Hakashita Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right, grab a coffee, sit down, and let me tell you what’s cookin’ at Hakashita. This is a reef setup, and it’s inconsistent, so when it fires, it’s a proper treat. But, we’ve got a long wait ahead.

The first ten days or so are a total write-off. We’re looking at tiny, weak energy levels (41 to 60 for the combined swell energy) from the 31st of July right through the 1st of August. The swell is small, 1ft to 2ft, and the periods are short. It’s just not gonna break properly. The weekend is a flat, glassy dud. You’d be better off waxing your board and staring at the horizon.

Then, things get interesting, but you have to be patient. The first real stand-out is the morning of Sunday, the 2nd of August. The wind drops to glassy, dead calm, and we get a pulse of 2ft swell from the ESE with a very long period of 16 seconds. The combined energy jumps to 241, which is a moderate kick. It’s a proper groundswell, and for a reef like Hakashita, that long period can mean beautifully shaped, lined-up waves. The water temp is about average for the time of year, so no surprises there. It’s small, but it’s clean.

From Monday the 3rd of August, the swell just explodes. It gets too big, too fast. Monday morning sees 6ft, but by Tuesday the 4th of August we’re looking at 10ft to 12ft, and by Wednesday the 5th of August it’s a solid 15ft to 18ft (combined energy hitting 12986 and 20108). This is proper heavy stuff. For a reef, anything over 8ft is experts-only, and quite frankly, it’s going to be a washing machine. The wind is cross-offshore on Wednesday morning, which is clean, but the size is just too much for a paddle session. Honestly, this setup looks way more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

The real standout, the one that makes this whole outlook worth reading, is the morning of Sunday, the 2nd of August. It’s the one window where everything lines up: glassy conditions, a groundswell with a long period, and a manageable size. That’s your best bet. The rest of the second week, from the 8th of August onwards, the swell drops back but the wind is a persistent cross-onshore, making it messy and choppy. The energy is moderate (1242 to 2205), but the quality is poor. By the 12th of August, we get a couple of glassy mornings with smaller 3ft to 3ft swell, but it’s not the same punch.

So, to sum it up: the first week is a flat, glassy loss. The second week is a monster swell that’s too big for most. The only real window for a clean, proper surf is the morning of the 2nd of August. Don’t sleep on it.

Rusty.

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