Praia Tenório Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, mate, Rusty here. Let's have a look at the stretch ahead for Praia Tenório.

First thing's first: the water's sitting at a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, coming in at 73°F with a 3°F anomaly. It's a bit of a standout, so you can leave the thicker steamer at home.

Right now, we're in a bit of a lull. Saturday the 5th is looking pretty flat, with just a knee-high 1ft slop and almost no energy behind it (43). It's clean and glassy, but there's just nothing to push you around. Don't bother paddling out unless you're desperate for a splash.

Sunday the 6th sees a whole lot more water moving, but it's not good. The swell jumps to 7ft but it's a short-period, onshore mess, with the wind howling from the S at 12 mph and rain coming down. The energy is moderate (762), but the conditions are junk. This is a write-off.

We finally get a few proper windows early next week. Monday the 7th is the one to really look at. It's not huge, with a 6ft SSE groundswell and a 10-second period, but it's glassy. The wind is light from the SW, there's a bit of rain around, but the ocean is clean. Wave energy is solid (707), and this is about as good as it gets in this stretch. It's a "fairly consistent" break, but on a day like this, with the offshore winds, it could be worth a look.

Tuesday the 8th settles down but the size drops too. The swell backs off to around 3ft, the wind goes calm, and conditions stay glassy. It’s surfable – you'll be noseriding on a log – but it's just ordinary. The energy drops right back (188). Not a standout.

Then we hit a few days of diminishing returns. Wednesday the 9th is small, crossing winds, and just poor. Thursday the 10th and Friday the 11th tease you with 3ft and 2ft swells, but the period stretches out to 12 and 13 seconds. That long period at a beach break tends to make things close out and section. It's clean on Thursday morning, but it’s not going to have any push.

The weekend of the 12th and 13th is a proper flat spell. Swell drops to ankle-biters on Saturday, and while Sunday sees a quick pulse to 7ft, it's a short-period windswell with bad cross-onshore winds and rain. Forget it.

Now, let's talk about the real event. The big one is lining up for Monday the 14th through Tuesday the 15th. We're looking at a proper groundswell.

Monday the 14th brings a massive 10ft SSE swell with a 13-second period. The energy is off the charts (2454). The wind is light offshore in the morning, which would normally be a dream. But here's the catch: it's too big for this place. It's going to be a washing machine. Unless you're a proper expert, stay on the sand and watch. It's a "beginner plus" spot, so this is way out of its comfort zone.

That sets up Tuesday the 15th as the true standout. The swell eases to a still-chunky 7ft, the period holds at 12 seconds, and the wind drops to dead calm, glassy conditions. The energy is still very strong (1478). The direction is SSE, which aligns with the optimum. If you're an experienced surfer, this is your session. It’s going to be powerful and lined up. This is the one to circle on the calendar.

After that, the plug gets pulled. Wednesday the 16th drops right back to under 3ft of weak, ordinary surf. And from then on, it's a slow fade into flatness. There are a few ankle-biters through the end of the period, but the energy is pathetic (down to single digits by the 20th). The long period swells keep the lines clean but they won't have any push to get you going.

So, don't get excited about the next few days. Get your board ready for Tuesday the 15th – that’s the big one. Get out there early before the winds pick up.

- Rusty

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