Cape Toi Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it. Looking at Cape Toi over this 16-day stretch, and it’s a tough one. The first week or so is a write-off for surfing. We’ve got a big, powerful swell coming through on the 25th of August – Tuesday morning showing a solid 16ft from the southeast with a very long 16-second period and combined energy through the roof at 11175 – but it’s coming with a fresh cross-shore wind and lumpy conditions. That’s a no-go. That strong energy is just too messy for a proper paddle session, and the wind kills any chance of clean waves. The rest of that week stays small and windy or blown out, with the swell dropping fast. There’s really nothing rideable until we get to the 30th of August.

Now, the first little glimmer shows up on Sunday the 30th of August in the morning. The swell is tiny – 2ft from the east, but with a nice long 12-second period. It’s glassy, with just a slight air moving, and the combined swell energy is only 114 – weak. This is a small, clean morning for a log or a longboard. You’ll be scratching for waves, but it’s about the best we’ll see for a while. No real standouts here.

Then we have a long gap of poor surf, with strong winds and storms through the start of September. Everything stays small and messy. The next real chance comes on Saturday the 5th of September. The morning is glassy again, with a 4ft swell from the east-southeast, period around 8 seconds, and combined energy at 204 – moderate. The wind is glassy, so you’ll get clean conditions. The waves are small but have a bit more push than the 30th. It’s surfable, and the glassy wind makes it a good call for a beginner to intermediate session, but it’s not a standout.

Finally, the best opportunity of the whole forecast lands on Monday the 7th of September. The morning shows 6ft from the east-southeast with a 10-second period and energy at 811. The wind is a gentle cross-offshore and conditions are clean. This is your pick. The swell is a bit bigger, well-shaped, and the offshore wind will keep the faces smooth. Cape Toi is a reef break (Japan), so this southeast to east-southeast swell direction is pretty much ideal for it. The waves will have some grunt. The afternoon gets even better: 5ft from the north-northeast, a short 7-second period, but glassy conditions, with energy at 507. That north-northeast direction is not the optimum here, but the glassy wind could offer some clean, fun waves on the right tide. Just be aware crowds are sometimes around, so you might share the peak. The 6th of September afternoon also looks interesting: 8ft from the southeast with a long 13-second period and energy at 2016 (strong), with a clean cross-offshore wind from the north. That’s a bigger, more powerful swell – expert territory at that size – but the wind is good. For an experienced surfer, that could be a real highlight.

Water temperature? Right around average for this time of year, so nothing wild to report.

So, bottom line: the standout is Monday the 7th of September. Clean, chest-to-head high waves with a decent period and offshore wind. The afternoon glass-off is a bonus. The 6th afternoon has the biggest, most powerful swell of the window if you’ve got the skills. Everything else is small or blown out.

Rusty.

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