
Surf Forecasts:
Vermelha do Centro surf forecast from 13 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 19 Sep, 6AM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 8s period, E swell with cross-shore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 17 Sep, 3PM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 12s period, SSE swell with 647 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 14 Sep, 9AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 7s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Vermelha do Centro this week:
The surf forecast for Vermelha do Centro over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Sep 14) at 9AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 7s period with a secondary swell of 0.7m and 5s. Another secondary swell of 0.8m and 5s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Vermelha do Centro in the next 16 days are 1.6m 12s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 17) at 3PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (-03) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 9AM (Mon 14th Sep) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 7s |
| Best Surf | 6AM (Sat 19th Sep) | 7ft (2.1m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 3PM (Thu 17th Sep) | 5ft (1.6m) 12s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Vermelha do Centro over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what we’ve got lined up at Vermelha do Centro over the next couple of weeks.
First up, water temp is sitting at 73°F, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year – you’ll notice it in a spring suit, maybe just boardshorts if you’re keen.
Right now, we open on Sunday morning with small 3ft south swell, period only 7 seconds – that’s short-period windswill. It’s glassy, and the combined energy is low at 102, so it’s surfable but nothing to write home about. That’s about the best we see for a few days. Through Sunday afternoon to Tuesday, it stays marginal: small swells, mostly light cross-onshore winds, and the energy picks up a bit but the quality doesn’t. Tuesday afternoon sees a bump to 4ft south swell with 10-second period and energy jumping to 438 – moderate energy now – but the wind turns cross-onshore, so it’s messy.
Wednesday morning on the 16th is a bit of a highlight: 3ft south swell, 10 seconds, glassy calm, combined energy at 268, and the comment says expect good surf conditions. That’s clean, small, and user-friendly. Wednesday afternoon gets a 12-second period south swell but the wind goes light cross-onshore, so it’s not as clean.
Thursday the 17th sees the swell bump to 4ft SSE with 9 seconds, but again cross-onshore wind and the energy ramps up to 346 – still moderate. By Thursday afternoon it hits 5ft SSE with 12-second period and strong energy (675), but that’s a gentle cross-onshore breeze, so it’s choppy and not great for a clean ride. This one’s more for the experienced crew if you don’t mind a bit of texture.
Friday morning the 18th is another clean window: 3ft south swell, 11-second period, glassy, energy at 338 – that’s a decent little groundswell, small but clean. Good for a longboard or a funboard.
Then we hit the standout of the whole run: Saturday morning the 19th. Solid 7ft easterly swell, but period is only 8 seconds – so it’s a short-period pulse. Combined energy is a massive 851 (strong). The problem is, the forecast says it’s predicted to be too big for this break. That’s expert territory, and with that short period it’ll be dumping hard. If you’re a charger, this is your window, but for most of us it’s a no-go. The wind is glassy though, so if it’s not closing out completely, there’ll be some heavy, hollow slabs for the brave.
Sunday the 20th backs off to 5ft ESE swell, 8 seconds, glassy morning, energy 319 – this is more manageable, still punchy but cleaner. Afternoon is 4ft and glassy again. These two days are the best combo of size, clean conditions, and moderate energy.
From Monday the 21st onward, it fades fast. Monday morning 3ft ESE, cross-off wind, clean but small. The rest of that week drops to 3ft or less, mostly cross-onshore, and the energy falls below 200. By Thursday the 24th we’re down to 2ft, 69 energy – it’s pretty flat. There’s a slight uptick on Friday the 25th morning with 3ft south swell, 11 seconds, and energy back up to 301, but the wind is cross-onshore, so it’s marginal.
The last few days of the outlook – Saturday 26th through Monday 28th – are poor. Swell drops to 2-2ft, energy in the 40s or low 100s, and cross-onshore wind. Not worth paddling out unless you’re desperate for a float.
So the standout here is Saturday the 19th morning for experts only, and Sunday the 20th for the rest of us who want a clean, solid wave. After that, it’s a long gap of small, messy surf until the end of the month.
Stay safe, keep your eyes on the horizon.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastHeavy rain (total 49mm), heaviest during Tue night. Warm (max 22°C on Tue morning, min 17°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Wed afternoon. Warm (max 21°C on Fri morning, min 17°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 13 | Monday 14 | Tuesday 15 | Wednesday 16 | Thursday 17 | Friday 18 | Saturday 19 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 7 | S 8 | SSE 8 | S 7 | SSE 8 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 9 | S 10 | SSE 12 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 12 | S 11 | S 11 | S 11 | E 7 | E 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
63 | 102 | 107 | 70 | 81 | 85 | 104 | 226 | 103 | 161 | 152 | 227 | 238 | 647 | 332 | 235 | 181 | 439 | 501 | 355 | 385 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | glassy | on | cross-on | glassy | cross | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | cross-on | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | cross-on | cross | glassy | cross-on | cross |
High Tide | 3:24PM1.05m | 3:37AM1.18m | 3:44PM1.03m | 4:08AM1.10m | 4:05PM0.99m | 4:40AM1.00m | 4:27PM0.93m | 5:14AM0.89m | 4:52PM0.87m | 5:56AM0.78m | 5:20PM0.78m | 7:09AM0.67m | 12:08PM0.74m | 6:04PM0.69m | |||||||
Low Tide | 9:55AM0.10m | 9:52PM0.16m | 10:20AM0.21m | 10:15PM0.17m | 10:43AM0.32m | 10:39PM0.20m | 11:05AM0.43m | 11:08PM0.25m | 11:28AM0.54m | 11:56PM0.33m | 9:56AM0.63m | 1:09PM0.64m | 1:55AM0.41m | 8:38AM0.66m | 3:37PM0.65m | 10:16PM0.57m | |||||
5:58 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:56 | — | — | 5:56 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | |
— | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:53 | — | — | 5:53 | — | — | 5:53 | — | — | 5:53 | — | — | 5:54 | — | |
mm | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 10 | — | 3 | 18 | — | 2 | 3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | 4 | 4 |
Temp °C | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 22 | 20 | 18 | 19 | 18 | 17 | 20 | 19 | 18 | 21 | 21 | 20 | 23 | 22 | 21 |
Feels °C | 23 | 22 | 21 | 23 | 22 | 22 | 24 | 21 | 19 | 20 | 19 | 18 | 20 | 19 | 17 | 22 | 22 | 21 | 25 | 24 | 24 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 7 | S 8 | SSE 8 | S 7 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | S 10 | S 9 | S 9 | S 10 | SSE 7 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 12 | S 11 | ESE 6 | S 11 | ESE 7 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 |
63 | 102 | 107 | 70 | 81 | 73 | 104 | 139 | 103 | 161 | 78 | 227 | 238 | 647 | 332 | 103 | 181 | 337 | 283 | 257 | 385 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 9 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 5 | ESE 5 | S 11 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | SSE 12 | S 11 | S 13 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | S 11 | — | S 10 | S 9 | S 9 | SSE 9 |
27 | 22 | 24 | 24 | 22 | 85 | 41 | 41 | 86 | 50 | 152 | 89 | 90 | 28 | 25 | 235 | — | 96 | 63 | 43 | 28 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 8 | SE 11 | S 14 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | E 6 | SSE 8 | SE 8 | — | SSE 13 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 7 | — | — | — | — | — | S 15 | S 14 | SSE 12 |
12 | 5 | 4 | 23 | 23 | 16 | 48 | 32 | — | 57 | 33 | 32 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | 15 | 26 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | ESE 4 | E 5 | E 5 | — | — | S 10 | — | — | S 6 | — | — | — | ESE 5 | — | ESE 6 | E 7 | E 8 | ESE 8 | — |
— | — | 21 | 30 | 35 | — | — | 226 | — | — | 68 | — | — | — | 58 | — | 170 | 439 | 501 | 355 | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 42 | 21 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 51 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 42 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 3 |
Best forecast wave conditions in São Paulo | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Brazil | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Vermelha do Centro Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Vermelha do Centro provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Vermelha do Centro can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Vermelha do Centro surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Vermelha do Centro) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Vermelha do Centro may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Vermelha do Centro is 1 km (1 miles) from the city of Ubatuba. If you plan a holiday in São Paulo, look for hotels and other accommodation in Ubatuba. Ubatuba has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










