Hakashita Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Let’s talk Hakashita. For a reef break that needs a solid SE pulse, we’ve got a proper run of groundswell coming through, but it’s a waiting game because the start is a write-off.

The first week is a non-event. There’s no surf worth paddling for until Friday the 10th, but even then, it’s a 13ft SSE groundswell with a period of 16 seconds and a combined energy reading of 7945. Sounds massive, but the wind is a light cross-on from the east, and the water is sitting at 79°, which is a bit colder than usual for this time of year. The wave comment says “marginal,” so it’s probably too big and straight for this reef. Saturday the 11th holds similar size, 13ft S swell, 16-second period, with a light onshore breeze from the ESE. The energy is still huge (8094 in the morning), but again, that onshore wind and the sheer size are going to make it ugly and for experts only. Sunday the 12th sees the swell drop to 8ft S, period 13 seconds, but the wind swings to a cross-on from the south, and the energy is down to 1848. The surf quality is already dropping, and Sunday arvo gets a one out of ten score – choppy mess.

Monday the 13th is the first real glimmer. The swell is still a solid 5ft S, 11-second period, but the wind goes glassy in the morning with the SW breeze dropping to nearly nothing. Energy is moderate at 581. The wave comment says “expect very good surf conditions,” which is a flash of hope. The water temp is still that bit cooler than average. Tuesday the 14th drops to 3ft S swell – small and weak (196 energy), but the morning is glassy with a NE breeze. It’s surfable but ordinary.

From the 15th through to the 22nd, the swell goes tiny and inconsistent. We’re looking at flat spells with energy under 100 on some days. There’s a small pulse on the 18th with a 4ft S swell that has long period (12 seconds), but the wind is messy. Not worth the drive.

The standout window lands on the 23rd of July into the 25th. On Thursday the 23rd morning, we get a 4ft ESE swell with a long 12-second period and clean cross/offshore wind from the ENE. Energy climbs to 590. The wave comment says “marginal,” but the clean wind makes it a sneaky good option. Friday the 24th morning is the true standout: a 5ft S swell with 11-second period, cross-offshore wind from the NNE, and clean conditions. Energy is a solid 977, and the wave comment says “expect very good surf conditions.” This is the one to aim for – a proper groundswell with clean wind at a reef that likes south swell. Saturday the 25th morning holds similar: 4ft S swell, 11-second period, light cross-offshore wind. Clean again, energy at 597.

A word of caution – Hakashita is inconsistent and exposed, so these longer-period S swells might break a bit straight across the reef, but with that cross-off wind, it should hold shape. Crowds are possible here sometimes, so don’t expect to have it alone. The water remains a bit colder than usual for this time of year.

For a short window around the morning of the 24th and 25th, this is the best on offer. Everything else in the 16-day run is either too big, too small, or blown out.

Rusty.

Read more