Mimitsu Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let's get real about Mimitsu. This forecast is a classic case of a spot getting slammed by way too much juice, and then just going flat and sloppy. It's a fickle river mouth, and the ocean isn't doing us any favors.

Right now, the ocean is furious. Thursday morning is showing a massive 18ft (5.5m) of east-southeast swell with a long 15-second period. The energy reading is a huge 13350 – that’s a lot of power. But the forecast says it's simply too big for this break. The wind is 25 km/h from the northeast, blowing cross-offshore, so it *looks* clean, but trust me, that much water moving through a river mouth is just a chaotic, boiling mess. It’s not surfable.

It gets worse before it gets better. Thursday afternoon, the swell jumps to 20ft (6.0m) with a 16-second period, and the energy goes even higher to 17789. The wind swings around to the east and strengthens to 35 km/h. It’s just a total, blown-out mess. Friday is more of the same, with 20ft (6.0m) of southeast swell and onshore winds and thunderstorms. It's a disaster zone. The whole weekend is like this – anywhere from 8 to 16ft (3-5m) of churning, wind-whipped swell, with the energy readings in the thousands. It's not just bad; it's dangerous.

Monday settles down a bit, but the wind is still up. The morning's small, but it's blowing 30 km/h. The afternoon brings the swell back up to 10ft (3.0m), but it's got an onshore wind with it. It's all just poor.

Tuesday and Wednesday are a write-off, with small, weak swells and crappy winds. The energy has dropped off a cliff to the low hundreds.

Now, for the second week, things get a little more interesting. The standout is the morning of Thursday, August 13th. The winds go dead glassy. That's the key. The swell is a modest 3ft (1.0m) from the east, but it holds a long, clean 14-second period. The energy is low, 432, but it doesn't matter. For this break, clean and glassy is everything. It's an inconsistent spot, so you'll wait between sets, but the waves that come should be worth it. This is your window.

The morning of Saturday, August 15th is a secondary option. It's got a similar swell size, 4ft (1.3m) from the east, with an 11-second period, and a light cross-offshore wind. It won't be as clean or as organized as Thursday, but it's still a shot. Then there's a glassy morning on Tuesday, the 18th, but the swell has backed off to 3ft (1.0m) with a shorter 9-second period. It's surfable, but small.

So, the takeaway is this. The first week is a total loss. Forget it. The second week offers a couple of clean, small windows, with Thursday the 13th being the clear standout. But even then, this is a fickle break and these are small waves. Don't get your hopes up for anything epic. It's just about finding a clean one.

Rusty, out.

Read more