Hakashita Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here again, but in feet and miles.

This forecast is a real slow burn, but the payoff at the end is something special. The first week is pretty quiet and not worth paddling out for, with surf under 3ft and weak, short-period energy. The real story starts to build from the 14th, and then we get a monster pulse rolling in around the 19th and 20th that’s going to be the standout.

The only break on the cards is Hakashita. It’s a reef setup, so it loves a solid south-east swell, and it’s exposed to that direction. It’s inconsistent, so don’t expect a wave every minute, and crowds can pop up sometimes.

Water temps are about average for this time of year, so a normal 3/2 wetsuit will do the job. No drama there.

We start with nothing really worth mentioning until Monday the 14th. The morning will see a clean 4ft ESE swell with a 9-second period, cross-off winds, and moderate energy (260). It’s surfable, but nothing to write home about. Tuesday the 15th is a step up, with 4ft ESE swell, same 9-second period, and the afternoon turns glassy. Energy is building (405). Wednesday the 16th and Thursday the 17th hold clean, cross-off conditions with surf around 3ft, but the energy drops off a bit. It’s okay, but not the main event.

Now, Friday the 18th is interesting. The morning has a tiny 2ft swell but a very long 19-second period, which is proper groundswell. The energy is moderate (409). It’ll be clean, but the period is so long it might break too straight at the reef. The afternoon sees the swell jump to 5ft from the ESE with an 18-second period, but the wind goes cross, so it’s not as clean. The energy jumps up to 1517, a sign of what’s coming.

The Standout – Saturday the 19th and Sunday the 20th.
This is the one. Saturday morning, we’ve got a 12ft ESE swell, 17-second period, and clean cross-off winds. The energy is a massive 7057. This is big, powerful, and long period – only for experienced surfers. It’s too big for beginners. The reef should handle the direction well. Sunday the 20th is even bigger, with 15ft SE swell, 16-second period, and clean cross-off winds in the morning. Energy is a staggering 10861. This is expert-only territory. If you’ve got the skills and the board for it, this is the window. The SE swell direction is right on the optimum for Hakashita, so it’s going to line up nicely.

The afternoon of both days gets a bit lumpy with cross-shore winds, so aim for the mornings.

Monday the 21st is just insane – 28ft and 25ft swells, but the forecast says it’s predicted to be too big for the break. That’s a no-go, even for the brave.

After that, the swell drops off hard. Tuesday the 22nd is a write-off with strong offshore winds that make it hard to paddle into. The rest of the week into the 26th is small, messy, and not worth the effort, with surf under 3ft and weak energy.

So, bottom line: the first week is a wash. The second week, lock in Saturday the 19th and Sunday the 20th mornings. That’s the real deal. Be ready, because it’s going to be a heavy session.

Rusty.

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