Hakashita Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it. It’s been a while since I’ve seen a pulse like this one coming through for Hakashita. This is a reef break that doesn’t fire often, but when it does, it’s got the kind of power that gets your heart hammering. The water temp is sitting at 84°F with a pretty normal anomaly, so it’s typical warm water for this time of year.

The first decent surf shows up on the 5th of August, Wednesday morning. We’ve got a solid 15ft swell from the ESE, rolling in with a long 16-second period. That’s serious groundswell energy, and the combined energy is a massive 9825 (moderate to strong). The only catch is the wind is 12 mph from the NE, which is cross-shore, so it’s not going to be glassy, but it’s workable. By Wednesday afternoon, the swell jumps to 16ft, same direction, energy up to 13335, still cross-shore wind. It’s big, but it’s not clean enough to be a standout.

Thursday the 6th builds even more. Morning has 18ft, 15-second period, 13575 energy, but the wind picks up to 19 mph, making it lumpy. Afternoon hits 20ft with a 16-second period, 17868 energy, and the wind is 22 mph from the ENE. The wave comment says wind and tide are favorable, but the swell is predicted to be too big for this break. That’s a heavy call. At 20ft, it’s expert territory only, and with that much cross-shore wind, it’s going to be a battle.

Friday the 7th is the biggest of the run. Morning has 21ft from the SE, 15-second period, 18575 energy. The wind is 22 mph from the ENE, cross-on, and it’s lumpy. Afternoon is the same size, 14-second period, 15902 energy, wind from the E at 22 mph. Again, the wave comment says wind and tide are favorable but the swell is too big for this break. That’s a real shame because the raw power is there, but it’s going to be a washing machine for all but the most experienced.

Then things drop off. Saturday the 8th still has 10ft to 12ft, but the wind is 16 mph cross-on, and the wave comment says poor surf conditions. Sunday the 9th and Monday the 10th are a write-off with 10ft to 13ft of messy, lumpy, strong cross-on wind. Not worth paddling out.

There’s a gap of a few days with nothing good, but then Wednesday the 12th of August brings a real shift. Morning has 5ft swell from the E, with a 12-second period, and the wind is 3 mph from the ENE, glassy. The wave comment says excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers. The combined energy is 1276 (weak to moderate), but it’s clean, and that’s a rare treat at Hakashita. The swell direction is a bit off from the optimum SE, but with glassy conditions, it’s the best on offer in the whole window. Afternoon drops to 5ft from the S, but the wind is cross-on, so morning is the pick.

Thursday the 13th morning is glassy again with 4ft from the S, 10-second period, 484 energy. Clean, but small. Friday the 14th is glassy in the morning with 2ft from the E, 11-second period, 250 energy. Tiny. Saturday the 15th morning is clean with 2ft, cross-off wind. Sunday the 16th is poor. Monday the 17th morning is glassy with 3ft from the E, 10-second period, 228 energy. Then the rest of the week is marginal, with small surf and cross-on winds.

The standout moment is clearly Wednesday the 12th, August, early morning. That 5ft, 12-second period swell with glassy wind is the best you’re going to get. It’s a reef break, so that long period will give it shape and power, but it’s not too big. It’s an intermediate-friendly size. Just be aware that Hakashita is inconsistent, so when it turns on like this, it’s a treat. The water is warm, the crowds are only sometimes, so you might have it to yourself.

For the rest of the window, it’s mostly small and marginal. Don’t expect much after that big pulse early in the month. The long-range stuff around the 18th and 19th is there, but it’s small and messy.

Rusty.

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