Hakashita Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s get into it. We’ve got one spot on the radar, Hakashita, and the next 16 days start real quiet. Real quiet.

The whole first week is pretty much a write-off. There’s a tiny bit of knee-high swell on the Sunday morning (July 26th) – 2 feet from the south, with 9-second period, weak energy (152). It's glassy, which is nice, but it’s barely a wave. Monday through Friday of that week, the swell drops to 2 feet or 1 feet, and the energy fades right out (down to 32).

Water temp is 84°, and the anomaly shows it’s 1° above normal – not a big deal, basically average for the time of year.

We’re looking at a long gap here. Nothing worth paddling out for until we get into August. There’s a bit of a pulse showing up on Monday, August 3rd, but it’s marginal – 2 feet from the ESE, period jumping to 14 seconds, and the energy climbs to 344, but the wind is cross-shore and light. Still not clean enough.

Things start to get serious on Thursday, August 6th. That morning, Hakashita sees a solid 10 feet from the ESE, with a 16-second period. The energy is massive (3954), and the wind is cross-offshore from the NNE, making it clean. This is big, expert-level surf. The swell direction (ESE) matches the spot's optimum (SE) reasonably well, so the reef should handle it. This is *the* standout of the whole window – big, clean, powerful groundswell. If you’re an experienced surfer, this Thursday morning is it. Afternoon gets a bit cross-on, so morning is key.

Then, Friday, August 7th morning is next-level: 16 feet at 18 seconds from the ESE, energy at 14219, and clean cross-off wind. This is massive, heavy, and only for proper experts. Afternoon gets an 18-foot swell but the wind picks up to 12 mph and goes cross, which is messy and the forecast says it’s too big for the break anyway.

Saturday, August 8th and Sunday, August 9th see ridiculous size – 26 feet plus with huge energy values (44006+). The wind is off or cross, but these swells are monstrous. The forecast notes it’s just too big for Hakashita, even for experts.

By Monday, August 10th, it drops back to 16 feet but the wind is cross-on and choppy, and the period has dropped to 10 seconds. Not good.

Bottom line: The first week is a total bust, with maybe a tiny glassy session on the 26th morning if you’re desperate. The real standout is Thursday, August 6th morning – 10 feet, clean, long-period groundswell at Hakashita. Friday morning, August 7th is also exceptional, but it’s huge (16 feet). After that, it’s too big or too sloppy. Don’t waste your time before the 6th.

– Rusty

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