Cape Toi Surf Break

Cape Toi Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Lat Long: 31.36° N 131.35° E

Issued: 8 am 07 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Cape Toi sea temperature is
25.9° C

1.6°C colder than average for this time of year

Cape Toi surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Cape Toi surf forecast from 7 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Tuesday 14 Jul, 6AM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.5m), 9s period, E swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Thursday 9 Jul, 9AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 16s period, SE swell with 6,117 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 14 Jul, 6AM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.5m), 9s period with E swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cape Toi this week:

The surf forecast for Cape Toi over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 14) at 6AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.5m and 9s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Cape Toi in the next 16 days are 3.5m 16s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 09) at 9AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 5.0m 17s period and expected on Friday (Jul 10) at 12PM.

Wave TypeTime (JST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 6AM (Tue 14th Jul)1.5ft (0.5m) 9s
Best Surf 6AM (Tue 14th Jul)1.5ft (0.5m) 9s
Most Powerful 9AM (Thu 9th Jul)11ft (3.5m) 16s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cape Toi over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what Cape Toi is serving up over the next couple of weeks.

Straight up, this is a frustrating outlook. For a reef break that’s exposed to the swell, we’re looking at a pretty ordinary run of conditions for the most part. The first glimmer of real hope isn’t until Tuesday the 7th of July, and even then, it’s a very short window.

So, the pick of the entire forecast is hands down Tuesday morning, July 7th. Cape Toi wakes up with the wind going glassy out of the northwest. We’ve got a solid 5ft swell pushing in from the southeast with a long 14-second period – that’s proper groundswell energy, and the combined energy of all swells is a moderate 734. The water is sitting at 79°, which is a bit colder than usual for this time of year, so you might want a spring suit. But that glassy morning with that size and direction? That’s the session to be on it. Just keep in mind the crowds can show up here sometimes.

From Tuesday afternoon things get messy quick. The wind swings easterly and comes cross-on, bumping the swell up to 5ft but ruining the surface. Wednesday the 8th sees a bigger push of swell – 8ft in the morning with a very long 17-second period from the southeast, and the combined energy jumps to a strong 3072. But the wind is a cross-shore from the northeast at 9 mph, so it’s not going to be clean. By Thursday the 9th, it’s getting bigger again at 12ft in the morning, but it’s cross-on and choppy – that’s expert territory, and honestly, the wind is going to make it a chore. That afternoon it drops to a pathetic 4ft with a short 7-second period and poor conditions. Not worth it.

Then we hit a massive dead zone. From Friday the 10th all the way through to Tuesday the 14th of July, there’s hardly any swell to speak of – we’re talking 1ft to 2ft with weak energy readings in the 20s and 30s. The wind is mostly cross-on or glassy, but there’s just no power. Wednesday the 15th morning shows a tiny pulse of 3ft from the southeast with an 11-second period and glassy winds, but it’s barely surfable.

The second week looks mostly poor. Around Saturday the 18th of July, we see another spike – 8ft in the morning from the southeast with a 12-second period, and the combined energy hits a strong 1658. However, the wind is a cross-on easterly at 12 mph, so it’s going to be lumpy and messy. By Sunday the 19th, we’re still seeing 8ft from the east, but again, cross-on and choppy. Conditions are just not working for this spot for any extended period.

Forget the kite surfing talk here; that’s just wind and chop. For paddle surfing, look hard at that Tuesday morning, July 7th. That’s the real standout. After that, it’s a wait-and-see game.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Wed night. Warm (max 27°C on Tue morning, min 25°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Heavy rain (total 28mm), heaviest during Fri night. Warm (max 28°C on Sun morning, min 25°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light.

Tuesday
7
Wednesday
8
Thursday
9
Friday
10
Saturday
11
Sunday
12
Monday
13
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
3
3
2
3
3
3
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.4
SE
14
1.6
SE
16
1.8
SE
16
2.3
SE
17
2.5
SE
16
3
SE
15
3.5
SE
16
1.1
E
7
0.6
E
8
4.5
SSE
17
0.5
E
8
5
S
17
0.4
ENE
8
0.4
ENE
8
0.3
E
10
0.5
E
9
0.4
E
9
0.5
E
9
0.5
E
9
0.5
E
9
0.5
E
9
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
721
1267
1685
2945
3678
3614
6117
130
44
0
32
0
24
21
18
43
27
41
41
41
41
Wind (km/h)
5
N
10
E
15
ENE
15
NE
20
ENE
20
ENE
20
E
20
E
20
E
25
E
25
ENE
25
ENE
25
E
25
E
15
ESE
10
ESE
5
S
5
SW
5
ESE
10
SSE
10
WSW
Wind State
glassy
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
glassy
glassy
glassy
cross-on
cross-off
High Tide
10:37AM1.56m
11:13PM1.76m
11:58AM1.50m
00:01AM1.74m
1:37PM1.51m
00:59AM1.73m
3:12PM1.61m
2:04AM1.75m
4:27PM1.74m
3:09AM1.81m
5:25PM1.87m
4:09AM1.90m
6:14PM1.96m
Low Tide
4:41PM0.73m
5:48AM0.74m
5:39PM0.91m
6:58AM0.63m
6:55PM1.06m
8:11AM0.49m
8:24PM1.15m
9:19AM0.32m
9:45PM1.16m
10:19AM0.15m
10:48PM1.13m
11:14AM0.01m
11:40PM1.06m
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
thunderstorm
clear
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:15
5:16
5:16
5:16
5:16
5:18
5:18
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
7:22
7:22
7:22
7:22
7:21
7:21
7:21
 mm
1
1
3
2
3
10
2
5
4
2
Temp °C
27
27
26
27
27
25
27
27
26
27
27
26
27
27
27
28
28
26
28
28
27
Feels °C
32
31
29
28
29
27
29
29
29
28
28
27
29
29
30
32
33
30
31
31
31
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.4
SE
14
1.6
SE
16
1.8
SE
16
2.3
SE
17
2.5
SE
16
3
SE
15
3.5
SE
16
3.5
SSE
16
3.5
SSE
15
4.5
SSE
17
5
S
17
5
S
17
4.5
S
16
4
S
16
3
S
14
2.5
S
12
2.3
S
12
1.9
S
11
1.7
S
11
1.5
S
10
1.2
S
10
Energy kJ
721
1267
1685
2945
3678
3614
6117
5577
5808
12304
14158
13909
10083
8129
3489
1806
1455
866
649
461
273
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.4
WSW
7
0.4
WSW
7
0.9
ENE
8
0.3
WSW
7
1.6
S
19
1.8
S
21
0.4
ENE
8
0.3
E
10
0.4
E
10
0.4
E
9
0.6
SW
12
0.5
SW
11
0.5
E
9
0.5
E
9
Energy kJ
20
21
102
10
1879
2836
21
18
28
27
120
59
41
41
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.3
ENE
8
0.4
ENE
8
0.5
SE
21
0.5
E
9
0.1
SE
15
0.5
E
9
0.5
E
9
0.5
SW
10
0.4
SW
10
Energy kJ
13
21
218
43
8
41
41
54
25
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1
ENE
8
1
ENE
8
1.3
E
7
1.1
E
7
1.1
E
7
0.6
E
8
0.5
E
8
0.4
ENE
8
0.3
E
8
Energy kJ
127
120
161
114
130
44
32
24
11
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
3
4
4
4
5
5
4
5
8
1
2
3
4
4
4
4
4
3
3
2
2
Distance (km)
0
12
12
12
338
12
331
399
12
225
225
225
225
225
12
12
9
9
9
167
9
Best forecast wave conditions in Kyu Shu
Rating
(10 max)
3
4
4
4
5
8
1
2
3
4
4
4
4
4
3
3
2
2
Best forecast wave conditions in Japan
Rating
(10 max)
3
4
4
5
5
5
5
5
8
8
9
9
9
6
9
4
4
3
3
3
2
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
7
5
7
9
8
9
7
7
6
7
5
5
5
5
5
5
9
9
7
5
6
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder
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Information about the Cape Toi Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Cape Toi provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Cape Toi can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cape Toi surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cape Toi) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cape Toi may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Cape Toi is 15 km (9 miles) from Kushima. If you plan a holiday in Kyu Shu, look for hotels and other accommodation in Kushima. Kushima has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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