Aleluia Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, listen up. Rusty here. It’s been a bit of a flat, mushy stretch for Aleluia. This reef break is gonna be a tough one to score for the next couple of weeks. The water’s sitting right around 79°, which is about average for this time of year, so no shock there.

The long story short is that there’s really only one morning that’s even worth looking at, and it’s not until Thursday the 20th. That’s a full five days away. The rest of the time, we’re looking at onshore winds, chop, and weak swell. It’s a proper dry spell.

The first week is basically a write-off. The wind is mostly coming from the southeast and east, blowing onshore or cross-onshore. There’s some size on Monday the 17th, with swell pushing 6ft to 7ft, but the period is a short, weak 6-8 seconds and it’s coming with 22 mph winds. That’s a mess. Don’t even bother. The energy is moderate at best, with readings around 444 to 655, but all that gets you is a blown-out, lumpy ocean. This setup is more interesting for the kite surfers than us paddle guys.

We see a little pulse of energy on Tuesday the 18th, with 6ft swell, but it’s still short-period and cross-onshore. Choppy and poor. Not our friend.

Then we get that one potential window. Thursday morning, the 20th. The wind drops right out to a glassy 3 mph from the east-southeast. The swell is down but still rideable at 4ft, coming from the east-southeast with an 8-second period. The energy drops to a weak 217, but with no wind, the surface is going to be clean. The guidance gives it the only good score of the whole run. It’s still a short-period, wind-swell combo, so don’t expect anything amazing, but it’s the only time you’ll get a clean surface. It might be marginal, but it’s the best we’ve got.

After that, it’s back to the grind. The wind picks up again from the east and northeast, and the swell just fades away. The period stays short, in the 6-8 second range, and energy readings drop way down, some below 100, which is just weak. From the 21st all the way through the end of the month, there’s nothing but poor surf conditions. We're talking small, junky waves and constant cross-shore or onshore wind. The swell direction shifts around a bit, but it never lines up right. This reef needs that south in the swell, and it's just not there.

So, there it is. A bleak 16 days. The one and only highlight is that Thursday morning on the 20th. Set your alarm, get there early, and hope the wind stays down. It won't be epic, but it'll be the only clean surf on offer. It’s a long stretch of nothing, but that's the way it goes sometimes. Forecasts can change, so keep an eye on it. But as it stands, I'd plan for a lot of time on the beach.

Rusty.

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