Hakashita Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s shaping up for our patch over the next couple of weeks. It’s a bit of a slow start, but there’s a pulse of energy coming through later on that has my attention.

We’re looking at a pretty quiet spell for the first week and a half, with only tiny, weak waves. The first real chance to get wet is on Thursday the 23rd of July, but it’s nothing to write home about. The swell is a tiny 2ft out of the E, with a period of 10 seconds – that’s a weak, short-period wave. The combined energy is a low 69, so you’re really just bobbing around. The good news is the wind is glassy in the morning, so it’ll be clean. It’s surfable, but very ordinary. This same pattern of small, glassy morning waves follows through the weekend and into the start of the next week. The best of these early mornings is probably Sunday the 26th of July, with a 1ft SE swell but a bit more energy (124) and a glassy start. Still, it’s a long ride for not much wave.

The real story is the change that arrives around the 1st of August. Saturday morning the 1st sees a sudden jump in swell height to 5ft out of the SE, with a nice 13-second period. The combined energy rockets up to 882 – that’s a proper pulse. The wind is a light cross-offshore, keeping it reasonably clean. The conditions are listed as marginal, but this is the first time we’ve got real size and power. By Saturday afternoon, the swell bumps up to 6ft from the SE, with a 14-second period and energy at 1320, and the wind stays cross-off. This is the standout window. It’s a little too big for beginners, but for the rest of us, it’s the best we’re going to see.

Now, let’s talk about the water. At Hakashita, the water temperature is a warm 82°, which is only 0.9° *less* than normal for this time of year, so it’s about what you’d expect – no surprises there.

The forecast gets a bit messy after that. The swell keeps building, but the wind turns onshore. Sunday the 2nd of August has a solid 8ft to 8ft SE swell, with a long 14-15 second period. That’s good groundswell, but the onshore wind makes it a mess. The energy is huge (2467 to 2964), but the conditions are poor. For a reef break like Hakashita, that long-period swell will be great if it were clean, but the wind is ruining it. By Monday the 3rd of August, we’re looking at 12ft to 13ft waves – that’s expert territory, way too big for most. The wind is onshore, and the combined energy is a monstrous 4472 to 7218. The setup is more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing at this point. The wind only gets worse into the next week, with fresh cross-onshore winds and lumpy, choppy conditions, keeping the waves blown out even with the massive swell.

So, to wrap it up: the first ten days are a flat, glassy snooze. The real standout is the window on Saturday the 1st of August, with a solid 5ft to 6ft SE groundswell and clean to light cross-off winds. That’s the one to circle on the calendar. After that, it’s a stormy mess for the experts only.

Rusty.

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