Xa Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right, settle in, folks. Rusty here, lookin' at the charts for Xa, and it’s a bit of a mixed bag comin’ our way. We got a slow start, a couple of decent windows, and then a whole lot of waitin'.

The first real chance to paddle out comes on Wednesday the 16th, first thing. The morning is the pick. We’ve got a clean, glassy 3 ft wave from the SSE pushing in, and it’s got moderate energy behind it (316). The water’s sitting at 74°, which is bang on average for this time of year, no drama there. This will be a clean, fun-sized wave on the reef. For the afternoon, the wind swings around and messes things up, so make the most of that window.

Friday the 18th morning looks like another little window. You’ll find a glassy 3 ft from the SSE again (248 energy). It’s short and sweet. Clean conditions mean you can get some nice lines.

After that, it gets a bit gnarly. We see a pulse of poor quality, wind-affected swell roll in from Saturday the 19th right through to Tuesday the 22nd. The onshore winds just ruin it. Look at Monday the 21st, the morning has a clean look to it with a cross-offshore breeze and a 5 ft swell from the East (255 energy), but the afternoon turns into a choppy mess. Tuesday the 22nd is just a right-off with strong winds.

Now, here’s a standout to pin your hopes on. Wednesday the 23rd morning looks special. The wind drops to glassy, and we get a 5 ft swell from the NE. The energy jumps to moderate-strong (479). It’s going to be clean and powerful. This is the best call in the first week for an advanced surfer. That’s a proper reef wave. Any bigger than that (over 8 ft) and it’s expert-only, but 5 ft with glass is pure magic.

The pattern then fades into a scrappy mix of small, wind-affected surf from Thursday the 24th through the weekend. There's a real lull here.

Lookin' further out, the second week gets interesting again, but it's less certain. Tuesday the 29th morning is promising with glassy conditions and a 4 ft swell from the E (234 energy). Not huge, but clean.

And then, on Wednesday the 30th, we have a promising but more distant call. The morning shows a 8 ft SE swell with light cross-shore winds. The energy jumps to strong (608). That’s a chunky size. For a reef, it’s a serious swell. Only for experts at that size. The direction is close to the optimum, so it's *the* standout in the second week, but treat it as a bright possibility, not a guarantee.

Crowds are possible at Xa, so get out early to snag a few.

So to sum it up: Wednesday the 16th morning, and Friday the 18th morning for the small, clean windows. Wednesday the 23rd morning is the big, reliable standout for a proper session. For the second week, keep an eye on Tuesday the 29th morning, and the big hopeful one on Wednesday the 30th. Lots of gaps in between, but a few gems to chase.

Rusty.

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