Hakashita Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Righto, let’s get into it. Only one break to talk about for the next 16 days – Hakashita – so I’ll keep it straight with you.

First up, the water’s sitting at 81°, which is about normal for this time of year. No surprises there.

We kick things off with a bit of a slow start. The first real window is Monday 14 September morning. It’s small, around 4ft of ESE swell pushing in at 9 seconds, but the wind’s glassy out of the ENE, so it’ll be clean. The energy is weak (268), so it’s more of a warm-up paddle than a proper session. The afternoon turns to junk with a risk of storms, so get in early if you’re keen.

Tuesday 15 September looks better. The swell bumps to 4ft, still ESE, and the period stretches to 10 seconds – that’s a touch more push. The wind is calm and glassy in the morning, and it stays glassy into the afternoon despite the storm risk. The energy jumps to moderate (398 to 417), and you’ll find clean little lines. For an inconsistent reef break, this is a decent day to be out.

Wednesday 16 September is a step down. Swell drops to 4ft early, then 2ft later, and the wind goes cross-shore and light. Nothing special – marginal at best, so I’d sit this one out.

Thursday 17 September morning gives us 4ft of E swell (9 seconds) with a clean cross-off breeze from the NNE. That’s your next honest chance; the energy is moderate again (383). But Thursday afternoon gets choppy as the wind turns cross and the swell jumps to 5ft with short 7-second period – messy.

Friday 18 September is a write-off. The swell climbs but the wind goes cross and onshore, peaking at 8ft in the afternoon with 8-second period and a cross-chop. Not surfable.

But here’s the standout. Saturday 19 September morning – mark this one. The swell pumps to 8ft, ESE, with a massive 16-second period. That’s proper groundswell. The wind is cross-off from the NNE (15 km/h / 9 mph) and the water will be clean. The energy is insane – 6190 – very strong. This is expert territory. The reef will handle that long period beautifully, but the paddle out will have long lulls between sets. Afternoon sees it ramp to 13ft, but the wind goes cross, so the morning window is the one.

Sunday 20 September is the big one – 15ft to 16ft of ESE swell, still at 16 seconds. The wind is cross-off from the NNE at 20 km/h (12 mph), and the energy is off the charts (10,326 to 10,646). This is only for experts. The reef will hold, but at this size, you’re looking at serious, heavy walls. Not a spot to take chances.

Monday 21 September still has size – 12ft, dropping to 14 seconds – but the wind picks up to 30 km/h (19 mph) NNE, cross-off in the morning but then blowing into a lumpy cross-chop by afternoon. Still big, but the quality goes.

After that, it fades hard. Tuesday 22 September is blown out with gale-force onshore winds. Wednesday 23 September has tiny clean waves (1ft to 2ft) but no real push. From Thursday 24 September through to the end of the forecast, it’s flat – knee-high at best, with hardly any energy (28 to 115). There’s a tiny bump on Sunday 27 September – 3ft, 8 seconds – but it’s ordinary.

_Bottom line:_ The standout is Saturday 19 September morning – clean, big, long-period swell at Hakashita. Sunday 20 September is massive and clean too, but only for the brave. Tuesday 15 September is your other clean, smaller window. After Monday 21 September, it’s mostly a flat spell for 5 or 6 days.

Rusty

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