Hakashita Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it. This is Rusty, and here’s the outlook for Hakashita.

First up, the water’s sitting at 84°, which is about 1° warmer than usual for this time of year – nothing wild, just a touch above average, pretty nice.

Honestly, the next few days are a bit of a struggle. We’ve got a long flat spell ahead. The first real chance of anything rideable shows up on the morning of Tuesday, July 28, but it’s tiny. Only 2ft of SE swell, with a short 10-second period, and the combined energy is weak (98). Glassy conditions early on Tuesday mean it’s surfable, but it’s very ordinary. That’s pretty much the story right through until the end of July – tiny waves, weak energy, and nothing to get excited about. The mornings offer glassy conditions, but with such small swell, it’s more of a paddle than a surf.

The gap stretches on. Saturday, August 2, shows a slight uptick. Sunday morning, August 2, sees a 1ft ESE swell but with a longer 14-second period, pushing the combined energy to 121. It’s still small, but the longer period gives it a bit more shape. Glassy conditions again. Still, nothing to call a standout.

Now, here’s where it gets interesting. Monday, August 3, the swell jumps. We’re looking at 5ft from the ESE with a very long 16-second period. The combined energy hits 1259 – that’s moderate energy, but the period is telling. This is a proper groundswell. The wind is cross-shore though, and there’s a risk of thunderstorms. The size is getting into intermediate territory, but the conditions are marginal. By Tuesday, August 4, the swell is 10ft from the ESE, with a 17 to 18-second period. The combined energy is massive – 4809 to 5775. This is strong energy. But the wind is cross or cross-onshore, and there’s still a risk of storms. This is big, powerful, and a bit messy. It’s too big for beginners, and with the wind, it’s more for experts who don’t mind a challenge.

The real standout is Wednesday, August 5. The morning brings a 16ft swell from the east, with a very long 19-second period. The combined energy is off the charts at 16089. The wind is glassy – NNE at 5 km/h. The forecast says the swell is predicted to be too big for this break. This is massive, heavy, and only for the most experienced. It’s a true beast. If you’re an expert and you’re brave, this is the session. But for most, it’s a watch-from-the-cliff day.

After that, the swell drops quickly. Thursday, August 6, drops to 5ft, with cleaner cross-offshore winds from the NNE, but it’s a steep drop in quality. The rest of the week into August 7 and 8 is ruined by severe gale to storm-force winds, making it a total mess. The pattern gets a bit better by Monday, August 10, with 5ft and clean cross-offshore winds on the morning of Tuesday, August 11, but the energy is moderate and the period is shorter. Nothing to write home about.

So, the best on offer is Wednesday, August 5, for the sheer size and power, but only if you’re a hardcore expert. The next best is the Tuesday, August 3 to Thursday, August 4 window, with a solid groundswell, but the wind holds it back. For most, the first week of August is the only time there’s any real swell, and it comes with a trade-off.

Rusty.

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