Hakashita Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it. This is Rusty, and I’m lookin’ at what’s on offer for the local scene.

Right off the bat, we’ve got a slow start. The first few days are pretty flat and ordinary. We’re talkin’ tiny, weak swell and not much to get excited about. From Tuesday the 28th through to early August, it’s a real struggle. The waves are small, the energy is weak, and the conditions are just… meh. You’ll see a few glassy mornings, but with swell heights barely cracking 2 feet, it’s more of a paddle than a surf. There’s a bit of a gap there where the surf is just not worth the drive.

Now, hold onto your board, because things start to change around the 2nd of August. Sunday afternoon we see a pulse of longer-period swell pushin’ in, energy jumpin’ up to 265 (moderate now). The wave heights are still small, but the direction is lookin’ better. Then Monday the 3rd, the swell really starts to build. The morning has 5 feet of ESE swell, period 14 seconds, and the energy is climbin’ strong at 772. The wind is light cross, but it’s clean enough. By the afternoon, it’s up to 6 feet with a 16-second period, and the energy is 1366. It’s still a bit messy, but the potential is there.

The standout – and I mean the real standout – is the morning of Wednesday the 5th of August. This is the one. Clear skies, a light cross-offshore breeze, and a solid 12 feet of ESE swell with a 19-second period. That’s a very long period groundswell, and the energy is a massive 9645. This is a big, powerful swell. Now, this is a reef break, and with a period that long, it’s gonna be handling that energy well. The waves will be clean, with good shape and plenty of push. But listen, at 12 feet, this is not for beginners. This is expert territory. The crowd situation is ‘sometimes’, so you might have some company, but with that size, it’ll thin out. This is the day to call in sick.

The afternoon of the 5th is still firing at 13 feet, but the wind swings cross-on, so it’ll be a touch less perfect. Still, a massive 11285 energy means it’s a powerhouse.

Then things get wild. The 6th of August sees a huge pulse of swell, but it’s just too big. 23 feet to 26 feet of ESE swell, with energy readings over 30,000 and 43,000. That’s beyond big – that’s for big-wave chargers only, and even then, the wind is howlin’. The 7th is even more extreme, with 44 feet to 49 feet swell and energy over 100,000. That’s a no-go zone for paddle surfing. Even the following days, the swell is still huge and messy, dropping through the 8th and 9th.

By the 9th of August, the swell drops back to 5 feet, but the period is short, only 7 seconds. That’s weak, windswell. The morning is glassy, but the waves won’t have much form. The 10th and 11th bring some more easterly swell with a longer period, but the wind is up and the conditions are choppy.

So, to sum it up: the first week is a write-off. The real action is on the 5th of August – that Wednesday morning is the absolute best on offer. If you’re an expert and you’ve got a big board, that’s your window. The rest of the second week is a mixed bag of big, unmanageable swell or short, weak windswell.

Keep your eyes on that forecast, though. The 5th could be magic.

- Rusty

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