Xa Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it. Right now, we’ve got a bit of a waiting game. The first surf worth talking about shows up on Friday afternoon, August 14th, at Xa (Xa, reef). Honestly, it’s nothing to get excited about—the swell is only 4 ft coming from the SSE with a period of 13 seconds, and the wind is a cross-shore from the south at 12 mph. The combined energy is moderate at 496, but the surf conditions are poor. Water temp is sitting at 73°, which is about normal for this time of year, with a tiny anomaly of -0.2°.

Saturday morning, August 15th, sees a slight bump. Swell picks up to 5 ft from the SSE, period 14 seconds, but the wind is cross-on from the ESE at 6 mph. The energy jumps to 1040, which is strong, but it’s still a marginal call. The afternoon is a bit better—6 ft from the SSE, same period, light cross-on wind, and energy at 1202. Still, it’s not clean. Sunday and Monday, August 16th and 17th, are pretty grim. Swell drops, winds get messy, and conditions are poor. That’s three days in a row where it’s just not worth paddling out.

Then we hit a big gap. From Tuesday, August 18th, all the way through to Sunday, August 23rd, the surf is either poor or just not happening. Waves are small, period is short, and winds are onshore or strong cross-shore. There’s a morning on Sunday, August 23rd, where the wind goes glassy and calm, but the swell is only 4 ft from the ENE with a period of 7 seconds, so it’s a weak, short-period wave. The energy is only 147. Not exactly firing.

The next bit of interest creeps in on Monday, August 24th, with a bit of a switch. Swell from the south at 2 ft, but a period of 10 seconds, which is a bit longer. The wind is cross-off from the SSW at 12 mph, so it’s clean. Energy is low at 166, though. Still, that’s a small window of clean-ish conditions. Not a standout.

Tuesday, August 25th, brings the biggest swell we’ve seen—8 ft from the SE, period 7 seconds. That’s a short-period, choppy swell, and the wind is cross from the NNE at 9 mph. The energy is 679, which is moderate. It’s marginal, but here’s the thing: 8 ft is getting into expert territory, especially on a reef. If you’re experienced, it might be worth a look, but the wind is not ideal.

After that, the rest of the run into late August is a mix of cross-shore winds and small to moderate swell, but nothing really cleans up. The wind is mostly onshore or cross-on, and the swell direction keeps shifting. The period stays short, rarely getting above 8 seconds. The best call in the whole 16-day window is probably the morning of Wednesday, August 27th, where the wind is light from the south at 6 mph, the swell is 4 ft from the ENE, period 7 seconds, and the energy is 233. But honestly, it’s still very ordinary.

So, overall, there’s no true standout session here. The reef at Xa is consistent, but the conditions just aren’t lining up. If you’re dead keen, the bigger swell on Tuesday the 25th might offer a bit of punch for experts, but it’s messy. The rest is a waiting game. Forecasts can change, but right now, it’s a lean run.

Rusty.

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