Anna Maria Key Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get straight into it.

Right off the bat, I gotta be honest with you – this 16-day window for Anna Maria Key is a tough one. We’re looking at a long stretch of nothing really happening. The whole outlook is a bit of a bummer, with surf conditions rated poor for the entire period. The combined wave energy is weak, barely cracking double digits on most days, and we’ve got a lot of onshore wind messing things up. This is one of those blank runs that’s just normal for the area when the swell window shuts down.

The first couple of days, from Monday the 27th of July right through to the end of the month, it’s pretty grim. Swell is tiny, around 2 ft to 3 ft, with a short, weak period of 4 to 5 seconds. The wind is mostly onshore or cross-onshore from the West and WSW, blowing at 12 to 22 mph. It’s choppy and lumpy, and not worth paddling out for. The water temperature is about average for this time of year, nothing to write home about.

We roll into the first week of August, and things don’t really improve. There’s a small bump on the 3rd of August – Monday morning we get a glimpse of clean conditions with glassy wind from the SE at only 3 mph. The swell is still tiny at 3 ft from the WSW, with a period of just 5 seconds and a combined energy of only 46. It’s not great, but it’s the cleanest it’ll be. For a beginner, that might be a chance to get wet and have a fun little session, but don’t expect much push. The rest of that week is a washout – more onshore winds, risk of thunderstorms, and the swell fades away to nothing.

By the 6th of August, we’re basically looking at flat spells. The 7th, 8th, 9th, and into the second week, there are days with zero swell. Some mornings might be glassy, but with no waves to ride, it’s just a flat ocean. The 11th of August is the last day in the forecast, and it’s a clean morning with a light cross-offshore breeze from the SSE, but again, no swell.

So, what’s the standout? Honestly, there’s no standout. The best on offer is the morning of Monday the 3rd of August. It’s the only time you’ll get clean, glassy conditions with a tiny bit of waist-high swell. It’s a beginner-friendly wave at that size, but the energy is weak. If you’re desperate for a paddle, that’s your window. Otherwise, this is a time to work on the dry land training or find a different hobby for a couple of weeks.

Stay tuned, forecasts can change, but right now, it’s a tough stretch.

Rusty.

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