Cape Toi Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's cooking for the region.

Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you – the next few days are a write-off. We're looking at a pretty grim run of weather and messy conditions. From Saturday the 5th through the middle of the week, it's a no-go. The water temp is sitting at a warm 84° here at Cape Toi, which is pretty much dead average for this time of year, so at least the water feels nice even if the waves are junk.

The first real glimmer of hope comes on Wednesday the 9th. The afternoon session looks like a sneaky little window. We've got a light breeze from the north at 6 mph, making for clean conditions, and a small 3 ft swell from the southeast. The combined energy is weak at 210, so don't expect a lot of power, but it's clean and rideable for a learner or someone with a log. It's a better option than the junk we've had.

Now, hold onto your board, because the real standout is shaping up for Monday the 15th. Tuesday morning the 15th is looking like the pick of the entire forecast. We've got clean conditions with a light northeast breeze at 6 mph, a chest-high 5 ft swell from the east, and a solid 10-second period pushing some decent energy – the combined energy is 659, which is moderate. This is a reef break, so that longer period groundswell is going to wrap in nicely and give us some proper shape. It's inconsistent, so you'll be waiting for the sets, but when they come, they'll be clean. Crowds are possible here, so keep an eye out.

The following morning, Wednesday the 16th, also has a clean look with a tiny 3 ft swell from the east and barely a whisper of wind from the west at 3 mph. It's a good morning for the longboard if you can get out there before the wind swings.

Beyond that, the second week looks a bit of a letdown. There's a few days of small, weak, and messy surf with the wind not playing ball. Not much to get excited about. The energy drops right off, with the combined energy readings falling into the double digits, so it's a flat spell to end the outlook.

Stay patient, keep an eye on the 15th, and don't bother paddling out until then.

Rusty.

Read more