Hakashita Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s look at what’s on the menu for the next couple of weeks at Hakashita, a reef set-up that’s exposed to the swell and inconsistent by nature. The water is sitting at 82°F, which is pretty much average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

Right now, we’ve got a real quiet spell. From Friday the 17th right through to the morning of Sunday the 26th, it’s mostly tiny dribble. We’re looking at waves around 0.7ft to 2ft from the east, with a weak combined swell energy reading between 58 and 98 – basically nothing to get excited about. The wind will be light and occasionally glassy on the mornings, but the swell just isn’t there. Don’t bother paddling out for this; it’s flat or close to it.

The first real glimmer of hope shows up on Sunday the 26th morning. We see a jump in size to 3ft from the southeast, with a 14-second period and a moderate combined energy of 264. The wind is light and cross-shore, which is okay, but it’s still pretty marginal and inconsistent. You might get a long wait between sets. The afternoon sees a bit more energy (361) but with an onshore wind, so it gets bumpy.

Now, here’s the standout. If you can wait, the window from Monday the 27th morning through to Thursday the 30th morning is the real deal. On Monday morning the 27th, a proper groundswell arrives: 8ft from the southeast, 14-second period, and a combined energy of 2269. The wind is glassy – a major positive – and the description says excellent surf for experienced surfers. This is big for a reef break. Tuesday the 28th morning pushes it to 10ft from the south-southeast, glassy wind, and very strong energy (3209). This is expert territory. And the absolute highlight is Thursday the 30th morning: 16ft from the south-southeast, a very long 15-second period, glassy conditions, and a massive combined energy of 10478. This is exceptional for experts. The period is super long, so at a reef like Hakashita, expect long, powerful walls but big gaps between sets. This is a session for the experienced crew only.

The following days drop off quickly. Monday the 1st of August morning still has 7ft from the south but the period drops to 10 seconds, the wind turns onshore, and the energy falls to 1268. It gets messy.

So to wrap it up: the first week and a half is a write-off. Save your energy for the big pulse from Monday the 27th through to Thursday the 30th. That Thursday morning the 30th is the one to circle on the calendar – a proper, heavy, clean groundswell for experts. The rest is small or blown out.

Rusty.

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