Cape Toi Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s take a look at what’s goin’ on at Cape Toi.

Honestly, the next week and a half is a bit of a battle. There’s swell around, but the wind is just all wrong for most of it. There’s a few windows to get out, but you’re gonna have to be patient.

Let’s start with Tuesday morning, 7 July. That’s our first real highlight. The swell is a clean 1.4m (5ft) from the SE, with a period of 14 seconds, so that’s some decent long-period groundswell pushin’ in. The combined wave energy is moderate at 742. The big win here is the wind: clean offshore from the NW at just 3 mph. That’s glassy, clean conditions. This reef break handles that direction well, but Cape Toi can be inconsistent, so you might have to wait for the sets. Crowds are possible. If you score this session, it’ll be the best of the week.

Wednesday morning, 8 July, has a lot of size – 3.0m (10ft) from the SE, with a long period of 18 seconds. The combined energy is very strong at 5291. But the wind is cross-shore from the NE at 9 mph, so it won’t be perfect. For an experienced surfer though, that’s a big, powerful swell worth lookin’ at if you don’t mind a bit of cross-chop. That’s expert-only territory at that size.

From late Wednesday afternoon right through to the end of the third week of July, it’s pretty grim. Onshore winds, lumpy conditions, and mixed-up seas. The swell sticks around but the quality drops right off. There are days with high energy, like 4.0m (13ft) on the 15th, but the wind ruins it, turning it into a messy, choppy mess.

Now, here’s the kicker. Hang in there. On Tuesday morning, 21 July, we’ve got a real sleeper. The swell is 1.7m (6ft) from the east, period of 12 seconds, with a combined energy of 906 – that’s moderate to strong. The wind? Absolutely dead calm, glassy, zero mph from the south. That’s as clean as it gets for a perfect wave. This is a real standout for the second week, but it’s a ways off, so keep an eye on it. The water temperature is about average for this time of year.

If you’re lookin’ at those big, windy days around the 8th and 15th, with that much cross-shore wind and a beach setup, honestly, it’s more of a kite surfer’s dream than a paddle surfer’s. The bumps just ain’t worth it for us.

So, to sum it up: get out there Tuesday morning 7 July for the cleanest waves, and mark your calendar for Tuesday 21 July for what could be a glassy gem. The rest is mostly a write-off.

Rusty.

Read more