Xa Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's talk about the surf at Xa for the next couple of weeks.

We’ve got a bit of a mixed bag on the cards. The first few days are looking small and clean, but the real story is the lack of any proper power for the majority of the forecast. It’s going to be a waiting game, with a standout window appearing right at the very end.

The early action is Monday the 14th. It’s small – only 3ft from the east, with a short period of 8 seconds. The wind is glassy in the morning, though it’s just *rain shwrs*. The wave energy is weak (117), so expectations need to be kept in check. This is a tiny, weak wave for a reef break like this.

Tuesday the 15th morning shapes up nicely. The wind goes dead calm, glassy, and the swell bumps up a touch to 3ft from the SSE with a 9-second period, giving a moderate wave energy of 210. This is a decent little window for a clean, small-wave session.

Wednesday the 16th is a bit of a repeat: a glassy morning with close to 3ft from the SSE (231 energy), but the afternoon gets blown out by a strong cross-offshore wind. Thursday the 17th looks pretty ordinary, with a messy cross-shore wind all day.

Now, Friday the 18th is where things get interesting. The morning shows a clean, glassy start and the swell jumps up with some proper punch. It’s close to 3ft from the SSE, but the period stretches out to 12 seconds – that’s groundswell. The wave energy is strong at 492. The afternoon drops a bit but still holds a 13-second period swell at 3ft with over 500 energy. This is the first real standout of the forecast, offering quality, long-period waves. Just be mindful that this longer period stuff can be a bit tricky on a reef, but it should produce some nice, lined-up waves.

After that, things go pretty quiet again. From Saturday the 19th right through to Monday the 28th, the winds are almost constantly onshore or cross-onshore, ruining what could be decent swell pulses. There’s a period around Monday the 21st with 6ft to 7ft of east swell, but the wind is a fresh cross-onshore, making it a choppy, blown-out mess. This is more of a kite-surfing setup than a paddle-surfing one.

The second week looks similar. The wind stays rough, and the swells are choppy. The standout in this entire 16-day window happens on Tuesday the 29th. After a long, bleak stretch, we get a morning with a clean, offshore wind from the WSW. The swell is small at 3ft, but it’s a long-period groundswell from the SSE at 12 seconds, and the energy is moderate (275). This is the clear highlight. For an advanced reef break like Xa, this is the moment to be ready. It’ll be clean, lined-up, and perfect for the crew who know the lineup.

Forget the rest of the second week, that Tuesday morning is the one to circle. It’s a long-range call, so keep an eye on it, but the signs are promising.

So, to sum it up: a few small clean windows this week, a quality swell on Friday the 18th, a long choppy patch, and then a final, beautiful-looking morning with offshore winds and a clean groundswell on Tuesday the 29th.

Rusty out.

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