Xa Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, folks. Rusty here. Let’s break down what’s in the water for Xa.

The next couple of weeks are a bit of a mixed bag. We’ve got a lot of onshore breezes and choppy conditions to deal with, but there are a few windows where it all comes together. Don’t get your hopes up too high for the first week, but there’s a standout further out that’s worth keeping an eye on.

The week starts off average. Thursday morning the 3rd sees some cross-on wind from the SE at 6 mph, with a weak 4ft easterly swell. The water is sitting at 73°, which is pretty normal for this time of year. It’s just not clean enough to get excited about. Friday and Saturday are mostly blown out by stronger winds, though Saturday morning the 5th goes glassy with a tiny 4ft swell from the ENE. It’s not big, but that glassy surface is a rare treat right now – the only problem is the swell period is a short 7 seconds, so it’ll be a bit lumpy and weak. The combined energy is only 350, so it’s not packing much punch.

Sunday morning the 6th is another glassy moment, but again, the swell is small and short-period. Monday the 7th sees a bump in size with a 6ft SSE swell, but it’s coming with a fresh 19 mph cross-offshore wind and rain. The wave energy is moderate (332), but the wind is too strong for it to be fun on a paddle board. That setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

The next week drags on with similar stories – onshore winds, chop, and average conditions. A few mornings, like Friday the 11th and Saturday the 12th, offer a bit of hope with cleaner conditions and a 5ft easterly swell, but the wind swings back onshore in the afternoons. The swell periods are getting better, around 8-9 seconds, but the consistency is ruined by the wind.

Now, the real standout is the morning of Friday the 18th of September. This is the one to circle on the calendar. We’ve got a glassy, calm morning with a 3ft swell from the SSE, but don’t let the size fool you. The period is a massive 18 seconds – that’s a very long period groundswell. The combined energy is a solid 736, which is strong and will have plenty of push. This is the kind of swell that will wrap beautifully into a reef break like Xa. The offshore wind is forecast to be a light SW, so expect clean, lined-up waves. It’s a bit of a wait, but this is the best on offer. For experts, this is going to be a treat.

The afternoon of the 18th gets a bit of a cross-on breeze, but the swell is even bigger in energy at 1076 with a 19-second period. It’ll be a bit rougher on the surface, but still very powerful.

So, to sum it up: the first week is mostly a write-off with a few glassy but small windows. The best bet is the morning of the 18th. Xa is a reef break, so it’s for advanced surfers, but with that long period groundswell and glassy conditions, it’s going to be absolutely worth the wait. Crowds are possible there, so get in early.

Rusty.

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