Surf Forecasts:
Cape Toi surf forecast from 22 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 23 Jul, 12AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 10s period, ENE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 22 Jul, 9PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 10s period, ENE swell with 141 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 23 Jul, 12AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 10s period with ENE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cape Toi this week:
The surf forecast for Cape Toi over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 23) at 12AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.7m and 10s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Cape Toi in the next 16 days are 0.8m 10s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 22) at 9PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 5s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 29) at 9PM.
| Wave Type | Time (JST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 12AM (Thu 23rd Jul) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 12AM (Thu 23rd Jul) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 9PM (Wed 22nd Jul) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cape Toi over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G’day, Rusty here.
Alright, look, we’ve got a bit of a slow start at Cape Toi. The first week and a bit is pretty ordinary—small, weak waves with poor conditions. Don’t bother paddling out until we get to August. There’s a solid run of blank days, so hold tight.
The first real glimmer comes on the morning of Saturday, the 1st of August. We’ve got a 2ft swell from the east, but it’s a long period of 18 seconds, carrying a solid 343 in combined energy. The wind is light and cross-offshore, keeping it clean. It’s a reef break, so that long-period groundswell will really wrap in nicely. The water’s about 83°, which is pretty average for this time of year. Crowds can show up sometimes, but it’s worth a look.
The standout is Monday, the 3rd of August. The morning is glassy with a 7ft east swell, period of 16 seconds, and a massive 2591 in combined energy. That’s serious wave energy. For experienced surfers only, this is the pick of the window. The offshore wind is light from the northwest, keeping it clean. The swell direction from the east is a perfect match for the optimum NE direction for this reef. It’s going to be incredible.
Tuesday, the 4th of August, is also a big one—8ft out of the east with a 17-second period, glassy in the morning despite a risk of thunderstorms. The combined energy hits 3865, which is huge. This is expert territory. The afternoon turns cross-onshore, but the morning window is gold.
We’ll see the swell drop back through the 5th and 6th, with morning glassy conditions on the 5th offering a 6ft east-northeast swell. Still good for experienced surfers, but the energy is winding down.
So, if you’re keen, lock in the 3rd and 4th of August. That’s the real deal.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 30°C on Wed afternoon, min 27°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Mon night. Warm (max 31°C on Sat afternoon, min 27°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Wed 22 | Thursday 23 | Friday 24 | Saturday 25 | Sunday 26 | Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | E 10 | E 10 | SE 16 | SE 16 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 11 | SE 11 | SE 14 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 147 | 106 | 104 | 106 | 77 | 70 | 48 | 44 | 41 | 28 | 35 | 36 | 56 | 55 | 52 | 51 | 51 | 50 | 50 | 49 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-off | glassy | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | off | cross-off | cross-on | off | off | on | glassy | glassy | on | glassy | cross-off | cross-on | off |
High Tide | 11:45PM1.64m | 2:25PM1.39m | 00:45AM1.58m | 4:00PM1.47m | 1:59AM1.57m | 4:54PM1.58m | 3:08AM1.61m | 5:30PM1.67m | 4:03AM1.68m | 6:01PM1.75m | 4:49AM1.76m | 6:30PM1.82m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 5:30PM1.11m | 7:14AM0.71m | 6:50PM1.24m | 8:30AM0.66m | 8:44PM1.28m | 9:34AM0.57m | 10:03PM1.24m | 10:24AM0.46m | 10:52PM1.17m | 11:05AM0.36m | 11:28PM1.09m | 11:42AM0.27m | 00:01AM1.01m | |||||||
 |  | | | | | | | | | |  | |  | | |  | | | | |
 | — | — | 5:24 | — | — | 5:24 | — | — | 5:26 | — | — | 5:26 | — | — | 5:26 | — | — | 5:26 | — | — |
 | 7:16 | — | — | 7:15 | — | — | 7:15 | — | — | 7:15 | — | — | 7:15 | — | — | 7:14 | — | — | 7:13 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 30 | 28 | 30 | 30 | 29 | 30 | 30 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 29 | 30 | 30 | 29 | 30 | 30 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 30 |
Feels °C | 34 | 31 | 33 | 32 | 33 | 33 | 32 | 32 | 32 | 34 | 33 | 34 | 34 | 35 | 34 | 34 | 34 | 33 | 34 | 35 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | S 9 | S 8 | S 8 | S 8 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | S 8 | S 8 | SE 10 |
| kJ | 147 | 106 | 104 | 106 | 77 | 70 | 48 | 44 | 28 | 28 | 39 | 52 | 50 | 46 | 71 | 76 | 78 | 52 | 50 | 49 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 7 | S 7 | WSW 7 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | ESE 18 | SE 11 | SE 11 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 11 | SE 11 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | WSW 5 |
| kJ | 10 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 30 | 30 | 41 | 27 | 35 | 36 | 56 | 55 | 52 | 51 | 51 | 50 | 50 | 9 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 7 | SE 11 | SE 10 | S 7 | SE 18 | SE 18 | ESE 11 | SE 16 | SE 16 | S 8 | WSW 4 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 8 | SE 14 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | S 8 |
| kJ | 4 | 4 | 15 | 4 | 13 | 49 | 13 | 43 | 41 | 12 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 14 | 51 | 14 | 13 | 16 | 16 | 33 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | WSW 7 | WSW 3 | SW 3 | WSW 3 | WSW 3 | SW 3 | WSW 4 | W 3 | SW 6 | W 4 | W 4 | — | WSW 4 | — | — | WSW 4 | — | — | W 5 |
| kJ | — | 18 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 5 | — | 5 | — | — | 3 | — | — | 21 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 597 | 0 | 0 | 597 | 0 | 0 | 118 | 0 | 0 | 167 | 9 | 0 | 99 | 0 | 0 | 167 | 0 | 0 | 366 | 9 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Kyu Shu | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Japan | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Cape Toi Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Cape Toi provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Cape Toi can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cape Toi surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cape Toi) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cape Toi may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Cape Toi is 15 km (9 miles) from Kushima. If you plan a holiday in Kyu Shu, look for hotels and other accommodation in Kushima. Kushima has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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