Xa Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here again. Let's break down the same outlook, but in feet and knots for you.

Honestly, it's a tough run for Xa. We're looking at a long stretch of poor conditions, with a lot of wind messing up what could be decent swell. The water temp is nothing to write home about, pretty much what you'd expect for this time of year.

The first real chance of anything surfable kicks off Tuesday morning, the 11th of August. You've got a 3ft SSE swell rolling in, but it's coming with a 16 mph south wind that's putting a nasty cross-chop on the surface. The wave energy is moderate at best, and the overall call is marginal. The afternoon cleans up a touch with less wind, but still cross-shore. Wednesday the 12th has a bit more size, pushing 5ft from the SSE on the morning session, and the wind drops to a light 6 mph, but it's still cross-shore. The energy is up, and it's *almost* there, but the description still says "marginal."

From Thursday the 13th right through to Tuesday the 19th of August, it's just one rough day after another. The wind is mostly howling onshore, making a mess of things. The swell sticks between 3ft and 5ft, but it's mostly coming from the SSE and ENE with short periods, so the waves are gonna be weak and bumpy. A lot of these days are rated as "poor" with scores of zero for a surfer.

We get a little glimmer on the morning of Wednesday the 19th of August. The wind swings to the SSW at 16 mph, giving us a cross-offshore wind that cleans the face up. The swell is a raw 5ft from the ENE, but with a period of only 7 seconds, it's going to be a bit crumbly and fat. The energy is solid though. Still, the call is "marginal."

Pretty much everything after that is a write-off until we hit Saturday the 22nd of August. Saturday morning, the 22nd, is the standout of the entire run. The wind goes completely glassy—dead calm, 3 mph from the NE. The swell drops to 3ft from the east with an 8-second period, so it's small. But for a reef break like Xa, glassy conditions are gold. The energy is low, but the call is "surfable waves." It'll be tiny, delicate, and clean. If you've got a log, that's your window. The afternoon blows out again.

The rest of the run into the 26th of August looks like more of the same: strong onshore winds and messy, short-period windswell. Some days see the swell hit 6ft from the ENE or NE, but with a 6-second period and a fresh onshore breeze, that's just a washing machine. That kind of setup with a stiff onshore wind is better for a kite than a paddle.

So, to sum it up: if you're desperate, Wednesday the 19th morning might give you a few clean but soft ones. If you want the best option for a proper surf, don't blink on the morning of Saturday the 22nd of August. It won't be big, but it will be the cleanest wave on offer in this whole 16-day window.

Rusty.

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