Udo Shrine Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty, and I’ve got a look at the only game in town for the next couple of weeks.

Alright folks, straight up – the only break showing any kind of potential in the whole 16-day window is Udo Shrine. It’s a reef setup, inconsistent, and when it’s on, it’s for the intermediate crew. The crowd factor is there too – people know this spot, so you’ll often have company. Water temp is sitting at 85°F, which is about normal for this time of year.

Now, let’s be real. The first week is a write-off. We’re talking a solid run of poor conditions from Wednesday the 5th through to the end of the first week. Strong, messy winds from the northeast and east just hammering the place. The swell is pumping, but it’s a washing machine. From Wednesday the 5th morning, the swell is already 15 ft from the east, with a very long 16-second period, but the wind is a cross-onshore mess. The combined energy is massive (10837), but it’s unrideable. This pattern continues – Thursday the 6th and Friday the 7th see the swell jump to 21 ft to 23 ft, still with that long period (15-16 seconds), but the wind is onshore or cross-onshore and howling. The energy readings are off the charts (33196, 42280) but it’s just too big and blown out for anyone but the insane. Saturday the 8th through to Tuesday the 11th is a write-off – strong winds, lumpy, choppy, with constant storm risks. You’re looking at a solid week of no-go.

There’s a bit of a light at the tunnel on Wednesday the 12th. The swell drops to 5 ft from the south, period 11 seconds, and the wind drops to a light breeze. The energy is weak (502), and it’s still cross-onshore, so it’s marginal. Thursday the 13th is similar with small, weak 3 ft to 4 ft swell. Friday the 14th morning is actually glassy with the wind gone to zero, but the swell is tiny – just 3 ft from the south. It’s surfable, but very ordinary.

Now, here’s the one true standout. Saturday the 15th of August. The morning is looking promising. The wind is a whisper from the northeast at 3 mph, making it glassy. The swell is still small, 3 ft from the east with a 10-second period, but the conditions are clean. The energy is very weak (216), but for a reef break, that glassy surface is the key. It’s the only morning in the whole forecast that gets the nod for "good surf conditions". The south-east swell direction is not ideal for this spot (it prefers S), but with the wind being glassy, you’ll take what you can get.

After that, it’s back to the wind. The second week goes downhill again. Sunday the 16th and Monday the 17th are a mix of poor conditions and building onshore wind. Tuesday the 18th brings a cross-onshore bump with 7 ft swell, but it’s messy. Wednesday the 19th and Thursday the 20th see another pulse of 12 ft swell and strong cross or cross-offshore winds, but the energy is solid (5369 and 2153) and the period is long (12-14 seconds). The conditions are still described as poor or marginal, so it’s not a goer.

So, the long and short of it: the first week is a total loss. The best bet, and it’s a slim one, is the glassy morning of Saturday the 15th at Udo Shrine for some small, clean waves. Everything else is either too windy, too big, or too small. The forecast further out is promising, but we’ve seen that before.

Rusty.

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