Xa Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's get into it for Xa, a reef break that takes a solid east swell. Water temp is sitting right around 75°, which is pretty normal for this time of year, so no surprises there.

The upcoming week is a mixed bag, and honestly, it takes a while to find the real magic. We've got a lot of cross-onshore wind and choppy conditions to start. Thursday afternoon is a write-off with a messy 4 ft east swell and a 12 mph cross-onshore. Friday is similar, though a morning window gives us a small 4 ft east swell with a cross breeze, making for marginal surf at best. The first real standout for clean waves comes Saturday morning, the 4th of July. The swell drops a touch to 4 ft from the east, but with a glassy wind and a solid 9-second period, those conditions will turn the reef into a smooth, fun wave. That's your best bet for the weekend. Sunday morning is also glassy, but the swell is smaller at 3 ft.

Moving into the new week, we see a shift in swell direction to the SSE, and the combined energy jumps up. On Monday morning, the 6th, we get a clean 3 ft SSE swell with a longer 12-second period and a light cross-offshore breeze. It's not huge, but it'll be well-shaped and clean. Tuesday brings a push in energy, with over 500 units of combined swell energy (504) hitting the reef Tuesday morning with a 4 ft SSE swell. However, the wind is a messy cross, so it's a bit of a gamble that day. Wednesday morning, the 8th, looks better again with a clean 4 ft SE swell and cross-off winds.

After a few days of mix, we get another absolute gem on the morning of Friday, the 10th. A glassy 2 ft SE swell with an 11-second period. The combined energy is still moderate (291), but the conditions will be pure glass – that's the kind of session you wait for.

The second week gets a bit more complicated. The swell direction stays mostly SE, but the wind is all over the place, mostly cross or cross-on, which is disappointing. The waves are there, but the quality is missing. There's a brief bit of interest on Monday the 13th, but it's a write-off with poor conditions. The real standout for the whole period, and the reason you want to keep an eye on this, is Friday morning, the 17th. That morning brings a glassy, 5 ft swell from the SE with a 12-second period. The combined wave energy is a strong 559, indicating a lot of power. The wind is glassy (NNW 3 mph) and the forecast is for *very good surf conditions*. This is the best of the best on offer. It's over a week away, so treat it as a promising but not locked-in call, but if the swell and wind hold, Xa will be firing, clean, and with plenty of punch.

Overall, it's a tale of two weeks: a few clean windows in the first week, especially the 4th and 10th, and then the potential for a cracking session on the 17th. The reef here needs that clean, light wind to really shine, so don't bother when the cross-onshore is up.

Rusty.

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