Hakashita Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright crew, Rusty here. Let’s have a yarn about the coming swell window.

First up, water temps are sitting at a balmy 81°, which is pretty much spot on average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

Honestly, for the next week or so, it’s a bit of a flat spell. The first half of this outlook is a real waiting game. From Wednesday 15th July right through to the morning of Tuesday 28th July, we’re looking at tiny, weak waves. The swell is mostly under 3ft, and the combined energy reading is barely cracking triple digits – sitting around 48 to 160 (moderate energy at best). It’s mostly short-period windswell, so the shape won’t be anything to write home about. The only bright spots are a few glassy mornings, like Thursday 16th morning with clean 2ft from the SW, and a few other calm windows, but the swell just isn’t there. For a reef break that’s inconsistent, this stretch is a real dud. You’d be better off doing a reef walk or cleaning the wax off your boards.

Now, the light at the end of the tunnel. The real action starts to build around the end of the month. The standout period is Wednesday 29th July. The morning session at Hakashita is the pick of the entire forecast. We’ve got clean, glassy conditions with a 3ft groundswell from the ESE, and the period stretches to 13 seconds – that’s proper energy. The combined energy reading jumps right up to 466 (strong wave energy), so there’s some proper grunt behind it. The wind is light and offshore (ENE), which will keep the reef line clean and peeling. This is a genuine window for intermediate surfers to get some really fun, shaped-up waves. The break is exposed to the swell, and that ESE direction is right in the sweet spot for optimum swell direction. Just be aware it’s inconsistent, so you’ll have to be patient and pick your sets.

Thursday 30th July morning sees the swell size jump to 6ft from the ESE, with a very long 16-second period. That’s a lot of energy (1373 combined energy – very strong). The wind is light and cross-shore, which is manageable, but the height is getting up there. For a reef break, that long period will make for some thick, powerful lines. This is getting into expert territory, especially for the afternoon when the onshore kicks in. Not one for beginners.

So, to wrap it up: the first two weeks are a write-off for any decent surf. Don’t bother. The one true standout is Wednesday 29th July morning – that’s the day to clear your schedule. Thursday 30th is for the experienced crew only.

Rusty, out.

Read more