Surf Forecasts:
Vermelha do Centro surf forecast from 15 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 15 Jul, 9AM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 10s period, SE swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 16 Jul, 6PM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 10s period, ESE swell with 543 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 15 Jul, 3AM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 10s period with SE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Vermelha do Centro this week:
The surf forecast for Vermelha do Centro over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 3AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.5m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 12s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Vermelha do Centro in the next 16 days are 1.6m 10s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 16) at 6PM. Winds are predicted to be glassy at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.2m 2s period and expected on Monday (Jul 20) at 9AM.
| Wave Type | Time (-03) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 3AM (Wed 15th Jul) | 5ft (1.5m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 9AM (Wed 15th Jul) | 5ft (1.5m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 6PM (Thu 16th Jul) | 5ft (1.6m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Vermelha do Centro over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, folks, Rusty here. Let’s get straight into it.
We’ve got a solid run of surf coming up at Vermelha do Centro. The week kicks off with a real gem on Wednesday morning, 15 July. Conditions are absolutely mint – crystal clear skies, a glassy 3 mph breeze from the NE, and a clean 5ft swell out of the SE. That’s a groundswell with a nice 10-second period, packing moderate energy (504). This is the standout of the whole period. The water temp is about average for this time of year, so no need to dig out the 5/4 just yet. Crowds are possible here, so get in early.
The swell stays around 3ft to 5ft through the rest of the week, but the wind gets a bit tricky. Thursday morning, 16 July, is another glassy session – 4ft SE swell with absolute calm, 0 mph wind. That’s a very clean, fun wave for beginners. The ESE swell on Friday and Saturday mornings is a bit smaller at 3ft to 4ft, but NW offshore winds keep it clean. The energy drops into the weak range (226-235) by Friday, so it’s more of a cruiser board day.
There’s a gap from Sunday, 19 July, through to Tuesday, 21 July, where the surf is small and ordinary – around 3ft – with cross-shore winds and poor conditions. I wouldn’t bother paddling out those afternoons. The energy is weak (115-152), and it’s just not worth the effort.
We get a little bump again on Wednesday morning, 22 July, with a glassy 3ft E swell, but it’s tiny. Then another gap of poor conditions until Saturday, 25 July, where the swell picks up but the wind is crap – cross-on and onshore, with rain in the mix. Not good.
Then, right at the end of the month, we get another promising window. Tuesday morning, 28 July, brings a glassy 4ft ESE swell with 3 mph ENE wind. That’s clean and fun. But the real highlight of the second week is Wednesday morning, 29 July. Absolutely flat calm, 0 mph wind, and a 5ft E swell. That’s beginner-friendly, glassy, and the energy is moderate (467). A perfect morning session on the cards.
Overall, the best bet is Wednesday morning, 15 July, with Wednesday morning, 29 July, as a very promising runner-up.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 25°C on Fri morning, min 15°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 28°C on Mon morning, min 19°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tue 21 | |||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | ESE 10 | SE 11 | ESE 8 | E 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 8 | E 8 | ESE 7 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | E 8 | E 8 | ESE 8 | E 8 | E 8 | ESE 8 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 466 | 469 | 517 | 510 | 231 | 494 | 159 | 123 | 146 | 136 | 180 | 172 | 86 | 144 | 112 | 80 | 134 | 107 | 78 | 134 | 109 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | off | glassy | cross-on | off | glassy | cross-on | off | off | cross | off | off | cross | off | off | cross | off | off | cross |
High Tide | 2:33AM1.00m | 4:01PM1.08m | 3:06AM1.07m | 4:23PM1.02m | 3:41AM1.11m | 4:45PM0.97m | 4:17AM1.10m | 5:08PM0.92m | 4:55AM1.06m | 5:33PM0.88m | 5:35AM0.99m | 6:01PM0.84m | 6:20AM0.89m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 9:43PM0.38m | 9:44AM-0.08m | 10:15PM0.41m | 10:25AM-0.05m | 10:45PM0.42m | 11:04AM0.02m | 11:13PM0.43m | 11:41AM0.12m | 11:43PM0.42m | 12:17PM0.23m | 00:17AM0.42m | 12:56PM0.35m | 1:02AM0.42m | 1:45PM0.45m | |||||||
 |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | 6:41 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — | 6:39 | — |
 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:32 | — | — | 5:32 |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 16 | 21 | 21 | 17 | 23 | 23 | 19 | 25 | 25 | 20 | 26 | 26 | 22 | 27 | 27 | 22 | 28 | 28 | 23 | 29 | 30 |
Feels °C | 16 | 20 | 20 | 17 | 23 | 23 | 19 | 24 | 24 | 19 | 26 | 25 | 21 | 27 | 26 | 22 | 27 | 27 | 23 | 28 | 29 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 7 | ESE 8 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 8 | E 8 | ESE 7 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | E 8 | E 8 | ESE 8 | E 8 | E 8 | ESE 8 |
| kJ | 466 | 469 | 517 | 510 | 231 | 354 | 96 | 123 | 86 | 136 | 180 | 100 | 86 | 144 | 112 | 80 | 134 | 107 | 78 | 134 | 109 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 12 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | ESE 7 | S 13 | SE 11 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | S 16 | S 15 | S 13 | S 12 | S 12 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 |
| kJ | 11 | 23 | 10 | 8 | 73 | 3 | 159 | 100 | 102 | 64 | 37 | 35 | 24 | 5 | 17 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 7 | — | — | S 14 | S 10 | — | S 13 | S 12 | S 19 | S 17 | S 15 | S 15 | S 13 | S 12 | S 9 | — | — | — | S 16 | S 15 | S 14 |
| kJ | 12 | — | — | 4 | 8 | — | 3 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 2 | — | — | — | 5 | 4 | 4 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | NE 4 | E 5 | ENE 6 | E 7 | ESE 10 | — | — | E 7 | — | — | E 8 | — | — | — | — | NNW 2 | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | 12 | 55 | 98 | 145 | 494 | — | — | 146 | — | — | 172 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 21 |
Best forecast wave conditions in São Paulo | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Brazil | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Vermelha do Centro Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Vermelha do Centro provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Vermelha do Centro can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Vermelha do Centro surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Vermelha do Centro) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Vermelha do Centro may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Vermelha do Centro is 1 km (1 miles) from the city of Ubatuba. If you plan a holiday in São Paulo, look for hotels and other accommodation in Ubatuba. Ubatuba has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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