Hakashita Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, folks, Rusty here. Let's take a look at what's coming down the pipe for our little slice of the world. The start is a bit flat, so we'll have to wait for the real action.

The first few days are pretty quiet, with a small, short-period SE swell that’s barely hanging on. Friday the 11th sees a weak 4ft SE swell at 8 seconds, but with a risk of thunderstorms and a cross-on breeze, it’s a pass. Saturday the 12th is smaller, with a 2ft E swell that has a bit more period (14 seconds), but the winds aren't cooperating. Sunday morning the 13th is a tease – the swell is still only 2ft from the east, but the wind goes glassy. It’s surfable, but you’ll be scratching for anything decent. The combined wave energy is weak, sitting around 169.

Then we get a slight uptick. Monday the 14th has a 4ft ESE swell, but the conditions are marginal. Tuesday the 15th, however, is the first real bright spot in the early run. We see the swell bump up to 4-4ft from the ESE with a 9-second period, and more importantly, the wind is forecast to be glassy for both the morning and afternoon. The combined energy climbs to a moderate 322 and then 364. Hakashita will be offering up clean, glassy waves. This is your best bet for the first week if you just need a fix. The water temp is a balmy 82°, which is about average for this time of year.

After that, things get messy again with onshore winds and small waves through the end of the week. But hold on to your board shorts, because the second week is where the real story is.

The weekend of the 19th and 20th of September sees a serious pulse of energy. A long-period groundswell arrives, pushing up to 10ft from the ESE on Saturday the 19th, and then swinging more SSE on Sunday the 20th. The combined swell energy is monstrous, hitting over 4500 and then 3000. This is expert territory – anything over 8ft is not for the faint of heart. The wind is still a bit messy with a cross-off breeze on Sunday afternoon, but the power is undeniable.

However, the absolute standout, the one you circle on your calendar, is the end of the run. Thursday the 24th of September through Saturday the 26th of September is looking absolutely epic. We start with a massive 16ft swell from the SE on Thursday morning, with a clean cross-off wind from the WSW. The energy reading is a staggering 7657. This is "exceptional surf conditions for expert surfers" territory. Then Friday the 25th of September is the crown jewel. A 13ft groundswell from the SE with a very long 16-second period, and the wind is forecast to be completely glassy from the NW. The energy reading is 8455. Hakashita will be delivering clean, powerful, big-wave perfection. This is a once-in-a-forecast kind of event. Saturday the 26th of September keeps the party going with 15ft waves and glassy conditions again. This whole stretch is for experienced surfers only; the power will be immense.

The long-range stuff looks promising, but remember, forecasts this far out can shift. As it stands right now, the 25th and 26th are your target dates. The gap between the decent Tuesday the 15th and that big weekend swell is a solid week of mediocre conditions, so don't hold your breath in between. Stay patient.

Rusty.

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