Hakashita Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G'day, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you – this Hakashita reef is a moody one. The 16-day window kicks off with a whole lot of nothing, so don't bother paddling out just yet. The first few days are a write-off, with tiny, weak swell and poor conditions. We’re talking about a stretch from Saturday the 18th right through to at least Thursday the 23rd where the energy is pathetically low (between 49 and 95 on the energy scale) and the wind is mostly onshore or cross. The waves are just straight-up poor, mate. You’ll be waiting.

Then, things start to get a little interesting from Monday the 20th, but it’s still ordinary. The morning of the 20th finally shows some life with the energy jumping to 111 (moderate) and glassy conditions, but the swell is still a piddly 2ft from the east. It’s surfable, but only just. The glassy windows on the 21st and 22nd mornings are the same – small, weak, and you’ll be scratching for a ride. The water temp is about average for the time of year, so don’t expect anything wild.

The real story here is the second week. The swell starts to build noticeably from Monday the 27th afternoon, with the southeast swell pushing 4ft and a period of 13 seconds, and the energy ramping up to 671 (moderate). But the wind is cross-onshore, so it’s messy. Tuesday the 28th is where it gets big – 8ft from the southeast, period 12 seconds, and energy at 1728 (strong). The wind is still cross-onshore, though, so it’s a bit of a battle. By Wednesday the 29th, the swell is 10ft with energy at 3176, and the wind is howling from the east at 15 mph, making it choppy and poor. This is getting serious.

Now, here’s the big one. The standout, if you’re an absolute charger, is the morning of Saturday the 1st of August. We’ve got an 18ft southeast swell, a 14-second period (groundswell), and energy at 12699 (very strong). The wind is cross-offshore from the north-northeast, and the conditions are described as clean. That’s a huge, powerful groundswell. For a reef break like Hakashita, this is pure gold. But let’s be real – 18ft is for experts only. Beginners, stay on the beach. The long period (14 seconds) will make it wall up and hold its shape, but it’s a serious paddle. The downside? The wind is from the north-northeast, which is cross-offshore for this spot – that’s good for the wave face, but it’s a strong 22 mph breeze, so holding your line will be a workout. The crowds are sometimes a problem here, so expect company if you’re game.

The afternoon of the 1st is even bigger at 20ft, but the wind is howling at 28 mph from the north, making it cross-offshore and still clean, but to be honest, at that size and wind, it’s probably more of a kite-surfing setup than a paddle session. The morning of Sunday the 2nd of August is still chunky at 15ft with a 12-second period, but the wind swings to the west-southwest at 9 mph, clean and cross-offshore. The energy is 5355 (strong), but it’s a bit of a drop-off from the day before.

The best on offer? Saturday the 1st of August, morning. That’s the one. Big, clean, and powerful. It’s a long-range call, so it’s promising but not locked in. Keep your eyes on the charts.

Rusty.

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