Hakashita Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here, let's talk about what's happening at Hakashita.

We're looking at a strange one, folks. The first few days are a total tease—tiny, clean, but basically unsurfable. Then the real energy arrives, but it's way too much for this place. Here's how it's going down.

For the first couple of days, the water is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, coming in at 86°F. Saturday morning, the 1st of August, you've got glassy conditions and a tiny 1.0ft SE groundswell... it's a beautiful sight but completely flat. Honestly, that's a lake, not a wave. Sunday morning, the 2nd, is the same story: a little 2ft ESE swell with a very long 16-second period, and it's glassy. The energy is picking up, but it's still just a ripple. It's frustrating because it looks so good, but there's nothing to ride.

Then the swell starts to build fast. Monday the 3rd, we're looking at 5ft ESE swell, still a long 16-second period, but cross-shore winds start to mess it up. The energy is climbing, but the quality isn't there. This is the start of a massive ramp-up.

By Tuesday the 4th, we're into 8ft to 10ft ESE swell with a 17 to 18-second period. The energy is strong, and the cross-shore wind is still a problem. It's not clean. This is getting big, and for most surfers, this is already too much.

The real beast shows up on Wednesday the 5th. The swell hits 16ft to 20ft ESE with a 17-second period. The combined energy is massive. The wind is still cross-shore. They say the swell is too big for the break, and I agree. At 16ft+, this is a dry-suit, big-wave jet-ski mission for experts only, and even then, the wind is messy.

Thursday the 6th is the peak of it all. We're talking 28ft SE swell on the morning, with a 17-second period. The energy is enormous. The wind is a fresh 22 mph cross-shore, making it a total washing machine. It's the same story on Friday the 7th, with 23ft to 20ft SSE swell. Everything is just too big, and the wind is ruining any chance of a clean face.

After that, the swell drops but the wind doesn't cooperate. From Saturday the 8th through to Tuesday the 12th, we're getting cross-onshore winds with a mix of windswell and leftover groundswell (6ft to 8ft). The energy is still there, but the conditions are poor. It's lumpy, choppy, and just not worth the effort. This stretch is a write-off for a proper paddle session.

Things start to calm down later in the second week. Wednesday the 12th and Thursday the 13th are marginal, with light winds and smaller swell (4ft to 6ft). You might get a few, but it's not a standout.

Now, the best of the whole run looks to be at the very end. Saturday morning the 15th of August, it's glassy, with a 5ft E swell at 13 seconds. The commentary says "excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers." That's a solid call. Then, Sunday morning the 16th, we have glassy conditions again, with a 7ft E swell at 13 seconds. This is the pick of the bunch. The conditions are clean, the swell is a good size for experienced surfers, and it's a long-period groundswell. Just remember, it's a reef break that's inconsistent, so don't expect a party wave every set. Crowds are possible.

Overall, the first week is a total bust for surfable waves—either too small or dangerously big and messy. The second week shows a slow improvement, but the real highlight is that final weekend. For now, keep your eyes on the 15th and 16th.

Rusty.

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