Xa Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cookin’ for Xa over the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you – this is a grim run. We’re looking at a solid week of pretty ordinary conditions before anything even remotely interesting shows up. From Saturday the 25th through to about Thursday the 6th of August, it’s a whole lot of nothing worth paddling out for. The winds are mostly cross or onshore, periods are short and crummy, and the scores are low. There’s a tiny window on Saturday morning the 25th with clean, glassy conditions and a small 3ft E swell, but it’s weak – combined energy of all swells is only 92, so barely a pulse. That’s really just a splash around for the keen.

Sunday the 26th morning is the one small bright spot early on. We’ve got a clean 3ft SSE swell with a 10-second period, and the wind is a cross-offshore from the SSW at 9 mph. Combined energy of all swells is 228, so there’s a bit more push. For an advanced spot like Xa, it’s surfable, but don’t expect a classic. The water temp is 74°, which is bang on average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

Then the doldrums really set in. From Monday the 27th through to Thursday the 5th of August, it’s the same story: small, weak swells, messy winds, and mostly poor surf conditions. There are a few moments with glassy conditions on the 31st of July morning, but the swell is a weak 4ft NNE with a short 6-second period and combined energy of 195 – not enough to get excited about. The wind is calm, but the swell just isn’t there.

Now, here’s where it gets a bit interesting, but you gotta be patient. On Wednesday the 5th of August, we see a jump in size. The morning brings a 7ft SE swell, combined energy of all swells hitting 907, which is proper strong. The wind is cross from the north at 12 mph, which is okay, but the period is a short 10 seconds, so it’ll be a bit lumpy. This is big enough that beginners should stay out of the water – it’s not a day for learning.

The real standout, though, is Thursday the 6th of August morning. The swell bumps up to 7ft from the east, with a combined energy of all swells at 1097 – that’s serious power. The period is 10 seconds, so not groundswell, but the wind is a gentle cross from the north at 9 mph, making for clean conditions. This is the best window of the whole forecast. However, at 7ft, we’re talking expert-only territory. This is a reef break that handles that size well, but it’s not for the faint of heart. You’ll have company, too – Xa can get crowded sometimes.

After that, we fade out into the weekend. Friday the 7th through Sunday the 9th of August still has some size – 5ft to 6ft E swells – but the winds shift cross-on or onshore, and the conditions turn messy. Not worth the fight, unless you’re desperate.

So, to sum it up: the next week is a write-off. The one day to circle is Thursday the 6th of August morning. That’s the only real standout. It’s a long way off, so keep an eye on it, but as it stands, that’s your best bet. For the rest of it, you’d be better off waxing your board and waiting.

Rusty.

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