Vermelha do Centro Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, I’m Rusty. Look, to be straight with ya – the next 16 days are a mixed bag for this part of the coast, with a long stretch of small, pretty ordinary surf before something proper shows up. We’re looking at Vermelha do Centro for the whole run, and there are no other spots in the mix.

The first week is mostly weak and underwhelming. Sunday the 2nd kicks off with a tiny 3ft easterly swell, short period of 7 seconds, and combined energy sitting at just 129 – that’s weak. Glassy morning conditions make it surfable for a total beginner, but there’s no punch or shape. The wind turns cross-on by the afternoon, and the waves drop to 3ft, so it’s pretty much a write-off. Monday the 3rd is similar – 3ft, same short period, glassy in the morning but poor by the arvo. Tuesday the 4th gives us another day of 2ft to 3ft waves, glassy all day, but still that weak, short-period energy. It’s a lake, not a surf.

Wednesday the 5th is a slight blip – the swell swings to the south with a period of 11 seconds, so there’s a touch more grunt, and combined energy hits 227 (moderate). The morning is glassy, and waves around 2ft. It’s small but clean, a decent session for a learner or someone on a log. But the afternoon goes onshore and dies. Thursday the 6th and Friday the 7th are back to tiny, weak, glassy conditions, barely worth paddling out for.

Then we hit a real lull from Saturday the 8th all the way through to the morning of Monday the 10th. Swell drops to 1ft or 1ft, winds are messy, and combined energy is pitiful – down to 29 in places. That’s three solid days with nothing. Not even a ripple worth mentioning. The afternoon of Monday the 10th shows a spike in size to 5ft, but it’s from the south with a short 6-second period, cross-onshore winds, and combined energy of 108 – weak and messy. That’s a pass.

But hold on – Tuesday the 11th is the standout. It’s a solid 6ft swell from the SSE, with a very long period of 14 seconds – proper groundswell. Combined energy rockets to 1413, which is strong. The morning is glassy, wind from the southwest at just 3 mph, and conditions are clean. This is excellent surf for experienced surfers – anything over 5ft is too much for beginners, and at over 6ft, it’s only for those who know what they’re doing. The afternoon stays glassy with 6ft, so the whole day is a goer. This spot is a consistent beginner-friendly break, which means the crowd is sometimes around, so expect company. That long period and SSE direction suit the exposure here, and it’ll line up on the sandbanks nicely.

Wednesday the 12th is still cooking – 5ft swell, 13-second period, glassy in the morning, with combined energy at 809 (moderate to strong). That’s a ripper session for the experienced crew, though the afternoon turns cross-onshore and drops a bit. Thursday the 13th holds smaller but still decent – 4ft and 3ft with 12-second period, glassy all day. Good for a fun cruise. Friday the 14th to Sunday the 16th fades into smaller, weaker swell, and by the 16th the onshore winds kill it.

Water temp? I don’t have a specific number for this break, but given the time of year, it’s about average – nothing unusual.

So, the call: Tuesday the 11th is the absolute best on offer. Get out there early for glassy 6ft groundswell. It’s a proper day. Wednesday the 12th morning is the next best. For beginners, stick to the small, glassy mornings earlier in the week – tiny waves but clean.

Rusty.

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