Praia da Baleia Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cooking for Praia da Baleia over the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, the first few days are pretty flat and ordinary. We’ve got small waves, nothing to get excited about. Sunday the 2nd and Monday the 3rd are really just ankle-snappers, with the odd knee-high wave, mostly under 3 ft. The wind is light and variable, but the swell is short period and weak. It’s surfable but very ordinary. Tuesday the 4th stays small, but by the afternoon you get a little groundswell pulse from the south with a 12-second period, which is a nice change. The combined energy is still only moderate (143). Still, it’s glassy, so if you’re desperate for a paddle, it’s there.

The first real standout comes on Wednesday the 5th. Morning sees a clean 3 ft south swell with an 11-second period, glassy conditions, and combined energy of 278 (moderate). The afternoon is similarly clean. This is the best of the early week – small but clean, and the swell direction is right in the optimum zone from the south. For a beginner-friendly break like Praia da Baleia, this is a nice little window. The water temperature is 70°, which is about two degrees warmer than average for this time of year, so it’s a touch on the warm side, but nothing crazy.

From Thursday the 6th through to Saturday the 8th, it’s back to tiny, weak swell. Not worth changing plans for. The wind is offshore or glassy, but the swell just isn’t there.

Now, Sunday the 9th brings a jump. The morning shows 5 ft from the south with an 8-second period and a gentle offshore breeze. Combined energy is 286 (moderate). This is a solid, fun size for intermediates, and it’s clean. But the real standout comes on Monday the 10th. The morning session is looking like the pick of the whole forecast. You’ve got 5 ft of south swell, a 13-second period – proper groundswell – and combined energy of 937 (moderate to strong). The wind is light cross-offshore, so it’ll be clean. This is the one to circle. It’s still a manageable size for most, and the long period means the waves will have shape and power. Just be aware that with a long period south swell, it can break a little straighter on a beach break, but this spot has a point section too, so it should handle it well.

The afternoon of the 10th gets bigger, with 7 ft from the south and a very long 15-second period. Combined energy jumps to 2323 (strong). That’s a lot of water moving. The wind is cross-shore and moderate, so it’ll be a bit lumpy. This is expert territory – too big for beginners, and with that cross-shore wind, it’s going to be challenging. More of a show than a go for most.

Tuesday the 11th and Wednesday the 12th stay big, with 6 ft to 8 ft, but the wind is onshore or cross-on, and there’s light rain. The wave quality is marginal. The energy is still strong (over 1000), but the conditions are messy. This isn’t the time for a clean session.

Thursday the 13th is a nice reset. The swell drops to 5 ft, still from the south with a 12-second period, and it’s glassy. Combined energy is 606 (moderate). This is another very good window – clean, manageable, and fun. The morning and afternoon both look good.

Friday the 14th has 6 ft of south swell, but the period drops to 8 seconds, and the wind is cross-offshore in the morning. The energy is 757 (moderate). It’s clean, but the shorter period means the waves won’t have the same quality as the 12-second stuff. Still a decent day.

Saturday the 15th is glassy again, with 6 ft from the south-southeast, 10-second period, and energy of 608. That’s a good, clean, fun size. The afternoon gets a bit bigger at 7 ft, but the period drops to 8 seconds, so it’ll be a bit dumpy.

Sunday the 16th and Monday the 17th round things out with clean, glassy conditions, 4 ft to 6 ft, and moderate energy. The swell is mostly from the south and east. It’s consistent, clean, and fun for the longboard or a mid-length.

The standout is Monday the 10th morning – 5 ft, 13-second south groundswell, light offshore wind, and moderate to strong energy. That’s the one to wake up early for. The Wednesday the 5th and Thursday the 13th are also solid runners-up for clean, smaller waves.

If you’re a beginner, stick to the sub-5 ft days with glassy wind – Wednesday the 5th, Thursday the 13th, and Sunday the 16th are your best bets. For the bigger days (10th afternoon, 11th, 12th), it’s expert-only territory.

Rusty.

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