 | 30 | 27 | 30 | 30 | 28 | 29 | 29 | 28 | 29 | 29 | 28 |
Feels °C | 32 | 31 | 30 | 31 | 30 | 31 | 32 | 33 | 31 | 34 | 35 | 32 | 33 | 31 | 32 | 32 | 31 | 32 | 33 | 33 | 34 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | S 8 | E 10 | SSW 8 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 9 | E 9 | E 10 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 |
| kJ | 168 | 106 | 78 | 50 | 18 | 21 | 30 | 30 | 29 | 31 | 42 | 42 | 49 | 64 | 83 | 81 | 78 | 81 | 60 | 59 | 56 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | SE 10 | E 10 | SSW 8 | S 8 | SSW 7 | S 7 | ESE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 7 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SW 8 |
| kJ | 21 | 26 | 26 | 15 | 16 | 30 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 25 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 16 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 9 | SE 12 | SE 11 | SE 10 | — | SE 10 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | SE 11 | ESE 9 | E 14 | S 7 | SSW 7 | SE 8 | SE 8 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SW 8 | SW 8 | SE 11 | SSE 8 |
| kJ | 26 | 21 | 20 | 17 | — | 16 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 7 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 3 | SW 4 | WSW 4 | WSW 5 | SW 5 | WSW 5 | WSW 6 | WSW 6 | WSW 6 | SW 6 | SW 4 | WSW 7 | WSW 7 | SW 4 | WSW 4 | SW 4 | SSW 3 | SW 4 | SW 8 | SW 4 | WSW 4 |
| kJ | 3 | 21 | 24 | 36 | 80 | 41 | 82 | 119 | 55 | 37 | 42 | 64 | 30 | 20 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 67 | 39 | 19 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 9 | 32 | 32 | 32 | 32 | 26 | 32 | 50 | 32 | 32 | 114 | 0 | 0 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 583 | 0 | 0 | 102 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Kyu Shu | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Japan | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Cape Toi Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Cape Toi provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Cape Toi can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cape Toi surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cape Toi) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cape Toi may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Cape Toi is 15 km (9 miles) from Kushima. If you plan a holiday in Kyu Shu, look for hotels and other accommodation in Kushima. Kushima has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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