Surf Forecasts:
Cape Toi surf forecast from 4 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 6 Jul, 9PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 16s period, ESE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 8 Jul, 3PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 17s period, SE swell with 6,807 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 6 Jul, 9PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 16s period with ESE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cape Toi this week:
The surf forecast for Cape Toi over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 06) at 9PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.0m and 16s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Cape Toi in the next 16 days are 3.5m 17s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 08) at 3PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 5.0m 18s period and expected on Friday (Jul 10) at 12PM.
| Wave Type | Time (JST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 9PM (Mon 6th Jul) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 16s |
| Best Surf | 9PM (Mon 6th Jul) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 3PM (Wed 8th Jul) | 11ft (3.5m) 17s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cape Toi over the next 16 days.
Updates in hr min s Forecast update imminent
Alright, this is Rusty, and I'm looking at the run ahead for Cape Toi. This is a reef setup, so you want the right direction and size to make it work. The water's sitting at about 79°, which is a bit colder than usual for this time of year. It's not a massive deviation, but you'll feel it; maybe grab a thicker spring suit.
The outlook for the next couple of weeks is a real mixed bag. We're looking at a long, quiet spell to kick things off. Honestly, from today right through until early next week, there's nothing doing. The swell is tiny, barely a ripple, and the wind is mostly all wrong. You're looking at a solid 3-4 day gap with zero recommendations, just a whole lot of nothing. Don't even bother waxing your board.
But then, things change. The standout window is shaping up for the morning of Tuesday, July 7th. That's where it gets proper. A clean 5ft SE groundswell rolls in with a very long period of 16 seconds, and the wind is light offshore from the NW. That means silky, groomed faces at the reef. The energy jumps up (980) – it's still a manageable size, not too big, but with that period, it's got proper push. With an inconsistent break like Cape Toi, when it lines up like this, you don't miss it. Just be aware, it can get a crowd here sometimes, so get on it early.
The energy and size climb after that, but the wind gets messy. Wednesday morning, July 8th, sees the swell jumping to a solid 10ft SE with an even longer 18-second period. The combined energy is pumping at (6026). That's a serious amount of water moving. However, the wind is cross-onshore from the East. For a reef, that's a real shame – it'll put a bit of chop on what should be a beast of a swell. This one is definitely only for experienced surfers. If you're not solid, stay on the beach for this one, or it might be a better day for the kites.
After that, from Thursday the 9th onwards, the wind stays as a persistent cross-onshore or onshore mess, and the swell drops back to small, weak junk. We get a few mornings with the odd glassy patch, like on the 12th and 15th, but the swell is way too small to do anything with.
In short: Ride the glass on Tuesday the 7th for the best shot at a clean wall. Keep an eye on Wednesday the 8th for a big, raw day, but be ready for the bump. The rest is a write-off.
- Rusty
Short Range ForecastSome drizzle, heaviest during Sat afternoon. Warm (max 30°C on Sun afternoon, min 25°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 28°C on Tue afternoon, min 25°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sat 4 | Sunday 5 | Monday 6 | Tuesday 7 | Wednesday 8 | Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | |||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 8 | SE 19 | ESE 14 | SE 14 | SE 16 | SE 16 | SE 17 | SE 18 | SE 17 | SE 16 | E 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | S 17 | E 9 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 30 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 24 | 89 | 178 | 476 | 980 | 1552 | 3814 | 5959 | 6807 | 6093 | 246 | 243 | 111 | 72 | 53 | 0 | 39 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on |
High Tide | 9:24PM1.82m | 8:46AM1.72m | 9:57PM1.81m | 9:35AM1.64m | 10:33PM1.79m | 10:37AM1.56m | 11:13PM1.76m | 11:58AM1.50m | 00:01AM1.74m | 1:37PM1.51m | 00:59AM1.73m | 3:12PM1.61m | 2:04AM1.75m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 3:11AM0.91m | 3:17PM0.44m | 3:55AM0.87m | 3:56PM0.57m | 4:47AM0.81m | 4:41PM0.73m | 5:48AM0.74m | 5:39PM0.91m | 6:58AM0.63m | 6:55PM1.06m | 8:11AM0.49m | 8:24PM1.15m | 9:19AM0.32m | ||||||||
 |  |  |  | | | | | | | | | |  | | | | | |  | | |
 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:16 | — | — | 5:16 | — | — | 5:16 | — | — | 5:16 |
 | 7:22 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:22 | — | 7:21 |
mm | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 3 | 3 |
Temp °C | 28 | 27 | 29 | 30 | 27 | 30 | 30 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 26 | 27 | 27 | 26 | 27 | 26 | 27 | 28 |
Feels °C | 29 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 31 | 30 | 31 | 30 | 29 | 28 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 28 | 27 | 30 | 32 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 8 | SE 16 | ESE 14 | SE 14 | SE 16 | SE 16 | SE 17 | SE 18 | SE 17 | SE 16 | SSE 16 | SSE 16 | SSE 17 | S 17 | S 17 | S 17 | S 16 |
| kJ | 30 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 24 | 62 | 178 | 476 | 980 | 1552 | 3814 | 5959 | 6807 | 6093 | 6766 | 6932 | 10607 | 12502 | 13891 | 12421 | 8228 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 12 | E 12 | S 7 | SE 10 | S 7 | ESE 8 | SE 18 | S 6 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | E 9 |
| kJ | 11 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 150 | 1 | 51 | 39 | 21 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 39 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 8 | SE 10 | SE 10 | E 12 | SE 19 | SE 19 | ESE 8 | — | S 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 1 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 15 | 89 | 6 | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 5 | SW 6 | SW 5 | SW 5 | SW 6 | SW 5 | SW 5 | WSW 7 | — | — | — | ENE 8 | E 8 | E 9 | E 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | — | — |
| kJ | 85 | 71 | 45 | 61 | 58 | 67 | 98 | 93 | — | — | — | 67 | 103 | 230 | 246 | 243 | 111 | 72 | 53 | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 50 | 28 | 50 | 89 | 89 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 167 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 99 | 331 | 99 | 225 | 399 | 12 | 12 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Kyu Shu | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Japan | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Cape Toi Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Cape Toi provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Cape Toi can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cape Toi surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cape Toi) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cape Toi may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Cape Toi is 15 km (9 miles) from Kushima. If you plan a holiday in Kyu Shu, look for hotels and other accommodation in Kushima. Kushima has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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