Surf Forecasts:
Cape Toi surf forecast from 15 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 22 Jul, 6AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 11s period, ENE swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 22 Jul, 9PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 11s period, ENE swell with 263 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 17 Jul, 9AM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.5m), 10s period with E swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cape Toi this week:
The surf forecast for Cape Toi over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 17) at 9AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.5m and 10s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Cape Toi in the next 16 days are 1.0m 11s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 22) at 9PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 5s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 9PM.
| Wave Type | Time (JST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 9AM (Fri 17th Jul) | 1.5ft (0.5m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 6AM (Wed 22nd Jul) | 3ft (0.9m) 11s |
| Most Powerful | 9PM (Wed 22nd Jul) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 11s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cape Toi over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here again, with the same look in feet and miles. Cape Toi is a reef break that's hit or miss, and we've got a solid stretch of tiny, average waves before it gets good.
The water is warm, about 82°, which is normal for this time of year.
For the first week, starting July 15th, it's a struggle. Waves are ankle to knee-high from the east, with a short period around 9-10 seconds. The energy is weak, well under 100. The winds are mostly cross-off or cross, keeping it clean, but there's just no juice. It's surfable, but nothing to write home about.
The real action starts in the second week. The swell builds from the east-northeast around the 22nd. The morning of Thursday the 23rd is the first real winner. The wind is glassy, dead calm, with a 3-foot wave from the ENE at 11 seconds. The energy jumps to 288 (moderate), and it's looking good. That's your clean, fun session.
Then it gets serious. The morning of July 29th brings a 4-foot groundswell from the ESE with a very long 16-second period. The energy is strong at 604. This is a real reef-break wave, powerful and lined up. The wind is light and cross, so it'll be a bit bumpy but very rideable. The absolute standout is the morning of July 30th. We're looking at a 6-foot swell from the ESE with a 16-second period. The energy is massive at 1484 (very strong). The wind is a light cross-shore breeze. This is for experts only—over 5 feet and that long period will make it a heavy, hollow beast on the reef.
Crowds are possible, so plan your attack. The first few days are a write-off, but that second half of the month has some serious potential.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 32°C on Thu afternoon, min 27°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 31°C on Sat afternoon, min 27°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wed 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | |||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 10 | ENE 9 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 11 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 18 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 29 | 46 | 45 | 43 | 63 | 61 | 60 | 59 | 61 | 63 | 83 | 81 | 117 | 118 | 125 | 100 | 249 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | off | glassy | on | off | cross-off | on | glassy | cross |
High Tide | 7:37PM2.02m | 6:46AM2.06m | 8:14PM2.00m | 7:34AM2.01m | 8:49PM1.96m | 8:22AM1.92m | 9:22PM1.91m | 9:11AM1.78m | 9:55PM1.85m | 10:04AM1.63m | 10:27PM1.78m | 11:07AM1.49m | 11:02PM1.71m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 1:11AM0.90m | 1:33PM-0.03m | 1:54AM0.82m | 2:14PM0.11m | 2:37AM0.77m | 2:52PM0.29m | 3:21AM0.73m | 3:29PM0.51m | 4:08AM0.72m | 4:05PM0.73m | 5:00AM0.72m | 4:42PM0.93m | 6:01AM0.73m | ||||||||
 |  | |  | | | |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:24 |
 | 7:20 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:19 | — | — | 7:19 | — | — | 7:17 | — | — | 7:17 | — | — | 7:17 | — | 7:16 |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 31 | 28 | 31 | 32 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 28 | 30 | 31 | 28 | 30 | 30 | 29 | 30 | 30 | 28 | 29 | 29 | 28 | 30 |
Feels °C | 32 | 31 | 33 | 34 | 31 | 33 | 33 | 32 | 33 | 32 | 31 | 33 | 32 | 33 | 34 | 34 | 32 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 35 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 10 | SSW 8 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 10 | ENE 9 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 11 |
| kJ | 18 | 21 | 30 | 30 | 29 | 46 | 45 | 43 | 63 | 61 | 60 | 59 | 61 | 63 | 83 | 81 | 117 | 118 | 125 | 100 | 249 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 10 | E 10 | SSW 8 | SSW 7 | SSW 7 | SSW 7 | ESE 10 | SE 10 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 8 | SSW 5 | SE 9 | WSW 8 | SW 8 | SW 8 | SW 8 | WSW 8 | SW 8 | SW 5 | WSW 8 |
| kJ | 16 | 30 | 19 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 16 | 32 | 28 | 12 | 23 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | SE 10 | ESE 9 | SE 9 | SE 9 | ESE 9 | S 7 | SSW 7 | S 7 | S 7 | S 7 | SE 8 | S 8 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 8 | SE 8 | SE 8 | ENE 12 | S 7 |
| kJ | — | 16 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 79 | 1 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 5 | WSW 5 | WSW 6 | WSW 6 | WSW 6 | WSW 6 | WSW 6 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 4 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | SW 4 | WSW 4 | WSW 3 | SW 7 | WSW 4 | W 5 | WSW 4 | W 5 | N 4 |
| kJ | 103 | 54 | 77 | 88 | 57 | 49 | 65 | 80 | 72 | 38 | 80 | 54 | 27 | 9 | 2 | 25 | 16 | 15 | 6 | 29 | 1 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 32 | 32 | 44 | 114 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 44 | 0 | 0 | 751 | 0 | 0 | 338 | 0 | 0 | 351 | 0 | 58 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Kyu Shu | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Japan | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Cape Toi Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Cape Toi provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Cape Toi can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cape Toi surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cape Toi) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cape Toi may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Cape Toi is 15 km (9 miles) from Kushima. If you plan a holiday in Kyu Shu, look for hotels and other accommodation in Kushima. Kushima has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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