Hakashita Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G'day, Rusty here. Look, I’ll be straight with you – the next week or so is a bit of a slow burn. There’s some tiny, weak swell around, but it's not worth getting excited about. The real story is waiting for us at the end of the month and into the start of August, where a solid pulse of S swell finally shows up. But we’ve got to get through the quiet first.

Right now, through the 20th and into the 21st, we’re looking at small, weak E swell at Hakashita. The morning of the 21st (Tuesday) is about as good as it gets in this early stretch – glassy conditions with the wind light from the East, but the waves are only 2ft. The combined energy is weak (65), so it’s just a knee-high dribble. It’s surfable, but you’ll be working hard for not much.

That quiet pattern hangs around through the 23rd, with mornings offering glassy conditions but waves still tiny, around 2ft to 2ft. The energy stays low (69 to 105). The afternoons get messy with onshore winds and a risk of thunderstorms, so forget those.

The 24th and 25th see a shift to a very long-period SE swell (18 seconds on the 24th, 16 seconds on the 25th), but the height drops even further to 1ft. The energy is still weak (94-98). That long period will make for some drawn-out lines, but with so little height, it’s barely a ripple. The 26th (Sunday) morning is glassy with a new S swell starting to fill in at 2ft and 11 seconds, energy picking up to 175. Getting closer.

Now, here’s where it gets interesting. The standout period is from Monday morning, July 27th, through to Thursday morning, July 30th. This is the best we’ve got in the whole 16-day window. The swell builds from the south, with heights climbing from 4ft on the 27th morning to a solid 6ft by the 30th morning. The energy jumps into the moderate range (514 on the 27th, up to 755 on the 30th). The real kicker is the wind: each morning is glassy, with a light Easterly breeze. That’s clean, lined-up surf.

Specifically, Thursday morning, July 30th, is the champion session. Swell is 6ft from the S with a period of 10 seconds, and the combined energy is a strong 755. It’s glassy with a light E breeze. That’s proper chest-to-head-high surf, clean and powerful. It’s going to be a great morning, but keep in mind that S swell at Hakashita, a reef break, can be a bit more challenging. The water temp is 82°F, which is about average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

After that, the swell drops off quickly. The 31st (Friday) morning is still surfable at 4ft but with a cross-shore wind, and by the 1st of August, it’s back to small, weak, and short-period S swell. The 2nd and 3rd of August offer tiny, long-period ENE swell in the mornings, but it’s too small to do anything with. The energy is weak (95-106). That’s the end of the run.

Bottom line: The first week is a write-off unless you're desperate for a paddle. The real action is the four mornings from July 27th to July 30th, with Thursday July 30th being the pick of the bunch. Glassy, solid S swell, and plenty of energy. Don’t sleep on it.

Rusty.

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